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1.
JMIR Hum Factors ; 11: e51789, 2024 May 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38781581

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Early users found Engagement and Visualization to Improve Symptoms in Oncology Care (ENVISION), a web-based application designed to improve home management of hospice patients' symptoms and support patients' and family caregivers' well-being, to be generally useful and easy to use. However, they also raised concerns about potential challenges users with limited technological proficiency might experience. OBJECTIVE: We sought to concurrently accomplish two interrelated study aims: (1) to develop a conceptual framework of digital inclusivity for health information systems and (2) to apply the framework in evaluating the digital inclusivity of the ENVISION application. METHODS: We engaged ENVISION users (N=34) in a qualitative study in which data were collected via direct observation, think-aloud techniques, and responses to open-ended queries. Data were analyzed via theory elaboration and basic qualitative description. RESULTS: Accessibility, relevance, and impact were identified as 3 essential considerations in evaluating a health system's digital inclusivity. Study findings generally supported ENVISION's digital inclusivity, particularly concerning its perceived relevance to the work of family caregivers and hospice clinicians and its potentially positive impact on symptom management and quality of life. Limitations to ENVISION's digital inclusivity centered around issues of accessibility, particularly operability among individuals with limited technological knowledge and skills. CONCLUSIONS: The Accessibility, Relevance, and Impact conceptual framework of digital inclusivity for health information systems can help identify opportunities to strengthen the digital inclusivity of tools, such as ENVISION, intended for use by a broad and diverse range of users.


Asunto(s)
Servicios de Atención de Salud a Domicilio , Cuidados Paliativos al Final de la Vida , Investigación Cualitativa , Humanos , Cuidados Paliativos al Final de la Vida/métodos , Femenino , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Evaluación de Síntomas/métodos , Adulto , Cuidadores/psicología , Calidad de Vida
2.
Crit Care ; 28(1): 113, 2024 04 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38589940

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Perhaps nowhere else in the healthcare system than in the intensive care unit environment are the challenges to create useful models with direct time-critical clinical applications more relevant and the obstacles to achieving those goals more massive. Machine learning-based artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to define states and predict future events are commonplace activities of modern life. However, their penetration into acute care medicine has been slow, stuttering and uneven. Major obstacles to widespread effective application of AI approaches to the real-time care of the critically ill patient exist and need to be addressed. MAIN BODY: Clinical decision support systems (CDSSs) in acute and critical care environments support clinicians, not replace them at the bedside. As will be discussed in this review, the reasons are many and include the immaturity of AI-based systems to have situational awareness, the fundamental bias in many large databases that do not reflect the target population of patient being treated making fairness an important issue to address and technical barriers to the timely access to valid data and its display in a fashion useful for clinical workflow. The inherent "black-box" nature of many predictive algorithms and CDSS makes trustworthiness and acceptance by the medical community difficult. Logistically, collating and curating in real-time multidimensional data streams of various sources needed to inform the algorithms and ultimately display relevant clinical decisions support format that adapt to individual patient responses and signatures represent the efferent limb of these systems and is often ignored during initial validation efforts. Similarly, legal and commercial barriers to the access to many existing clinical databases limit studies to address fairness and generalizability of predictive models and management tools. CONCLUSIONS: AI-based CDSS are evolving and are here to stay. It is our obligation to be good shepherds of their use and further development.


Asunto(s)
Algoritmos , Inteligencia Artificial , Humanos , Cuidados Críticos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Atención a la Salud
3.
Resuscitation ; 197: 110161, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38428721

