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Importance: An accurate prognosis is especially pertinent in mild cognitive impairment (MCI), when individuals experience considerable uncertainty about future progression. Objective: To evaluate the prognostic value of tau positron emission tomography (PET) to predict clinical progression from MCI to dementia. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a multicenter cohort study with external validation and a mean (SD) follow-up of 2.0 (1.1) years. Data were collected from centers in South Korea, Sweden, the US, and Switzerland from June 2014 to January 2024. Participant data were retrospectively collected and inclusion criteria were a baseline clinical diagnosis of MCI; longitudinal clinical follow-up; a Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score greater than 22; and available tau PET, amyloid-ß (Aß) PET, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scan less than 1 year from diagnosis. A total of 448 eligible individuals with MCI were included (331 in the discovery cohort and 117 in the validation cohort). None of these participants were excluded over the course of the study. Exposures: Tau PET, Aß PET, and MRI. Main Outcomes and Measures: Positive results on tau PET (temporal meta-region of interest), Aß PET (global; expressed in the standardized metric Centiloids), and MRI (Alzheimer disease [AD] signature region) was assessed using quantitative thresholds and visual reads. Clinical progression from MCI to all-cause dementia (regardless of suspected etiology) or to AD dementia (AD as suspected etiology) served as the primary outcomes. The primary analyses were receiver operating characteristics. Results: In the discovery cohort, the mean (SD) age was 70.9 (8.5) years, 191 (58%) were male, the mean (SD) MMSE score was 27.1 (1.9), and 110 individuals with MCI (33%) converted to dementia (71 to AD dementia). Only the model with tau PET predicted all-cause dementia (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.75; 95% CI, 0.70-0.80) better than a base model including age, sex, education, and MMSE score (AUC, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.65-0.77; P = .02), while the models assessing the other neuroimaging markers did not improve prediction. In the validation cohort, tau PET replicated in predicting all-cause dementia. Compared to the base model (AUC, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.69-0.82), prediction of AD dementia in the discovery cohort was significantly improved by including tau PET (AUC, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.79-0.89; P < .001), tau PET visual read (AUC, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.78-0.88; P = .001), and Aß PET Centiloids (AUC, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.78-0.88; P = .03). In the validation cohort, only the tau PET and the tau PET visual reads replicated in predicting AD dementia. Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, tau-PET showed the best performance as a stand-alone marker to predict progression to dementia among individuals with MCI. This suggests that, for prognostic purposes in MCI, a tau PET scan may be the best currently available neuroimaging marker.
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Disfunción Cognitiva , Demencia , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones , Proteínas tau , Humanos , Disfunción Cognitiva/diagnóstico por imagen , Disfunción Cognitiva/metabolismo , Masculino , Femenino , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones/métodos , Anciano , Proteínas tau/metabolismo , Demencia/diagnóstico por imagen , Demencia/metabolismo , Estudios de Cohortes , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Pronóstico , Estudios Retrospectivos , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Péptidos beta-Amiloides/metabolismoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Discordance between CSF and PET biomarkers of ß-amyloid (Aß) might reflect an imbalance between soluble and aggregated species, possibly reflecting disease heterogeneity. Previous studies generally used binary cutoffs to assess discrepancies in CSF/PET biomarkers, resulting in a loss of information on the extent of discordance. In this study, we (1) jointly modeled Aß-CSF/PET data to derive a continuous measure of the imbalance between soluble and fibrillar pools of Aß, (2) investigated factors contributing to this imbalance, and (3) examined associations with cognitive trajectories. METHODS: Across 822 cognitively unimpaired (n = 261) and cognitively impaired (n = 561) Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative individuals (384 [46.7%] females, mean age 73.0 ± 7.4 years), we fitted baseline CSF-Aß42 and global Aß-PET to a hyperbolic regression model, deriving a participant-specific Aß-aggregation score (standardized residuals); negative values represent more soluble relative to aggregated Aß and positive values more aggregated relative to soluble Aß. Using linear models, we investigated whether methodological factors, demographics, CSF biomarkers, and vascular burden