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There has been considerable emphasis recently on the zoonotic origins of emerging infectious diseases in humans, including the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic; however, reverse zoonoses (infections transmitted from humans to other animals) have received less attention despite their potential importance. The effects can be devastating for the infected species and can also result in transmission of the pathogen back to human populations or other animals either in the original form or as a variant. Humans have transmitted SARS-CoV-2 to other animals, and the virus is able to circulate and evolve in those species. As global travel resumes, the potential of SARS-CoV-2 as a reverse zoonosis threatens humans and endangered species. Nonhuman primates are of particular concern given their susceptibility to human respiratory infections. Enforcing safety measures for all people working in and visiting wildlife areas, especially those with nonhuman primates, and increasing access to safety measures for people living near protected areas that are home to nonhuman primates will help mitigate reverse zoonotic transmission.
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BACKGROUND: SARS-CoV-2 antigen-detection rapid diagnostic tests (Ag-RDTs) have become widely utilized but longitudinal characterization of their community-based performance remains incompletely understood. METHODS: This prospective longitudinal study at a large public university in Seattle, WA utilized remote enrollment, online surveys, and self-collected nasal swab specimens to evaluate Ag-RDT performance against real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (rRT-PCR) in the context of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron. Ag-RDT sensitivity and specificity within 1 day of rRT-PCR were evaluated by symptom status throughout the illness episode and Orf1b cycle threshold (Ct). RESULTS: From February to December 2022, 5757 participants reported 17 572 Ag-RDT results and completed 12 674 rRT-PCR tests, of which 995 (7.9%) were rRT-PCR positive. Overall sensitivity and specificity were 53.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 49.6%-56.4%) and 98.8% (95% CI, 98.5%-99.0%), respectively. Sensitivity was comparatively higher for Ag-RDTs used 1 day after rRT-PCR (69.0%), 4-7 days after symptom onset (70.1%), and Orf1b Ct ≤20 (82.7%). Serial Ag-RDT sensitivity increased with repeat testing ≥2 (68.5%) and ≥4 (75.8%) days after an initial Ag-RDT-negative result. CONCLUSIONS: Ag-RDT performance varied by clinical characteristics and temporal testing patterns. Our findings support recommendations for serial testing following an initial Ag-RDT-negative result, especially among recently symptomatic persons or those at high risk for SARS-CoV-2 infection.
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Prueba Serológica para COVID-19 , COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Humanos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , SARS-CoV-2/aislamiento & purificación , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Prueba Serológica para COVID-19/métodos , Antígenos Virales/análisis , Prueba de Ácido Nucleico para COVID-19/métodos , Anciano , Washingtón , Adulto Joven , AdolescenteRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Although there is limited literature on medication adherence (including HIV care engagement) and COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy in general populations (i.e., non-sexual or gender minority populations), even less is known about whether HIV care engagement correlates with COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy among sexual and gender minorities, especially those from intersectional backgrounds. The objective of the current study was to examine if an association exists between HIV status neutral care (i.e., current pre-exposure prophylaxis [PrEP] or antiretroviral therapy [ART] use) and COVID-19 vaccination hesitancy among Black cisgender sexual minority men and transgender women at the initial peak of the pandemic. METHODS: We conducted the N2 COVID Study in Chicago from 20 April 2020 to 31 July 2020 (analytic n = 222), including Black cisgender sexual minority men and transgender women who were vulnerable to HIV as well as those who were living with HIV. The survey included questions regarding HIV care engagement, COVID-19 vaccination hesitancy and COVID-19 related socio-economic hardships. Multivariable associations estimated adjusted risk ratios (ARRs) using modified Poisson regressions for COVID vaccine hesitancy adjusting for baseline socio-demographic characteristics and survey assessment time period. RESULTS: Approximately 45% of participants reported COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy. PrEP and ART use were not associated with COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy when examined separately or combined (p > 0.05). There were no significant multiplicative effects of COVID-19 related socio-economic hardships and HIV care engagement on COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy. CONCLUSIONS: Findings suggest no association between HIV care engagement and COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy among Black cisgender sexual minority men and transgender women at the initial peak of the pandemic. It is therefore essential that COVID-19 vaccine promotion interventions focus on all Black sexual and gender minorities regardless of HIV care engagement and COVID-19 vaccine uptake is likely related to factors other than engagement in HIV status neutral care.
