Impact of Nonalcoholic Hepatic Steatosis on the Warranty Period of a Coronary Artery Calcium Score of 0: Results From the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: For individuals with a coronary artery calcium (CAC) score of 0, CAC rescans at appropriate timings are recommended, depending on individual risk profiles. Although nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, recently redefined as metabolic-associated fatty liver disease, is a risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events, its relationship with the warranty period of a CAC score of 0 has not been elucidated. METHODS: A total of 1944 subjects from the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) with a baseline CAC score of 0, presence or absence of nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis, and at least 1 follow-up computed tomography scan were included. Nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis was defined using nonenhanced computed tomography and liver/spleen attenuation ratio <1. The association between nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis and new CAC incidence (CAC score >0) was evaluated using a Weibull survival model. RESULTS: Nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis was identified in 268 (14%) participants. Participants with nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis had higher CAC incidence than those without nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis. Nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis was independently associated with new CAC incidence after adjustment for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk factors (hazard ratio, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.05-1.57]; P=0.015). Using a 25% testing yield (25% of participants with zero CAC at baseline would be expected to have developed a CAC score >0), the warranty period of a CAC score of 0 in participants with nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis was shorter than in those without nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis (4.7 and 6.3 years). This association was consistent regardless of sex, race/ethnicity, age, and 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk. CONCLUSIONS: Nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis had an impact on the warranty period of a CAC score of 0. The study suggests that the time period until a CAC rescan should be shorter in those with nonalcoholic hepatic steatosis and a CAC score of 0.

Potato Consumption and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Harmonized Analysis of 7 Prospective Cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Data on the relation of potato consumption with risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D) are limited and inconsistent. It is unclear whether the plant-based diet index (PDI), which is a novel and comprehensive tool to assess overall dietary pattern, modifies the association of potato intake with T2D. OBJECTIVES: We examined the association of total, combined baked, boiled, and mashed potatoes and fried potatoes with risk of T2D and test the interaction between PDI score and potato consumption on T2D risk. METHODS: We conducted a de novo, harmonized, individual-level data from 7 United States cohorts (N = 105,531). Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) separately in each cohort adjusting for anthropometric, demographic, and lifestyle factors and cohort-specific results were pooled using an inverse-variance weighted method. RESULTS: Mean age ranged from 25 to 72 y, 65% women, and mean consumption of total potatoes ranged from 1.9 to 4.3 times per week. In the primary analysis, total potato intake was not associated with T2D risk: multivariable adjusted HR of 1.01 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.95, 1.08) for consumption of 1-2 servings/wk; 1.01 (95% CI: 0.93, 1.10) for >2-3 servings/wk; 1.05 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.12) for >3 to <5 servings/wk; and 1.07 (95% CI: 0.99, 1.16) for 5+ servings/wk compared with no potato intake. In secondary analyses, consumption of combined baked, boiled, and mashed potatoes was not associated with T2D risk, whereas fried potato consumption was positively associated with T2D risk: HR were 1 (ref), 1.07 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.12), and 1.12 (95% CI: 1.03, 1.22) for intake frequency of 0/wk, >0 to 1/wk, and >1/wk, respectively (P-trend = 0.04). There was no significant interaction between PDI score and potato consumption on T2D risk. CONCLUSIONS: Although consumption of total potato is not associated with T2D risk, a modest elevated risk of T2D is observed with fried potato consumption.

