Multisite development and validation of machine learning models to predict severe outcomes and guide decision-making for emergency department patients with influenza.

Objective: Millions of Americans are infected by influenza annually. A minority seek care in the emergency department (ED) and, of those, only a limited number experience severe disease or death. ED clinicians must distinguish those at risk for deterioration from those who can be safely discharged. Methods: We developed random forest machine learning (ML) models to estimate needs for critical care within 24 h and inpatient care within 72 h in ED patients with influenza. Predictor data were limited to those recorded prior to ED disposition decision: demographics, ED complaint, medical problems, vital signs, supplemental oxygen use, and laboratory results. Our study population was comprised of adults diagnosed with influenza at one of five EDs in our university health system between January 1, 2017 and May 18, 2022; visits were divided into two cohorts to facilitate model development and validation. Prediction performance was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the Brier score. Results: Among 8032 patients with laboratory-confirmed influenza, incidence of critical care needs was 6.3% and incidence of inpatient care needs was 19.6%. The most common reasons for ED visit were symptoms of respiratory tract infection, fever, and shortness of breath. Model AUCs were 0.89 (95% CI 0.86-0.93) for prediction of critical care and 0.90 (95% CI 0.88-0.93) for inpatient care needs; Brier scores were 0.026 and 0.042, respectively. Importantpredictors included shortness of breath, increasing respiratory rate, and a high number of comorbid diseases. Conclusions: ML methods can be used to accurately predict clinical deterioration in ED patients with influenza and have potential to support ED disposition decision-making.

Assessing Time to Removal of Tunneled Dialysis Catheters after Arteriovenous Access Creation.

BACKGROUND: Tunneled dialysis catheters (TDCs) are a temporary bridge until definitive arteriovenous (AV) access is established. Our objective was to evaluate the time to TDC removal in patients who underwent AV access creations with TDCs already in place. METHODS: A single-center analysis of all AV access creations in patients with TDCs was performed (2014-2020). Primary outcome was time to TDC removal after access creation. RESULTS: There were 364 AV access creations with TDCs in place. The average age was 58 years, 44% of patients were female, and 64% were Black. The median time to TDC removal was 113 days (range, 22-931 days) with 71.4% having a TDC >90 days after access creation. Patients with TDC >90 days were often older (60 vs. 54.7), had hypertension (98.1% vs. 93.3%), were diabetic (65.4% vs. 47.1%), and had longer average time to maturation (107.1 vs. 55.4 days, P < 0.001) and first access (114 vs. 59.4 days, P < 0.001). Multivariable analysis showed that older age was associated with prolonged TDC placement (odds ratio [OR] 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.05, P = 0.005) and prosthetic graft use was associated with shorter TDC indwelling time (OR 0.09, 95% CI 0.04-0.23, P ≤ 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that 87% of TDCs were removed at 1 year. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of patients with TDCs who underwent AV access creation had prolonged TDC placement. Prosthetic graft use was associated with shorter catheter times. Close follow-up after access placement, improving maturation times, and access type selection should be considered to shortened TDC times.

Recent evaluation by nephrologists is associated with decreased incidence of tunneled dialysis catheter being used at the time of first arteriovenous access creation.

OBJECTIVE: Late primary care provider (PCP) or nephrologist evaluation of patients with progressive kidney disease may be associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Among patients undergoing initial arteriovenous (AV) access creation, we aimed to study the relationship of recent PCP and nephrologist evaluations with perioperative morbidity and mortality. METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of patients from 2014 to 2022 who underwent initial AV access creation at an urban, safety-net hospital. Univariable and multivariable analyses identified associations of PCP and nephrologist evaluations <1 year and <3 months before surgery, respectively, with hemodialysis initiation via tunneled dialysis catheters (TDCs), 90-day readmission, and 90-day mortality. RESULTS: Among 558 patients receiving initial AV access, mean age was 59.7 ± 14 years, 59% were female gender, and 60.6% were Black race. Recent PCP and nephrology evaluations occurred in 386 (69%) and 362 (65%) patients, respectively. On multivariable analysis, unemployed and uninsured statuses were associated with decreased likelihood of PCP evaluation (unemployment: odds ratio [OR], 0.51; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.34-0.77; uninsured status: OR, 0.05; 95% CI, 0.01-0.45) and nephrologist evaluation (unemployment: OR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.43-0.91; uninsured status: OR, 0.22; 95% CI, 0.06-0.83) (all P < .05). Social support was associated with increased likelihood of PCP evaluation (OR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.07-3.08) (all P < .05). Hemodialysis was initiated with TDCs in 304 patients (55%). Older age (OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.96-0.99), obesity (OR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.25-0.58), and nephrologist evaluation (OR, 0.12; 95% CI, 0.08-0.19) were independently associated with decreased hemodialysis initiation with TDCs in patients receiving an initial AV access (all P < .05). Ninety-day readmission occurred in 270 cases (48%). Cirrhosis (OR, 2.5; 95% CI, 1.03-6.03; P = .04), coronary artery disease (OR, 2.31; 95% CI, 1.5-3.57), prosthetic AV access (OR, 1.84; 95% CI, 1.04-3.26), and impaired ambulation (OR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.15-2.66) were independently associated with increased readmission (all P < .05). Older age (OR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.97-0.99), prior TDC (OR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.45-0.94), and unemployment (OR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.39-0.86) were associated with decreased readmission (all P < .05). Ninety-day mortality occurred in 1.6% of patients. Neither PCP nor nephrologist evaluation was associated with readmission or mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Recent nephrology evaluation was associated with reduced hemodialysis initiation with TDCs among patients undergoing initial AV access creation. Unemployed and uninsured statuses posed barriers to accessing nephrology care.