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Introduction During the COVID-19 pandemic, there was an unprecedented and forced closure of dental offices worldwide. As American state recommendations differed considerably during this period, this research strives to better define the effects of this pause on dental care.Materials and methods A 16-question Qualtrics survey was sent to the membership of the New York State Dental Association (NYSDA) and Georgia Dental Association (GDA). Licenced, actively practising dental members of the NYSDA and GDA (n = 680) answered questions about their practice demographics, appointment cancellations, reopening times and the volume of individual dental procedures performed from 1 March through to 1 August 2020, compared to the same five-month period in 2019.Results Demographic characteristics of respondent NYSDA and GDA members were statistically similar. Nonetheless, NYSDA members reported significantly larger decreases in provision of all types of dental procedures, except for antibiotic prescription, including prophylaxis, elective care, emergency dental care and speciality procedures.Discussion and conclusions All dental procedures declined significantly during the COVID-19 pandemic, with greater decrease in New York than in Georgia. This study raises concerns about the negative impact of the pandemic on oral public health and mandates both further research and clinical strategies to mitigate against this future risk.
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Community-acquired bacterial meningitis (CABM) morbidity and mortality remains high in those infected. Rapid diagnosis and treatment is paramount to reducing mortality and improving outcome. This retrospective cohort study aims to assess the time from presentation to diagnosis and treatment of vaccine preventable CABM as well as identify possible factors associated with delays in diagnosis and antibiotic administration. A retrospective chart review was conducted of individuals who presented to Columbia University Irving Medical Center (CUIMC), Children's Hospital of New York (CHONY), Mount Sinai Medical Center, and Weill Cornell Medical Center with BM due to Haemophilus influenzae type B, Streptococcus pneumoniae, and Neisseria meningitidis between January 1, 2012 and December 31, 2017. Diagnosis was delayed by more than 8 hours in 13 patients (36.1%) and 5 individuals (13.9%) had a delay of 4 hours or more from presentation to the administration of antibiotics with appropriate CNS coverage. All of these patients were also initially misdiagnosed at an outpatient clinic, outside hospital, or emergency department. This retrospective study identified febrile and/or viral infections not otherwise specified and otitis media as the most common misdiagnoses underlying delays from presentation to diagnosis and to antibiotic treatment in those with BM.
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OBJECTIVES: Zika virus is linked to several adverse pregnancy outcomes. We assessed whether Zika infection during pregnancy is associated with increased risk of foetal death (miscarriage, stillbirth, abortion) and whether there is incomplete reporting of such deaths. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, Web of Science and LILACS for studies reporting Zika-affected completed pregnancies (ending in foetal death or live birth), excluding studies whose aim required live birth. Studies 'allowed' foetal death if their populations were defined to encompass both live births and foetal deaths, regardless of whether deaths were actually found. Two authors independently extracted data and assessed study quality. Foetal death absolute and relative risks in Zika-affected vs. unaffected pregnancies were calculated. RESULTS: We found 108 reports including 24 699 completed, Zika-affected pregnancies. The median absolute risk in 37 studies of completed, Zika-affected pregnancies was 6.3% (IQR 3.2%, 10.6%) for foetal death and 5.9% (IQR 0%, 29.1%) for non-fatal adverse outcomes (e.g. microcephaly). More studies allowed non-fatal adverse outcomes (95%) than foetal death (58%). Of studies which allowed them, 94% found at least one foetal death. In 37% of reports, it was unknown whether foetal deaths were allowed. Only one study had sufficient data to estimate a foetal death relative risk (11.05, 95% CI 3.43, 35.55). CONCLUSIONS: Evidence was insufficient to determine whether foetal death risk is higher in Zika-affected pregnancies, but suggests quality of foetal death reporting should be improved, including stating whether foetal deaths were found, how many, and at what gestational ages, or justifying their exclusion.
