Impact of renal function variability on long-term prognosis in ischemic stroke patients with atrial fibrillation.

Background: Although renal dysfunction is associated with adverse clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) following stroke, the impact of renal function variability is unclear. Aim: This study aimed to assess the association between renal function variability and various adverse clinical outcomes in patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA)/ischemic stroke and atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods: We conducted a population-based study and retrospectively identified patients hospitalized with a diagnosis of TIA/ischemic stroke and AF during 2016-2020 using the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System of Hong Kong. Serial serum creatinine tested upon the onset of TIA/ischemic stroke and during their subsequent follow-up was collected. Renal function variability was calculated using the coefficient of variation of the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Clinical endpoints that occurred during the study period were captured and included ischemic stroke/systemic embolism, intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), total bleeding, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), cardiovascular, non-cardiovascular, and all-cause mortality. Competing risk regression and Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to assess the associations of renal function variability with the outcomes of interest. Results: A total of 3,809 patients (mean age 80 ± 10 years, 43% men) who satisfied the inclusion and exclusion criteria were followed up for a mean of 2.5 ± 1.5 years (9,523 patient-years). The mean eGFR was 66 ± 22 mL/min/1.73 m2 at baseline, and the median number of renal function tests per patient during the follow-up period was 20 (interquartile range 11-35). After accounting for potential confounders, a greater eGFR variability was associated with increased risks of recurrent ischemic stroke/systemic embolism [fully adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio 1.11, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.03-1.20], ICH (1.17, 1.01-1.36), total bleeding (1.13, 1.06-1.21), MACE (1.22, 1.15-1.30), cardiovascular (1.49, 1.32-1.69), non-cardiovascular (1.43, 1.35-1.52), and all-cause mortality (fully adjusted hazard ratio 1.44, 1.39-1.50). Conclusion: Visit-to-visit renal function variability is independently associated with adverse clinical outcomes in TIA/ischemic stroke patients with AF. Further large-scale studies are needed to validate our results.

Association of LDL-cholesterol <1.8 mmol/L and statin use with the recurrence of intracerebral hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: Recent intensive low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) lowering trials, including FOURIER, ODYSSEY OUTCOMES, and Treat Stroke to Target (TST) trials, have mostly refuted the concern surrounding statin use, LDL-C lowering, and intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) risk. However, the results from these trials may not be fully applied to ICH survivors, as the populations studied were mainly patients without prior ICH, in whom the inherent ICH risk is more than 10 times lower than that of ICH survivors. Although available literature on statin use after ICH has demonstrated no excess risk of recurrent ICH, other potential factors that may modify ICH risk, especially hypertension control and ICH etiology, have not generally been considered. Notably, data on LDL-C levels following ICH are lacking. AIMS: We aim to investigate the association between LDL-C levels and statin use with ICH risk among ICH survivors, and to determine whether the risk differed with patients' characteristics, especially ICH etiology. METHODS: Follow-up data of consecutive spontaneous ICH survivors enrolled in the University of Hong Kong prospective stroke registry from 2011 to 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. ICH etiology was classified as cerebral amyloid angiopathy (CAA) using the modified Boston criteria or hypertensive arteriopathy, while the mean follow-up LDL-C value was categorized as <1.8 or ⩾1.8 mmol/L. The primary endpoint was recurrent ICH. The association of LDL-C level and statin use with recurrent ICH was determined using multivariable Cox regression. Pre-specified subgroup analyses were performed, including based on ICH etiology and statin prescription. Follow-up blood pressure was included in all the regression models. RESULTS: In 502 ICH survivors (mean age = 64.2 ± 13.5 years, mean follow-up LDL-C = 2.2 ± 0.6 mmol/L, 28% with LDL-C <1.8 mmol/L), 44 had ICH recurrence during a mean follow-up of 5.9 ± 2.8 years. Statin use after ICH was not associated with recurrent ICH (adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) = 1.07, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.57-2.00). The risk of ICH recurrence was increased for follow-up LDL-C <1.8 mmol/L (AHR = 1.99, 95% CI = 1.06-3.73). This association was predominantly observed in ICH attributable to CAA (AHR = 2.52, 95% CI = 1.06-5.99) and non-statin users (AHR = 2.91, 95% CI = 1.08-7.86). CONCLUSION: The association between post-ICH LDL-C <1.8 mmol/L and recurrent ICH was predominantly observed in CAA patients and those with intrinsically low LDL-C (non-statin users). While statins can be safely prescribed in ICH survivors, LDL-C targets should be individualized and caution must be exercised in CAA patients.

