Top 50 spine surgery publications most cited by patents: a bibliometric analysis focused on research driving innovation.

BACKGROUND: The use of bibliometric analysis studies allows for the precise assessment of high impact contributions to various fields of study. A bibliometric assessment of academic works cited in filed patents enables tracking the academic studies which have been most influential in development of new technologies in spine surgery. METHODS: The Lens database was utilized to retrieve scholarly articles related to the field of spine surgery, with special focus on spinal fusion and biologics. Scholarly works cited in patents were organized by the publishing journal, article topic, study type, publishing institution, and author information. We categorized such publications in terms of their country of origin and, for patents within the US, region of origin. RESULTS: The search criteria yielded 37,005 scholarly works related to spine surgery published between 1889-2023 and a total of 947 scholarly works cited in patents from 1968-2023. Many of the top contributing authors were orthopedic surgeons while the top 3 authors were biomedical engineers. The region in the US with the most citations in patents and the most scholarly work overall was the middle-Atlantic region. CONCLUSIONS: We assessed trends in spine surgery innovation over time, evaluated regional contributions to spine surgery innovation in the United States and worldwide, and examined the top institutions driving innovation in spine surgery. Our results have historical importance and scientific value insofar as the identified trends and other insights provided by our data may influence future decisions in terms of research efforts and allocation of research funds.

Camptocormia in Parkinson Disease: Systematic Review of Management Using Spine Surgery.

OBJECTIVE: Postural abnormalities are a debilitating symptom of Parkinson disease (PD) that may require spinal intervention. Camptocormia is a unique abnormality most seen in PD, defined by a severe forward flexion of the trunk that completely resolves when supine. The condition presents a challenge due to an undefined pathophysiology and optimal therapeutic approach in a high-risk patient population. In this study, we systematically reviewed the literature regarding the use of spine surgery for the treatment of camptocormia in PD. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were systematically queried for studies involving spine surgery as treatment of PD-associated camptocormia. Studies involving nonsurgical management, involving deep brain stimulation, involving noncamptocormic PD patients undergoing surgery, or were out of scope were excluded. RESULTS: The search resulted in 5 studies, with a total of 19 patients with PD with camptocormia who underwent spine surgery (73.7% women). The mean age was 69.5 years (range, 59-83), and the mean PD duration was 69.5 months (range, 36-84). Of 19 patients, 11 required surgical revision (57.9%), with an average of 0.68 revisions per patient (range, 0-2). Radiographic and patient-reported outcomes were inconsistently reported yet showed improvement. Ultimately, 18 patients were reported to have positive outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Despite an increased risk of complication and revision that is inherent to patients with PD, spine surgery has been proven as a reasonable alternative that should be prospectively studied further because 18 of 19 patients had favorable outcomes.

Health Care Fraud and Abuse: Lessons From One of the Largest Scandals of the 21st Century in the Field of Spine Surgery.

Up to hundreds of billions of dollars are annually lost to fraud and abuse in the US health care, making it a significant burden on the system. This study investigates a specific instance of health care fraud in spine surgery, in which a medical device company ended up paying $75 million to settle violations of the False Claims Act. We review the surgical background regarding the kyphoplasty procedure, as well as its billing and reimbursement details. We also explore the official legal complaint brought by the US Department of Justice to tell the story of how one of the most significant medical innovations in spine surgery in the 21st century turned into a widespread fraudulent marketing scheme. In the sequence, we provide a detailed root cause analysis of this scandal and propose some proactive measures that can be taken to avoid such type of unfortunate events. Ultimately, this historical health care scandal constitutes a valuable lesson to surgeons, health care administrators, medical device companies, and policymakers on how misaligned incentives and subsequent unscrupulous practices can transform a medical innovation into an unfortunate tale of fraud and deceit.

The Message of the Glasgow Coma Scale: A Comprehensive Bibliometric Analysis and Systematic Review of Clinical Practice Guidelines Spanning the Past 50 years.

