Potential market size and impact of hepatitis C treatment in low- and middle-income countries.

The introduction of direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) has made hepatitis C infection curable in the vast majority of cases and the elimination of the infection possible. Although initially too costly for large-scale use, recent reductions in DAA prices in some low- and middle-income countries (LaMICs) has improved the prospect of many people having access to these drugs/medications in the future. This article assesses the pricing and financing conditions under which the uptake of DAAs can increase to the point where the elimination of the disease in LaMICs is feasible. A Markov simulation model is used to study the dynamics of the infection with the introduction of treatment over a 10-year period. The impact on HCV-related mortality and HCV incidence is assessed under different financing scenarios assuming that the cost of the drugs is completely paid for out-of-pocket or reduced through either subsidy or drug price decreases. It is also assessed under different diagnostic and service delivery capacity scenarios separately for low-income (LIC), lower-middle-income (LMIC) and upper-middle-income countries (UMIC). Monte Carlo simulations are used for sensitivity analyses. At a price of US$ 1680 per 12-week treatment duration (based on negotiated Egyptian prices for an all oral two-DAA regimen), most of the people infected in LICs and LMICs would have limited access to treatment without subsidy or significant drug price decreases. However, people in UMICs would be able to access it even in the absence of a subsidy. For HCV treatment to have a significant impact on mortality and incidence, a significant scaling-up of diagnostic and service delivery capacity for HCV infection is needed.

Developmental determinants in non-communicable chronic diseases and ageing.

Prenatal and peri-natal events play a fundamental role in health, development of diseases and ageing (Developmental Origins of Health and Disease (DOHaD)). Research on the determinants of active and healthy ageing is a priority to: (i) inform strategies for reducing societal and individual costs of an ageing population and (ii) develop effective novel prevention strategies. It is important to compare the trajectories of respiratory diseases with those of other chronic diseases.

Blood libel rebooted: traditional scapegoats, online media, and the H1N1 epidemic.

This study of comments posted on major French print and TV media websites during the H1N1 epidemic illustrates the relationship between the traditional media and social media in responding to an emerging disease. A disturbing "geography of blame" was observed suggesting the metamorphosis of the folk-devil phenomenon to the Internet. We discovered a subterranean discourse about the putative origins and "objectives" of the H1N1 virus, which was absent from the discussions in mainstream television channels and large-circulation print media. These online rumours attributed hidden motives to governments, pharmaceutical companies, and figures of Otherness that were scapegoated in the social history of previous European epidemics, notably Freemasons and Jews.

Randomized study of early hospital discharge following autologous blood SCT: medical outcomes and hospital costs.

We report the first randomized study comparing early hospital discharge with standard hospital-based follow-up after high-dose chemotherapy (HDCT) and PBSCT. Patients aged 18-65 years, with an indication of PBSCT for non-leukemic malignant diseases were randomly assigned between two arms. Arm A consisted of early hospital discharge (HDCT during hospitalization, discharge at day 0, home stay with a caregiver, outpatient clinic follow-up). In arm B patients were followed up as inpatients. In total 131 patients were analyzed (66 in arm A and 65 in arm B). Patient characteristics and hematological reconstitution were comparable between the two groups. In arm A, 26 patients were actually discharged early. Patients in group A spent fewer days in hospital (11 vs 12 days, P=0.006). This strategy resulted in a 6% mean cost reduction per patient when compared with the conventional hospital-based group. The early discharge approach within the French health system, while safe and feasible, is highly dependent on social criteria (caregiver availability and home to hospital distance). It is almost always associated with conventional hospital readmission during the aplasia phase, and limits cost savings when considering the whole population of patients benefiting from HDCT in routine clinical practice.

Does cancer survivors' health-related quality of life depend on cancer type? Findings from a large French national sample 2 years after cancer diagnosis.

