Associations of Testosterone and Related Hormones With All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality and Incident Cardiovascular Disease in Men : Individual Participant Data Meta-analyses.

BACKGROUND: Whether circulating sex hormones modulate mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in aging men is controversial. PURPOSE: To clarify associations of sex hormones with these outcomes. DATA SOURCES: Systematic literature review to July 2019, with bridge searches to March 2024. STUDY SELECTION: Prospective cohort studies of community-dwelling men with sex steroids measured using mass spectrometry and at least 5 years of follow-up. DATA EXTRACTION: Independent variables were testosterone, sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG), luteinizing hormone (LH), dihydrotestosterone (DHT), and estradiol concentrations. Primary outcomes were all-cause mortality, CVD death, and incident CVD events. Covariates included age, body mass index, marital status, alcohol consumption, smoking, physical activity, hypertension, diabetes, creatinine concentration, ratio of total to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and lipid medication use. DATA SYNTHESIS: Nine studies provided individual participant data (IPD) (255 830 participant-years). Eleven studies provided summary estimates (n = 24 109). Two-stage random-effects IPD meta-analyses found that men with baseline testosterone concentrations below 7.4 nmol/L (<213 ng/dL), LH concentrations above 10 IU/L, or estradiol concentrations below 5.1 pmol/L had higher all-cause mortality, and those with testosterone concentrations below 5.3 nmol/L (<153 ng/dL) had higher CVD mortality risk. Lower SHBG concentration was associated with lower all-cause mortality (median for quintile 1 [Q1] vs. Q5, 20.6 vs. 68.3 nmol/L; adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.85 [95% CI, 0.77 to 0.95]) and lower CVD mortality (adjusted HR, 0.81 [CI, 0.65 to 1.00]). Men with lower baseline DHT concentrations had higher risk for all-cause mortality (median for Q1 vs. Q5, 0.69 vs. 2.45 nmol/L; adjusted HR, 1.19 [CI, 1.08 to 1.30]) and CVD mortality (adjusted HR, 1.29 [CI, 1.03 to 1.61]), and risk also increased with DHT concentrations above 2.45 nmol/L. Men with DHT concentrations below 0.59 nmol/L had increased risk for incident CVD events. LIMITATIONS: Observational study design, heterogeneity among studies, and imputation of missing data. CONCLUSION: Men with low testosterone, high LH, or very low estradiol concentrations had increased all-cause mortality. SHBG concentration was positively associated and DHT concentration was nonlinearly associated with all-cause and CVD mortality. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Medical Research Future Fund, Government of Western Australia, and Lawley Pharmaceuticals. (PROSPERO: CRD42019139668).

Factors Associated With Circulating Sex Hormones in Men : Individual Participant Data Meta-analyses.