Prevalence and predictors of depressive symptoms among caregivers of patients with epilepsy in Hong Kong.

STUDY AIM: To estimate the prevalence of high caregiving burden and depressive symptoms among caregivers (CG) of patients with epilepsy (PWEs) in Hong Kong and identify risk and protective factors for both outcomes after the Model of Stress and Carer Burden (MSCB). METHODS: This cross-sectional study recruited participants from local epilepsy clinics to complete a 15-minute survey on a tablet. Caregiving burden (CB) was assessed using the 4-item Zarit Caregiver Burden Interview. Depressive symptoms were assessed using the 2-item Patient Health Questionnaire. Family functioning was assessed using the Short-Form Family Assessment Device General Functioning Subscale. Sociodemographic data of the caregivers and clinical data of the PWE they cared for were described. Hierarchical logistic regression models were used to analyze the factors associated with the outcomes. RESULTS: A hundred and fifty-one CGs of PWEs were recruited for this study. The prevalence of high caregiving burden (ZBI-4 > 7) for CGs of PWEs was 58.9% (n = 89), whereas the prevalence of high depressive symptoms (PHQ2 > 2) was 23.8% (n = 36). Hierarchical logistic regression analysis revealed that entering patient characteristics and care situations did not enhance the model's predictability. In the full model, a high perceived CB was a risk factor for elevated depressive symptoms. Good physical health protects against depressive symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: Among caregivers of PWE in Hong Kong, a high perceived caregiving burden was a risk factor for elevated depressive symptoms; however, the clinical characteristics of the PWEs were not. Self-reported physical health is a protective factor against increased depressive symptoms.

Simulating contact networks for livestock disease epidemiology: a systematic review.

Contact structure among livestock populations influences the transmission of infectious agents among them. Models simulating realistic contact networks therefore have important applications for generating insights relevant to livestock diseases. This systematic review identifies and compares such models, their applications, data sources and how their validity was assessed. From 52 publications, 37 models were identified comprising seven model frameworks. These included mathematical models (n = 8; including generalized random graphs, scale-free, Watts-Strogatz and spatial models), agent-based models (n = 8), radiation models (n = 1) (collectively, considered 'mechanistic'), gravity models (n = 4), exponential random graph models (n = 9), other forms of statistical model (n = 6) (statistical) and random forests (n = 1) (machine learning). Overall, nearly half of the models were used as inputs for network-based epidemiological models. In all models, edges represented livestock movements, sometimes alongside other forms of contact. Statistical models were often applied to infer factors associated with network formation (n = 12). Mechanistic models were commonly applied to assess the interaction between network structure and disease dissemination (n = 6). Mechanistic, statistical and machine learning models were all applied to generate networks given limited data (n = 13). There was considerable variation in the approaches used for model validation. Finally, we discuss the relative strengths and weaknesses of model frameworks in different use cases.

Location-Specific Hematoma Volume Cutoff and Clinical Outcomes in Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: Major intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) trials have largely been unable to demonstrate therapeutic benefit in improving functional outcomes. This may be partly due to the heterogeneity of ICH outcomes based on their location, where a small strategic ICH could be debilitating, thus confounding therapeutic effects. We aimed to determine the ideal hematoma volume cutoff for different ICH locations in predicting ICH outcomes. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed consecutive ICH patients enrolled in the University of Hong Kong prospective stroke registry from January 2011 to December 2018. Patients with premorbid modified Rankin Scale score >2 or who underwent neurosurgical intervention were excluded. ICH volume cutoff, sensitivity, and specificity in predicting respective 6-month neurological outcomes (good [modified Rankin Scale score 0-2], poor [modified Rankin Scale score 4-6], and mortality) for specific ICH locations were determined using receiver operating characteristic curves. Separate multivariate logistic regression models were also conducted for each location-specific volume cutoff to determine whether these cutoffs were independently associated with respective outcomes. RESULTS: Among 533 ICHs, the volume cutoff for good outcome according to ICH location was 40.5 mL for lobar, 32.5 mL for putamen/external capsule, 5.5 mL for internal capsule/globus pallidus, 6.5 mL for thalamus, 17 mL for cerebellum, and 3 mL for brainstem. ICH smaller than the cutoff for all supratentorial sites had higher odds of good outcomes (all P<0.05). Volumes exceeding 48 mL for lobar, 41 mL for putamen/external capsule, 6 mL for internal capsule/globus pallidus, 9.5 mL for thalamus, 22 mL for cerebellum, and 7.5 mL for brainstem were at greater risk of poor outcomes (all P<0.05). Mortality risks were significantly higher for volumes that exceeded 89.5 mL for lobar, 42 mL for putamen/external capsule, and 21 mL for internal capsule/globus pallidus (all P<0.001). All receiver operating characteristic models for location-specific cutoffs had good discriminant values (area under the curve >0.8), except in predicting good outcome for cerebellum. CONCLUSIONS: ICH outcomes differed with location-specific hematoma size. Location-specific volume cutoff should be considered in patient selection for ICH trials.