BACKGROUND: Despite the ubiquitous use of the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) worldwide, no study to date has objectively and quantitatively assessed its impact on the scientific literature and clinical practice. Therefore, we comprehensively analyzed scientific publications and clinical practice guidelines employing the GCS to gauge its clinical and academic impact, identify research hotspots, and inform future research on the topic. METHODS: A cross-sectional bibliometric analysis was performed on Scopus to obtain relevant publications incorporating the GCS from 1974 to 2022. In addition, a systematic review of existing clinical practice guidelines in PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Trip Database was performed. Validated bibliometric parameters including article title, journal, publication year, authors, citation count, country, institution, keywords, impact factor, and references were assessed. When evaluating clinical practice guidelines, the sponsoring organization, country of origin, specialty, and publication year were assessed. RESULTS: A total of 37,633 articles originating from 3924 different scientific journals spanning 1974-2022 were included in the final analysis. The compound annual growth rate of publications referencing the GCS was 16.7%. Of 104 countries, the United States had the highest total number of publications employing the GCS (n = 8517). World Neurosurgery was the scientific periodical with the highest number of publications on the GCS (n = 798). The top trending author-supplied keyword was "traumatic brain injury" (n = 3408). The 97 included clinical practice guidelines most commonly employed the GCS in the fields of internal medicine (n = 22, 23%), critical care (n = 21, 22%), and neurotrauma (n = 19, 20%). CONCLUSIONS: At the turn of the 50th anniversary of the GCS, we provided a unique and detailed description of the "path to success" of the GCS both in terms of its scientific and clinical impact. These results have not only a historical but also an important didactic value. Ultimately our detailed analysis, which revealed some of the factors that led the GCS to become such a widespread and highly influential score, may assist future researchers in their development of new outcome measures and clinical scores, especially as such tools become increasingly relevant in an evidence-based data-driven age.

Traumatic pneumocephalus as a possible early sign of acute spinal cord injury: Case report.

Background: Traumatic pneumocephalus (TPC) following craniofacial injuries is common, but isolated TPC secondary to pneumorrhachis (PR) is the rare result of upward gas migration from the spinal canal. In the absence of craniofacial and grossly unstable spinal fractures, the etiology of TPC in polytrauma can be elusive and an underlying diagnosis of acute spinal cord injury (SCI) can be easily missed. We report the first polytrauma case where TPC was the most reliable early sign of SCI. Case Description: A 34-year-old polytrauma female with imaging findings of TPC, which was later found to be secondary to an underlying SCI. As a focused exam could not be performed at admission, the TPC was first attributed to undiagnosed craniofacial injuries. Tertiary survey revealed the patient being paraplegic and MRI workup demonstrated an acute SCI at the T3-T4 level. PR was the most likely cause of TPC in the absence of other craniofacial injuries. Outcome: The patient did not have a meaningful recovery given the extensive hemispheric infarcts, spinal cord injury, and respiratory failure. Conclusions: Although uncommon, TPC may be an important radiographic sign suggesting the possibility of an underlying SCI in polytrauma patients. especially when focused neurologic assessment is limited at admission. Polytrauma patients with TPC and PR in the absence of coexisting craniofacial fractures require an urgent spine consultation by the ER physician, with possible early spine MRI workup. We suggest a diagnostic algorithm for the early identification of SCI in polytrauma patients presenting with TPC and propose considering 3 groups which may have different risks for SCI based on their clinical presentation and the presence of PR.

The life and legacy of John Robert Cobb: the man behind the angle.

In 1934, Dr. John Robert Cobb moved to New York to serve as the Gibney Orthopedic Fellow at the Hospital for the Ruptured and Crippled, now known as the Hospital for Special Surgery. In this role, Cobb was faced with a unique task that would shape not only his personal career but also the fields of scoliosis and spine care: to design the first scoliosis specialty clinic. He critically reviewed the treatment methods for scoliosis outlined by prior pioneers in spine surgery and kept his own meticulous records of diagnoses, treatments, and radiographs. Cobb's work culminated in major contributions to spine surgery that are highly relevant to this day, including the Cobb angle and the Cobb elevator. In this detailed analysis of the career and academic legacy of Dr. John R. Cobb, the authors examine in detail the historical events surrounding Cobb's great contributions to spine surgery and their lasting impact on our specialty, as well as unique aspects of his personal life. This historical vignette constitutes the first comprehensive analysis of the life, career, and academic legacy of Dr. John R. Cobb, the man behind the angle.

