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1.
Ann Oncol ; 28(5): 1057-1063, 2017 May 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28327905

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The phosphatidylinositol-3-kinase delta (PI3Kδ) inhibitor idelalisib has been shown to block downstream intracellular signaling, reduce the production of prosurvival chemokines and induce apoptosis in classical Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) cell lines. It has also been shown to inhibit regulatory T cells and myeloid-derived suppressor cells in other tumor models. We hypothesized that inhibiting PI3Kδ would have both direct and indirect antitumor effects by directly targeting the malignant cells as well as modulating the inflammatory microenvironment. We tested this hypothesis in a phase II study. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We enrolled 25 patients with relapsed/refractory HL with a median age of 42 years and who had previously received a median of five therapies including 18 (72%) with failed autologous stem cell transplant, 23 (92%) with failed brentuximab vedotin, and 11 (44%) with prior radiation therapy. Idelalisib was administered at 150 mg two times daily; an increase to 300 mg two times daily was permitted at the time of disease progression. RESULTS: The overall response rate to idelalisib therapy was 20% (95% confidence interval: 6.8%, 40.7%) with a median time to response of 2.0 months. Seventeen patients (68%) experienced reduction in target lesions with one complete remission and four partial remissions. The median duration of response was 8.4 months and median progression-free survival was 2.3 months. The most common grade ≥3 adverse event was elevation of alanine aminotransferase (two patients, 8%). Diarrhea/colitis was seen in three patients and was grade 1-2. There was one adverse event leading to death (hypoxia). CONCLUSIONS: Idelalisib was tolerable and had modest single-agent activity in heavily pretreated patients with HL. Rational combinations with other novel agents may improve response rate and duration of response. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov # NCT01393106.


Asunto(s)
Fosfatidilinositol 3-Quinasa Clase I/genética , Enfermedad de Hodgkin/tratamiento farmacológico , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/tratamiento farmacológico , Purinas/administración & dosificación , Quinazolinonas/administración & dosificación , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Fosfatidilinositol 3-Quinasa Clase I/antagonistas & inhibidores , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Efectos Colaterales y Reacciones Adversas Relacionados con Medicamentos/clasificación , Efectos Colaterales y Reacciones Adversas Relacionados con Medicamentos/fisiopatología , Femenino , Enfermedad de Hodgkin/genética , Enfermedad de Hodgkin/patología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/genética , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/patología , Purinas/efectos adversos , Quinazolinonas/efectos adversos
2.
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg ; 44(3): 244-50, 2012 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22819738

RESUMEN

AIM: We sought to better define the impact of sex on 'in-hospital outcomes' after carotid endarterectomy (CEA) or stenting (CAS). METHODS: Hospital discharge databases for all carotid interventions obtained from the New York State (NYS) Department of Health, Statewide Planning and Research Cooperative System between 2000 and 2009 (29,917 women, 39,771 men) were analysed. Mortality, stroke and composite event (stroke/death) were compared between procedures after matching of patients by propensity score. Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) was our secondary 'end' point. RESULTS: More than 90% of patients in both sexes were asymptomatic (27,439 women and 36,295 men). Compared to men, asymptomatic women experienced more strokes after CEA (women: 1.38%, men: 1.16%, P = 0.03) and higher AMI rates after both procedures (CEA; women: 0.75%, men: 0.51%, P = 0.0009, CAS; women: 0.96%, men: 0.28%, P = 0.01). Between procedures, symptomatic women undergoing CAS showed higher rates of mortality (CAS: 4.19%, CEA: 0.47%, P = 0.01) and combined (stroke/mortality) events (CAS: 12.09%, CEA: 6.05%, P = 0.02). In all other cohorts, no statistically significant difference was found between the procedures. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to CEA, CAS led to inferior in-hospital outcomes only in symptomatic women in the last decade in NYS. Men and asymptomatic women showed comparable outcomes after both procedures, whereas asymptomatic females were more prone to AMI after both interventions. These sex-associated differences should be taken into account for the treatment of carotid artery disease.


