Doubly Robust Causal Modeling to Evaluate Device Implantation.

This Guide to Statistics and Methods explains doubly robust causal modeling, which offers 2 opportunities to correctly model confounders, when to use it, and discusses its limitations.

Diabetic Kidney Disease Prevention Care Model Development.

More than one-third of people with diabetes develop diabetic kidney disease (DKD), which substantially increases risks of kidney failure, cardiovascular disease (CVD), hypoglycemia, death, and other adverse health outcomes. A multifaceted approach incorporating self-management education, lifestyle optimization, pharmacological intervention, CVD prevention, and psychosocial support is crucial to mitigate the onset and progression of DKD. The American Diabetes Association convened an expert panel to develop the DKD Prevention Model presented herein. This model addresses prevention and treatment, including screening guidelines, diagnostic tools, and management approaches; comprehensive, holistic interventions; well-defined roles for interdisciplinary health care professionals; community engagement; and future directions for research and policy.

Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter-2 Inhibitors vs Sulfonylureas for Gout Prevention Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Receiving Metformin.

Importance: Sodium-glucose cotransporter type 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) are a revolutionary treatment for type 2 diabetes (T2D) with cardiovascular, kidney, and serum urate-lowering benefits. Objective: To compare risk of incident gout and rate of recurrent flares between patients with T2D initiating SGLT2i vs sulfonylurea, most common second-line glucose-lowering therapy, when added to metformin monotherapy. Design, Setting, and Participants: This sequential, propensity score-matched, new-user comparative effectiveness study using target trial emulation framework included adults with T2D receiving metformin monotherapy in a Canadian general population database from January 1, 2014, to June 30, 2022. Exposures: Initiation of SGLT2i vs sulfonylurea. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was incident gout diagnosis, ascertained by emergency department (ED), hospital, outpatient, and medication dispensing records. Secondary outcomes were gout-primary hospitalizations and ED visits and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), as well as recurrent flare rates among prevalent gout patients. Heart failure (HF) hospitalization was assessed as positive control outcome and osteoarthritis encounters as negative control. For target trial emulations, we used Cox proportional hazards and Poisson regressions with 1:1 propensity score matching (primary analysis) and overlap weighting (sensitivity analysis). The analysis was conducted from September to December, 2023. Results: Among 34 604 propensity score matched adults with T2D initiating SGLT2i or sulfonylurea (20 816 [60%] male, mean [SD] age, 60 [12.4] years), incidence of gout was lower among SGLT2i initiators (4.27 events per 1000 person-years) than sulfonylurea initiators (6.91 events per 1000 person-years), with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.62 (95% CI, 0.48-0.80) and a rate difference (RD) of -2.64 (95% CI, -3.99 to -1.29) per 1000 person-years. Associations persisted regardless of sex, age, or baseline diuretic use. SGLT2i use was also associated with fewer recurrent flares among gout patients (rate ratio, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.55-0.82; and RD, -20.9; 95% CI, -31.9 to -10.0 per 1000 person-years). HR and RD for MACE associated with SGLT2i use were 0.87 (95% CI, 0.77-0.98) and -3.58 (95% CI, -6.19 to -0.96) per 1000 person-years. For control outcomes, SGLT2i users had lower risk of HF (HR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.38-0.76), as expected, with no difference in osteoarthritis (HR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.94-1.34). Results were similar when applying propensity score overlap weighting. Conclusions: In this population-based cohort study, the gout and cardiovascular benefits associated with SGLT2i in these target trial emulations may guide selection of glucose-lowering therapy in patients with T2D, at risk for or already with gout.

Enrollment in High-Deductible Health Plans and Incident Diabetes Complications.

