Screening history and risk of death from prostate cancer: a nested case-control study within the screening arm of the Finnish Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (FinRSPC).

PURPOSE: We assessed the risk of death from prostate cancer (PCa) in relation to men's screening histories, i.e., screening attendance among men who were offered screening. METHODS: Men in the Finnish Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (FinRSPC) screening arm were invited to up to three screening rounds with the serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) test at 4-year intervals during 1996-2007. Case subjects (n = 330) were men who died from PCa. Each case was matched to five controls (n = 1544) among the men who were free of PCa. Screening history was defined as (1) never/ever attended screening prior to the case diagnosis; (2) attended at the first screening round; and (3) recency of screening, calculated as the time from last screening attendance to the date of case diagnosis. The association between screening history and the risk of death from PCa was estimated by odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) using conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: Having ever attended screening versus never attended was associated with a reduced risk of PCa death (OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.45-0.81) and a similar association was found for those attended (versus not attended) the first screening round (OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.51-0.87). The effect by time since last screen for the risk of PCa death was significantly lower 2-7 years since last screen. CONCLUSION: Among men invited to screening, subjects who attended any PSA screening during the previous 19 years had a 40% reduction in PCa mortality compared to non-screened men.

Cancer origin tracing and timing in two high-risk prostate cancers using multisample whole genome analysis: prospects for personalized medicine.

BACKGROUND: Prostate cancer (PrCa) genomic heterogeneity causes resistance to therapies such as androgen deprivation. Such heterogeneity can be deciphered in the context of evolutionary principles, but current clinical trials do not include evolution as an essential feature. Whether or not analysis of genomic data in an evolutionary context in primary prostate cancer can provide unique added value in the research and clinical domains remains an open question. METHODS: We used novel processing techniques to obtain whole genome data together with 3D anatomic and histomorphologic analysis in two men (GP5 and GP12) with high-risk PrCa undergoing radical prostatectomy. A total of 22 whole genome-sequenced sites (16 primary cancer foci and 6 lymph node metastatic) were analyzed using evolutionary reconstruction tools and spatio-evolutionary models. Probability models were used to trace spatial and chronological origins of the primary tumor and metastases, chart their genetic drivers, and distinguish metastatic and non-metastatic subclones. RESULTS: In patient GP5, CDK12 inactivation was among the first mutations, leading to a PrCa tandem duplicator phenotype and initiating the cancer around age 50, followed by rapid cancer evolution after age 57, and metastasis around age 59, 5 years prior to prostatectomy. In patient GP12, accelerated cancer progression was detected after age 54, and metastasis occurred around age 56, 3 years prior to prostatectomy. Multiple metastasis-originating events were identified in each patient and tracked anatomically. Metastasis from prostate to lymph nodes occurred strictly ipsilaterally in all 12 detected events. In this pilot, metastatic subclone content analysis appears to substantially enhance the identification of key drivers. Evolutionary analysis' potential impact on therapy selection appears positive in these pilot cases. CONCLUSIONS: PrCa evolutionary analysis allows tracking of anatomic site of origin, timing of cancer origin and spread, and distinction of metastatic-capable from non-metastatic subclones. This enables better identification of actionable targets for therapy. If extended to larger cohorts, it appears likely that similar analyses could add substantial biological insight and clinically relevant value.

Tumour Suppressor Neuron Navigator 3 and Matrix Metalloproteinase 14 are Co-expressed in Most Melanomas but Downregulated in Thick Tumours.