BACKGROUND: Various factors modulate circulating testosterone in men, affecting interpretation of testosterone measurements. PURPOSE: To clarify factors associated with variations in sex hormone concentrations. DATA SOURCES: Systematic literature searches (to July 2019). STUDY SELECTION: Prospective cohort studies of community-dwelling men with total testosterone measured using mass spectrometry. DATA EXTRACTION: Individual participant data (IPD) (9 studies; n = 21 074) and aggregate data (2 studies; n = 4075). Sociodemographic, lifestyle, and health factors and concentrations of total testosterone, sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG), luteinizing hormone (LH), dihydrotestosterone, and estradiol were extracted. DATA SYNTHESIS: Two-stage random-effects IPD meta-analyses found a nonlinear association of testosterone with age, with negligible change among men aged 17 to 70 years (change per SD increase about the midpoint, -0.27 nmol/L [-7.8 ng/dL] [CI, -0.71 to 0.18 nmol/L {-20.5 to 5.2 ng/dL}]) and decreasing testosterone levels with age for men older than 70 years (-1.55 nmol/L [-44.7 ng/dL] [CI, -2.05 to -1.06 nmol/L {-59.1 to -30.6 ng/dL}]). Testosterone was inversely associated with body mass index (BMI) (change per SD increase, -2.42 nmol/L [-69.7 ng/dL] [CI, -2.70 to -2.13 nmol/L {-77.8 to -61.4 ng/dL}]). Testosterone concentrations were lower for men who were married (mean difference, -0.57 nmol/L [-16.4 ng/dL] [CI, -0.89 to -0.26 nmol/L {-25.6 to -7.5 ng/dL}]); undertook at most 75 minutes of vigorous physical activity per week (-0.51 nmol/L [-14.7 ng/dL] [CI, -0.90 to -0.13 nmol/L {-25.9 to -3.7 ng/dL}]); were former smokers (-0.34 nmol/L [-9.8 ng/dL] [CI, -0.55 to -0.12 nmol/L {-15.9 to -3.5 ng/dL}]); or had hypertension (-0.53 nmol/L [-15.3 ng/dL] [CI, -0.82 to -0.24 nmol/L {-23.6 to -6.9 ng/dL}]), cardiovascular disease (-0.35 nmol/L [-10.1 ng/dL] [CI, -0.55 to -0.15 nmol/L {-15.9 to -4.3 ng/dL}]), cancer (-1.39 nmol/L [-40.1 ng/dL] [CI, -1.79 to -0.99 nmol/L {-51.6 to -28.5 ng/dL}]), or diabetes (-1.43 nmol/L [-41.2 ng/dL] [CI, -1.65 to -1.22 nmol/L {-47.6 to -35.2 ng/dL}]). Sex hormone-binding globulin was directly associated with age and inversely associated with BMI. Luteinizing hormone was directly associated with age in men older than 70 years. LIMITATION: Cross-sectional analysis, heterogeneity between studies and in timing of blood sampling, and imputation for missing data. CONCLUSION: Multiple factors are associated with variation in male testosterone, SHBG, and LH concentrations. Reduced testosterone and increased LH concentrations may indicate impaired testicular function after age 70 years. Interpretation of individual testosterone measurements should account particularly for age older than 70 years, obesity, diabetes, and cancer. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Medical Research Future Fund, Government of Western Australia, and Lawley Pharmaceuticals. (PROSPERO: CRD42019139668).

Vitamin D status and cognitive performance in community-dwelling adults: A dose-response meta-analysis of observational studies.

Low vitamin D status is linked with poorer cognition in adults while findings in relation to high levels are mixed.We performed a systematic review and meta-analyses to examine dose-response associations between 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) levelsand cognitive performance in community-dwelling adults. Thirty-eight observational studies were included in dose-response meta-analyses. Positive, nonlinear associations were identified between baseline25OHD levels and global cognition incross-sectional and longitudinal analyses, and for performance in memory and executive function in longitudinal analyses. When restricted to studies involving older adults, thepattern emerged forspecific domains in cross-sectional analyses. Poorer performance was associated with low 25OHD levels, while a sharp improvement was associated withlevels up to 60-70 nM/L. Further improvement was observed only for longitudinal global cognition. Our findings support the association between low vitamin D and poorer cognition and suggest levels of at least 60 nM/L are associated with better cognition during ageing.