RESUMEN

AIM: Hospital rapid response systems aim to stop preventable cardiac arrests, but defining preventability is a challenge. We developed a multidisciplinary consensus-based process to determine in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) preventability based on objective measures. METHODS: We developed an interdisciplinary ward IHCA debriefing program at an urban quaternary-care academic hospital. This group systematically reviewed all IHCAs weekly, reaching consensus determinations of the IHCA's cause and preventability across three mutually exclusive categories: 1) unpredictable (no evidence of physiologic instability < 1 h prior to and within 24 h of the arrest), 2) predictable but unpreventable (meeting physiologic instability criteria in the setting of either a poor baseline prognosis or a documented goals of care conversation) or 3) potentially preventable (remaining cases). RESULTS: Of 544 arrests between 09/2015 and 11/2023, 339 (61%) were deemed predictable by consensus, with 235 (42% of all IHCAs) considered potentially preventable. Potentially preventable arrests disproportionately occurred on nights and weekends (70% vs 55%, p = 0.002) and were more frequently respiratory than cardiac in etiology (33% vs 15%, p < 0.001). Despite similar rates of ROSC across groups (67-70%), survival to discharge was highest in arrests deemed unpredictable (31%), followed by potentially preventable (21%), and then those deemed predictable but unpreventable which had the lowest survival rate (16%, p = 0.007). CONCLUSIONS: Our IHCA debriefing procedures are a feasible and sustainable means of determining the predictability and potential preventability of ward cardiac arrests. This approach may be useful for improving quality benchmarks and care processes around pre-arrest clinical activities.


Asunto(s)
Reanimación Cardiopulmonar , Paro Cardíaco , Humanos , Reanimación Cardiopulmonar/métodos , Consenso , Paro Cardíaco/prevención & control , Alta del Paciente , Hospitales
4.
Chest ; 165(4): 950-958, 2024 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38184166

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Sociodemographic disparities in physician decisions to withhold and withdraw life-sustaining treatment exist. Little is known about the content of hospital policies that guide physicians involved in these decisions. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the prevalence of US hospitals with policies that address withholding and withdrawing life-sustaining treatment; how do these policies approach ethically controversial scenarios; and how do these policies address sociodemographic disparities in decisions to withhold and withdraw life-sustaining treatment? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This national cross-sectional survey assessed the content of hospital policies addressing decisions to withhold or withdraw life-sustaining treatment. We distributed the survey electronically to American Society for Bioethics and Humanities members between July and August 2023 and descriptively analyzed responses. RESULTS: Among 93 respondents from hospitals or hospital systems representing all 50 US states, Puerto Rico, and Washington, DC, 92% had policies addressing decisions to withhold or withdraw life-sustaining treatment. Hospitals varied in their stated guidance, permitting life-sustaining treatment to be withheld or withdrawn in cases of patient or surrogate request (82%), physiologic futility (81%), and potentially inappropriate treatment (64%). Of the 8% of hospitals with policies that addressed patient sociodemographic disparities in decisions to withhold or withdraw life-sustaining treatment, these policies provided opposing recommendations to either exclude sociodemographic factors in decision-making or actively acknowledge and incorporate these factors in decision-making. Only 3% of hospitals had policies that recommended collecting and maintaining information about patients for whom life-sustaining treatment was withheld or withdrawn that could be used to identify disparities in decision-making. INTERPRETATION: Although most surveyed US hospital policies addressed withholding or withdrawing life-sustaining treatment, these policies varied widely in criteria and processes. Surveyed policies also rarely addressed sociodemographic disparities in these decisions.


Asunto(s)
Cuidados para Prolongación de la Vida , Privación de Tratamiento , Humanos , Estudios Transversales , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Hospitales , Toma de Decisiones
5.
Crit Care Med ; 2024 Jan 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38236084
6.
BMC Health Serv Res ; 24(1): 69, 2024 Jan 13.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38218820