Melanoma is a highly metastatic tumour originating from neural crest-derived melanocytes. The aim of this study was to analyse the expression of neuron navigator 3 (NAV3) in relation to membrane type-1 matrix metalloproteinase MMP14, a major regulator of invasion, in 40 primary melanomas, 15 benign naevi and 2 melanoma cell lines. NAV3 copy number changes were found in 18/27 (67%) primary melanomas, so that deletions dominated (16/27 of samples, 59%). NAV3 protein was found to be localized at the leading edge of migrating melanoma cells in vitro. Silencing of NAV3 reduced both melanoma cell migration in 2-dimensional conditions, as well as sprouting in 3-dimensional collagen I. NAV3 protein expression correlated with MMP14 in 26/37 (70%) primary melanomas. NAV3 and MMP14 were co-expressed in all tumours with Breslow thickness < 1 mm, in 11/23 of mid-thickness tumours (1-5 mm), but in only 1/6 samples of thick (> 5 mm) melanomas. Altogether, NAV3 number changes are frequent in melanomas, and NAV3 and MMP14, while expressed in all thin melanomas, are often downregulated in thicker tumours, suggesting that the lack of both NAV3 and MMP14 favours melanoma progression.

Prostate cancer incidence in men with prostate-specific antigen below 3 ng/mL: The Finnish Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer.

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA)-based screening for prostate cancer (PCa) can reduce PCa mortality, but also involves overdetection of low-risk disease with potential adverse effects. We evaluated PCa incidence among men with PSA below 3 ng/mL and no PCa diagnosis at the first screening round of the Finnish Randomized Study of Screening for PCa. Follow-up started at the first screening attendance and ended at PCa diagnosis, emigration, death or the common closing date (December 2016), whichever came first. Cox regression analysis was used to estimate hazard ratios and their confidence intervals (CI). Among men with PSA <3 ng/mL, cumulative PCa incidence was 9.1% after 17.6 years median follow-up. Cumulative incidence was 3.6% among men with baseline PSA 0 to 0.99 ng/mL, 11.5% in those with PSA 1.0 to 1.99 ng/mL and 25.7% among men with PSA 2 to 2.99 ng/mL (hazard ratio 9.0, 95% CI: 7.9-10.2 for the latter). The differences by PSA level were most striking for low-risk disease based on Gleason score and EAU risk group. PSA values <1 ng/mL indicate a very low 20-year risk, while at PSA 2 to 2.99 ng/mL risks are materially higher, with 4- to 5-fold risk for aggressive disease. Using risk-stratification and appropriate rescreening intervals will reduce screening intensity and overdetection. Using cumulative incidence of clinically significant PCa (csPCa) as the criterion, rescreening intervals could range from approximately 3 years for men with initial PSA 2 to 2.99 ng/mL, 6 years for men with PSA 1 to 1.99 ng/mL to 10 years for men with PSA <1 ng/mL.

Cytohistological findings in HPV-negative cases from HPV primary screening programme: quality assurance study.

To evaluate the risk of false HPV-negative results and possible related morphological abnormalities in HPV primary cervical cancer screening. Out of 53,661 HPV-negative cases, 5469 (10.2%) randomly selected cytology slides were evaluated as a part of the quality assurance protocol. The Bethesda category negative for intraepithelial lesion or malignancy (NILM) in the HPV-negative cases given was present in 95.4%. Due to cytology other than NILM, 0.4% of cases were referred to colposcopy and 4.2% to the follow-up in one year. In the follow-up HPV negativity and NILM cytology was present in 88.3% of attended women. Cases other than HPV negative and NILM were referred to colposcopy. One biopsy-proven histological HSIL was found in the first round and one in follow-up screening. More comprehensive genotyping of HSIL cases revealed genotypes 69 and 11. Only two HPV test negative cases with histological HSIL were revealed forming 0.04% of quality control group. In both cases, HPV genotype not included in screening tests was found. According to the results, the primary HPV test with cytology triage is an efficient and specific method for cervical cancer screening despite of the fact that some non-high-risk genotypes are missed.