Importance: Preventing diabetes complications requires monitoring and control of hyperglycemia and cardiovascular risk factors. Switching to high-deductible health plans (HDHPs) has been shown to hinder aspects of diabetes care; however, the association of HDHP enrollment with microvascular and macrovascular diabetes complications is unknown. Objective: To examine the association between an employer-required switch to an HDHP and incident complications of diabetes. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study used deidentified administrative claims data for US adults with diabetes enrolled in employer-sponsored health plans between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2019. Data analysis was performed from May 26, 2022, to January 2, 2024. Exposures: Adults with a baseline year of non-HDHP enrollment who had to switch to an HDHP because their employer offered no non-HDHP alternative in that year were compared with adults who were continuously enrolled in a non-HDHP. Main Outcomes and Measures: Mixed-effects logistic regression models examined the association between switching to an HDHP and, individually, the odds of myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, lower-extremity complication, end-stage kidney disease, proliferative retinopathy, treatment for retinopathy, and blindness. Models were adjusted for demographics, comorbidities, and medications, with inverse propensity score weighting used to account for potential selection bias. Results: The study included 42 326 adults who switched to an HDHP (mean [SD] age, 52 [10] years; 19 752 [46.7%] female) and 202 729 adults who did not switch (mean [SD] age, 53 [10] years; 89 828 [44.3%] female). Those who switched to an HDHP had greater odds of experiencing all diabetes complications (odds ratio [OR], 1.11; 95% CI, 1.06-1.16 for myocardial infarction; OR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.09-1.21 for stroke; OR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.30-1.41 for hospitalization for heart failure; OR, 2.53; 95% CI, 2.38-2.70 for end-stage kidney disease; OR, 2.23; 95% CI, 2.17-2.29 for lower-extremity complication; OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.13-1.21 for proliferative retinopathy; OR, 2.35; 95% CI, 2.18-2.54 for blindness; and OR, 2.28; 95% CI, 2.15-2.41 for retinopathy treatment). Conclusions and Relevance: This study found that an employer-driven switch to an HDHP was associated with increased odds of experiencing all diabetes complications. These findings reinforce the potential harm associated with HDHPs for people with diabetes and the importance of affordable and accessible chronic disease management, which is hindered by high out-of-pocket costs incurred by HDHPs.

Disparities in Acute and Chronic Complications of Diabetes Along the U.S. Rural-Urban Continuum.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the relative hazards of acute and chronic diabetes complications among people with diabetes across the U.S. rural-urban continuum. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used the OptumLabs Data Warehouse, a deidentified data set of U.S. commercial and Medicare Advantage beneficiaries, to follow 2,901,563 adults (age ≥18 years) with diabetes between 1 January 2012 and 31 December 2021. We compared adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of diabetes complications in remote areas (population <2,500), small towns (population 2,500-50,000), and cities (population >50,000). RESULTS: Compared with residents of cities, residents of remote areas had greater hazards of myocardial infarction (HR 1.06 [95% CI 1.02-1.10]) and revascularization (HR 1.04 [1.02-1.06]) but lower hazards of hyperglycemia (HR 0.90 [0.83-0.98]) and stroke (HR 0.91 [0.88-0.95]). Compared with cities, residents of small towns had greater hazards of hyperglycemia (HR 1.06 [1.02-1.10]), hypoglycemia (HR 1.15 [1.12-1.18]), end-stage kidney disease (HR 1.04 [1.03-1.06]), myocardial infarction (HR 1.10 [1.08-1.12]), heart failure (HR 1.05 [1.03-1.06]), amputation (HR 1.05 [1.02-1.09]), other lower-extremity complications (HR 1.02 [1.01-1.03]), and revascularization (HR 1.05 [1.04-1.06]) but a smaller hazard of stroke (HR 0.95 [0.94-0.97]). Compared with small towns, residents of remote areas had lower hazards of hyperglycemia (HR 0.85 [0.78-0.93]), hypoglycemia (HR 0.92 [0.87-0.97]), and heart failure (HR 0.94 [0.91-0.97]). Hazards of retinopathy and atrial fibrillation/flutter did not vary geographically. CONCLUSIONS: Adults in small towns are disproportionately impacted by complications of diabetes. Future studies should probe for the reasons underlying these disparities.

Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists and Thyroid Cancer: A Narrative Review.