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Post-hospitalization remote patient monitoring (RPM) has potential to improve health outcomes for high-risk patients with chronic medical conditions. The purpose of this study is to determine the extent to which RPM for patients with congestive heart failure (CHF) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with reductions in post-hospitalization mortality, hospital readmission, and ED visits within an Accountable Care Organization (ACO). METHODS: Nonrandomized prospective study of patients in an ACO offered enrollment in RPM upon hospital discharge between February 2021 and December 2021. RPM comprised of vital sign monitoring equipment (blood pressure monitor, scale, pulse oximeter), tablet device with symptom tracking software and educational material, and nurse-provided oversight and triage. Expected enrollment was for at least 30-days of monitoring, and outcomes were followed for 6 months following enrollment. The co-primary outcomes were (a) the composite of death, hospital admission, or emergency care visit within 180 days of eligibility, and (b) time to occurrence of this composite. Secondary outcomes were each component individually, the composite of death or hospital admission, and outpatient office visits. Adjusted analyses involved doubly robust estimation to address confounding by indication. RESULTS: Of 361 patients offered remote monitoring (251 with CHF and 110 with COPD), 140 elected to enroll (106 with CHF and 34 with COPD). The median duration of RPM-enrollment was 54 days (IQR 34-85). Neither the 6-month frequency of the co-primary composite outcome (59% vs 66%, FDR p-value = 0.47) nor the time to this composite (median 29 vs 38 days, FDR p-value = 0.60) differed between the groups, but 6-month mortality was lower in the RPM group (6.4% vs 17%, FDR p-value = 0.02). After adjustment for confounders, RPM enrollment was associated with nonsignificantly decreased odds for the composite outcome (adjusted OR [aOR] 0.68, 99% CI 0.25-1.34, FDR p-value 0.30) and lower 6-month mortality (aOR 0.41, 99% CI 0.00-0.86, FDR p-value 0.20). CONCLUSIONS: RPM enrollment may be associated with improved health outcomes, including 6-month mortality, for selected patient populations.


Asunto(s)
Organizaciones Responsables por la Atención , Insuficiencia Cardíaca , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica , Humanos , Estudios Prospectivos , Hospitalización , Enfermedad Pulmonar Obstructiva Crónica/terapia , Enfermedad Crónica , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/terapia
9.
Diagnosis (Berl) ; 10(4): 417-423, 2023 Nov 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37598362

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: The transition from the intensive care unit (ICU) to the medical ward is a high-risk period due to medical complexity, reduced patient monitoring, and diagnostic uncertainty. Standardized handoff practices reduce errors associated with transitions of care, but little work has been done to standardize the ICU to ward handoff. Further, tools that exist do not focus on preventing diagnostic error. Using Human-Centered Design methods we previously created a novel EHR-based ICU-ward handoff tool (ICU-PAUSE) that embeds a diagnostic pause at the time of transfer. This study aims to explore barriers and facilitators to implementing a diagnostic pause at the ICU-to-ward transition. METHODS: This is a multi-center qualitative study of semi-structured interviews with intensivists from ten academic medical centers. Interviews were analyzed iteratively through a grounded theory approach. The Sittig-Singh sociotechnical model was used as a unifying conceptual framework. RESULTS: Across the eight domains of the model, we identified major benefits and barriers to implementation. The embedded pause to address diagnostic uncertainty was recognized as a key benefit. Participants agreed that standardization of verbal and written handoff would decrease variation in communication. The main barriers fell within the domains of workflow, institutional culture, people, and assessment. CONCLUSIONS: This study represents a novel application of the Sittig-Singh model in the assessment of a handoff tool. A unique feature of ICU-PAUSE is the explicit acknowledgement of diagnostic uncertainty, a practice that has been shown to reduce medical error and prevent premature closure. Results will be used to inform future multi-site implementation efforts.