OBJECTIFS: Le virus Zika est lié à plusieurs issues défavorables de la grossesse. Nous avons évalué si l'infection à Zika pendant la grossesse était associée à un risque accru de mort fÅtale (fausse couche, mortinaissance, avortement) et s'il y avait une déclaration incomplète de ces décès. MÉTHODES: Nous avons recherché dans PubMed, EMBASE, Cinahl, Web of Science et LILACS des études rapportant des grossesses terminées touchées par le virus Zika (se terminant par une mort fÅtale ou une naissance vivante), à l'exclusion des études dont l'objectif nécessitait une naissance vivante. Les études «autorisaient¼ la mort fÅtale si leur population était définie comme englobant à la fois les naissances vivantes et les décès fÅtaux, indépendamment du fait que des décès aient été effectivement constatés. Deux auteurs ont indépendamment extrait les données et évalué la qualité des études. Les risques absolus et relatifs de mortalité fÅtale dans les grossesses affectées par Zika par rapport aux grossesses non affectées ont été calculés. RÉSULTATS: Nous avons trouvé 108 reports dont 24.699 grossesses terminées et affectées par le virus Zika. Le risque médian absolu dans 37 études portant sur des grossesses terminées affectées par Zika était de 6,3% (IQR 3,2%, 10,6%) pour la mort fÅtale et de 5,9% (IQR 0%, 29,1%) pour les issues indésirables non mortelles (par exemple microcéphalie). Plus d'études ont «autorisé¼ des résultats indésirables non mortels (95%) que la mort fÅtale (58%). Parmi les études qui les ont «autorisé¼, 94% ont trouvé au moins un décès fÅtal. Dans 37% des rapports, il n'est pas indiqué si la mort fÅtale avait été «autorisée¼. Une seule étude contenait des données suffisantes pour estimer un risque relatif de mort fÅtale (11,05 ; IC95%: 3,43, 35,55). CONCLUSIONS: Les données étaient insuffisantes pour déterminer si le risque de mort fÅtale est plus élevé dans les grossesses touchées par le virus Zika, mais suggèrent que la qualité des reports sur les décès fÅtaux devrait être améliorée, notamment en indiquant si des décès fÅtaux ont été constatés, combien et à quel âge gestationnel, ou justifiant leur exclusion.
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Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/epidemiología , Mortinato/epidemiología , Infección por el Virus Zika/epidemiología , Virus Zika , Aborto Espontáneo/epidemiología , Aborto Espontáneo/virología , Femenino , Humanos , Microcefalia/epidemiología , Microcefalia/virología , Embarazo , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/virología , Resultado del Embarazo , Infección por el Virus Zika/virologíaRESUMEN
The global burden of infectious diseases and the increased attention to natural, accidental, and deliberate biological threats has resulted in significant investment in infectious disease research. Translating the results of these studies to inform prevention, detection, and response efforts often can be challenging, especially if prior relationships and communications have not been established with decision-makers. Whatever scientific information is shared with decision-makers before, during, and after public health emergencies is highly dependent on the individuals or organizations who are communicating with policy-makers. This article briefly describes the landscape of stakeholders involved in information-sharing before and during emergencies. We identify critical gaps in translation of scientific expertise and results, and biosafety and biosecurity measures to public health policy and practice with a focus on One Health and zoonotic diseases. Finally, we conclude by exploring ways of improving communication and funding, both of which help to address the identified gaps. By leveraging existing scientific information (from both the natural and social sciences) in the public health decision-making process, large-scale outbreaks may be averted even in low-income countries.
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BACKGROUND: Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) was first identified in humans in 2012. A systematic literature review was conducted to synthesize current knowledge and identify critical knowledge gaps. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a systematic review on MERS-CoV using PRISMA guidelines. We identified 407 relevant, peer-reviewed publications and selected 208 of these based on their contributions to four key areas: virology; clinical characteristics, outcomes, therapeutic and preventive options; epidemiology and transmission; and animal interface and the search for natural hosts of MERS-CoV. RESULTS: Dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4/CD26) was identified as the human receptor for MERS-CoV, and a variety of molecular and serological assays developed. Dromedary camels remain the only documented zoonotic source of human infection, but MERS-like CoVs have been detected in bat species globally, as well as in dromedary camels throughout the Middle East and Africa. However, despite evidence of camel-to-human MERS-CoV transmission and cases apparently related to camel contact, the source of many primary cases remains unknown. There have been sustained health care-associated human outbreaks in Saudi Arabia and South Korea, the latter originating from one traveler returning from the Middle East. Transmission mechanisms are poorly understood; for health care, this may include environmental contamination. Various potential therapeutics have been identified, but not yet evaluated in human clinical trials. At least one candidate vaccine has progressed to Phase I trials. CONCLUSIONS: There has been substantial MERS-CoV research since 2012, but significant knowledge gaps persist, especially in epidemiology and natural history of the infection. There have been few rigorous studies of baseline prevalence, transmission, and spectrum of disease. Terms such as "camel exposure" and the epidemiological relationships of cases should be clearly defined and standardized. We strongly recommend a shared and accessible registry or database. Coronaviruses will likely continue to emerge, arguing for a unified "One Health" approach.
