Predictors of long-term survival after resection of adenocarcinoma arising from intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm and derivation of a prognostic model: An international multicenter study (ADENO-IPMN study).

BACKGROUND: Predictors of long-term survival after resection of adenocarcinoma arising from intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms are unknown. This study determines predictors of long-term (>5 years) disease-free survival and recurrence in adenocarcinoma arising from intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms and derives a prognostic model for disease-free survival. METHODS: Consecutive patients who underwent pancreatic resection for adenocarcinoma arising from intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms in 18 academic pancreatic centers in Europe and Asia between 2010 to 2017 with at least 5-year follow-up were identified. Factors associated with disease-free survival were determined using Cox proportional hazards model. Internal validation was performed, and discrimination and calibration indices were assessed. RESULTS: In the study, 288 patients (median age, 70 years; 52% male) were identified; 140 (48%) patients developed recurrence after a median follow-up of 98 months (interquartile range, 78.4-123), 57 patients (19.8%) developed locoregional recurrence, and 109 patients (37.8%) systemic recurrence. At 5 years after resection, the overall and disease-free survival was 46.5% (134/288) and 35.0% (101/288), respectively. On Cox proportional hazards model analysis, multivisceral resection (hazard ratio, 2.20; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-4.60), pancreatic tail location (hazard ratio, 2.34; 95% confidence interval, 1.22-4.50), poor tumor differentiation (hazard ratio, 2.48; 95% confidence interval, 1.10-5.30), lymphovascular invasion (hazard ratio, 1.74; 95% confidence interval, 1.06-2.88), and perineural invasion (hazard ratio, 1.83; 95% confidence interval, 1.09-3.10) were negatively associated with long-term disease-free survival. The final predictive model incorporated 8 predictors and demonstrated good predictive ability for disease-free survival (C-index, 0.74; calibration, slope 1.00). CONCLUSION: A third of patients achieve long-term disease-free survival (>5 years) after pancreatic resection for adenocarcinoma arising from intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms. The predictive model developed in the current study can be used to estimate the probability of long-term disease-free survival.

Long-term Outcomes following Resection of Adenocarcinoma Arising from Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm (A-IPMN) versus Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma (PDAC): A Propensity-score Matched Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the present study was to compare long-term post-resection oncological outcomes between A-IPMN and PDAC. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Knowledge of long term oncological outcomes (e.g recurrence and survival data) comparing between adenocarcinoma arising from intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (A-IPMN) and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is scarce. METHODS: Patients undergoing pancreatic resection (2010-2020) for A-IPMN were identified retrospectively from 18 academic pancreatic centres and compared with PDAC patients from the same time-period. Propensity-score matching (PSM) was performed and survival and recurrence were compared between A-IPMN and PDAC. RESULTS: 459 A-IPMN patients (median age,70; M:F,250:209) were compared with 476 PDAC patients (median age,69; M:F,262:214). A-IPMN patients had lower T-stage, lymphovascular invasion (51.4%vs. 75.6%), perineural invasion (55.8%vs. 71.2%), lymph node positivity (47.3vs. 72.3%) and R1 resection (38.6%vs. 56.3%) compared to PDAC(P<0.001). The median survival and time-to-recurrence for A-IPMN versus PDAC were 39.0 versus19.5months (P<0.001) and 33.1 versus 14.8months (P<0.001), respectively (median follow-up,78 vs.73 months). Ten-year overall survival for A-IPMN was 34.6%(27/78) and PDAC was 9%(6/67). A-IPMN had higher rates of peritoneal (23.0 vs. 9.1%, P<0.001) and lung recurrence (27.8% vs. 15.6%, P<0.001) but lower rates of locoregional recurrence (39.7% vs. 57.8%; P<0.001). Matched analysis demonstrated inferior overall survival (P=0.005), inferior disease-free survival (P=0.003) and higher locoregional recurrence (P<0.001) in PDAC compared to A-IPMN but no significant difference in systemic recurrence rates (P=0.695). CONCLUSIONS: PDACs have inferior survival and higher recurrence rates compared to A-IPMN in matched cohorts. Locoregional recurrence is higher in PDAC but systemic recurrence rates are comparable and constituted by their own distinctive site-specific recurrence patterns.

The Grb2 splice variant, Grb3-3, is a negative regulator of RAS activation.

Activation of RAS is crucial in driving cellular outcomes including proliferation, differentiation, migration and apoptosis via the MAPK pathway. This is initiated on recruitment of Grb2, as part of a Grb2-Sos complex, to an up-regulated receptor tyrosine kinase (RTK), enabling subsequent interaction of Sos with the plasma membrane-localised RAS. Aberrant regulation at this convergence point for RTKs in MAPK signalling is a key driver of multiple cancers. Splicing of the GRB2 gene produces a deletion variant, Grb3-3, that is incapable of binding to RTKs. We show that, despite maintaining the ability to bind to Sos, the Grb3-3-Sos complex remains in the cytoplasm, unable to engage with RAS. Competition between Grb2 and Grb3-3 for binding to C-terminal proline-rich sequences on Sos modulates MAPK signalling. Additionally, we demonstrate that splicing is regulated by heterogenous nuclear riboproteins C1/C2, and that normal and malignant colon tissue show differential Grb3-3 expression.

A Diffusion-like Process Accommodates New Crypts During Clonal Expansion in Human Colonic Epithelium.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is thought to arise when the cumulative mutational burden within colonic crypts exceeds a certain threshold that leads to clonal expansion and ultimately neoplastic transformation. Therefore, quantification of the fixation and subsequent expansion of somatic mutations in normal epithelium is key to understanding colorectal cancer initiation. The aim of the present study was to determine how advantaged expansions can be accommodated in the human colon. METHODS: Immunohistochemistry was used to visualize loss of the cancer driver KDM6A in formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) normal human colonic epithelium. Combining microscopy with neural network-based image analysis, we determined the frequencies of KDM6A-mutant crypts and fission/fusion intermediates as well as the spatial distribution of clones. Mathematical modeling then defined the dynamics of their fixation and expansion. RESULTS: Interpretation of the age-related behavior of KDM6A-negative clones revealed significant competitive advantage in intracrypt dynamics as well as a 5-fold increase in crypt fission rate. This was not accompanied by an increase in crypt fusion. Mathematical modeling of crypt spacing identifies evidence for a crypt diffusion process. We define the threshold fission rate at which diffusion fails to accommodate new crypts, which can be exceeded by KRAS activating mutations. CONCLUSIONS: Advantaged gene mutations in KDM6A expand dramatically by crypt fission but not fusion. The crypt diffusion process enables accommodation of the additional crypts up to a threshold value, beyond which polyp growth may occur. The fission rate associated with KRAS mutations offers a potential explanation for KRAS-initiated polyps.

Fixation and Spread of Somatic Mutations in Adult Human Colonic Epithelium.

We investigated the means and timing by which mutations become fixed in the human colonic epithelium by visualizing somatic clones and mathematical inference. Fixation requires two sequential steps. First, one of approximately seven active stem cells residing within each colonic crypt has to be mutated. Second, the mutated stem cell has to replace neighbors to populate the entire crypt in a process that takes several years. Subsequent clonal expansion due to crypt fission is infrequent for neutral mutations (around 0.7% of all crypts undergo fission in a single year). Pro-oncogenic mutations subvert both stem cell replacement to accelerate fixation and clonal expansion by crypt fission to achieve high mutant allele frequencies with age. The benchmarking of these behaviors allows the advantage associated with different gene-specific mutations to be compared irrespective of the cellular mechanisms by which they are conferred.