Prognostic Value of Cardiovascular Biomarkers in the Population.

Importance: Identification of individuals at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease within the population is important to inform primary prevention strategies. Objective: To evaluate the prognostic value of routinely available cardiovascular biomarkers when added to established risk factors. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual-level analysis including data on cardiovascular biomarkers from 28 general population-based cohorts from 12 countries and 4 continents with assessments by participant age. The median follow-up was 11.8 years. Exposure: Measurement of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, B-type natriuretic peptide, or high-sensitivity C-reactive protein. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, which included all fatal and nonfatal events. The secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, heart failure, ischemic stroke, and myocardial infarction. Subdistribution hazard ratios (HRs) for the association of biomarkers and outcomes were calculated after adjustment for established risk factors. The additional predictive value of the biomarkers was assessed using the C statistic and reclassification analyses. Results: The analyses included 164 054 individuals (median age, 53.1 years [IQR, 42.7-62.9 years] and 52.4% were women). There were 17 211 incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events. All biomarkers were significantly associated with incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (subdistribution HR per 1-SD change, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.11-1.16] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; 1.18 [95% CI, 1.12-1.23] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T; 1.21 [95% CI, 1.18-1.24] for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; 1.14 [95% CI, 1.08-1.22] for B-type natriuretic peptide; and 1.14 [95% CI, 1.12-1.16] for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) and all secondary outcomes. The addition of each single biomarker to a model that included established risk factors improved the C statistic. For 10-year incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in younger people (aged <65 years), the combination of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein resulted in a C statistic improvement from 0.812 (95% CI, 0.8021-0.8208) to 0.8194 (95% CI, 0.8089-0.8277). The combination of these biomarkers also improved reclassification compared with the conventional model. Improvements in risk prediction were most pronounced for the secondary outcomes of heart failure and all-cause mortality. The incremental value of biomarkers was greater in people aged 65 years or older vs younger people. Conclusions and Relevance: Cardiovascular biomarkers were strongly associated with fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events and mortality. The addition of biomarkers to established risk factors led to only a small improvement in risk prediction metrics for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, but was more favorable for heart failure and mortality.

Plasma Metabolome Predicts Aortic Stiffness and Future Risk of Coronary Artery Disease and Mortality After 23 Years of Follow-Up in the General Population.

BACKGROUND: Increased aortic stiffness (arteriosclerosis) is associated with early vascular aging independent of age and sex. The underlying mechanisms of early vascular aging remain largely unexplored in the general population. We aimed to investigate the plasma metabolomic profile in aortic stiffness (vascular aging) and associated risk of incident cardiovascular disease and mortality. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 6865 individuals from 2 Swedish population-based cohorts. Untargeted plasma metabolomics was performed by liquid-chromatography mass spectrometry. Aortic stiffness was assessed directly by carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (PWV) and indirectly by augmentation index (AIx@75). A least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression model was created on plasma metabolites in order to predict aortic stiffness. Associations between metabolite-predicted aortic stiffness and risk of new-onset cardiovascular disease, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality were calculated. Metabolite-predicted aortic stiffness (PWV and AIx@75) was positively associated particularly with acylcarnitines, dimethylguanidino valeric acid, glutamate, and cystine. The plasma metabolome predicted aortic stiffness (PWV and AIx@75) with good accuracy (R2=0.27 and R2=0.39, respectively). Metabolite-predicted aortic stiffness (PWV and AIx@75) was significantly correlated with age, sex, systolic blood pressure, body mass index, and low-density lipoprotein. After 23 years of follow-up, metabolite-predicted aortic stiffness (PWV and AIx@75) was significantly associated with increased risk of new-onset coronary artery disease, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Aortic stiffness is associated particularly with altered metabolism of acylcarnitines, cystine, and dimethylguanidino valeric acid. These metabolic disturbances predict increased risk of new-onset coronary artery disease, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality after more than 23 years of follow-up in the general population.

