Symptomology following COVID-19 among adults in Alberta, Canada: an observational survey study.

OBJECTIVE: Fatigue, headache, problems sleeping and numerous other symptoms have been reported to be associated with long COVID. However, many of these symptoms coincide with symptoms reported by the general population, possibly exacerbated by restrictions/precautions experienced during the COVID-19 pandemic. This study examines the symptoms reported by individuals who tested positive for COVID-19 compared with those who tested negative. DESIGN: Observational study. SETTING: The study was conducted on adult residents in Alberta, Canada, from October 2021 to February 2023. PARTICIPANTS: We evaluated self-reported symptoms in 7623 adults with positive COVID-19 tests and 1520 adults who tested negative, using surveys adapted from the internationally standardised International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC)-developed COVID-19 long-term follow-up tools. These individuals had an index COVID-19 test date between 1 March 2020 and 31 December 2022 and were over 28 days post-COVID-19 testing. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcomes were to identify the symptoms associated with COVID-19 positivity and risk factors for reporting symptoms. RESULTS: Fatigue was the top reported symptom (42%) among COVID-19-positive respondents, while headache was the top reported symptom (32%) in respondents who tested negative. Compared with those who tested negative, COVID-19-positive individuals reported 1.5 times more symptoms and had higher odds of experiencing 31 out of the 40 listed symptoms during the postinfectious period. These symptoms included olfactory dysfunction, menstruation changes, cardiopulmonary and neurological symptoms. Female sex, middle age (41-55 years), Indigeneity, unemployment, hospital/intensive care unit (ICU) admission at the time of testing and pre-existing health conditions independently predicted a greater number and variety of symptoms. CONCLUSIONS: Our results provide evidence that COVID-19 survivors continue to experience a significant number and variety of symptoms. These findings can help inform targeted strategies for the unequally affected population. It is important to offer appropriate management for symptom relief to those who have survived the acute COVID-19 illness.

Optimal Planning of Health Services through Genetic Algorithm and Discrete Event Simulation: A Proposed Model and Its Application to Stroke Rehabilitation Care.

Background. Increasing demand for provision of care to stroke survivors creates challenges for health care planners. A key concern is the optimal alignment of health care resources between provision of acute care, rehabilitation, and among different segments of rehabilitation, including inpatient rehabilitation, early supported discharge (ESD), and outpatient rehabilitation (OPR). We propose a novel application of discrete event simulation (DES) combined with a genetic algorithm (GA) to identify the optimal configuration of rehabilitation that maximizes patient benefits subject to finite health care resources. Design. Our stroke rehabilitation optimal model (sROM) combines DES and GA to identify an optimal solution that minimizes wait time for each segment of rehabilitation by changing care capacity across different segments. sROM is initiated by generating parameters for DES. GA is used to evaluate wait time from DES. If wait time meets specified stopping criteria, the search process stops at a point at which optimal capacity is reached. If not, capacity estimates are updated, and an additional iteration of the DES is run. To parameterize the model, we standardized real-world data from medical records by fitting them into probability distributions. A meta-analysis was conducted to determine the likelihood of stroke survivors flowing across rehabilitation segments. Results. We predict that rehabilitation planners in Alberta, Canada, have the potential to improve services by increasing capacity from 75 to 113 patients per day for ESD and from 101 to 143 patients per day for OPR. Compared with the status quo, optimal capacity would provide ESD to 138 (s = 29.5) more survivors and OPR to 262 (s = 45.5) more annually while having an estimated net annual cost savings of $25.45 (s = 15.02) million. Conclusions. The combination of DES and GA can be used to estimate optimal service capacity. Highlights: We created a hybrid model combining a genetic algorithm and discrete event simulation to search for the optimal configuration of health care service capacity that maximizes patient outcomes subject to finite health system resources.We applied a probability distribution fitting process to standardize real-world data to probability distributions. The process consists of choosing the distribution type and estimating the parameters of that distribution that best reflects the data. Standardizing real-word data to a best-fitted distribution can increase model generalizability.In an illustrative study of stroke rehabilitation care, resource allocation to stroke rehabilitation services under an optimal configuration allows provision of care to more stroke survivors who need services while reducing wait time.Resources needed to expand rehabilitation services could be reallocated from the savings due to reduced wait time in acute care units. In general, the predicted optimal configuration of stroke rehabilitation services is associated with a net cost savings to the health care system.

