ChatGPT vs. neurologists: a cross-sectional study investigating preference, satisfaction ratings and perceived empathy in responses among people living with multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: ChatGPT is an open-source natural language processing software that replies to users' queries. We conducted a cross-sectional study to assess people living with Multiple Sclerosis' (PwMS) preferences, satisfaction, and empathy toward two alternate responses to four frequently-asked questions, one authored by a group of neurologists, the other by ChatGPT. METHODS: An online form was sent through digital communication platforms. PwMS were blind to the author of each response and were asked to express their preference for each alternate response to the four questions. The overall satisfaction was assessed using a Likert scale (1-5); the Consultation and Relational Empathy scale was employed to assess perceived empathy. RESULTS: We included 1133 PwMS (age, 45.26 ± 11.50 years; females, 68.49%). ChatGPT's responses showed significantly higher empathy scores (Coeff = 1.38; 95% CI = 0.65, 2.11; p > z < 0.01), when compared with neurologists' responses. No association was found between ChatGPT' responses and mean satisfaction (Coeff = 0.03; 95% CI = - 0.01, 0.07; p = 0.157). College graduate, when compared with high school education responder, had significantly lower likelihood to prefer ChatGPT response (IRR = 0.87; 95% CI = 0.79, 0.95; p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: ChatGPT-authored responses provided higher empathy than neurologists. Although AI holds potential, physicians should prepare to interact with increasingly digitized patients and guide them on responsible AI use. Future development should consider tailoring AIs' responses to individual characteristics. Within the progressive digitalization of the population, ChatGPT could emerge as a helpful support in healthcare management rather than an alternative.

Effect of siponimod on lymphocyte subsets in active secondary progressive multiple sclerosis and clinical implications.

BACKGROUND: Circulating immune cells play a pathogenic role in multiple sclerosis (MS). However, the role of specific lymphocyte subpopulations is not unveiled yet, especially in progressive stages. We aimed to investigate lymphocyte changes during siponimod treatment in active secondary progressive MS (aSPMS) and their associations with clinical outcomes. METHODS: We enrolled 46 aSPMS patients starting on siponimod treatment with at least 6 months of follow-up and two visits within the scheduled timeframes and 14 sex- and age-matched healthy controls (HCs). Clinical and laboratory data were collected retrospectively at baseline, 3rd, 6th, 12th, and 24th month for MS patients, and at baseline for HCs. RESULTS: At baseline SPMS patients presented with increased naïve regulatory T lymphocytes (p = 0.02) vs. HCs. Over time, SPMS patients showed decreased T CD4+ (coeff. range = -24/-17, 95% CI range = -31.60 to -10.40), B lymphocyte (coeff. range = -3.77/-2.54, 95% CI range = -6.02 to -0.35), memory regulatory B cells (coeff. range = -0.78/-0.57, 95% CI range = -1.24 to -0.17) and CD4/CD8 ratio (coeff. range = -4.44/-0.67, 95% CI range = -1.61 to -0.17) from month 3 thereafter vs. baseline, and reduced CD3+CD20+ lymphocytes from month 12 thereafter (coeff. range = -0.32/-0.24, 95% CI range = -0.59 to -0.03). Patients not experiencing disability progression while on siponimod treatment showed B lymphocyte reduction from month 3 (coeff. range = -4.23/-2.32, 95% CI range = -7.53 to -0.15) and CD3+CD20+ lymphocyte reduction from month 12 (coeff. range = -0.32/-0.24, 95% CI range = -0.59 to -0.03) vs. patients experiencing progression. CONCLUSIONS: Patients treated with siponimod showed a T and B lymphocyte reduction, especially CD4+, CD3+CD20+ and naïve regulatory T cells and memory regulatory B cells. Disability progression while on siponimod treatment was associated with a less pronounced effect on B and CD3+CD20+ lymphocytes.

Incidence and prevalence of dementia: A 2015-2020 population-based study in the Campania Region of Italy.