Very short sleep duration reveals a proteomic fingerprint that is selectively associated with incident diabetes mellitus but not with incident coronary heart disease: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The molecular pathways linking short and long sleep duration with incident diabetes mellitus (iDM) and incident coronary heart disease (iCHD) are not known. We aimed to identify circulating protein patterns associated with sleep duration and test their impact on incident cardiometabolic disease. METHODS: We assessed sleep duration and measured 78 plasma proteins among 3336 participants aged 46-68 years, free from DM and CHD at baseline, and identified cases of iDM and iCHD using national registers. Incident events occurring in the first 3 years of follow-up were excluded from analyses. Tenfold cross-fit partialing-out lasso logistic regression adjusted for age and sex was used to identify proteins that significantly predicted sleep duration quintiles when compared with the referent quintile 3 (Q3). Predictive proteins were weighted and combined into proteomic scores (PS) for sleep duration Q1, Q2, Q4, and Q5. Combinations of PS were included in a linear regression model to identify the best predictors of habitual sleep duration. Cox proportional hazards regression models with sleep duration quintiles and sleep-predictive PS as the main exposures were related to iDM and iCHD after adjustment for known covariates. RESULTS: Sixteen unique proteomic markers, predominantly reflecting inflammation and apoptosis, predicted sleep duration quintiles. The combination of PSQ1 and PSQ5 best predicted sleep duration. Mean follow-up times for iDM (n = 522) and iCHD (n = 411) were 21.8 and 22.4 years, respectively. Compared with sleep duration Q3, all sleep duration quintiles were positively and significantly associated with iDM. Only sleep duration Q1 was positively and significantly associated with iCHD. Inclusion of PSQ1 and PSQ5 abrogated the association between sleep duration Q1 and iDM. Moreover, PSQ1 was significantly associated with iDM (HR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.06-1.53). PSQ1 and PSQ5 were not associated with iCHD and did not markedly attenuate the association between sleep duration Q1 with iCHD. CONCLUSIONS: We here identify plasma proteomic fingerprints of sleep duration and suggest that PSQ1 could explain the association between very short sleep duration and incident DM.

Analysis of plasma metabolomes from 11 309 subjects in five population-based cohorts.

Plasma metabolomics holds potential for precision medicine, but limited information is available to compare the performance of such methods across multiple cohorts. We compared plasma metabolite profiles after an overnight fast in 11,309 participants of five population-based Swedish cohorts (50-80 years, 52% women). Metabolite profiles were uniformly generated at a core laboratory (Metabolon Inc.) with untargeted liquid chromatography mass spectrometry and a comprehensive reference library. Analysis of a second sample obtained one year later was conducted in a subset. Of 1629 detected metabolites, 1074 (66%) were detected in all cohorts while only 10% were unique to one cohort, most of which were xenobiotics or uncharacterized. The major classes were lipids (28%), xenobiotics (22%), amino acids (14%), and uncharacterized (19%). The most abundant plasma metabolome components were the major dietary fatty acids and amino acids, glucose, lactate and creatinine. Most metabolites displayed a log-normal distribution. Temporal variability was generally similar to clinical chemistry analytes but more pronounced for xenobiotics. Extensive metabolite-metabolite correlations were observed but mainly restricted to within each class. Metabolites were broadly associated with clinical factors, particularly body mass index, sex and renal function. Collectively, our findings inform the conduct and interpretation of metabolite association and precision medicine studies.

The skåne emergency medicine (SEM) cohort.

BACKGROUND: In the European Union alone, more than 100 million people present to the emergency department (ED) each year, and this has increased steadily year-on-year by 2-3%. Better patient management decisions have the potential to reduce ED crowding, the number of diagnostic tests, the use of inpatient beds, and healthcare costs. METHODS: We have established the Skåne Emergency Medicine (SEM) cohort for developing clinical decision support systems (CDSS) based on artificial intelligence or machine learning as well as traditional statistical methods. The SEM cohort consists of 325 539 unselected unique patients with 630 275 visits from January 1st, 2017 to December 31st, 2018 at eight EDs in the region Skåne in southern Sweden. Data on sociodemographics, previous diseases and current medication are available for each ED patient visit, as well as their chief complaint, test results, disposition and the outcome in the form of subsequent diagnoses, treatments, healthcare costs and mortality within a follow-up period of at least 30 days, and up to 3 years. DISCUSSION: The SEM cohort provides a platform for CDSS research, and we welcome collaboration. In addition, SEM's large amount of real-world patient data with almost complete short-term follow-up will allow research in epidemiology, patient management, diagnostics, prognostics, ED crowding, resource allocation, and social medicine.

Genome-wide analysis in over 1 million individuals of European ancestry yields improved polygenic risk scores for blood pressure traits.