Social contact patterns relevant for infectious disease transmission in Cambodia.

Social mixing patterns are key determinants of infectious disease transmission. Mathematical models parameterised with empirical data from contact pattern surveys have played an important role in understanding epidemic dynamics and informing control strategies, including for SARS-CoV-2. However, there is a paucity of data on social mixing patterns in many settings. We conducted a community-based survey in Cambodia in 2012 to characterise mixing patterns and generate setting-specific contact matrices according to age and urban/rural populations. Data were collected using a diary-based approach from 2016 participants, selected by stratified random sampling. Contact patterns were highly age-assortative, with clear intergenerational mixing between household members. Both home and school were high-intensity contact settings, with 27.7% of contacts occurring at home with non-household members. Social mixing patterns differed between rural and urban residents; rural participants tended to have more intergenerational mixing, and a higher number of contacts outside of home, work or school. Participants had low spatial mobility, with 88% of contacts occurring within 1 km of the participants' homes. These data broaden the evidence-base on social mixing patterns in low and middle-income countries and Southeast Asia, and highlight within-country heterogeneities which may be important to consider when modelling the dynamics of pathogens transmitted via close contact.

Is Xenopus laevis introduction linked with Ranavirus incursion, persistence and spread in Chile?

Ranaviruses have been associated with amphibian, fish and reptile mortality events worldwide and with amphibian population declines in parts of Europe. Xenopus laevis is a widespread invasive amphibian species in Chile. Recently, Frog virus 3 (FV3), the type species of the Ranavirus genus, was detected in two wild populations of this frog near Santiago in Chile, however, the extent of ranavirus infection in this country remains unknown. To obtain more information about the origin of ranavirus in Chile, its distribution, species affected, and the role of invasive amphibians and freshwater fish in the epidemiology of ranavirus, a surveillance study comprising wild and farmed amphibians and wild fish over a large latitudinal gradient (2,500 km) was carried out in 2015-2017. In total, 1,752 amphibians and 496 fish were tested using a ranavirus-specific qPCR assay, and positive samples were analyzed for virus characterization through whole genome sequencing of viral DNA obtained from infected tissue. Ranavirus was detected at low viral loads in nine of 1,011 X. laevis from four populations in central Chile. No other amphibian or fish species tested were positive for ranavirus, suggesting ranavirus is not threatening native Chilean species yet. Phylogenetic analysis of partial ranavirus sequences showed 100% similarity with FV3. Our results show a restricted range of ranavirus infection in central Chile, coinciding with X. laevis presence, and suggest that FV3 may have entered the country through infected X. laevis, which appears to act as a competent reservoir host, and may contribute to the spread the virus locally as it invades new areas, and globally through the pet trade.