Background: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) are highly effective medications for the treatment of type 2 diabetes and obesity. Pharmacological studies in rodents support an association between the use of GLP-1 RAs and the development of medullary thyroid cancer (MTC) resulting in a black box warning for these agents in patients at risk for this condition. Yet, the association between GLP-1 RAs and non-MTC remains controversial. Excessive worry about unproven thyroid cancer risk might lead to underutilizing GLP-1 RAs in patients who could otherwise experience substantial benefits. Unwarranted concerns about thyroid cancer could lead to unnecessary thyroid cancer screening and harms from overdiagnosis. Summary: The body of evidence assessing the association between GLP-1 RA use and thyroid cancer spans a wide range of methodologies, including basic and translational research investigating biological plausibility; randomized trials assessing clinical efficacy and providing the strongest evidence for causality; observational studies providing real-life outcome evaluation in larger populations but with limited evaluation of covariates or dependable outcome definitions; and pharmacovigilance studies that provide postmarketing assessments of a safety signal but do not address causality. There is biological plausibility supporting an association between GLP-1 RA and MTC in rodents, which is less clear for non-MTC in humans. Clinical evidence from randomized trials and associated meta-analysis suggest thyroid cancer as a rare event making effect estimates imprecise but without conclusive and consistent evidence of increase risk in those receiving GLP-1 RA. Observational studies at higher risk of bias also show low event rates for thyroid cancer, with effect estimates that are inconsistent among different studies. Pharmacovigilance studies consistently show a signal of increased reporting of thyroid cancer in patients treated with GLP-1 RA. Conclusions: Evidence from randomized controlled trials indicates occurrence of thyroid cancer is infrequent in individuals exposed to GLP-1 RA. Observational studies at higher risk of bias yield inconsistent results. Overall there is no conclusive evidence of elevated thyroid cancer risk. These findings can help clinicians when addressing patient's concerns about a potential yet unproven link between GLP-1 RA therapy and thyroid cancer.

Impact of Intra-Articular Corticosteroid Injection on Glycemic Control: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

This retrospective cohort study investigated the longer-term hyperglycemic effects of intra-articular corticosteroid (IACS) administration by evaluating changes in A1C after large joint IACS injection. Among 1,169 patients (mean age 66.1 ± 12.2 years, 52.8% female), 184 (15.7%) experienced a greater-than-expected rise in A1C (actual A1C ≥0.5% above predicted) after IACS. Greater-than-expected rise in A1C was associated solely with baseline A1C (odds ratio [OR] 1.84, 95% CI 1.08-3.13 for baseline A1C of 7.0-8.0% compared with <7.0% and OR 4.79, 95% CI 2.83-8.14 for baseline A1C >8.0% compared with <7.0%). Although most patients do not experience an increase in A1C after IACS, clinicians should counsel patients with suboptimally controlled diabetes about risks of further hyperglycemia after IACS administration.

Impact of Program Changes Including Telemedicine and Telephonic Care During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Preventing 30-Day Hospital Readmission for Patients in a Care Transitions Program.

INTRODUCTION/OBJECTIVES: To describe health outcomes of older adults enrolled in the Mayo Clinic Care Transitions (MCCT) program before and during the COVID-19 pandemic compared to unenrolled patients. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults (age >60 years) in the MCCT program compared to a usual care control group from January 1, 2019, to September 20, 2022. The MCCT program involved a home, telephonic, or telemedicine visit by an advanced care provider. Outcomes were 30- and 180-day hospital readmissions, emergency department (ED) visit, and mortality. We performed a subgroup analysis after March 1, 2020 (during the pandemic). We analyzed data with Cox proportional hazards regression models and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs. RESULTS: Of the 1,012 patients total, 354 were in the MCCT program and 658 were in the usual care group with a mean (SD) age of 81.1 (9.1) years overall. Thirty-day readmission was 16.9% (60 of 354) for MCCT patients and 14.7% (97 of 658) for usual care patients (HR, 1.24; 95% CI, 0.88-1.75). During the pandemic, the 30-day readmission rate was 15.1% (28 of 186) for MCCT patients and 14.9% (68 of 455) for usual care patients (HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.75-1.91). There was no difference between groups for 180-day hospitalization, 30- or 180-day ED visit, and 30- or 180-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Numerous factors involving patients, providers, and health care delivery systems during the pandemic most likely contributed to these findings.