contributed to Aß-aggregation scores. With linear mixed models, we assessed whether Aß-aggregation scores were predictive of cognitive functioning. Analyses were repeated in an early independent validation cohort of 383 Amyloid Imaging to Prevent Alzheimer's Disease Prognostic and Natural History Study individuals (224 [58.5%] females, mean age 65.2 ± 6.9 years). RESULTS: The imbalance model could be fit (pseudo-R2 = 0.94) in both cohorts, across CSF kits and PET tracers. Although no associations were observed with the main methodological factors, lower Aß-aggregation scores were associated with larger ventricular volume (ß = 0.13, p < 0.001), male sex (ß = -0.18, p = 0.019), and homozygous APOE-ε4 carriership (ß = -0.56, p < 0.001), whereas higher scores were associated with increased uncorrected CSF p-tau (ß = 0.17, p < 0.001) and t-tau (ß = 0.16, p < 0.001), better baseline executive functioning (ß = 0.12, p < 0.001), and slower global cognitive decline (ß = 0.14, p = 0.006). In the validation cohort, we replicated the associations with APOE-ε4, CSF t-tau, and, although modestly, with cognition. DISCUSSION: We propose a novel continuous model of Aß CSF/PET biomarker imbalance, accurately describing heterogeneity in soluble vs aggregated Aß pools in 2 independent cohorts across the full Aß continuum. Aß-aggregation scores were consistently associated with genetic and AD-associated CSF biomarkers, possibly reflecting disease heterogeneity beyond methodological influences.
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Enfermedad de Alzheimer , Péptidos beta-Amiloides , Biomarcadores , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones , Humanos , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/líquido cefalorraquídeo , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/diagnóstico por imagen , Femenino , Masculino , Péptidos beta-Amiloides/líquido cefalorraquídeo , Anciano , Biomarcadores/líquido cefalorraquídeo , Fragmentos de Péptidos/líquido cefalorraquídeo , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Disfunción Cognitiva/líquido cefalorraquídeo , Disfunción Cognitiva/diagnóstico por imagen , Persona de Mediana EdadRESUMEN
Lewy body (LB) diseases, characterized by the aggregation of misfolded α-synuclein proteins, exhibit notable clinical heterogeneity. This may be due to variations in accumulation patterns of LB neuropathology. Here we apply a data-driven disease progression model to regional neuropathological LB density scores from 814 brain donors with Lewy pathology. We describe three inferred trajectories of LB pathology that are characterized by differing clinicopathological presentation and longitudinal antemortem clinical progression. Most donors (81.9%) show earliest pathology in the olfactory bulb, followed by accumulation in either limbic (60.8%) or brainstem (21.1%) regions. The remaining donors (18.1%) initially exhibit abnormalities in brainstem regions. Early limbic pathology is associated with Alzheimer's disease-associated characteristics while early brainstem pathology is associated with progressive motor impairment and substantial LB pathology outside of the brain. Our data provides evidence for heterogeneity in the temporal spread of LB pathology, possibly explaining some of the clinical disparities observed in Lewy body disease.
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Progresión de la Enfermedad , Cuerpos de Lewy , Enfermedad por Cuerpos de Lewy , alfa-Sinucleína , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , alfa-Sinucleína/metabolismo , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/patología , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/metabolismo , Encéfalo/patología , Encéfalo/metabolismo , Tronco Encefálico/patología , Tronco Encefálico/metabolismo , Cuerpos de Lewy/patología , Cuerpos de Lewy/metabolismo , Enfermedad por Cuerpos de Lewy/patología , Enfermedad por Cuerpos de Lewy/metabolismo , Bulbo Olfatorio/patología , Bulbo Olfatorio/metabolismoRESUMEN
Lewy body (LB) disorders, characterized by the aggregation of misfolded α-synuclein proteins, exhibit notable clinical heterogeneity. This may be due to variations in accumulation patterns of LB neuropathology. By applying data-driven disease progression modelling to regional neuropathological LB density scores from 814 brain donors, we describe three inferred trajectories of LB pathology that were characterized by differing clinicopathological presentation and longitudinal antemortem clinical progression. Most donors (81.9%) showed earliest pathology in the olfactory bulb, followed by accumulation in either limbic (60.8%) or brainstem (21.1%) regions. The remaining donors (18.1%) exhibited the first abnormalities in brainstem regions. Early limbic pathology was associated with Alzheimer's disease-associated characteristics. Meanwhile, brainstem-first pathology was associated with progressive motor impairment and substantial LB pathology outside of the brain. Our data provides evidence for heterogeneity in the temporal spread of LB pathology, possibly explaining some of the clinical disparities observed in LBDs.
