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1.
J Pharm Sci ; 2024 Jun 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38862090

RESUMEN

Reformulation with addition of antioxidants is one potential mitigation strategy to prevent or reduce nitrosamine drug substance-related impurities (NDSRIs) in drug products. To explore whether there could be other approaches to demonstrate bioequivalence for a reformulated oral product, which typically needs in vivo bioequivalence studies to support the changes after approval, the effects of antioxidant on the in vitro permeability of BCS III model drug substances were investigated to see whether there could be any potential impact on drug absorption. Six antioxidants were screened and four (ascorbic acid, cysteine, α-tocopherol and propyl gallate) were selected based on their nitrosamine inhibition efficiencies. The study demonstrated that these four antioxidants, at the tested amounts, did not have observable impact on the in vitro permeability of the BCS III model drug substances across Caco-2 cell monolayers in the In Vitro Dissolution Absorption System (IDAS). An in vitro permeability study could be considered as part of one potential bioequivalence bridging approach for reformulated low-risk immediate release solid oral products and oral suspension products. Other factors such as the influence of antioxidants on intestinal transporter activities should be considered where appropriate.

2.
Pharmaceutics ; 16(5)2024 May 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38794309

RESUMEN

The presence of mutagenic and carcinogenic N-nitrosamine impurities in medicinal products poses a safety risk. While incorporating antioxidants in formulations is a potential mitigation strategy, concerns arise regarding their interference with drug absorption by inhibiting intestinal drug transporters. Our study screened thirty antioxidants for inhibitory effects on key intestinal transporters-OATP2B1, P-gp, and BCRP in HEK-293 cells (OATP2B1) or membrane vesicles (P-gp, BCRP) using 3H-estrone sulfate, 3H-N-methyl quinidine, and 3H-CCK8 as substrates, respectively. The screen identified that butylated hydroxyanisole (BHA) and carnosic acid inhibited all three transporters (OATP2B1, P-gp, and BCRP), while ascorbyl palmitate (AP) inhibited OATP2B1 by more than 50%. BHA had IC50 values of 71 ± 20 µM, 206 ± 14 µM, and 182 ± 49 µM for OATP2B1, BCRP, and P-gp, respectively. AP exhibited IC50 values of 23 ± 10 µM for OATP2B1. The potency of AP and BHA was tested with valsartan, an OATP2B1 substrate, and revealed IC50 values of 26 ± 17 µM and 19 ± 11 µM, respectively, in HEK-293-OATP2B1 cells. Comparing IC50 values of AP and BHA with estimated intestinal concentrations suggests an unlikely inhibition of intestinal transporters at clinical concentrations of drugs formulated with antioxidants.

3.
AAPS J ; 26(1): 14, 2024 01 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38200397

RESUMEN

This report summarizes relevant insights and discussions from a 2022 FDA public workshop titled Best Practices for Utilizing Modeling Approaches to Support Generic Product Development which illustrated how model-integrated evidence has been used and can be leveraged further to inform generic drug product development and regulatory decisions during the assessment of generic drug applications submitted to the FDA. The workshop attendees discussed that model-integrated evidence (MIE) approaches for generics are being applied in the space of long-acting injectable (LAI) products to develop shorter and more cost-effective alternative study designs for LAI products. Modeling and simulation approaches are utilized to support virtual BE assessments at the site of action for locally acting drug products and to assess the impact of food on BE assessments for oral dosage forms. The factors contributing to the success of the model-informed drug development program under PDUFA VI were discussed. The generic drug industry shared that decisions on formulation candidate/formulation variant selection, on pilot in vivo bioavailability studies, and on alternative study designs for BE assessment are informed by modeling and simulation approaches. There was agreement that interactions between the regulatory agencies and the industry are desirable because they improve the industry's understanding of scientific and other regulatory considerations on implementing modeling and simulation approaches in drug development and regulatory submissions.


