The prognostic impact of non-driver gene mutations and variant allele frequency in primary myelofibrosis.

Prognostic impact of non-MPN driver gene mutations in primary myelofibrosis. MIPSS70: Mutation-Enhanced International Prognostic Score System.

Application of IPSET-thrombosis in 1366 Patients Prospectively Followed From the Spanish Registry of Essential Thrombocythemia.

The International Prognostic Score of thrombosis in Essential Thrombocythemia (IPSET-thrombosis) and its revised version have been proposed to guide thrombosis prevention strategies. We evaluated both classifications to prognosticate thrombosis in 1366 contemporary essential thrombocythemia (ET) patients prospectively followed from the Spanish Registry of ET. The cumulative incidence of thrombosis at 10 years, taking death as a competing risk, was 11.4%. The risk of thrombosis was significantly higher in the high-risk IPSET-thrombosis and high-risk revised IPSET-thrombosis, but no differences were observed among the lower risk categories. Patients allocated in high-risk IPSET-thrombosis (subdistribution hazard ratios [SHR], 3.7 [95% confidence interval, CI, 1.6-8.7]) and high-risk revised IPSET-thrombosis (SHR, 3.2 [95% CI, 1.4-7.45]) showed an increased risk of arterial thrombosis, whereas both scoring systems failed to predict venous thrombosis. The incidence rate of thrombosis in intermediate risk revised IPSET-thrombosis (aged >60 years, JAK2-negative, and no history of thrombosis) was very low regardless of the treatment administered (0.9% and 0% per year with and without cytoreduction, respectively). Dynamic application of the revised IPSET-thrombosis showed a low rate of thrombosis when patients without history of prior thrombosis switched to a higher risk category after reaching 60 years of age. In conclusion, IPSET-thrombosis scores are useful for identifying patients at high risk of arterial thrombosis, whereas they fail to predict venous thrombosis. Controlled studies are needed to determine the appropriate treatment of ET patients assigned to the non-high-risk categories.

Machine Learning Improves Risk Stratification in Myelofibrosis: An Analysis of the Spanish Registry of Myelofibrosis.

Myelofibrosis (MF) is a myeloproliferative neoplasm (MPN) with heterogeneous clinical course. Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation remains the only curative therapy, but its morbidity and mortality require careful candidate selection. Therefore, accurate disease risk prognostication is critical for treatment decision-making. We obtained registry data from patients diagnosed with MF in 60 Spanish institutions (N = 1386). These were randomly divided into a training set (80%) and a test set (20%). A machine learning (ML) technique (random forest) was used to model overall survival (OS) and leukemia-free survival (LFS) in the training set, and the results were validated in the test set. We derived the AIPSS-MF (Artificial Intelligence Prognostic Scoring System for Myelofibrosis) model, which was based on 8 clinical variables at diagnosis and achieved high accuracy in predicting OS (training set c-index, 0.750; test set c-index, 0.744) and LFS (training set c-index, 0.697; test set c-index, 0.703). No improvement was obtained with the inclusion of MPN driver mutations in the model. We were unable to adequately assess the potential benefit of including adverse cytogenetics or high-risk mutations due to the lack of these data in many patients. AIPSS-MF was superior to the IPSS regardless of MF subtype and age range and outperformed the MYSEC-PM in patients with secondary MF. In conclusion, we have developed a prediction model based exclusively on clinical variables that provides individualized prognostic estimates in patients with primary and secondary MF. The use of AIPSS-MF in combination with predictive models that incorporate genetic information may improve disease risk stratification.

Predictors of thrombosis and bleeding in 1613 myelofibrosis patients from the Spanish Registry of Myelofibrosis.