Hypertension affects more than one billion people worldwide. Here we identify 113 novel loci, reporting a total of 2,103 independent genetic signals (P < 5 × 10-8) from the largest single-stage blood pressure (BP) genome-wide association study to date (n = 1,028,980 European individuals). These associations explain more than 60% of single nucleotide polymorphism-based BP heritability. Comparing top versus bottom deciles of polygenic risk scores (PRSs) reveals clinically meaningful differences in BP (16.9 mmHg systolic BP, 95% CI, 15.5-18.2 mmHg, P = 2.22 × 10-126) and more than a sevenfold higher odds of hypertension risk (odds ratio, 7.33; 95% CI, 5.54-9.70; P = 4.13 × 10-44) in an independent dataset. Adding PRS into hypertension-prediction models increased the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) from 0.791 (95% CI, 0.781-0.801) to 0.826 (95% CI, 0.817-0.836, ∆AUROC, 0.035, P = 1.98 × 10-34). We compare the 2,103 loci results in non-European ancestries and show significant PRS associations in a large African-American sample. Secondary analyses implicate 500 genes previously unreported for BP. Our study highlights the role of increasingly large genomic studies for precision health research.

The effects of Calorie restriction and Bariatric surgery on Circulating Proneurotensin levels.

CONTEXT: Proneurotensin (pNT) is associated with obesity and T2D, but the effects of Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) on postprandial pNT levels are not well studied. OBJECTIVE: Assess effects of RYGB versus very low-energy diet (VLED) on pNT levels in response to mixed-meal tests (MMT), and long-term effects of RYGB on fasting pNT.Study participants: Cohort 1: Nine normoglycemic (NG) and ten T2D patients underwent MMT before and after VLED, immediately post-RYGB and six weeks post-RYGB. Cohort 2: Ten controls with normal weight and ten patients with obesity and T2D, who underwent RYGB or vertical sleeve gastrectomy (VSG), were subjected to MMTs and GIP infusions pre-surgery and three months post-surgery. GLP-1 infusions were performed in normal weight participants. Cohort 3: Fasting pNT was assessed pre-RYGB (n=161), two months post-RYGB (n=92) and 1-year post-RYGB (n=118) in NG and T2D patients. pNT levels were measured using ELISA. RESULTS: Reduced fasting and postprandial pNT were evident after VLED and immediately following RYGB. Reintroduction of solid food post-RYGB increased fasting and postprandial pNT. Prior to RYGB, all patients lacked a meal response in pNT, but this was evident post-RYGB/VSG. GIP- or GLP-1 infusion had no effect on pNT levels. Fasting pNT were higher 1-year post-RYGB regardless of glycemic status. CONCLUSION: RYGB causes a transient reduction in pNT as a consequence of caloric restriction. The RYGB/VSG-induced rise in postprandial pNT is independent of GIP and GLP-1 and higher fasting pNT are maintained one year post-surgically.

The possible role of the vasopressin system in hematopoiesis.

Vasopressin is a pleiotropic hormone that controls body fluid homeostasis. Vasopressin has also been proposed to be involved in erythropoiesis, thrombocyte activity and inflammation. However, whether increasing vasopressin is associated with changes in hematopoietic markers is not known. To evaluate this gap of knowledge we measured the vasopressin marker copeptin and markers of erythropoiesis (erythrocyte count, hemoglobin (Hb), red blood cell distribution width (RDW), mean corpuscular volume (MCV), erythrocyte volume fraction (EVF)), leukocyte count (total count, lymphocytes, neutrophils) and thrombocyte count in 5312 participants from the Swedish CArdioPulmonary bioImage Study (SCAPIS). The associations between increasing copeptin tertile and the hematopoietic markers were analyzed in multivariate linear regression analyses. We found that increasing copeptin tertile was significantly (p < 0.001) associated with increasing erythrocytes, RDW, EVF, Hb, leukocytes and neutrophils after adjustment for age, sex, current smoking, prevalent diabetes, hypertension, creatinine, body mass index and physical activity. Increasing copeptin tertile was, however, not associated with change in MCV, lymphocyte or thrombocyte count. In conclusion, we found that increasing copeptin levels are positively associated with markers of erythropoiesis and leukocyte count in the general population. These results warrant further research on possible mechanistic effects of vasopressin on hematopoiesis.

