Efficacy of Pharmacotherapy for Seasonal Influenza in Young and Middle-aged Adults: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-analysis.

Background Seasonal influenza affects healthcare demand. However, the efficacy of anti-influenza drugs, particularly among young patients at a low risk of complications, has rarely been evaluated. Therefore, we evaluated the efficacy of anti-influenza drugs against seasonal influenza in healthy young and middle-aged adults. Methods A systematic review and network meta-analysis were conducted. The Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online were searched for original articles reporting double-blind, randomized controlled trials published up to the end of July 2023. Clinical trials that tested the efficacy of anti-influenza drugs in young and middle-aged patients with seasonal influenza were also included. The primary outcome was time to fever alleviation. The efficacy and adverse effects of these treatments were estimated using a Bayesian hierarchical random-effects model and a Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation. Results In total, 24 articles with 34 treatments and 8,949 individuals were included. Oseltamivir (300 mg/day for 5 days) showed the largest reduction in time to fever alleviation by -19.1 (95% confidence interval [CI]: -29.4, -10.7) h compared with a placebo. Baloxavir marboxil (40 mg/day) reduced the time to symptom alleviation by -28.2 (95% CI: -42.7, -13.7) h, and peramivir (300 mg/day) administered by intravenous infusion for 1 day reduced the time to resumption of usual activities by -43.5 (95% CI: -72.8, -14.2) h. Conclusion Several pharmaceutical treatments were able to reduce the recovery time for fever and symptom alleviation and resumption of usual activities in young and middle-aged adults with seasonal influenza without increasing the risk of complications.

Pre-Extubation Cuffed Tube Leak Test and Subsequent Post-Extubation Laryngeal Edema: Prospective, Single-Center Evaluation of PICU Patients.

OBJECTIVES: We performed our standard air leak, leak percentage, and cuff leak percentage tests in pediatric patients intubated with microcuff pediatric tracheal tubes (MPTTs) just before extubation. We examined the association between test findings and the subsequent occurrence of post-extubation laryngeal edema (PLE). DESIGN: Prospective, single-center, observational study. SETTING: PICU (June 1, 2020 to May 31, 2021). PATIENTS: Pediatric patients intubated and scheduled for extubation during the day shift in the PICU. INTERVENTIONS: Multiple pre-extubation leak tests were performed on each patient immediately before extubation. In our center, the standard leak test is positive if a leak is audible at 30 cm H 2 O applied pressure with the MPTT cuff deflated. Two other tests were calculated in the pressure control-assist control ventilator mode using the following formulas: leak percentage with deflated cuff = (inspiratory tidal volume [V t ]-expiratory V t ) × 100/inspiratory V t ; cuff leak percentage = (expiratory V t with inflated cuff-expiratory V t with deflated cuff) × 100/expiratory V t with inflated cuff. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The diagnostic criteria for PLE was made by at least two healthcare professionals and included upper airway stricture with stridor-requiring nebulized epinephrine. Eighty-five pediatric patients (< 15 yr) who had been intubated for at least 12 hours using the MPTT were included. Positive rates for the standard leak, leak percentage (cutoff 10%), and cuff leak percentage (cutoff 10%) tests were 0.27, 0.20, and 0.64, respectively. The standard leak, leak percentage, and cuff leak tests showed sensitivities of 0.36, 0.27, and 0.55, respectively; and specificities of 0.74, 0.81, and 0.35, respectively. PLE occurred in 11 of 85 patients (13%), and there were no instances of needing reintubation. CONCLUSIONS: The pre-extubation leak tests in current practice for intubated pediatric patients in the PICU all lack diagnostic accuracy for PLE.