Population-based randomized trial of screening for clinically significant prostate cancer ProScreen: a pilot study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the feasibility of a population-based screening trial using prostate-specific antigen (PSA), a kallikrein panel and multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) aimed at minimizing overdiagnosis, while retaining mortality benefit. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Feasibility of the screening algorithm was evaluated in terms of participation, screening test results and cancer detection. A random sample of 400 men aged 65 years was identified from the population registry and invited for screening with three stepwise tests (PSA, kallikrein panel and MRI). Men with PSA levels ≥3 ng/mL were further tested with the kallikrein panel, and those with positive findings (risk >7.5%) were referred for prostate MRI. Men with positive MRI (Prostate Imaging Reporting and Data System [PI-RADS] score 3-5) had targeted biopsies only. Men with negative MRI, but PSA density ≥0.15 underwent systematic biopsies. RESULTS: Of the 399 men invited, 158 (40%) participated and 27 had PSA levels ≥3 ng/mL (7% of the invited and 17% of the participants). Of these, 22 had a positive kallikrein panel (6% of the invited and 81% of the PSA-positive men). Finally, 10 men (3% of the invited and 45% of 4Kscore [kallikrein panel]-positive) had a suspicious MRI finding (PI-RADS score ≥3) and five were diagnosed with a clinically significant prostate cancer (Gleason Grade Group [GG] ≥2) at fusion biopsy (3% of the participants), with two GG 1 cases (1%). Additional testing (kallikrein panel and MRI) after PSA reduced biopsies by 56%. CONCLUSION: The findings constitute proof of principle for our screening protocol, as we achieved a substantial detection rate for clinically significant cancer with few clinically insignificant cases. Participation, however, was suboptimal.

Combined Longitudinal Clinical and Autopsy Phenomic Assessment in Lethal Metastatic Prostate Cancer: Recommendations for Advancing Precision Medicine.

BACKGROUND: Systematic identification of data essential for outcome prediction in metastatic prostate cancer (mPC) would accelerate development of precision oncology. OBJECTIVE: To identify novel phenotypes and features associated with mPC outcome, and to identify biomarker and data requirements to be tested in future precision oncology trials. DESIGN SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: We analyzed deep longitudinal clinical, neuroendocrine expression, and autopsy data of 33 men who died from mPC between 1995 and 2004 (PELICAN33), and related findings to mPC biomarkers reported in the literature. INTERVENTION: Thirty-three men prospectively consented to participate in an integrated clinical-molecular rapid autopsy study of mPC. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Data exploration with correction for multiple testing and survival analysis from the time of diagnosis to time to death and time to first occurrence of severe pain as outcomes were carried out. The effect of seven complications on the modeled probability of dying within 2 yr after presenting with the complication was evaluated using logistic regression. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Feature exploration revealed novel phenotypes related to mPC outcome. Four complications (pleural effusion, severe anemia, severe or controlled pain, and bone fracture) predict the likelihood of death within 2 yr. Men with Gleason grade group 5 cancers developed severe pain sooner than those with lower-grade tumors. Surprisingly, neuroendocrine (NE) differentiation was frequently observed in the setting of high serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels (≥30 ng/ml). In 4/33 patients, no controlled (requiring analgesics) or severe pain was detected, and strikingly, 14/15 metastatic sites studied in these men did not express NE markers, suggesting an inverse relationship between NE differentiation and pain in mPC. Intracranial subdural metastasis is common (36%) and is usually clinically undetected. Categorization of "skeletal-related events" complications used in recent studies likely obscures the understanding of spinal cord compression and fracture. Early death from prostate cancer was identified in a subgroup of men with a low longitudinal PSA bandwidth. Cachexia is common (body mass index <0.89 in 24/31 patients) but limited to the last year of life. Biomarker review identified 30 categories of mPC biomarkers in need of winnowing in future trials. All findings require validation in larger cohorts, preferably alongside data from this study. CONCLUSIONS: The study identified novel outcome subgroups for future validation and provides "vision for mPC precision oncology 2020-2050" draft recommendations for future data collection and biomarker studies. PATIENT SUMMARY: To better understand variation in metastatic prostate cancer behavior, we assembled and analyzed longitudinal clinical and autopsy records in 33 men. We identified novel outcomes, phenotypes, and aspects of disease burden to be tested and refined in future trials.

Prognostic Index for Predicting Prostate Cancer Survival in a Randomized Screening Trial: Development and Validation.

