Ordinal Outcome State-Space Models for Intensive Longitudinal Data.

Intensive longitudinal (IL) data are increasingly prevalent in psychological science, coinciding with technological advancements that make it simple to deploy study designs such as daily diary and ecological momentary assessments. IL data are characterized by a rapid rate of data collection (1+ collections per day), over a period of time, allowing for the capture of the dynamics that underlie psychological and behavioral processes. One powerful framework for analyzing IL data is state-space modeling, where observed variables are considered measurements for underlying states (i.e., latent variables) that change together over time. However, state-space modeling has typically relied on continuous measurements, whereas psychological data often come in the form of ordinal measurements such as Likert scale items. In this manuscript, we develop a general estimation approach for state-space models with ordinal measurements, specifically focusing on a graded response model for Likert scale items. We evaluate the performance of our model and estimator against that of the commonly used "linear approximation" model, which treats ordinal measurements as though they are continuous. We find that our model resulted in unbiased estimates of the state dynamics, while the linear approximation resulted in strongly biased estimates of the state dynamics. Finally, we develop an approximate standard error, termed slice standard errors and show that these approximate standard errors are more liberal than true standard errors (i.e., smaller) at a consistent bias.

Germline V repertoires: Origin, maintenance, diversification.

In our view, Melvin Cohn (Scand J Immunol. 2018;87:e12640) has set out the logical guidelines towards a resolution of the very real enigma of the selectability of vertebrate germline Ig V repertoires under the current evolutionary paradigm…" A somatically derived repertoire scrambles this (germline VL + VH) substrate so that its specificities are lost, making it un-selectable in the germline. Consequently, evolution faced an incompatibility." It is argued here in Reply that a reverse transcriptase-based soma-to-germline process (S->G) targeting germline V segment arrays goes some considerable way to resolving fundamental contradictions on the origin, maintenance and then real-time adaptive diversification of these limited sets of V segments encoded within various V repertoire arrays.

Management of hip fractures in older people in Beijing: a retrospective audit and comparison with evidence-based guidelines and practice in the UK.

UNLABELLED: Despite the high burden of hip fracture in China, there is limited information on its management. This study investigated the management of hip fractures in a Beijing tertiary hospital and compared practice with that in 180 hospitals in the UK. The findings show a significant gap exists between the countries. INTRODUCTION: The purpose of this study was to determine if the management of older people with hip fractures in a Beijing tertiary hospital is comparable with the UK best practice guidelines for hip fracture management and the UK National Hip Fracture Database 2012, obtained from 180 hospitals. METHODS: A retrospective audit was undertaken in a large tertiary care hospital in Beijing. Data were compared with the National Hip Fracture Database 2012 collected in 180 hospitals in the UK on the proportion of patients managed according to the UK Blue Book standards. RESULTS: Sixty-six percent of patients were admitted to an orthopaedic ward within 24 h of fracture, while 100 % of patients in the UK were admitted to an orthopaedic ward within 24 h of arrival to an accident and emergency department. Only 8 % of patients received surgery within 48 h of admission compared with 83 % in the UK; 10 % received no surgery compared with 2.5 % in the UK; and 27 % received orthogeriatrician assessment compared with 70 % in the UK. New pressure ulcers developed in 2 % of patients compared with 3.7 % of those in the UK; whereas, 0.3 % of patients were assessed for osteoporosis treatment and 3.8 % received falls assessment, and comparable figures for the UK were 94 and 92 %, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Significant gaps exist in hip fracture management in the Beijing hospital compared with the best practice achieved in 180 UK hospitals, highlighting the need to implement and evaluate proactive strategies to increase the uptake of best practice hip fracture care in China.

Stroke management: updated recommendations for treatment along the care continuum.

The Australian Clinical Guidelines for Stroke Management 2010 represents an update of the Clinical Guidelines for Stroke Rehabilitation and Recovery (2005) and the Clinical Guidelines for Acute Stroke Management (2007). For the first time, they cover the whole spectrum of stroke, from public awareness and prehospital response to stroke unit and stroke management strategies, acute treatment, secondary prevention, rehabilitation and community care. The guidelines also include recommendations on transient ischaemic attack. The most significant changes to previous guideline recommendations include the extension of the stroke thrombolysis window from 3 to 4.5 h and the change from positive to negative recommendations for the use of thigh-length antithrombotic stockings for deep venous thrombosis prevention and the routine use of prolonged positioning for contracture management.