High Prevalence of Adverse Social Determinants of Health in Dialysis Access Creation Patients in a Safety-Net Setting.

BACKGROUND: Patients receiving dialysis access surgery are often exposed to adverse social determinants of health (SDH) that negatively impact their care. Our goal was to characterize these factors experienced by our arteriovenous dialysis access patients and identify differences in health outcomes based on their SDH. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of all patients who underwent dialysis access creation (2017-2021) and were screened for SDH at a clinical visit (using THRIVE survey) implemented at an urban, safety-net hospital institution within 1 year of access creation. Demographics, procedural details, early postoperative outcomes, survey responses, and referral to our hospital's preventive food pantry were recorded. Univariable analysis and multivariable analyses were performed to assess for associations with key health outcomes. RESULTS: There were 190 patients who responded to the survey within 1 year of their operation. At least 1 adverse SDH was identified in 42 (22%) patients. Normalized to number of respondents for each question, adverse SDH identified were difficulty obtaining transportation to medical appointments (18%), food insecurity (16%), difficulty affording utilities (13%), difficulty affording medication (12%), unemployed and seeking employment (9%), unstable housing (7%), difficulty caring for family/friends (6%), and desiring more education (5%). There were 71 (37%) patients who received food pantry referrals. Mean age was 60 years and 38% of patients were female and 64% were Black. More than half of patients (57%) had a tunneled dialysis catheter (TDC) at the time of access creation. Dialysis accesses created were brachiocephalic (39%), brachiobasilic (25%), radiocephalic fistulas (16%), and arteriovenous grafts (14%). Thirty-day emergency department (ED) visits, 30-day readmissions, and 90-day mortality occurred in 23%, 21%, and 2%, respectively. On univariable and multivariable analyses, any adverse SDH determined on survey and food pantry referral were not associated with preoperative dialysis through TDCs, receiving nonautogenous dialysis access, 30-day ED visits and readmissions, or 90-day mortality. CONCLUSION: Nearly a quarter of dialysis access surgery patients at a safety-net hospital experienced adverse SDH and more than one-third received a food pantry referral. Most common difficulties experienced include difficulty obtaining transportation to medical appointments, food insecurity, and difficulty paying for utilities and medication. Although there were no differences in postoperative outcomes, the high prevalence of these adverse SDH warrants prioritization of resources in this population to ensure healthy equity and further investigation into their effects on health outcomes.

