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This study leverages data from a Canadian database of primary care Electronic Medical Records to develop machine learning models predicting type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D), prediabetes, or normoglycemia. These models are used as a basis for extracting counterfactual explanations and derive personalized changes in biomarkers to prevent T2D onset, particularly in the still reversible prediabetic state. The models achieve satisfactory performance. Furthermore, feature importance analysis underscores the significance of fasting blood sugar and glycated hemoglobin, while counterfactuals explanations emphasize the centrality of keeping body mass index and cholesterol indicators within or close to the clinically desirable ranges. This research highlights the potential of machine learning and counterfactual explanations in guiding preventive interventions that may help slow down the progression from prediabetes to T2D on an individual basis, eventually fostering a recovery from prediabetes to a normoglycemic state.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Aprendizaje Automático , Estado Prediabético , Humanos , Canadá , Biomarcadores/sangreRESUMEN
The WHISPER (Widespread Hearing Impairment Screening and PrEvention of Risk) platform was recently developed for screening for hearing loss (HL) and cognitive decline in adults. It includes a battery of tests (a risk factors (RF) questionnaire, a language-independent speech-in-noise test, and cognitive tests) and provides a pass/fail outcome based on the analysis of several features. Earlier studies demonstrated high accuracy of the speech-in-noise test for predicting HL in 350 participants. In this study, preliminary results from the RF questionnaire (137 participants) and from the visual digit span test (DST) (78 participants) are presented. Despite the relatively small sample size, these findings indicate that the RF and DST may provide additional features that could be useful to characterize the overall individual profile, providing additional knowledge related to short-term memory performance and overall risk of HL and cognitive decline. Future research is needed to expand number of subjects tested, number of features analyzed, and the range of algorithms (including supervised and unsupervised machine learning) used to identify novel measures able to predict the individual hearing and cognitive abilities, also including components related to the individual risk.
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Disfunción Cognitiva , Sordera , Pérdida Auditiva , Percepción del Habla , Adulto , Humanos , Pérdida Auditiva/diagnóstico , Pérdida Auditiva/prevención & control , Disfunción Cognitiva/diagnóstico , Disfunción Cognitiva/prevención & control , RuidoRESUMEN
Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2D) is a chronic health condition that affects millions of people globally. Early identification of risk can support preventive intervention and therefore slow down disease progression. Risk characterization is also necessary to monitor the mechanisms behind the pathology through the analysis of the interrelationships between the predictors and their time course. In this work, a multi-input multi-output Gaussian Process model is proposed to describe the evolution of different biomarkers in patients who will/will not develop T2D considering the interdependencies between outputs. The preliminary results obtained suggest that the trends in biomarkers captured by the model are coherent with the literature and with real-world data, demonstrating the value of multi-input multi-output approaches. In future developments, the proposed method could be applied to assess how the biomarkers evolve and interact with each other in groups of patients having in common one or more risk factors.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Factores de Riesgo , Progresión de la Enfermedad , BiomarcadoresRESUMEN
The aim of this study is to characterize the performance of an inclination analysis for predicting the onset of heart failure (HF) from routinely collected clinical biomarkers extracted from primary care electronic medical records. A balanced dataset of 698 patients (with/without HF), including a minimum of five longitudinal measures of nine biomarkers (body mass index, diastolic and systolic blood pressure, fasting glucose, glycated hemoglobin, low-density and high-density lipoproteins, total cholesterol, and triglycerides) is used. The proposed algorithm achieves an accuracy of 0.89 (sensitivity of 0.89, specificity of 0.90) to predict the inclination of biomarkers (i.e., their trend towards a 'survival' or 'collapse' as defined by an inclination analysis) on a labeled, balanced dataset of 40 patients. Decision trees trained on the predicted inclination of biomarkers have significantly higher recall (0.69 vs. 0.53) and significantly higher negative predictive value (0.60 vs. 0.55) than those trained on the average values computed from the measures of biomarkers available before the onset of the disease, suggesting that an inclination analysis can help identify the onset of HF in the primary care patient population from routinely available clinical data. This exploratory study provides the basis for further investigations of inclination analyses to identify at-risk patients and generate preventive measures (i.e., personalized recommendations to reverse the trend of biomarkers towards collapse).
