US National Estimates of Contemporary Mortality Rates in Patients with Ulcerative Colitis Undergoing Colectomy.

OBJECTIVE: Despite a growing armamentarium of medical therapies for ulcerative colitis (UC), colectomy remains an important therapeutic option. To better inform shared decision-making about surgery, we estimated the contemporary risk of mortality post-colectomy. METHODS: Mortality rates were estimated using the National Inpatient Sample (2016-2020). Factors associated with post-colectomy death were evaluated in multivariable regression. RESULTS: Post-colectomy mortality occurred in 1.2% [95% CI: 0.8%, 1.9%] of hospitalizations. Comorbidity burden, emergent laparotomy, and delays to surgery >5 days after admission were associated with mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Colectomy may be associated with mortality; however, this risk is heterogeneous based on patient- and procedural-related factors.

A global consensus on the definitions, diagnosis and management of fibrostenosing small bowel Crohn's disease in clinical practice.

Fibrostenosis of the small bowel is common in patients with Crohn's disease. No consensus recommendations on definition, diagnosis and management in clinical practice are currently available. In this Consensus Statement, we present a clinical practice RAND/UCLA appropriateness study on the definition, diagnosis and clinical management of fibrostenosing Crohn's disease. It was conducted by a panel of 28 global experts and one patient representative. Following a systematic literature review, 526 candidate items grouped into 136 questions were generated and subsequently evaluated for appropriateness. Strictures are best defined as wall thickening, luminal narrowing and prestenotic dilation. Cross-sectional imaging is required for accurate diagnosis of fibrostenosing Crohn's disease, and it is recommended before making treatment decisions. It should also assess the degree of inflammation in the bowel wall. Multiple options for medical anti-inflammatory, endoscopic and surgical therapies were suggested, including follow-up strategies following therapy. This Consensus Statement supports clinical practice through providing guidance on definitions, diagnosis and therapeutic management of patients with fibrostenosing small bowel Crohn's disease.

Serum Extracellular Matrix Molecules and Their Fragments as Biomarkers of Inflammation and Fibrosis in Inflammatory Bowel Diseases - A Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Contemporary techniques to assess disease activity or bowel damage in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), such as endoscopy and imaging, are either invasive or lack accuracy. Non-invasive biomarkers for this purpose remain an unmet medical need. Herein, we provide a comprehensive systematic review of studies evaluating blood extracellular matrix (ECM) biomarkers and their relevance in IBD. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and Scopus to identify citations pertaining ECM biomarkers of IBD up to March 1, 2024. Studies were categorized based on marker subtype and clinical use. RESULTS: Thirty-one ECM markers were identified, 28 of these demonstrated the ability to differentiate IBD disease activity. Collagen III emerged as the most extensively investigated (1212 IBD patients), with the degradation marker C3M and deposition marker PRO-C3 being associated with IBD and subtypes. Collagen V markers C5M and PRO-C5 emerged as the most accurate single markers for diagnosis of IBD, with an area under the curves of 0.91 and 0.93, respectively. Overall, studies were characterized by variable endpoints. None of the studies included histological grading of intestinal damage, repair, or fibrosis formation as the primary outcome in relation to the ECM blood markers. CONCLUSIONS: Multiple ECM markers are linked with IBD and its phenotypes. However, more rigorous study designs and clearly defined endpoints are needed to ensure reproducibility and develop reliable and accurate biomarkers. ECM markers hold promise as they provide a 'window' into transmural tissue remodeling and fibrosis burden, warranting further investigation.

Systematic review: Defining, diagnosing and monitoring small bowel strictures in Crohn's disease on intestinal ultrasound.