Available data have proved insufficient to develop consensus recommendations on the prevention of thrombosis and bleeding in myelofibrosis (MF). We evaluated the incidence and risk factors of vascular complications in 1613 patients from the Spanish Myelofibrosis Registry. Over a total of 6981 patient-years at risk, 6.4% of the study population had at least one thrombotic event after MF diagnosis, amounting to an incidence rate of 1.65 per 100 patient-years. Prior history of thrombosis, the JAK2 mutation, and the intermediate-2/high-risk International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS) categories conferred an increased thrombotic risk after adjustment for the risk-modifying effect of anti-thrombotic and cytoreductive treatments. History of thrombosis and the JAK2 mutation allowed us to pinpoint a group of patients at higher risk of early thrombosis. No decreased incidence of thrombosis was observed while patients were on anti-thrombotic or cytoreductive treatment. An increased risk of venous thrombosis was found during treatment with immunomodulatory agents. A total of 5.3% of patients had at least one episode of major bleeding, resulting in an incidence rate of 1.5 events per 100 patient-years. Patients in the intermediate-2/high-risk IPSS categories treated with anti-coagulants had an almost sevenfold increased risk of major bleeding. These findings should prove useful for guiding decision-making in clinical practice.

Low-risk polycythemia vera treated with phlebotomies: clinical characteristics, hematologic control and complications in 453 patients from the Spanish Registry of Polycythemia Vera.

Hematological control, incidence of complications, and need for cytoreduction were studied in 453 patients with low-risk polycythemia vera (PV) treated with phlebotomies alone. Median hematocrit value decreased from 54% at diagnosis to 45% at 12 months, and adequate hematocrit control over time (< 45%) was observed in 36%, 44%, and 32% of the patients at 6, 12, and 24 months, respectively. More than 5 phlebotomies per year in the maintenance phase were required in 19% of patients. Worsening thrombocytosis, age > 60 years, and microvascular symptoms constituted the main indications for starting cytoreduction. Median duration without initiating cytoreduction was significantly longer in patients younger than 50 years (< 0.0001). The incidence rate of thrombosis under phlebotomies alone was 0.8% per year and the estimated probability of thrombosis at 10 years was 8.5%. The probability of arterial thrombosis was significantly higher in patients with arterial hypertension whereas there was a trend to higher risk of venous thrombosis in cases with high JAK2V617F allele burden. Rates of major bleeding and second primary neoplasm were low. With a median follow-up of 9 years, survival probability at 10 years was 97%, whereas the probability of myelofibrosis at 10 and 20 years was 7% and 20%, respectively. Progression to acute myeloid leukemia was documented in 3 cases (1%). Current management of low-risk PV patients is associated with low rate of thrombosis and long survival. New treatment strategies are needed for improving hematological control and, in the long term, reducing progression to myelofibrosis.

Características clínico-biológicas de los pacientes con mielofibrosis: un análisis de 1.000 casos del Registro Español de Mielofibrosis / Clinico-biological characteristics of patients with myelofibrosis: an analysis of 1.000 cases from the Spanish Registry of Myelofibrosis

ANTECEDENTES Y OBJETIVO: La mielofibrosis es una neoplasia mieloproliferativa crónica infrecuente. Nuestro objetivo fue describir las características clínico-biológicas, el tratamiento y el curso evolutivo de los pacientes con mielofibrosis en España. MATERIAL Y MÉTODOS: Se analizaron 1.000 pacientes del Registro Español de Mielofibrosis diagnosticados de mielofibrosis primaria (n=641) o secundaria (n=359). RESULTADOS: La mediana de edad era de 68 años. La frecuencia de sintomatología constitucional, anemia moderada o severa (Hb<10g/dl) y esplenomegalia sintomática fue del 35, 36 y 17%, respectivamente. La incidencia de trombosis y hemorragia fue de 1,96 y 1,6 eventos por 100 años-paciente, respectivamente. La incidencia acumulada de leucemia fue del 15% a los 10 años. Para la anemia se emplearon principalmente agentes eritropoyéticos y danazol. A partir del 2010 se observó un incremento significativo del uso de ruxolitinib. Un 7,5% de los pacientes fue trasplantado. El 42% de los enfermos falleció, debido principalmente al deterioro clínico provocado por la mielofibrosis y a la transformación leucémica. La supervivencia mediana de la serie fue de 5,7 años. El IPSS identificó 4 grupos de riesgo: la supervivencia mediana no se alcanzó en el de bajo riesgo, mientras que fue de 8,8 años, 5,3 años y 2,8 años en los de riesgo intermedio-1, intermedio-2 y alto, respectivamente. CONCLUSIONES: la mielofibrosis es una enfermedad invalidante que afecta sobre todo a personas de edad avanzada y cuyo tratamiento es fundamentalmente sintomático. A pesar de su heterogeneidad clínica se dispone de modelos pronósticos útiles para la selección de candidatos a trasplante