Asunto(s)
Desarrollo de Medicamentos , Medicamentos Genéricos , Disponibilidad Biológica , Simulación por Computador , Industria Farmacéutica
4.
Clin Pharmacol Ther ; 114(5): 1134-1141, 2023 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37669218

RESUMEN

Oral extended-release (ER) dosage forms have been used to sustain blood drug levels, reduce adverse events, and improve patient compliance. We investigated potential effects of comedication on pharmacokinetic exposure of nifedipine ER products with different formulation designs and manufacturing processes. A clinical study compared a generic version of nifedipine ER tablet with pH-dependent dissolution behavior with an osmotic pump product with pH independent drug release under fasting condition. In this study, two nifedipine tablet products were tested with or without short-term omeprazole comedication in healthy subjects. Seven-day administration of omeprazole before nifedipine dosing significantly increased the gastric pH, and subsequently increased the geometric least square (LS) means of area under the concentration-time curve from time zero to the last measurable timepoint (AUC0-t ) and maximum plasma concentration (Cmax ) of nifedipine to 132.6% (90% confidence interval (CI): 120.6-145.7%) and 112.8% (90% CI: 100.8-126.3%) for pH-dependent ER tablets, and 120.6% (90% CI: 109.7-132.5%) and 122.5% (90% CI: 113.7-131.9%) for the pH-independent ER tablets, respectively. Similar extent of increase in AUC0-t and Cmax was confirmed in the subpopulations whose gastric pH was ≥ 4 or ≤ 3 in subjects with or without omeprazole administration. Given that similar increases in drug exposures were observed for both pH-dependent and pH-independent nifedipine formulations and the geometric LS mean ratios were between 112% and 133% with and without short-term omeprazole comedication, the gastric pH may have limited effects on omeprazole-induced nifedipine PK changes on the tested formulations. The inhibition of cytochrome P450 3A4 activity may play a significant role causing nifedipine exposure changes for both formulations, which would warrant additional assessment.


Asunto(s)
Nifedipino , Omeprazol , Humanos , Omeprazol/farmacocinética , Nifedipino/efectos adversos , Nifedipino/farmacocinética , Voluntarios Sanos , Disponibilidad Biológica , Comprimidos , Área Bajo la Curva , Estudios Cruzados , Administración Oral
5.
Pharmaceutics ; 15(9)2023 Sep 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37765334

RESUMEN

One of the potential essential factors that restricts generic industry from applying the Biopharmaceutics Classification System (BCS) Class III biowaiver is adherence to the stringent formulation criteria for formulation qualitative (Q1) sameness and quantitative (Q2) similarity. The present study has investigated formulations and excipients from 16 putative BCS Class III drug substances in a total of 19 drug products via 133 approved abbreviated new drug applications (ANDAs) containing in vivo bioequivalence (BE) studies in human subjects during the time period from 2006 to 2022. We included the BCS Class III drugs in this study by referring to published literature, the World Health Organization (WHO) BCS Class I-IV list, FDA internal assessments, and physicochemical properties (high solubility and low permeability) of specific drug substances. Based upon all 133 approved generic formulations in this study, the highest amount of each different compendial excipient with a total of 40 is defined as its corresponding typical amount that has not shown any potential impact on in vivo drug absorption. In the present study, although only 30.08% of the investigated generic formulations met Q1 the same/Q2 similar formulation criteria for the BCS Class III biowaiver, and while approximately 69.92% failed to meet those criteria with non-Q1/Q2 similar formulations, all test/reference ratios (T/R) and 90% confidence intervals for all instrumental PK parameters (AUC0-t, AUC0-inf, and Cmax) met the bioequivalence (BE) criteria (80-125%). The results of formulation assessment suggest that the commonly used excipients without atypical amounts did not impact absorption of 16 putative BCS Class III drug substances. The rate and extent of absorption of drugs appears to be more dependent upon the biopharmaceutic and physiochemical properties of BCS Class III drug substance and less, or not dependent upon their formulations, excipients, and the excipients class. Our findings may lead to a more flexible formulation design space regarding the stringent BCS Class III formulation criteria.