OBJECTIVE: To provide population-based estimates of prevalence and incidence of any dementia and Alzheimer's dementia in the Campania Region (South Italy), and to validate towards a clinical registry. METHODS: Population-based study, using routinely collected healthcare data of individuals living in the Campania Region (South Italy) from 2015 to 2020. We included individuals aged ≥65 years alive at the prevalence day (1 January 2021) who had at least one administrative record for dementia and/or Alzheimer's dementia from 2015 to 2020. Age-and sex-standardised prevalence rates were calculated using direct standardisation method (European population in 2020 as reference population). To estimate incidence, we tested three possible algorithms, which differed for the duration of the time interval between study baseline (Jan 1, 2015) and index date (first record for dementia and/or Alzheimer's dementia in administrative databases). We employed a clinical database for the validation of our algorithms towards neuropsychological test results. RESULTS: Among individuals aged over 65, 80,392 had dementia, of which 35,748 had Alzheimer's dementia. The age- and sex-standardized prevalence rates per 1,000 individuals for any dementia and Alzheimer's dementia were 77.64 (95%CI = 77.57; 77.68) and 34.05 (95%CI = 34.01; 34.09), respectively. There were 82.10 incident of any dementia cases per 100,000 per year (0.79 sensitivity and 0.62 specificity), and 59.89 incident cases of any dementia per 100,000 per year (0.80 sensitivity and 0.59 specificity). The capture-recapture method showed very low number of undetected cases (1.7% for any dementia and 3.0% for Alzheimer's dementia). Our algorithms showed acceptable performance with AUC ranging from 0.59 to 0.72, and double likelihood ratio of correctly identifying individuals above and below MMSE standard cut-offs (24 and 26). CONCLUSIONS: Prevalence and incidence of any dementia and Alzheimer's dementia in the Campania Region (South Italy) from 2015 to 2020 are in line with previous estimates from other countries. Our algorithm, integrating administrative and clinical data, holds potential for assessing dementia's epidemiological burden, identifying risk factors, planning healthcare access, and developing prevention strategies.

Utilization of Ocrelizumab within Different Treatment Strategies for Multiple Sclerosis: A 5-Year Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: We aim to provide up-to-date real-world evidence on the persistence, adherence, healthcare resource utilization, and costs of multiple sclerosis (MS) by comparing ocrelizumab to other disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) and within different DMT sequences. METHODS: We included 3371 people with MS who first received or switched DMT prescriptions from January 2018 to December 2022; they were identified through hospital discharge records, drug prescriptions, and exemption codes from the Campania Region (South Italy). We calculated persistence (time from the first prescription to discontinuation or switching to another DMT), adherence (proportion of days covered (PDC)), DMT costs, and MS hospital admissions and related costs. RESULTS: The most frequently prescribed DMT was dimethyl fumarate (n = 815; age 38.90 ± 11.91 years; 69.5% females), followed by ocrelizumab (n = 682; age 46.46 ± 11.29 years; 56.3%); 28.8% of the patients treated with ocrelizumab were naïve to DMTs. Using ocrelizumab as a statistical reference, the risk of discontinuation was higher for other highly active (HR = 6.32; 95%CI = 3.16, 12.63; p < 0.01) and low-/medium-efficacy DMTs (HR = 10.10; 95%CI = 5.10, 19.77; p < 0.01); adherence was lower for other highly active DMTs (Coeff = -0.07; 95%CI = -0.10, -0.04; p < 0.01) and low-/medium-efficacy DMTs (Coeff = -0.16; 95%CI = -0.19, -0.14; p < 0.01). monthly DMT costs were higher for other highly active DMTs (Coeff = 77.45; 95%CI = 29.36, 125.53; p < 0.01) but lower for low-/medium-efficacy DMTs (Coeff = -772.31; 95%CI = -816.95, -727.66; p < 0.01). The hospital admissions and related costs of MS were similar between ocrelizumab, other highly active DMTs, and other low-/medium-efficacy DMTs, and with ocrelizumab as the first-line DMT after other highly active DMTs and after low-/medium-efficacy DMTs, which was possibly due to the low number of observations. CONCLUSIONS: From 2018 to 2022, ocrelizumab was among the most frequently prescribed DMTs, with 28.8% prescriptions to incident MS patients, confirming its relevance in clinical practice. Ocrelizumab was associated with the highest persistence and adherence, pointing towards its favorable benefit-risk profile. The costs of ocrelizumab were lower than those of other highly active DMTs.

Integration of the expanded disability status scale with ambulation, visual and cognitive tests.

