Trajectory of extracellular fluid volume over time and subsequent risks of end-stage kidney disease and mortality in chronic kidney disease: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Extracellular fluid volume (ECF) is independently associated with chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression and mortality in patients with CKD, but the prognostic value of the trajectory of ECF over time beyond that of baseline value is unknown. OBJECTIVES: To characterize ECF trajectory and evaluate its association with the risks of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and mortality. METHODS: From the prospective tricentric NephroTest cohort, we included 1588 patients with baseline measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR) ≥15 mL min-1 /1.73 m2 and ECF measurement. ECF and GFR were measured repeatedly using the distribution volume and clearance of 51 Cr-EDTA, respectively. ESKD and mortality were traced through record linkage with the national registries. Adjusted shared random-effect joint models were used to analyse the association between the trajectory of ECF over time and the two competing outcomes. RESULTS: Patients were mean age 58.7 years, 66.7% men, mean mGFR of 43.6 ± 18.6 mL min-1 /1.73 m2 and mean ECF of 16.1 ± 3.6 L. Over a median follow-up of 5.3 [IQR: 3.0;7.4] years, ECF increased by 136 [95%CI 106;167] mL per year on average, whilst diuretic prescription and 24-hour urinary sodium excretion remained stable. ESKD occurred in 324 (20.4%) patients, and 185 (11.6%) patients died before ESKD. A higher current value of ECF was associated with increased hazards of ESKD (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.12 [95%CI 1.06;1.18]; P < 0.001 per 1 L increase in ECF), and death before ESKD (aHR: 1.10 [95%CI 1.04;1.17]; P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: The current value of ECF was associated with the risks of ESKD and mortality, independent of multiple potential confounders, including kidney function decline. This highlights the need for a close monitoring and adjustment of treatment to avoid fluid overload in CKD patients.

Is recipient's body mass index a determinant of short term complications in early renal transplantation?

OBJECTIVES: Obesity prevalence has increased over the past 20 years in the general population and among kidney transplant recipients. General surgical belief is that obesity increases surgical difficulty. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of Body Mass Index (BMI) on perioperative complications. METHODS: All kidney transplantations performed in adults in our centre from 2006 to 2011 were analysed. Data on patients' characteristics, surgical protocol, intra and postoperative complications and renal function were collected. Patients were divided into 4 groups as follows: underweight (BMI<18.5kg/m2), normal weight (18.5kg/m2≤BMI<25kg/m2), overweight (25kg/m2≤BMI<30kg/m2) and obese (BMI≥30kg/m2). We also studied the impact of BMI on complications using it as a continuous variable to identify potential threshold values. RESULTS: Among 694 patients included, 52% had normal BMI, 7%, 31% and 9% were underweight, overweight and obese, respectively. In multivariate analysis, overweight was significantly associated with longer operative time compared to normal-weight patients (estimated mean difference of 10,4min, 95% confidence interval (CI) [4.0; 16.9]) and obesity was associated with an increased risk of wound dehiscence (odds ratio 3.1, 95%CI [1.3; 7.3] compared with normal-weight patients). Considering BMI as a continuous variable, the risk of parietal dehiscence significantly increased beyond a BMI of 26kg/m2, intraoperative blood loss and the risk of ureteral stenosis beyond 32kg/m2 and the risk of abdominal wall hematoma beyond a BMI of 34kg/m2. CONCLUSIONS: We found BMI thresholds above which intraoperative blood loss and the risk of parietal dehiscence, ureteral stenosis, and parietal hematoma significantly increased. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 3.