Intravenous methylprednisolone pulse therapy and the risk of in-hospital mortality among acute COVID-19 patients: Nationwide clinical cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Steroids are widely used to modulate the inflammatory reactions associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); however, the optimal upper limit dose of steroid use for acute COVID-19 care remains unclear and currently available data may suffer from a time-dependent bias of no effectiveness or reversed causation given the desperate situation of treatment during this pandemic. Accordingly, the aim of this study was to elucidate the impact of intravenous pulse therapy with methylprednisolone (500 mg or greater per day) on the risk of in-hospital mortality among patients with COVID-19 by controlling for time-dependent bias. METHODS: We performed a prospective cohort study with 67,348 hospitalised acute COVID-19 patients at 438 hospitals during 2020-2021 in Japan. The impact of intravenous methylprednisolone pulse therapy on the risk of in-hospital mortality was examined based on hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs), with stratification according to the status of invasive mechanical ventilation (iMV). Time-dependent bias was controlled for in a marginal structural model analysis, with reference to patients without methylprednisolone therapy. RESULTS: During the study period, 2400 patients died. In-hospital mortality rates of iMV-free patients without or with methylprednisolone pulse therapy were 2.3% and 19.5%, and the corresponding values for iMV-receiving patients were 24.7% and 28.6%, respectively. The marginal structural model analysis showed that intravenous pulse therapy with methylprednisolone was associated with a lower risk of in-hospital mortality among patients receiving-iMV (HR 0.59; 95% CI 0.52-0.68). In contrast, pulse therapy with methylprednisolone increased the risk of in-hospital mortality among iMV-free patients (HR 3.38; 95% CI 3.02-3.79). The benefits of pulse therapy for iMV-receiving patients were greater than in those treated with intermediate/higher doses (40-250 mg intravenously) of methylprednisolone (HR 0.80; 95% CI 0.71-0.89). CONCLUSION: The results of our study suggest that intravenous methylprednisolone showed dose-response efficiencies, and pulse therapy may benefit critically ill patients with acute COVID-19, such as those requiring iMV.

Association between hospital internal medicine physician workforce and patient admissions during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Hospital physician workforce in Japan is the lowest among developed countries. Many patients with novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) with high risk of mortality could not be hospitalized during case surges in Japan and only about 5% of total acute care beds were used as COVID-19 beds nationwide. However, the relationship between the number of hospital physicians and patient admissions remains unclear. Thus, we aimed to evaluate this relationship in areas with the highest incidences during the surges. METHODS: Data collection was performed for teaching hospitals accredited with the specialty of internal medicine in three prefectures which experienced the highest COVID-19 incidences in Japan (Tokyo, Osaka, Okinawa). Association was examined between the number of full-time physicians (internal medicine staff physicians and residents) and admissions of internal medicine patients through ambulance transport from April 2020 to March 2021. Analysis was conducted separately for community hospitals and university hospitals because the latter have roles as research institutions in Japan. Community hospitals included private, public, and semi-public hospitals. RESULTS: Of 117 teaching hospitals in three prefectures, data from 108 teaching hospitals (83 community hospitals and 25 university hospitals) were available. A total of 102,400 internal medicine patients were admitted to these hospitals during the one-year period. Private hospitals received the greatest mean number of patient admissions (290 per 100 beds), followed by public hospitals (227) and semi-public hospitals (201), and university hospitals (94). Among community hospitals, a higher number of resident physicians per 100 beds was significantly associated with a greater number of patient admissions per 100 beds with beta coefficient of 11.6 (95% CI, 1.5 to 21.2, p = 0.025) admissions by one physician increase per 100 beds. There was no such association among university hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: Community hospitals with many resident physicians accepted more internal medicine admissions through ambulance transport during the COVID-19 pandemic. An effective policy to counter physician shortage in hospitals in Japan may be to increase internal medicine resident physicians among community hospitals to save more lives.

Long-term Weight Loss as a Predictor of Mortality in Hemodialysis Patients.