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Enfermedades Transmisibles Emergentes/virología , Infecciones por Coronavirus/virología , Coronavirus del Síndrome Respiratorio de Oriente Medio/fisiología , África/epidemiología , Animales , Infecciones por Coronavirus/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades , Humanos , Medio Oriente/epidemiología , ZoonosisRESUMEN
We report a platform that increases the sensitivity of high-throughput sequencing for detection and characterization of bacteria, virulence determinants, and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) genes. The system uses a probe set comprised of 4.2 million oligonucleotides based on the Pathosystems Resource Integration Center (PATRIC) database, the Comprehensive Antibiotic Resistance Database (CARD), and the Virulence Factor Database (VFDB), representing 307 bacterial species that include all known human-pathogenic species, known antimicrobial resistance genes, and known virulence factors, respectively. The use of bacterial capture sequencing (BacCapSeq) resulted in an up to 1,000-fold increase in bacterial reads from blood samples and lowered the limit of detection by 1 to 2 orders of magnitude compared to conventional unbiased high-throughput sequencing, down to a level comparable to that of agent-specific real-time PCR with as few as 5 million total reads generated per sample. It detected not only the presence of AMR genes but also biomarkers for AMR that included both constitutive and differentially expressed transcripts.IMPORTANCE BacCapSeq is a method for differential diagnosis of bacterial infections and defining antimicrobial sensitivity profiles that has the potential to reduce morbidity and mortality, health care costs, and the inappropriate use of antibiotics that contributes to the development of antimicrobial resistance.
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Bacterias/genética , Infecciones Bacterianas/diagnóstico , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana/genética , Secuenciación de Nucleótidos de Alto Rendimiento/instrumentación , Infecciones Bacterianas/sangre , Bases de Datos de Ácidos Nucleicos , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Genoma Bacteriano , Secuenciación de Nucleótidos de Alto Rendimiento/métodos , Humanos , Límite de Detección , Sondas de Oligonucleótidos/genética , Reacción en Cadena en Tiempo Real de la Polimerasa , Factores de Virulencia/genéticaRESUMEN
Zoonoses originating from wildlife represent a significant threat to global health, security and economic growth, and combatting their emergence is a public health priority. However, our understanding of the mechanisms underlying their emergence remains rudimentary. Here we update a global database of emerging infectious disease (EID) events, create a novel measure of reporting effort, and fit boosted regression tree models to analyze the demographic, environmental and biological correlates of their occurrence. After accounting for reporting effort, we show that zoonotic EID risk is elevated in forested tropical regions experiencing land-use changes and where wildlife biodiversity (mammal species richness) is high. We present a new global hotspot map of spatial variation in our zoonotic EID risk index, and partial dependence plots illustrating relationships between events and predictors. Our results may help to improve surveillance and long-term EID monitoring programs, and design field experiments to test underlying mechanisms of zoonotic disease emergence.