6.
CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol ; 12(5): 624-630, 2023 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36710372

RESUMEN

On November 30, 2021, the US Food and Drug administration (FDA) and the Center for Research on Complex Generics (CRCG) hosted a virtual public workshop titled "Establishing the Suitability of Model-Integrated Evidence (MIE) to Demonstrate Bioequivalence for Long-Acting Injectable and Implantable (LAI) Drug Products." This workshop brought relevant parties from the industry, academia, and the FDA in the field of modeling and simulation to explore, identify, and recommend best practices on utilizing MIE for bioequivalence (BE) assessment of LAI products. This report summerized presentations and panel discussions for topics including challenges and opportunities in development and assessment of generic LAI products, current status of utilizing MIE, recent research progress of utilizing MIE in generic LAI products, alternative designs for BE studies of LAI products, and model validation/verification strategies associated with different types of MIE approaches.


Asunto(s)
Medicamentos Genéricos , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Equivalencia Terapéutica , United States Food and Drug Administration , Simulación por Computador
7.
CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol ; 12(5): 560-574, 2023 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36330693

RESUMEN

In silico mechanistic modeling approaches have been designed by various stakeholders with the goal of supporting development and approval of generic orally inhaled drug products in the United States. This review summarizes the presentations and panel discussion that comprised a workshop session concentrated on the use of in silico models to predict various outcomes following orally inhaled drug product administration, including the status of such models and how model credibility may be effectively established.


Asunto(s)
Medicamentos Genéricos , Informe de Investigación , Humanos , Equivalencia Terapéutica , Administración por Inhalación , Simulación por Computador
8.
Drug Metab Dispos ; 2022 Jun 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35768075

RESUMEN

Transporters govern the access of molecules to cells or their exit from cells, thereby controlling the overall distribution of drugs to their intracellular site of action. Clinically relevant drug-drug interactions mediated by transporters are of increasing interest in drug development. Drug transporters, acting alone or in concert with drug metabolizing enzymes, can play an important role in modulating drug absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion, thus affecting the pharmacokinetics and/or pharmacodynamics of a drug. Dr. Kathy Giacomini from the University of California, San Francisco is one of the world leaders in transporters and pharmacogenetics with key contributions to transporter science. Her contributions to transporter science are noteworthy. This review paper will summarize Dr. Giacomini's key contributions and influence on transporters in regulatory science in the past two decades. Regulatory science research highlighted in this review covers various aspects of transporter science including understanding the effect of renal impairment on transporters, transporter ontogeny, biomarkers for transporters, and interactions of excipients with transporters affecting drug absorption. Significance Statement This review paper highlights Dr. Giacomini's key contributions and influence on transporters in regulatory science in the past two decades. She has been at the cutting edge of science pertaining to drug transport, drug disposition, and regulatory science, leading to new era of translational sciences pertaining to drug disposition and transporter biology. Her research has and will continue to bring enormous impact on gaining new knowledge in guiding drug development and inspire scientists from all sectors in the field.

9.
Pharm Res ; 38(12): 1991-2001, 2021 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34950975

RESUMEN

Complex generics are generic versions of drug products that generally have complex active ingredients, complex formulations, complex routes of delivery, complex dosage forms, are complex drug-device combination products, or have other characteristics that can make it complex to demonstrate bioequivalence or to develop as generics. These complex products (i.e. complex generics) are an important element of the United States (U.S.) Food and Drug Administration's (FDA's) Generic Drug User Fee Amendments (GDUFA) II Commitment Letter. The Center for Research on Complex Generics (CRCG) was formed by a grant from the FDA to address challenges associated with the development of complex generics. To understand these challenges, the CRCG conducted a "Survey of Scientific Challenges in the Development of Complex Generics". The three main areas of questioning were directed toward which (types of) complex products, which methods of analysis to support a demonstration of bioequivalence, and which educational topics the CRCG should prioritize. The survey was open to the public on a website maintained by the CRCG. Regarding complex products, the top three selections were complex injectables, formulations, and nanomaterials; drug-device combination products; and inhalation and nasal products. Regarding methods of analysis, the top three selections were locally-acting physiologically-based pharmacokinetic modeling; oral absorption models and bioequivalence; and data analytics and machine learning. Regarding educational topics, the top three selections were complex injectables, formulations, and nanomaterials; drug-device combination products; and data analytics, including quantitative methods and modeling & simulation. These survey results will help prioritize the CRCG's initial research and educational initiatives.