Neurotensin accelerates atherosclerosis and increases circulating levels of short-chain and saturated triglycerides.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Obesity and type 2 diabetes are significant risk factors for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD) worldwide, but the underlying pathophysiological links are poorly understood. Neurotensin (NT), a 13-amino-acid hormone peptide, facilitates intestinal fat absorption and contributes to obesity in mice fed a high-fat diet. Elevated levels of pro-NT (a stable NT precursor produced in equimolar amounts relative to NT) are associated with obesity, type 2 diabetes, and CVD in humans. Whether NT is a causative factor in CVD is unknown. METHODS: Nt+/+ and Nt-/- mice were either injected with adeno-associated virus encoding PCSK9 mutants or crossed with Ldlr-/- mice and fed a Western diet. Atherosclerotic plaques were analyzed by en face analysis, Oil Red O and CD68 staining. In humans, we evaluated the association between baseline pro-NT and growth of carotid bulb thickness after 16.4 years. Lipidomic profiles were analyzed. RESULTS: Atherosclerotic plaque formation is attenuated in Nt-deficient mice through mechanisms that are independent of reductions in circulating cholesterol and triglycerides but associated with remodeling of the plasma triglyceride pool. An increasing plasma concentration of pro-NT predicts atherosclerotic events in coronary and cerebral arteries independent of all major traditional risk factors, indicating a strong link between NT and atherosclerosis. This plasma lipid profile analysis confirms the association of pro-NT with remodeling of the plasma triglyceride pool in atherosclerotic events. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings are the first to directly link NT to increased atherosclerosis and indicate the potential role for NT in preventive and therapeutic strategies for CVD.

The association between water intake and future cardiometabolic disease outcomes in the Malmö Diet and Cancer cardiovascular cohort.

The aim of this study was to explore the longitudinal association between reported baseline water intake and incidence of coronary artery disease (CAD) and type 2 diabetes in the Malmö Diet and Cancer Cohort (n = 25,369). Using cox proportional hazards models, we separately modelled the effect of plain and total (all water, including from food) water on CAD and type 2 diabetes risk, whilst adjusting for age, sex, diet collection method, season, smoking status, alcohol intake, physical activity, education level, energy intake, energy misreporting, body mass index, hypertension, lipid lowering medication, apolipoprotein A, apolipoprotein B, and dietary variables. Sensitivity analyses were run to assess validity. After adjustment, no association was found between tertiles of plain or total water intake and type 2 diabetes risk. For CAD, no association was found comparing moderate to low intake tertiles from plain or total water, however, risk of CAD increased by 12% (95% CI 1.03, 1.21) when comparing high to low intake tertiles of plain water, and by 17% (95% CI 1.07, 1.27) for high versus low tertiles of total water. Sensitivity analyses were largely in agreement. Overall, baseline water intake was not associated with future type 2 diabetes risk, whilst CAD risk was higher with higher water intakes. Our findings are discordant with prevailing literature suggesting higher water intakes should reduce cardiometabolic risk. These findings may be an artefact of limitations within the study, but future research is needed to understand if there is a causal underpinning.

Dietary amino acids and risk of stroke subtypes: a prospective analysis of 356,000 participants in seven European countries.

PURPOSE: Previously reported associations of protein-rich foods with stroke subtypes have prompted interest in the assessment of individual amino acids. We examined the associations of dietary amino acids with risks of ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke in the EPIC study. METHODS: We analysed data from 356,142 participants from seven European countries. Dietary intakes of 19 individual amino acids were assessed using validated country-specific dietary questionnaires, calibrated using additional 24-h dietary recalls. Multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke in relation to the intake of each amino acid. The role of blood pressure as a potential mechanism was assessed in 267,642 (75%) participants. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 12.9 years, 4295 participants had an ischaemic stroke and 1375 participants had a haemorrhagic stroke. After correction for multiple testing, a higher intake of proline (as a percent of total protein) was associated with a 12% lower risk of ischaemic stroke (HR per 1 SD higher intake 0.88; 95% CI 0.82, 0.94). The association persisted after mutual adjustment for all other amino acids, systolic and diastolic blood pressure. The inverse associations of isoleucine, leucine, valine, phenylalanine, threonine, tryptophan, glutamic acid, serine and tyrosine with ischaemic stroke were each attenuated with adjustment for proline intake. For haemorrhagic stroke, no statistically significant associations were observed in the continuous analyses after correcting for multiple testing. CONCLUSION: Higher proline intake may be associated with a lower risk of ischaemic stroke, independent of other dietary amino acids and blood pressure.