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Animales Salvajes , Enfermedades Transmisibles Emergentes/epidemiología , Zoonosis/epidemiología , Animales , Área Bajo la Curva , Biodiversidad , Demografía , Reservorios de Enfermedades , Bosques , Geografía , Salud Global , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Análisis de Regresión , Riesgo , Clima TropicalRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: There are increasing concerns about our preparedness and timely coordinated response across the globe to cope with emerging infectious diseases (EIDs). This poses practical challenges that require exploiting novel knowledge management approaches effectively. OBJECTIVE: This work aims to develop an ontology-driven knowledge management framework that addresses the existing challenges in sharing and reusing public health knowledge. METHODS: We propose a systems engineering-inspired ontology-driven knowledge management approach. It decomposes public health knowledge into concepts and relations and organizes the elements of knowledge based on the teleological functions. Both knowledge and semantic rules are stored in an ontology and retrieved to answer queries regarding EID preparedness and response. RESULTS: A hybrid concept extraction was implemented in this work. The quality of the ontology was evaluated using the formal evaluation method Ontology Quality Evaluation Framework. CONCLUSIONS: Our approach is a potentially effective methodology for managing public health knowledge. Accuracy and comprehensiveness of the ontology can be improved as more knowledge is stored. In the future, a survey will be conducted to collect queries from public health practitioners. The reasoning capacity of the ontology will be evaluated using the queries and hypothetical outbreaks. We suggest the importance of developing a knowledge sharing standard like the Gene Ontology for the public health domain.
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Since the emergence of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and Middle East Respiratory Syndrom Coronavirus (MERS-CoV) it has become increasingly clear that bats are important reservoirs of CoVs. Despite this, only 6% of all CoV sequences in GenBank are from bats. The remaining 94% largely consist of known pathogens of public health or agricultural significance, indicating that current research effort is heavily biased towards describing known diseases rather than the 'pre-emergent' diversity in bats. Our study addresses this critical gap, and focuses on resource poor countries where the risk of zoonotic emergence is believed to be highest. We surveyed the diversity of CoVs in multiple host taxa from twenty countries to explore the factors driving viral diversity at a global scale. We identified sequences representing 100 discrete phylogenetic clusters, ninety-one of which were found in bats, and used ecological and epidemiologic analyses to show that patterns of CoV diversity correlate with those of bat diversity. This cements bats as the major evolutionary reservoirs and ecological drivers of CoV diversity. Co-phylogenetic reconciliation analysis was also used to show that host switching has contributed to CoV evolution, and a preliminary analysis suggests that regional variation exists in the dynamics of this process. Overall our study represents a model for exploring global viral diversity and advances our fundamental understanding of CoV biodiversity and the potential risk factors associated with zoonotic emergence.
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RATIONALE: Little is known about the epidemiology of severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) or influenza in sub-Saharan Africa. Characterization of influenza transmission dynamics and risk factors for severe disease and mortality is critical to inform prevention and mitigation strategies. OBJECTIVES: To characterize the epidemiology and transmission dynamics of influenza and risk factors for influenza-associated severe respiratory infection in Uganda. METHODS: Clinicians at 12 sentinel surveillance sites prospectively collected clinical data and upper respiratory tract samples from consecutive patients who met criteria for SARI and influenza-like illness (ILI). Samples were tested for influenza A and B viruses using real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction. Spatial and spatiotemporal cluster modeling was performed to identify loci of increased influenza transmission. Morbidity and mortality were assessed through chart review in a defined subset of patients. Univariable and multivariable analyses were used to identify risk factors for severe respiratory infection, prolonged hospitalization, and in-hospital mortality. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: From October 2010 to June 2015, 9,978 patients met case definitions for SARI and ILI and had samples tested for influenza A and B. Of the 9,978 patient samples tested, 1,113 (11.2%) were positive for influenza. Among 6,057 patients with ILI, 778 samples (12.8%) were positive, and among 3,921 patients with SARI, 335 samples (8.5%) were positive. Significant clustering of influenza cases was observed in urban and periurban areas and during rainy seasons. Among 1,405 cases of SARI with available outcome data, in-hospital mortality was 1.6%. Infection with the 2009 pandemic A/H1N1 subtype and prolonged time to presentation were independently associated with SARI among influenza cases. CONCLUSIONS: Influenza is associated with a substantial proportion of acute respiratory infection in Uganda. As influenza vaccination programs are developed in East Africa, timing campaigns to confer protection during rainy seasons should be considered, particularly among high-risk urban populations.