Asunto(s)
Medicamentos Genéricos , Educación en Farmacia/tendencias , Investigación Farmacéutica/tendencias , Aprobación de Drogas , Educación en Farmacia/estadística & datos numéricos , Investigación Farmacéutica/estadística & datos numéricos , Encuestas y Cuestionarios/estadística & datos numéricos , Equivalencia Terapéutica , Estados Unidos , United States Food and Drug Administration
10.
EClinicalMedicine ; 41: 101135, 2021 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34585126

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Over the past decade, U.S. FDA has approved 10 opioid analgesics in abuse-deterrent formulations (ADFs). ADFs are intended to reduce abuse of a prescription opioid through manipulation of the product to use one or more routes of abuse. Although it is critically needed for evaluation of the abuse deterrent properties of an opioid product, the relationship between systemic exposure and likelihood of abuse of the opioid has not been fully characterized. To fill the current knowledge gap, we have evaluated the association of subjective measures predictive of abuse potential (e.g., scores of "drug liking," "take drug again"), which are referred to as 'pharmacodynamic (PD)' responses for measuring abuse potential, with systemic exposure of the opioid using the data from all the clinical abuse potential trials submitted to FDA in support of the approval of innovator ADFs. METHODS: Extensive pharmacokinetic (PK) and subjective response data from 11 clinical abuse potential trials in recreational opioid users following oral and nasal administration of intact and manipulated oxycodone, hydrocodone and morphine products from the FDA internal database were utilized for the present analysis. This retrospective study used data collected from January 11th, 2010 until March 25th, 2015. The potential relationship between PK metrics, especially those for early exposure measures, and the subjective measures of drug liking and take drug again as PD metrics of abuse potential were explored using linear and logistic regression analyses. Heterogeneity analysis was conducted to assess study-to-study variation and multi-level logistic regression analysis was used to affirm the identified PK-PD relationship based on pooled data. FINDINGS: Following oral and nasal administration of intact and manipulated opioids, the maximum visual analogue scale (VAS) for Drug Liking was generally achieved no later than the time to peak plasma drug concentration. Both heterogeneity analysis and multi-level logistic regression indicated insignificant inter study variability for the evaluated PK-PD relationships. Duration of Drug Liking response (i.e., VAS ≥ 65) lasted for 2 to 4 h after drug administration. The early portion of the systemic area under the plasma concentration-time curve (AUC), e.g., partial AUCs in the first 3 h and 4 h were found to be associated with abuse potential measures including maximum Drug Liking VAS and maximum Taking Drug Again VAS. Neither a formulation factor (e.g., immediate-release vs. extended-release, intact vs. manipulated) nor a route of administration was identified as a significant factor together with early partial AUCs to predict the probability of maximum Drug Liking or maximum Take Drug Again responses being greater than or equal to 65. INTERPRETATION: Our assessment indicates that the measure of early systemic drug exposure of opioids is the best predictor of the abuse potential response in recreational opioid users following oral or nasal administration of a single dose of an intact or manipulated abuse deterrent opioids. Our findings support FDA's recommendation of comparative PK studies with early partial AUCs as a supportive PK metric for the assessment of abuse deterrent properties of generic opioid drug products in the general and product-specific guidance's of ADFs. FUNDING: The study was partially funded by Fiscal Year 2017 Critical Path of the Center for Drug Evaluation and Research at the U.S. Food and Drug Administration.

11.
Clin Transl Sci ; 14(5): 1977-1987, 2021 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33982418

RESUMEN

This study assessed the impact of product particle sizes (fine: 106-500 µm; coarse: 500-1000 µm) on oxycodone pharmacokinetics (PK) following nasal insufflation of milled oxycodone extended-release (ER) abuse-deterrent (AD) tablets using immediate-release (IR) non-AD product as reference. Additionally, this study assessed the effects of different excipient to drug ratio (EDR) by comparing two products with fine particle size but different EDRs, again using IR non-AD as the control. Thirty milligrams of oxycodone were administered in each treatment. Coarsely milled 30 mg ER tablets demonstrated significantly lower maximum plasma concentration (Cmax ) and partial areas under the concentration-time curve (AUCs) than those of the finely milled IR tablets. Finely milled ER tablets demonstrated similar Cmax and partial AUCs but higher total systemic exposures than those of finely milled IR tablets. Finely milled 80 mg ER tablets were bioequivalent to IR tablet on all parameters. The finely milled 30 mg ER tablet was not bioequivalent to the coarsely milled 30 mg ER tablet and had higher values for all parameters. The finely milled 30 mg ER tablets (EDR 6.9) showed no PK differences with finely milled 80 mg ER tablets (EDR 4.9). No serious adverse events were reported. The study demonstrated a significant effect of particle sizes (106-1000 µm) on PK of milled and insufflated oxycodone ER AD tablets. EDR difference did not have any significant effects on the PK of finely milled oxycodone ER AD tablets. Particle size distribution should be considered when nasal AD properties of opioid drug products are investigated during drug development.