BACKGROUND: Stricturing Crohn's disease (CD) occurs most commonly in the terminal ileum and poses a clinical problem. Cross-sectional imaging modalities such as intestinal ultrasound (IUS), computed tomography enterography (CTE), and magnetic resonance enterography (MRE) allow for assessment of the entire bowel wall and associated peri-enteric findings. Radiologic definitions of strictures have been developed for CTE and MRE; their reliability and responsiveness are being evaluated in index development programs. A comprehensive assessment strategy for strictures using IUS is needed. AIMS: To provide a detailed summary of definitions, diagnosis and monitoring of strictures on IUS as well as technical aspects of image acquisition. METHODS: We searched four databases up to 6 January 2024. Two-stage screening was done in duplicate. We assessed risk of bias using QUADAS-2. RESULTS: There were 56 studies eligible for inclusion. Definitions for strictures on IUS are heterogeneous, but the overall accuracy for diagnosis of strictures is high. The capability of IUS for characterising inflammation versus fibrosis in strictures is not accurate enough to be used in clinical practice or trials. We summarise definitions for improvement of strictures on IUS, and discuss parameters for image acquisition and standardisation. CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review is the first step for a structured program to develop a stricture IUS index for CD.

Incidence and Prevalence of Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis: A Meta-analysis of Population-based Studies.

BACKGROUND: Primary sclerosing cholangitis is a chronic liver disease associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and healthcare utilization. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based studies of the incidence and prevalence of primary sclerosing cholangitis. METHODS: Medline and Embase were systematically searched to identify population-based studies of a defined geographic area and reported the incidence or prevalence of primary sclerosing cholangitis in the general population. Meta-analyses, using random-effects, were performed to calculate overall and country-specific incidence (per 100 000 persons/year) and prevalence rates (per 100 000 persons) with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: The 14 studies on incidence and the 12 for prevalence originated from North America, Asia, Europe, and Oceania. Incidence and prevalence rates of primary sclerosing cholangitis were 0.87 (95% confidence interval, 0.59-1.29) and 13.53 (95% confidence interval, 10.20-17.94) per 100 000 persons, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Both the prevalence and incidence of primary sclerosing cholangitis is low in the general population. Future studies on the incidence and prevalence of primary sclerosing cholangitis in the general population should be directed at Asia, Africa, and Latin America to allow for a more robust assessment of the global epidemiology of primary sclerosing cholangitis.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis is a chronic liver disease with complications such as cirrhosis, cancer, and death. This study summarizes the incidence (0.87 per 100 000) and prevalence (13.53 per 100 000) of PSC and highlight needs in research to study the epidemiology of PSC.

Bedside Intestinal Ultrasound Performed in an Inflammatory Bowel Disease Urgent Assessment Clinic Improves Clinical Decision-Making and Resource Utilization.

Background: Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) require accessible, timely, and noninvasive strategies to monitor disease. The aim was to assess the integration of intestinal ultrasound (IUS) on decision-making and endoscopy utilization in a standardized care pathway. Methods: This prospective, multicenter, international, observational cohort study included patients seen within a centralized model for IBD care was conducted during the COVID pandemic. Patients were evaluated with IUS alone or in combination with an in-clinic, unsedated sigmoidoscopy. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, and imaging data, clinical decisions, and need for urgent endoscopy, hospitalization, and surgeries were recorded. Results: Of the 158 patients included, the majority had an established diagnosis of Crohn's disease (n = 123, 78%), and 47% (n = 75) of patients were on biologic therapy. IUS identified active inflammation in 65% (n = 102) of patients, and strictures in 14% (n = 22). Fecal calprotectin levels correlated with inflammation detected on IUS (median of 50 µg/g [Q1-Q3: 26-107 µg/g] without inflammation and 270 µg/g [Q1-Q3: 61-556 µg/g] with inflammation; p = 0.0271). In the majority of patients, clinical assessment with IUS led to an acute change in IBD-specific medications (57%, n = 90) and avoided or delayed the need for urgent endoscopy (85%, n = 134). Four patients were referred for urgent surgical consultation. Conclusions: Point-of-care IUS used in a flare clinic pathway is a useful strategy to improve effective IBD care delivery and to assist in therapeutic management decisions, in many cases avoiding the acute need for endoscopy.

Do Psychological and Behavioural Factors Change Over Pregnancy?