Background and objective Myelofibrosis: is an infrequent chronic myeloproliferative neoplasm. We aimed to describe the clinico-biological characteristics, treatment, and evolutive course of myelofibrosis patients in Spain. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A total of 1,000 patients from the Spanish Registry of Myelofibrosis diagnosed with primary (n=641) or secondary (n=359) myelofibrosis were analysed. RESULTS: Median age was 68 years. The frequency of constitutional symptoms, moderate to severe anaemia (Hb<10g/dL), and symptomatic splenomegaly was 35%, 36%, and 17%, respectively. The rate of thrombosis and haemorrhage was 1.96 and 1.6 events per 100 patient-years, respectively. The cumulative incidence of leukaemia at 10 years was 15%. The most frequent therapies for the anaemia were the erythropoiesis stimulating agents and danazol. From 2010, a progressive increase in the use of ruxolitinib was noticed. A total of 7.5% of patients were transplanted. During the observation period, 42% of patients died mainly due to the clinical deterioration caused by myelofibrosis or leukaemic transformation. The median survival of the series was 5.7 years. Four different risk categories were identified by the IPSS: median survival was not reached in the low risk group and was 8.8 years, 5.3 years, and 2.8 years in the intermediate-1, intermediate-2, and high-risk groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Myelofibrosis is a disabling condition mainly affecting elderly people. Its treatment is mostly driven by symptom control. Despite its clinical heterogeneity, several prognostic models are useful to select candidates for transplantation

Clinico-biological characteristics of patients with myelofibrosis: an analysis of 1,000 cases from the Spanish Registry of Myelofibrosis. / Características clínico-biológicas de los pacientes con mielofibrosis: un análisis de 1.000 casos del Registro Español de Mielofibrosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE MYELOFIBROSIS: is an infrequent chronic myeloproliferative neoplasm. We aimed to describe the clinico-biological characteristics, treatment, and evolutive course of myelofibrosis patients in Spain. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A total of 1,000 patients from the Spanish Registry of Myelofibrosis diagnosed with primary (n=641) or secondary (n=359) myelofibrosis were analysed. RESULTS: Median age was 68 years. The frequency of constitutional symptoms, moderate to severe anaemia (Hb<10g/dL), and symptomatic splenomegaly was 35%, 36%, and 17%, respectively. The rate of thrombosis and haemorrhage was 1.96 and 1.6 events per 100 patient-years, respectively. The cumulative incidence of leukaemia at 10 years was 15%. The most frequent therapies for the anaemia were the erythropoiesis stimulating agents and danazol. From 2010, a progressive increase in the use of ruxolitinib was noticed. A total of 7.5% of patients were transplanted. During the observation period, 42% of patients died mainly due to the clinical deterioration caused by myelofibrosis or leukaemic transformation. The median survival of the series was 5.7 years. Four different risk categories were identified by the IPSS: median survival was not reached in the low risk group and was 8.8 years, 5.3 years, and 2.8 years in the intermediate-1, intermediate-2, and high-risk groups, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Myelofibrosis is a disabling condition mainly affecting elderly people. Its treatment is mostly driven by symptom control. Despite its clinical heterogeneity, several prognostic models are useful to select candidates for transplantation.

Prognostic risk models for transplant decision-making in myelofibrosis.