Changes in ischemic stroke presentations, management and outcomes during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic in Alberta: a population study.

BACKGROUND: Pandemics may promote hospital avoidance, and added precautions may exacerbate treatment delays for medical emergencies such as stroke. We sought to evaluate ischemic stroke presentations, management and outcomes during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We conducted a population-based study, using linked administrative and stroke registry data from Alberta to identify all patients presenting with stroke before the pandemic (Jan. 1, 2016 to Feb. 27, 2020) and in 5 periods over the first pandemic year (Feb. 28, 2020 to Mar. 31, 2021), reflecting changes in case numbers and restrictions. We evaluated changes in hospital admissions, emergency department presentations, thrombolysis, endovascular therapy, workflow times and outcomes. RESULTS: The study included 19 531 patients in the prepandemic period and 4900 patients across the 5 pandemic periods. Presentations for ischemic stroke dropped in the first pandemic wave (weekly adjusted incidence rate ratio [IRR] 0.54, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.50 to 0.59). Population-level incidence of thrombolysis (adjusted IRR 0.50, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.62) and endovascular therapy (adjusted IRR 0.63, 95% CI 0.47 to 0.84) also decreased during the first wave, but proportions of patients presenting with stroke who received acute therapies did not decline. Rates of patients presenting with stroke did not return to prepandemic levels, even during a lull in COVID-19 cases between the first 2 waves of the pandemic, and fell further in subsequent waves. In-hospital delays in thrombolysis or endovascular therapy occurred in several pandemic periods. The likelihood of in-hospital death increased in Wave 2 (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.48, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.74) and Wave 3 (adjusted OR 1.46, 95% CI 1.07 to 2.00). Out-of-hospital deaths, as a proportion of stroke-related deaths, rose during 4 of 5 pandemic periods. INTERPRETATION: The first year of the COVID-19 pandemic saw persistently reduced rates of patients presenting with ischemic stroke, recurrent treatment delays and higher risk of in-hospital death in later waves. These findings support public health messaging that encourages care-seeking for medical emergencies during pandemic periods, and stroke systems should re-evaluate protocols to mitigate inefficiencies.

Return on Investment in Endovascular Care: The Case of Endovascular Reperfusion Alberta.

OBJECTIVE: We examined the return on investment (ROI) from the Endovascular Reperfusion Alberta (ERA) project, a provincially funded population-wide strategy to improve access to endovascular therapy (EVT), to inform policy regarding sustainability. METHODS: We calculated net benefit (NB) as benefit minus cost and ROI as benefit divided by cost. Patients treated with EVT and their controls were identified from the ESCAPE trial. Using the provincial administrative databases, their health services utilization (HSU), including inpatient, outpatient, physician, long-term care services, and prescription drugs, were compared. This benefit was then extrapolated to the number of patients receiving EVT increased in 2018 and 2019 by the ERA implementation. We used three time horizons, including short (90 days), medium (1 year), and long-term (5 years). RESULTS: EVT was associated with a reduced gross HSU cost for all the three time horizons. Given the total costs of ERA were $2.04 million in 2018 ($11,860/patient) and $3.73 million in 2019 ($17,070/patient), NB per patient in 2018 (2019) was estimated at -$7,313 (-$12,524), $54,592 ($49,381), and $47,070 ($41,859) for short, medium, and long-term time horizons, respectively. Total NB for the province in 2018 (2019) were -$1.26 (-$2.74), $9.40 ($10.78), and $8.11 ($9.14) million; ROI ratios were 0.4 (0.3), 5.6 (3.9) and 5.0 (3.5). Probabilities of ERA being cost saving were 39% (31%), 97% (96%), and 94% (91%), for short, medium, and long-term time horizons, respectively. CONCLUSION: The ERA program was cost saving in the medium and long-term time horizons. Results emphasized the importance of considering a broad range of HSU and long-term impact to capture the full ROI.