High temperature effect on daily all-cause mortality in Tunis 2005-2007.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between thermal stress and health has been only marginally investigated in North Africa. This study aimed to estimate the short-term effect of heat on total mortality, in the city of Tunis in 2005-2007, using time series analysis. METHODS: The study period was restricted to the summer season (May-October) and heat effect was assessed using maximum temperature as exposure variable. We estimated the breakpoint above which heat-related mortality begins to increase using a segmented linear regression. A Poisson Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) model was then used to estimate the impact of heat on daily mortality. Models were adjusted for nitrogen dioxide (NO2), trend, calendar month, day of the week, the Ramadan period, and holidays. RESULTS: The estimated breakpoint was 31.5°C (standard deviation: 0.9°C). After adjustment for potential confounders, the daily mortality increased significantly by 2.00% [95% confidence interval: 0.68-3.16] for a 1°C increase in daily maximum temperature above the breakpoint. An increase of 10mg/m3 in NO2 was associated with a significant increase in daily mortality (0.48% [0.08-0.88]). CONCLUSION: There is an important effect of heat on daily mortality in the city of Tunis. This is the first evaluation of such an association in a North African city with hot and dry summers and a lower middle economy.

Alterations in comprehensive geriatric assessment decrease survival of elderly patients with cancer.

INTRODUCTION: A comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) evaluating several domains of health is recommended for elderly patients with cancer. Effects of altered domains on the risk of death in this population need to be clarified. The aim of this study was to estimate the independent association of each CGA domain to overall survival (OS). METHOD: Patients included in the ONCODAGE cohort completed a CGA at baseline. Cox models (one per domain) estimated the hazard ratio (HR) of death for each CGA domain. Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) selected specific sets of adjustment factors for each model. RESULTS: The analysis included 1264 patients (mean age: 78 years, women: 70%). Median follow-up was 5.2 years, and 446 patients died. Each altered domain had a detrimental effect on survival, sometimes dependent on gender, age, education or time from inclusion. Nutritional status had a time-varying effect, with higher mortality rates if altered only within the first 3 years of follow-up. In case of altered mobility, the risk of death was higher only for the youngest patients and, in case of altered autonomy, only for the youngest women. An altered neurological state led to higher mortality rates; this effect increased with the level of education. Patients with altered psychological status or more than four comorbidities at baseline had also higher mortality rates. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with an altered CGA domain have a higher risk of death than those without any alteration. The effect of some alterations is different in some subgroups or at a given time of the treatments.

Heavy smoking and lung cancer: are women at higher risk? Result of the ICARE study.

BACKGROUND: Whether women are more or equally susceptible to the carcinogenic effects of cigarette smoke on the lungs compared with men is a matter of controversy. Using a large French population-based case-control study, we compared the lung cancer risk associated with cigarette smoking by gender. METHODS: The study included 2276 male and 650 female cases and 2780 male and 775 female controls. Lifetime smoking exposure was represented by the comprehensive smoking index (CSI), which combines the duration, intensity and time since cessation of smoking habits. The analysis was conducted among the ever smokers. All of the models were adjusted for age, department (a regional administrative unit), education and occupational exposures. RESULTS: Overall, we found that the lung cancer risk was similar among men and women. However, we found that women had a two-fold greater risk associated with a one-unit increase in CSI than men of developing either small cell carcinoma (OR=15.9, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 7.6, 33.3 and 6.6, 95% CI 5.1, 8.5, respectively; P<0.05) or squamous cell carcinoma (OR=13.1, 95% CI 6.3, 27.3 and 6.1, 95% CI 5.0, 7.3, respectively; P<0.05). The association was similar between men and women for adenocarcinoma. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that heavy smoking might confer to women a higher risk of lung cancer as compared with men.

[Relationship between temperature and mortality in the city of Tunis: 2005-2007]. / Relation temperature-mortalite pour la ville de Tunis: 2005-2007.

The influence of thermal stress on health is proved. In the light of the current climate change this relationship should be extensively investigated. This study aims to describe the relationship between temperature and total mortality in the city of Tunis over a period of three years, from 2005 to 2007 using time series analysis. The form of the relation (crude and adjusted) between mortality and temperatures was investigated using Poisson generalized additive models (GAM). Confounders included in the models were pollutant, trend, calendar month, day of the week, the period of Ramadan, and holidays. The adjusted relationship between mortality and temperature was "V" shaped with a steeper slope for low temperatures than for high temperatures. The impact of heat on mortality will be further analyzed to refine our findings and to contribute to the elaboration of guidelines for preventive strategies.