Epidemiology and Clinical Outcomes of Community-Acquired Acute Kidney Injury in the Emergency Department: A Multisite Retrospective Cohort Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The prevalence of community-acquired acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) in the United States and its clinical consequences are not well described. Our objective was to describe the epidemiology of CA-AKI and the associated clinical outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 178,927 encounters by 139,632 adults at 5 US emergency departments (EDs) between July 1, 2017, and December 31, 2022. PREDICTORS: CA-AKI identified using KDIGO (Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes) serum creatinine (Scr)-based criteria. OUTCOMES: For encounters resulting in hospitalization, the in-hospital trajectory of AKI severity, dialysis initiation, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and death. For all encounters, occurrence over 180 days of hospitalization, ICU admission, new or progressive chronic kidney disease, dialysis initiation, and death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multivariable logistic regression analysis to test the association between CA-AKI and measured outcomes. RESULTS: For all encounters, 10.4% of patients met the criteria for any stage of AKI on arrival to the ED. 16.6% of patients admitted to the hospital from the ED had CA-AKI on arrival to the ED. The likelihood of AKI recovery was inversely related to CA-AKI stage on arrival to the ED. Among encounters for hospitalized patients, CA-AKI was associated with in-hospital dialysis initiation (OR, 6.2; 95% CI, 5.1-7.5), ICU admission (OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.7-2.0), and death (OR, 2.2; 95% CI, 2.0-2.5) compared with patients without CA-AKI. Among all encounters, CA-AKI was associated with new or progressive chronic kidney disease (OR, 6.0; 95% CI, 5.6-6.4), dialysis initiation (OR, 5.1; 95% CI, 4.5-5.7), subsequent hospitalization (OR, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.1-1.2) including ICU admission (OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 1.1-1.4), and death (OR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.5-1.7) during the subsequent 180 days. LIMITATIONS: Residual confounding. Study implemented at a single university-based health system. Potential selection bias related to exclusion of patients without an available baseline Scr measurement. Potential ascertainment bias related to limited repeat Scr data during follow-up after an ED visit. CONCLUSIONS: CA-AKI is a common and important entity that is associated with serious adverse clinical consequences during the 6-month period after diagnosis. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a condition characterized by a rapid decline in kidney function. There are many causes of AKI, but few studies have examined how often AKI is already present when patients first arrive to an emergency department seeking medical attention for any reason. We analyzed approximately 175,000 visits to Johns Hopkins emergency departments and found that AKI is common on presentation to the emergency department and that patients with AKI have increased risks of hospitalization, intensive care unit admission, development of chronic kidney disease, requirement of dialysis, and death in the first 6 months after diagnosis. AKI is an important condition for health care professionals to recognize and is associated with serious adverse outcomes.

Dementia risk analysis using temporal event modeling on a large real-world dataset.

The objective of the study is to identify healthcare events leading to a diagnosis of dementia from a large real-world dataset. This study uses a data-driven approach to identify temporally ordered pairs and trajectories of healthcare codes in the electronic health record (EHR). This allows for discovery of novel temporal risk factors leading to an outcome of interest that may otherwise be unobvious. We identified several known (Down syndrome RR = 116.1, thiamine deficiency RR = 76.1, and Parkinson's disease RR = 41.1) and unknown (Brief psychotic disorder RR = 68.6, Toxic effect of metals RR = 40.4, and Schizoaffective disorders RR = 40.0) factors for a specific dementia diagnosis. The associations with the greatest risk for any dementia diagnosis were found to be primarily related to mental health (Brief psychotic disorder RR = 266.5, Dissociative and conversion disorders RR = 169.8), or neurologic conditions or procedures (Dystonia RR = 121.9, Lumbar Puncture RR = 119.0). Trajectory and clustering analysis identified factors related to cerebrovascular disorders, as well as diagnoses which increase the risk of toxic imbalances. The results of this study have the ability to provide valuable insights into potential patient progression towards dementia and improve recognition of patients at risk for developing dementia.

Artificial intelligence-based clinical decision support for liver transplant evaluation and considerations about fairness: A qualitative study.

BACKGROUND: The use of large-scale data and artificial intelligence (AI) to support complex transplantation decisions is in its infancy. Transplant candidate decision-making, which relies heavily on subjective assessment (ie, high variability), provides a ripe opportunity for AI-based clinical decision support (CDS). However, AI-CDS for transplant applications must consider important concerns regarding fairness (ie, health equity). The objective of this study was to use human-centered design methods to elicit providers' perceptions of AI-CDS for liver transplant listing decisions. METHODS: In this multicenter qualitative study conducted from December 2020 to July 2021, we performed semistructured interviews with 53 multidisciplinary liver transplant providers from 2 transplant centers. We used inductive coding and constant comparison analysis of interview data. RESULTS: Analysis yielded 6 themes important for the design of fair AI-CDS for liver transplant listing decisions: (1) transparency in the creators behind the AI-CDS and their motivations; (2) understanding how the AI-CDS uses data to support recommendations (ie, interpretability); (3) acknowledgment that AI-CDS could mitigate emotions and biases; (4) AI-CDS as a member of the transplant team, not a replacement; (5) identifying patient resource needs; and (6) including the patient's role in the AI-CDS. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, providers interviewed were cautiously optimistic about the potential for AI-CDS to improve clinical and equitable outcomes for patients. These findings can guide multidisciplinary developers in the design and implementation of AI-CDS that deliberately considers health equity.

Five Year Survival in Medicare Patients Undergoing Interventions for Peripheral Arterial Disease: a Retrospective Cohort Analysis of Linked Registry Claims Data.