Asunto(s)
Angioplastia/instrumentación , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/terapia , Endarterectomía Carotidea , Pacientes Internos/estadística & datos numéricos , Stents , Anciano , Angioplastia/efectos adversos , Angioplastia/mortalidad , Enfermedades Asintomáticas , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/complicaciones , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/mortalidad , Enfermedades de las Arterias Carótidas/cirugía , Endarterectomía Carotidea/efectos adversos , Endarterectomía Carotidea/mortalidad , Femenino , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Infarto del Miocardio/etiología , New York , Puntaje de Propensión , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Factores Sexuales , Accidente Cerebrovascular/etiología , Factores de Tiempo , Resultado del Tratamiento
3.
Am J Transplant ; 10(10): 2341-8, 2010 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20840476

RESUMEN

Deviations in the processes of healthcare delivery that affect patient outcomes are recognized to have an impact on the cost of hospitalization. Whether deviations that do not affect patient outcome affects cost has not been studied. We have analyzed process of care (POC) events that were reported in a large transplantation service (n = 3,012) in 2005, delineating whether or not there was a health consequence of the event and assessing the impact on hospital resource utilization. Propensity score matching was used to adjust for patient differences. The rate of POC events varied by transplanted organ: from 10.8 per 1000 patient days (kidney) to 17.3 (liver). The probability of a POC event increased with severity of illness. The majority (81.5%) of the POC events had no apparent effect on patients' health (63.6% no effect and 17.9% unknown). POC events were associated with longer length of stay (LOS) and higher costs independent of whether there was a patient health impact. Multiple events during the same hospitalization were associated with the highest impact on LOS and cost. POC events in transplantation occur frequently, more often in sicker patients and, although the majority of POC events do not harm the patient, their effect on resource utilization is significant.


Asunto(s)
Atención a la Salud/economía , Hospitalización/economía , Trasplante de Órganos/economía , Adolescente , Adulto , Niño , Costos y Análisis de Costo/economía , Femenino , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación/economía , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad
4.
J Pediatr Orthop ; 21(5): 622-8, 2001.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11521031

RESUMEN

New pressures of accountability brought on by a rapidly evolving system of health care financing have underscored the need for standardized, valid measures of patient outcome that reflect the effect of clinical intervention on all aspects of quality of life. In response, there has been a burgeoning interest in the area of outcomes assessment and measurement of quality of life after orthopaedic intervention in adults, but less attention has been focused on the assessment of broadly defined outcomes in children. In an effort to borrow from the broader adult experience in this area, the authors sought to examine whether the Medical Outcomes Study Short Form 36 (SF-36) or the EuroQol questionnaire, widely accepted adult health status measures, would be valid in this setting. These two measures were administered to 196 adolescent patients (10-18 years old) seeking orthopaedic evaluation. Tests of scale properties and construct validity show that these properties are maintained in this population, but neither instrument reflected known differences in health status among this cohort. Most importantly, both the SF-36 and the EuroQol exhibited serious ceiling effects (most respondents scored at the top of their scales), despite evidence indicating those patients often had suboptimal health status. Thus, neither the SF-36 nor the EuroQol is valid for use in this population. The assessment of pediatric health status demands outcomes measures specifically designed to reflect the unique needs of this population.


Asunto(s)
Indicadores de Salud , Enfermedades Musculoesqueléticas , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Calidad de Vida , Adolescente , Niño , Análisis Factorial , Humanos , Enfermedades Musculoesqueléticas/psicología , Ortopedia , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados
5.
J Pediatr Orthop ; 21(5): 629-35, 2001.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11521032

RESUMEN

There is a clear need for standardized measures to assess health status that are valid and appropriate to the needs of children with orthopaedic problems. The Child Health Questionnaire and the American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons Pediatric Outcomes Data Collection Instrument, two new pediatric health status measures, were assessed for their ability to detect differences in health states in a pediatric orthopaedic population. The instruments have a range of scales designed to measure various aspects of physical and psychosocial health. Two hundred forty-two patients with wide-ranging diagnoses were enrolled in this cross-sectional study. The instruments exhibited ceiling effects in some domains but generally performed as they were intended in this large cohort. Using secondary factor analysis, it was shown that the domains of the instruments appropriately distinguish physical and psychosocial health. Several domains from each instrument discriminated between diagnosis groups and patients with varying numbers of comorbidities. Both of these measures show significant promise and have an important role in helping define the outcomes of children with orthopaedic problems.


Asunto(s)
Parálisis Cerebral , Indicadores de Salud , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Calidad de Vida , Escoliosis , Adolescente , Parálisis Cerebral/psicología , Niño , Preescolar , Comorbilidad , Estudios Transversales , Análisis Factorial , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Escoliosis/psicología
6.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 71(3 Suppl): S195-8; discussion S203-4, 2001 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11265862

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: With increasing use of left ventricular assist devices (LVAD) worldwide, the economics of LVAD implantation have become an important focus of concern. Although these devices have high unit costs, they are the only hope for survival for a large group of terminally ill patients and are likely to have an expansion in indications for use. METHODS: We calculated the costs associated with long-term LVAD implantation. We used the ratio of cost-to-charges method to calculate hospital costs per resource category, market prices for drugs and device, and payments for physician services. RESULTS: Based on our experience with "bridge-to-transplantation" patients, we estimated average first-year costs to be $222,460 including professional fees and $192,154 excluding professional fees. The latter figure is comparable to average first-year costs for cardiac transplantation, which is $176,605 without professional fees at our institution. CONCLUSIONS: The costs of LVAD therapy will change after the first year of implantation, and device reliability and longevity will be important factors in determining these costs. Should the costs of LVAD therapy continue to track those of cardiac transplantation, devices will be cost-effective only if they offer similar efficacy to cardiac transplantation.