OBJECTIVES: To investigate how psychological and behavioural factors change from the first to the last half of pregnancy. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, we assessed the changes in psychological and behavioural factors across 10 domains among 445 women (mean age = 30.9 years) in Ontario, Canada. We collected data using 2 standardized questionnaires administered at <21 and 32-36 weeks of gestation. We computed intraclass correlation coefficients, percentages of no change, decrease, and increase, and mean differences between the 2 surveys. RESULTS: Most psychological and behavioural factors had intraclass correlation coefficients < 0.50 between the first and the second half of pregnancy, suggesting remarkable changes over the course of pregnancy. We observed significant decreases in self-efficacy, compensatory health beliefs, guilt regarding binge eating, emotional eating, dietary restriction, pregnancy-related nausea and food cravings, sleep duration, and physical activity. We also found increases in anxious and depressive symptoms and the tendency to accept friends' and family's beliefs regarding pregnancy. CONCLUSIONS: In the first prospective analysis, we found that many psychological and behavioural factors changed significantly over pregnancy.

Nutritional interventions in adult fibrostenotic Crohn's disease: A systematic review.

Background: Management of Crohn's disease (CD) using dietary interventions has become an area of increased research interest. There is a lack of specific research exploring if diet and nutrition interventions are beneficial in patients with strictures, as current dietary recommendations in fibrostenotic CD are often based on clinical judgment. The aim of this systematic review was to assess the impact of dietary interventions in fibrostenotic CD on medical and surgical outcomes. Methods: A systematic search of MEDLINE (Ovid), EMBASE (Ovid), CINAHL (EBSCO), and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (Ovid) was conducted. Studies reporting dietary interventions or nutritional factors in fibrostenotic CD were included. Outcomes for studies assessing dietary interventions such as enteral nutrition were evaluated as changes in (1) CD symptoms (CD Activity Index), (2) stricture parameters on diagnostic imaging, and (3) rates of surgical or medical intervention following dietary interventions. Results: Five studies were included in this review. Three studies assessed exclusive enteral nutrition (EEN), one evaluated total parenteral nutrition (TPN), and one studied a liquid diet. All included studies evaluated symptoms as an outcome, while diagnostic imaging parameters and surgical outcomes in the studies were either absent or too heterogeneous to appraise improvement post dietary intervention. Included EEN studies displayed similar efficacy, with approximately 60% of patients having symptom improvement. The included TPN study also reported 75% of patients with symptom improvement, while the liquid diet did not. Conclusion: Exclusive enteral nutrition and total parental nutrition may provide benefit for use as a dietary intervention for fibrostenotic CD. There remains a need for high-quality controlled trials which utilize standardized definitions of strictures.

Successful treatment of concomitant alopecia universalis and Crohn's disease with upadacitinib: A case report.

Alopecia areata is a non-scarring, autoimmune hair loss disorder that is associated with inflammatory bowel disease. Alopecia areata and inflammatory bowel disease may have a common pathogenic mechanism that involves the Janus kinase/STAT pathway. In addition, there are previous case reports of patients who developed alopecia areata while on biologic therapies for inflammatory bowel disease. JAK1 inhibitors are currently undergoing investigation as potential therapies for Crohn's disease. Upadacitinib, an oral JAK1 inhibitor, has demonstrated efficacy in treating Crohn's disease during phase III clinical trials. In this case report, we present a 23-year-old man with Crohn's disease who previously developed alopecia areata while on adalimumab. He had near-complete resolution of his alopecia universalis after 7 months of treatment with upadacitinib while on concurrent ustekinumab for Crohn's disease, which he had been taking for 16 months prior to starting upadacitinib. Upadacitinib may be a beneficial therapy for treating concomitant alopecia areata and Crohn's disease.

Meta-analysis: Placebo rates in microscopic colitis randomised trials and applications for future drug development using a historical control arm.