Asunto(s)
Pase de Guardia , Humanos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Recolección de Datos , Hospitales , Errores Médicos/prevención & control
10.
Curr Opin Crit Care ; 29(5): 472-483, 2023 10 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37641516

RESUMEN

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Care and outcomes of critically ill patients with cancer have improved over the past decade. This selective review will discuss recent updates in sepsis and acute respiratory failure among patients with cancer, with particular focus on important opportunities to improve outcomes further through attention to phenotyping, predictive analytics, and improved outcome measures. RECENT FINDINGS: The prevalence of cancer diagnoses in intensive care units (ICUs) is nontrivial and increasing. Sepsis and acute respiratory failure remain the most common critical illness syndromes affecting these patients, although other complications are also frequent. Recent research in oncologic sepsis has described outcome variation - including ICU, hospital, and 28-day mortality - across different types of cancer (e.g., solid vs. hematologic malignancies) and different sepsis definitions (e.g., Sepsis-3 vs. prior definitions). Research in acute respiratory failure in oncology patients has highlighted continued uncertainty in the value of diagnostic bronchoscopy for some patients and in the optimal respiratory support strategy. For both of these syndromes, specific challenges include multifactorial heterogeneity (e.g. in etiology and/or underlying cancer), delayed recognition of clinical deterioration, and complex outcomes measurement. SUMMARY: Improving outcomes in oncologic critical care requires attention to the heterogeneity of cancer diagnoses, timely recognition and management of critical illness, and defining appropriate ICU outcomes.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria , Insuficiencia Respiratoria , Sepsis , Humanos , Enfermedad Crítica , Neoplasias/complicaciones , Neoplasias/terapia , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/etiología , Síndrome de Dificultad Respiratoria/terapia , Sepsis/complicaciones , Sepsis/terapia , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/etiología , Insuficiencia Respiratoria/terapia
11.
Am J Infect Control ; 2023 May 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37263419

RESUMEN

In this retrospective cohort from 3 Missouri hospitals from January 2017 to August 2020, hospital-onset Clostridioides difficile infections were more common during the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 pandemic at the tertiary care hospital. Risk factors associated with hospital-onset C difficile infection included the year of hospitalization, age, high-risk antibiotic use, acid-reducing medications, chronic comorbidities, and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection.

12.
JAMA Intern Med ; 183(6): 611-612, 2023 06 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37010858

RESUMEN

This cohort study uses data from electronic health records to assess variability in a sepsis prediction model across 9 hospitals.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Estadísticos , Sepsis , Humanos , Pronóstico , Sepsis/diagnóstico , Hospitales , Atención al Paciente
13.
JMIR Res Protoc ; 12: e40918, 2023 Feb 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36745494

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The intensive care unit (ICU)-ward transfer poses a particularly high-risk period for patients. The period after transfer has been associated with adverse events and additional work for care teams related to miscommunication or omission of information. Standardized handoff processes have been found to reduce communication errors and adverse patient events in other clinical environments but are understudied at the ICU-ward interface. We previously developed an electronic ICU-ward transfer tool, ICU-PAUSE, which embeds the key elements and diagnostic reasoning to facilitate a safe transfer of care at ICU discharge. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to evaluate the implementation process of the ICU-PAUSE handoff tool across 10 academic medical centers, including the rate of adoption and acceptability, as perceived by clinical care teams. METHODS: ICU-PAUSE will be implemented in the medical ICU across 10 academic hospitals, with each site customizing the tool to their institution's needs. Our mixed methods study will include a combination of a chart review, quantitative surveys, and qualitative interviews. After a 90-day implementation period, we will conduct a retrospective chart review to evaluate the rate of uptake of ICU-PAUSE. We will also conduct postimplementation surveys of providers to assess perceptions of the tool and its impact on the frequency of communication errors and adverse events during ICU-ward transfers. Lastly, we will conduct semistructured interviews of faculty stakeholders with subsequent thematic analysis with the goal of identifying benefits and barriers in implementing and using ICU-PAUSE. RESULTS: ICU-PAUSE was piloted in the medical ICU at Barnes-Jewish Hospital, the teaching hospital of Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis, in 2019. As of July 2022, implementation of ICU-PAUSE is ongoing at 6 of 10 participating sites. Our results will be published in 2023. CONCLUSIONS: Our process of ICU-PAUSE implementation embeds each step of template design, uptake, and customization in the needs of users and key stakeholders. Here, we introduce our approach to evaluate its acceptability, usability, and impact on communication errors according to the tenets of sociotechnical theory. We anticipate that ICU-PAUSE will offer an effective handoff tool for the ICU-ward transition that can be generalized to other institutions. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): DERR1-10.2196/40918.