Outcome Reporting in Spine Surgery: A Review of Historical and Emerging Trends.

The general objectives of spine surgery are to alleviate pain, restore neurologic function, and prevent or treat spinal deformities or instability. The accumulating expanse of outcome measures has allowed us to more objectively quantify these variables and, therefore, gauge the success of treatments, ultimately improving the quality of the delivered health care. It has become increasingly evident that spinal conditions and their accompanying interventions affect all aspects of a patient's life, including their physical, mental, emotional, and social well-being. This underscores the challenge of creating clinically relevant and accurate outcome measures in spine care, and the reason why there is a growing recognition of the importance of subjective measures such as patient-reported outcome measures, that consider a patients' health-related quality of life. Subjective measures provide valuable insights into patient experiences and perceptions of treatment outcomes, whereas objective measures provide a reproducible glimpse into key radiographic and clinical parameters that are associated with a successful outcome. In this narrative review, we provide a detailed analysis of the most common subjective and objective outcome measures employed in spine surgery, with a special focus on their current role as well as the possible future of outcome reporting.

Development of a Modified Bayonet Forceps for Improving Steerability of Paddle Lead Electrodes During Spinal Cord Stimulator Surgery: A Technical Note.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Despite recent advancements in spinal cord stimulation (SCS) technology, the surgical instrumentation for placement of SCS paddle leads remains suboptimal. Therefore, we developed a novel instrument to improve the steerability of SCS paddle leads during surgical placement. METHODS: A review of existing literature was performed to analyze workflow deficiencies in the standard instrumentation of SCS paddle lead placement. After a period of adaptation and iterative feedback with a medical instrument company, a new instrument was developed, tested at benchtop, and successfully incorporated into the surgical routine. RESULTS: A standard bayonet forceps was modified to include hooked ends and a ribbed surface, providing the surgeon with greater control over the paddle lead. The new instrument also included bilateral metal tubes starting approximately 4 cm proximal from the edge of the forceps. The bilateral metal tubes, through which the SCS paddle lead wires are passed, serve as anchors to keep the wires away from the incision site. In addition, it permitted the paddle lead to assume a bent configuration, reducing its overall size and allowing it to be placed through a smaller incision and laminectomy. The modified bayonet forceps was successfully used intraoperatively for placement of SCS paddle lead electrodes in several surgeries. CONCLUSION: The proposed modified bayonet forceps increased steerability of the paddle lead, facilitating optimal midline placement. The bent configuration of the device facilitated a more minimally invasive surgical approach. Future studies are needed to validate our single-provider experience and evaluate the impact of this new instrument on operating room efficiency.

Complex surgical reconstruction for spinopelvic instability caused by a giant Tarlov cyst eroding the sacrum: A case report.

Background: Tarlov cysts (TC), also known as perineural cysts are meningeal dilations of the posterior nerve root sheath that typically affect sacral nerve roots. TC are usually asymptomatic and found incidentally. We present the case of a patient with an enlarging sacral TC causing pain from spinopelvic instability secondary to extensive bone erosion. Such illustrative case is intended to increase awareness of the potential need for complex spinopelvic reconstruction in atypical instances of large TC. Case Description: A 29-year-old female presented to clinic reporting progressive bilateral sacroiliac joint pain that was essentially mechanical in nature. The patient had a normal neurological exam except for a known left drop foot with numbness in the left sural nerve distribution, both attributed to a previously resected peripheral nerve sheath tumor. Magnetic resonance imaging revealed a large multilobulated lesion with imaging characteristics consistent with TC adjacent to the left side of the sacrum, extending outward from the left S1 and S2 neural foramina and measuring 6.7 × 3.7 cm in the axial plane and and 5.6 cm in the sagittal plane. Six weeks of conservative management consisting of physical therapy and pain management was unsuccessful, and the patient reported worsening pain. Surgical reconstruction consisting of L5-S1 transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion, L4 to pelvis navigation-guided instrumentation and posterolateral fusion, and bilateral sacroiliac joint fusion was successfully performed. Outcomes: At 12 weeks follow-up appointment after surgery, the patient reported resolution of sacroiliac mechanical pain. Conclusions: Sacral TC are asymptomatic in their vast majority of cases but may occasionally cause neurological deficits secondary to mass effect. Rarely, however, giant TC can also lead to significant bone erosion or the sacrum with secondary spinopelvic instability. In this brief report, we describe a giant TC generating significant spinopelvic instability, which was successfully treated with complex spinopelvic reconstruction, leading to complete resolution of the reported axial mechanical pain.