The MISTELS program to measure technical skill in laparoscopic surgery : evidence for reliability.

BACKGROUND: The McGill Inanimate System for Training and Evaluation of Laparoscopic Skills (MISTELS) is a series of five tasks with an objective scoring system. The purpose of this study was to estimate the interrater and test-retest reliability of the MISTELS metrics and to assess their internal consistency. METHODS: To determine interrater reliability, two trained observers scored 10 subjects, either live or on tape. Test-retest reliability was assessed by having 12 subjects perform two tests, the second immediately following the first. Interrater and test-retest reliability were assessed using intraclass correlation coefficients. Internal consistency between tasks was estimated using Cronbach's alpha. RESULTS: The interrater and test-retest reliabilities for the total scores were both excellent at 0.998 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.985-1.00] and 0.892 (95% CI, 0.665-0.968), respectively. Cronbach's alpha for the first assessment of the test-retest was 0.86. CONCLUSIONS: The MISTELS metrics have excellent reliability, which exceeds the threshold level of 0.8 required for high-stakes evaluations. These findings support the use of MISTELS for evaluation in many different settings, including residency training programs.

A flexible modeling approach to estimating the component effects of smoking behavior on lung cancer.

OBJECTIVE: Despite the established causal association between cigarette smoking and lung cancer, the relative contributions of age started, duration, years since quitting, and daily amount smoked have not been well characterized. We estimated the contribution of each of these aspects of smoking behavior. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: A case-control study was conducted in Montreal on the etiology of lung cancer. There were 640 cases and 938 control subjects for whom lifetime smoking histories were collected. We used generalized additive models, incorporating cubic smoothing splines to model nonlinear effects of various smoking variables. We adopted a multistep approach to deal with the multicollinearity among time-related variables. RESULTS: The main findings are that (1) risk increases independently by daily amount and by duration; (2) among current smokers, lung cancer risk doubles for every 10 cigarettes per day up to 30 to 40 cigarettes per day and tails off thereafter; (3) among ex-smokers, the odds ratio decreases with increasing time since quitting, the rate of decrease being sharper among heavy smokers than among light smokers; and (4) absolute risks demonstrate the dramatic public health benefits of long-term smoking cessation. CONCLUSION: Our results reinforce some previous findings on this issue.

Increasing referral of at-risk travelers to travel health clinics: evaluation of a health promotion intervention targeted to travel agents.

BACKGROUND: Increases in travel-related illness require new partnerships to ensure travelers are prepared for health risks abroad. The travel agent is one such partner and efforts to encourage travel agents to refer at-risk travelers to travel health clinics may help in reducing travel-attributable morbidity. METHODS: A health promotion intervention encouraging travel agents to refer at-risk travelers to travel health clinics was evaluated. Information on the knowledge, attitudes, and behaviors of travel agents before and after the intervention was compared using two self-administered questionnaires. The Wilcoxon signed rank test was used to compare the mean difference in overall scores to evaluate the overall impact of the intervention and also subscores for each of the behavioral construct groupings (attitudes, barriers, intent, and subjective norms). Multiple regression techniques were used to evaluate which travel agent characteristics were independently associated with a stronger effect of the intervention. RESULTS: A small improvement in travel agents overall attitudes and beliefs (p =.03) was found, in particular their intention to refer (p =.01). Sixty-five percent of travel agents self-reported an increase in referral behavior; owners or managers of the agency were significantly more likely to do so than other travel agents (OR = 7.25; 95% CI: 1.64 32.06). Older travel agents, those that worked longer hours and those with some past referral experience, had significantly higher post-intervention scores. CONCLUSIONS: Travel agents can be willing partners in referral, and agencies should be encouraged to develop specific referral policies. Future research may be directed toward investigating the role of health education in certification curricula, the effectiveness of different types of health promotion interventions, including Internet-facilitated interventions, and the direct impact that such interventions would have on travelers attending travel health clinics.