Transitioning from Direct to Video Laryngoscopy during the COVID-19 Pandemic Was Associated with a Higher Endotracheal Intubation Success Rate.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to determine the effect of transitioning from direct laryngoscopy (DL) to video laryngoscopy (VL) on endotracheal intubation success overall and with enhanced precautions implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: We examined electronic transport records from Mayo Clinic Ambulance Service, a large advanced life support (ALS) provider serving rural, suburban, and urban areas in Minnesota and Wisconsin, USA. We determined the success of intubation attempts when using DL (March 10, 2018 to December 19, 2019), VL (December 20, 2019 to September 29, 2021), and VL with an enhanced COVID-19 guideline that restricted intubation to one attempt, performed by the most experienced clinician, who wore enhanced personal protective equipment (April 1 to December 18, 2020). Success rates at first attempt and after any attempt were assessed for association with type of laryngoscopy (VL vs DL) after adjusting for patient age group, patient weight, use of enhanced COVID-19 guideline, medical vs trauma patient, and ALS vs critical care clinician. A secondary analysis further adjusted for degree of glottic visualization. RESULTS: We identified 895 intubation attempts using DL and 893 intubation attempts using VL, which included 382 VL intubation attempts using the enhanced COVID-19 guideline. Success on first intubation attempt was 69.2% for encounters with DL, 82.9% overall with VL, and 83.2% with VL and enhanced COVID-19 protocols (DL vs overall VL: p < 0.001; COVID-19 vs non-COVID VL: p = 0.86). In multivariable analysis, use of VL was associate with higher odds of successful intubation on first attempt (odds ratio, 2.28; 95%CI, 1.73-3.01; p < 0.001) and on any attempt (odds ratio, 2.16; 95%CI, 1.58-2.96; p < 0.001) compared with DL. Inclusion of glottic visualization in the model resulted in a nonsignificant association between laryngoscopy type and successful first intubation (p = 0.41) and a significant association with the degree of glottic visualization (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: VL is designed to improve glottic visualization. The use of VL by a large, U.S. multistate ALS ambulance service was associated with increased odds of successful first-pass and overall attempted intubation, which was mediated by better visualization of the glottis. COVID-19 protocols were not associated with success rates.

Assessment of Glycemic Control by Continuous Glucose Monitoring, Hemoglobin A1c, Fructosamine, and Glycated Albumin in Patients With End-Stage Kidney Disease and Burnt-Out Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with diabetes and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) may experience "burnt-out diabetes," defined as having an HbA1c value <6.5% without antidiabetic therapy for >6 months. We aim to assess glycemic control by continuous glucose monitoring (Dexcom G6 CGM) metrics and glycemic markers in ESKD patients on hemodialysis with burnt-out diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: In this pilot prospective study, glycemic control was assessed by continuous glucose monitoring (CGM), HbA1c measures, and glycated albumin and fructosamine measurements in patients with burnt-out diabetes (n = 20) and without a history of diabetes (n = 20). RESULTS: Patients with burnt-out diabetes had higher CGM-measured daily glucose levels, lower percent time in the range 70-180 mg/dL, higher percent time above range (>250 mg/dL), and longer duration of hyperglycemia >180 mg/dL (hours/day) compared with patients without diabetes (all P < 0.01). HbA1c and fructosamine levels were similar; however, patients with burnt-out diabetes had higher levels of glycated albumin than did patients without diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: The use of CGM demonstrated that patients with burnt-out diabetes have significant undiagnosed hyperglycemia. CGM and glycated albumin provide better assessment of glycemic control than do values of HbA1c and fructosamine in patients with ESKD.

Patterns of Telemedicine Use and Glycemic Outcomes of Endocrinology Care for Patients With Type 2 Diabetes.