Expert Witness Testimony in Spine Surgery: A Review of Guidelines and Recommendations From Professional Organizations.

BACKGROUND: Most professional spine societies have enacted formal guidelines for spine surgeons providing expert witness services. However, there is significant heterogeneity in existing recommendations, with most societies providing information that is limited in detail and scope. OBJECTIVE: To provide a review of guidelines published by professional spine societies for spine surgeons serving as expert witnesses. METHODS: The Gale Directory Library, PubMed, and the grey literature were queried for national or international professional societies related to spine surgery. The search was focused on societies in the United States and North America, but also included well recognized international organizations in the field of spine surgery. Included societies with publicly available guidelines regarding expert witness services were extracted for 4 domains: (1) qualifications, (2) preparations, (3) testimony, and (4) compensation as well as the presence of a professional compliance program, defined as any official subcommittee aimed toward investigating claims of unethical behavior. RESULTS: Although most professional spine societies share general themes with respect to expert witness guidelines, important differences exist. Of the 26 societies included, 10 included publicly available guidelines: 4 of which were general neurosurgery societies, 2 general orthopedic surgery, and 4 spine specific. Three societies included the guidelines on all 4 domains (ie, qualifications, preparations, testimony, and compensation), and 2 societies included only 1 of the 4 domains. Eight societies possess a professional compliance program. CONCLUSION: There remains a paucity in expert witness guidelines provided by professional spine societies. Although existing recommendations are useful, there is a lack of standardized and comprehensive materials for spine surgeons providing expert witness testimony to reference. Moving forward, joint committees comprising surgeons, attorneys, and patient stakeholders may help improve the guidelines.

Litigation involving sports-related spinal injuries: a comprehensive review of reported legal claims in the United States in the past 70 years.

BACKGROUND CONTEXT: Sports-related spinal injuries can be catastrophic in nature. Athletes competing in collision sports (eg, football) may be particularly prone to injury given the high-impact nature of these activities. Due to the oftentimes profound impact of sports-related spinal injuries on health and quality-of-life, they are also associated with a substantial risk of litigation. However, no study to date has assessed litigation risks associated with sports-related spinal injuries. A better understanding of the risk factors surrounding these legal claims may provide insights into injury prevention and other strategies to minimize litigation risks. In addition, it may allow the spine surgeon to better recognize the health, socioeconomic, and legal challenges faced by this patient population. PURPOSE: To provide a comprehensive assessment of reported legal claims involving sports-related spinal injuries, including a comparative analysis of legal outcomes between collision and non-collision sports. To discuss strategies to prevent sports-related spinal injuries and minimize litigation risks. STUDY DESIGN/SETTING: Retrospective review. PATIENT SAMPLE: Athletes experiencing spinal injuries during sports. OUTCOME MEASURES: Outcomes included verdict outcome (defendant vs. plaintiff), legal claims, injuries sustained, clinical symptoms, and award payouts. METHODS: The legal research database Westlaw Edge (Thomson Reuters) was queried for legal claims brought in the United States from 1950 to 2021 involving sports-related spinal injuries. Verdict or settlement outcomes were collected as well as award payouts, time to case closure, case year, and case location. Demographic data, including type of sport (ie collision vs. non-collision sport) and level of play were obtained. Legal claims, spinal injuries sustained, and clinical symptoms were also extracted. Furthermore, the nature of injury, injured spinal region, and treatment pursued were collected. Descriptive statistics were reported for all cases and independent-samples t-tests and chi-square tests were used to compare differences between collision and non-collision sports. RESULTS: Of the 840 cases identified on initial search, 78 met our criteria for in-depth analysis. This yielded 62% (n=48) defendant verdicts, 32% (n=25) plaintiff verdicts, and 6% (n=5) settlements, with a median inflation-adjusted award of $780,000 (range: $5,480-$21,585,000) for all cases. The most common legal claim was negligent supervision (n=38, 46%), followed by premises liability (n=23, 28%), and workers' compensation/no fault litigation (n=10, 12%). The most common injuries sustained were vertebral fractures (n=34, 44%) followed by disc herniation (n=14, 18%). Most cases resulted in catastrophic neurological injury (n=37, 49%), either paraplegia (n=6, 8%) or quadriplegia (n=31, 41%), followed by chronic/refractory pain (n=32, 43%). Non-collision sport cases had a higher percentage of premises liability claims (41% vs. 11%, p=.006) and alleged chronic/refractory pain (53% vs. 28%, p=.04). Conversely, collision sport cases had a higher proportion of workers' compensation/no fault litigation (23% vs. 4%, p=.03) and cases involving disc herniation (29% vs. 9%, respectively; p=.04). CONCLUSION: Sports-related spinal injuries are associated with multiple and complex health, socioeconomic, and legal consequences, with median inflation-adjusted award payouts nearing $800,000 per case. In our cohort, the most commonly cited legal claims were negligent supervision and premises liability, emphasizing the need for prevention guidelines for safe sports practice, especially in non-professional settings. Cases involving athletes participating in non-collision sports were significantly associated with claims citing chronic/refractory pain, highlighting the importance of long-term care in severely injured athletes.