Does OSA Increase Risk for Cancer?: A Large Historical Sleep Clinic Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: The relationship between OSA and cancer is unclear. RESEARCH QUESTION: What is the association between OSA and cancer prevalence and incidence in a large Western Australian sleep clinic cohort (N = 20,289)? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: OSA severity was defined by apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) and nocturnal hypoxemia (duration and percentage at oxygen saturation < 90%) measured by in-laboratory polysomnogram. Measures of potential confounding included age, sex, BMI, smoking status, socioeconomic status, and BP. Outcomes were determined from the Western Australian cancer and death registries. Analyses were confined within periods using consistent AHI scoring criteria: January 1, 1989, to July 31, 2002 (American Sleep Disorders Association criteria), and August 1, 2002, to June 30, 2013 (Chicago criteria). We examined associations of AHI and nocturnal hypoxemia with cancer prevalence using logistic regression and cancer incidence using Cox regression analyses. RESULTS: Cancer prevalence at baseline was 329 of 10,561 in the American Sleep Disorders Association period and 633 of 9,728 in the Chicago period. Nocturnal hypoxemia but not AHI was independently associated with prevalent cancer following adjustment for participant age, sex, BMI, smoking status, socioeconomic status, and BP. Of those without prevalent cancer, cancer was diagnosed in 1,950 of 10,232 (American Sleep Disorders Association) and 623 of 9,095 (Chicago) participants over a median follow-up of 11.2 years. Compared with the reference category (no OSA, AHI < 5 events per hour), univariable models estimated higher hazard ratios for cancer incidence for mild (AHI 5-15 events per hour), moderate (AHI 15.1-30 events per hour), and severe (AHI > 30 events per hour) OSA. Multivariable analyses consistently revealed associations between age and, in some cases, sex, BMI, and smoking status, with cancer incidence. After adjusting for confounders, multivariable models showed no independent association between OSA severity and increased cancer incidence. INTERPRETATION: Nocturnal hypoxemia is independently associated with prevalent cancer. OSA severity is associated with incident cancer, although this association seems secondary to other risk factors for cancer development. OSA is not an independent risk factor for cancer incidence.

Serum testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin are inversely associated with leucocyte telomere length in men: a cross-sectional analysis of the UK Biobank study.

OBJECTIVE: Older men on an average have lower testosterone concentrations, compared with younger men, and more age-related comorbidities. Whether lower testosterone concentrations contribute to biological ageing remains unclear. Shorter telomeres are a marker for biological age. We tested the hypothesis that testosterone concentrations are associated with leucocyte telomere length (LTL), in middle- to older-aged men. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of the UK Biobank study, involving community-dwelling men aged 40-69 years. METHODS: Serum testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) were assayed. Free testosterone was calculated (cFT). Leucocyte telomere length was measured using polymerase chain reaction. Multivariable models were used to assess associations of hormones with standardised LTL. RESULTS: In 167 706 men, median age 58 years, adjusting for sociodemographic, lifestyle, and medical factors, total testosterone was inversely associated with standardised LTL, which was 0.09 longer (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.08-0.10, P < .001) in men with total testosterone at median of lowest quintile [Q1] vs highest [Q5]. This relationship was attenuated after additional adjustment for SHBG (0.03 longer, CI = 0.02-0.05, P = .003). The association between cFT and LTL was similar in direction but lower in magnitude. In multivariable analysis, SHBG was inversely associated with standardised LTL, which was 0.12 longer (CI = 0.10-0.13, P < .001) for SHBG at median Q1 vs Q5. Results were similar with testosterone included in the model (0.10 longer, CI = 0.08-0.12, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Total testosterone and SHBG were independently and inversely associated with LTL. Men with higher testosterone or SHBG had shorter telomeres, arguing against a role for testosterone to slow biological ageing in men.

Higher premorbid serum testosterone predicts COVID-19-related mortality risk in men.

Objective: Men are at greater risk from COVID-19 than women. Older, overweight men, and those with type 2 diabetes, have lower testosterone concentrations and poorer COVID-19-related outcomes. We analysed the associations of premorbid serum testosterone concentrations, not confounded by the effects of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, with COVID-19-related mortality risk in men. Design: This study is a United Kingdom Biobank prospective cohort study of community-dwelling men aged 40-69 years. Methods: Serum total testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) were measured at baseline (2006-2010). Free testosterone values were calculated (cFT). the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infections and deaths related to COVID-19 were ascertained from 16 March 2020 to 31 January 2021 and modelled using time-stratified Cox regression. Results: In 159 964 men, there were 5558 SARS-CoV-2 infections and 438 COVID-19 deaths. Younger age, higher BMI, non-White ethnicity, lower educational attainment, and socioeconomic deprivation were associated with incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infections but total testosterone, SHBG, and cFT were not. Adjusting for potential confounders, higher total testosterone was associated with COVID-19-related mortality risk (overall trend P = 0.008; hazard ratios (95% CIs) quintile 1, Q1 vs Q5 (reference), 0.84 (0.65-1.12) Q2:Q5, 0.82 (0.63-1.10); Q3:Q5, 0.80 (0.66-1.00); Q4:Q5, 0.82 (0.75-0.93)). Higher SHBG was also associated with COVID-19 mortality risk (P = 0.008), but cFT was not (P = 0.248). Conclusions: Middle-aged to older men with the highest premorbid serum total testosterone and SHBG concentrations are at greater risk of COVID-19-related mortality. Men could be advised that having relatively high serum testosterone concentrations does not protect against future COVID-19-related mortality. Further investigation of causality and potential underlying mechanisms is warranted.