Importance: Telemedicine can increase access to endocrinology care for people with type 2 diabetes (T2D), but patterns of use and outcomes of telemedicine specialty care for adults with T2D beyond initial uptake in 2020 are not known. Objective: To evaluate patterns of telemedicine use and their association with glycemic control among adults with varying clinical complexity receiving endocrinology care for T2D. Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective cohort study in a single large integrated US health system. Participants were adults who had a telemedicine endocrinology visit for T2D from May to October 2020. Data were analyzed from June 2022 to October 2023. Exposure: Patients were followed up through May 2022 and assigned to telemedicine-only, in-person, or mixed care (both telemedicine and in-person) cohorts according to visit modality. Main Outcomes and Measures: Multivariable regression models were used to estimate hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) change at 12 months within each cohort and the association of factors indicating clinical complexity (insulin regimen and cardiovascular and psychological comorbidities) with HbA1c change across cohorts. Subgroup analysis was performed for patients with baseline HbA1c of 8% or higher. Results: Of 11 498 potentially eligible patients, 3778 were included in the final cohort (81 Asian participants [2%], 300 Black participants [8%], and 3332 White participants [88%]); 1182 used telemedicine only (mean [SD] age 57.4 [12.9] years; 743 female participants [63%]), 1049 used in-person care (mean [SD] age 63.0 [12.2] years; 577 female participants [55%]), and 1547 used mixed care (mean [SD] age 60.7 [12.5] years; 881 female participants [57%]). Among telemedicine-only patients, there was no significant change in adjusted HbA1c at 12 months (-0.06%; 95% CI, -0.26% to 0.14%; P = .55) while in-person and mixed cohorts had improvements of 0.37% (95% CI, 0.15% to 0.59%; P < .001) and 0.22% (95% CI, 0.07% to 0.38%; P = .004), respectively. Patients with a baseline HbA1c of 8% or higher had a similar pattern of glycemic outcomes. For patients prescribed multiple daily injections vs no insulin, the 12-month estimated change in HbA1c was 0.25% higher (95% CI, 0.02% to 0.47%; P = .03) for telemedicine vs in-person care. Comorbidities were not associated with HbA1c change in any cohort. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study of adults with T2D receiving endocrinology care, patients using telemedicine alone had inferior glycemic outcomes compared with patients who used in-person or mixed care. Additional strategies may be needed to support adults with T2D who rely on telemedicine alone to access endocrinology care, especially for those with complex treatment or elevated HbA1c.

Posthospital Multidisciplinary Care for AKI Survivors: A Feasibility Pilot.

Rationale & Objective: Innovative models are needed to address significant gaps in kidney care follow-up for acute kidney injury (AKI) survivors. Study Design: This quasi-experimental pilot study reports the feasibility of the AKI in Care Transitions (ACT) program, a multidisciplinary approach to AKI survivor care based in the primary care setting. Setting & Participants: The study included consenting adults with stage 3 AKI discharged home without dialysis. Interventions: The ACT intervention included predischarge education from nurses and coordinated postdischarge follow-up with a primary care provider and pharmacist within 14 days. ACT was implemented in phases (Usual Care, Education, ACT). Outcomes: The primary outcome was feasibility. Secondary outcomes included process and clinical outcomes. Results: In total, 46 of 110 eligible adults were enrolled. Education occurred in 18/18 and 14/15 participants in the Education and ACT groups, respectively. 30-day urine protein evaluation occurred in 15%, 28%, and 87% of the Usual Care, Education, and ACT groups, respectively (P < 0.001). Cumulative incidence of provider (primary care or nephrologist) and laboratory follow-up at 14 and 30 days was different across groups (14 days: Usual care 0%, Education 11%, ACT 73% [P < 0.01]; 30 days: 0%, 22%, and 73% [P < 0.01]). 30-day readmission rates were 23%, 44%, and 13% in the Usual Care, Education, and ACT groups, respectively (P = 0.13). Limitations: Patients were not randomly assigned to treatment groups. The sample size limited the ability to detect some differences or perform multivariable analysis. Conclusions: This study demonstrated the feasibility of multidisciplinary AKI survivor follow-up beginning in primary care. We observed a higher cumulative incidence of laboratory and provider follow-up in ACT participants. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04505891). Plain-Language Summary: Abrupt loss of kidney function in hospitalized patients, acute kidney injury (AKI), increases the chances of long-term kidney disease and a worse health care experience for patients. One out of 3 people who experience AKI do not get the follow-up kidney care they need. We performed a pilot study to test whether a program that facilitates structured AKI follow-up in primary care called the AKI in Care Transitions (ACT) program was possible. ACT brings together the unique expertise of nurses, doctors, and pharmacists to look at the patient's kidney health plan from all angles. The study found that the ACT program was possible and led to more complete kidney care follow-up after discharge than the normal approach to care.

APOE4 poses opposite effects of plasma LDL on white matter integrity in older adults.

INTRODUCTION: APOE4 is a strong genetic risk factor of Alzheimer's disease and is associated with changes in metabolism. However, the interactive relationship between APOE4 and plasma metabolites on the brain remains largely unknown. MEHODS: In the UK Biobank, we investigated the moderation effects of APOE4 on the relationship between 249 plasma metabolites derived from nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy on whole-brain white matter integrity, measured by fractional anisotropy using diffusion magnetic resonance imaging. RESULTS: The increase in the concentration of metabolites, mainly LDL and VLDL, is associated with a decrease in white matter integrity (b= -0.12, CI= [-0.14, -0.10]) among older APOE4 carriers, whereas an increase (b= 0.05, CI= [0.04, 0.07]) among non-carriers, implying a significant moderation effect of APOE4 (b= -0.18, CI= [-0.20,-0.15]). DISCUSSION: The results suggest that lipid metabolism functions differently in APOE4 carriers compared to non-carriers, which may inform the development of targeted interventions for APOE4 carriers to mitigate cognitive decline.