Asunto(s)
Analgésicos Opioides/farmacocinética , Trastornos Relacionados con Opioides/etiología , Oxicodona/farmacocinética , Formulaciones Disuasorias del Abuso , Administración Intranasal , Adolescente , Adulto , Analgésicos Opioides/administración & dosificación , Analgésicos Opioides/efectos adversos , Área Bajo la Curva , Estudios Cruzados , Preparaciones de Acción Retardada/administración & dosificación , Preparaciones de Acción Retardada/efectos adversos , Preparaciones de Acción Retardada/farmacocinética , Femenino , Voluntarios Sanos , Humanos , Insuflación , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Oxicodona/administración & dosificación , Oxicodona/efectos adversos , Tamaño de la Partícula , Comprimidos , Adulto Joven
12.
Clin Pharmacol Ther ; 110(4): 880-887, 2021 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33492710

RESUMEN

Peak drug concentration (Cmax ) and total exposure, such as area under the concentration-time curve (AUC) from time zero to infinity may be insufficient for assessing relative bioavailability (BA) or bioequivalence (BE) among two products in cases where rapid onset of action or controlled duration of effect is needed to ensure similar drug efficacy. Regulatory agencies have recommended the use of partial AUC (pAUC) as an additional exposure measure for relative BA or BE assessments. The pAUC metric describes pharmacokinetic profiles with the focus on quantification of exposures over specific time intervals to support the determination of relative BA or BE for these drug products in relation to respective reference products. The principles and rationales for using pAUCs are included in the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA)'s general BA or BE guidances. Specific pAUC recommendations are also reflected in product-specific guidances for generic drug development published by the FDA. Rationales for the use of pAUCs in relative BA or BE assessments are based on drug-specific and product-specific considerations. This white paper introduces the general framework, including rationales for pAUC recommendations, and provides an overview of the current status, challenges, and the FDA considerations on the use of pAUC for relative BA or BE assessments in the United States.


Asunto(s)
Área Bajo la Curva , Disponibilidad Biológica , Control de Medicamentos y Narcóticos , Equivalencia Terapéutica , Formulaciones Disuasorias del Abuso , Preparaciones de Acción Retardada/farmacocinética , Humanos , Farmacocinética , Estados Unidos , United States Food and Drug Administration
13.
AAPS J ; 22(5): 108, 2020 08 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32803734

RESUMEN

On page 5, in the second paragraph, the authors inadvertently included inaccurate information for the description of the analytical method.

14.
Ther Innov Regul Sci ; 54(6): 1372-1381, 2020 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32495310

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Increasing generic drug price competition by facilitating abbreviated new drug applications (ANDA) submission may help patients have access to affordable care. This study examined factors associated with first ANDA submission for the brand drug to be copied [the "reference listed drug" (RLD)]. METHODS: This study used several data sources from 1/1/2011 to 12/31/2017, including FDA's Approved Drug Products With Therapeutic Equivalence Evaluations (the Orange Book), internal ANDA submission data, FDA's Product-Specific Guidances (PSGs), National Drug Code, and IQVIA National Sales Perspectives. Two Cox proportional hazard models were separately performed to determine factors associated with first ANDA submissions for groups of ANDAs for RLDs with "new chemical entity" (NCE) exclusivity that were submitted on the first lawfully permissible date NCE ANDAs, and non-NCE ANDA groups. RESULTS: For NCE group, annual market sales were the only factor associated with increased likelihood of first ANDA submission. Specifically, adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for RLDs with annual sales > $250 million was nearly 5 times higher than those with annual sales < $10 million (HR 4.74; Confidence Interval [CI] 1.85-12.13) suggesting RLDs with higher sales are more likely to have ANDA submissions. For the non-NCE group, annual market sales (HR 2.40; CI 1.09-5.25, sales > $100-250 million compared with sales < $10 million) and PSG availability were associated with increased likelihood of first ANDA submission. Being an ANDA for a complex drug product was associated with decreased likelihood of submission for both NCE (HR 0.51; CI 0.26-0.99) and non-NCE groups (HR 0.62; CI 0.39-0.98). CONCLUSION: Given the impact of regulatory-related factors, particularly PSG availability prior to ANDA submission, the findings provide opportunities to address high drug prices with specific FDA actions. Specifically, timely development of PSGs, including those for complex generics, and research prioritizing complex generics may facilitate ANDA submission; and thus, promote drug price competition.