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Registros Electrónicos de Salud , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Humanos , Aprendizaje Automático , Biomarcadores , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Atención Primaria de SaludRESUMEN
The aim of this study is to apply and characterize eXplainable AI (XAI) to assess the quality of synthetic health data generated using a data augmentation algorithm. In this exploratory study, several synthetic datasets are generated using various configurations of a conditional Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) from a set of 156 observations related to adult hearing screening. A rule-based native XAI algorithm, the Logic Learning Machine, is used in combination with conventional utility metrics. The classification performance in different conditions is assessed: models trained and tested on synthetic data, models trained on synthetic data and tested on real data, and models trained on real data and tested on synthetic data. The rules extracted from real and synthetic data are then compared using a rule similarity metric. The results indicate that XAI may be used to assess the quality of synthetic data by (i) the analysis of classification performance and (ii) the analysis of the rules extracted on real and synthetic data (number, covering, structure, cut-off values, and similarity). These results suggest that XAI can be used in an original way to assess synthetic health data and extract knowledge about the mechanisms underlying the generated data.
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Algoritmos , Inteligencia Artificial , Humanos , Adulto , Benchmarking , ConocimientoRESUMEN
The explosion of artificial intelligence methods has paved the way for more sophisticated smart mobility solutions. In this work, we present a multi-camera video content analysis (VCA) system that exploits a single-shot multibox detector (SSD) network to detect vehicles, riders, and pedestrians and triggers alerts to drivers of public transportation vehicles approaching the surveilled area. The evaluation of the VCA system will address both detection and alert generation performance by combining visual and quantitative approaches. Starting from a SSD model trained for a single camera, we added a second one, under a different field of view (FOV) to improve the accuracy and reliability of the system. Due to real-time constraints, the complexity of the VCA system must be limited, thus calling for a simple multi-view fusion method. According to the experimental test-bed, the use of two cameras achieves a better balance between precision (68%) and recall (84%) with respect to the use of a single camera (i.e., 62% precision and 86% recall). In addition, a system evaluation in temporal terms is provided, showing that missed alerts (false negatives) and wrong alerts (false positives) are typically transitory events. Therefore, adding spatial and temporal redundancy increases the overall reliability of the VCA system.
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Despite the growing availability of artificial intelligence models for predicting type 2 diabetes, there is still a lack of personalized approaches to quantify minimum viable changes in biomarkers that may help reduce the individual risk of developing disease. The aim of this article is to develop a new method, based on counterfactual explanations, to generate personalized recommendations to reduce the one-year risk of type 2 diabetes. Ten routinely collected biomarkers extracted from Electronic Medical Records of 2791 patients at low risk and 2791 patients at high risk of type 2 diabetes were analyzed. Two regions characterizing the two classes of patients were estimated using a Support Vector Data Description classifier. Counterfactual explanations (i.e., minimal changes in input features able to change the risk class) were generated for patients at high risk and evaluated using performance metrics (availability, validity, actionability, similarity, and discriminative power) and a qualitative survey administered to seven expert clinicians. Results showed that, on average, the requested minimum viable changes implied a significant reduction of fasting blood sugar, systolic blood pressure, and triglycerides and a significant increase of high-density lipoprotein in patients at risk of diabetes. A significant reduction in body mass index was also recommended in most of the patients at risk, except in females without hypertension. In general, greater changes were recommended in hypertensive patients compared to non-hypertensive ones. The experts were overall satisfied with the proposed approach although in some cases the proposed recommendations were deemed insufficient to reduce the risk in a clinically meaningful way. Future research will focus on a larger set of biomarkers and different comorbidities, also incorporating clinical guidelines whenever possible. Development of additional mathematical and clinical validation approaches will also be of paramount importance.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Femenino , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/prevención & control , Inteligencia Artificial , Biomarcadores , Índice de Masa Corporal , Registros Electrónicos de SaludRESUMEN
PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to analyze the performance of multivariate machine learning (ML) models applied to a speech-in-noise hearing screening test and investigate the contribution of the measured features toward hearing loss detection using explainability techniques. METHOD: Seven different ML techniques, including transparent (i.e., decision tree and logistic regression) and opaque (e.g., random forest) models, were trained and evaluated on a data set including 215 tested ears (99 with hearing loss of mild degree or higher and 116 with no hearing loss). Post hoc explainability techniques were applied to highlight the role of each feature in predicting hearing loss. RESULTS: Random forest (accuracy = .85, sensitivity = .86, specificity = .85, precision = .84) performed, on average, better than decision tree (accuracy = .82, sensitivity = .84, specificity = .80, precision = .79). Support vector machine, logistic regression, and gradient boosting had similar performance as random forest. According to post hoc explainability analysis on models generated using random forest, the features with the highest relevance in predicting hearing loss were age, number and percentage of correct responses, and average reaction time, whereas the total test time had the lowest relevance. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that a multivariate approach can help detect hearing loss with satisfactory performance. Further research on a bigger sample and using more complex ML algorithms and explainability techniques is needed to fully investigate the role of input features (including additional features such as risk factors and individual responses to low-/high-frequency stimuli) in predicting hearing loss.