BACKGROUND: Serial weight decrease can be a prognostic predictor in chronic hemodialysis (HD) patients. We investigated the impact of long-term post-HD body weight (BW) changes on all-cause mortality among HD patients. METHODS: This longitudinal cohort study and post-hoc analysis evaluated participants of a previous randomized controlled trial conducted between 2006 and 2011 who were followed up until 2018. Weight change slopes were generated with repeated measurements every 6 months during the trial for patients having ≥5 BW measurements. Participants were categorized into four groups based on quartiles of weight change slopes; the median weight changes per 6 months were -1.02 kg, -0.25 kg, +0.26 kg, and +0.86 kg for first, second, third, and fourth quartile, respectively. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to evaluate differences in subsequent survival among the four groups. BW trajectories were plotted with a backward time-scale and multilevel regression analysis to visualize the difference in BW trajectories between survivors and non-survivors. RESULTS: Among the 461 patients, 404 were evaluated, and 168 (41.6%) died within a median follow-up period of 10.2 years. The Cox proportional hazard regression adjusted for covariates and baseline BW showed that a higher rate of weight loss was associated with higher mortality. The hazard ratios were 2.02 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.28-3.20), 1.77 (95% CI, 1.10-2.85), 1.00 (reference), and 1.11 (95% CI, 0.67-1.83) for the first, second, third (reference), and fourth quartiles, respectively. BW trajectories revealed a significant decrease in BW in non-survivors. CONCLUSION: Weight loss elucidated via serial BW measurements every 6 months is significantly associated with higher mortality among HD patients.

Risk Factors of Preterm Birth in Okinawa Prefecture, the Southernmost Island Prefecture of Japan.

OBJECTIVES: A high rate of preterm birth has been reported in Okinawa Prefecture, the southernmost island prefecture of Japan. Hence, this study aimed to identify the risk factors for preterm birth in this prefecture. METHODS: This retrospective study included data from January 2013 to December 2019 from three facilities in Okinawa Prefecture. Of 13,468 cases of preterm birth at ≥ 22 weeks of gestation, 11,868 were included in this study. Stillbirth and multiparity cases were excluded. First, we compared the overall preterm and full-term birth groups by categorizing the patient background, obstetric, and fetal risk factors. Further, we categorized preterm births into three groups (22-27, 28-33, and 34-36 weeks of gestation) and examined patient background factors to identify potential risk factors for the occurrence of preterm birth in each group. RESULTS: Preterm births accounted for 21.2% (2,521 cases) of all cases, with the rates of 2.6% (317 cases), 6.7% (800 cases), and 11.8% (1,404 cases) at 22-27, 28-33, and 34-36 weeks of gestation, respectively. To prevent preterm birth in Okinawa Prefecture, the present study specifically focused on patient background characteristics. In the multinomial logistic regression, the risk factors for preterm birth at 22-27 weeks of gestation were previous preterm birth (P < 0.0001) and lower age (P = 0.026); at 28-33 weeks of gestation, the risk factors were previous preterm birth (P < 0.0001) and history of cervical conization (P = 0.009); and at 34-36 weeks of gestation, only previous preterm birth (P < 0.0001) was a risk factor. CONCLUSIONS FOR PRACTICE: Previous preterm birth, younger age, and history of cervical conization were risk factors for Preterm birth in Okinawa. To reduce premature births in Okinawa Prefecture, it is important to pick up women with these risk factors and provide them with appropriate guidance and education on an ongoing basis.

Prevalence and characteristics of antibiotic prescription for acute COVID-19 patients in Japan.

COVID-19 is a viral infection and does not require antibiotics. The study aimed to elucidate a prescribing pattern of antibiotics for COVID-19. A nationwide cross-sectional study was conducted in Japan. The Diagnosis and Procedure Combinations (DPC) data was used to collect information, covering 25% of all acute care hospitals in the country. In 140,439 COVID-19 patients, 18,550 (13.21%) patients received antibiotics. Antibiotics were prescribed more often in inpatients (10,809 out of 66,912, 16.15%) than outpatients (7741 out of 73,527, 10.53%) (p < 0.001). Outpatient prescription was significantly associated with older patients (odds ratio [OR], 4.66; 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.41-4.93) and a greater Charlson index (OR with one-point index increase, 1.22; 95% CI 1.21-1.23). Inpatient prescription was significantly associated with older patients (OR 2.10; 95% CI 2.01-2.21), male gender (OR 1.12, 95% CI 1.07-1.18), a greater Charlson index (OR with one-point increase, 1.06; 95% CI 1.05-1.07), requirement of oxygen therapy (OR 3.44; 95% CI 3.28-3.60) and mechanical ventilation (OR 15.09; 95% CI 13.60-16.74). The most frequently prescribed antibiotic among outpatients was cefazolin, while that among inpatients was ceftriaxone. Antibiotic prescription is relatively low for acute COVID-19 in Japan. Antibiotic prescription was associated with older age, multi-morbidity, severe disease, and winter season.