OBJECTIVE: To justify the up front risks of offering elective interventions for intermittent claudication (IC), patients should have reasonable life expectancy to derive durable clinical benefits. Open surgery for chronic limb threatening ischaemia (CLTI) is maximally beneficial in patients surviving ≥ 2 years. The aim was to assess long term survival after IC and CLTI interventions. METHODS: In a retrospective cohort analysis, the Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI) registry from 1 January 2010 to 31 May 2021 was queried for peripheral vascular intervention (PVI), infra-inguinal bypasses (IIB), and supra-inguinal bypasses (SIB) for IC and CLTI across 286 US centres. VQI linkage to Medicare insurance claims provided five year survival data. Multivariable analysis identified factors associated with five year mortality. RESULTS: There were 31 457 PVIs (44.7% IC, 55.3% CLTI), 7 978 IIBs (26.9% IC, 73.1% CLTI), and 2 149 SIBs (50.1% IC, 49.9% CLTI) recorded in the VQI. Among the PVI, IIB, and SIB cohorts, average ages were 75, 73, and 72 years, respectively. Respective five year mortality after PVI for IC and CLTI was 37.2% and 71.1%; after IIB for IC and CLTI it was 37.8% and 60%; and after SIB for IC and CLTI it was 33.8% and 53.8%. On multivariable analysis, across all procedures, end stage renal disease, CLTI, congestive heart failure, anaemia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and prior amputation were independently associated with increased mortality. Pre-admission home living and pre-operative aspirin use were independently associated with decreased mortality. CONCLUSION: Long term survival in Medicare patients undergoing interventions in VQI centres for peripheral arterial disease is poor. Two thirds of CLTI patients and over one third of IC patients were not alive at five years. Intervening for IC in patients with high mortality risk should be avoided. For CLTI patients identified with decreased survival likelihood, intervention durability may be less important than invasiveness. Pre-operative medical optimisation should always be undertaken.

Medial Plantar Artery Perforator Kiss Flap for Salvage of Extensive Palmar Skin Defect.

BACKGROUND: Flaps based on the medial plantar artery (MPA) accomplish favorable surgical outcomes in palmar resurfacing due to its outstanding texture, pliability and contour, but primary closure could not be achieved at the donor site when the flap was designed to be relatively large. In this study, the kiss technique was employed for the reconstruction of extensive palmar defects which minimized donor site morbidity. METHODS: A modified flap surgical strategy was systemically developed based on the perforator distribution of the MPA through our cadaver study. Two or three narrow small skin paddles based on MPA were raised and resembled at the recipient site as a larger flap. S-2PD, hypersensitivity and ROM, QuickDASH, gait and patient satisfaction were evaluated 6 months to 12 months postoperation. RESULTS: From June 2015 to July 2021, 20 cases of reconstruction using the medial plantar artery perforator (MPAP) kiss flap were performed for the resurfacing of palmar skin defects. All flaps survived uneventfully with coverage matching the texture and color of the recipients except one flap that exhibited venous congestion and recovered after revision. 12 flaps (60 percent) were double-paddled and 8 flaps (40%) were triple-paddled with a resurfacing area of 27.19cm 2 and 41.1cm 2 respectively. All donor sites achieved primary closure without major complications. CONCLUSIONS: Versatile kiss flap combinations were developed based on further understanding of the MPA system. Durable and pliable characters of the MPAP flap provide excellent reconstruction for extensive palmar defects while minimizing donor site complications. CLINICAL QUESTION/LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic, IV.

Functional Impairment is Associated with Poor Long-Term Outcomes after Arteriovenous Access Creation.

BACKGROUND: Functional impairment affects outcomes after a variety of procedures. However, the impact of functional impairment on outcomes of arteriovenous (AV) access creation is unclear. We aimed to evaluate the association of patients' ability to ambulate and perform activities of daily living (ADL) with AV access outcomes. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed patients undergoing AV access creation at an urban, safety-net hospital from 2014 to 2022. We evaluated associations of impaired ambulatory and assisted ADL status with 90-day readmission, 1-year primary patency, and 5-year mortality. RESULTS: Among the 689 patients receiving AV access, mean age was 59.6 ± 13.9 years, 59% were male, and 60% were Black. Access types included brachiocephalic (42%), brachiobasilic (26%), radiocephalic (14%), other autogenous (5%) fistulas, and prosthetic grafts (13%). Impaired ambulatory status was identified in 35% and assisted ADL status, when assessed, was identified in 21% of patients. Ninety-day readmission was more likely in patients with impaired ambulatory (58% vs. 39%, P < 0.001) and assisted ADL (56% vs. 41%, P = 0.004) status. On Kaplan-Meier analysis, 1-year primary patency was lower for patients with impaired ambulatory status (44% ± 3% vs. 29% ± 3%, P = 0.001), but was not significantly different for patients with assisted ADL status (41% ± 3% vs. 32% ± 5%, P = 0.12). Five-year survival was lower for patients with impaired ambulatory status (53% ± 5% vs. 74% ± 4%, P < 0.001), but was not significantly different for patients with assisted ADL status (45% ± 9% vs. 71% ± 4%, P = 0.1). On multivariable analysis, increased likelihood of 90-day readmission was significantly associated with impaired ambulatory status (odds ratio (OR) 2.03, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.4-2.94, P < 0.001) and assisted ADL status (OR 1.66, 95% CI 1.07-2.57, P = 0.02). One-year primary patency was not significantly associated with impaired ambulatory (hazard ratio (HR) 1.25, 95% CI 0.98-1.6, P = 0.07) or assisted ADL status (HR 1.13, 95% CI 0.87-1.48, P = 0.36). Increased likelihood of 5-year mortality was associated with impaired ambulatory (HR 1.65, 95% CI 1.04-2.62, P = 0.04) and assisted ADL status (HR 2.63, 95% CI 1.35-5.11, P = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: Impaired ambulatory and assisted ADL statuses were associated with increased readmissions and long-term mortality after AV access creation. Approximately half of patients with functional impairment were not alive at 5 years. Setting outcome expectations as well as prospectively examining the impact of physical therapy and visiting nursing services for functionally impaired patients undergoing AV access creation are warranted.