Blood Pressure Control Targets and Risk of Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Events After Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) survivors are at high risk for recurrent stroke and cardiovascular events. Blood pressure (BP) control represents the most potent intervention to lower these risks, but optimal treatment targets in this patient population remain unknown. We sought to determine whether survivors of ICH achieving more intensive BP control than current guideline recommendations (systolic BP <130 mmHg and diastolic BP <80 mmHg) were at lower risk of major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events and mortality. METHODS: We analyzed data for 1828 survivors of spontaneous ICH from 2 cohort studies. Follow-up BP measurements were recorded 3 and 6 months after ICH, and every 6 months thereafter. Outcomes of interest were major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (recurrent ICH, incident ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction), vascular mortality (defined as mortality attributed to recurrent ICH, ischemic stroke, or myocardial infarction), and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 46.2 months, we observed 166 recurrent ICH, 68 ischemic strokes, 69 myocardial infarction, and 429 deaths. Compared with survivors of ICH with systolic BP 120 to 129 mmHg, participants who achieved systolic BP <120 mmHg displayed reduced risk of recurrent ICH (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 0.74 [95% CI, 0.59-0.94]) and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (AHR, 0.69 [95% CI, 0.53-0.92]). All-cause mortality (AHR, 0.76 [95% CI, 0.57-1.03]) and vascular mortality (AHR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.45-1.01]) did not differ significantly. Among participants aged >75 years or with modified Rankin Scale score 4 to 5, systolic BP <120 mmHg was associated with increased all-cause mortality (AHR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.02-1.85] and AHR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.03-1.78], respectively), but not vascular mortality. We found no differences in outcome rates between survivors of ICH with diastolic BP <70 versus 70 to 79 mmHg. CONCLUSIONS: Targeting systolic BP <120 mmHg in select groups of survivors of ICH could result in decreased major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events risk without increasing mortality. Our findings warrant investigation in dedicated randomized controlled trials.

Adjuvant atezolizumab versus placebo for patients with renal cell carcinoma at increased risk of recurrence following resection (IMmotion010): a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: The standard of care for locoregional renal cell carcinoma is surgery, but many patients experience recurrence. The objective of the current study was to determine if adjuvant atezolizumab (vs placebo) delayed recurrence in patients with an increased risk of recurrence after resection. METHODS: IMmotion010 is a randomised, double-blind, multicentre, phase 3 trial conducted in 215 centres in 28 countries. Eligible patients were patients aged 18 years or older with renal cell carcinoma with a clear cell or sarcomatoid component and increased risk of recurrence. After nephrectomy with or without metastasectomy, patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive atezolizumab (1200 mg) or placebo (both intravenous) once every 3 weeks for 16 cycles or 1 year. Randomisation was done with an interactive voice-web response system. Stratification factors were disease stage (T2 or T3a vs T3b-c or T4 or N+ vs M1 no evidence of disease), geographical region (north America [excluding Mexico] vs rest of the world), and PD-L1 status on tumour-infiltrating immune cells (<1% vs ≥1% expression). The primary endpoint was investigator-assessed disease-free survival in the intention-to-treat population, defined as all patients who were randomised, regardless of whether study treatment was received. The safety-evaluable population included all patients randomly assigned to treatment who received any amount of study drug (ie, atezolizumab or placebo), regardless of whether a full or partial dose was received. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03024996, and is closed to further accrual. FINDINGS: Between Jan 3, 2017, and Feb 15, 2019, 778 patients were enrolled; 390 (50%) were assigned to the atezolizumab group and 388 (50%) to the placebo group. At data cutoff (May 3, 2022), the median follow-up duration was 44·7 months (IQR 39·1-51·0). Median investigator-assessed disease-free survival was 57·2 months (95% CI 44·6 to not evaluable) with atezolizumab and 49·5 months (47·4 to not evaluable) with placebo (hazard ratio 0·93, 95% CI 0·75-1·15, p=0·50). The most common grade 3-4 adverse events were hypertension (seven [2%] patients who received atezolizumab vs 15 [4%] patients who received placebo), hyperglycaemia (ten [3%] vs six [2%]), and diarrhoea (two [1%] vs seven [2%]). 69 (18%) patients who received atezolizumab and 46 (12%) patients who received placebo had a serious adverse event. There were no treatment-related deaths. INTERPRETATION: Atezolizumab as adjuvant therapy after resection for patients with renal cell carcinoma with increased risk of recurrence showed no evidence of improved clinical outcomes versus placebo. These study results do not support adjuvant atezolizumab for treatment of renal cell carcinoma. FUNDING: F Hoffmann-La Roche and Genentech, a member of the Roche group.

Medical Treatment for Rheumatic Heart Disease: A Narrative Review.