Glucagon fill rates and cost among children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes in the United States, 2011-2021.

AIMS: To characterize glucagon fill rates and costs among youth with type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1DM). METHODS: Claims-based analysis of commercially-insured youth with T1DM included in OptumLabs® Data Warehouse between 2011 and 2021. Glucagon fill rates and costs were calculated overall and by formulation (injectable, intranasal, autoinjector, and pre-filled syringe). Sociodemographic and clinical factors associated with glucagon fills were examined using Cox regression. RESULTS: We identified 13,267 children with T1DM (76.4% non-Hispanic White). Over mean follow-up of 2.81 years (SD 2.62), 70.0% filled glucagon, with stable fill rates from 2011 to 2021. Intranasal glucagon had rapid uptake following initial approval, and it accounted for almost half (46.6%) of all glucagon fills by 2021. Family income was positively associated with glucagon fills in a stepwise fashion (HR 1.39 [95% CI 1.27-1.52] for annual household income ≥$200,000 vs. <$40,000), while Black race was negatively associated with fills (HR 0.83 [95% CI 0.76-0.91]) compared to White race). Annual mean out-of-pocket costs ranged from $21-$68 (IQR $29-$44). CONCLUSION: Roughly 30% of commercially-insured youth with T1DM may lack access to unexpired glucagon, with significant disparities among Black and low-income patients. Health systems, clinicians, schools, and caregivers should work together to ensure children have reliable access to this critical medication.

Longitudinal trajectories of glycemic control among U.S. Adults with newly diagnosed diabetes.

AIMS: To identify longitudinal trajectories of glycemic control among adults with newly diagnosed diabetes, overall and by diabetes type. METHODS: We analyzed claims data from OptumLabs® Data Warehouse for 119,952 adults newly diagnosed diabetes between 2005 and 2018. We applied a novel Mixed Effects Machine Learning model to identify longitudinal trajectories of hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) over 3 years of follow-up and used multinomial regression to characterize factors associated with each trajectory. RESULTS: The study population was comprised of 119,952 adults with newly diagnosed diabetes, including 696 (0.58%) with type 1 diabetes. Among patients with type 1 diabetes, 52.6% were diagnosed at very high HbA1c, partially improved, but never achieved control; 32.5% were diagnosed at low HbA1c and deteriorated over time; and 14.9% had stable low HbA1c. Among patients with type 2 diabetes, 67.7% had stable low HbA1c, 14.4% were diagnosed at very high HbA1c, partially improved, but never achieved control; 10.0% were diagnosed at moderately high HbA1c and deteriorated over time; and 4.9% were diagnosed at moderately high HbA1c and improved over time. CONCLUSIONS: Claims data identified distinct longitudinal trajectories of HbA1c after diabetes diagnosis, which can be used to anticipate challenges and individualize care plans to improve glycemic control.

Use and continuity of weight-modifying medications among adults with diabetes and overweight/obesity: US population study.

OBJECTIVE: Trends in use and continuity of use of diabetes-specific and non-diabetes weight-reducing (WR), weight-inducing (WI), and weight-neutral (WN) medications were examined among US adults with diabetes and overweight/obesity. METHODS: Serial cross-sectional data from Medical Expenditure Panel Surveys (2010-2019) for adults (≥18 years) with diabetes and BMI ≥27 kg/m2 (≥25 kg/m2 for Asians) were analyzed. RESULTS: Among 7402 US adults with diabetes and overweight/obesity (mean age 60.0 years [SD 13], 50% female), 64.9% of participants used any WI medications, decreasing from 68.9% (95% CI: 64.3%-73.5%) in 2010 to 58.6% (95% CI: 54.7%-62.5%) in 2019. It was estimated that 13.5% used WR medications, increasing 3.31-fold, from 6.4% (95% CI: 4.1%-8.7%) to 21.2% (95% CI: 18.0%-24.4%) and that 73.1% used WN medications, ranging from 70.5% (95% CI: 66.5-74.6) to 75.0% (95% CI: 71.7%-78.4%). Among adults using diabetes-specific WI (53.7%), WR (7.1%), and WN (62.4%) medications during the first year, 7.3%, 16.4%, and 9.0% discontinued it in the second year, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Over 2010-2019, 64.9% of adults with diabetes and overweight/obesity were treated with WI medications, 13.5% with WR medications, and 73.1% with WN medications. Discontinuation of WR medications was nearly twice that of WI medications.