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PURPOSE: Tau pathology is associated with concurrent atrophy and decreased cerebral blood flow (CBF) in Alzheimer's disease (AD), but less is known about their temporal relationships. Our aim was therefore to investigate the association of concurrent and longitudinal tau PET with longitudinal changes in atrophy and relative CBF. METHODS: We included 61 individuals from the Amsterdam Dementia Cohort (mean age 65.1 ± 7.5 years, 44% female, 57% amyloid-ß positive [Aß +], 26 cognitively impaired [CI]) who underwent dynamic [18F]flortaucipir PET and structural MRI at baseline and 25 ± 5 months follow-up. In addition, we included 86 individuals (68 CI) who only underwent baseline dynamic [18F]flortaucipir PET and MRI scans to increase power in our statistical models. We obtained [18F]flortaucipir PET binding potential (BPND) and R1 values reflecting tau load and relative CBF, respectively, and computed cortical thickness from the structural MRI scans using FreeSurfer. We assessed the regional associations between i) baseline and ii) annual change in tau PET BPND in Braak I, III/IV, and V/VI regions and cortical thickness or R1 in cortical gray matter regions (spanning the whole brain) over time using linear mixed models with random intercepts adjusted for age, sex, time between baseline and follow-up assessments, and baseline BPND in case of analyses with annual change as determinant. All analyses were performed in Aß- cognitively normal (CN) individuals and Aß+ (CN and CI) individuals separately. RESULTS: In Aß+ individuals, greater baseline Braak III/IV and V/VI tau PET binding was associated with faster cortical thinning in primarily frontotemporal regions. Annual changes in tau PET were not associated with cortical thinning over time in either Aß+ or Aß- individuals. Baseline tau PET was not associated with longitudinal changes in relative CBF, but increases in Braak III/IV tau PET over time were associated with increases in parietal relative CBF over time in Aß + individuals. CONCLUSION: We showed that higher tau load was related to accelerated cortical thinning, but not to decreases in relative CBF. Moreover, tau PET load at baseline was a stronger predictor of cortical thinning than change of tau PET signal.
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Enfermedad de Alzheimer , Disfunción Cognitiva , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Anciano , Masculino , Proteínas tau/metabolismo , Adelgazamiento de la Corteza Cerebral , Tomografía de Emisión de Positrones , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/metabolismo , Péptidos beta-Amiloides/metabolismo , Atrofia/diagnóstico por imagen , Circulación Cerebrovascular , Disfunción Cognitiva/metabolismoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: ß-amyloid (Aß) staging models assume a single spatial-temporal progression of amyloid accumulation. We assessed evidence for Aß accumulation subtypes by applying the data-driven Subtype and Stage Inference (SuStaIn) model to amyloid-PET data. METHODS: Amyloid-PET data of 3,010 participants were pooled from 6 cohorts (ALFA+, EMIF-AD, ABIDE, OASIS, and ADNI). Standardized uptake value ratios were calculated for 17 regions. We applied the SuStaIn algorithm to identify consistent subtypes in the pooled dataset based on the cross-validation information criterion and the most probable subtype/stage classification per scan. The effects of demographics and risk factors on subtype assignment were assessed using multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: Participants were mostly cognitively unimpaired (n = 1890 [62.8%]), had a mean age of 68.72 (SD 9.1) years, 42.1% were APOE ε4 carriers, and 51.8% were female. A 1-subtype model recovered the traditional amyloid accumulation trajectory, but SuStaIn identified 3 optimal subtypes, referred to as frontal, parietal, and occipital based on the first regions to show abnormality. Of the 788 (26.2%) with strong subtype assignment (>50% probability), the majority was assigned to frontal (n = 415 [52.5%]), followed by parietal (n = 199 [25.3%]) and occipital subtypes (n = 175 [22.2%]). Significant differences across subtypes included distinct proportions of APOE ε4 carriers (frontal 61.8%, parietal 57.1%, occipital 49.4%), participants with dementia (frontal 19.7%, parietal 19.1%, occipital 31.0%), and lower age for the parietal subtype (frontal/occipital 72.1 years, parietal 69.3 years). Higher amyloid (Centiloid) and CSF p-tau burden was observed for the frontal subtype; parietal and occipital subtypes did not differ. At follow-up, most participants (81.1%) maintained baseline subtype assignment and 25.6% progressed to a later stage. DISCUSSION: Whereas a 1-trajectory model recovers the established pattern of amyloid accumulation, SuStaIn determined that 3 subtypes were optimal, showing distinct associations with Alzheimer disease risk factors. Further analyses to determine clinical utility are warranted.