Cardiovascular Risks and Outcomes Among Chinese American Immigrants: Insights From the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Immigrants experience changes in cardiovascular risk factors and racial disparities in both cardiovascular health prevention and outcomes upon immigration. We aimed to examine cardiovascular risk factors and outcomes among Chinese American immigrants enrolled in the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) cohort. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed data from 746 Chinese American immigrants in the MESA study with a median follow-up period of 17.8 years. The mean age of the cohort was 62.3 years, with 52.7% being women. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the association of immigration history, geographic location, biomarkers, and cardiac imaging parameters with cardiovascular risk factors and cardiovascular outcomes. The Cox hazards models were adjusted for known family history of heart disease, education level, sex, diabetes, hypertension, age, and body mass index. Although immigration history categorized as earlier (<20 years) versus later (≥20 years) showed no association with cardiovascular outcomes, the duration of residence in the United States emerged as a strong predictor for an increased risk of cardiovascular disease death (hazard ratio 1.39 [95% CI, 1.07-1.8]; P=0.012). All-cause mortality differed significantly between the Chinese immigrants from Los Angeles and those from Chicago, with higher survival probability in Chicago (log-rank test, P=0.018). Furthermore, elevated levels of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide levels, left ventricular mass, and coronary artery calcium scores were associated with the risk of cardiovascular disease among Chinese immigrants. CONCLUSIONS: Within the MESA cohort, the duration of residence and geographic location were associated with the risk of cardiovascular disease outcomes among Chinese immigrants.

Addition of Social Determinants of Health to Coronary Heart Disease Risk Prediction: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Social determinants of health (SDoH) are associated with cardiovascular risk factors and outcomes; however, they are absent from risk prediction models. We aimed to assess if the addition of SDoH improves the predictive ability of the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) Risk Score. METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a community-based prospective population cohort study that enrolled 6286 men and women, ages 45-84 years, who were free of clinical coronary heart disease (CHD) at baseline. Data from 10-year follow-up were examined for CHD events, defined as myocardial infarction, fatal CHD, resuscitated cardiac arrest, and revascularization in cases of anginal symptoms. Participants included 53% women with average age of 62 years. When adjusting for traditional cardiovascular risk factors, SDoH, and coronary artery calcium, economic strain, specifically low family income, was associated with a greater risk of CHD events (hazard ratio [HR], 1.42 [95% CI, 1.17-1.71], P value<0.001). Area under the curve of risk prediction with SDoH was 0.822, compared with 0.816 without SDoH. The calibration slope was 0.860 with SDoH and 0.878 in the original model. CONCLUSIONS: Significant associations were found between economic/financial SDoH and CHD risk factors and outcomes. Incorporation of SDoH into the MESA Risk Score did not improve predictive ability of the model. Our findings do not support the incorporation of SDoH into current risk prediction algorithms.

Relationship of apolipoprotein C-III proteoform composition with ankle-brachial index and peripheral artery disease in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Apolipoprotein C-III (apoC-III) proteoform composition shows distinct relationships with plasma lipids and cardiovascular risk. The present study tested whether apoC-III proteoforms are associated with risk of peripheral artery disease (PAD). METHODS: ApoC-III proteoforms, i.e., native (C-III0a), and glycosylated with zero (C-III0b), one (C-III1) or two (C-III2) sialic acids, were measured by mass spectrometry immunoassay on 5,734 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis participants who were subsequently followed for clinical PAD over 17 years. Ankle-brachial index (ABI) was also assessed at baseline and then 3 and 10 years later in 4,830 participants. RESULTS: Higher baseline C-III0b/C-III1 and lower baseline C-III2/C-III1 were associated with slower decline in ABI (follow-up adjusted for baseline) over time, independently of cardiometabolic risk factors, and plasma triglycerides and HDL cholesterol levels (estimated difference per 1 SD was 0.31 % for both, p < 0.01). The associations between C-III2/C-III1 and changes in ABI were stronger in men (-1.21 % vs. -0.27 % in women), and in Black and Chinese participants (-0.83 % and -0.86 % vs. 0.12 % in White). Higher C-III0b/C-III1 was associated with a trend for lower risk of PAD (HR = 0.84 [95%CI: 0.67-1.04]) that became stronger after excluding participants on lipid-lowering medications (0.73 [95%CI: 0.57-0.94]). Neither change in ABI nor clinical PAD was related to total apoC-III levels. CONCLUSIONS: We found associations of apoC-III proteoform composition with changes in ABI that were independent of other risk factors, including plasma lipids. Our data further support unique properties of apoC-III proteoforms in modulating vascular health that go beyond total apoC-III levels.