14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36714284

RESUMEN

Objective: To use interrupted time-series analyses to investigate the impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on healthcare-associated infections (HAIs). We hypothesized that the pandemic would be associated with higher rates of HAIs after adjustment for confounders. Design: We conducted a cross-sectional study of HAIs in 3 hospitals in Missouri from January 1, 2017, through August 31, 2020, using interrupted time-series analysis with 2 counterfactual scenarios. Setting: The study was conducted at 1 large quaternary-care referral hospital and 2 community hospitals. Participants: All adults ≥18 years of age hospitalized at a study hospital for ≥48 hours were included in the study. Results: In total, 254,792 admissions for ≥48 hours occurred during the study period. The average age of these patients was 57.6 (±19.0) years, and 141,107 (55.6%) were female. At hospital 1, 78 CLABSIs, 33 CAUTIs, and 88 VAEs were documented during the pandemic period. Hospital 2 had 13 CLABSIs, 6 CAUTIs, and 17 VAEs. Hospital 3 recorded 11 CLABSIs, 8 CAUTIs, and 11 VAEs. Point estimates for hypothetical excess HAIs suggested an increase in all infection types across facilities, except for CLABSIs and CAUTIs at hospital 1 under the "no pandemic" scenario. Conclusions: The COVID-19 era was associated with increases in CLABSIs, CAUTIs, and VAEs at 3 hospitals in Missouri, with variations in significance by hospital and infection type. Continued vigilance in maintaining optimal infection prevention practices to minimize HAIs is warranted.

15.
JCO Clin Cancer Inform ; 7: e2200104, 2023 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36706345

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: To elicit end-user and stakeholder perceptions regarding design and implementation of an inpatient clinical deterioration early warning system (EWS) for oncology patients to better fit routine clinical practices and enhance clinical impact. METHODS: In an explanatory-sequential mixed-methods study, we evaluated a stakeholder-informed oncology early warning system (OncEWS) using surveys and semistructured interviews. Stakeholders were physicians, advanced practice providers (APPs), and nurses. For qualitative data, we used grounded theory and thematic content analysis via the constant comparative method to identify determinants of OncEWS implementation. RESULTS: Survey respondents generally agreed that an oncology-focused EWS could add value beyond clinical judgment, with nurses endorsing this notion significantly more strongly than other clinicians (nurse: median 5 on a 6-point scale [6 = strongly agree], interquartile range 4-5; doctors/advanced practice providers: 4 [4-5]; P = .005). However, some respondents would not trust an EWS to identify risk accurately (n = 36 [42%] somewhat or very concerned), while others were concerned that institutional culture would not embrace such an EWS (n = 17 [28%]).Interviews highlighted important aspects of the EWS and the local context that might facilitate implementation, including (1) a model tailored to the subtleties of oncology patients, (2) transparent model information, and (3) nursing-centric workflows. Interviewees raised the importance of sepsis as a common and high-risk deterioration syndrome. CONCLUSION: Stakeholders prioritized maximizing the degree to which the OncEWS is understandable, informative, actionable, and workflow-complementary, and perceived these factors to be key for translation into clinical benefit.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias , Médicos , Humanos , Pacientes Internos , Oncología Médica , Neoplasias/diagnóstico , Neoplasias/terapia
16.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 207(10): 1300-1309, 2023 05 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36449534