Effects of Electrocardiographic Monitoring Education on Nurses' Confidence and Psychological Stress: An Online Cross-Sectional Survey in Japan.

We aimed to investigate the association between nurses' electrocardiographic (ECG) monitoring education and their confidence and psychological stress regarding ECG monitoring. In 2019, a web-based cross-sectional study was conducted among Japanese nurses. A multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the effects of education on nurses' confidence and psychological stress regarding ECG monitoring. In total, 1652 nurses were included in the study. Factors significantly associated with nurses' confidence were post-graduate education experience (odds ratio [OR], 2.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.6-3.6), ≥11 post-graduate years (OR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.5-3.1), male gender (OR, 4.4; 95% CI, 2.9-6.6), ≥5 helpful experiences with ECG monitoring (OR, 10.7; 95% CI, 6.0-19.1), work experience in an intensive care unit (OR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.5-3.7), and work experience in a cardiology department (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.4). Factors significantly associated with nurses' psychological stress were male gender (OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2-2.9), ≥5 helpful experiences with ECG monitoring (OR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2-2.9), and work experience in an emergency room (OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.3-4.8). These results suggest that nurses' post-graduate ECG monitoring education enhanced their confidence, but did not reduce psychological stress regarding ECG monitoring.

Blood pressure, frailty status, and all-cause mortality in elderly hypertensives; The Nambu Cohort Study.

Antihypertensive therapy is pivotal for reducing cardiovascular events. The 2019 Guidelines for the Management of Hypertension set a target blood pressure (BP) of <140/90 mmHg for persons older than 75 years of age. Optimal BP levels for older persons with frailty, however, are controversial because evidence for the relationship between BP level and prognosis by frailty status is limited. Here, we evaluated the relationship between systolic BP and frailty status with all-cause mortality in ambulatory older hypertensive patients using data from the Nambu Cohort study. A total of 535 patients (age 78 [70-84] years, 51% men, 37% with frailty) were prospectively followed for a mean duration of 41 (34-43) months. During the follow-up period, 49 patients died. Mortality rates stratified by systolic BP and frailty status were lowest in patients with systolic BP < 140 mmHg and non-frailty, followed by those with systolic BP ≥ 140 mmHg and non-frailty. Patients with frailty had the highest mortality regardless of the BP level. The adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of each category for all-cause mortality were as follows: ≥140 mmHg/Non-frailty 3.19 (1.12-11.40), <140 mmHg/Frailty 4.72 (1.67-16.90), and ≥140 mmHg/Frailty 3.56 (1.16-13.40) compared with <140 mmHg/Non-frailty as a reference. These results indicated that frail patients have a poor prognosis regardless of their BP levels. Non-frail patients, however, with systolic BP levels <140 mmHg had a better prognosis. Frailty may be a marker to differentiate patients who are likely to gain benefit from antihypertensive medication among older hypertensives.

The association between frailty and chronic kidney disease; cross-sectional analysis of the Nambu Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Both frailty and chronic kidney disease (CKD) increase with age and share many similarities. Many studies have demonstrated an association between frailty and chronic kidney disease (CKD), but an association with dipstick proteinuria is limited. METHODS: This is the cross-sectional analysis of the Nambu Cohort Study at the beginning of observation. Frailty was diagnosed using Kihon Checklist. Logistic analysis was used to evaluate the association between frailty and CKD or dipstick proteinuria. RESULTS: Among a total of 630 outpatients [age, 78 (70-84) years, men, 50%], the prevalence of patients with pre-frailty and frailty was 32% and 40%, respectively. The proportion of patients with pre-frailty and frailty increased with decreasing estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and increasing dipstick proteinuria levels. The odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) for CKD stage of 60 < eGFR ≤ 45 ml/min/1.73 m2, and 45 ml/min/1.73 m2 < eGFR for frailty was 0.87 (0.56-1.35) and 2.54 (1.46-4.53), respectively, compared with non-CKD as a reference. Furthermore, the odds ratios for the frailty of dipstick proteinuria with ± and + or over were 1.36 (0.88-2.09) and 1.78 (1.00-3.17), respectively, when dipstick proteinuria-was used as a reference. Moreover, the combination of eGFR and dipstick proteinuria levels increased the odds ratio for pre-frailty and frailty. CONCLUSION: Elderly patients with CKD had a higher prevalence of pre-frailty and frailty. By adding urinary protein information to eGFR, the link between CKD and frailty becomes even more robust.