Deep phenotyping of dementia in a multi-ethnic cardiovascular cohort: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).

BACKGROUND: Our understanding of the specific aspects of vascular contributions to dementia remains unclear. OBJECTIVES: We aim to identify the correlates of incident dementia in a multi-ethnic cardiovascular cohort. METHODS: A total of 6806 participants with follow-up data for incident dementia were included. Probable dementia diagnoses were identified using hospitalization discharge diagnoses according to the International Classification of Diseases Codes (ICD). We used Random Forest analyses to identify the correlates of incident dementia and cognitive function from among 198 variables collected at the baseline MESA exam entailing demographic risk factors, medical history, anthropometry, lab biomarkers, electrocardiograms, cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging, carotid ultrasonography, coronary artery calcium and liver fat content. Death and stroke were considered competing events. RESULTS: Over 14 years of follow-up, 326 dementia events were identified. Beyond age, the top correlates of dementia included coronary artery calcification, high sensitivity troponin, common carotid artery intima to media thickness, NT-proBNP, physical activity, pulse pressure, tumor necrosis factor-α, history of cancer, and liver to spleen attenuation ratio from computed tomography. Correlates of cognitive function included income and physical activity, body size, serum glucose, glomerular filtration rate, measures of carotid artery stiffness, alcohol use, and inflammation indexed as IL-2 and TNF soluble receptors and plasmin-antiplasmin complex. CONCLUSION: In a deeply phenotyped cardiovascular cohort we identified the key correlates of dementia beyond age as subclinical atherosclerosis and myocyte damage, vascular function, inflammation, physical activity, hepatic steatosis, and history of cancer.

Thoracic versus coronary calcification for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events prediction.

This study compared the prognostic value of quantified thoracic artery calcium (TAC) including aortic arch on chest CT and coronary artery calcium (CAC) score on ECG-gated cardiac CT. METHODS: A total of 2412 participants who underwent both chest CT and ECG-gated cardiac CT at the same period were included in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis Exam 5. All participants were monitored for incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events. TAC is defined as calcification in the ascending aorta, aortic arch and descending aorta on chest CT. The quantification of TAC was measured using the Agatston method. Time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to compare the prognostic value of TAC and CAC scores. RESULTS: Participants were 69±9 years of age and 47% were male. The Spearman correlation between TAC and CAC scores was 0.46 (p<0.001). During the median follow-up period of 8.8 years, 234 participants (9.7%) experienced ASCVD events. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, TAC score was independently associated with increased risk of ASCVD events (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.58) as well as CAC score (HR 1.82, 95% CI 1.53 to 2.17). However, the area under the time-dependent ROC curve for CAC score was greater than that for TAC score in all participants (0.698 and 0.641, p=0.031). This was particularly pronounced in participants with borderline/intermediate and high 10-year ASCVD risk scores. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrated a significant association between TAC and CAC scores but a superior prognostic value of CAC score for ASCVD events. These findings suggest TAC on chest CT provides supplementary data to estimate ASCVD risk but does not replace CAC on ECG-gated cardiac CT.