Experiences and Perceptions of Telehealth Visits in Diabetes Care During and After the COVID-19 Pandemic Among Adults With Type 2 Diabetes and Their Providers: Qualitative Study.

BACKGROUND: Since the COVID-19 pandemic, telehealth has been widely adopted in outpatient settings in the United States. Although telehealth visits are publicly accepted in different settings, little is known about the situation after the wide adoption of telehealth from the perspectives of adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) and their providers. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to identify barriers and facilitators of maintaining continuity of care using telehealth for patients with T2D in a diabetes specialty clinic. METHODS: As the second phase of a multimethod study to understand missed appointments among adults with T2D, we conducted semistructured, individual, in-depth phone or Zoom interviews with 23 adults with T2D (14/23, 61% women; mean age 55.1, SD 14.4, range 35-77 years) and 10 providers from diabetes clinics in a tertiary academic medical center in Maryland. Interviews were audio-recorded, transcribed, and analyzed using thematic content analysis by the research team. RESULTS: Adults with T2D and their providers generally reported positive experiences with telehealth visits for diabetes care with some technical challenges resulting in the need for in-person visits. We identified the following 3 themes: (1) "perceived benefits of telehealth visits," such as convenience, time and financial efficiencies, and independence from caregivers, benefits shared by both patients and providers; (2) "perceived technological challenges of telehealth visits," such as disparities in digital health literacy, frustration caused by unstable internet connection, and difficulty sharing glucose data, challenges shared by both patients and providers; and (3) "impact of telehealth visits on the quality of diabetes care," including lack of diabetes quality measures and needs and preferences for in-person visits, shared mainly from providers' perspectives with some patient input. CONCLUSIONS: Telehealth is generally received positively in diabetes care with some persistent challenges that might compromise the quality of diabetes care. Telehealth technology and glucose data platforms must incorporate user experience and user-centered design to optimize telehealth use in diabetes care. Clinical practices need to consider new workflows for telehealth visits to facilitate easier follow-up scheduling and lab completion. Future research to investigate the ideal balance between in-person and telehealth visits in diabetes care is warranted to enhance the quality of diabetes care and to optimize diabetes outcomes. Policy flexibilities should also be considered to broaden access to diabetes care for all patients with T2D.

Analysis of Early Death after Elective Open Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Repair.

BACKGROUND: Mortality after open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair is a quality measure and early death may represent a technical complication or poor patient selection. Our objective was to analyze patients who died in the hospital within postoperative day (POD) 0-2 after elective abdominal aortic aneurysm repair. METHODS: The Vascular Quality Initiative was queried from 2003-2019 for elective open abdominal aortic aneurysm repairs. Operations were categorized as in-hospital death on POD 0-2 (POD 0-2 Death), in-hospital death beyond POD 2 (POD ≥3 Death), and those alive at discharge. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed. RESULTS: There were 7,592 elective open abdominal aortic aneurysm repairs with 61 (0.8%) POD 0-2 Death, 156 (2.1%) POD ≥3 Death, and 7,375 (97.1%) alive at discharge. Overall, median age was 70 years and 73.6% were male. Iliac aneurysm repair and surgical approach (anterior/retroperitoneal) were similar among groups. POD 0-2 Death, compared to POD ≥3 Death and those alive at discharge, had the longest renal/visceral ischemia time, more commonly had proximal clamp placement above both renal arteries, an aortic distal anastomosis, longest operative time, and largest estimated blood loss (all P < 0.05). Postoperative vasopressor usage, myocardial infarction, stroke, and return to the operating room were most frequent in POD 0-2 Death and extubation in the operating room was least frequent (all P < 0.001). Postoperative bowel ischemia and renal failure occurred most commonly among POD ≥3 Death (all P < 0.001).On multivariable analysis, POD 0-2 Death was associated with congestive heart failure, prior peripheral vascular intervention, female sex, preoperative aspirin use, lower center volume quartile, renal/visceral ischemia time, estimated blood loss, and older age (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: POD 0-2 Death was associated with comorbidities, center volume, renal/visceral ischemia time, and estimated blood loss. Referral to high-volume aortic centers could improve outcomes.