We investigated whether health-related quality of life (HRQL) depends on cancer type, after adjustment for demographic and medical variables. A French national population-based survey was conducted between November and December 2004 to assess surviving cancer patients' HRQL 2 years after diagnosis. HRQL was measured by the 36-Item Short Form Survey scale. The sample included 3900 persons. All cancer diagnoses were entered in the study. We demonstrated that medical and treatment variables have an impact on patients' physical HRQL but not on mental HRQL. Cancer type impacted on physical HRQL, with those suffering from upper aerodigestive tract /lung cancers and haematological malignancies being affected to a greater degree. Disturbing side effects impacted both HRQL domains. Socio-demographic variables had statistically significant effects but not clinically meaningful ones. Socio-economic variables led to potentially clinically meaningful differences for cancer patients' HRQL and represented a socio-economic gradient in HRQL among cancer survivors. From our results, we may assert that cancer survivors, 2 years after cancer diagnosis, share a similar pattern of psychological morbidity, independent of cancer type. Patients disproportionately affected by cancer, such as those with lower educational levels and income, need to be identified and targeted and interventions which address their unique needs and concerns need to be developed.

Economic evaluation of point-of-care diagnostic technologies for infectious diseases.

We review the growing number of economic evaluations of individual point-of-care (POC) tests for diagnosis of infectious diseases in resource-limited settings that use either cohort studies or mathematical models. We focus on studies that evaluate POC diagnostic tests for the control of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and malaria, tools that are central to the WHO prevention guidelines for infectious diseases in developing countries. Although rapid diagnostic tests for HIV and malaria seem to be cost-effective in these standard analyses, these do not take into account the reduction in patients' waiting time and the number of clinic visits required to receive results, or future benefits from the reduction in antimalarial drug pressure. Those additional cost reductions would be considerably greater with POC rapid tests, and the cost-effectiveness of POC tests would therefore be improved. Findings from cost-effectiveness analyses suggest that, despite the relatively small additional cost incurred, decision-makers should strongly consider using POC tests throughout or during parts of HIV and malaria epidemics, where this is feasible in terms of local human resources and logistical conditions.

Oral contraception and unprotected sex with occasional partners of women HIV-infected through injection drug use.

Among HIV-infected women, unprotected sex with the main sexual partner is common practice. Conversely, studies about condom use with sexual partners of unknown HIV sero-status are sparsely reported. We aimed to assess the impact of oral contraception on unsafe sexual behaviours with occasional partners in women HIV-infected through injection drug use. The analysis focused on 90 women, enrolled in the French cohort MANIF 2000 and reported having engaged in sexual relationships with occasional partners during a 48-month period. Visits where women reported unprotected sex with occasional partners in the prior 6 months were compared to visits where they reported protected sex using a logistic model based on Generalised Estimating Equations. Unprotected sex with occasional partners was independently associated with oral contraception (OR[95%CI] = 3.2[1.4-7.2]), reporting only one occasional partner (OR[95%CI] = 3.1[1.6-6.2]) and antiretroviral treatment receipt. No significant association was found between unprotected sex and CD4 level or plasma viral load. With the growing population of people living with HIV as a chronic infection, the development and evaluation of HIV-prevention interventions tailored toward women remain a public health priority. Risk reduction counselling and interventions are needed to promote either the use of dual contraception or, alternatively, that of female condom.

Disclosure of prognosis to terminally ill patients: attitudes and practices among French physicians.

BACKGROUND: Disclosure of the prognosis to terminally ill patients is a strong prerequisite for integrating the physical, psychological, spiritual, and social aspects of end-of-life care. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess French physicians' general attitudes and effective practices (with patients followed up to death recently) toward such disclosure. DESIGN/SUBJECTS: We used data from a cross-sectional survey conducted among a national sample of 917 French general practitioners, oncologists, and neurologists. RESULTS: A majority of respondents opted for prognosis disclosure only at patients' request, very few opted for systematic disclosure without patient's request, and a significant minority opted for systematic concealment. Concerning deceased patients described by respondents, 44.5% of competent patients were informed of prognosis by their physician, 27.3% were informed by someone else, 9.0% refused to be informed, and 19.2% were simply not informed. Concealment was more frequent for older patients, and physicians involved in a nongovernmental organization (NGO) for patients' support were more likely to disclose the prognosis, even without patient's request. CONCLUSIONS: Disclosure of the prognosis to terminally ill patients is still far from systematic in France. Further research is needed to better understand the motivations of French physicians' disclosure practices, which are probably culturally shaped.