Associations of Abdominal Muscle Density and Area and Incident Cardiovascular Disease, Coronary Heart Disease, and Stroke: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Muscle density is inversely associated with all-cause mortality, but associations with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk are not well understood. This study evaluated the association between muscle density and muscle area and incident total CVD, coronary heart disease (CHD), and stroke in diverse men and women. METHODS AND RESULTS: Adult participants (N=1869) in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis Ancillary Body Composition Study underwent computer tomography scans of the L2-L4 region of the abdomen. Muscle was quantified by density (Hounsfield units) and area in cm2. Sex-stratified Cox proportional hazard models assessed associations between incident total CVD, incident CHD, and incident stroke across sex-specific percentiles of muscle area and density, which were entered simultaneously into the model. Mean age for men and women at baseline were 64.1 and 65.1 years, respectively, and median follow-up time was 10.3 years. For men, associations between muscle density and incident CVD were inverse but not significant in fully adjusted models (P trend=0.15). However, there was an inverse association between density and CHD (P trend=0.02; HR, 0.26 for 95th versus 10th percentile), and no association with stroke (P trend=0.78). Conversely, for men, there was a strong positive association between muscle area and incident CVD (HR, 4.19 for 95th versus 10th percentile; P trend<0.001). Associations were stronger for CHD (HR, 6.18 for 95th versus 10th percentile; P trend<0.001), and null for stroke (P trend=0.67). Associations for women were mostly null. CONCLUSIONS: For men, abdominal muscle density is associated with lower CHD risk, whereas greater muscle area is associated with markedly increased risk of CHD.

Discrimination, Smoking, and Cardiovascular Disease Risk: A Moderated Mediation Analysis With MESA.

BACKGROUND: Carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) and carotid plaque are reliable indicators of cardiovascular disease risk, and research highlights that racial and ethnic minority individuals generally exhibit higher cIMT and carotid plaque than White individuals. At present, the mechanisms driving these disparities among different racial and ethnic and biological sex groups are poorly understood. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data came from the baseline examination of MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis). A total of 6814 participants aged 45 to 84 years free of clinical cardiovascular disease completed assessments on health behavior and perceived discrimination. Four sex-stratified moderated mediation models examined associations between discrimination, cigarette smoking, and mean cIMT and plaque. We hypothesized that cigarette use would mediate the association between discrimination and carotid artery disease features, and that these would differ by race and ethnicity. Indirect effects of discrimination on plaque were observed among Hispanic women such that discrimination was associated with cigarette use and, in turn, higher plaque (ß=0.04 [95% CI, 0.01-0.08]). Indirect effects of discrimination on mean cIMT were found among Hispanic (ß=0.003 [95% CI, 0.0001-0.007]) and White men (ß=0.04 [95% CI, 0.01-0.08]) such that discrimination was associated with cigarette use and, in turn, higher cIMT. Finally, a positive indirect effect of discrimination on plaque was observed among Hispanic men (ß=0.03 [95% CI, 0.004-0.07]). No other racial and ethnic differences were observed. CONCLUSIONS: To understand and address social determinants of cardiovascular disease, researchers must incorporate an intersectional framework that will allow us to understand the complex nature of discrimination and cardiovascular disease risk for individuals of varying intersecting identities and social positions.

Pulmonary arterial hypertension treatment: an individual participant data network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Effective therapies that target three main signalling pathways are approved to treat pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). However, there are few large patient-level studies that compare the effectiveness of these pathways. The aim of this analysis was to compare the effectiveness of the treatment pathways in PAH and to assess treatment heterogeneity. METHODS: A network meta-analysis was performed using individual participant data of 6811 PAH patients from 20 Phase III randomized clinical trials of therapy for PAH that were submitted to the US Food and Drug Administration. Individual drugs were grouped by the following treatment pathways: endothelin, nitric oxide, and prostacyclin pathways. RESULTS: The mean (±standard deviation) age of the sample was 49.2 (±15.4) years; 78.4% were female, 59.7% had idiopathic PAH, and 36.5% were on background PAH therapy. After covariate adjustment, targeting the endothelin + nitric oxide pathway {ß: 43.7 m [95% confidence interval (CI): 32.9, 54.4]}, nitric oxide pathway [ß: 29.4 m (95% CI: 22.6, 36.3)], endothelin pathway [ß: 25.3 m (95% CI: 19.8, 30.8)], and prostacyclin pathway [oral/inhaled ß: 19.1 m (95% CI: 14.2, 24.0), intravenous/subcutaneous ß: 24.4 m (95% CI: 15.1, 33.7)] significantly increased 6 min walk distance at 12 or 16 weeks compared with placebo. Treatments also significantly reduced the likelihood of having clinical worsening events. There was significant heterogeneity of treatment effects by age, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes, and coronary artery disease. CONCLUSIONS: Drugs targeting the three traditional treatment pathways significantly improve outcomes in PAH, with significant treatment heterogeneity in patients with some comorbidities. Randomized clinical trials are warranted to identify the most effective treatment strategies in a personalized approach.