RESUMEN

Rationale: Despite etiologic and severity heterogeneity in neutropenic sepsis, management is often uniform. Understanding host response clinical subphenotypes might inform treatment strategies for neutropenic sepsis. Objectives: In this retrospective two-hospital study, we analyzed whether temperature trajectory modeling could identify distinct, clinically relevant subphenotypes among oncology patients with neutropenia and suspected infection. Methods: Among adult oncologic admissions with neutropenia and blood cultures within 24 hours, a previously validated model classified patients' initial 72-hour temperature trajectories into one of four subphenotypes. We analyzed subphenotypes' independent relationships with hospital mortality and bloodstream infection using multivariable models. Measurements and Main Results: Patients (primary cohort n = 1,145, validation cohort n = 6,564) fit into one of four temperature subphenotypes. "Hyperthermic slow resolvers" (pooled n = 1,140 [14.8%], mortality n = 104 [9.1%]) and "hypothermic" encounters (n = 1,612 [20.9%], mortality n = 138 [8.6%]) had higher mortality than "hyperthermic fast resolvers" (n = 1,314 [17.0%], mortality n = 47 [3.6%]) and "normothermic" (n = 3,643 [47.3%], mortality n = 196 [5.4%]) encounters (P < 0.001). Bloodstream infections were more common among hyperthermic slow resolvers (n = 248 [21.8%]) and hyperthermic fast resolvers (n = 240 [18.3%]) than among hypothermic (n = 188 [11.7%]) or normothermic (n = 418 [11.5%]) encounters (P < 0.001). Adjusted for confounders, hyperthermic slow resolvers had increased adjusted odds for mortality (primary cohort odds ratio, 1.91 [P = 0.03]; validation cohort odds ratio, 2.19 [P < 0.001]) and bloodstream infection (primary odds ratio, 1.54 [P = 0.04]; validation cohort odds ratio, 2.15 [P < 0.001]). Conclusions: Temperature trajectory subphenotypes were independently associated with important outcomes among hospitalized patients with neutropenia in two independent cohorts.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias , Neutropenia , Sepsis , Adulto , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Temperatura , Neutropenia/complicaciones , Sepsis/complicaciones , Fiebre , Neoplasias/complicaciones , Neoplasias/terapia
17.
CHEST Crit Care ; 1(3)2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38516615

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The clinical benefit of using inhaled epoprostenol (iEpo) through a humidified high-flow nasal cannula (HHFNC) remains unknown for patients with COVID-19. RESEARCH QUESTION: Can iEpo prevent respiratory deterioration for patients with positive SARS-CoV-2 findings receiving HHFNC? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: This multicenter retrospective cohort analysis included patients aged 18 years or older with COVID-19 pneumonia who required HHFNC treatment. Patients who received iEpo were propensity score matched to patients who did not receive iEpo. The primary outcome was time to mechanical ventilation or death without mechanical ventilation and was assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard ratios. The effects of residual confounding were assessed using a multilevel analysis, and a secondary analysis adjusted for outcome propensity also was performed in a multivariable model that included the entire (unmatched) patient cohort. RESULTS: Among 954 patients with positive SARS-CoV-2 findings receiving HHFNC therapy, 133 patients (13.9%) received iEpo. After propensity score matching, the median number of days until the composite outcome was similar between treatment groups (iEpo: 5.0 days [interquartile range, 2.0-10.0 days] vs no-iEpo: 6.5 days [interquartile range, 2.0-11.0 days]; P = .26), but patients who received iEpo were more likely to meet the composite outcome in the propensity score-matched, multilevel, and multivariable unmatched analyses (hazard ratio, 2.08 [95% CI, 1.73-2.50]; OR, 4.72 [95% CI, 3.01-7.41]; and OR, 1.35 [95% CI, 1.23-1.49]; respectively). INTERPRETATION: In patients with COVID-19 receiving HHFNC therapy, use of iEpo was associated with the need for invasive mechanical ventilation.