The relationship between aortic stiffness and changes in retinal microvessels among Asian ischemic stroke patients.

Large-artery stiffness is a risk factor for stroke, including cerebral small-vessel disease. Retinal microvascular changes are thought to mirror those in cerebral microvessels. We investigated the relationship between aortic stiffness and retinal microvascular changes in Asian ischemic stroke patients. We studied 145 acute ischemic stroke patients in Singapore who had aortic stiffness measurements using carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cPWV). Retinal photographs were assessed for retinal microvessel caliber and qualitative signs of focal arteriolar narrowing, arteriovenous nicking and enhanced arteriolar light reflex. Aortic stiffening was associated with retinal arteriolar changes. Retinal arteriolar caliber decreased with increasing cPWV (r=-0.207, P=0.014). After adjusting for age, gender, hypertension, diabetes, mean arterial pressure and small-vessel stroke subtype, patients within the highest cPWV quartile were more likely to have generalized retinal arteriolar narrowing defined as lowest caliber tertile (odds ratio (OR) 6.84, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.45-32.30), focal arteriolar narrowing (OR 13.85, CI 1.82-105.67), arteriovenous nicking (OR 5.08, CI 1.12-23.00) and enhanced arteriolar light reflex (OR 3.83, CI 0.89-16.48), compared with those within the lowest quartile. In ischemic stroke patients, aortic stiffening is associated with retinal arteriolar luminal narrowing as well as features of retinal arteriolosclerosis.

Synchronous laparoscopic-assisted percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy and peritoneal dialysis catheter placement is a valid alternative to open surgery.

OBJECTIVE: Gastrostomy feeding is frequently necessary in children receiving chronic peritoneal dialysis (PD). Synchronous laparoscopic-assisted placement of percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy (PEG) and PD catheter has many potential advantages. This study investigates whether this technique is comparable to open placement. METHODS: The notes of all patients over a 16-year time period were reviewed retrospectively. Peritonitis was defined as the presence of a white blood cell count > 100/mm(3) with at least 50% being polymorphonuclear leukocytes, and infection was defined as the presence of positive peritoneal cultures with peritonitis. RESULTS: Ten patients received primary laparoscopic-assisted PEG and PD catheter insertion (LAP) and 23 patients open gastrostomy and PD catheter (OPEN). PD catheter survival was median 12 months in the LAP group and 17 months in the OPEN group. Peritonitis and infection rates per catheter-year were 0.89 and 0.7 LAP and 0.59 and 0.5 OPEN. The risk of peritonitis and infection was not related to method of placement. CONCLUSIONS: There were no statistically significant differences in outcomes between the two groups. We conclude that laparoscopic-assisted synchronous PD and PEG catheter insertion is safe and effective.

An evaluation of an Internet-based approach to weight loss with low glycaemic load principles.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of overweight and obesity is increasing worldwide at an alarming rate. An Internet-based weight-loss programme has the potential to reach larger numbers of people than traditional face-to-face programmes. A growing body of evidence supports the use of low glycaemic load (GL) diets for weight loss. The present study aimed to investigate the efficacy of an Internet-based weight-loss programme that included foods with a low GL. METHODS: One hundred and three volunteers, with a body mass index (BMI) ≥28 kg m(-2) , enrolled into an Internet weight-loss programme. A dietitian counselled participants over the Internet via weekly interactive chat rooms and monthly e-mails. Participants self-recorded body weight and food intake directly on to the Internet site. Weight, BMI and waist circumference were measured, and dietary data collected, at baseline and 6 months. RESULTS: Seventy participants completed the 6-month weight-loss programme. Among these, mean weight, BMI and waist circumference significantly decreased by 3.5 kg (95% CI = 2.3-4.7), 1.2 kg m(-2) (95% CI = 0.8-1.7) and 4.8 cm (95% CI = 2.8-6.8), of baseline values respectively (P < 0.001). Twenty-five (36%) of the 70 participants lost a clinically significant amount of weight (>5% of initial body weight). CONCLUSIONS: This descriptive study has shown that an Internet-based weight-loss programme with low GL principles can promote weight loss. This type of intervention and approach could be used to enhance other weight-loss strategies.

Retinal microvascular changes and subsequent vascular events after ischemic stroke.