Dog size and patterns of disease history across the canine age spectrum: Results from the Dog Aging Project.

Age in dogs is associated with the risk of many diseases, and canine size is a major factor in that risk. However, the size patterns are complex. While small size dogs tend to live longer, some diseases are more prevalent among small dogs. In this study we seek to quantify how the pattern of disease history varies across the spectrum of dog size, dog age, and their interaction. Utilizing owner-reported data on disease history from a substantial number of companion dogs enrolled in the Dog Aging Project, we investigate how body size, as measured by weight, associates with the lifetime prevalence of a reported condition and its pattern across age for various disease categories. We found significant positive associations between dog size and the lifetime prevalence of skin, bone/orthopedic, gastrointestinal, ear/nose/throat, cancer/tumor, brain/neurologic, endocrine, and infectious diseases. Similarly, dog size was negatively associated with lifetime prevalence of ocular, cardiac, liver/pancreas, and respiratory disease categories. Kidney/urinary disease prevalence did not vary by size. We also found that the association between age and lifetime disease prevalence varied by dog size for many conditions including ocular, cardiac, orthopedic, ear/nose/throat, and cancer. Controlling for sex, purebred vs. mixed-breed status, and geographic region made little difference in all disease categories we studied. Our results align with the reduced lifespan in larger dogs for most of the disease categories and suggest potential avenues for further examination.

The Association of Upper Airway Anatomy with Brain Structure: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

Sleep apnea, affecting an estimated 1 in 4 American adults, has been reported to be associated with both brain structural abnormality and impaired cognitive function. Obstructive sleep apnea is known to be affected by upper airway anatomy. To better understand the contribution of upper airway anatomy to pathways linking sleep apnea with impaired cognitive function, we investigated the association of upper airway anatomy with structural brain abnormalities. Based in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, a longitudinal cohort study of community-dwelling adults, a comprehensive sleep study and an MRI of the upper airway and brain were performed on 578 participants. Machine learning models were used to select from 74 upper airway measures those measures most associated with selected regional brain volumes and white matter hyperintensity volume. Linear regression assessed associations between the selected upper airway measures, sleep measures, and brain structure. Maxillary divergence was positively associated with hippocampus volume, and mandible length was negatively associated with total white and gray matter volume. Both coefficients were small (coefficients per standard deviation 0.063 mL, p = 0.04, and - 7.0 mL, p < 0.001 respectively), and not affected by adjustment for sleep study measures. Self-reported snoring >2 times per week was associated with larger hippocampus volume (coefficient 0.164 mL, p = 0.007), and higher percentage of time in the N3 sleep stage was associated with larger total white and gray matter volume (4.8 mL, p = 0.004). Despite associations of two upper airway anatomy measures with brain volume, the evidence did not suggest that these upper airway and brain structure associations were acting primarily through the pathway of sleep disturbance.

Prevalence of Aortic Valve Calcium and the Long-Term Risk of Incident Severe Aortic Stenosis.