Assessment of Risk Factors Correlated with Outcomes of Traumatic Lower Extremity Soft Tissue Reconstruction.

Identifying risk factors for traumatic lower extremity reconstruction outcomes has been limited by sample size. We evaluated patient and procedural characteristics associated with reconstruction outcomes using data from almost four million patients. Methods: The National Trauma Data Bank (2015-2018) was queried for lower extremity reconstructions. Univariable and multivariable analyses determined associations with inpatient outcomes. Results: There were 4675 patients with lower extremity reconstructions: local flaps (77%), free flaps (19.2%), or both (3.8%). Flaps were most commonly local fasciocutaneous (55.1%). Major injuries in reconstructed extremities were fractures (56.2%), vascular injuries (11.8%), and mangled limbs (2.9%). Ipsilateral procedures prereconstruction included vascular interventions (6%), amputations (5.6%), and fasciotomies (4.3%). Postoperative surgical site infection and amputation occurred in 2% and 2.6%, respectively. Among survivors (99%), mean total length of stay (LOS) was 23.2 ± 21.1 days and 46.8% were discharged to rehab. On multivariable analysis, vascular interventions prereconstruction were associated with increased infection [odds ratio (OR) 1.99, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-3.79, P = 0.04], amputation (OR 4.38, 95% CI 2.56-7.47, P < 0.001), prolonged LOS (OR 1.59, 95% CI 1.14-2.22, P = 0.01), and discharge to rehab (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.07-2.07, P = 0.02). Free flaps were associated with prolonged LOS (OR 2.08, 95% CI 1.74-2.49, P < 0.001). Conclusions: Prereconstruction vascular interventions were associated with higher incidences of adverse outcomes. Free flaps correlated with longer LOS, but otherwise similar outcomes. Investigating reasons for increased complication and healthcare utilization likelihood among these subgroups is warranted.

Brachiocephalic and Radiocephalic Arteriovenous Fistulas in Patients with Tunneled Dialysis Catheters Have Similar Outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Patients with tunneled dialysis catheters (TDCs) have a time-sensitive need for a functional permanent access due to high risk of catheter-associated morbidity. Brachiocephalic arteriovenous fistulas (BCF) have been reported to have higher maturation and patency compared to radiocephalic arteriovenous fistulas (RCF), although more distal creation is encouraged when possible. However, this may lead to a delay in establishing permanent vascular access and, ultimately, TDC removal. Our goal was to assess short-term outcomes after BCF and RCF creation for patients with concurrent TDCs to see if these patients would potentially benefit more from an initial brachiocephalic access to minimize TDC dependence. METHODS: The Vascular Quality Initiative hemodialysis registry was analyzed from 2011 to 2018. Patient demographics, comorbidities, access type, and short-term outcomes including occlusion, reinterventions, and access being used for dialysis, were assessed. RESULTS: There were 2,359 patients with TDC, of whom 1,389 (58.9%) underwent BCF creation and 970 (41.1%) underwent RCF creation. Average patient age was 59 years, and 62.8% were male. Compared with RCF, those with BCF were more often older, of female sex, obese, nonindependently ambulatory, have commercial insurance, diabetes, coronary artery disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, be on anticoagulation, and have a cephalic vein diameter of ≥3 mm (all P < 0.05). Kaplan-Meier analysis for 1-year outcomes for BCF and RCF, respectively, showed that primary patency was 45% vs. 41.3% (P = 0.88), primary assisted patency was 86.7% vs. 86.9% (P = 0.64), freedom from reintervention was 51.1% vs. 46.3% (P = 0.44), and survival was 81.3% vs. 84.9% (P = 0.02). Multivariable analysis showed that BCF was comparable to RCF with respect to primary patency loss (hazard ratio [HR] 1.11, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.91-1.36, P = 0.316), primary assisted patency loss (HR 1.11, 95% CI 0.72-1.29, P = 0.66), and reintervention (HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.81-1.27, P = 0.92). Access being used at 3 months was similar but trending towards RCF being used more often (odds ratio 0.7, 95% CI 0.49-1, P = 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: BCFs do not have superior fistula maturation and patency compared to RCFs in patients with concurrent TDCs. Creation of radial access, when possible, does not prolong TDC dependence.