Sex Differences in Endovascular Treatment for Stroke: A Population-based Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Acute ischemic stroke may affect women and men differently. We aimed to evaluate sex differences in outcomes of endovascular treatment (EVT) for ischemic stroke due to large vessel occlusion in a population-based study in Alberta, Canada. METHODS AND RESULTS: Over a 3-year period (April 2015-March 2018), 576 patients fit the inclusion criteria of our study and constituted the EVT group of our analysis. The medical treatment group of the ESCAPE trial had 150 patients. Thus, our total sample size was 726. We captured outcomes in clinical routine using administrative data and a linked database methodology. The primary outcome of our study was home-time. Home-time refers to the number of days that the patient was back at their premorbid living situation without an increase in the level of care within 90 days of the index stroke event. In adjusted analysis, EVT was associated with an increase of 90-day home-time by an average of 6.08 (95% CI -2.74-14.89, p-value 0.177) days in women compared to an average of 11.20 (95% CI 1.94-20.46, p-value 0.018) days in men. Further analysis revealed that the association between EVT and 90-day home-time in women was confounded by age and onset-to-treatment time. CONCLUSIONS: We found a nonsignificant nominal reduction of 90-day home-time gain for women compared to men in this province-wide population-based study of EVT for large vessel occlusion, which was only partially explained by confounding.

Provincial Door-to-Needle Improvement Initiative Results in Improved Patient Outcomes Across an Entire Population.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Improving door-to-needle times (DNTs) for thrombolysis of acute ischemic stroke patients improves outcomes, but participation in DNT improvement initiatives has been mostly limited to larger, academic medical centers with an existing interest in stroke quality improvement. It is not known whether quality improvement initiatives can improve DNT at a population level, including smaller community hospitals. This study aims to determine the effect of a provincial improvement collaborative intervention on improvement of DNT and patient outcomes. METHODS: A pre post cohort study was conducted over 10 years in the Canadian province of Alberta with 17 designated stroke centers. All ischemic stroke patients who received thrombolysis in the Canadian province of Alberta were included in the study. The quality improvement intervention was an improvement collaborative that involved creation of interdisciplinary teams from each stroke center, participation in 3 workshops and closing celebration, site visits, webinars, and data audit and feedback. RESULTS: Two thousand four hundred eighty-eight ischemic stroke patients received thrombolysis in the pre- and postintervention periods (630 in the post period). The mean age was 71 years (SD, 14.6 years), and 46% were women. DNTs were reduced from a median of 70.0 minutes (interquartile range, 51-93) to 39.0 minutes (interquartile range, 27-58) for patients treated per guideline (P<0.0001). The percentage of patients discharged home from acute care increased from 45.6% to 59.5% (P<0.0001); the median 90-day home time increased from 43.3 days (interquartile range, 27.3-55.8) to 53.6 days (interquartile range, 36.8-64.6) (P=0.0015); and the in-hospital mortality decreased from 14.5% to 10.5% (P=0.0990). CONCLUSIONS: The improvement collaborative was likely the key contributing factor in reducing DNTs and improving outcomes for ischemic stroke patients across Alberta.

Comparative Effectiveness of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke: A Population-Based Analysis.