We developed and validated a prognostic index to predict survival from prostate cancer (PCa) based on the Finnish randomized screening trial (FinRSPC). Men diagnosed with localized PCa (N = 7042) were included. European Association of Urology risk groups were defined. The follow-up was divided into three periods (0-3, 3-9 and 9-20 years) for development and two corresponding validation periods (3-6 and 9-15 years). A multivariable complementary log-log regression model was used to calculate the full prognostic index. Predicted cause-specific survival at 10 years from diagnosis was calculated for the control arm using a simplified risk score at diagnosis. The full prognostic index discriminates well men with PCa with different survival. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.83 for both the 3-6 year and 9-15 year validation periods. In the simplified risk score, patients with a low risk score at diagnosis had the most favorable survival, while the outcome was poorest for the patients with high risk scores. The prognostic index was able to distinguish well between men with higher and lower survival, and the simplified risk score can be used as a basis for decision making.

Primary HPV screening for cervical cancer: Results after two screening rounds in a regional screening program in Finland.

INTRODUCTION: Since 2012, cervical cancer screening has been conducted with a primary high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) test and conventional cytology triage in the city of Tampere, Finland. The women who were screened with the hrHPV test in 2012 were invited to participate in the second screening round in 2017. The aim of the present report was to compare the number of colposcopy referrals and the number of histological high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (HSIL)+ (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia [CIN2+]) lesions between the first and second screening rounds of women of a specific age group who were screened twice with the hrHPV test. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The primary hrHPV test used was the RealTime hrHPV PCR assay by Abbott. Women with a positive hrHPV test and cytology triage equal to or worse than low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion or atypical glandular cells, favor neoplasia, were directly referred to colposcopy, whereas hrHPV-positive women with a negative or equivocal cytology triage were re-screened after approximately 12-16 months. hrHPV-negative women were scheduled for re-screening after 5 years. The present report focuses on the cohort of women who were screened twice with the hrHPV test, who were 35-55 years old in 2012, and 40-60 years old in 2017. RESULTS: In all, 8076 women were invited for HPV screening in 2012 and 8331 women were invited for the second round 5 years later, with attendance rates of 70% and 71%, respectively. Of the women who were screened in 2012, 4571 (69%) belonged to the 35- to 55-year age cohort. In 2017, 4807 (73%) of the women aged 40-60 years participated in the screening. In this cohort, 185 (4.0%) colposcopies were performed in the first screening round, compared with 139 (2.9%) in the second round, and the colposcopy rate was 29% smaller in the second round (P = .002). The number of histological HSIL+ cases was 38 (0.8%) during the first screening round and 29 (0.6%) during the second round (P = .220). CONCLUSIONS: In the setting of routine organized cervical cancer screening, the initially high colposcopy rate associated with primary HPV screening seems to level off at the second screening round in women who were screened twice with an hrHPV test.

Number of screening rounds attended and incidence of high-risk prostate cancer in the Finnish Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (FinRSPC).

BACKGROUND: The European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer has shown a 20% reduction in prostate cancer (PC) mortality by prostate-specific antigen-based screening. In addition, screening has been shown to reduce the risk of advanced PC. The objective of the current study was to analyze the impact of screening participation on the incidence of PC by risk group. METHODS: The participants in the screening arm of the Finnish trial (31,867 men) were classified according to screening attendance in a time-dependent fashion. Initially, all men in the screening arm were regarded as nonattenders until the first screening attendance; they then remained in the once-screened group until the second screen and similarly for the possible third round. The control arm formed the reference group. Follow-up started at randomization and ended at the time of diagnosis of PC, emigration, or the end of 2015. PC cases were divided into risk groups according to European Association of Urology definitions. RESULTS: The incidence of low-risk PC increased with the number of screens, whereas no clear relation with participation was noted in the intermediate-risk and high-risk cases. For patients with advanced PC, attending screening at least twice was associated with a lower risk. CONCLUSIONS: Screening reduces the risk of advanced PC after only 2 screening cycles. A single screen demonstrated no benefit in terms of PC incidence. Repeated screening is necessary to achieve screening advantages.