BACKGROUND: Acute rheumatic fever (ARF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD) are rare in high-income countries; however, in Aotearoa New Zealand ARF and RHD disproportionately affect Indigenous Maori and Pacific Peoples. This narrative review explores the evidence regarding non-surgical management of patients with clinically significant valve disease or heart failure due to RHD. METHODS: Medline, EMBASE and Scopus databases were searched, and additional publications were identified through cross-referencing. Included were 28 publications from 1980 onwards. RESULTS: Of the available interventions, improved anticoagulation management and a national RHD register could improve RHD outcomes in New Zealand. Where community pharmacy anticoagulant management services (CPAMS) are available good anticoagulation control can be achieved with a time in the therapeutic range (TTR) of more than 70%, which is above the internationally recommended level of 60%. The use of pharmacists in anticoagulation control is cost-effective, acceptable to patients, pharmacists, and primary care practitioners. There is a lack of local data available to fully assess other interventions; including optimal therapy for heart failure, equitable access to specialist RHD care, prevention, and management of endocarditis. CONCLUSION: As RHD continues to disproportionately affect Indigenous and minority groups, pro-equity tertiary prevention interventions should be fully evaluated to ensure they are reducing disease burden and improving outcomes in patients with RHD.

Health promoting and demoting consumption: What accounts for budget share differentials by ethnicity in New Zealand.

Background: Health demoting consumption of alcohol and tobacco are some of the most important risk factors for health loss worldwide, however there is limited information on these consumption risk factors in New Zealand (NZ) and whether inequities in the risk factors are ethnically patterned. Methods: We used three nationally representative Household Economic Survey waves (2006/07, 2009/10, 2012/13) (n = 9030) in NZ to examine household expenditure for key health risk-related components of consumption by ethnicity, and its contributors to the differences using non-parametric, parametric and decomposition methods. Results: Maori households (NZ indigenous population) were significantly poorer (25% less) than non-Maori households in terms of household per capita expenditure. However, our various econometric estimations suggested that, in relative terms, Maori spent more on tobacco and alcohol, and less on healthcare. The gaps become larger at upper quantiles of the budget share distributions; the composition effect (the gap due to differences in individual and household characteristics between Maori and non-Maori) explains most of the tobacco and alcohol budget share gap between the two groups, and less for healthcare. The structure effect (the gap due to returns to/or effect of individual and household characteristics) contributes very little to the budget share gap for tobacco and drink, but increasingly and predominantly when moving along the distribution of healthcare budget share.The differences between Maori and non-Maori in household ownership, education, and income negatively affect budget share on these health demoting consumption (tobacco and alcohol). The household head's age, education, and employment contributed most to the structure effect. Conclusions: Our study suggested ethnic inequities in the health risk consumption behaviour are evidenced in NZ. Interventions targeting education and employment that significantly affect household budget shares on risk factors (i.e., harmful consumption) for health loss may help narrow the gaps.

Long-Term Blood Pressure Variability and Major Adverse Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Events After Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

Background Survivors of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) are at increased risk for major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), in the form of recurrent stroke and myocardial Infarction. We investigated whether long-term blood pressure (BP) variability represents a risk factor for MACCE after ICH, independent of average BP. Methods and Results We analyzed data from prospective ICH cohort studies at Massachusetts General Hospital and the University of Hong Kong. We captured long-term (ie, visit-to-visit) BP variability, quantified as individual participants' variation coefficient. We explored determinants of systolic and diastolic BP variability and generated survival analyses models to explore their association with MACCE. Among 1828 survivors of ICH followed for a median of 46.2 months we identified 166 with recurrent ICH, 68 with ischemic strokes, and 69 with myocardial infarction. Black (coefficient +3.8, SE 1.3) and Asian (coefficient +2.2, SE 0.4) participants displayed higher BP variability. Long-term systolic BP variability was independently associated with recurrent ICH (subhazard ratio [SHR], 1.82; 95% CI, 1.19-2.79), ischemic stroke (SHR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.06-2.47), and myocardial infarction (SHR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.05-2.24). Average BP during follow-up did not modify the association between long-term systolic BP variability and MACCE. Conclusions Long-term BP variability is a potent risk factor for recurrent hemorrhage, ischemic stroke, and myocardial infarction after ICH, even among survivors with well-controlled hypertension. Our findings support the hypothesis that combined control of average BP and its variability after ICH is required to minimize incidence of MACCE.

Estimated Healthcare Costs of Melanoma and Keratinocyte Skin Cancers in Australia and Aotearoa New Zealand in 2021.