The changing profile of obstructive sleep apnea: long term trends in characteristics of patients presenting for diagnostic polysomnography.

Introduction: We aimed to analyze long-term trends in characteristics of patients undergoing diagnostic polysomnography (PSG) and subsequently diagnosed with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) to inform delivery of sleep services. Material and Methods: We studied 24,510 consecutive patients undergoing PSG at a tertiary-care sleep service between 1989 and 2013. OSA was defined by an apnea hypopnea index (AHI)≥ 5 events/hour. Changes to hypopnea definition and flow sensing techniques in 2002 created two distinct AHI scoring periods: American Sleep Disorders Association (ASDA) 1989 - July 2002 and American Academy of Sleep Medicine (Chicago) from August 2002. Results: Over 23.5 years there was a steady increase in proportion of females (15% to 45%), small increases in average age and BMI, and a small decline in socioeconomic status in the overall group. AHI varied between scoring periods both overall [ASDA 10.8/h (3.2-29.6), Chicago 24.3/h (11.8-48.1)] and in the large subgroup (80.7%) diagnosed with OSA [ASDA 20.7/h (10.6-44.1), Chicago 27.4/h (14.8-51.5)]. OSA diagnosis rates increased in the Chicago period (ASDA 66%, Chicago 91%). Increases in AHI and proportion diagnosed appeared better explained by changes in scoring methods than key OSA risk factors. Conclusion: Temporal increases in proportion of females and decreases in socioeconomic status of people undergoing PSG may reflect greater community awareness of sleep disorders. Temporal increases in age and obesity are consistent with secular trends. Changes in scoring methods have major impacts on OSA diagnosis and judgement of disease severity, with important implications for contemporary resourcing of sleep services and interpretation of historical OSA data.

Lower serum testosterone concentrations are associated with a higher incidence of dementia in men: The UK Biobank prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: The association of testosterone concentrations with dementia risk remains uncertain. We examined associations of serum testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) with incidence of dementia and Alzheimer's disease. METHODS: Serum total testosterone and SHBG were measured by immunoassay. The incidence of dementia and Alzheimer's disease (AD) was recorded. Cox proportional hazards regression was adjusted for age and other variables. RESULTS: In 159,411 community-dwelling men (median age 61, followed for 7 years), 826 developed dementia, including 288 from AD. Lower total testosterone was associated with a higher incidence of dementia (overall trend: P = .001, lowest vs highest quintile: hazard ratio [HR] = 1.43, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.13-1.81), and AD (P = .017, HR = 1.80, CI = 1.21-2.66). Lower SHBG was associated with a lower incidence of dementia (P < .001, HR = 0.66, CI = 0.51-0.85) and AD (P = .012, HR = 0.53, CI = 0.34-0.84). DISCUSSION: Lower total testosterone and higher SHBG are independently associated with incident dementia and AD in older men. Additional research is needed to determine causality.

Associations of Serum Testosterone and Sex Hormone-Binding Globulin With Incident Cardiovascular Events in Middle-Aged to Older Men.