INTRODUCTION: The Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) is usually calculated through a neurological examination with self-reported performance. This may lead to incorrect assessment of Functional System scores (FSs). Aim of our study was to estimate the difference between EDSS obtained during routine visits, or after specific tests. METHODS: We enrolled 670 MS patients that underwent a regular neurology consultation, and visual evaluation using optotype tables, ambulation evaluation with a rodometer, and cognitive assessment with the Brief International Cognitive assessment for MS (BICAMS). We calculated a new integrated EDSS (iEDSS) using the refined values of the FS and compared it to the standard EDSS. RESULTS: Visual, cerebral and ambulation FSs were significantly higher compared with the self-reported counterpart [+ 1.169 (95%CI 1.077, 1.262; p < 0.001), + 0.727 (95%CI 0.653, 0.801; p < 0.001) and + 0.822 (95%CI 0.705, 0.939; p < 0.001), respectively]. Mean iEDSS was higher than EDSS (+ 0.642; p < 0.001). Visual acuity tests worsened the EDSS in 31% of cases, cognitive tests in 10%, ambulation measurement in 35%, all three measurements in 59% of cases. CONCLUSIONS: Objective measurement of FSs results in a more accurate EDSS score in almost two-thirds of cases. This could lead to a more thorough evaluation of patients in the transition or progressive phase.

Switching to ozanimod as a strategy to adjust fingolimod-related lymphopenia.

INTRODUCTION: Fingolimod is a disease-modifying therapy for multiple sclerosis (MS) that modulates sphingosine 1-phospate receptors, impeding the egress of lymphocytes from lymphnodes and thus causing lymphopenia. Severe lymphopenia should lead to fingolimod discontinuation. We aim to evaluate whether switching from fingolimod to ozanimod can adjust fingolimod-related lymphopenia while maintaining clinical efficacy. METHODS: In this real-world observational study, we included 18 people with MS (47.7 ± 7.6 years of age, 77.8 % of women, 13.9 ± 6.9 years of disease duration, median EDSS 3.0) at the time of fingolimod discontinuation due to lymphopenia. We collected laboratory (lymphocyte absolute count on the same hematological counter) and clinical variables at fingolimod discontinuation, at ozanimod prescription, and 6 months after ozanimod prescription. RESULTS: From 13 cases of grade 3 and 4 lymphopenia at the time of fingolimod discontinuation, we observed only 2 cases of grade 3 and no cases of grade 4 lymphopenia after 6 months of ozanimod treatment. On paired t-tests, absolute lymphocyte count at fingolimod discontinuation were lower than ozanimod prescription (p<0.001), and after 6 months (p<0.001). We observed no clinical changes. DISCUSSION: People with MS who have severe fingolimod-related lymphopenia and are clinically stable, can exhibit increased absolute lymphocyte counts when switched to ozanimod, while preserving clinical stability.

SARS-CoV-2 vaccination and multiple sclerosis: a large multicentric study on relapse risk after the third booster dose.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 vaccines have been recommended to people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) and, to ensure durable immunity, a third booster dose has been administered in several countries. Data about potential risks associated with the third booster dose in pwMS, such as vaccine-triggered disease exacerbations, are still scarce. OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether the administration of a third booster dose of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines was associated with an increased risk of short-term disease reactivation in a large cohort of pwMS. METHODS: We retrospectively selected 1265 pwMS who received a third booster dose of an mRNA COVID-19 vaccine. Demographic and clinical data were collected, including the presence, number and characteristics of relapses in the 60 days prior to and after the third booster dose. RESULTS: In the selected cohort, the relapse rate in the two months after administration of the third booster dose of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines did not increase when compared with the prior two months. Indeed, the percentage of pwMS experiencing relapses in the 60 days following the administration of the third booster dose was 2.1%, similar to the percentage recorded in 60 days prior to vaccination, which was 1.9%. CONCLUSIONS: The third booster dose of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines appeared to be safe for pwMS.