Long-term health-related quality of life among men with prostate cancer in the Finnish randomized study of screening for prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: The long-term health-related quality of life (HRQOL) impacts of PCa screening have not been adequately evaluated. We aimed to compare the generic and disease-specific health-related quality of life (HRQOL) among men with prostate cancer in the screening arm with the control arm of the PSA-based prostate cancer screening trial in up to 15 years of follow-up. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study was conducted within population-based Finnish Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (FinRSPC). During 1996-1999 80,458 men were randomized to the serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening arm (SA, N = 32 000) and the control arm (CA, N = 48 458). Men in the screening arm were screened at 4-year intervals until 2007. HRQOL questionnaires were delivered to newly diagnosed prostate cancer patients in the screening and control arm 1996-2006 (N = 5128) at the time of diagnosis (baseline), at 3-month, 12-month and 5, 10, and 15-year follow-up. Validated UCLA Prostate Cancer Index (UCLA-PCI) and RAND 36-Item Health Survey were used for HRQOL assessment. The data were analyzed with a random effects model for repeated measures. RESULTS: At baseline, men with prostate cancer in the screening arm reported better Sexual Function, as well as less Sexual and Urinary Bother. Long-term follow-up revealed slightly higher HRQOL scores in the screening arm in prostate cancer specific measures at 10-year post diagnosis, but the differences were statistically significant only in Urinary Bother (UCLA-PCI score 77.9; 95% CI 75.2 to 80.5 vs. 70.9; 95% CI 66.8 to 74.9 P = .005). The generic HRQOL scores were comparable between the trial arms. The overall differences in disease-specific or generic HRQOL scores by trial arm did not vary during the follow-up. CONCLUSION: No major differences were observed in HRQOL in men with prostate cancer between the prostate cancer screening and control arms during five to 15-year follow-up.

Patients' education level and treatment modality for prostate cancer in the Finnish Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer.

BACKGROUND: In prostate cancer (PCa), lower education level is associated with less screening, more advanced stage at diagnosis and worse survival. The aim of this study was to estimate the association between education level and treatment modality and subsequently survival. METHODS: The 9255 men diagnosed with PCa in the Finnish Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer were included. Cancer stage, comorbidity, education level and primary treatment modality were extracted from the patient records, the Finnish Cancer Registry, Statistics Finland and the National Institute of Health and Welfare, and these covariates were used in logistic regression (treatment selection) and Cox regression (survival analysis). RESULTS: In high-risk cancers, men with tertiary education were more likely to be treated with radical prostatectomy (odds ratio [OR] = 1.76; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.27-2.44) than men with primary education. Men with secondary (OR = 0.57; 95% CI = 0.38-0.84) or tertiary (OR = 0.42; 95% CI = 0.29-0.60) education were managed less frequently with mere hormonal therapy. In locally advanced cases, tertiary education was associated with more curatively aimed therapies and less hormonal therapy (OR for radical prostatectomy = 2.34; 95% CI = 1.49-3.66; OR for radiotherapy = 1.42; 95% CI = 1.09-1.85; OR for hormonal therapy = 0.45; 95% CI = 0.33-0.60). The hazard ratio for PCa death was lower in men with secondary (0.81; 95% CI = 0.69-0.95) and tertiary (0.75; 95% CI = 0.65-0.87) education than in the patients with primary education. CONCLUSIONS: When controlled for the cancer risk group, comorbidity and patient's age, low education level is independently associated with less curatively aimed treatment in men with high-risk or locally advanced PCa and subsequently worse prognosis.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of PSA-based mass screening: Evidence from a randomised controlled trial combined with register data.