Predictors of Survival in Chronic Hemodialysis Patients: A 10-Year Longitudinal Follow-Up Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Risk factors of mortality in chronic hemodialysis patients have not yet been sufficiently evaluated. In particular, chronological transits and interactions of the impact of risk factors have rarely been described. METHODS: This study is a post hoc analysis of the participants in the Olme-sartan Clinical Trial in Okinawan Patients under OKIDS (OCTOPUS) study conducted between June 2006 and June 2011. We additionally followed up on the prognosis of the participants until July 31, 2018. Standardized univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the influences of the participants' baseline characteristics on all-cause mortality. We also evaluated chronological changes in the impacts of risk factors, interactions among predictors, and the influence of missing values using sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: Of the 469 original trial participants, 461 participants were evaluated. The median time of follow-up was 10.2 years. A total of 211 (45.8%) participants were deceased. The leading causes of death were infection (n = 72, 34.1%) and cardiovascular disease (n = 66, 31.3%). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that the impact of diabetes mellitus, history of coronary intervention, and hypoalbuminemia were significant risk factors for mortality during the whole follow-up period. During the early follow-up period (≤3 years), standardized univariate Cox regression analyses revealed that history of amputation (hazard ratio [HR] = 4.61, p < 0.001), lower dry weight, higher cardiothoracic ratio, and lower potassium levels were statistically significant risks. In those who survived for longer than 3 years, a history of stroke (HR = 1.73, p = 0.006), higher systolic blood pressure, lower serum sodium levels, and higher levels of hemoglobin, and serum phosphate were significant risks. We also observed a stable interaction between the impacts of serum phosphate and albumin on all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: In chronic hemodialysis patients, targets to improve the short-term prognosis and long-term prognosis are not equivalent. Hyperphosphatemia was a significant risk factor for the all-cause mortality among patients with normal serum albumin levels but not among patients with compromised albumin levels.

Frequency of night shift and menstrual cycle characteristics in Japanese nurses working under two or three rotating shifts.

OBJECTIVES: In Japan, the prevalence of irregular menstrual cycles and its association with the frequency of night shifts have scarcely assessed. The present study aimed to evaluate the relationship between irregular menstrual cycles and the frequency of night shifts in Japanese female nurses. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional web-based self-administered questionnaire survey in 2019. An irregular menstrual cycle was defined as a cycle length of ≤21 days or ≥39 days at least a few times over the past year or amenorrhea for at least 3 months. We used Poison regression analysis with a robust error variance to calculate the prevalence ratios adjusted for age, body mass index, hospital size, and the department in which they worked. RESULTS: A total of 1249 women were included, and 679 (54.4%) and 195 (15.6%) of them worked under two and three rotating shifts. The prevalence of irregular menstrual cycles was 24.8%, 37.4%, and 35.9% in the no night, two rotating, and three rotating shifts groups, respectively. While the frequency of night shifts had a dose-responsive relationship with irregular menstrual cycles in the two rotating shifts group, it was not observed in the three rotating shifts group. However, the risk of work getting affected by dysmenorrhea or premenstrual symptoms increased in the three rotating shifts group. CONCLUSIONS: Over 30% of Japanese female nurses working under night shifts had irregular menstrual cycles. The high frequency of night shifts increased the risk of irregular menstrual cycles and secondary amenorrhea in the two rotating shifts group.