OBJECTIVES: Retinal microvasculature changes are associated with vascular events including stroke in healthy populations. It is not known whether retinal microvascular changes predict recurrent vascular events after ischemic stroke. We examined the relationship between retinal microvascular signs and subsequent vascular events in a prospective cohort of 652 acute ischemic stroke patients admitted to a tertiary hospital in Singapore from 2005 to 2007. METHODS: Retinal photographs taken within 1 week of stroke onset were assessed in a masked manner for quantitative and qualitative measures. Follow-up data over 2-4 years were obtained by standardized telephone interview and then were verified from medical records. Predictors of recurrent vascular events (cerebrovascular, coronary, vascular death, and composite vascular events) were determined using Cox regression models. RESULTS: Follow-up data over a median of 29 months were obtained for 89% (652 patients) of the cohort. After adjustment for covariates including traditional risk factors and index stroke etiology, patients with severe arteriovenous nicking (AVN) were more likely to have a recurrent cerebrovascular event (hazard ratio [HR] 2.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.20-4.33) compared with those without AVN. Patients with severe focal arteriolar narrowing (FAN) were more likely to have a recurrent cerebrovascular event (HR 2.75, 95% CI 1.14-6.63) or subsequent composite vascular event (HR 2.77, 95% CI 1.31-5.86) compared to those without FAN. CONCLUSIONS: Retinal microvascular changes predicted subsequent vascular events after ischemic stroke, independent of traditional risk factors and stroke subtype. Thus, retinal imaging has a potential role in predicting the risk of recurrent vascular events after ischemic stroke and in understanding novel vascular risk factors.

The burden of infectious gastroenteritis in elderly residents and staff of long-term care facilities, Australia.

We estimated the incidence of gastroenteritis in 16 Australian long-term care facilities. During 12 months' surveillance, 245 (96%) of 254 episodes of gastroenteritis among long-term care residents were associated with 17 outbreaks in 11 facilities. Incidence in long-term care residents was 0.64 episodes per 1,000 bed-days (95% confidence interval, 0.29-1.42).

The second (main) phase of an open, randomised, multicentre study to investigate the effectiveness of an intensive blood pressure reduction in acute cerebral haemorrhage trial (INTERACT2).

RATIONALE: The INTERACT pilot study demonstrated the feasibility of the protocol, safety of early intensive blood pressure lowering and effects on haematoma expansion within 6 h of onset of intracerebral haemorrhage. This article describes the design of the second, main phase, INTERACT2. AIMS: To compare the effects of a management strategy of early intensive blood pressure lowering with a more conservative guideline-based blood pressure management policy in patients with acute intracerebral hemorrhage. DESIGN: INTERACT2 is a prospective, randomized, open label, assessor-blinded end-point (PROBE). Patients with a systolic blood pressure greater than 150 mmHg and no definite indication for or contraindication to blood pressure-lowering treatment are centrally randomised to either of two treatment groups within 6 h onset of intracerebral haemorrhage. Those allocated to intensive blood pressure lowering will receive primarily intravenous, hypotensive agents to achieve a systolic blood pressure target of <140 mmHg within 1 h of randomisation and to maintain this level for up to 7 days in hospital. The control group will receive blood pressure-lowering treatment to a target systolic blood pressure of <180 mmHg. Both groups are to receive similar acute stroke unit care, therapy and active management. Oral antihypertensive therapy is recommended in patients before hospital discharge with a long-term systolic blood pressure goal of 140 mmHg according to secondary stroke prevention guidelines. A projected 2800 subjects are to be enrolled from approximately 140 centres worldwide to provide 90% power (alpha 0.05) to detect a 14% difference in the risk of death and dependency between the groups, which equates to one or more cases of a poor outcome prevented in every 15 patients treated. STUDY OUTCOMES: The primary outcome is the combined end-point of death and dependency according to the modified Rankin Scale at 90 days. The secondary outcomes are the separate components of the primary end-point in patients treated <4 hours of ICH onset, grades of physical function on the modified Rankin Scale, health-related quality of life on the EuroQoL, recurrent stroke and other vascular events, days of hospitalisation, requirement for permanent residential care and unexpected serious adverse events.

Lack of pneumococcal carriage in the hospitalised elderly.