Relationships between Charlson comorbidity index associated biomarkers and outcomes among participants in the Malmö diet and cancer study.

INTRODUCTION: The aim was to evaluate two biomarker scores trained to identify comorbidity burden in the prediction of specified chronic morbidities, and mortality in the general population. METHODS: Cardiovascular biomarkers were measured in the cardiovascular cohort of the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study. A score of 19 biomarkers associated with Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was created (BSMDC). Individuals with CCI diagnoses and other major comorbidities were excluded. Another score of 11 biomarkers associated with comorbidity burden from a previous study of acute dyspnea was also created (BSADYS). The scores were prospectively evaluated for prediction of mortality, and some chronic diseases, using Cox Proportional Hazards Model. RESULTS: Fully adjusted models showed that BSMDC was significantly associated per 1 SD increment of the score with incident COPD, 55%, and congestive heart failure, 32%; and with mortality, 33% cardiovascular, 91% respiratory, 30% cancer, and 45% with all-cause mortality. The BSADYS showed no association with these outcomes, after simultaneous inclusion of both biomarker scores to all the clinical covariates. CONCLUSION: BSMDC shows strong prediction of morbidity and mortality in individuals free from comorbidities at baseline, and the results suggest that healthy individuals with high level of BSMDC would benefit from intense preventive actions.

A score of 19 biomarkers associated with Charlson Comorbidity Index was created, the Biomarker Score of Malmö Diet and Cancer study (BSMDC).The created BSMDC index was associated with both incident COPD, and incident CHF.BSMDC was also associated with cardiovascular mortality, respiratory mortality, cancer mortality and with all-cause mortality.

Elevated soluble LOX-1 predicts risk of first-time myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: There is an unmet clinical need for novel therapies addressing the residual risk in patients receiving guideline preventive therapy for coronary heart disease. Experimental studies have identified a pro-atherogenic role of the oxidized LDL receptor LOX-1. We investigated the association between circulating soluble LOX-1 (sLOX-1) and the risk for development of myocardial infarction. METHODS: The study subjects (n = 4658) were part of the Malmö Diet and Cancer study. The baseline investigation was carried out 1991-1994 and the incidence of cardiovascular events monitored through national registers during a of 19.5 ± 4.9 years follow-up. sLOX-1 and other biomarkers were analyzed by proximity extension assay and ELISA in baseline plasma. RESULTS: Subjects in the highest tertile of sLOX-1 had an increased risk of myocardial infarction (hazard ratio (95% CI) 1.76 (1.40-2.21) as compared with those in the lowest tertile. The presence of cardiovascular risk factors was related to elevated sLOX-1, but the association between sLOX-1 and risk of myocardial infarction remained significant when adjusting for risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: In this prospective population study we found an association between elevated sLOX-1, the presence of carotid disease and the risk for first-time myocardial infarction. Taken together with previous experimental findings of a pro-atherogenic role of LOX-1, this observation supports LOX-1 inhibition as a possible target for prevention of myocardial infarction.

Activation of the lectin-like oxidized low-density lipoprotein receptor-1 (LOX-1) represents a possible target for treatment of the residual inflammatory risk in cardiovascular patients on guideline therapy.Having high levels of soluble LOX-1, a marker of cellular LOX-1 activation, is associated with an increased risk for development of myocardial infarction and heart failure.sLOX-1 levels correlated with major cardiovascular risk factors and biomarkers reflecting LDL oxidation.

Proteomic Determinants of Variation in Cholesterol Efflux: Observations from the Dallas Heart Study.