Malnutrition, Critical Illness Survivors, and Postdischarge Outcomes: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: We hypothesized that preexisting malnutrition in patients who survived critical care would be associated with adverse outcomes following hospital discharge. METHODS: We performed an observational cohort study in 1 academic medical center in Boston. We studied 23,575 patients, aged ≥18 years, who received critical care between 2004 and 2011 and survived hospitalization. RESULTS: The exposure of interest was malnutrition determined at intensive care unit (ICU) admission by a registered dietitian using clinical judgment and on data related to unintentional weight loss, inadequate nutrient intake, and wasting of muscle mass and/or subcutaneous fat. The primary outcome was 90-day postdischarge mortality. Secondary outcome was unplanned 30-day hospital readmission. Adjusted odds ratios were estimated by logistic regression models adjusted for age, race, sex, Deyo-Charlson Index, surgical ICU, sepsis, and acute organ failure. In the cohort, the absolute risk of 90-day postdischarge mortality was 5.9%, 11.7%, 15.8%, and 21.9% in patients without malnutrition, those at risk of malnutrition, nonspecific malnutrition, and protein-energy malnutrition, respectively. The odds of 90-day postdischarge mortality in patients at risk of malnutrition, nonspecific malnutrition, and protein-energy malnutrition fully adjusted were 1.77 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23-2.54), 2.51 (95% CI, 1.36-4.62), and 3.72 (95% CI, 2.16-6.39), respectively, relative to patients without malnutrition. Furthermore, the presence of malnutrition is a significant predictor of the odds of unplanned 30-day hospital readmission. CONCLUSIONS: In patients treated with critical care who survive hospitalization, preexisting malnutrition is a robust predictor of subsequent mortality and unplanned hospital readmission.

Nucleated red blood cells, critical illness survivors and postdischarge outcomes: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Little is known about risk factors associated with out-of-hospital outcomes in survivors of critical illness. We hypothesized that the presence of nucleated red blood cells in patients who survived critical care would be associated with adverse outcomes following hospital discharge. METHODS: We performed a two-center observational cohort study of patients treated in medical and surgical intensive care units in Boston, Massachusetts. All data were obtained from the Research Patient Data Registry at Partners HealthCare. We studied 2878 patients, age ≥ 18 years, who received critical care between 2011 and 2015 and survived hospitalization. The exposure of interest was nucleated red blood cells occurring from 2 days prior to 7 days after critical care initiation. The primary outcome was mortality in the 90 days following hospital discharge. Secondary outcome was unplanned 30-day hospital readmission. Adjusted odds ratios were estimated by multivariable logistic regression models with inclusion of covariate terms thought to plausibly interact with both nucleated red blood cells and outcome. Adjustment included age, race (white versus nonwhite), gender, Deyo-Charlson Index, patient type (medical versus surgical), sepsis and acute organ failure. RESULTS: In patients who received critical care and survived hospitalization, the absolute risk of 90-day postdischarge mortality was 5.9%, 11.7%, 15.8% and 21.9% in patients with 0/µl, 1-100/µl, 101-200/µl and more than 200/µl nucleated red blood cells respectively. Nucleated red blood cells were a robust predictor of postdischarge mortality and remained so following multivariable adjustment. The fully adjusted odds of 90-day postdischarge mortality in patients with 1-100/µl, 101-200/µl and more than 200/µl nucleated red blood cells were 1.77 (95% CI, 1.23-2.54), 2.51 (95% CI, 1.36-4.62) and 3.72 (95% CI, 2.16-6.39) respectively, relative to patients without nucleated red blood cells. Further, the presence of nucleated red blood cells is a significant predictor of the odds of unplanned 30-day hospital readmission. CONCLUSION: In critically ill patients who survive hospitalization, the presence of nucleated red blood cells is a robust predictor of postdischarge mortality and unplanned hospital readmission.

Increases in pre-hospitalization serum 25(OH)D concentrations are associated with improved 30-day mortality after hospital admission: A cohort study.