Background A heterogeneous patient population receives endovascular treatment (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke caused by proximal large-vessel occlusion every day. We aimed to conduct a population-based study of EVT in the province of Alberta, Canada, to understand the effectiveness in a complete population and how the magnitude of effect differs from the artificial world of clinical trials. Methods and Results Within a 3-year period (April 2015 to March 2018), 576 patients fit the inclusion criteria of our study and constituted the EVT group of our analysis. The medical treatment group of the ESCAPE (Endovascular Treatment for Small Core and Anterior Circulation Proximal Occlusion With Emphasis on Minimizing CT [Computed Tomography] to Recanalization Times) trial had 150 patients. Thus, our total sample size was 726. We captured outcomes in clinical routine using administrative data and a linked database method. Primary outcome of our study was home-time. Home-time refers to the number of days that the patient was back at premorbid living situation without increase in level of care within 90 days of index stroke event. Median age of patients was 70 years (interquartile range, 59-81 years), and 47.8% were women. Median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score was 17 (interquartile range, 13-20). EVT was associated with an increased 90-day home-time by an average of 8.5 days compared with medical treatment alone using Cragg hurdle regression (P=0.009). Age and higher National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score were associated with decreased 90-day home-time (both P<0.001). Multivariable logistic regression showed no association between EVT and mortality at 90 days (odds ratio, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.47-1.24). Conclusions EVT for acute ischemic stroke caused by proximal large-vessel occlusion was effective in our province-wide population-based study and results in an increase of 90-day home-time by ~8.5 days.

One-Year Healthcare Utilization for Patients That Received Endovascular Treatment Compared With Control.

Background and Purpose- Endovascular therapy has been shown to be highly efficacious based on 90-day modified Rankin Scale score. We examined actual daily healthcare utilization from stroke onset to 1 year afterward from the ESCAPE trial (Endovascular Treatment for Small Core and Anterior Circulation Proximal Occlusion With Emphasis on Minimizing CT to Recanalization Time) and registry data. Methods- We examined patients from Alberta, Canada, that was enrolled into the ESCAPE trial and the Quality Improvement and Clinical Research registry in the 2016/2017 fiscal year. Through data linkages to several administrative data sets, the daily location of each patient was assessed in various healthcare settings. Results- A total of 286 patients were analyzed, 52 patients were in the treatment arm, and 47 patients were in the control arm of the ESCAPE trial while 187 patients received endovascular therapy as usual care (2016/2017 fiscal year). The odds of a patient being out of a healthcare setting over 1 year was significantly higher when they received endovascular therapy: 3.46 (1.68-7.30) in ESCAPE trial patients and 2.00 (1.08-3.75) in the Quality Improvement And Clinical Research patients. Conclusions- Endovascular therapy significantly reduces healthcare utilization up to 1 year after a stroke.

Improving Door-to-needle Times in the Treatment of Acute Ischemic Stroke Across a Canadian Province: Methodology.

BACKGROUND: Alteplase is a proven medical treatment for acute ischemic stroke; however, the effectiveness of this treatment is highly time dependent. Therefore, it is imperative that hospitals treat acute ischemic stroke patients as quickly as possible. The measure, door-to-needle time, is the time from hospital arrival to when alteplase administration begins. OBJECTIVE: The goal in the Canadian province of Alberta was to reduce the door-to-needle time to a median of 30 minutes and to increase the percent of patients treated within 60 minutes to 90%. OVERVIEW OF METHODOLOGY: A modified version of Institute for Healthcare Improvement Breakthrough Series Collaborative was used. All stroke centers self-enrolled into the collaborative after initial contact, and sites created interdisciplinary teams to participate in the Collaborative. Leadership and faculty were highly experienced in quality improvement and acute stroke. There were 3 daylong face-to-face learning sessions that were attended by enrolled teams, which included presentation about the evidence, site presentations to promote cross-site learning, and time to plan changes with their teams. The sites were also supported by site visits, webinars, and data feedback.

Cost-effectiveness of home blood pressure telemonitoring and case management in the secondary prevention of cerebrovascular disease in Canada.