BACKGROUND: Effective medical therapies for patients with microscopic colitis (MC) who fail budesonide are lacking. However, conducting randomised controlled trials (RCTs) in MC has been challenging due to small sample sizes. Understanding placebo responses can help inform more efficient future trials. AIMS: The aim of this study is to estimate clinical and histologic placebo response rates and to determine factors associated with placebo response in MC. METHODS: EMBASE, MEDLINE, and CENTRAL were searched until 7 January 2022, to identify placebo-controlled RCTs in adult patients with MC. Clinical and histologic response in the placebo arms were pooled using random-effects models. Stratified analyses based on disease- and trial-level characteristics, leave-one-out meta-analysis, and cumulative meta-analysis were performed. RESULTS: Twelve RCTs enrolling a total of 391 patients (placebo n = 163) with MC were included. Pooled clinical and histologic placebo response rates were 24.4% (95% CI: 12.4%-38.4%), I2  = 60.8%, p < 0.01, and 19.9% (95% CI: 5.3%-39.0%), I2  = 66.4%, p = 0.01 (tests for heterogeneity), respectively. Clinical response to placebo was numerically higher in patients with lymphocytic compared to collagenous colitis (39.9% vs. 19.8%, p = 0.08). Heterogeneity in clinical response to placebo was significantly reduced when the Miehlke 2014 RCT was excluded in the leave-one-out meta-analysis or when a more stringent secondary definition of response based on the Hjortswang criteria was applied. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately one-quarter of patients in MC trials respond to placebo, although with substantial heterogeneity, reflecting the need for standardised outcome definitions and study designs for MC. This analysis also serves to inform future MC trials that may consider incorporating an external, historical placebo control arm, rather than directly randomising patients to placebo.

Innovative Care for Inflammatory Bowel Disease Patients during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Use of Bedside Intestinal Ultrasound to Optimize Management.

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic caused by SARS-CoV-2 has reduced access to endoscopy and imaging. Safe alternatives, available at the bedside, are needed for accurate, non-invasive strategies to evaluate disease activity. The aim of this study is to establish the impact of clinic-based bedside intestinal ultrasound (IUS) on decision making, reduction in reliance on endoscopy and short-term healthcare utilization. Methods: We conducted a prospective observational evaluation during the COVID-19 pandemic, of the impact of a regional comprehensive care pathway to manage IBD patients consecutively recruited with acute symptoms, or suspected new diagnosis of IBD. Clinic-based access to sigmoidoscopy and bedside intestinal ultrasound were evaluated, used to direct clinical care and avoid hospitalization or hospital-based endoscopy. Results: A total of 72 patients were seen between March 15 and June 30, 2020. Of these, 57% (41/72) were female, 64% had Crohn's disease (46/72) with 14% (10/72) presenting with symptoms requiring investigation, of which 5 new cases of IBD were identified (50%). Immediate access to ultrasound and sigmoidoscopy led to meaningful changes in management in 80.5% (58/72) of patients. Active inflammation was detected by IUS alone (72.5%, 29/40) or in combination with in-clinic sigmoidoscopy (78%, 18/23) or sigmoidoscopy alone (78% 7/9). Six patients were referred to colorectal surgery for urgent surgical intervention including two patients admitted directly. Conclusion: Implementation of IUS as part of a clinical care pathway during the COVID-19 pandemic is a useful strategy to enhance care delivery and improve clinical decisions, while sparing other important acute care resources.

Crohn's disease related strictures in cross-sectional imaging: More than meets the eye?

Strictures in Crohn's disease (CD) are a hallmark of long-standing intestinal damage, brought about by inflammatory and non-inflammatory pathways. Understanding the complex pathophysiology related to inflammatory infiltrates, extracellular matrix deposition, as well as muscular hyperplasia is crucial to produce high-quality scoring indices for assessing CD strictures. In addition, cross-sectional imaging modalities are the primary tool for diagnosis and follow-up of strictures, especially with the initiation of anti-fibrotic therapy clinical trials. This in turn requires such modalities to both diagnose strictures with high accuracy, as well as be able to delineate the impact of each histomorphologic component on the individual stricture. We discuss the current knowledge on cross-sectional imaging modalities used for stricturing CD, with an emphasis on histomorphologic correlates, novel imaging parameters which may improve segregation between inflammatory, muscular, and fibrotic stricture components, as well as a future outlook on the role of artificial intelligence in this field of gastroenterology.

Designing a Nitro-Induced Sutured Biomacromolecule to Engineer Electroconductive Adhesive Hydrogels.