CONTEXT: Pre-hospital vitamin D status may be a modifiable risk factor for all-cause mortality among hospitalized patients. OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between increases in serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] levels during the year before hospitalization and risk of 30-day all-cause mortality after hospital admission. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Two Boston teaching hospitals. PATIENTS OR OTHER PARTICIPANTS: We studied 4344 adults hospitalized between 1993 and 2011 who had serum 25(OH)D concentrations measured at least twice within 7-365 days before the index hospitalization. INTERVENTION(S): None. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): The exposure of interest was change in pre-hospital serum 25(OH)D concentrations. The main outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality. We used mixed-effects logistic regression to describe how 30-day mortality differed with changes in pre-hospital 25(OH)D concentrations. Additionally, the odds of 30-day mortality in patients with pre-hospital 25(OH)D increases of ≥10 ng/mL was compared to that of patients with increases of <10 ng/mL. RESULTS: In a mixed-effect logistic regression model adjusted for age, gender, race, type (medical/surgical), Deyo-Charlson Index, creatinine and hematocrit, 30-day all-cause mortality rate was 8% (95%CI: 1-15) lower for each 10 ng/mL increase in pre-hospital 25(OH)D (P = 0.025) compared with the 30-day all-cause mortality rate in the entire cohort. In an adjusted logistic regression model, absolute changes of ≥10 ng/mL in patients with initial 25(OH)D concentrations < 20 ng/mL (n = 1944) decreased the odds of 30-day all-cause mortality by 48% (adjusted OR 0.52; 95%CI 0.30-0.93; P = 0.026) compared to patients with changes of <10 ng/mL. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with initial 25(OH)D < 20 ng/mL, subsequent improvements in vitamin D status before hospitalization are associated with decreased odds of 30-day all-cause mortality after hospital admission. A causal relation may not be inferred from this observational study.

Nutritional Status and Mortality in the Critically Ill.

OBJECTIVES: The association between nutritional status and mortality in critically ill patients is unclear based on the current literature. To clarify this relation, we analyzed the association between nutrition and mortality in a large population of critically ill patients and hypothesized that mortality would be impacted by nutritional status. DESIGN: Retrospective observational study. SETTING: Single academic medical center. PATIENTS: Six thousand five hundred eighteen adults treated in medical and surgical ICUs between 2004 and 2011. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: All cohort patients received a formal, in-person, standardized evaluation by a registered dietitian. The exposure of interest, malnutrition, was categorized as nonspecific malnutrition, protein-energy malnutrition, or well nourished and determined by data related to anthropometric measurements, biochemical indicators, clinical signs of malnutrition, malnutrition risk factors, and metabolic stress. The primary outcome was all-cause 30-day mortality determined by the Social Security Death Master File. Associations between nutrition groups and mortality were estimated by bivariable and multivariable logistic regression models. Adjusted odds ratios were estimated with inclusion of covariate terms thought to plausibly interact with both nutrition status and mortality. We used propensity score matching on baseline characteristics to reduce residual confounding of the nutrition status category assignment. In the cohort, nonspecific malnutrition was present in 56%, protein-energy malnutrition was present in 12%, and 32% were well nourished. The 30-day and 90-day mortality rates for the cohort were 19.1% and 26.6%, respectively. Nutritional status is a significant predictor of 30-day mortality following adjustment for age, gender, race, medical versus surgical patient type, Deyo-Charlson index, acute organ failure, vasopressor use, and sepsis: nonspecific malnutrition 30-day mortality odds ratio, 1.17 (95% CI, 1.01-1.37); protein-energy malnutrition 30-day mortality odds ratio, 2.10 (95% CI, 1.70-2.59), all relative to patients without malnutrition. In the matched cohort, the adjusted odds of 30-day mortality in the group of propensity score-matched patients with protein-energy malnutrition was two-fold greater than that of patients without malnutrition. CONCLUSION: In a large population of critically ill adults, an association exists between nutrition status and mortality.

Association between blood alcohol concentration and mortality in critical illness.