Blast-Related Traumatic Brain Injuries Secondary to Thermobaric Explosives: Implications for the War in Ukraine.

Blast-related traumatic brain injury (bTBI) is a significant cause of wartime morbidity and mortality. In recent decades, thermobaric explosives have emerged as particularly devastating weapons associated with bTBI. With recent documentation of the use of these weapons in the war in Ukraine, clinicians and laypersons alike could benefit from an improved understanding behind the dynamic interplay between explosive weaponry, its potential for bTBI, and the subsequent long-term consequences of these injuries. Therefore, we provide a general overview of the history and mechanism of action of thermobaric weapons and their potential to cause bTBI. In addition, we highlight the long-term cognitive and neuropsychiatric sequelae following bTBI and discuss diagnostic, therapeutic, and rehabilitation strategies, with the aim of helping to guide mitigation strategies and humanitarian relief in Ukraine. Thermobaric weapons produce a powerful blast wave capable of causing bTBIs, which can be further classified from primary to quaternary injuries. When modeling the hypothetical use of thermobaric weapons in Odessa, Ukraine, we estimate that the detonation of a salvo of thermobaric rockets has the potential to affect approximately 272 persons with bTBIs. In addition to the short-term damage, patients with bTBIs can present with long-term symptoms (e.g., post-traumatic stress disorder), which incur substantial financial costs and social consequences. Although these results are jarring, history has seen radical advancements in the understanding, diagnosis, and management of bTBI. Moving forward, a better understanding of the mechanism and long-term sequelae of bTBIs could help guide humanitarian relief to those affected by the war in Ukraine.

Malpractice litigation in elective lumbar spinal fusion: a comprehensive review of reported legal claims in the U.S. in the past 50 years.