BACKGROUND: The influence of testosterone on risk for cardiovascular events in men is uncertain. Previous observational studies of sex hormones and incident cardiovascular disease in men have reported inconsistent findings, limited by cohort sizes and different selection criteria. OBJECTIVE: To analyze associations of serum total testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) with incident cardiovascular events in men. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: UK Biobank prospective cohort. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling men aged 40 to 69 years. MEASUREMENTS: Testosterone and SHBG were assayed, and free testosterone was calculated. Cox proportional hazards regression was done, with outcomes of incident myocardial infarction (MI), hemorrhagic stroke (HS), ischemic stroke (IS), heart failure (HF), and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), adjusted for sociodemographic, lifestyle, and medical factors. RESULTS: Of 210 700 men followed for 9 years, 8790 (4.2%) had an incident cardiovascular event. After adjustment for key variables, lower total testosterone concentrations (quintile 1 vs. quintile 5) were not associated with incident MI (fully adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.89 [95% CI, 0.80 to 1.00]), HS (HR, 0.94 [CI, 0.70 to 1.26]), IS (HR, 0.95 [CI, 0.82 to 1.10]), HF (HR, 1.15 [CI, 0.91 to 1.45]), or MACE (HR, 0.92 [CI, 0.84 to 1.00]). Men with lower calculated free testosterone values had a lower incidence of MACE (HR, 0.90 [CI, 0.84 to 0.97]). Lower SHBG concentrations were associated with higher incidence of MI (HR, 1.23 [CI, 1.09 to 1.38]) and lower incidence of IS (HR, 0.79 [CI, 0.67 to 0.94]) and HF (HR, 0.69 [CI, 0.54 to 0.89]), but not with HS (HR, 0.81 [CI, 0.57 to 1.14]) or MACE (HR, 1.01 [CI, 0.92 to 1.11]). LIMITATION: Observational study; single baseline measurement of testosterone and SHBG. CONCLUSION: Men with lower total testosterone concentrations were not at increased risk for MI, stroke, HF, or MACE. Calculated free testosterone may be associated with risk for MACE. Men with lower SHBG concentrations have higher risk for MI but lower risk for IS and HF, with causality to be determined. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Western Australian Health Translation Network, Medical Research Future Fund, and Lawley Pharmaceuticals.

Longitudinal changes in serum testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin in men aged 40-69 years from the UK Biobank.

OBJECTIVE: Testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) concentrations are reported to decline during male ageing, but whether these changes reflect physiological ageing or age-related comorbidities remains uncertain. We examined longitudinal changes in serum testosterone and SHBG concentrations in middle-aged to older men, concordance between baseline and follow-up values and relationships with concomitant changes in lifestyle and medical factors. DESIGN: Population-based longitudinal cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Community-dwelling men aged 40-69 years. MEASUREMENTS: Immunoassay serum total testosterone (n = 7812) and SHBG (n = 6491) at baseline (2006-2010) and follow-up (2012-2013). Free testosterone (cFT) was calculated. Bland-Altman analyses and concordance correlation of repeated measurements were conducted. Associations of changes in hormone concentrations with lifestyle and medical factors were explored using Spearman's rank correlation. RESULTS: Over 4.3 years follow-up, there was a negligible mean change (±SE) in serum total testosterone concentration (+0.06 ± 0.03 nmol/L), whereas mean SHBG concentration increased (+3.69 ± 0.12 nmol/L) and cFT decreased (-10.7 ± 0.7 pmol/L). Concordance estimates were 0.67 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.66-0.69) for total testosterone, 0.83 (CI = 0.82-0.84) for SHBG and 0.56 (CI = 0.54-0.58) for cFT. Changes in serum total testosterone correlated with changes in SHBG (Spearman's rank ρ = 0.33, CI = 0.30-0.35), and inversely with changes in body mass index (BMI) (ρ = -0.18, CI = -0.20 to -0.16) and waist circumference (ρ = -0.13, CI = -0.15 to -0.11) and in SHBG with changes in BMI (ρ = -0.34, CI = -0.36 to -0.32) and waist circumference (ρ = -0.21, CI = -0.24 to -0.19). CONCLUSION: In relatively healthy middle-aged to older men, mean serum total testosterone concentration is stable with ageing, while mean SHBG concentration increases. Both total testosterone and SHBG concentrations were highly concordant over time.