Australia and Aotearoa New Zealand have the highest incidence of melanoma and KC in the world. We undertook a cost-of-illness analysis using Markov decision-analytic models separately for melanoma and keratinocyte skin cancer (KC) for each country. Using clinical pathways, the probabilities and unit costs of each health service and medicine for skin cancer management were applied. We estimated mean costs and 95% uncertainty intervals (95% UI) using Monte Carlo simulation. In Australia, the mean first-year costs of melanoma per patient ranged from AU$644 (95%UI: $642, $647) for melanoma in situ to AU$100,725 (95%UI: $84,288, $119,070) for unresectable stage III/IV disease. Australian-wide direct costs to the Government for newly diagnosed patients with melanoma were AU$397.9 m and AU$426.2 m for KCs, a total of AU$824.0 m. The mean costs per patient for melanoma ranged from NZ$1450 (95%UI: $1445, $1456) for melanoma in situ to NZ$77,828 (95%UI $62,525, $94,718) for unresectable stage III/IV disease. The estimated total cost to New Zealand in 2021 for new patients with melanoma was NZ$51.2 m, and for KCs, was NZ$129.4 m, with a total combined cost of NZ$180.5 m. These up-to-date national healthcare costs of melanoma and KC in Australia and New Zealand accentuate the savings potential of successful prevention strategies for skin cancer.

Antiepileptic drugs for the primary and secondary prevention of seizures after stroke.

BACKGROUND: Seizures after stroke are an important clinical problem and may result in poor outcomes. The indications of antiepileptic drugs (AEDs) for seizure prophylaxis after stroke remain unclear. This is an updated version of the Cochrane Review previously published in 2014. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of AEDs for the primary and secondary prevention of seizures after stroke. For primary prevention, we aimed to assess whether AEDs reduce the likelihood of seizures in people who have a stroke but do not have a seizure. For secondary prevention, we aimed to assess whether AEDs reduce the likelihood of further seizures in people who have a stroke and at least one post-stroke seizure. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the following databases on 9 March 2021: Cochrane Register of Studies (CRS Web), MEDLINE (Ovid, 1946 to March 08, 2021). CRS Web includes randomised or quasi-randomised controlled trials from PubMed, Embase, ClinicalTrials.gov, the World Health Organisation International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP), the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), and the Specialised Registers of Cochrane Review Groups including Epilepsy and Stroke. We also checked the reference lists of articles retrieved from these searches. SELECTION CRITERIA: We selected randomised and quasi-randomised controlled studies that recruited participants with a clinical diagnosis of stroke, either ischaemic or haemorrhagic. We excluded studies that only recruited participants with subarachnoid haemorrhage, subdural haemorrhage, extradural haemorrhage, or other non-stroke diagnoses such as tumour- or infection-related infarction or haemorrhage. We also excluded studies that recruited only participants who had undergone neurosurgery. We included participants of all ages suffering any seizure type who were assigned to AEDs or placebo groups. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: In accordance with standard methodological procedures expected by The Cochrane Collaboration, two review authors independently assessed trials for inclusion before evaluating trial risk of bias and extracting relevant data. The primary outcome assessed was the proportion of participants who experienced seizures in the follow-up period. We presented results as summary risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for dichotomous outcomes and mean differences (MDs) with 95% CIs for continuous outcomes. Where we had sufficient data, we calculated random-effects (Mantel-Haenszel) meta-analyses for dichotomous outcomes; otherwise, we reported results narratively. We used the I2 statistic to analyse statistical heterogeneity. We planned to use funnel plots to assess publication bias in meta-analyses with at least 10 included studies. We used the GRADE approach to assess the certainty of the evidence. MAIN RESULTS: Two studies with a total of 856 subjects were included. AEDs were not shown to be effective in primary prophylaxis of post-stroke seizure (RR 0.65, 95% CI 0.34 to 1.26; 2 studies, 856 participants; moderate-certainty evidence). The first study was a randomised double-blind study comparing valproic acid with placebo for primary seizure prevention up to one year after stroke. The study included 72 adults with intracerebral haemorrhage. There was no difference in the risk of post-stroke seizures (RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.35 to 2.16) or of death (RR 1.20, 95% CI 0.40 to 3.58). The second study was a substudy on the use of diazepam in acute stroke. It was a randomised double-blind study, comparing a three-day diazepam treatment versus placebo for primary seizure prevention up to three months after stroke in 784 adults with acute stroke. There was no evidence of a difference in the risk of post-stroke seizures for all stroke or subgroups of haemorrhagic or ischaemic stroke (RR for all stroke 0.47, 95% CI 0.18 to 1.22). In a subgroup analysis of anterior circulation cortical infarcts, primary prophylaxis with diazepam was associated with a reduced risk of post-stroke seizures (RR 0.21, 95% CI 0.05 to 0.95). Risks of mortality did not differ between the diazepam and the placebo group at two weeks (RR 0.84, 95% CI 0.56 to 1.26) and three months follow-up (RR 0.95, 95% CI 0.72 to 1.26). We assessed both studies to be at a low overall risk of bias. Using the GRADE approach, we assessed the overall certainty of the evidence as low to moderate. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: There is insufficient evidence to support the routine use of AEDs on the primary and secondary prevention of seizures after stroke. Further well-conducted studies are warranted for this important clinical problem.