BACKGROUND CONTEXT: In the U.S., medical malpractice litigation is associated with significant financial costs and often leads to the practice of defensive medicine. Among medical subspecialities, spine surgery is disproportionately impacted by malpractice claims. PURPOSE: To provide a comprehensive assessment of reported malpractice litigation claims involving elective lumbar spinal fusion (LSF) surgery during the modern era of spine surgery instrumentation in the U.S., to identify factors associated with verdict outcomes, and to compare malpractice claims characteristics between different approaches for LSF. STUDY DESIGN/SETTING: A retrospective review. PATIENT SAMPLE: Patients undergoing elective lumbar spinal fusion surgery. OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome measure was verdict outcome (defendant vs. plaintiff verdict). Secondary outcome measures included alleged malpractice, injury/damage claimed, and award payouts. METHODS: The Westlaw legal database (Thomson Reuters, New York, NY, USA) was queried for verdict and settlement reports pertaining to elective LSF cases from 1970 to 2021. Data were collected regarding patient demographics, surgeon specialty, fellowship training, state/region, procedure, institutional setting (academic vs. community hospital), alleged malpractice, injury sustained, case outcomes, and monetary award. RESULTS: A total of 310 cases were identified, yielding 67% (n=181) defendant and 24% (n=65) plaintiff verdicts, with 9% (n=26) settlements. Neurosurgeons and orthopedic spine surgeons were equally named as the defendant (45% vs. 51% respectively, p=0.59). When adjusted for inflation, the median final award for plaintiff verdicts was $1,241,286 (95% CI: $884,850-$2,311,706) while the median settlement award was $925,000 (95% CI: $574,800-$1,787,130), with no stastistically significant differences between verdict and reported settlement payouts (p=0.49). The Northeast region displayed significantly higher award payouts compared to other U.S. regions (p=0.02). There were no associations in awards outcomes when comparing alleged malpractice, alleged injuries/damages, institutional setting, surgical procedures, and surgeon specialty or fellowship training. The most common claims were intraoperative error (28%, n=107) followed by failure to obtain informed consent (24%, n=94). In the analyzed cohort, the most common injuries leading to litigation were refractory pain and suffering (37%, n=149) followed by permanent neurological deficits (26%, n=106). There were no differences in alleged malpractice or injury sustained between cases in which the outcome was favorable to defendant versus plaintiff. Anterior lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF) cases were 2.75 times more likely to be cited for excessive or inappropriate surgery (OR: 2.75 [95% CI: 1.14, 6.86], p=0.02) when compared to posterior surgical approaches. CONCLUSION: The results of our analysis of reported claims suggest that medical malpractice litigation involving elective LSF is associated with jury verdicts over $1 million per case, with the most common alleged malpractice being intraoperative error and failure to obtain informed consent. Surgeon specialty, fellowship training, procedure type, and institution type were not associated with greater litigation risks; however, ALIF surgery had a significantly higher risk of involving claims of excessive or inappropriate surgery compared to posterior approaches for lumbar fusion. In addition, claims were significantly higher in the Northeast compared to other U.S. regions. Efforts to improve patient education through shared-decision making and proactive strategies to avoid, detect, and mitigate intra-operative procedural errors may decrease the risk of litigation in elective LSF.

Political Rivalry During America's Founding Fathers Era and the Bullet that Ended Up in Alexander Hamilton's Upper Lumbar Spine.

On the morning of July 11, 1804, Major General Alexander Hamilton, an American statesman and one of the Founding Fathers of the United States, boarded a barge from Manhattan to the New Jersey shore. There, he met his personal and political opponent, Aaron Burr, for a duel during which Burr shot a bullet that entered Hamilton's torso, fractured a false rib, passed through internal organs, and lodged itself in one of his upper lumbar vertebrae. In this unique historical analysis of a pivotal event in American history, we provide a comprehensive discussion of the spinal injuries sustained by Alexander Hamilton, with special consideration of anatomic details and the ballistics of the time. To the authors' knowledge, this is the first thorough examination of the spinal injuries sustained by the prolific Founding Father and great mind behind the American financial system, Alexander Hamilton.

Educational impact of early COVID-19 operating room restrictions on neurosurgery resident training in the United States: A multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has caused unprecedented suspensions of neurosurgical elective surgeries, a large proportion of which involve spine procedures. The goal of this study is to report granular data on the impact of early COVID-19 pandemic operating room restrictions upon neurosurgical case volume in academic institutions, with attention to its secondary impact upon neurosurgery resident training. This is the first multicenter quantitative study examining these early effects upon neurosurgery residents caseloads. METHODS: A retrospective review of neurosurgical caseloads among seven residency programs between March 2019 and April 2020 was conducted. Cases were grouped by ACGME Neurosurgery Case Categories, subspecialty, and urgency (elective vs. emergent). Residents caseloads were stratified into junior (PGY1-3) and senior (PGY4-7) levels. Descriptive statistics are reported for individual programs and pooled across institutions. RESULTS: When pooling across programs, the 2019 monthly mean (SD) case volume was 214 (123) cases compared to 217 (129) in January 2020, 210 (115) in February 2020, 157 (81), in March 2020 and 82 (39) cases April 2020. There was a 60% reduction in caseload between April 2019 (207 [101]) and April 2020 (82 [39]). Adult spine cases were impacted the most in the pooled analysis, with a 66% decrease in the mean number of cases between March 2020 and April 2020. Both junior and senior residents experienced a similar steady decrease in caseloads, with the largest decreases occurring between March and April 2020 (48% downtrend). CONCLUSIONS: Results from our multicenter study reveal considerable decreases in caseloads in the neurosurgical specialty with elective adult spine cases experiencing the most severe decline. Both junior and senior neurosurgical residents experienced dramatic decreases in case volumes during this period. With the steep decline in elective spine cases, it is possible that fellowship directors may see a disproportionate increase in spine fellowships in the coming years. In the face of the emerging Delta and Omicron variants, programs should pay attention toward identifying institution-specific deficiencies and developing plans to mitigate the negative educational effects secondary to such caseloads reduction.