Asunto(s)
Insuficiencia Cardíaca/cirugía , Corazón Auxiliar/economía , Implantación de Prótesis/economía , Atención Ambulatoria/economía , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Costos y Análisis de Costo , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/economía , Hospitalización/economía , Humanos , Readmisión del Paciente/economía , Factores de Tiempo
7.
N Engl J Med ; 345(20): 1435-43, 2001 Nov 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-11794191

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Implantable left ventricular assist devices have benefited patients with end-stage heart failure as a bridge to cardiac transplantation, but their long-term use for the purpose of enhancing survival and the quality of life has not been evaluated. METHODS: We randomly assigned 129 patients with end-stage heart failure who were ineligible for cardiac transplantation to receive a left ventricular assist device (68 patients) or optimal medical management (61). All patients had symptoms of New York Heart Association class IV heart failure. RESULTS: Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed a reduction of 48 percent in the risk of death from any cause in the group that received left ventricular assist devices as compared with the medical-therapy group (relative risk, 0.52; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.34 to 0.78; P=0.001). The rates of survival at one year were 52 percent in the device group and 25 percent in the medical-therapy group (P=0.002), and the rates at two years were 23 percent and 8 percent (P=0.09), respectively. The frequency of serious adverse events in the device group was 2.35 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.86 to 2.95) times that in the medical-therapy group, with a predominance of infection, bleeding, and malfunction of the device. The quality of life was significantly improved at one year in the device group. CONCLUSIONS: The use of a left ventricular assist device in patients with advanced heart failure resulted in a clinically meaningful survival benefit and an improved quality of life. A left ventricular assist device is an acceptable alternative therapy in selected patients who are not candidates for cardiac transplantation.


Asunto(s)
Insuficiencia Cardíaca/terapia , Corazón Auxiliar , Actividades Cotidianas , Anciano , Causas de Muerte , Diseño de Equipo , Falla de Equipo , Femenino , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/clasificación , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/mortalidad , Corazón Auxiliar/efectos adversos , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Calidad de Vida , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Análisis de Supervivencia
8.
J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg ; 119(4 Pt 1): 720-31, 2000 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10733760

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To examine the survival, developmental status, quality of life, and direct medical costs of children with hypoplastic left heart syndrome who have undergone stage I, II, and III reconstructive surgery. METHODS: A total of 106 children underwent staged repair for classic hypoplastic left heart syndrome between February 1990 and March 1999 (stage I: 106; stage II: 49; stage III: 25; 4 converted to heart transplantation). Survival was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method. In a cross-sectional study, parents assessed quality of life by completing the Infant/Toddler Child Health Questionnaire or Child Health Questionnaire Parent Format-28; they assessed developmental progress by completing the Ages and Stages Questionnaire. The ratio-of-costs-to-charges method was used to derive hospital costs, and payments were used to capture physician time and wholesale pricing for outpatient medications. RESULTS: Institutional 1-year and 5-year actuarial survivals were 58% and 54%. Birth weight, the need for preoperative inotropic drugs, and surgical experience were predictors of survival. Norwood I patients achieved fewer developmental benchmarks than those who survived to subsequent stages. Child Health Questionnaire Parent Format-28 mean summary scores for physical and psychosocial health were 48.5 +/- 6.3 and 42.8 +/- 9.9. The median inpatient costs for stage I, II, and III repairs were $51,000, $33,892, and $52,183, respectively. Monthly outpatient and readmission costs were less than 10% of total costs. CONCLUSION: A prospective, large-scale study of the comprehensive outcomes of staged repair and transplantation is needed. This study will need to address the longer-term developmental and quality-of-life outcomes, as well as the long-term cost effectiveness of these procedures.