High-density lipoproteins (HDLs) are promising targets for predicting and treating atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), as they mediate removal of excess cholesterol from lipid-laden macrophages that accumulate in the vasculature. This functional property of HDLs, termed cholesterol efflux capacity (CEC), is inversely associated with ASCVD. HDLs are compositionally diverse, associating with >250 different proteins, but their relative contribution to CEC remains poorly understood. Our goal was to identify and define key HDL-associated proteins that modulate CEC in humans. The proteomic signature of plasma HDL was quantified in 36 individuals in the multi-ethnic population-based Dallas Heart Study (DHS) cohort that exhibited persistent extremely high (>=90th%) or extremely low CEC (<=10th%) over 15 years. Levels of apolipoprotein (Apo)A-I associated ApoC-II, ApoC-III, and ApoA-IV were differentially correlated with CEC in high (r = 0.49, 0.41, and -0.21 respectively) and low (r = -0.46, -0.41, and 0.66 respectively) CEC groups (p for heterogeneity (pHet) = 0.03, 0.04, and 0.003 respectively). Further, we observed that levels of ApoA-I with ApoC-III, complement C3 (CO3), ApoE, and plasminogen (PLMG) were inversely associated with CEC in individuals within the low CEC group (r = -0.11 to -0.25 for subspecies with these proteins vs. r = 0.58 to 0.65 for subspecies lacking these proteins; p < 0.05 for heterogeneity). These findings suggest that enrichment of specific proteins on HDLs and, thus, different subspecies of HDLs, differentially modulate the removal of cholesterol from the vasculature.

A large meta-analysis identifies genes associated with anterior uveitis.

Anterior Uveitis (AU) is the inflammation of the anterior part of the eye, the iris and ciliary body and is strongly associated with HLA-B*27. We report AU exome sequencing results from eight independent cohorts consisting of 3,850 cases and 916,549 controls. We identify common genome-wide significant loci in HLA-B (OR = 3.37, p = 1.03e-196) and ERAP1 (OR = 0.86, p = 1.1e-08), and find IPMK (OR = 9.4, p = 4.42e-09) and IDO2 (OR = 3.61, p = 6.16e-08) as genome-wide significant genes based on the burden of rare coding variants. Dividing the cohort into HLA-B*27 positive and negative individuals, we find ERAP1 haplotype is strongly protective only for B*27-positive AU (OR = 0.73, p = 5.2e-10). Investigation of B*27-negative AU identifies a common signal near HLA-DPB1 (rs3117230, OR = 1.26, p = 2.7e-08), risk genes IPMK and IDO2, and several additional candidate risk genes, including ADGFR5, STXBP2, and ACHE. Taken together, we decipher the genetics underlying B*27-positive and -negative AU and identify rare and common genetic signals for both subtypes of disease.

The association of copeptin with metabolic risk markers is modified by region of origin.

Iraqi born immigrants in Sweden have higher prevalence of metabolic diseases compared to native Swedes. Copeptin, a marker for vasopressin, is associated with increased risk of metabolic disease. In this cross-sectional population study based on the MEDIM cohort we investigated differences in copeptin levels between Iraqi and Swedish born individuals and if the association between copeptin and cardiometabolic risk markers differed by region of origin. We included 1109 Iraqi and 613 Swedish born participants (58% men, mean age 47 years). The Swedish participants had a higher concentration of copeptin compared to the Iraqi born group after age and sex adjustment (p < 0.001). This difference existed only among male individuals with the highest copeptin concentrations, i.e. belonging to copeptin quartile 4 (median (25th; 75th percentile) 20.07 (15.27;33.28) pmol/L for the Swedish born versus 15.57 (13.91;19.00) pmol/L for the Iraqi born, p < 0.001). We found a significant interaction between copeptin (continuous ln-transformed) and being born in Iraq regarding the association with plasma triglycerides (Pinteraction = 0.006). The association between copeptin and BMI was stronger amongst the Iraqi born individuals compared to the Swedish born. Together, this could indicate that copeptin is a more potent marker of metabolic disease among individuals born in Iraq compared to Sweden.

Global Effect of Modifiable Risk Factors on Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality.