UNLABELLED: There have been few surveys of Streptococcus pneumoniae and Neisseria meningitidis carriage in sick or frail elderly people who, with the very young, comprise the group who are at highest risk for pneumococcal disease. We studied pneumococcal carriage among participants in a pneumococcal immunisation study in the frail elderly. METHODS: Subjects aged >or=60 years were recruited from a large tertiary referral hospital in Sydney, Australia. Nose and throat swabs were collected at the time of enrolment and 12 months after immunisation. RESULTS: Before immunisation, only 1 of 315 participants was identified as a nasal carrier of S. pneumoniae; another was identified as throat carrier of N. meningitidis. None of the participants examined after immunisation was carrying either S. pneumoniae or N. meningitidis. CONCLUSION: The low rate of pneumococcal carriage in this population of hospitalised elderly patients was unexpected. The most likely reason is that long-term carriage is rare in this population and suggests that pneumococcal disease primarily follows recent acquisition of S. pneumoniae types not associated with carriage.

Difficulties in recruiting older people in clinical trials: an examination of barriers and solutions.

Limited information exists regarding optimal methods for the recruitment and retention of older people in clinical trials. The aim of this review is to identify common barriers to the recruitment of older people in clinical trials and to propose solutions to overcome these barriers. A review of literature was performed to identify common difficulties in recruiting older people. This in combination with our experience during recruitment for a randomized control trial, have highlighted numerous barriers. Population-specific recruitment strategies, simple informed-consent processes, and effective communication between the researcher and subject are effective strategies to overcome these barriers.

Surveillance for outbreaks of influenza-like illness in the institutionalized elderly.

Respiratory outbreaks are common in aged-care facilities (ACFs), are both underreported and frequently identified late, and are often associated with considerable burden of illness and death. There is emerging evidence that active surveillance coupled with early and systematic intervention can reduce this burden. Active surveillance for influenza-like illness and rapid diagnosis of influenza were established in 16 ACFs in Sydney, Australia, prior to the winter of 2006. A point-of-care influenza test and laboratory direct immunofluorescence tests for common respiratory viruses were used for diagnosis. We achieved early identification of seven respiratory disease outbreaks, two of which were caused by influenza. For the influenza outbreaks, antiviral treatment and prophylaxis were initiated 4-6 days from symptom onset in the primary case. A simple active surveillance system for influenza was successfully implemented and resulted in early detection of influenza and other respiratory disease outbreaks. This enabled earlier implementation of prevention and control measures and increased the potential effectiveness of anti-influenza chemoprophylaxis.

A practical assessment of magnetic resonance diffusion-perfusion mismatch in acute stroke: observer variation and outcome.

MR diffusion/perfusion mismatch may help identify patients for acute stroke treatment, but mixed results from clinical trials suggest that further evaluation of the mismatch concept is required. To work effectively, mismatch should predict prognosis on arrival at hospital. We assessed mismatch duration and associations with functional outcome in acute stroke. We recruited consecutive patients with acute stroke, recorded baseline clinical variables, performed MR diffusion and perfusion imaging and assessed 3-month functional outcome. We assessed practicalities, agreement between mismatch on mean transit time (MTT) or cerebral blood flow (CBF) maps, visually and with lesion volume, and the relationship of each to functional outcome. Of 82 patients starting imaging, 14 (17%) failed perfusion imaging. Overall, 42% had mismatch (56% at <6 h; 41% at 12-24 h; 23% at 24-48 h). Agreement for mismatch by visual versus volume assessment was fair using MTT (kappa 0.59, 95% CI 0.34-0.84) but poor using CBF (kappa 0.24, 95% CI 0.01-0.48). Mismatch by either definition was not associated with functional outcome, even when the analysis was restricted to just those with mismatch. Visual estimation is a reasonable proxy for mismatch volume on MTT but not CBF. Perfusion is more difficult for acute stroke patients than diffusion imaging. Mismatch is present in many patients beyond 12 h after stroke. Mismatch alone does not distinguish patients with good and poor prognosis; both can do well or poorly. Other factors, e.g. reperfusion, may influence outcome more strongly, even in patients without mismatch.

A qualitative study to assess the perceived benefits and barriers to the pneumococcal vaccine in hospitalised older people.