In contrast to earlier studies which have used modelling to perform cost-effectiveness analysis, this study links data from a randomised controlled trial with register data from nationwide registries to reveal new evidence on costs, effectiveness, and cost-effectiveness of organised mass prostate-cancer screening based on prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing. Cost-effectiveness analyses were conducted with individual-level data on health-care costs from comprehensive registers and register data on real-world effectiveness from the two arms of the Finnish Randomised Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (FinRSPC), following 80,149 men from 1996 through 2015. The study examines cost-effectiveness in terms of overall mortality and, in addition, in terms of diagnosed men's mortality from prostate cancer and mortality with but not from prostate cancer. Neither arm of the FinRSPC was clearly more cost-effective in analysis in terms of overall mortality. Organised screening in the FinRSPC could be considered cost-effective in terms of deaths from prostate cancer: averting just over one death per 1000 men screened. However, even with an estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of below 20,000€ per death avoided, this result should not be considered in isolation. This is because mass screening in this trial also resulted in increases in death with, but not from, prostate cancer: with over five additional deaths per 1000 men screened. Analysis of real-world data from the FinRSPC reveals new evidence of the comparative effectiveness of PSA-based screening after 20 years of follow-up, suggesting the possibility of higher mortality, as well as higher healthcare costs, for screening-arm men who have been diagnosed with prostate cancer but who do not die from it. These findings should be corroborated or contradicted by similar analyses using data from other trials, in order to reveal if more diagnosed men have also died in the screening arms of other trials of mass screening for prostate cancer.

HIGH-RISK HPV testing as the primary screening method in an organized regional screening program for cervical cancer: the value of HPV16 and HPV18 genotyping?

Since 2012, testing high-risk (HR)HPV has been used as the primary screening test for women ≥35 years attending the organized cervical cancer screening program in the city of Tampere. We evaluated the contribution of HPV16/18 genotyping. Data from 2012 and 2013, and the follow-up samples in 2013 and 2014, respectively, were analyzed. Abbott RealTime High-Risk HPV test detecting 14 HRHPV genotypes combined with concurrent genotyping for HPV16 and HPV18 was used. HPV was positive in 794 samples out of 11 346 HPV tested women (7%). HPV16/18 was represented in 22% of HPV-positive cases. Negative cervical cytology (NILM) was reported in 51% of HPV-positive samples. HPV16/18 genotype was accompanied with 50% of HSIL/ASC-H cases. The predominance of HPV16/18 in higher grade lesions was even more evident in cervical biopsies as 57% of CIN3 cases were associated with HPV16/18, and only 20% of carcinomas were associated with nonspecified high-risk (NSHR) genotypes. In agreement with previous studies HPV16/18 genotypes caused higher grade cytological and histological changes/pathologies than NSHR genotypes in primary screening. Nevertheless, the majority of HRHPV genotypes detected in the screened population were nonHPV16/18, and especially within persistent infections, precancerous lesions were found also among women with NSHR genotypes.

A 16-yr Follow-up of the European Randomized study of Screening for Prostate Cancer.

BACKGROUND: The European Randomized study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) has previously demonstrated that prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening decreases prostate cancer (PCa) mortality. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether PSA screening decreases PCa mortality for up to 16yr and to assess results following adjustment for nonparticipation and the number of screening rounds attended. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This multicentre population-based randomised screening trial was conducted in eight European countries. Report includes 182160 men, followed up until 2014 (maximum of 16yr), with a predefined core age group of 162389 men (55-69yr), selected from population registry. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The outcome was PCa mortality, also assessed with adjustment for nonparticipation and the number of screening rounds attended. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: The rate ratio of PCa mortality was 0.80 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.72-0.89, p<0.001) at 16yr. The difference in absolute PCa mortality increased from 0.14% at 13yr to 0.18% at 16yr. The number of men needed to be invited for screening to prevent one PCa death was 570 at 16yr compared with 742 at 13yr. The number needed to diagnose was reduced to 18 from 26 at 13yr. Men with PCa detected during the first round had a higher prevalence of PSA >20ng/ml (9.9% compared with 4.1% in the second round, p<0.001) and higher PCa mortality (hazard ratio=1.86, p<0.001) than those detected subsequently. CONCLUSIONS: Findings corroborate earlier results that PSA screening significantly reduces PCa mortality, showing larger absolute benefit with longer follow-up and a reduction in excess incidence. Repeated screening may be important to reduce PCa mortality on a population level. PATIENT SUMMARY: In this report, we looked at the outcomes from prostate cancer in a large European population. We found that repeated screening reduces the risk of dying from prostate cancer.