BACKGROUND: Aortic valve calcification (AVC) is a principal mechanism underlying aortic stenosis (AS). OBJECTIVES: This study sought to determine the prevalence of AVC and its association with the long-term risk for severe AS. METHODS: Noncontrast cardiac computed tomography was performed among 6,814 participants free of known cardiovascular disease at MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) visit 1. AVC was quantified using the Agatston method, and normative age-, sex-, and race/ethnicity-specific AVC percentiles were derived. The adjudication of severe AS was performed via chart review of all hospital visits and supplemented with visit 6 echocardiographic data. The association between AVC and long-term incident severe AS was evaluated using multivariable Cox HRs. RESULTS: AVC was present in 913 participants (13.4%). The probability of AVC >0 and AVC scores increased with age and were generally highest among men and White participants. In general, the probability of AVC >0 among women was equivalent to men of the same race/ethnicity who were approximately 10 years younger. Incident adjudicated severe AS occurred in 84 participants over a median follow-up of 16.7 years. Higher AVC scores were exponentially associated with the absolute risk and relative risk of severe AS with adjusted HRs of 12.9 (95% CI: 5.6-29.7), 76.4 (95% CI: 34.3-170.2), and 380.9 (95% CI: 169.7-855.0) for AVC groups 1 to 99, 100 to 299, and ≥300 compared with AVC = 0. CONCLUSIONS: The probability of AVC >0 varied significantly by age, sex, and race/ethnicity. The risk of severe AS was exponentially higher with higher AVC scores, whereas AVC = 0 was associated with an extremely low long-term risk of severe AS. The measurement of AVC provides clinically relevant information to assess an individual's long-term risk for severe AS.

The association of upper airway anatomy with cognitive test performance: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Numerous upper airway anatomy characteristics are risk factors for sleep apnea, which affects 26% of older Americans, and more severe sleep apnea is associated with cognitive impairment. This study explores the pathophysiology and links between upper airway anatomy, sleep, and cognition. METHODS: Participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis underwent an upper airway MRI, polysomnography to assess sleep measures including the apnea-hypopnea index (AHI) and completed the Cognitive Abilities Screening Instrument (CASI). Two model selection techniques selected from among 67 upper airway measures those that are most strongly associated with CASI score. The associations of selected upper airway measures with AHI, AHI with CASI score, and selected upper airway anatomy measures with CASI score, both alone and after adjustment for AHI, were assessed using linear regression. RESULTS: Soft palate volume, maxillary divergence, and upper facial height were significantly positively associated with higher CASI score, indicating better cognition. The coefficients were small, with a 1 standard deviation (SD) increase in these variables being associated with a 0.83, 0.75, and 0.70 point higher CASI score, respectively. Additional adjustment for AHI very slightly attenuated these associations. Larger soft palate volume was significantly associated with higher AHI (15% higher AHI (95% CI 2%,28%) per SD). Higher AHI was marginally associated with higher CASI score (0.43 (95% CI 0.01,0.85) per AHI doubling). CONCLUSIONS: Three upper airway measures were weakly but significantly associated with higher global cognitive test performance. Sleep apnea did not appear to be the mechanism through which these upper airway and cognition associations were acting. Further research on the selected upper airway measures is recommended.

Incidental Coronary Artery Calcium on Chest CT in Persons Without Known Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease.

This cross-sectional study examines the expected prevalence of coronary artery calcium (CAC) on chest computed tomography (CT) in people without clinical atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) by age, sex, and race and ethnicity.

Association of apolipoproteins C-I and C-II truncations with coronary heart disease and progression of coronary artery calcium: Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Higher truncated-to-native proteoform ratios of apolipoproteins (apo) C-I (C-I'/C-I) and C-II (C-II'/C-II) are associated with less atherogenic lipid profiles. We examined prospective relationships of C-I'/C-II and C-II'/C-II with coronary heart disease (CHD) and coronary artery calcium (CAC). METHODS: ApoC-I and apoC-II proteoforms were measured by mass spectrometry immunoassay in 5790 MESA baseline plasma samples. CHD events (myocardial infarction, resuscitated cardiac arrest, fatal CHD, n = 434) were evaluated for up to 17 years. CAC was measured 1-4 times over 10 years for incident CAC (if baseline CAC = 0), and changes (follow-up adjusted for baseline) in CAC score and density (if baseline CAC>0). RESULTS: C-II'/C-II was inversely associated with CHD (n = 434 events) after adjusting for non-lipid cardiovascular risk factors (Hazard ratio: 0.89 [95% CI: 0.81-0.98] per SD), however, the association was attenuated after further adjustment for HDL levels (0.93 [0.83-1.03]). There was no association between C-I'/C-I and CHD (0.98 [0.88-1.08]). C-II'/C-II was positively associated with changes in CAC score (3.4% [95%CI: 0.6, 6.3]) and density (6.3% [0.3, 4.2]), while C-I'/C-I was inversely associated with incident CAC (Risk ratio: 0.89 [95% CI: 0.81, 0.98]) in fully adjusted models that included plasma lipids. Total apoC-I and apoC-II concentrations were not associated with CHD, incident CAC or change in CAC score. CONCLUSIONS: Increased apoC-II truncation was associated with reduced CHD, possibly explained by differences in lipid metabolism. Increased apoC-I and apoC-II truncations were also associated with less CAC progression and/or development of denser coronary plaques.