UNLABELLED: Pneumococcal vaccine is now recommended for all people aged 65 years and over in Australia, yet many in this age group remain unvaccinated, especially those from Non-English Speaking Backgrounds (NESB). AIM: Our aim was to assess some of the perceived beliefs, benefits and barriers to pneumococcal immunisation in older people. DESIGN AND SETTING: We conducted qualitative open-ended interviews among elderly hospital inpatients aged receiving care in the geriatric, cardiology, and orthopaedic departments of a large, 800-bed tertiary referral hospital. METHODS: 24 participants who had not received pneumococcal immunisation, and who were aged 60 years and over, were mentally competent and well enough to be interviewed were selected for our study. RESULTS: Three topics were addressed: patient attitudes towards vaccination, knowledge of vaccines and their purpose, and accessibility of patient education materials about vaccines and their purpose. Patients who accepted pneumococcal immunisation (acceptors) generally were unaware of the vaccine or did not know it was recommended for them. Patients who refused the pneumococcal vaccine (refusers) either would not consider it without the recommendation of their general practitioner or they maintained the belief that the vaccination would cause illness or symptoms. Knowledge about the availability and purpose of the pneumococcal vaccine was poor amongst our group. CONCLUSION: Poor knowledge of the availability and purpose of pneumococcal immunisation was prevalent in our subjects. Appropriate education campaigns and trusting and positive relationships with the general practitioners are likely to improve immunisation uptake.

'Getting your life back on track after stroke': a Phase II multi-centered, single-blind, randomized, controlled trial of the Stroke Self-Management Program vs. the Stanford Chronic Condition Self-Management Program or standard care in stroke survivors.

BACKGROUND: Self-management is seen as a primary mechanism to support the optimization of care for people with chronic diseases such as symptomatic vascular disease. There are no established and evidence-based stroke-specific chronic disease self-management programs. Our aim is to evaluate whether a stroke-specific program is safe and feasible as part of a Phase II randomized-controlled clinical trial. METHODS: Stroke survivors are recruited from a variety of sources including: hospital stroke services, local paper advertisements, Stroke South Australia newsletter (volunteer peer support organization), Divisions of General Practice, and community service providers across Adelaide, South Australia. Subjects are invited to participate in a multi-center, single-blind, randomized, controlled trial. Eligible participants are randomized to either; * standard care, * standard care plus a six week generic chronic condition self-management group education program, or, * standard care plus an eight week stroke specific self-management education group program. Interventions are conducted after discharge from hospital. Participants are assessed at baseline, immediate post intervention and six months. STUDY OUTCOMES: The primary outcome measures determine study feasibility and safety, measuring, recruitment, participation, compliance and adverse events. Secondary outcomes include: * positive and active engagement in life measured by the Health Education Impact Questionnaire, * improvements in quality of life measured by the Assessment of Quality of Life instrument, * improvements in mood measured by the Irritability, Depression and Anxiety Scale, * health resource utilization measured by a participant held diary and safety. CONCLUSION: The results of this study will determine whether a definitive Phase III efficacy trial is justified.

Immunological responses to pneumococcal vaccine in frail older people.

UNLABELLED: Advanced age has been associated with a wide range of defects in both the innate and adaptive immune systems including diminished specific antibody responses that increase the risk of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and limit the effectiveness of vaccines. However, the elderly are a heterogeneous group and measures of overall frailty may be a better indicator of disease susceptibility (or vaccine response) than chronological age alone. AIM: To evaluate the immunogenicity of the 7-valent conjugated pneumococcal vaccine (PCV7) versus 23-valent polysaccharide vaccine (23vPPV) and compare the immune response to four serotypes (4, 6B, 18C and 19F), with respect to age or frailty in an elderly population of previously unvaccinated hospitalized patients. METHOD: 241 patients aged 60 years and over, recruited between 16 May 2005 and 20 February 2006, were randomised to 23PPV or PCV7 vaccine. We measured Frailty Index (FI), Barthel index and the MiniMental State. Serotype-specific IgG was measured by ELISA at base line and 6 months after vaccination. Antibody responses were defined by the ratio of post-vaccination to pre-vaccination IgG antibody concentration (poor < 2-fold increase, acceptable > or = 2.0 to 3.99-fold and strong > or = 4.0-fold increase). RESULTS: Pre-immunization IgG was generally low and did not differ significantly by age or frailty. Post-immunization, IgG increased to all four serotypes; acceptable or strong response ranged between 29% for (6B) and 57% for (18C). There was no significant difference between the two vaccine types (23PPV versus PCV7). At 6 months post-vaccination, the highest geometric mean IgG concentrations (GMCs) were seen for serotype 19F and the lowest for serotype 4. Although there was some variation by serotype, responses after vaccination were lowest in the most frail or aged subjects. CONCLUSIONS: Pneumococcal vaccines are perceived to offer low protection in the frail elderly, but our study showed that the proportion of this vulnerable population with acceptable responses is encouraging. Frailty, as measured by the Frailty Index, appears to be a better predictor of immune response to pneumococcal vaccines than age alone.

