Determinants of Left Ventricular Systolic Function One Year after Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention for ST-elevation Myocardial Infarction in a Middle-Income Country.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about the predictors of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) -an important predictor of mortality- after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in low- and middle-income countries. METHODS: In a prospective cohort study at Imam Ali hospital, Kermanshah, Iran, we enrolled consecutive ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients treated with primary PCI (2016-2018) and followed them up to one year. LVEF levels were measured by echocardiography, at baseline and one-year follow-up. Determinants of preserved/improved LVEF were assessed using multi-variable logistic regression models. RESULTS: Of 803 patients (mean age 58.53±11.7 years, 20.5% women), baseline LVEF levels of ≤35% were reported in 44%, 35- 50% in 40%, and ≥50% in 16% of patients. The mean ± SD of LVEF increased from 38.13%±9.2% at baseline to 41.49%±9.5% at follow-up. LVEF was preserved/improved in 629 (78.3%) patients. Adjusted ORs (95% CIs) for predictors of preserved/improved LVEF showed positive associations with creatinine clearance, 1.01 (1.00-1.02) and adherence to clopidogrel, 2.01 (1.33-3.02); and inverse associations with history of myocardial infarction (MI), 0.44 (0.25-0.78); creatine kinase MB (CK-MB), 0.997 (0.996- 0.999); door-balloon time (3rd vs. 1st tertile), 0.62 (0.39-0.98); number of diseased vessels (2 and 3 vs. 1: 0.63 (0.41-0.99) and 0.58 (0.36-0.93), respectively); and baseline LVEF (35-50% and ≥50% vs. ≤35%: 0.45 (0.28-0.71) and 0.19 (0.11-0.34), respectively). CONCLUSION: Adherence to clopidogrel, short door-balloon time, high creatinine clearance, and lower baseline LVEF were associated with preserved/improved LVEF, while history of MI, high CK-MB, and multi-vessel disease were predictors of reduced LVEF. Long-term drug adherence should be considered for LVEF improvement in low- and middle-income countries.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of the Introduction of HPV Vaccination of 9-Year-Old-Girls in Iran.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate the cost effectiveness of introducing the quadrivalent human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccine into the national immunization program of Iran. METHODS: The CERVIVAC cost-effectiveness model was used to calculate incremental cost per averted disability-adjusted life-year by vaccination compared with no vaccination from both governmental and societal perspectives. Calculations were based on epidemiologic parameters from the Iran National Cancer Registry and other national data sources as well as from literature review. We estimated all direct and indirect costs of cervical cancer treatment and vaccination program. All future costs and benefits were discounted at 3% per year and deterministic sensitivity analysis was used. RESULTS: During a 10-year period, HPV vaccination was estimated to avert 182 cervical cancer cases and 20 deaths at a total vaccination cost of US $23,459,897; total health service cost prevented because of HPV vaccination was estimated to be US $378,646 and US $691,741 from the governmental and societal perspective, respectively. Incremental cost per disability-adjusted life-year averted within 10 years was estimated to be US $15,205 and US $14,999 from the governmental and societal perspective, respectively, and both are higher than 3 times the gross domestic product per capita of Iran (US $14,289). Sensitivity analysis showed variation in vaccine price, and the number of doses has the greatest volatility on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Using a two-dose vaccination program could be cost-effective from the societal perspective (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio = US $11,849). CONCLUSIONS: Introducing a three-dose HPV vaccination program is currently not cost-effective in Iran. Because vaccine supplies cost is the most important parameter in this evaluation, considering a two-dose schedule or reducing vaccine prices has an impact on final conclusions.

Acellular pertussis vaccine efficacy: An updated systematic review and meta -analysis.

Background: Recent studies indicate an increased incidence of pertussis disease in recent years. The aim of this study was to evaluate the efficacy of the acellular vaccine for children (as a replacement of current whole cell vaccine in the Expanded Program on Immunization) and for high-risk adults in Iran through updating current best available evidence. Methods: We performed a systematic literature review in relevant databases we focused on previously published systematic reviews to select those that address our questions. The AMSTAR (assessing the methodological quality of systematic reviews) tool was used for screening available reviews. Then search in databases was done until Feb 2014 to update the evidence. We pooled results using meta-analysis methods by Stata statistical package. Results: Eleven systematic review articles were included in the initial evaluation. In the end, two systematic reviews on acellular vaccine booster doses and the acellular vaccine in children were selected as the baseline evidence. In the update phase, new clinical trials were screened, and the results were updated. Overall pooled estimate of relative efficacy of acellular to whole cell was 0.68 (95% CI, 0.55-0.81) for children immunization Pooled estimates for the efficacy of acellular versus placebo were 0.70 (95% CI, 0.60-0.80). Overall pooled estimate of efficacy of booster dose of acellular was 0.87(95% CI, 0.85-0.88) compared to placebo. In addition pooled estimate of acellular vaccine efficacy based on response to antigen was 0.78(95% CI, 0.64-0.93) in highrisk group. Conclusion: The results show higher performance and safety of the acellular vaccine in the prevention of pertussis in children versus the whole cell vaccine. Moreover, the efficacy of the acellular vaccine in high-risk adult groups is acceptable. This study provides evidence in favor of the introduction of an acellular vaccine to the national program of immunization. Studies on cost effectiveness and aspects of policy analysis are recommended.