Progression analysis versus traditional methods to quantify slowing of disease progression in Alzheimer's disease.

BACKGROUND: The clinical meaningfulness of the effects of recently approved disease-modifying treatments (DMT) in Alzheimer's disease is under debate. Available evidence is limited to short-term effects on clinical rating scales which may be difficult to interpret and have limited intrinsic meaning to patients. The main value of DMTs accrues over the long term as they are expected to cause a delay or slowing of disease progression. While awaiting such evidence, the translation of short-term effects to time delays or slowing of progression could offer a powerful and readily interpretable representation of clinical outcomes. METHODS: We simulated disease progression trajectories representing two arms, active and placebo, of a hypothetical clinical trial of a DMT. The placebo arm was simulated based on estimated mean trajectories of clinical dementia rating scale-sum of boxes (CDR-SB) recordings from amyloid-positive subjects with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) from Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI). The active arm was simulated to show an average slowing of disease progression versus placebo of 20% at each visit. The treatment effects in the simulated trials were estimated with a progression model for repeated measures (PMRM) and a mixed model for repeated measures (MMRM) for comparison. For PMRM, the treatment effect is expressed in units of time (e.g., days) and for MMRM in units of the outcome (e.g., CDR-SB points). PMRM results were implemented in a health economics Markov model extrapolating disease progression and death over 15 years. RESULTS: The PMRM model estimated a 19% delay in disease progression at 18 months and 20% (~ 7 months delay) at 36 months, while the MMRM model estimated a 25% reduction in CDR-SB (~ 0.5 points) at 36 months. The PMRM model had slightly greater power compared to MMRM. The health economic model based on the estimated time delay suggested an increase in life expectancy (10 months) without extending time in severe stages of disease. CONCLUSION: PMRM methods can be used to estimate treatment effects in terms of slowing of progression which translates to time metrics that can be readily interpreted and appreciated as meaningful outcomes for patients, care partners, and health care practitioners.

Comparative Safety and Effectiveness of Reduced Doses of Direct Acting Oral Anticoagulants for Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: This Nordic observational cohort study aims to assess the effectiveness and safety of reduced-dose direct-acting oral anticoagulants (DOACs) dabigatran, rivaroxaban, and apixaban compared to standard warfarin for stroke prevention in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. METHODS: The study, utilizing nationwide administrative databases from Denmark, Sweden, Norway, and Finland, spanned from January 1, 2011 to December 31, 2018 (2017 for Sweden). The cohort included 26,883 patients initiating reduced-dose DOACs and 108,014 comparable warfarin patients. Effectiveness was measured by the composite endpoint of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism, while safety was assessed through intracranial hemorrhage. RESULTS: The meta-analysis across countries revealed similar or lower incidences of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism in patients on reduced-dose DOACs compared to standard warfarin (rivaroxaban: HR 0.93, dabigatran: HR 0.88, apixaban: HR 0.79). Incidences within warfarin groups ranged from 2.16 to 3.71 per 100 person-years, comparable to DOAC recipients. Intracranial hemorrhage rates were generally low, ranging from 0.16 to 1.85 per 100 person-years. In comparison with warfarin patients, meta-analyses yielded HRs for rivaroxaban (1.41), dabigatran (0.35), and apixaban (0.72). CONCLUSIONS: In this study, atrial fibrillation patients initiating reduced-dose rivaroxaban and dabigatran exhibited incidences of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism similar to warfarin, and for apixaban, even lower. Rates of intracranial hemorrhage were comparable to or lower for patients on DOACs compared to warfarin.