Incremental value of ABI and CAC beyond traditional risk markers in long-term prediction of cardiovascular disease incidence in participants with diabetes and impaired fasting glucose: Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Subclinical atherosclerosis (SA) diagnosis is key to primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). SA is common among diabetics. Ankle brachial index (ABI) and coronary artery calcium (CAC) are markers of SA. This study examined whether adding ABI and CAC to diabetic individuals improved ASCVD risk prediction beyond established risk factors. METHODS: MESA is an observational cohort of 6814 participants without clinical cardiovascular disease. All participants with diabetes and impaired fasting glucose were included in the analysis. The association between CAC, ABI, and incident ASCVD, and all-cause mortality was examined using Cox proportional hazard regression. The risk prediction models including ABI and/or CAC in addition to standard risk factors alone were compared. RESULTS: Of the 1719 participants, 55% were male and average age was 64 (±9.6) years old. Participants with diabetes or impaired fasting glucose with higher CAC and lower ABI had higher ASCVD and all-cause mortality. ABI and CAC enhanced ASCVD discrimination over standard risk factors, with C-index (95% CI) of 0.689 (0.66, 0.718) for risk factors alone, 0.696 (0.668, 0.724) for ABI, 0.719 (0.691, 0.747) for CAC, and 0.721 (0.693, 0.749) for CAC + ABI. Similarly, for all-cause mortality, both CAC and ABI improved risk discrimination in addition to standard risk factors alone. CONCLUSIONS: In a large population-based study of individuals with diabetes or impaired fasting glucose, the addition of ABI and CAC to conventional risk factors improved 10-year ASCVD risk prediction. ABI and CAC are non-invasive and cost-effective tests; therefore, these markers should be included into ASCVD risk stratification for primary prevention in the diabetic and impaired fasting glucose population.

Apo CIII Proteoforms, Plasma Lipids, and Cardiovascular Risk in MESA.

BACKGROUND: Apo CIII (apolipoprotein CIII) is an important regulator of triglyceride metabolism and was associated with cardiovascular risk in several cohorts. It is present in 4 major proteoforms, a native peptide (CIII0a), and glycosylated proteoforms with zero (CIII0b), 1 (CIII1, most abundant), or 2 (CIII2) sialic acids, which may differentially modify lipoprotein metabolism. We studied the relationships of these proteoforms with plasma lipids and cardiovascular risk. METHODS: Apo CIII proteoforms were measured by mass spectrometry immunoassay in baseline plasma samples of 5791 participants of Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, an observational community-based cohort. Standard plasma lipids were collected for up to 16 years and cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, resuscitated cardiac arrest, or stroke) were adjudicated for up to 17 years. RESULTS: Apo CIII proteoform composition differed by age, sex, race and ethnicity, body mass index, and fasting glucose. Notably, CIII1 was lower in older participants, men and Black and Chinese (versus White) participants, and higher in obesity and diabetes. In contrast, CIII2 was higher in older participants, men, Black, and Chinese persons, and lower in Hispanic individuals and obesity. Higher CIII2 to CIII1 ratio (CIII2/III1) was associated with lower triglycerides and higher HDL (high-density lipoprotein) in cross-sectional and longitudinal models, independently of clinical and demographic risk factors and total apo CIII. The associations of CIII0a/III1 and CIII0b/III1 with plasma lipids were weaker and varied through cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses. Total apo CIII and CIII2/III1 were positively associated with cardiovascular disease risk (n=669 events, hazard ratios, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.04-1.25] and 1.21 [1.11-1.31], respectively); however, the associations were attenuated after adjustment for clinical and demographic characteristics (1.07 [0.98-1.16]; 1.07 [0.97-1.17]). In contrast, CIII0b/III1 was inversely associated with cardiovascular disease risk even after full adjustment including plasma lipids (0.86 [0.79-0.93]). CONCLUSIONS: Our data indicate differences in clinical and demographic relationships of apo CIII proteoforms, and highlight the importance of apo CIII proteoform composition in predicting future lipid patterns and cardiovascular disease risk.

