Association Between Seizures and Neurodevelopmental Outcome at Two and Five Years in Asphyxiated Newborns With Therapeutic Hypothermia.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between the presence and severity of seizures in asphyxiated newborns and their neurodevelopmental outcome at ages two and five years. METHODS: Retrospective data analysis from a prospectively collected multicenter cohort of 186 term-born asphyxiated newborns undergoing therapeutic hypothermia (TH) in 11 centers in the Netherlands and Belgium. Seizures were diagnosed by amplitude-integrated electroencephalography (EEG) and raw EEG signal reading up to 48 hours after rewarming. Neurodevelopmental outcome was assessed by standardized testing at age two and five years. Primary outcome was death or long-term neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI) including cerebral palsy. Associations were calculated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses adjusting for Thompson score and a validated brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) score. RESULTS: Seventy infants (38%) had seizures during TH or rewarming, and 44 (63%) of these needed two or more antiseizure medications (ASMs). Overall mortality was 21%. Follow-up data from 147 survivors were available for 137 infants (93%) at two and for 94 of 116 infants (81%) at five years. NDI was present in 26% at two and five years. Univariate analyses showed a significant association between seizures and death or NDI, but this was no longer significant after adjusting for Thompson and MRI score in the multivariate analysis; this was also true for severe seizures (need for two or more ASMs) or seizures starting during rewarming. CONCLUSION: The presence or severity of seizures in newborns undergoing TH for hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy was not independently associated with death or NDI up to age five years after adjusting for several confounders.

Clinical Prediction Models and Predictors for Death or Adverse Neurodevelopmental Outcome in Term Newborns with Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy: A Systematic Review of the Literature.

BACKGROUND: Although many predictive parameters have been studied, an internationally accepted, validated predictive model to predict the clinical outcome of asphyxiated infants suffering from hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy is currently lacking. The aim of this study was to identify, appraise and summarize available clinical prediction models, and provide an overview of all investigated predictors for the outcome death or neurodevelopmental impairment in this population. METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed in Medline and Embase. Two reviewers independently included eligible studies and extracted data. The quality was assessed using PROBAST for prediction model studies and QUIPS assessment tools for predictor studies. RESULTS: A total of nine prediction models were included. These models were very heterogeneous in number of predictors assessed, methods of model derivation, and primary outcomes. All studies had a high risk of bias following the PROBAST assessment and low applicability due to complex model presentation. A total of 104 predictor studies were included investigating various predictors, showing tremendous heterogeneity in investigated predictors, timing of predictors, primary outcomes, results, and methodological quality according to QUIPS. Selected high-quality studies with accurate discriminating performance provide clinicians and researchers an evidence map of predictors for prognostication after HIE in newborns. CONCLUSION: Given the low methodological quality of the currently published clinical prediction models, implementation into clinical practice is not yet possible. Therefore, there is an urgent need to develop a prediction model which complies with the PROBAST guideline. An overview of potential predictors to include in a prediction model is presented.

Predictive performance of multiple organ dysfunction in asphyxiated newborns treated with therapeutic hypothermia on 24-month outcome: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Perinatal asphyxia may be followed by multiple organ dysfunction (MOD) and is often included in prognostication of the individual patient, but evidence of discriminating accuracy is lacking. The aim of this study was to assess whether MOD in asphyxiated neonates during therapeutic hypothermia (TH) predicts mortality or neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI) at 24 months of age and which peripartum variables are associated with the onset of MOD. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort study of asphyxiated newborns undergoing TH was performed. MOD was defined as dysfunction of the brain (encephalopathy) combined with two or more organ systems. Outcome was routinely assessed by standardised developmental testing at the age of 24 months. The predictive accuracy of MOD on the combined outcome and its components (death and NDI) was expressed as areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs). The associations of peripartum variables and development of MOD were expressed as ORs and their CIs. RESULTS: 189 infants (median gestation 40 (range 36-42 weeks) with moderate to severe hypoxic ischaemic encephalopathy were included. 47% developed MOD. The prediction of the combined 24-month outcome or its components showed AUROCs <0.70. Associated with MOD were pH at birth (OR 0.97, CI 0.95 to 0.99), lactate at birth (OR 1.09, CI 1.04 to 1.15), Base Excess (BE) at birth (OR 0.94, CI 0.90 to 0.99) and epinephrine administration during resuscitation (OR 2.09, CI 1.02 to 4.40). CONCLUSION: MOD has a low discriminating accuracy in predicting mortality or NDI at 24 months age and might not be useful for prognostication. Signs of acid-base disturbance and adrenalin use at birth are associated with the development of MOD.

Outcome Prediction and Inter-Rater Comparison of Four Brain Magnetic Resonance Imaging Scoring Systems of Infants with Perinatal Asphyxia and Therapeutic Hypothermia.

INTRODUCTION: The brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) result is a major predictor for the outcome of term infants with perinatal asphyxia who underwent therapeutic hypothermia. In daily practice, no uniform method is used to assess these images. PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to determine which MRI-score best predicts adverse outcome at 24 months of age and has the highest inter-rater reliability. METHODS: Four MRI scoring systems for term infants with perinatal asphyxia were selected: Rutherford score, Trivedi score, Weeke score, and NICHD NRN score. Experienced blinded raters retrospectively evaluated the brain MR Images of 161 infants using all four scoring systems. Long-term outcome (the composite outcome death or adverse outcome, and its separate components) were routinely assessed by standardized testing at the age of 24 months. The predictive accuracy was assessed by logistic regression analyses and expressed as area under the ROC curve (AUC). The inter-rater reliability of the scores was calculated by the weighted Kappa or intraclass correlation. A sensitivity analysis using only high-quality MRI scans was performed. RESULTS: All four MRI scoring systems demonstrated an AUC of >0.66 for the prediction of adverse outcome and ≥0.80 for the prediction of death. The inter-rater reliability analyses demonstrated the highest reliability for the Weeke and Trivedi scores. When only assessing the high-quality scans, the AUC increased further. CONCLUSION: All four MRI brain scores proved reliable predictors for an adverse outcome at 24 months of age. The Weeke and Trivedi score demonstrated the highest inter-rater reliability. The use of high-quality MRI further improved prediction.