Artificial intelligence methods to estimate overall mortality and non-relapse mortality following allogeneic HCT in the modern era: an EBMT-TCWP study.

Allogeneic haematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT) has curative potential counterbalanced by its toxicity. Prognostic scores fail to include current era patients and alternative donors. We examined adult patients from the EBMT registry who underwent alloHCT between 2010 and 2019 for oncohaematological disease. Our primary objective was to develop a new prognostic score for overall mortality (OM), with a secondary objective of predicting non-relapse mortality (NRM) using the OM score. AI techniques were employed. The model for OM was trained, optimized, and validated using 70%, 15%, and 15% of the data set, respectively. The top models, "gradient boosting" for OM (AUC = 0.64) and "elasticnet" for NRM (AUC = 0.62), were selected. The analysis included 33,927 patients. In the final prognostic model, patients with the lowest score had a 2-year OM and NRM of 18 and 13%, respectively, while those with the highest score had a 2-year OM and NRM of 82 and 93%, respectively. The results were consistent in the subset of the haploidentical cohort (n = 4386). Our score effectively stratifies the risk of OM and NRM in the current era but do not significantly improve mortality prediction. Future prognostic scores can benefit from identifying biological or dynamic markers post alloHCT.

Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation in intermediate risk acute myeloid leukemia negative for FLT3-ITD, NPM1- or biallelic CEBPA mutations.

BACKGROUND: The value of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT) as postremission treatment is not well defined for patients with intermediate-risk acute myeloid leukemia (AML) without FLT3-ITD, biallelic CEBPA-, or NPM1 mutations (here referred to as NPM1mut-neg/CEBPAdm-neg/FLT3-ITDneg AML) in first complete remission (CR1). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We addressed this question using data from two prospective randomized controlled trials on intensive induction- and risk-stratified postremission therapy. The NPM1mut-neg/CEBPAdm-neg/FLT3-ITDneg AML subgroup comprised 497 patients, aged 18-60 years. RESULTS: In donor versus no-donor analyses, patients with a matched related donor had a longer relapse-free survival (HR 0.5; 95% CI 0.3-0.9, P = 0.02) and a trend toward better overall survival (HR 0.6, 95% CI 0.3-1.1, P = 0.08) compared with patients who received postremission chemotherapy. Notably, only 58% of patients in the donor group were transplanted in CR1. We therefore complemented the donor versus no-donor analysis with multivariable Cox regression analyses, where alloHCT was tested as a time-dependent covariate: overall survival (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.37-0.9, P = 0.02) and relapse-free survival (HR 0.51, 95% CI 0.34-0.76; P = 0.001) for patients who received alloHCT compared with chemotherapy in CR1 were significantly longer. CONCLUSION: Outside clinical trials, alloHCT should be the preferred postremission treatment of patients with intermediate risk NPM1mut-neg/CEBPAdm-neg/FLT3-ITDneg AML in CR1. CINICALTRIALS.GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT00180115, NCT00180102.

Durable responses to ibrutinib in patients with relapsed CLL after allogeneic stem cell transplantation.

Ibrutinib, a recently approved inhibitor of Bruton's tyrosine kinase (BTK), has shown great efficacy in patients with high-risk CLL. Nevertheless, there are few data regarding its use in patients who relapsed after allogeneic stem cell transplantation (alloSCT). We report clinical data from five CLL patients treated with ibrutinib for relapse after first or even second allogeneic transplantation. Additionally, we performed analyses on cytokine levels and direct measuring of CD4 Th1 and CD4 Th2 cells to evaluate possible clinically relevant immunomodulatory effects of ibrutinib. All patients achieved partial responses including one minimal residual disease (MRD)-negative remission. Within 1 year of follow-up, no relapse was observed. One patient died of severe pneumonia while on ibrutinib treatment. Beside this, no unexpected adverse events were observed. Flow cytometry and analyses of T cell-mediated cytokine levels (IL10 and TNFα) did not reveal substantial changes in T-cell distribution in favor of a CD4 Th1 T-cell shift in our patients. No acute exacerbation of GvHD was reported. In conclusion, these results support further evaluation of ibrutinib in CLL patients relapsing after alloSCT.

Karyotype complexity and prognosis in acute myeloid leukemia.

A complex aberrant karyotype consisting of multiple unrelated cytogenetic abnormalities is associated with poor prognosis in patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The European Leukemia Net classification and the UK Medical Research Council recommendation provide prognostic categories that differ in the definition of unbalanced aberrations as well as the number of single aberrations. The aim of this study on 3526 AML patients was to redefine and validate a cutoff for karyotype complexity in AML with regard to adverse prognosis. Our study demonstrated that (1) patients with a pure hyperdiploid karyotype have an adverse risk irrespective of the number of chromosomal gains, (2) patients with translocation t(9;11)(p21∼22;q23) have an intermediate risk independent of the number of additional aberrations, (3) patients with ⩾4 abnormalities have an adverse risk per se and (4) patients with three aberrations in the absence of abnormalities of strong influence (hyperdiploid karyotype, t(9;11)(p21∼22;q23), CBF-AML, unique adverse-risk aberrations) have borderline intermediate/adverse risk with a reduced overall survival compared with patients with a normal karyotype.

Clofarabine salvage therapy before allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in patients with relapsed or refractory AML: results of the BRIDGE trial.

In patients with relapsed or refractory (r/r) acute myeloid leukemia (AML), long-term disease control can only be achieved by allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). We studied the safety and efficacy of clofarabine-based salvage therapy. The study was designed as phase II, multicenter, intent-to-transplant (ITT) study. A total of 84 patients with r/r AML were enrolled. All patients received at least one cycle of CLARA (clofarabine 30 mg/m(2) and cytarabine 1 g/m(2), days 1-5). Chemo-responsive patients with a donor received HSCT in aplasia after first CLARA. Generally, HSCT was performed as soon as possible. The conditioning regimen consisted of clofarabine (4 × 30 mg/m(2)) and melphalan (140 mg/m(2)). The median patient age was 61 years (range 40-75). On day 15 after start of CLARA, 26% of patients were in a morphologically leukemia-free state and 79% exposed a reduction in bone marrow blasts. Overall, 67% of the patients received HSCT within the trial. The primary end point, defined as complete remission after HSCT, was achieved by 60% of the patients. According to the ITT, overall survival at 2 years was 43% (95% confidence interval (CI), 32-54%). The 2-year disease-free survival for transplanted patients was 52% (95% CI, 40-69%). Clofarabine-based salvage therapy combined with allogeneic HSCT in aplasia shows promising results in patients with r/r AML.