Generating political priority for skin cancer primary prevention: A case study from Aotearoa New Zealand.

ISSUES ADDRESSED: Skin cancer is highly prevalent but preventable, yet little research has been done on the challenges in generating political priority for skin cancer prevention. This qualitative study aimed to identify the political challenges to, facilitators of, and strategies to strengthen skin cancer prevention. The focus was on the case of Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ): a country with high skin cancer rates, but limited investment in primary prevention. METHODS: Data sources included 18 national key informant interviews and documentary analysis. Data were analysed inductively for emerging themes and framed using a conceptual framework of political priority. RESULTS: Challenges to advocates for skin cancer primary prevention include limited resources and competing priorities. Political-level challenges include a lack of quick results compared with other initiatives vying for political attention, lack of negative externalities and, in NZ, misalignment with health system priorities. Challenges in the evidence base include the perceived conflict of sun protection with Vitamin D and physical activity, the lack of data on the financial burden of skin cancer and relatively low temperatures in NZ. Facilitators include strong policy community cohesion and issue framing, and weak opposition. Promising strategies to strengthen skin cancer prevention in NZ could include network building, using framing that resonates with policy makers and addressing key knowledge gaps in NZ, such as the financial burden of skin cancer. CONCLUSION: Advocacy for skin cancer prevention faces challenges due to advocates' limited resources, political challenges such as lack of quick results and gaps in evidence. Nonetheless, the initiative encounters little opposition and can be framed in ways that resonate with policy makers. SO WHAT?: Skin cancer is highly preventable, but advocates for prevention initiatives have struggled to gain political traction. This study identifies several strategies that could help raise the political profile for skin cancer prevention.

Dietary calcium intake and change in bone mineral density in older adults: a systematic review of longitudinal cohort studies.

Many older adults do not achieve recommended intakes of calcium and there is some concern over the potential impact of this on bone health. The objective of this review was to examine evidence from cohort studies on the relationship between calcium intake and change in bone mineral density (BMD) in older adults, something not undertaken in the last two decades. Data sources included Ovid Medline, Embase, and PubMed and references from retrieved reviews and articles. The final search was performed in February 2021. We included cohort studies of calcium intake in participants aged >50 years with change in BMD over ≥1 year as an outcome. We identified 23 studies of women and 7 of men. Most studies found no association between calcium intake and change in BMD in women (71%) or men (71%). Among women, five studies reported high rates (>30% of participants) of hormone treatment or osteoporosis therapy (HT/OT) use; 80% of these studies reported a positive association between calcium intake and change in BMD, compared with 10% of studies in which HT/OT use was low. No study in women in which the mean age was >60 years reported a positive association between calcium intake and change in BMD. We conclude that calcium intake across the ranges consumed in these studies (mean intake in all but one study >500 mg/day) is not an important determinant of bone loss, particularly among women >60 years. The positive findings in studies with high rates of HT/OT use are likely to arise from confounding as a result of co-administration of calcium supplements with these medications.

Employment among people with epilepsy in Hong Kong.