Nitro-functionality, with a large deficit of negative charge, embraces biological importance and has proven its therapeutic essence even in chemotherapy. Functionally, with its strong electron-withdrawing capability, nitro can manipulate the electron density of organic moieties and regulates cellular-biochemical reactions. However, the chemistry of nitro-functionality to introduce physiologically relevant macroscopic properties from the molecular skeleton is unknown. Therefore, herein, a neurotransmitter moiety, dopamine, was chemically modified with a nitro-group to explore its influence on synthesizing a multifunctional biomaterial for therapeutic applications. Chemically, while the nitro-group perturbed the aromatic electron density of nitrocatecholic domain, it facilitated the suturing of nitrocatechol moieties to regain its aromaticity through a radical transfer mechanism, forming a novel macromolecular structure. Incorporation of the sutured-nitrocatecholic strand (S-nCAT) in a gelatin-based hydrogel introduced an electroconductive microenvironment through the delocalization of π-electrons in S-nCAT, while maintaining its catechol-mediated adhesive property for tissue repairing/sealing. Meanwhile, the engineered hydrogel enriched with noncovalent interactions, demonstrated excellent mechano-physical properties to support tissue functions. Cytocompatibility of the bioadhesive was assessed with in vitro and in vivo studies, confirming its potential usage for biomedical applications. In conclusion, this novel chemical approach enabled designing a multifunctional biomaterial by manipulating the electronic properties of small bioactive molecules for various biomedical applications.

The freshman sleep and health (FRoSH) study: Examining sleep and weight gain in incoming college freshmen.

OBJECTIVE: Examine how changes in sleep duration, objectively measured by activity trackers, impact weight gain in incoming college freshman. Participants: Incoming college freshmen, age ≥ 18. Methods: We measured weight and daily sleep duration before college entry and through the 1st college quarter. Additionally, we examined changes in sleep variability, activity levels and smartphone screen time use as possible predictors of weight gain. Results: 75 participants completed the study. Total sleep duration decreased from 437.9 ± SD 57.3 minutes at baseline to 416.5 ± SD 68.6 minutes by the end of the first quarter (p = 6.6 × 10-3). (BMI) did not change significantly in this cohort. Higher sleep variability at baseline and an increase in sleep variability were associated with increases in BMI. Smartphone screen use was note to be high (235.2 ± SD 110.3 minutes/day) at the end of the first quarter. Conclusions: College weight gain may be affected by factors other than sleep duration, including sleep variability.Supplemental data for this article can be accessed online at https://doi.org/10.1080/07448481.2022.2032720.

Association of Circulating Fibrocytes With Fibrostenotic Small Bowel Crohn's Disease.

BACKGROUND: Fibrocytes are hematopoietic cells with features of mesenchymal cells found in the circulation and inflammatory sites implicated in promoting fibrosis in many fibroinflammatory diseases. However, their role(s) in the development of intestinal fibrosis is poorly understood. Here, we investigated a potential role of fibrocytes in the development of fibrosis in Crohn's disease (CD) and sought factors that may impact their development and function. METHODS: Plasma and mononuclear cells were collected from patients with and without fibrostenotic CD. Fibrocytes defined as CD11b+, CD34+, and Collagen 1+ were correlated with clinical assessments of fibrosis, including evaluation using intestinal ultrasound. We measured the levels of relevant circulating molecules via Luminex and studied the effect of patient plasma proteins on fibrocyte differentiation. RESULTS: Fibrocyte numbers were increased in CD patients with stricturing Crohn's disease compared with patients with an inflammatory phenotype (P = .0013), with strong correlation between fibrocyte numbers and acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI), a measure of bowel elasticity on intestinal ultrasound (R = .8383, P = .0127). Fibrostenotic plasma was a more potent inducer of fibrocyte differentiation in both primary human monocytes and cell line and contained increased levels of cytokines implicated in fibrocyte differentiation compared with plasma from inflammatory patients. Interestingly, increased fibrocyte numbers at time of ultrasound were associated with escalation of medical therapy and endoscopic/surgical management of small bowel strictures at 30 months follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Circulating fibrocytes strongly correlate with fibrostenotic disease in CD, and they may serve as predictors for escalation of medical +/- surgical therapy.