Low serum 25­hydroxy-vitamin D levels are associated with cognitive impairment in multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive impairment frequently affects people with multiple sclerosis (MS). Low vitamin D has been associated with cognitive dysfunction in different neurodegenerative diseases, and, in MS, with motor disability and disease activity. We aim to investigate associations between vitamin D and cognitive status in MS. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, we included 181 MS patients, recruited consecutively at the MS Unit of the Policlinico Federico II University Hospital of Naples, Italy, between January and April 2022, with serum 25­hydroxy (25-OH) vitamin D measurements using Chemiluminescence-ImmunoAssay, and cognitive assessment using the Brief International Cognitive Assessment for MS (BICAMS), which includes Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT), California Verbal Learning Test-II (CVLT-II) and Brief Visuospatial Memory Test-Revised (BVMT-R). We collected demographics (age, sex, education), and clinical variables (disease duration, disease subtype, expanded disability status scale (EDSS), disease modifying treatment, relapses in previous 12 months, vitamin D supplementation, comorbidities). For a subset of patients (n = 41, 23.2% of the total sample), we collected Beck Depression Inventory-II, Beck Anxiety Inventory, and Modified Fatigue Impact Scale. RESULTS: At univariable linear regression models, serum 25-OH-vitamin D levels were 0.9 ng/mL higher for each unit increase of SDMT adjusted scores (Coeff=0.93; 95%CI=0.81, 1.04; p<0.01), 0.7 ng/mL higher for each unit increase of CVLT-II adjusted scores (Coeff=0.68; 95%CI=0.53, 0.83; p<0. 01), 0.6 ng/mL higher for each unit increase of BVMT-R adjusted scores (Coeff=0.58; 95%CI=0.43, 0.73; p<0.01), -9.63 ng/mL lower for each impaired BICAMS test (Coeff=-9.63; 95%CI=-11.48, -7.79; p<0.01), and -2.2 ng/mL lower for each unit increase of EDSS (Coeff=-2.16; 95%CI=-3.57, -0.75; p<0.01). At multivariable linear regression models, we confirmed associations between 25-OH-vitamin D and EDSS (Coeff=-2.09; 95%CI=-4.45, -0.43; p<0.01), SDMT (Coeff=0.75; 95%CI=0.60, 0.90; p<0.01), and CVLT-II (Coeff=0.14; 95%CI=0.01, 0.28; p = 0. 04). Results remained unchanged when including depression, anxiety and fatigue scores. CONCLUSIONS: Lower serum 25-OH-vitamin D was associated with worse cognitive function in MS. Future studies should consider longitudinal variations in cognitive function in relation to vitamin D supplementation.

Do the current MS clinical course descriptors need to change and if so how? A survey of the MS community.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The current clinical course descriptors of multiple sclerosis (MS) include a combination of clinical and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features. Recently there has been a growing call to base these descriptors more firmly on biological mechanisms. We investigated the implications of proposing a new mechanism-driven framework for describing MS. METHODS: In a web-based survey, multiple stakeholders rated the need to change current MS clinical course descriptors, the definitions of disease course and their value in clinical practice and related topics. RESULTS: We received 502 responses across 49 countries. In all, 77% of the survey respondents supported changing the current MS clinical course descriptors. They preferred a framework that informs treatment decisions, aids the design and conduct of clinical trials, allows patients to understand their disease, and links disease mechanisms and clinical expression of disease. Clinical validation before dissemination and ease of communication to patients were rated as the most important aspects to consider when developing any new framework for describing MS. CONCLUSION: A majority of MS stakeholders agreed that the current MS clinical course descriptors need to change. Any change process will need to engage a wide range of affected stakeholders and be guided by foundational principles.

Impact of COVID-19 and system recovery in delivering healthcare to people with multiple sclerosis: a population-based Study.

BACKGROUND: COVID-19 pandemic has affected the management of multiple sclerosis (MS). OBJECTIVE: To explore the impact of COVID-19 on healthcare delivery to people with MS and the subsequent recovery of the system. METHODS: In this population-based study in the Campania Region (Italy), we included people with MS across pre-COVID-19, lockdown, pre-vaccination, and vaccination periods. Differences in continuous outcomes between periods were explored using linear mixed models (annualized hospitalization rate (AHR) and adherence measured as medication possession ratio (MPR)). Differences in disease-modifying treatment (DMT) prescription rates (first DMT prescription, any DMT switch, switch from platform to highly effective DMT, and combination of first DMT prescription and any DMT switch) were assessed using an interrupted time series design. RESULTS: Compared with pre-COVID-19, AHR decreased during the lockdown (Coeff = 0.64;95%CI = -0.69, -0.59; p < 0.01), and remained lower during pre-vaccination and vaccination periods. Adherence decreased during pre-vaccination (Coeff = -0.04;95%CI = -0.05, -0.03; p < 0.01) and vaccination periods (Coeff = -0.07;95%CI = -0.08, -0.07; p < 0.01). After the lockdown, there was an increase in any DMT switch (IRR 2.05 95%CI 1.38,3.05; p < 0.01), in switch from platform to highly effective DMTs (IRR 4.45;95%CI 2.48,8.26; p < 0.01) and in first DMT prescriptions (IRR 2.48;95%CI 1.64,3.74; p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: DMT prescriptions quickly returned to pre-pandemic levels, reflecting good health system recovery. However, adherence has remained lower than the past, as from suboptimal care. Assessing long-term COVID-19 impact on MS healthcare is warranted.