Home blood pressure (BP) telemonitoring and pharmacist case management reduce BP, but cost-effectiveness assessments are mixed. We examined the incremental cost-effectiveness of this intervention vs usual care in Canadians with cerebrovascular disease. A Markov decision model cost-utility analysis examining community-residing, high-risk patients with a recent nondisabling cerebrovascular event was created. A lifetime time horizon and health care payer perspective were used. Achieved BP, future cardiovascular risks, and attendant consequences on quality-adjusted life years and Canadian dollar costs were modeled. BP telemonitoring was assumed to occur for 3 months, then quarterly. Life tables were used to determine overall mortality, adjusted by cardiovascular disease mortality. Relative efficacies of intervention-associated BP lowering, resource use, and costs were obtained from Canadian published literature. Reduction in systolic BP of 9.7 mmHg was used in the base case; subsequently, robust sensitivity analyses were conducted. The results showed that, over the lifetime horizon, telemonitoring with case management led to net health care savings of $1929 Canadian and increased per-patient QALYs by 0.83. These findings were robust to sensitivity analysis, with the intervention remaining dominant or highly cost-effective. Increasing telemonitoring costs by 50% still resulted in the intervention being dominant; if the costs of telemonitoring plus case management were 2-3 times base case cost, incremental cost-effectiveness was $1200-$4700 per quality-adjusted life year gained. In conclusion, home BP telemonitoring and pharmacist case management poststroke lowered costs and improved QALYs. Strategies and funding for broad implementation of this dominant strategy should be implemented.

Reducing Door-to-Needle Times for Ischaemic Stroke to a Median of 30 Minutes at a Community Hospital.

BACKGROUND: Alteplase is an effective treatment for ischaemic stroke patients, and it is widely available at all primary stroke centres. The effectiveness of alteplase is highly time-dependent. Large tertiary centres have reported significant improvements in their door-to-needle (DTN) times. However, these same improvements have not been reported at community hospitals. METHODS: Red Deer Regional Hospital Centre (RDRHC) is a community hospital of 370 beds that serves approximately 150,000 people in their acute stroke catchment area. The RDRHC participated in a provincial DTN improvement initiative, and implemented a streamlined algorithm for the treatment of stroke patients. During this intervention period, they implemented the following changes: early alert of an incoming acute stroke patient to the neurologist and care team, meeting the patient immediately upon arrival, parallel work processes, keeping the patient on the Emergency Medical Service stretcher to the CT scanner, and administering alteplase in the imaging area. Door-to-needle data were collected from July 2007 to December 2017. RESULTS: A total of 289 patients were treated from July 2007 to December 2017. In the pre-intervention period, 165 patients received alteplase and the median DTN time was 77 minutes [interquartile range (IQR): 60-103 minutes]; in the post-intervention period, 104 patients received alteplase and the median DTN time was 30 minutes (IQR: 22-42 minutes) (p < 0.001). The annual number of patients that received alteplase increased from 9 to 29 in the pre-intervention period to annual numbers of 41 to 63 patients in the post-intervention period. CONCLUSION: Community hospitals staffed with community neurologists can achieve median DTN times of 30 minutes or less.