BACKGROUND: People with epilepsy (PWE) face difficulties in employment. Hong Kong depends heavily on tertiary industry and enjoys a low unemployment rate. However, there have been rare reports on employment of PWE in Hong Kong. We aimed at (1) investigating the employment status among PWE; (2) correlating demographic and clinical factors with employment status of PWE; and (3) describing the self-perceived impact of epilepsy on employment and their correlations with employment status. METHOD: This was a single center cross-sectional study conducted in 2019. Adult with epilepsy but without intellectual disability of year age 16-65 were recruited. Homemakers and retired persons were excluded. A questionnaire with two parts was given to each patient. The first part focused on objective data about employment. The second part focused on self-perception on the impact of epilepsy on employment. Responders expressed their opinions in 5-point Likert scale. Clinical data were retrieved from the computerized medical record system for interpretation. RESULTS: A total of 138 PWE were recruited. Unemployment rate among the PWE was 33%, which was much higher than the general population. Low education levels, drug-resistant epilepsy, psychiatric comorbidities, and high Charlson Comorbidity Index were correlated to unemployment in PWE. Unemployed respondents significantly more tend to regard that lack of education, stigma of epilepsy, and seizure frequency were main hurdles in employment. CONCLUSIONS: Unemployment is a severe social problem among PWE in Hong Kong. Various objective clinical and demographic factors correlated with unemployment. Work beliefs of a patient may also correlate with the employment status.

Seasonality in the incidence of anti-GQ1b antibody syndrome-A territory-wide study.

AIMS: To investigate any seasonality in the incidence of anti-GQ1b antibody syndrome (AGS). METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study in all hospitalized patients in local public hospitals from January 2013 to December 2018. AGS was defined by hospitalized patients with positive serum anti-GQ1b IgG, presumably encompassing Miller-Fisher syndrome, Bickerstaff brainstem encephalitis and Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) variants. GBS cases were retrieved from the computerized database by diagnostic label. Campylobacter jejuni infection (CJI) injection was identified by positive stool culture. Monthly incidence rates of AGS, GBS and CJI were calculated. Poisson and negative binomial regression models with long-term time trend were fitted to characterize the seasonal pattern. RESULTS: A total of 237, 572 and 2434 cases of AGS, GBS and CJI were identified, respectively, in a population of 7.3 million. The annual incidence rate of AGS was 0.54 per 100,000 person-years. AGS was demonstrated to have an annual peak in the spring season, from March to April, which was congruent with that of GBS and slightly lagged the annual peak of CJI from February to March (likelihood ratio tests all p < .001 for the seasonal terms). CONCLUSION: The incidence of AGS peaks in springtime, which is congruent with that of GBS and lags around one month after that of CJI. We demonstrated that AGS has a clear seasonality in occurrence.

Low-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol and Risk of Recurrent Vascular Events in Chinese Patients With Ischemic Stroke With and Without Significant Atherosclerosis.

Background Recent trials have shown that low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) <1.80 mmol/L (<70 mg/dL) is associated with a reduced risk of major adverse cardiovascular events in White patients with ischemic stroke with atherosclerosis. However, it remains uncertain whether the findings can be generalized to Asian patients, or that similar LDL-C targets should be adopted in patients with stroke without significant atherosclerosis. Methods and Results We performed a prospective cohort study and recruited consecutive Chinese patients with ischemic stroke with magnetic resonance angiography of the intra- and cervicocranial arteries performed at the University of Hong Kong between 2008 and 2014. Serial postevent LDL-C measurements were obtained. Risk of major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with mean postevent LDL-C <1.80 versus ≥1.80 mmol/L, stratified by presence or absence of significant (≥50%) large-artery disease (LAD) and by ischemic stroke subtypes, were compared. Nine hundred four patients (mean age, 69±12 years; 60% men) were followed up for a mean 6.5±2.4 years (mean, 9±5 LDL-C readings per patient). Regardless of LAD status, patients with a mean postevent LDL-C <1.80 mmol/L were associated with a lower risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (with significant LAD: multivariable-adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.42-0.99; without significant LAD: subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.32-0.88) (both P<0.05). Similar findings were noted in patients with ischemic stroke attributable to large-artery atherosclerosis (subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.28-0.84) and in patients with other ischemic stroke subtypes (subdistribution hazard ratio, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.43-0.95) (both P<0.05). Conclusions A mean LDL-C <1.80 mmol/L was associated with a lower risk of major adverse cardiovascular events in Chinese patients with ischemic stroke with and without significant LAD. Further randomized trials to determine the optimal LDL-C cutoff in stroke patients without significant atherosclerosis are warranted.