Sociodemographic, lifestyle and medical influences on serum testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin in men from UK Biobank.

OBJECTIVE: Serum testosterone concentrations are affected by factors unrelated to hypothalamo-pituitary-testicular axis pathology. We evaluated the impact of sociodemographic, lifestyle and medical factors, on serum testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) in men aged 40-69 years. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of 208,677 community-dwelling men from the UK Biobank. MEASUREMENTS: We analysed associations of different factors with serum testosterone and SHBG (immunoassays) and calculated free testosterone (cFT), using smoothed centile plots, linear mixed models and effect size estimates. RESULTS: Median (interquartile range) for serum testosterone was 11.6 (9.4-14.1) nmol/L, SHBG 36.9 (27.9-48.1) nmol/L and cFT 213 (178-255) pmol/L. Age and BMI were inversely associated with testosterone and cFT, while SHBG was associated with age and inversely with BMI (all P < .001). Living with a partner, (South) Asian ethnicity, never or previous smoker and some medical conditions were associated with lower testosterone. Poultry or fish eater, and higher physical activity were associated with higher testosterone (all P < .001). Testosterone was lowered by ~0.5 nmol/L across ages, ~1.5 nmol/L for BMI 30 vs 25 kg/m2 , ~2 nmol/L for (South) Asian ethnicity, living with partner, college/university qualifications, low red meat eater, insufficient physical activity and 0.3-1.0 nmol/L with cardiovascular disease or diabetes. Different combinations of these factors varied serum testosterone by ~4 nmol/L, SHBG by ~30 nmol/L and cFT by ~60 pmol/L. CONCLUSIONS: The identified modifiable risk factors support lifestyle-based interventions in men with low testosterone concentrations. Considering sociodemographic, lifestyle and medical factors facilitates more personalized interpretation of testosterone testing results with respect to existing reference ranges.

Serum Testosterone is Inversely and Sex Hormone-binding Globulin is Directly Associated with All-cause Mortality in Men.

CONTEXT: Serum testosterone concentrations decline with age, while serum sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) concentrations increase. OBJECTIVE: To analyze associations of baseline serum testosterone and SHBG concentrations, and calculated free testosterone (cFT) values, with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in men. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: The UK Biobank prospective cohort study of community-dwelling men aged 40-69 years old, followed for 11 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: All-cause, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer-related mortality. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed, adjusting for age, waist circumference, medical conditions, and other covariates. Models for testosterone included SHBG and vice versa. RESULTS: In a complete case analysis of 149 436 men with 10 053 deaths (1925 CVD and 4927 cancer-related), men with lower testosterone had a higher mortality rate from any cause (lowest vs highest quintile, Q1 vs Q5, fully-adjusted hazard ratio [HR] = 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.06-1.22, overall trend P < 0.001), and cancer (HR = 1.20, CI = 1.09-1.33, P < 0.001), with no association for CVD deaths. Similar results were seen for cFT. Men with lower SHBG had a lower mortality rate from any cause (Q1 vs Q5, HR = 0.68, CI = 0.63-0.73, P < 0.001), CVD (HR = 0.70, CI = 0.59-0.83, P < 0.001), and cancer (HR = 0.80, CI = 0.72-0.89, P < 0.001). A multiply imputed dataset (N = 208 425, 15 914 deaths, 3128 CVD-related and 7468 cancer-related) and analysis excluding deaths within the first 2 years (9261, 1734, and 4534 events) yielded similar results. CONCLUSIONS: Lower serum testosterone is independently associated with higher all-cause and cancer-related, but not CVD-related, mortality in middle-aged to older men. Lower SHBG is independently associated with lower all-cause, CVD-related, and cancer-related mortality. Confirmation and determination of causality requires mechanistic studies and prospective trials.

Increasing anaphylaxis events in Western Australia identified using four linked administrative datasets.