CONTEXTE: L'altéplase est un traitement efficace dans le cas de patients victimes d'AVC ischémiques et demeure largement disponible dans les centres de soins de niveau primaire dédiés aux AVC. Cela dit, son efficacité dépend fortement des délais en fonction desquels on peut l'administrer. À cet égard, les centres de soins de niveau tertiaire ont fait état d'importantes améliorations en ce qui regarde leurs délais entre l'arrivée de patients et l'injection d'un traitement thrombolytique. Toutefois, il semble que de telles améliorations n'ont pas été signalées dans les hôpitaux communautaires. MÉTHODES: Le Red Deer Regional Hospital Centre (RDRHC) est un hôpital communautaire de 370 lits qui dessert approximativement 150 000 personnes dans sa zone d'attraction. Cet hôpital a participé à une initiative provinciale de réduction des délais mentionnés ci-dessus. Pour ce faire, il a mis au point un algorithme simplifié en vue du traitement de patients victimes d'AVC. Au cours de cette période d'intervention, les mesures de changement suivantes ont donc été adoptées : des alertes précoces transmises à un neurologue et aux équipes soignantes au moment de l'admission de patients victimes d'AVC aigus ; des rencontres immédiates avec les patients, et ce, dès leur arrivée à l'hôpital ; des processus de travail menés de façon parallèle ; le maintien des patients dans une civière d'ambulance jusqu'à temps qu'on puisse les conduire à un tomodensitomètre ; enfin, le fait d'administrer l'altéplase en fonction de la zone atteinte révélée par imagerie. Soulignons enfin que nos données en matière de réduction des délais ont été collectées de juillet 2007 à décembre 2017. RÉSULTATS: Au total, 289 patients ont été traités durant cette période. Au cours de la période antérieure à l'initiative évoquée précédemment, 165 patients ont bénéficié d'un traitement à l'altéplase ; les délais médians entre l'arrivée des patients et l'injection de ce médicament thrombolytique étaient alors de 77 minutes (EI : 60-103 minutes). Une fois mise en place l'initiative de réduction des délais, 104 patients ont reçu un traitement à l'altéplase ; cette fois, les délais médians du RDRHC étaient de 30 minutes (EI : 22-42 minutes ; p < 0,001). Fait à noter, le nombre annuel de patients ayant bénéficié de l'altéplase est passé de 9 à 29 durant la période pré-initiative et de 41 à 63 lors de la période post-initiative. CONCLUSION: Dans le cas des hôpitaux communautaires disposant de neurologues réguliers, il est possible de parvenir à des délais de 30 minutes ou moins entre l'arrivée de patients et l'injection d'un traitement thrombolytique.

Health Technology Optimization Analysis: Conceptual Approach and Illustrative Application.

We present a conceptual approach to determine the optimal solution to delivering a health technology, consistent with the objective of maximizing patient outcomes subject to resources available to a publicly funded health system. The article addresses two key policy questions: 1) adding system values through appropriate planning of health services delivery and 2) considering the tradeoff between patient outcomes and costs to the health system through appropriate use of health technologies for conditions with time-dependent treatment outcomes. We develop a health technology optimization framework that considers geographical variation and searches for the best delivery method through a pairwise comparison of all possible strategies, factoring in controlled variables including disease epidemiology, time or distance to hospitals, available medical services, treatment eligibility, treatment efficacy, and costs. Taking variations of these factors into account would help support a more efficient allocation of health resources. Drawing identified strategies together then creates a map of optimal strategies. We apply the proposed method to a policy-relevant health technology assessment of endovascular therapy (EVT) for treating acute ischemic stroke. The best strategy for providing EVT relies on the geographical location of stroke onset and the decision maker's preference for either patient outcomes or economic efficiency. The proposed method produced an optimization map showing the optimal strategy for EVT delivery, which maximizes patient outcomes while minimizing health system costs. In the illustrative case study, there were no tradeoffs between health outcomes and costs, meaning that the delivery strategies that were clinically optimal for patients were also the most cost-effective. In conclusion, the health technology optimization approach is a useful tool for informing implementation decisions and coordinating the delivery of complex health services such as EVT.

Approaches to the field recognition of potential thrombectomy candidates.

Systems of care for acute ischemic stroke are being challenged to implement processes that ensure rapid access to endovascular thrombectomy. Optimizing existing regionalized stroke thrombolysis programs for endovascular thrombectomy will require accurate field recognition of treatment candidates. We begin with a review of the development of early clinical tests for ischemic stroke, illustrating challenges relevant to future field tests for large vessel occlusion. Second, we discuss aspects of diagnosis, eligibility, feasibility, and system organization that are potentially relevant to the development and implementation of field tests and diversion criteria. These considerations may influence the choice and parametrization of field tests in individual jurisdictions. Third, we review the literature evaluating eight clinical tests for the field identification of probable large vessel occlusion. All candidate tests include evaluations for focal weakness, and six evaluate for cortical signs such as aphasia or gaze deviation. Most appear roughly comparable to the NIH Stroke Scale, but direct comparison between studies is inappropriate because of major methodological differences. Finally, we discuss our jurisdiction's approach to the field recognition of thrombectomy candidates. We contextualize diagnostic, eligibility, and system considerations within distinct metro and rural environments and propose a screen-and-consult model for the rural setting.