Bias-corrected estimates of effects of PSA screening decisions on the risk of prostate cancer diagnosis and death: Analysis of the Finnish randomized study of screening for prostate cancer.

More information is needed about effects of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening for informed decision making. The objective of our study is to evaluate the effects of an implemented screening decision on the risk of prostate cancer (PC) diagnosis and PC death. In a randomized trial, 31,867 Finnish men aged 55-67 years were allocated to the screening arm and 48,282 to the control arm during 1996-1999. Two to three screening rounds were offered to the screening arm with a PSA cut-off of 4.0 ng/ml. A counterfactual exclusion method was used to adjust for the effects of screening noncompliance and PSA contamination on risk of PC death and PC incidence by prognostic group at 15 years of follow up. After correcting for noncompliance and contamination, PSA screening led to 32.4 (95% CI 26.4, 38.6) more PC diagnoses per 1,000 men after 15 years and 1.4 (95% CI 0.0, 2.8) fewer PC deaths compared to the control arm. The corresponding results of an intention-to-screen analysis were 16.5 (95% CI 12.3, 20.7) and 0.8 (95% CI 0.5, 2.0), respectively. These results can be used for patient counseling in informed decision making about PC screening. A limitation of the study was the lack of comprehensive data on contamination.

A Four-kallikrein Panel and ß-Microseminoprotein in Predicting High-grade Prostate Cancer on Biopsy: An Independent Replication from the Finnish Section of the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer.

BACKGROUND: A panel of four kallikrein markers (total, free, and intact prostate-specific antigen [PSA] and human kallikrein-related peptidase 2 [hK2]) improves predictive accuracy for Gleason score ≥7 (high-grade) prostate cancer among men biopsied for elevated PSA. A four-kallikrein panel model was originally developed and validated by the Dutch center of the European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC). The kallikrein panel is now commercially available as 4Kscore™. OBJECTIVE: To assess whether these findings could be replicated among participants in the Finnish section of ERSPC (FinRSPC) and whether ß-microseminoprotein (MSP), a candidate prostate cancer biomarker, adds predictive value. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Among 4861 biopsied screening-positive participants in the first three screening rounds of FinRSPC, a case-control subset was selected that included 1632 biopsy-positive cases matched by age at biopsy to biopsy-negative controls. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The predictive accuracy of prespecified prediction models was compared with biopsy outcomes. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: Among men with PSA of 4.0-25ng/ml, 1111 had prostate cancer, 318 of whom had high-grade disease. Total PSA and age predicted high-grade cancer with an area under the curve of 0.648 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.614-0.681) and the four-kallikrein panel increased discrimination to 0.746 (95% CI 0.717-0.774). Adding MSP to the four-kallikrein panel led to a significant (Wald test; p=0.015) but small increase (0.003) in discrimination. Limitations include a risk of verification bias among men with PSA of 3.0-3.99ng/ml and the absence of digital rectal examination results. CONCLUSIONS: These findings provide additional evidence that kallikrein markers can be used to inform biopsy decision-making. Further studies are needed to define the role of MSP. PATIENT SUMMARY: Four kallikrein markers and ß-microseminoprotein in blood improve discrimination of high-grade prostate cancer at biopsy in men with elevated prostate-specific antigen.

The Number of Screening Cycles Needed to Reduce Prostate Cancer Mortality in the Finnish Section of the European Randomized Study of Prostate Cancer (ERSPC).