18.
Crit Care Explor ; 4(12): e0784, 2022 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36479445

RESUMEN

Multistate models yield high-fidelity analyses of the dynamic state transition and temporal dimensions of a clinical condition's natural history, offering superiority over aggregate modeling techniques for addressing these types of problems. OBJECTIVES: To demonstrate the utility of these models in critical care, we examined acute kidney injury (AKI) development, progression, and outcomes in COVID-19 critical illness through multistate analyses. DESIGN SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Retrospective cohort study at an urban tertiary-care academic hospital in the United States. All patients greater than or equal to 18 years in an ICU with COVID-19 in 2020, excluding patients with preexisting end-stage renal disease. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Using electronic health record data, we determined AKI presence/stage in discrete 12-hour time windows and fit multistate models to determine longitudinal transitions and outcomes. RESULTS: Of 367 encounters, 241 (66%) experienced AKI (maximal stages: 88 stage-1, 49 stage-2, 104 stage-3 AKI [51 received renal replacement therapy (RRT), 53 did not]). Patients receiving RRT overwhelmingly received invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) (n = 60, 95%) compared with the AKI-without-RRT (n = 98, 53%) and no-AKI groups (n = 39, 32%; p < 0.001), with similar mortality patterns (RRT: n = 36, 57%; AKI: n = 74, 40%; non-AKI: n = 23, 19%; p < 0.001). After 24 hours in the ICU, almost half the cohort had AKI (44.9%; 95% CI, 41.6-48.2%). At 7 days after stage-1 AKI, 74.0% (63.6-84.4) were AKI-free or discharged. By contrast, fewer patients experiencing stage-3 AKI were recovered (30.0% [24.1-35.8%]) or discharged (7.9% [5.2-10.7%]) after 7 days. Early AKI occurred with similar frequency in patients receiving and not receiving IMV: after 24 hours in the ICU, 20.9% of patients (18.3-23.6%) had AKI and IMV, while 23.4% (20.6-26.2%) had AKI without IMV. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In a multistate analysis of critically ill patients with COVID-19, AKI occurred early and heterogeneously in the course of critical illness. Multistate methods are useful and underused in ICU care delivery science as tools for understanding trajectories, prognoses, and resource needs.

20.
EBioMedicine ; 85: 104295, 2022 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36202054

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: A comparison of pneumonias due to SARS-CoV-2 and influenza, in terms of clinical course and predictors of outcomes, might inform prognosis and resource management. We aimed to compare clinical course and outcome predictors in SARS-CoV-2 and influenza pneumonia using multi-state modelling and supervised machine learning on clinical data among hospitalised patients. METHODS: This multicenter retrospective cohort study of patients hospitalised with SARS-CoV-2 (March-December 2020) or influenza (Jan 2015-March 2020) pneumonia had the composite of hospital mortality and hospice discharge as the primary outcome. Multi-state models compared differences in oxygenation/ventilatory utilisation between pneumonias longitudinally throughout hospitalisation. Differences in predictors of outcome were modelled using supervised machine learning classifiers. FINDINGS: Among 2,529 hospitalisations with SARS-CoV-2 and 2,256 with influenza pneumonia, the primary outcome occurred in 21% and 9%, respectively. Multi-state models differentiated oxygen requirement progression between viruses, with SARS-CoV-2 manifesting rapidly-escalating early hypoxemia. Highly contributory classifier variables for the primary outcome differed substantially between viruses. INTERPRETATION: SARS-CoV-2 and influenza pneumonia differ in presentation, hospital course, and outcome predictors. These pathogen-specific differential responses in viral pneumonias suggest distinct management approaches should be investigated. FUNDING: This project was supported by NIH/NCATS UL1 TR002345, NIH/NCATS KL2 TR002346 (PGL), the Doris Duke Charitable Foundation grant 2015215 (PGL), NIH/NHLBI R35 HL140026 (CSC), and a Big Ideas Award from the BJC HealthCare and Washington University School of Medicine Healthcare Innovation Lab and NIH/NIGMS R35 GM142992 (PS).


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Gripe Humana , Neumonía Viral , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Gripe Humana/diagnóstico , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Hospitales
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