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Sordera , Pérdida Auditiva , Algoritmos , Pérdida Auditiva/diagnóstico , Humanos , Aprendizaje Automático , Ruido , HablaRESUMEN
Type 2 diabetes mellitus is a metabolic disorder of glucose management, whose prevalence is increasing inexorably worldwide. Adherence to therapies, along with a healthy lifestyle can help prevent the onset of disease. This preliminary study proposes the use of explainable artificial intelligence techniques with the aim of (i) characterizing diabetic patients through a set of easily interpretable rules and (ii) providing individualized recommendations for the prevention of the onset of the disease through the generation of counterfactual explanations, based on minimal variations of biomarkers routinely collected in primary care. The results of this preliminary study parallel findings from the literature as differences in biomarkers between patients with and without diabetes are observed for fasting blood sugar, body mass index, and high-density lipoprotein levels.
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Inteligencia Artificial , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Biomarcadores , Estilo de Vida Saludable , HumanosRESUMEN
Many studies in literature successfully use classification algorithms to classify emotions by means of physiological signals. However, there are still important limitations in interpretability of the results, i.e. lack of feature specific characterizations for each emotional state. To this extent, our study proposes a feature selection method that allows to determine the most informative subset of features extracted from physiological signals by maintaining their original dimensional space. Results show that features from the galvanic skin response are confirmed to be relevant in separating the arousal dimension, especially fear from happiness and relaxation. Furthermore, the average and the median value of the galvanic skin response signal together with the ratio between SD1 and SD2 from the Poincarè analysis of the electrocardiogram signal, were found to be the most important features for the discrimination along the valence dimension. A Linear Discriminant Analysis model using the first ten features sorted by importance, as defined by their ability to discriminate emotions with a bivariate approach, led to a three-class test accuracy in discriminating happiness, relaxation and fear equal to 72%, 67% and 89% respectively.Clinical relevance This study demonstrates the ability of physiological signals to assess the emotional state of different subjects, by providing a fast and efficient method to select most important indexes from the autonomic nervous system. The approach has high clinical relevance as it could be extended to assess other emotional states (e.g. stress and pain) characterizing pathological states such as post traumatic stress disorder and depression.
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Nivel de Alerta , Respuesta Galvánica de la Piel , Algoritmos , Emociones , HumanosRESUMEN
One of the current gaps in teleaudiology is the lack of methods for adult hearing screening viable for use in individuals of unknown language and in varying environments. We have developed a novel automated speech-in-noise test that uses stimuli viable for use in non-native listeners. The test reliability has been demonstrated in laboratory settings and in uncontrolled environmental noise settings in previous studies. The aim of this study was: (i) to evaluate the ability of the test to identify hearing loss using multivariate logistic regression classifiers in a population of 148 unscreened adults and (ii) to evaluate the ear-level sound pressure levels generated by different earphones and headphones as a function of the test volume. The multivariate classifiers had sensitivity equal to 0.79 and specificity equal to 0.79 using both the full set of features extracted from the test as well as a subset of three features (speech recognition threshold, age, and number of correct responses). The analysis of the ear-level sound pressure levels showed substantial variability across transducer types and models, with earphones levels being up to 22 dB lower than those of headphones. Overall, these results suggest that the proposed approach might be viable for hearing screening in varying environments if an option to self-adjust the test volume is included and if headphones are used. Future research is needed to assess the viability of the test for screening at a distance, for example by addressing the influence of user interface, device, and settings, on a large sample of subjects with varying hearing loss.