PURPOSE: The European Randomized Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) has shown a 21% reduction in prostate cancer mortality by PSA-based screening. The aim of the study is to evaluate screening effect on prostate cancer incidence and mortality in relation to number of screening rounds attended.Experimental Design: The participants in the screening arm of the Finnish trial (31,867 men) were classified according to screening attendance in a time-dependent fashion. Initially, all men in the screening arm were regarded as nonattenders until the first screening attendance, then remained among the once-screened until the second screen and similarly for the possible third round. The control arm was the reference. Follow-up started at randomization and ended at death, emigration, or end of 2013. Prostate cancer incidence and mortality, as well lung cancer and overall mortality were evaluated. RESULTS: Prostate cancer incidence was increased among screened men, but was not directly related to the number of screening rounds. Prostate cancer mortality was decreased in men screened twice or three times, but did not materially differ in those who did not attend the screening, and in men screened once compared with the control arm. The largest mortality reduction was in men screened three times [HR 0.17; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.09-0.33]. However, a reduction was also seen in lung cancer (HR 0.59; 95% CI, 0.47-0.73) and overall mortality (HR 0.56; 95% CI, 0.52-0.60). CONCLUSIONS: Assuming a similar relative reduction being due to selection bias and screening in prostate cancer as other causes of death (40% reduction), approximately half of the observed prostate cancer mortality reduction by repeated screening is likely to be noncausal and a real screening effect may account for up to 40% reduction in men screened three times. Prostate cancer mortality reduction can only be achieved by repeated screening cycles.

Implementation of HPV-based cervical cancer screening in an organised regional screening programme: 3 years of experience.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to evaluate the performance of human papillomavirus (HPV)-based screening in the framework of an organised cervical cancer screening programme. METHODS: A total of 46 708 women aged 35-60 years invited to the regional cervical cancer screening programme from 1 January 2012, to 31 December 2014, were enrolled. Overall, 17 770 women were screened by the Abbot RealTime hrHPV test with cytology triage and 15 605 were screened by conventional (Papanicolaou, Pap) cytology. In both groups, women with at least low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions were referred directly for colposcopy, whereas HPV-positive women with borderline or normal cytology were invited to intensified screening in the following year. In the Pap group, the indication for intensified follow-up was borderline cytology. RESULTS: The attendance rate was similar in the HPV and Pap groups (72% and 71%, respectively). Overall, 6.0% of women in the HPV group vs 6.4% in the Pap group were referred to intensified follow-up (relative risk 0.94, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.87-1.03). At the index screening years, the relative sensitivity of the HPV test with cytology triage vs conventional screening was 1.64 (95% CI: 1.05-2.55) for CIN2+ and 2.06 (95% CI: 1.17-3.41) for CIN3+. The specificity of the hrHPV test with cytology triage for CIN2+ and CIN3+ was equal to that of the Pap screening (99.2% vs 99.2% for CIN2+ and 99.1% vs 99.1% for CIN3+). CONCLUSIONS: Due to its high sensitivity and specificity, primary hrHPV testing with cytology triage seems to be acceptable for cervical cancer screening in an organised setting.

Blood cholesterol, tumor clinical characteristics and risk of prostate cancer progression after radical prostatectomy.

OBJECTIVE: The effects of blood cholesterol levels on prostate cancer (PCa) prognosis are unclear. This study explored the associations between blood cholesterol levels and PCa clinical characteristics, including Gleason score and tumor, node, metastasis stage, as well as risk of PCa recurrence and death after radical prostatectomy. The association between statin-induced cholesterol decline and PCa prognosis was also studied. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study cohort consisted of 1314 PCa patients who underwent radical prostatectomy as primary management at the Tampere University Hospital between 1995 and 2009. The follow-up continued until the end of 2016. RESULTS: No associations between cholesterol and PCa severity were found. High-density lipoprotein (HDL) > 1 mmol/l and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) > 3 mmol/l were associated with reduced risk of all-cause death in time-dependent analysis. However, the risk association was short term as neither HDL or LDL measured 3 years earlier had an effect on PCa prognosis. Modest statin-induced cholesterol decline lowered the risk of PCa recurrence. Hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) by modest total cholesterol and LDL declines were 0.24 (0.09-0.60) and 0.31 (0.11-0.88), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The findings do not support cholesterol as a risk factor for PCa severity or prognosis after prostatectomy. Cholesterol decline by statin treatment was associated with improved recurrence-free survival compared to statin users whose cholesterol did not decline, which supports the importance of controlling for compliance with statin use when estimating the effects of statins in PCa.