Asunto(s)
Aprobación de Drogas , Medicamentos Genéricos , Humanos , Equivalencia Terapéutica , Estados Unidos , United States Food and Drug Administration
17.
AAPS J ; 21(4): 65, 2019 05 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31111305

RESUMEN

Developing mathematical models to predict changes in ocular bioavailability and pharmacokinetics due to differences in the physicochemical properties of complex topical ophthalmic suspension formulations is important in drug product development and regulatory assessment. Herein, we used published FDA clinical pharmacology review data, in-house, and literature rabbit pharmacokinetic data generated for dexamethasone ophthalmic suspensions to demonstrate how the mechanistic Ocular Compartmental Absorption and Transit model by GastroPlus™ can be used to characterize ocular drug pharmacokinetic performance in rabbits for suspension formulations. This model was used to describe the dose-dependent (0.01 to 0.1%) non-linear pharmacokinetic in ocular tissues and characterize the impact of viscosity (1.67 to 72.9 cP) and particle size (5.5 to 22 µm) on in vivo ocular drug absorption and disposition. Parameter sensitivity analysis (hypothetical suspension particle size: 1 to 10 µm, viscosity: 1 to 100 cP) demonstrated that the interplay between formulation properties and physiological clearance through drainage and tear turnover rates in the pre-corneal compartment drives the ocular drug bioavailability. The quick removal of drug suspended particles from the pre-corneal compartment renders the impact of particle size inconsequential relative to viscosity modification. The in vivo ocular absorption is (1) viscosity non-sensitive when the viscosity is high and the impact of viscosity on the pre-corneal residence time reaches the maximum physiological system capacity or (2) viscosity sensitive when the viscosity is below a certain limit. This study reinforces our understanding of the interplay between physiological factors and ophthalmic formulation physicochemical properties and their impact on in vivo ocular drug PK performance in rabbits.


Asunto(s)
Simulación por Computador , Dexametasona/farmacocinética , Ojo/metabolismo , Modelos Biológicos , Absorción Ocular , Animales , Disponibilidad Biológica , Dexametasona/administración & dosificación , Dexametasona/sangre , Relación Dosis-Respuesta a Droga , Humanos , Soluciones Oftálmicas , Conejos , Suspensiones
19.
Clin Pharmacol Ther ; 106(1): 174-181, 2019 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31009066

RESUMEN

Generic drug products are approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) through Abbreviated New Drug Applications (ANDAs). The ANDA review and approval involves multiple offices across the FDA. Forecasting ANDA submissions can critically inform resource allocation and workload management. In this work, we used machine learning (ML) methodologies to predict the time to first ANDA submissions referencing new chemical entities following their earliest lawful ANDA submission dates. Drug product information, regulatory factors, and pharmacoeconomic factors were used as modeling inputs. The random survival forest ML method, as well as the conventional Cox model, was used for ANDA submission predictions. The ML method outperformed the conventional Cox regression model in predictive performance that was adequately assessed by both internal and external validations. In conclusion, it can potentially serve as an effective forecasting tool for strategic workload and research planning for generic applications.


Asunto(s)
Aprobación de Drogas/organización & administración , Medicamentos Genéricos , Aprendizaje Automático , United States Food and Drug Administration/organización & administración , Humanos , Asignación de Recursos , Factores de Tiempo , Estados Unidos
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