Advances in the management of type 2 diabetes in adults.

Type 2 diabetes is a chronic and progressive cardiometabolic disorder that affects more than 10% of adults worldwide and is a major cause of morbidity, mortality, disability, and high costs. Over the past decade, the pattern of management of diabetes has shifted from a predominantly glucose centric approach, focused on lowering levels of haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), to a directed complications centric approach, aimed at preventing short term and long term complications of diabetes, and a pathogenesis centric approach, which looks at the underlying metabolic dysfunction of excess adiposity that both causes and complicates the management of diabetes. In this review, we discuss the latest advances in patient centred care for type 2 diabetes, focusing on drug and non-drug approaches to reducing the risks of complications of diabetes in adults. We also discuss the effects of social determinants of health on the management of diabetes, particularly as they affect the treatment of hyperglycaemia in type 2 diabetes.

Comparative effectiveness of second line glucose lowering drug treatments using real world data: emulation of a target trial.

Objective: To build on the recently completed GRADE (Glycemia Reduction Approaches in Diabetes: A Comparative Effectiveness Study) randomised trial examining the comparative effectiveness of second line glucose lowering drugs in achieving and maintaining glycaemic control in adults with type 2 diabetes. Design: Emulation of a target trial. Setting: Medical and pharmacy claims data from the OptumLabs Data Warehouse, a de-identified US national dataset of beneficiaries of commercially insured and Medicare Advantage plans, 29 March 2013 to 30 June 2021. Participants: Adults (≥18 years) with type 2 diabetes who first started taking glimepiride, sitagliptin, liraglutide, insulin glargine, or canagliflozin between 29 March 2013 and 30 June 2021. Participants were treatment naive or were receiving metformin monotherapy at the time of starting the study drug. Main outcome measures: The main outcomes were time to primary and secondary metabolic failure of the assigned treatment, calculated as days to haemoglobin A1c levels of ≥7.0% and >7.5%, respectively. Secondary metabolic, cardiovascular, and microvascular outcomes were analysed as specified in the GRADE statistical analysis plan. Propensity scores were estimated with the gradient boosting method, and inverse propensity score weighting was used to emulate randomisation to the treatment groups, which were then compared with Cox proportional hazards regression. Results: The study cohort included participants starting treatment with glimepiride (n=20 511), liraglutide (n=5569), sitagliptin (n=13 039), insulin glargine (n=7262), and canagliflozin (n=5290). The insulin glargine arm was excluded because of insufficient control of confounding. Median times to primary metabolic failure were 439 (95% confidence interval 400 to 489) days in the canagliflozin arm, 439 (426 to 453) days in the glimepiride arm, 624 (567 to 731) days in the liraglutide arm, and 461 (442 to 482) days in the sitagliptin arm. Median time to secondary metabolic failure was also longest in the liraglutide arm. Adults receiving liraglutide had the lowest one year cumulative incidence rate of primary metabolic failure (0.37, 95% confidence interval 0.35 to 0.40) followed by sitagliptin (0.44, 0.43 to 0.45), glimepiride (0.45, 0.44 to 0.45), and canagliflozin (0.46, 0.44 to 0.48). Similarly, the one year cumulative incidence rate of secondary metabolic failure was 0.27 (0.25 to 0.29) in the canagliflozin arm, 0.28 (0.27 to 0.29) in the glimepiride arm, 0.23 (0.21 to 0.26) in the liraglutide arm, and 0.28 (0.27 to 0.29) in the sitagliptin arm. No differences were observed between the study arms in the rates of microvascular and macrovascular complications. Conclusions: In this target trial emulation of an expanded GRADE study framework, liraglutide was more effective in achieving and maintaining glycaemic control as a second line glucose lowering drug than canagliflozin, sitagliptin, or glimepiride.