Google Maps Timeline: An open-access digital tool to monitor walking abilities in people with multiple sclerosis.

Introduction: Gait impairment is common in multiple sclerosis (MS), but difficult to evaluate in clinical practice. In this proof-of-concept observational study, we compared walking ability recorded by Google Maps Timeline to conventional clinical measures in people with MS. Methods: We used open-access Google Maps Timeline to record the total number of days with walking activity, walking distance, walking time, and walking speed. Each Google Maps Timeline variable was included in a different stepwise linear regression model including all conventional clinical variables. Results: We included nine people with MS (age 43.1 ± 6.6 years; females 55.6%; disease duration 12.7 ± 3.1 years; median Expanded Disability Status Scale 3.0 (range 1.0-5.5)). Higher percentage of days with recorded walking was associated with lower Fatigue Severity Scale (p = 0.01), and higher MS Walking Scale (p = 0.04). Longer average daily walking distance was associated with shorter Timed-25 Foot Walking Test (p = 0.02), lower Expanded Disability Status Scale (p = 0.01), and higher Euro-Quality of Life (p = 0.04). Longer average daily walking time was associated with shorter Timed-25 Foot Walking Test (p = 0.03). Higher walking speed was associated with lower Fatigue Severity Scale (p = 0.04). Conclusion: Google Maps Timeline parameters provide actual estimates of daily walking activities in MS.

Exploring the relation between reserve and fatigue in multiple sclerosis.

INTRODUCTION: Intellectual enrichment and brain reserve modulate the expression of cognitive and motor disability in multiple sclerosis (MS). Their association with fatigue, one of the most debilitating and common symptoms of MS, has never been explored. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Forty-eight MS patients underwent clinical and MRI examination at baseline and after 1 year. Physical and cognitive MS-related fatigue were evaluated via Modified Fatigue Impact subscales (MFIS-P and MFIS-C). Differences in reserve indexes between fatigued and non-fatigued patients were tested. The relationship between clinico-demographic features, global brain structural damage, indexes of reserve (age-adjusted intracranial volume and cognitive reserve index) and fatigue were tested via correlations and hierarchical linear/binary logistic regression, to predict MFIS-P and MFIS-C (at baseline) or new-onset fatigue and meaningful worsening in MFIS (at follow-up). RESULTS: At baseline, although a significant difference was identified for cognitive reserve questionnaire between fatigued and non-fatigued patients (18.19 ± 4.76 versus 15.15 ± 3.56, p = 0.015), only depression accounted for significant variance in MFIS-P and MFIS-C (R2=0.248, p = 0.002; R2=0.252, p<0.001). MFIS-T, MFIS-P and MFIS-C changes over time were associated to depression changes over time (r = 0.56, r = 0.55, and r = 0.57, respectively; all p<0.001). Indexes of reserve did not differ between non-fatigued patients and patients developing new-onset fatigue at follow-up. None of the baseline features was able to predict the new-onset fatigue or meaningful worsening in MFIS at follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Among the explored features, only depression was strongly associated to both physical and cognitive fatigue. Intellectual enrichment and brain reserve did not seem to affect fatigue symptoms in MS patients.

Corrigendum: A two-year longitudinal study of retinal vascular impairment in patients with amnestic mild cognitive impairment.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fnagi.2022.993621.].

Fertility, pregnancy and childbirth in women with multiple sclerosis: a population-based study from 2018 to 2020.

BACKGROUND: We aim to evaluate whether fertility, pregnancy, delivery and breastfeeding have been actually improving in women with multiple sclerosis (MS), compared with general population, and in relation to treatment features. METHODS: We included 2018-2020 population-level healthcare data on women with MS living in the Campania region (Italy). Fertility, pregnancy and delivery outcomes were obtained from Certificate of Delivery Assistance; breastfeeding was collected up to 6 months after delivery by trained personnel. RESULTS: Out of 2748 women with MS in childbearing age, 151 women delivered 156 babies. Fertility rate was 0.58 live births per woman with MS, compared with 1.29 in Campania region and 1.25 in Italy. Disease-modifying treatment (DMT) continuation during pregnancy was associated with lower birth weight (coeff -107.09; 95% CI -207.91 to -6.26; p=0.03). Exposure to DMTs with unknown/negative effects on pregnancy was associated with birth defects (OR 8.88; 95% CI 1.35 to 58.41; p=0.02). Birth defects occurred in pregnancies exposed to dimethyl fumarate (2/21 exposed pregnancies), fingolimod (1/11 exposed pregnancies) and natalizumab (2/30 exposed pregnancies). After delivery, 18.8% of women with MS were escalated of DMT efficacy, while 50.7% started on same/similar-efficacy DMTs, and 30.5% did not receive DMT. The probability of breastfeeding was higher in women who were treated with breastfeeding-safe DMTs (OR 5.57; 95% CI 1.09 to 28.55; p=0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Fertility rate in women with MS remains below the general population. Family planning and subsequent DMT decisions should aim to achieve successful pregnancy, delivery and breastfeeding outcomes, while controlling disease activity.