Long-Term Time Series Forecasting and Updates on Survival Analysis of Glioblastoma Multiforme: A 1975-2018 Population-Based Study.

OBJECTIVE: Glioblastomas multiforme (GBMs) are the most common primary CNS tumors. Epidemiologic studies have investigated the effect of demographics on patient survival, but the literature remains inconclusive. METHODS: This study included all adult patients with intracranial GBMs reported in the surveillance epidemiology and end results (SEER)-9 population database (1975-2018). The sample consisted of 32,746 unique entries. We forecast the annual GBM incidence in the US population through the year 2060 using time series analysis with autoregressive moving averages. A survival analysis of the GBM-specific time to death was also performed. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards (PH) regression revealed frank violations of the PH assumption for multiple covariates. Parametric models best described the GBM population's survival pattern; the results were compared to the semi-parametric analysis and the published literature. RESULTS: We predicted an increasing GBM incidence, which demonstrated that by the year 2060, over 1,800 cases will be reported annually in the SEER. All eight demographic variables were significant in the univariable analysis. The calendar year 2005 was the cutoff associated with an increased survival probability. A male survival benefit was eliminated in the year-adjusted Cox. Infratentorial tumors, nonmetropolitan areas, and White patient race were the factors erroneously associated with survival in the multivariate Cox analysis. Accelerated Failure Time (AFT) lognormal regression was the best model to describe the survival pattern in our patient population, identifying age >30 years old as a poor prognostic and patients >70 years old as having the worst survival. Annual income >USD 75,000 and supratentorial tumors had good prognostics, while surgical intervention provided the strongest survival benefit. CONCLUSIONS: Annual GBM incidence rates will continue to increase by almost 50% in the upcoming 30 years. Cox regression analysis should not be utilized for time-to-event predictions in GBM survival statistics. AFT lognormal distribution best describes the GBM-specific survival pattern, and as an inherent population characteristic, it should be implemented by researchers for future studies. Surgical intervention provides the strongest survival benefit, while patient age >70 years old is the worst prognostic. Based on our study, the demographics such as gender, race, and county type should not be considered as meaningful prognostics when designing future trials.

Misinterpretations of Null Hypothesis Significance Testing Results Near the P-Value Threshold in the Neurosurgical Literature.

BACKGROUND: Although statistical errors have been shown to be prevalent in the medical literature, there has been a paucity of studies focusing on the prevalence of statistical errors in neurosurgery. We examined the contemporary neurosurgical literature for a common statistical mistake, namely, misinterpretations of null hypothesis significance testing results near the P-value threshold by conveying the idea of a trend. METHODS: PubMed/Medline was used to identify all articles published in 6 major neurosurgical journals between 2000 and 2020. The abstracts of these articles were extracted and scrutinized to determine when the word "trend" was used to express near statistical significance. RESULTS: This study included a total of 45,244 articles. Of those, 461 (1.02% [95% confidence interval, 0.86%-1.18%]) employed the word "trend" to indicate near statistical significance, for a total of 3.8 (95% confidence interval, 2.93-4.75) errors per issue per year. The error under study occurred more frequently in Journal of Neurosurgery: Spine and less frequently in Acta Neurochirurgica (P = 0.007). On an annual basis, there was no linear correlation between the total number of articles published per journal and the number of such errors in that journal (r = 0.34, P = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Misinterpretations of null hypothesis significance testing results near the P-value threshold are present in at least 1% of the neurosurgical literature. While we believe that most statistical errors in medicine in general and neurosurgery in particular may be unintentional in nature, additional measures should be put in place to prevent the subsequent adoption of such undesirable methodological practices among future researchers.