Improving 10-year cardiovascular risk prediction in apparently healthy people: flexible addition of risk modifiers on top of SCORE2.

AIMS: In clinical practice, factors associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) like albuminuria, education level, or coronary artery calcium (CAC) are often known, but not incorporated in cardiovascular risk prediction models. The aims of the current study were to evaluate a methodology for the flexible addition of risk modifying characteristics on top of SCORE2 and to quantify the added value of several clinically relevant risk modifying characteristics. METHODS AND RESULTS: Individuals without previous CVD or DM were included from the UK Biobank; Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC); Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA); European Prospective Investigation into Cancer, The Netherlands (EPIC-NL); and Heinz Nixdorf Recall (HNR) studies (n = 409 757) in whom 16 166 CVD events and 19 149 non-cardiovascular deaths were observed over exactly 10.0 years of follow-up. The effect of each possible risk modifying characteristic was derived using competing risk-adjusted Fine and Gray models. The risk modifying characteristics were applied to individual predictions with a flexible method using the population prevalence and the subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) of the relevant predictor. Risk modifying characteristics that increased discrimination most were CAC percentile with 0.0198 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.0115; 0.0281] and hs-Troponin-T with 0.0100 (95% CI 0.0063; 0.0137). External validation was performed in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) cohort (UK, n = 518 015, 12 675 CVD events). Adjustment of SCORE2-predicted risks with both single and multiple risk modifiers did not negatively affect calibration and led to a modest increase in discrimination [0.740 (95% CI 0.736-0.745) vs. unimproved SCORE2 risk C-index 0.737 (95% CI 0.732-0.741)]. CONCLUSION: The current paper presents a method on how to integrate possible risk modifying characteristics that are not included in existing CVD risk models for the prediction of CVD event risk in apparently healthy people. This flexible methodology improves the accuracy of predicted risks and increases applicability of prediction models for individuals with additional risk known modifiers.

Heart disease is a major health concern worldwide, and predicting an individual's risk for developing heart disease is an important tool for prevention. Current risk prediction models often use factors such as age, gender, smoking, and blood pressure, but other factors like education level, albuminuria (protein in the urine), and coronary artery calcium (CAC) may also affect an individual's risk. The aim of this study was to develop a new method for using these additional risk factors for predicting risk even more accurately. The researchers used data from several large studies that included over 400 000 apparently healthy individuals who were followed for 10 years. They examined the effect of various risk factors on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk using a statistical model. They found that adding coronary scan ('CAC score'); NT-proBNP, a biomarker of heart strain; and hs-Troponin-T, a marker of heart damage, to the existing risk prediction model (SCORE2) improved the accuracy of predicted CVD risk. The key findings are: The methods presented in the current study can help to add additional risk factors to predictions of existing models, such as SCORE2. This flexible method may help identify individuals who are at higher risk for CVD and guide prevention strategies.