Postoperative disability and one-year outcomes for patients suffering a stroke after carotid endarterectomy.

OBJECTIVE: Although post-carotid endarterectomy (CEA) strokes are rare, they can be devastating. The degree of disability that patients develop after such events and its effects on long-term outcomes are unclear. Our goal was to assess the extent of postoperative disability in patients suffering strokes after CEA and evaluate its association with long-term outcomes. METHODS: The Vascular Quality Initiative CEA registry (2016-2020) was queried for CEAs performed for asymptomatic or symptomatic indications in patients with preoperative modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores of 0 to 1. The mRS grades stroke-related disability as 0 (none), 1 (not significant), 2 to 3 (moderate), 4 to 5 (severe), and 6 (dead). Patients suffering postoperative strokes with recorded mRS scores were included. Postoperative stroke-related disability based on mRS and its association with long-term outcomes were analyzed. RESULTS: Among 149,285 patients undergoing CEA, there were 1178 patients without preoperative disability who had postoperative strokes and reported mRS scores. Mean age was 71 ± 9.2 years, and 59.6% of patients were male. Regarding ipsilateral cortical symptoms within 6 months preoperatively, 83.5% of patients were asymptomatic, 7.3% had transient ischemic attacks, and 9.2% had strokes. Postoperative stroke-related disability was classified as mRS 0 (11.6%), 1 (19.5%), 2 to 3 (29.4%), 4 to 5 (31.5%), and 6 (8%). One-year survival stratified by postoperative stroke-related disability was 91.4% for mRS 0, 95.6% for mRS 1, 92.1% for mRS 2 to 3, and 81.5% for mRS 4 to 5 (P < .001). Multivariable analysis demonstrated that while severe postoperative disability was associated with increased death at 1 year (hazard ratio [HR], 2.97; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.5-5.89; P = .002), moderate postoperative disability had no such association (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.45-2; P = .88). One-year freedom from subsequent ipsilateral neurological events or death stratified by postoperative stroke-related disability was 87.8% for mRS 0, 93.3% for mRS 1, 88.5% for mRS 2 to 3, and 77.9% for mRS 4 to 5 (P < .001). Severe postoperative disability was independently associated with increased ipsilateral neurological events or death at 1 year (HR, 2.34; 95% CI, 1.25-4.38; P = .01). However, moderate postoperative disability exhibited no such association (HR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.46-1.82; P = .8). CONCLUSIONS: The majority of patients without preoperative disability who suffered strokes after CEA developed significant disability. Severe stroke-related disability was associated with higher 1-year mortality and subsequent neurological events. These data can improve informed consent for CEA and guide prognostication after postoperative strokes.

Critical interactions between race and the highly granular area deprivation index in liver transplant evaluation.

Neighborhood socioeconomic deprivation may have important implications on disparities in liver transplant (LT) evaluation. In this retrospective cohort study, we constructed a novel dataset by linking individual patient-level data with the highly granular Area Deprivation Index (ADI), which is advantageous over other neighborhood measures due to: specificity of Census Block-Group (versus Census Tract, Zip code), scoring, and robust variables. Our cohort included 1377 adults referred to our center for LT evaluation 8/1/2016-12/31/2019. Using modified Poisson regression, we tested for effect measure modification of the association between neighborhood socioeconomic status (nSES) and LT evaluation outcomes (listing, initiating evaluation, and death) by race and ethnicity. Compared to patients with high nSES, those with low nSES were at higher risk of not being listed (aRR = 1.14; 95%CI 1.05-1.22; p < .001), of not initiating evaluation post-referral (aRR = 1.20; 95%CI 1.01-1.42; p = .03) and of dying without initiating evaluation (aRR = 1.55; 95%CI 1.09-2.2; p = .01). While White patients with low nSES had similar rates of listing compared to White patients with high nSES (aRR = 1.06; 95%CI .96-1.17; p = .25), Underrepresented patients from neighborhoods with low nSES incurred 31% higher risk of not being listed compared to Underrepresented patients from neighborhoods with high nSES (aRR = 1.31; 95%CI 1.12-1.5; p < .001). Interventions addressing neighborhood deprivation may not only benefit patients with low nSES but may address racial and ethnic inequities.