Sexual Dysfunction in People with Multiple Sclerosis: The Role of Disease Severity, Illness Perception, and Depression.

Despite being a common issue in people with multiple sclerosis (pwMS), sexual dysfunction is still underinvestigated. This work aims to assess the potential determinants of sexual dysfunction in pwMS by considering its relationship with disease severity (in terms of global disability), illness perception, and depressive symptoms. In this multicenter study, 1010 pwMS responded to an online survey. A serial mediation model considering negative illness perception and depressive symptoms as mediators of the relationship between disease severity and sexual dysfunction was conducted using the SPSS PROCESS Macro with bias-corrected bootstrapping (5000 samples). Disease severity exerts an indirect effect on sexual dysfunction via illness perception, both independently and through depressive symptoms. However, the results indicated that illness perception plays a more crucial role in sexual dysfunction in pwMS with mild disability than in pwMS with moderate-severe disability. This study suggests that higher disability increases its magnitude by enhancing negative illness perception, that, in turn, affects sexual dysfunction both directly and through depressive symptoms, especially in pwMS with mild disability. Modulating the effect of illness perception by favoring adaptive coping strategies might represent a valid approach to mitigate sexual dysfunction symptoms in MS.

Epidemiology of multiple sclerosis in the Campania Region (Italy): Derivation and validation of an algorithm to calculate the 2015-2020 incidence.

OBJECTIVE: We aim to validate an algorithm based on routinely-collected healthcare data to detect incidence of multiple sclerosis (MS) in the Campania Region (South Italy) and to explore its spatial and temporal variations. METHODS: We included individuals resident in the Campania Region who had at least one MS record in administrative datasets (drug prescriptions, hospital discharge, outpatients), from 2015 to 2020. We merged administrative to the clinical datasets to ascertain the actual date of diagnosis, and validated the minimum interval from our study baseline (Jan 1, 2015) to first MS records in administrative datasets to detect incident cases. We used Bayesian approach to explore geographical distribution, also including deprivation index as a covariate in the estimation model. We used the capture-recapture method to estimate the proportion of undetected cases. RESULTS: The best performance was achieved by the 12-month interval algorithm, detecting 2,150 incident MS cases, with 74.4% sensitivity (95%CI = 64.1%, 85.9%) and 95.3% specificity (95%CI = 90.7%, 99.8%). The cumulative incidence was 36.68 (95%CI = 35.15, 38.26) per 100,000 from 2016 to 2020. The mean annual incidence was 7.34 (95%CI = 7.03, 7.65) per 100,000 people-year. The geographical distribution of MS relative risk shows a decreasing east-west incidence gradient. The number of expected MS cases was 11% higher than the detected cases. CONCLUSIONS: We validated a case-finding algorithm based on administrative data to estimate MS incidence, and its spatial/temporal variations. This algorithm provides up-to-date estimates of MS incidence, and will be used in future studies to evaluate changes in MS incidence in relation to different risk factors.

Multiple sclerosis progression: time for a new mechanism-driven framework.

Traditionally, multiple sclerosis has been categorised by distinct clinical descriptors-relapsing-remitting, secondary progressive, and primary progressive-for patient care, research, and regulatory approval of medications. Accumulating evidence suggests that the clinical course of multiple sclerosis is better considered as a continuum, with contributions from concurrent pathophysiological processes that vary across individuals and over time. The apparent evolution to a progressive course reflects a partial shift from predominantly localised acute injury to widespread inflammation and neurodegeneration, coupled with failure of compensatory mechanisms, such as neuroplasticity and remyelination. Ageing increases neural susceptibility to injury and decreases resilience. These observations encourage a new consideration of the course of multiple sclerosis as a spectrum defined by the relative contributions of overlapping pathological and reparative or compensatory processes. New understanding of key mechanisms underlying progression and measures to quantify progressive pathology will potentially have important and beneficial implications for clinical care, treatment targets, and regulatory decision-making.