BACKGROUND: Anaphylaxis events are increasing worldwide, based on studies of single administrative datasets including hospital admissions, emergency room presentations, and prescription and medical claims data. Linking multiple administrative datasets may provide better epidemiological estimates, by capturing a greater number of anaphylaxis events occurring at the individual level. In this linked data study in Western Australia, we combined 4 population-based datasets to identify anaphylaxis events, factors influencing occurrence, and change in event rates from 2002 to 2013. METHODS: Four linked administrative datasets from the Western Australian Data Linkage System were used, representing ambulance attendances, emergency department presentations, hospital inpatient admissions and death registrations. An anaphylaxis cohort was identified using ICD-9-CM, ICD-10-AM and additional anaphylaxis diagnosis codes, with event rates calculated. We explored the impact of age, gender, cause, Indigenous status and socioeconomic index on event rates. Standard Poisson regression models were used to examine the significance of the change in anaphylaxis event rates over time. RESULTS: A total 12,637 individuals (mean age 31.8 years, 49.6% female) experienced 15,462 anaphylaxis events between 2002 and 2013 (97.5% in non-Indigenous patients and 59.5% residing in the area of greatest socioeconomic advantage). Anaphylaxis event rates increased from 15.4 to 82.5/105 population between 2002 and 2013. The greatest increase in anaphylaxis events was seen in those coded as unspecified anaphylaxis (all ages, males and females combined, p < 0.001), with the highest rates of unspecified anaphylaxis in males 0-4 years (171.9/105 population in 2013), and females 15-19 years (104.0/105 in 2013). The average annual percent increase (95% CI) for food-related anaphylaxis was 9.2% (6.6-12.0); for medication-related anaphylaxis was 5.8% (4.5-7.1); and for unspecified anaphylaxis was 10.4% (9.8-11.0); all p < 0.001. There was a significant increase in ambulance attendance, emergency presentations and inpatient admissions for anaphylaxis between 2002 and 2013, with emergency presentations (56.0/105 population), inpatient admissions (43.2/105), and ambulance attendance (21.6/105) highest in 2013. Only 25 anaphylaxis-related deaths were recorded in the mortality register with no significant change in rates over time. CONCLUSION: Using multiple linked administrative datasets, we identified significantly higher rates of total anaphylaxis than previously reported, with more than 5-fold increases in anaphylaxis events between 2002 and 2013. While the combination of 4 population-level datasets provides a more comprehensive capture of cases, even at the individual dataset level, admission rates for anaphylaxis in Western Australia are substantially higher than those previously reported for similar time periods, both in Australia and worldwide.

Understanding age-specific dispersal in fishes through hydrodynamic modelling, genetic simulations and microsatellite DNA analysis.

Many marine species have vastly different capacities for dispersal during larval, juvenile and adult life stages, and this has the potential to complicate the identification of population boundaries and the implementation of effective management strategies such as marine protected areas. Genetic studies of population structure and dispersal rarely disentangle these differences and usually provide only lifetime-averaged information that can be considered by managers. We address this limitation by combining age-specific autocorrelation analysis of microsatellite genotypes, hydrodynamic modelling and genetic simulations to reveal changes in the extent of dispersal during the lifetime of a marine fish. We focus on an exploited coral reef species, Lethrinus nebulosus, which has a circum-tropical distribution and is a key component of a multispecies fishery in northwestern Australia. Conventional population genetic analyses revealed extensive gene flow in this species over vast distances (up to 1,500 km). Yet, when realistic adult dispersal behaviours were modelled, they could not account for these observations, implying adult dispersal does not dominate gene flow. Instead, hydrodynamic modelling showed that larval L. nebulosus are likely to be transported hundreds of kilometres, easily accounting for the observed gene flow. Despite the vast scale of larval transport, juvenile L. nebulosus exhibited fine-scale genetic autocorrelation, which declined with age. This implies both larval cohesion and extremely limited juvenile dispersal prior to maturity. The multidisciplinary approach adopted in this study provides a uniquely comprehensive insight into spatial processes in this marine fish.