OBJECTIVE: In animal models of renal, intestinal, liver, cardiac, and cerebral ischemia, alcohol exposure is shown to reduce ischemia-reperfusion injury. Inpatient mortality of trauma patients is shown to be decreased in a dose-dependent fashion relative to blood alcohol concentration (BAC) at hospital admission. In this study, we examined the association between BAC at hospital admission and risk of 30-day mortality in critically ill patients. DESIGN: We performed a 2-center observational study of patients treated in medical and surgical intensive care units in Boston, Massachusetts. SETTING: Medical and surgical intensive care units in 2 teaching hospitals in Boston, Massachusetts. PATIENTS: We studied 11850 patients, 18 years or older, who received critical care between 1997 and 2007. The exposure of interest was the BAC determined in the first 24 hours of hospital admission and categorized a priori as BAC less than 10 mg/dL (below level of detection), 10 to 80 mg/dL, 80 to 160 mg/dL, and greater than 160 mg/dL. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality in the 30 days after critical care initiation. Secondary outcomes included 90- and 365-day mortality after critical care initiation. Mortality was determined using the US Social Security Administration Death Master File, and 365-day follow-up was present in all cohort patients. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were estimated by multivariable logistic regression models with inclusion of covariate terms thought to plausibly interact with both BAC and mortality. Adjustment included age, sex, race (white or nonwhite), type (surgical vs medical), Deyo-Charlson index, sepsis, acute organ failure, trauma, and chronic liver disease. RESULTS: Thirty-day mortality of the cohort was 13.7%. Compared to patients with BAC levels less than 10 mg/dL, patients with levels greater than or equal to 10 mg/dL had lower odds of 30-day mortality; for BAC levels 10 to 79.9 mg/dL, the OR was 0.53 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.40-0.70); for BAC levels 80 to 159.9 mg/dL, it was 0.36 (95% CI, 0.26-0.49); and for BAC levels greater than or equal to 160 mg/dL, it was 0.35 (95% CI, 0.27-0.44). After multivariable adjustment, the OR of 30-day mortality was 0.97 (0.72-1.31), 0.79 (0.57-1.10), and 0.69 (0.54-0.90), respectively. When the cohort was analyzed with sepsis as the outcome of interest, the multivariable adjusted odds of sepsis in patients with BAC 80 to 160 mg/dL or greater than 160 mg/dL were 0.72 (0.50-1.04) or 0.68 (0.51-0.90), respectively, compared to those with BAC less than 10 mg/dL. In a subset of patients with blood cultures drawn (n=4065), the multivariable adjusted odds of bloodstream infection in patients with BAC 80 to 160 mg/dL or greater than 160 mg/dL were 0.53 (0.27-1.01) or 0.49 (0.29-0.83), respectively, compared to those with BAC less than 10 mg/dL. CONCLUSIONS: Analysis of 11850 adult patients showed that having a detectable BAC at hospitalization was associated with significantly decreased odds of 30-day mortality after critical care. Furthermore, BAC greater than 160 mg/dL is associated with significantly decreased odds of developing sepsis and bloodstream infection.

Association between prehospital vitamin D status and incident acute respiratory failure in critically ill patients: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: We hypothesise that low 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) levels before hospitalisation are associated with increased risk of acute respiratory failure. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Medical and Surgical Intensive care units of two Boston teaching hospitals. PATIENTS: 1985 critically ill adults admitted between 1998 and 2011. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The exposure of interest was prehospital serum 25(OH)D categorised as ≤10 ng/mL, 11-19.9 ng/mL, 20-29.9 ng/mL and ≥30 ng/mL. The primary outcome was acute respiratory failure excluding congestive heart failure determined by International Classification of Diseases Ninth Edition (ICD-9) coding and validated against the Berlin Definition of acute respiratory sistress syndrome. Association between 25(OH)D and acute respiratory failure was assessed using logistic regression, while adjusting for age, race, sex, Deyo-Charlson Index and patient type (medical vs surgical). In the cohort, the mean age was 63 years, 45% were male and 80% were white; 25(OH)D was ≤10 ng/mL in 8% of patients, 11-19.9 ng/mL in 24%, 20-29.9 ng/mL in 24% and ≥30 ng/mL in 44% of patients. Eighteen per cent (n=351) were diagnosed with acute respiratory failure. Compared to patients with 25(OH)D ≥30 ng/mL, patients with lower 25(OH)D levels had significantly higher adjusted odds of acute respiratory failure (≤10 ng/mL, OR=1.84 (95% CI 1.22 to 2.77); 11-19.9 ng/mL, OR=1.60 (95% CI 1.19 to 2.15); 20-29.9 ng/mL, OR=1.37 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.86)). CONCLUSIONS: Prehospital 25(OH)D was associated with the risk of acute respiratory failure in our critically ill patient cohort.