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Enfermedad de Alzheimer , Amiloidosis , Anciano , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/diagnóstico por imagen , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/genética , Amiloide , Péptidos beta-Amiloides , Apolipoproteína E4/genética , Femenino , Humanos , Imagen por Resonancia Magnética , Masculino , Tomografía de Emisión de PositronesRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: The global disease burden of major depressive disorder urgently requires prevention in high-risk individuals, such as recently discovered insomnia subtypes. Previous studies targeting insomnia with fully automated eHealth interventions to prevent depression are inconclusive: dropout was high and likely biased, and depressive symptoms in untreated participants on average improved rather than worsened. OBJECTIVE: This randomized controlled trial aimed to efficiently prevent the worsening of depressive symptoms by selecting insomnia subtypes at high risk of depression for internet-based circadian rhythm support (CRS), cognitive behavioral therapy for insomnia (CBT-I), or their combination (CBT-I+CRS), with online therapist guidance to promote adherence. METHODS: Participants with an insomnia disorder subtype conveying an increased risk of depression (n = 132) were randomized to no treatment (NT), CRS, CBT-I, or CBT-I+CRS. The Inventory of Depressive Symptomatology - Self Report (IDS-SR) was self-administered at baseline and at four follow-ups spanning 1 year. RESULTS: Without treatment, depressive symptoms indeed worsened (d = 0.28, p = 0.041) in high-risk insomnia, but not in a reference group with low-risk insomnia. Therapist-guided CBT-I and CBT-I+CRS reduced IDS-SR ratings across all follow-up assessments (respectively, d = -0.80, p = 0.001; d = -0.95, p < 0.001). Only CBT-I+CRS reduced the 1-year incidence of clinically meaningful worsening (p = 0.002). Dropout during therapist-guided interventions was very low (8%) compared to previous automated interventions (57-62%). CONCLUSIONS: The findings tentatively suggest that the efficiency of population-wide preventive strategies could benefit from the possibility to select insomnia subtypes at high risk of developing depression for therapist-guided digital CBT-I+CRS. This treatment may provide effective long-term prevention of worsening of depressive symptoms. TRIAL REGISTRATION: the Netherlands Trial Register (NL7359).
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Trastorno Depresivo Mayor , Trastornos del Inicio y del Mantenimiento del Sueño , Ritmo Circadiano , Cognición , Depresión/prevención & control , Trastorno Depresivo Mayor/prevención & control , Humanos , Internet , Trastornos del Inicio y del Mantenimiento del Sueño/complicaciones , Trastornos del Inicio y del Mantenimiento del Sueño/prevención & control , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: The value of quantitative longitudinal and regional amyloid beta (Aß) measurements in predicting cognitive decline in initially cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals remains to be determined. METHODS: We selected 133 CU individuals with two or more [11C]Pittsburgh compound B ([11C]PiB) scans and neuropsychological data from Open Access Series of Imaging Studies (OASIS-3). Baseline and annualized distribution volume ratios were computed for a global composite and four regional clusters. The predictive value of Aß measurements (baseline, slope, and interaction) on longitudinal cognitive performance was examined. RESULTS: Global performance could only be predicted by Aß burden in an early cluster (precuneus, lateral orbitofrontal, and insula) and the precuneus region of interest (ROI) by itself significantly improved the model. Precuneal Aß burden was also predictive of immediate and delayed episodic memory performance. In Aß subjects at baseline (N = 93), lateral orbitofrontal Aß burden predicted working and semantic memory performance. DISCUSSION: Quantifying longitudinal and regional changes in Aß can improve the prediction of cognitive functioning in initially CU individuals.