Intestinal strictures are thought to result from excessive deposition of extracellular matrix by activated mesenchymal cells. In this study, we provide evidence that supports a potential role of fibrocytes (bone marrow­derived mesenchymal precursors) in collagen deposition in Crohn's disease strictures. Inasmuch as fibrocyte numbers correlate with sonographic measures of bowel stiffness, fibrocyte numbers may predict the need for therapy escalation.

Defining Transabdominal Intestinal Ultrasound Treatment Response and Remission in Inflammatory Bowel Disease: Systematic Review and Expert Consensus Statement.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: No consensus exists on defining intestinal ultrasound response, transmural healing, or transmural remission in inflammatory bowel disease, nor clear guidance for optimal timing of assessment during treatment. This systematic review and expert consensus study aimed to define such recommendations, along with key parameters included in response reporting. METHODS: Electronic databases were searched from inception to July 26, 2021, using pre-defined terms. Studies were eligible if at least two intestinal ultrasound [IUS] assessments at different time points during treatment were reported, along with an appropriate reference standard. The QUADAS-2 tool was used to examine study-level risk of bias. An international panel of experts [n = 18] rated an initial 196 statements [RAND/UCLA process, scale 1-9]. Two videoconferences were conducted, resulting in additional ratings of 149 and 13 statements, respectively. RESULTS: Out of 5826 records, 31 full-text articles, 16 abstracts, and one research letter were included; 83% [40/48] of included studies showed a low concern of applicability, and 96% [46/48] had a high risk of bias. A consensus was reached on 41 statements, with clear definitions of IUS treatment response, transmural healing, transmural remission, timing of assessment, and general considerations when using intestinal ultrasound in inflammatory bowel disease. CONCLUSIONS: Response criteria and time points of response assessment varied between studies, complicating direct comparison of parameter changes and their relation to treatment outcomes. To ensure a unified approach in routine care and clinical trials, we provide recommendations and definitions for key parameters for intestinal ultrasound response, to incorporate into future prospective studies.

Prediction of Relapse After Anti-Tumor Necrosis Factor Cessation in Crohn's Disease: Individual Participant Data Meta-analysis of 1317 Patients From 14 Studies.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Tools for stratification of relapse risk of Crohn's disease (CD) after anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) therapy cessation are needed. We aimed to validate a previously developed prediction model from the diSconTinuation in CrOhn's disease patients in stable Remission on combined therapy with Immunosuppressants (STORI) trial, and to develop an updated model. METHODS: Cohort studies were selected that reported on anti-TNF cessation in 30 or more CD patients in remission. Individual participant data were requested for luminal CD patients and anti-TNF treatment duration of 6 months or longer. The discriminative ability (concordance-statistic [C-statistic]) and calibration (agreement between observed and predicted risks) were explored for the STORI model. Next, an updated prognostic model was constructed, with performance assessment by cross-validation. RESULTS: This individual participant data meta-analysis included 1317 patients from 14 studies in 11 countries. Relapses after anti-TNF cessation occurred in 632 of 1317 patients after a median of 13 months. The pooled 1-year relapse rate was 38%. The STORI prediction model showed poor discriminative ability (C-statistic, 0.51). The updated model reached a moderate discriminative ability (C-statistic, 0.59), and included clinical symptoms at cessation (hazard ratio [HR], 2.2; 95% CI, 1.2-4), younger age at diagnosis (HR, 1.5 for A1 (age at diagnosis ≤16 years) vs A2 (age at diagnosis 17 - 40 years); 95% CI, 1.11-1.89), no concomitant immunosuppressants (HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.18-172), smoking (HR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.15-1.67), second line anti-TNF (HR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.01-1.69), upper gastrointestinal tract involvement (HR, 1.3 for L4 vs non-L4; 95% CI, 0.96-1.79), adalimumab (HR, 1.22 vs infliximab; 95% CI, 0.99-1.50), age at cessation (HR, 1.2 per 10 years younger; 95% CI, 1-1.33), C-reactive protein (HR, 1.04 per doubling; 95% CI, 1.00-1.08), and longer disease duration (HR, 1.07 per 5 years; 95% CI, 0.98-1.17). In subanalysis, the discriminative ability of the model improved by adding fecal calprotectin (C-statistic, 0.63). CONCLUSIONS: This updated prediction model showed a reasonable discriminative ability, exceeding the performance of a previously published model. It might be useful to guide clinical decisions on anti-TNF therapy cessation in CD patients after further validation.