Attitudes toward palliative care, conceptions of euthanasia and opinions about its legalization among French physicians.

We assume that actors of the professionalization process of palliative care make a special effort to demarcate it from euthanasia, and that such an effort has a significant impact on beliefs and attitudes toward euthanasia among the whole medical profession. We investigated concurrently attitudes toward palliative care, conceptions of euthanasia and opinion toward its legalization among a sample of 883 French general practitioners, oncologists and neurologists. We found four contrasted profiles of attitudes toward palliative care, which were closely correlated with being in touch with palliative care providers. Attitudes toward palliative care were closely correlated with beliefs about which medical practices should be labelled euthanasia, and these beliefs were in turn strongly associated with opinions toward euthanasia legalization. Our results suggest that the relationship between palliative care and euthanasia mixes semantic and strategic aspects, beyond cognitive and conative ones.

Delivering generics without regulatory incentives? Empirical evidence from French general practitioners about willingness to prescribe international non-proprietary names.

France presents a unique situation in which the take-off of a generic drug market depends, out of regulatory incentives, on whether physicians choose a prescription method (international non-proprietary names, INN) that can lead to the delivery of these drugs and on whether patients accept them. This paper is aimed at pointing out factors explaining general practitioners' (GPs') willingness to prescribe in INN through data collected from a South-Eastern France representative sample of 600 GPs in March 2002. The main results shed light on the key-role played by GPs' information about drugs and the source which they take it from, by GPs' volume of services and caseloads, and slightly by socio-economic characteristics of patients.

Determinants of patients' choice of reconstruction with mastectomy for primary breast cancer.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to measure women's decisions about breast reconstruction (BR) after mastectomy and to assess the factors contributing to their decisions, in a context involving shared decision-making and maximum patient autonomy. METHODS: Women who were about to undergo mastectomy for primary breast cancer were systematically offered choices concerning BR and time of reconstruction (intervention always covered by the French National Insurance System). Self-administered questionnaires were used prior to the operation. RESULTS: Among the 181 respondents, 81% opted for BR and 19% for mastectomy alone. In comparison with those who chose mastectomy alone, those opting for BR more frequently recognized the importance of discussing these matters with the surgeon and their partner (adjusted odds ratio [OR(adj)] = 13.45 and 3.59, respectively; P <.05) and realized that their body image was important (OR(adj) = 10.55, P <.01); fears about surgery prevented some of the women from opting for BR (OR(adj) = 0.688, P <.05). Among the women opting for BR, 83% chose immediate breast reconstruction (IBR) and 17% chose delayed breast reconstruction (DBR). The preference for IBR was mainly attributable to the fact that these women had benefited more frequently from doctor-patient discussions (OR(adj) = 3.49, P <.05) but was also attributable to the patients' physical and functional characteristics: they were in a poorer state of health (P <.05). The surgeons predicted their patients' preferences fairly accurately. CONCLUSIONS: In a context of maximum autonomy, the great majority of the women chose IBR. The patients' choices were explained mainly by their psychosocial characteristics. The indication for BR should be properly discussed between patients and surgeons before mastectomy.

Prophylactic use of cotrimoxazole against opportunistic infections in HIV-positive patients: knowledge and practices of health care providers in Côte d'Ivoire.