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Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Estaciones del Año , Enfermedad Aguda , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Niño , Preescolar , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Subtipo H1N1 del Virus de la Influenza A , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Análisis Multivariante , Estudios Prospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Vigilancia de Guardia , Análisis Espacio-Temporal , Uganda/epidemiología , Vacunación , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To determine rates of reportable bacterial infections among infants in New York City and identify populations at risk and preventable causes of morbidity. STUDY DESIGN: This retrospective cohort study matched live births in New York City from 2001-2009 to reported cases of bacterial infections among infants less than 1 year of age. Characteristics recorded on birth certificates were compared between infants with bacterial enteric infection, bacterial nonenteric infection, and no reportable bacterial infection. Multinomial logistic regression and multivariable logistic regression were used to identify risk factors for infection. RESULTS: Bacterial infection was reported in 4.6 cases per 1000 live births. Of 4524 infants with a reportable infection, the majority (2880, 63%) had an enteric infection. Asian/Pacific Islanders in Brooklyn were the borough-level race/ethnic group with the highest enteric infection rate (8.5 per 1000 live births). Citywide, infants with enteric infections were disproportionately male, from higher poverty neighborhoods, born to foreign-born mothers, and enrolled in Special Supplemental Food Program for Women, Infants, and Children or Medicaid. In contrast, infants with nonenteric infections were more likely to have low birthweight and mothers characterized by US birth and black race or white Hispanic race/ethnicity. CONCLUSIONS: Distinct patterns of risk factors for enteric and nonenteric bacterial infections among infants were identified. The results suggest that infants born to Asian/Pacific Islander mothers residing in Brooklyn should be a focus of enteric disease prevention. More research is necessary to better understand what behaviors increase the risk of enteric disease in this population.
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Infecciones Bacterianas/epidemiología , Características de la Residencia , Infecciones Bacterianas/diagnóstico , Infecciones Bacterianas/microbiología , Etnicidad/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Ciudad de Nueva York/epidemiología , Grupos Raciales/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Factores SocioeconómicosAsunto(s)
Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Enfermedades Transmisibles , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Manejo de Especímenes , Animales , Enfermedades Transmisibles/microbiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/parasitología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/transmisión , Humanos , Salud PúblicaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Our knowledge about the impact of coping behavior styles in people exposed to stressful disaster events is limited. Effective coping behavior has been shown to be a psychosocial stress modifier in both occupational and nonoccupational settings. METHODS: Data were collected by using a web-based survey that administered the Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) Checklist-Civilian, General Coping Questionnaire-30, and a supplementary questionnaire assessing various risk factors. Logistic regression models were used to test for the association of the 3 coping styles with probable PTSD following disaster exposure among federal disaster responders. RESULTS: In this sample of 549 study subjects, avoidant coping behavior was most associated with probable PTSD. In tested regression models, the odds ratios ranged from 1.19 to 1.26 and 95% confidence intervals ranged from 1.08 to 1.35. With control for various predictors, emotion-based coping behavior was also found to be associated with probable PTSD (odds ratio=1.11; 95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.22). CONCLUSION: This study found that in disaster responders exposed to traumatic disaster events, the likelihood of probable PTSD can be influenced by individual coping behavior style and other covariates. The continued probability of disasters underscores the critical importance of these findings both in terms of guiding mental health practitioners in treating exposed disaster responders and in stimulating future research.
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Adaptación Psicológica , Socorristas/psicología , Trastornos por Estrés Postraumático/psicología , Medicina de Desastres/estadística & datos numéricos , Socorristas/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Salud Mental/estadística & datos numéricos , Factores de Riesgo , Encuestas y CuestionariosRESUMEN
It is currently unclear whether changes in viral communities will ever be predictable. Here we investigate whether viral communities in wildlife are inherently structured (inferring predictability) by looking at whether communities are assembled through deterministic (often predictable) or stochastic (not predictable) processes. We sample macaque faeces across nine sites in Bangladesh and use consensus PCR and sequencing to discover 184 viruses from 14 viral families. We then use network modelling and statistical null-hypothesis testing to show the presence of non-random deterministic patterns at different scales, between sites and within individuals. We show that the effects of determinism are not absolute however, as stochastic patterns are also observed. In showing that determinism is an important process in viral community assembly we conclude that it should be possible to forecast changes to some portion of a viral community, however there will always be some portion for which prediction will be unlikely.