Biomarkers for the Prediction and Diagnosis of Fibrostenosing Crohn's Disease: A Systematic Review.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Intestinal strictures are a common complication of Crohn's disease (CD). Biomarkers of intestinal strictures would assist in their prediction, diagnosis, and monitoring. Herein we provide a comprehensive systematic review of studies assessing biomarkers that may predict or diagnose CD-associated strictures. METHODS: We performed a systematic review of PubMed, EMBASE, ISI Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Scopus to identify citations pertaining to biomarkers of intestinal fibrosis through July 6, 2020, that used a reference standard of full-thickness histopathology or cross-sectional imaging or endoscopy. Studies were categorized based on the type of biomarker they evaluated (serum, genetic, histopathologic, or fecal). RESULTS: Thirty-five distinct biomarkers from 3 major groups were identified: serum (20 markers), genetic (9 markers), and histopathology (6 markers). Promising markers include cartilage oligomeric matrix protein, hepatocyte growth factor activator, and lower levels of microRNA-19-3p (area under the curves were 0.805, 0.738, and 0.67, respectively), and multiple anti-flagellin antibodies (A4-Fla2 [odds ratio, 3.41], anti Fla-X [odds ratio, 2.95], and anti-CBir1 [multiple]). Substantial heterogeneity was observed and none of the markers had undergone formal validation. Specific limitations to acceptance of these markers included failure to use a standardized definition of stricturing disease, lack of specificity, and insufficient relevance to the pathogenesis of intestinal strictures or incomplete knowledge regarding their operating properties. CONCLUSIONS: There is a lack of well-defined studies on biomarkers of intestinal stricture. Development of reliable and accurate biomarkers of stricture is a research priority. Biomarkers can support the clinical management of CD patients and aid in the stratification and monitoring of patients during clinical trials of future antifibrotic drug candidates.

A goal set too high: factors associated with planning excess gestational weight gain in a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to understand physical, knowledge, psychological, and lifestyle factors associated with planned excess gestational weight gain (GWG), a strong and potentially modifiable predictor of actual excess GWG, which contributes to maternal and child obesity along with other adverse maternal and fetal outcomes. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of data from a prospective cohort study where women completed a questionnaire in early pregnancy. Women were asked to report their planned GWG, which was then categorized as above, within, or below the Institute of Medicine (IOM) guidelines. Univariable and multivariable analyses were performed to identify variables associated with planned excess GWG. RESULTS: Of 970 women included in the analysis, 300 reported a planned GWG above the IOM guidelines. Predictors of excess planned GWG included reporting healthcare provider recommendations to gain weight above the guidelines (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 62.17; 95% confidence interval [CI], 13.75-281.03), overestimating first trimester weight gain recommendations (aOR, 1.83; 95% CI, 1.21-2.77), believing in risks to the baby with inadequate GWG (aOR 2.16; 95% CI,1.29-3.60), inaccurate self-perceived prepregnancy body size (aOR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.22-2.89), low or high emotional suppression (aOR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.06-2.99; and aOR, 2.57; 95% CI, 1.21-5.45, respectively), physical inactivity (aOR, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.03-1.17), and overweight or obesity (aOR, 5.76; 95% CI, 3.70-8.98; and aOR, 11.46; 95% CI, 6.54-20.06, respectively). Protective factors against planned excess GWG included increased maternal age (aOR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.92-0.99), and believing in risks to themselves with inadequate GWG (aOR 0.64; 95% CI, 0.42-0.97) or believing in risks to the baby with excess GWG (aOR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.27-0.88). CONCLUSIONS: Women with overweight or obesity are at greater risk of prospectively planning excess GWG, and may especially benefit from healthcare provider counseling on appropriate GWG. Other modifiable factors for planned excess GWG included knowledge about risks of inappropriate weight gain and physical inactivity.