BACKGROUND: Five modifiable risk factors are associated with cardiovascular disease and death from any cause. Studies using individual-level data to evaluate the regional and sex-specific prevalence of the risk factors and their effect on these outcomes are lacking. METHODS: We pooled and harmonized individual-level data from 112 cohort studies conducted in 34 countries and 8 geographic regions participating in the Global Cardiovascular Risk Consortium. We examined associations between the risk factors (body-mass index, systolic blood pressure, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, current smoking, and diabetes) and incident cardiovascular disease and death from any cause using Cox regression analyses, stratified according to geographic region, age, and sex. Population-attributable fractions were estimated for the 10-year incidence of cardiovascular disease and 10-year all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Among 1,518,028 participants (54.1% of whom were women) with a median age of 54.4 years, regional variations in the prevalence of the five modifiable risk factors were noted. Incident cardiovascular disease occurred in 80,596 participants during a median follow-up of 7.3 years (maximum, 47.3), and 177,369 participants died during a median follow-up of 8.7 years (maximum, 47.6). For all five risk factors combined, the aggregate global population-attributable fraction of the 10-year incidence of cardiovascular disease was 57.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 52.4 to 62.1) among women and 52.6% (95% CI, 49.0 to 56.1) among men, and the corresponding values for 10-year all-cause mortality were 22.2% (95% CI, 16.8 to 27.5) and 19.1% (95% CI, 14.6 to 23.6). CONCLUSIONS: Harmonized individual-level data from a global cohort showed that 57.2% and 52.6% of cases of incident cardiovascular disease among women and men, respectively, and 22.2% and 19.1% of deaths from any cause among women and men, respectively, may be attributable to five modifiable risk factors. (Funded by the German Center for Cardiovascular Research (DZHK); ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT05466825.).

Short-term association between outdoor temperature and the hydration-marker copeptin: a pooled analysis in five cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Whereas outdoor temperature is linked to both mortality and hydration status, the hormone vasopressin, measured through the surrogate copeptin, is a marker of cardiometabolic risk and hydration. We recently showed that copeptin has a seasonal pattern with higher plasma concentration in winter. Here, we aimed to investigate the association between outdoor temperature and copeptin. METHODS: Copeptin was analysed in fasting plasma from five cohorts in Malmö, Sweden (n = 26,753, 49.7% men, age 18-86 years). We utilized a multivariable adjusted non-linear spline model with four knots to investigate the association between short-term temperature (24 h mean apparent) and log copeptin z-score. FINDINGS: We found a distinct non-linear association between temperature and log copeptin z-score, with both moderately low and high temperatures linked to higher copeptin concentration (p < 0.0001). Between 0 °C and nadir at the 75th temperature percentile (corresponding to 14.3 °C), log copeptin decreased 0.13 z-scores (95% CI 0.096; 0.16), which also inversely corresponded to the increase in z-score log copeptin between the nadir and 21.3 °C. INTERPRETATION: The J-shaped association between short-term temperature and copeptin resembles the J-shaped association between temperature and mortality. Whereas the untangling of temperature from other seasonal effects on hydration warrants further study, moderately increased water intake constitutes a feasible intervention to lower vasopressin and might mitigate adverse health effects of both moderately cold and hot outdoor temperatures. FUNDING: Swedish Research Council, Å Wiberg, M Stephen, A Påhlsson, Crafoord and Swedish Heart-Lung Foundations, Swedish Society for Medical Research and Swedish Society of Medicine.

Immunoassay-based quantification of full-length peptidylglycine alpha-amidating monooxygenase in human plasma.

A one-step sandwich chemiluminescence immunometric assay (LIA) was developed for the quantification of bifunctional peptidylglycine-α-amidating monooxygenase (PAM) in human plasma (PAM-LIA). PAM is responsible for the activation of more than half of known peptide hormones through C-terminal α-amidation. The assay employed antibodies targeting specific catalytic PAM-subunits, peptidylglycine alpha-hydroxylating monooxygenase (PHM) and peptidyl-alpha-hydroxyglycine alpha-amidating lyase (PAL), to ensure detection of full-length PAM. The PAM-LIA assay was calibrated with a human recombinant PAM enzyme and achieved a detection limit of 189 pg/mL and a quantification limit of 250 pg/mL. The assay demonstrated good inter-assay (6.7%) and intra-assay (2.2%) variabilities. It exhibited linearity when accessed by gradual dilution or random mixing of plasma samples. The accuracy of the PAM-LIA was determined to be 94.7% through spiking recovery experiments, and the signal recovery after substance interference was 94-96%. The analyte showed 96% stability after six freeze-thaw cycles. The assay showed strong correlation with matched EDTA and serum samples, as well as matched EDTA and Li-Heparin samples. Additionally, a high correlation was observed between α-amidating activity and PAM-LIA. Finally, the PAM-LIA assay was successfully applied to a sub-cohort of a Swedish population-based study, comprising 4850 individuals, confirming its suitability for routine high throughput screening.