Prognostic models are widely used in clinical practice for transplant decision-making in myelofibrosis (MF). We have compared the performance of the International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS), dynamic IPSS (DIPSS), and DIPSS-plus in a series of 544 patients with primary or secondary MF aged ≤ 70 years at the time of diagnosis. The median projected survival of the overall series was 9.46 years (95% confidence interval 7.44-10.59). Median survival for the highest risk groups was less than 4 years in the three prognostic models. By contrast, the projected survival for patients in the intermediate-2 categories by the IPSS, DIPSS, and DIPSS-plus was 6.6, 5.6, and 6.5 years, respectively. The number of patients in the intermediate-2 and high-risk categories was smaller in the DIPSS than in the IPSS or the DIPSS-plus. The IPSS and DIPSS-plus were the best models to discriminate between the intermediate-1 and intermediate-2 risk categories, which is a critical cut-off point for patient selection to transplant. Among patients assigned at diagnosis to the intermediate-2 or high-risk groups by the IPSS, DIPSS, and DIPSS-plus, only 17, 21, and 20%, respectively, were subsequently transplanted. In conclusion, in our contemporary series of younger MF patients only the highest risk categories of the current prognostication systems have a median survival below the 5-year threshold recommended for considering transplantation. Patient selection for transplantation can significantly differ depending on which prognostication model is used for disease risk stratification.

Predictive factors for anemia response to erythropoiesis-stimulating agents in myelofibrosis.

OBJECTIVE: Erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) are commonly used to treat the anemia of myelofibrosis (MF), but information on the predictors of response is limited. METHODS: Results of ESA therapy were analyzed in 163 MF patients with severe anemia, most of whom had inadequate erythropoietin (EPO) levels (<125 U/L) at treatment start. RESULTS: According to the revised criteria of the International Working Group for Myelofibrosis Treatment and Research, anemia response was achieved in 86 patients (53%). Median response duration was 19.3 months. In multivariate analysis, baseline factors associated with a higher response rate were female sex (P=.007), leukocyte count ≥10×109 /L (P=.033), and serum ferritin <200 ng/mL (P=.002). Patients with 2 or 3 of the above features had a significantly higher response rate than the remainder (73% vs 28%, respectively; P<.001). Over the 373 patient-years of follow-up on ESA treatment, nine patients developed thrombotic complications (six arterial, three venous), accounting for 2.41 events per 100 patient-years. Survival time from ESA start was longer in anemia responders than in non-responders (P=.011). CONCLUSION: Besides the already established predictive value of EPO levels, these data can help to identify which MF patients are more likely to benefit from ESA treatment.

Do chronic myeloid leukemia patients with late "warning" responses benefit from "watch and wait" or switching therapy to a second generation tyrosine kinase inhibitor?

In the latest recommendations for the management of chronic-phase chronic myeloid leukemia suboptimal responses have been reclassified as "warning responses." In contrast to previous recommendations current guidance advises close monitoring without changing therapy. We have identified 198 patients treated with first-line imatinib, with a warning response after 12 months of treatment (patients with a complete cytogenetic response but no major molecular response [MMR]). One hundred and forty-six patients remained on imatinib, while 52 patients changed treatment to a second generation tyrosine kinase inhibitor (2GTKI). Changing therapy did not correlate with an increase in overall survival or progression-free survival. Nevertheless, a significant improvement was observed in the probability of a MMR: 24% vs. 42% by 12 months and 43% vs. 64% by 24 months (P = 0.002); as well as the probability of achieving a deep molecular responses (MR(4.5) ): 1% vs. 17% and 7% vs. 23% by 12 and 24 months, respectively (P = <0.001) .The treatment change to 2GTKI remained safe; however, we have observed a 19% of treatment discontinuation due to side effects. We have observed an improvement of molecular responses after changing treatment to 2GTKI in patients with late suboptimal response treated with imatinib first line. However, these benefits were not correlated with an improvement of progression free survival or overall survival.