Use of ALK-tyrosine kinase inhibitors (ALK TKI) in clinical practice, overall survival, and treatment duration - a Swedish nationwide retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: The real-world treatment and outcomes of patients with anaplastic lymphoma kinase positive (ALK+) advanced non-small cell lung cancer treated with ALK Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor (TKI) drugs in Sweden is not well described. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A retrospective population-based cohort study was conducted using Swedish national registers. All patients with a filled prescription for an ALK TKI between January 2012 and October 2020 were included. The sequencing of ALK TKI and duration of treatment (DOT) were described, and overall survival (OS) was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Patients were stratified based on treatment with frontline chemotherapy, presence of CNS metastases prior to the first ALK TKI, and generation of ALK TKI agent. RESULTS: Among the total of 579 patients, 549 (95%) underwent a therapy sequence in line with current clinical practice with 204 (37%) patients receiving frontline chemotherapy. Single-line ALK TKI was given to 366 patients (crizotinib: 211; alectinib: 146; ceritinib: 9), whereas 128 patients received two different ALK TKI (frontline crizotinib: 100, alectinib: 24, ceritinib: 4); 40 patients received three lines and 15 patients four ALK TKI lines or more. With frontline chemotherapy, the mean (standard deviation) DOT was 1.07 (1.25) years for the entire TKI therapy sequence compared to 1.23 (1.28) years with frontline ALK TKI. The median (95% confidence interval) OS was 1.83 (1.48-2.13) years for the entire cohort, 1.44 (0.89-1.98) years for patients given frontline chemotherapy, and 2.02 (1.60-2.58) years for patients given frontline ALK TKI. CONCLUSION: This study provides a unique overview of the patient population treated with ALK TKI in Sweden and reveals the treatment patterns applied in real clinical practice. More research is needed when longer follow-up data are available for later-generation ALK TKI, to fully understand ALK TKI sequencing and its effect on patient survival in a real-world setting.

Health utility in preclinical and prodromal Alzheimer's disease for establishing the value of new disease-modifying treatments-EQ-5D data from the Swedish BioFINDER study.

Quality of life and health utility are important outcomes for patients with Alzheimer's disease (AD) and central for demonstrating the value of new treatments. Estimates in biomarker-confirmed AD populations are missing, potentially delaying payer approval of treatment. We examined whether health utility, assessed with the EuroQoL-5 3-level version (EQ-5D-3L), differed between individuals with a positive or negative amyloid beta (Aß) biomarker in patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and cognitively unimpaired (CU) participants from the Swedish BioFINDER study (n = 578). Participants with prodromal AD (Aß-positive MCI) reported better health utility (n = 79, mean = 0.81, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-0.85) than Aß-negative MCI (mean = 0.71, 95% CI 0.64-0.78), but worse than controls (Aß-negative CU, mean = 0.87, 95% CI 0.86-0.89). Health utility in preclinical AD (Aß-positive CU; mean = 0.86, 95% CI 0.83-0.89) was similar to controls. This relatively good health utility in prodromal AD suggests a larger value of delaying progression to dementia than previously anticipated and a great value of delaying clinical progression in preclinical AD.

Incidence of Psoriatic Arthritis in Patients with Skin Psoriasis and Associated Risk Factors: A Retrospective Population-based Cohort Study in Swedish Routine Clinical Care.

The incidence of psoriatic arthritis in patients with psoriasis is unclear; existing estimates differ by a factor of ten. Complete population-level data is needed to provide accurate estimates with high confidence. A total of 123,814 adults with psoriasis, free from pre-existing psoriatic arthritis, were identified in population-based data from secondary care in Sweden during 2007 to 2017. Incidence was calculated as the number of psoriatic arthritis diagnosis events per 100 patient-years. Time to diagnosis was assessed using cumulative incidence and Cox proportional hazards models to identify risk factors. Incidence of psoriatic arthritis in patients with psoriasis was 1.69 per 100 patient-years (95% confidence interval 1.65-1.72) overall, and 1.48, 3.00, and 5.49 per 100 patient-years in patients with mild, moderate and severe psoriasis, respectively. Risk of psoriatic arthritis was 3.2 times higher amongst patients with severe psoriasis compared with mild disease. Dermatologists should regularly assess risk factors for psoriatic arthritis in clinical practice in order to improve the detection of psoriatic arthritis.