We present here the results of a survey conducted in Côte d'Ivoire, Africa, among healthcare providers, on the knowledge of prophylactic use of cotrimoxazole to prevent opportunistic infections in HIV-infected persons. The survey was conducted in 15 health centres, involved or not in the 'initiative of access to treatment for HIV infected people'. Between December 1999 and March 2000, 145 physicians and 297 other health care providers were interviewed. In the analysis, the health centres were divided into three groups: health centres implicated in the initiative of access to treatment for HIV-infected people with a great deal of caring for HIV-infected people, health centres implicated in this initiative but caring for few HIV-infected people, and health centres not specifically involved in the care of HIV-infected people. Six per cent of physicians and 50% of other health care providers had never heard of cotrimoxazole prophylaxis. The level of information about this prophylaxis is related to the level of HIV-related activities in the health centre. Among health care providers informed, knowledge on the exact terms of prescription of the cotrimoxazole is poor. In conclusion, it appears that the recommendations for primary cotrimoxazole prophylaxis of HIV-infected people did not reach the whole health care provider population. Most physicians are informed but not other health workers, even if the latter are often the only contact of the patient with the healthcentre. The only medical staff correctly informed are the physicians already strongly engaged in the care of HIV-infected people.

[Advanced rectal cancer: attitudes of French surgeons]. / Cancer avancé du rectum: attitudes des chirurgiens français.

PURPOSE: French guidelines recommended the treatment of locally advanced rectal cancers. Our aim was first to describe therapeutic decision of digestive surgeons related to clinical cases and then to measure their knowledge of french guidelines. METHODS: Two vignettes were mailed to 183 french surgeons, randomly selected. The first one dealt with a man, 46-years-old, with a rectal cancer T3N0M0. The second one dealt with a woman, 50-years-old, with a rectal cancer complicated by a rectovaginal fistula. Questions covered the decision modality and the therapeutic choice. RESULTS: We received back 124 responses (67%). The decision modality was multidisciplinary for half of the surgeons. For the former case, the therapeutic choice fits with guidelines--radiotherapy followed by conservative surgery--for 69% of surgeons. For the latter case, more than half of the surgeons chose an association of radiotherapy-surgery-chemotherapy. Age appeared to be a limiting factor for a curative surgery. Surgeons therapeutics attitudes meet with changes in practice already observed in 1990, but 1/3 of surgeons still did not follow the guidelines. Chemotherapy was chosen while its efficacy has not been demonstrated. CONCLUSION: There is few overlapping between attitudes, and optimal surgical practices. Quality of surgery, in the art of debate, may improve thanks to the rulemaking of therapeutic decisions and thanks to the evolution of the state-of-the-art among multidisciplinary committees or professional networks.

[The handling of uncertainty in economic evaluations of health care strategies]. / Le traitement de l'incertitude dans les évaluations économiques de stratégies sanitaires.

BACKGROUND: The recent development of prospective economic evaluations in association with randomized controlled clinical trials has provided clinical and economic data allowing a statistical analysis of uncertainty. Pertinent comparison of alternative medical strategies in the cost-effectiveness analysis requires analysis of the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. In this work, we were interested in developing confidence regions of the cost-effectiveness ratio in order to take into consideration its uncertainty which creates a certain number of problems when the denominator approaches zero. Our objectives were to conduct a critical analysis of the different estimations used and examine their application in the decision making process. METHODS: There are two kinds of methods: those based on the density of the estimated ratio (Taylor method, parametric and non-parametric bootstrap methods such as percentile, percentile-t and bias-corrected and accelerated methods) and those based on the bivariate density of the variable pair: difference of average costs, difference of average effects (box method, ellipse method, and Fieller method). RESULTS: We showed that methods based on the density of the ratio become unstable and inapplicable when the statistical difference of average effects tends towards zero. In practice however, data often take on such a pattern. We give an example of an economic evaluation as an illustration. Bivariate density methods do not have this drawback. Moreover, the "mirror decision" phenomenon requires that the region of confidence be a directed single confidence sector for valid decision making. CONCLUSIONS: Uncertainty must be taken into account for all economic evaluations but the use of undirected confidence regions is inappropriate as a decision-making tool.