Monocyte Distribution Width as a Diagnostic Marker for Infection: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Monocyte distribution width (MDW) is an emerging biomarker for infection. It is available easily and quickly as part of the CBC count, which is performed routinely on hospital admission. The increasing availability and promising results of MDW as a biomarker in sepsis has prompted an expansion of its use to other infectious diseases. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the diagnostic performance of MDW across multiple infectious disease outcomes and care settings? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: A systematic review of the diagnostic performance of MDW across multiple infectious disease outcomes was conducted by searching PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science through February 4, 2022. Meta-analysis was performed for outcomes with three or more reports identified (sepsis and COVID-19). Diagnostic performance measures were calculated for individual studies with pooled estimates created by linear mixed-effects models. RESULTS: We identified 29 studies meeting inclusion criteria. Most examined sepsis (19 studies) and COVID-19 (six studies). Pooled estimates of diagnostic performance for sepsis differed by reference standard (Second vs Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock criteria) and tube anticoagulant used and ranged from an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.74 to 0.94, with mean sensitivity of 0.69 to 0.79 and mean specificity of 0.57 to 0.86. For COVID-19, the pooled AUC of MDW was 0.76, mean sensitivity was 0.79, and mean specificity was 0.59. INTERPRETATION: MDW exhibited good diagnostic performance for sepsis and COVID-19. Diagnostic thresholds for sepsis should be chosen with consideration of reference standard and tube type used. TRIAL REGISTRY: Prospero; No.: CRD42020210074; URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/.

Renal outcomes following intravenous contrast administration in patients with acute kidney injury: a multi-site retrospective propensity-adjusted analysis.

PURPOSE: Evidence of an association between intravenous contrast media (CM) and persistent renal dysfunction is lacking for patients with pre-existing acute kidney injury (AKI). This study was designed to determine the association between intravenous CM administration and persistent AKI in patients with pre-existing AKI. METHODS: A retrospective propensity-weighted and entropy-balanced observational cohort analysis of consecutive hospitalized patients ≥ 18 years old meeting Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) creatinine-based criteria for AKI at time of arrival to one of three emergency departments between 7/1/2017 and 6/30/2021 who did or did not receive intravenous CM. Outcomes included persistent AKI at hospital discharge and initiation of dialysis within 180 days of index encounter. RESULTS: Our analysis included 14,449 patient encounters, with 12.8% admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). CM was administered in 18.4% of all encounters. AKI resolved prior to hospital discharge for 69.1%. No association between intravenous CM administration and persistent AKI was observed after unadjusted multivariable logistic regression modeling (OR 1; 95% CI 0.89-1.11), propensity weighting (OR 0.93; 95% CI 0.83-1.05), and entropy balancing (OR 0.94; 95% CI 0.83-1.05). Sub-group analysis in those admitted to the ICU yielded similar results. Initiation of dialysis within 180 days was observed in 5.4% of the cohort. An association between CM administration and increased risk of dialysis within 180 days was not observed. CONCLUSION: Among patients with pre-existing AKI, contrast administration was not associated with either persistent AKI at hospital discharge or initiation of dialysis within 180 days. Current consensus recommendations for use of intravenous CM in patients with stable renal disease may also be applied to patients with pre-existing AKI.

Qualitative Analysis of Length of Stay and Readmission after Carotid Endarterectomy.

BACKGROUND: Length of stay (LOS) and readmissions are common measures to evaluate quality of health care. The objective of this study was to evaluate factors related to hospital LOS and readmission within 90 days following carotid endarterectomy (CEA) in patients who have not had a stroke. METHODS: Using a single institution database, patients who underwent CEA for carotid stenosis between 2014 and 2019 were identified. Asymptomatic carotid stenosis (no history of any stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) within 6 months prior to CEA), and patients who had a TIA without stroke were included. Demographic and perioperative factors were collected. Primary outcomes analyzed were increased LOS (>1 day) and readmission within 90 days after surgery. RESULTS: There were 125 patients identified who underwent CEA for 133 carotid stenosis, and 8 patients had bilateral CEA; of which 36.8% were asymptomatic carotid stenosis with the remaining being operated on for TIA without any stroke. The mean age was 68 years old and 36.1% of cases were female. The median postoperative LOS was 2 days. Increased LOS occurred in 81 cases (60.9%). Increased LOS, compared to no increased LOS, occurred more often in patients with diabetes (48.1% vs. 30.8%, P = 0.047), in those with operations starting after 12:00 pm (45.7% vs. 21.2%, P = 0.004) and those with any minor complications such as neck swelling, neck pain, and urinary retention (30.9% vs. 15.4%, P = 0.044). Readmission within 90 days after CEA occurred in 24 (18%) of cases. Readmission within 90 days, compared to no readmission within 90 days, occurred more often in patients with a history of coronary artery disease (58.3% vs. 27.5%, P = 0.004), congestive heart failure (37.5% vs. 11%, P = 0.001), and atrial fibrillation (29.2% vs. 8.3%, P = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS: More than half of patients undergoing CEA for carotid stenosis were discharged after postoperative day 1. Interventions on modifiable clinical risk factors, such as morning CEA scheduling and management of comorbidities, may decrease LOS and 90-day readmission rates.