Muir-Torre syndrome: a case report and screening recommendations.

Muir-Torre syndrome is a rare genodermatosis (hereditary cancer syndrome associated with distinguishing cutaneous signs) characterised by occurrence of sebaceous neoplasia and visceral malignancy. Colorectal cancer is the commonest visceral malignancy associated with Muir-Torre syndrome. We discuss a case report along with recommendations for diagnosis and screening.

A randomised controlled trial of postoperative radiotherapy following breast-conserving surgery in a minimum-risk older population. The PRIME trial.

OBJECTIVES: To assess whether omission of postoperative radiotherapy in women with 'low-risk' axillary node negative breast cancer (T0-2) treated by breast-conserving surgery and endocrine therapy improves quality of life and is more cost-effective. DESIGN: A randomised controlled clinical trial, using a method of minimisation balanced by centre, grade of cancer, age, lymphatic/vascular invasion and preoperative endocrine therapy, was performed. A non-randomised cohort was also recruited, in order to complete a comprehensive cohort study. SETTING: The setting was breast cancer clinics in cancer centres in the UK. PARTICIPANTS: Patients aged 65 years or more were eligible provided that their cancers were considered to be at low risk of local recurrence, were suitable for breast-conservation surgery, were receiving endocrine therapy and were able and willing to give informed consent. INTERVENTIONS: The standard treatment of postoperative breast irradiation or the omission of radiotherapy. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Quality of life was the primary outcome measure, together with anxiety and depression and cost-effectiveness. Secondary outcome measures were recurrence rates, functional status, treatment-related morbidity and cosmesis. The principal method of data collection was by questionnaire, completed at home with a research nurse at four times over 15 months. RESULTS: The hypothesised improvement in overall quality of life with the omission of radiotherapy was not seen in the EuroQol assessment or in the functionality and symptoms summary domains of the European Organisation for Research in the Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) scales. Some differences were apparent within subscales of the EORTC questionnaires, and insights into the impact of treatment were also provided by the qualitative data obtained by open-ended questions. Differences were most apparent shortly after the time of completion of radiotherapy. Radiotherapy was then associated with increased breast symptoms and with greater fatigue but with less insomnia and endocrine side-effects. Patients had significant concerns about the delivery of radiotherapy services, such as transport, accommodation and travel costs associated with receiving radiotherapy. By the end of follow-up, patients receiving radiotherapy were expressing less anxiety about recurrence than those who had not received radiotherapy. Functionality was not greatly affected by treatment. Within the randomised controlled trial, the Barthel Index demonstrated a small but significant fall in functionality with radiotherapy compared with the no radiotherapy arm of the trial. Results from the non-randomised patients did not confirm this effect, however. Cosmetic results were better in those not receiving radiotherapy but this did not appear to be an important issue to the patients. The use of home-based assessments by a research nurse proved to be an effective way of obtaining high-quality data. Costs to the NHS associated with postoperative radiotherapy were calculated to be of the order of 2000 pounds per patient. In the follow-up in this study, there were no recurrences, and the quality of life utilities from EuroQol were almost identical. CONCLUSIONS: Although there are no differences in overall quality of life scores between the patients treated with and without radiotherapy, there are several dimensions that exhibit significant advantage to the omission of irradiation. Over the first 15 months, radiotherapy for this population is not a cost-effective treatment. However, the early postoperative outcome does not give a complete answer and the eventual cost-effectiveness will only become clear after long-term follow-up. Extrapolations from these data suggest that radiotherapy may not be a cost-effective treatment unless it results in a recurrence rate that is at least 5% lower in absolute terms than those treated without radiotherapy. Further research is needed into a number of areas including the long-term aspects of quality of life, clinical outcomes, costs and consequences of omitting radiotherapy.