Asunto(s)
Síndrome del Corazón Izquierdo Hipoplásico/mortalidad , Síndrome del Corazón Izquierdo Hipoplásico/cirugía , Desarrollo Infantil , Femenino , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Humanos , Síndrome del Corazón Izquierdo Hipoplásico/economía , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Calidad de Vida , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Tasa de Supervivencia
9.
Arch Biochem Biophys ; 370(1): 22-33, 1999 Oct 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10496973

RESUMEN

Type I diabetes in rodents is associated with a spectrum of liver mitochondrial abnormalities ranging from evidence of oxidative stress and altered antioxidant defenses to frank defects in respiration rates and respiratory control ratios. To better address the myriad changes in redox metabolism in these mitochondria, we have applied new chromatographic techniques that enable simultaneous analysis of multiple components of pathways of interest (e.g., purine catabolites and oxidation by-products). We report here a portion of these results, which, in conjunction with other reported data, suggest that purine catabolism may contribute to mitochondrial antioxidant defenses by producing the antioxidant urate. In liver mitochondria from diabetic rats, increases in uric acid (threefold) and its direct precursor xanthine (sixfold) were observed in moderate diabetes, but levels fell essentially to normal in severe disease. Failure to maintain elevated xanthine and uric acid occurred contemporaneously with progressive mitochondrial dysfunction. Regression analysis revealed altered precursor-product relationships between xanthine, its precursors, and uric acid. An independent set of studies in isolated rat liver mitochondria showed that mitochondrial respiration was associated with essentially uniform decreases (approximately 30%) in all purine catabolites measured (urate, xanthine, hypoxanthine, guanine, guanosine, and xanthosine). That result suggests the potential for steady production of urate. Taken together, the two studies raise the possibility that purine catabolism may be a previously unappreciated component of the homeostatic response of mitochondria to oxidant stress and may play a critical role in slowing progressive mitochondrial dysfunction in certain disease states.


Asunto(s)
Antioxidantes/metabolismo , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 1/metabolismo , Mitocondrias Hepáticas/metabolismo , Consumo de Oxígeno , Purinas/metabolismo , Animales , Diabetes Mellitus Experimental/metabolismo , Guanina/metabolismo , Guanosina/metabolismo , Hipoxantina/metabolismo , Cinética , Oxidación-Reducción , Ratas , Valores de Referencia , Ácido Úrico/metabolismo , Xantina/metabolismo
10.
Health Econ ; 8(3): 191-201, 1999 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10348414

RESUMEN

Estimation of the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) is difficult for several reasons: treatments that decrease both cost and effectiveness and treatments that increase both cost and effectiveness can yield identical values of the ICER; the ICER is a discontinuous function of the mean difference in effectiveness; and the standard estimate of the ICER is a ratio. To address these difficulties, we have developed a Bayesian methodology that involves computing posterior probabilities for the four quadrants and separate interval estimates of ICER for the quadrants of interest. We compute these quantities by simulating draws from the posterior distribution of the cost and effectiveness parameters and tabulating the appropriate posterior probabilities and quantiles. We demonstrate the method by re-analysing three previously published clinical trials.


Asunto(s)
Teorema de Bayes , Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto/estadística & datos numéricos , Análisis Costo-Beneficio/métodos , Costos de la Atención en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Investigación sobre Servicios de Salud/métodos , Ensayos Clínicos como Asunto/economía , Evaluación de Medicamentos/economía , Investigación sobre Servicios de Salud/economía , Investigación sobre Servicios de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Funciones de Verosimilitud , Modelos Econométricos , Valor de la Vida
11.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 67(3): 723-30, 1999 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10215217

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Because left ventricular assist devices have recently been approved by the Food and Drug Administration to support the circulation of patients with end-stage heart failure awaiting cardiac transplantation, these devices are increasingly being considered as a potential alternative to biologic cardiac replacement. The Randomized Evaluation of Mechanical Assistance for the Treatment of Congestive Heart Failure (REMATCH) trial is a multicenter study supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute to compare long-term implantation of left ventricular assist devices with optimal medical management for patients with end-stage heart failure who require, but do not qualify to receive cardiac transplantation. METHODS: We discuss the rationale for conducting REMATCH, the obstacles to designing this and other randomized surgical trials, the lessons learned in conducting the multicenter pilot study, and the features of the REMATCH study design (objectives, target population, treatments, end points, analysis, and trial organization). CONCLUSIONS: We consider what will be learned from REMATCH, expectations for expanding the use of left ventricular assist devices, and future directions for assessing clinical procedures.


Asunto(s)
Insuficiencia Cardíaca/terapia , Corazón Auxiliar , Insuficiencia Cardíaca/cirugía , Trasplante de Corazón , Corazón Auxiliar/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Estudios Multicéntricos como Asunto , Selección de Paciente , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados Aleatorios como Asunto , Proyectos de Investigación
12.
J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg ; 117(3): 419-28; discussion 428-30, 1999 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10047643

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: It has been known for nearly 20 years that, in cardiovascular operations, a significant inverse relationship exists between clinical outcomes and the volume of procedures performed. Interestingly, this relationship persists 2 decades after it was recognized. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between hospital volume and in-hospital deaths in 3 cardiovascular procedures: coronary artery bypass grafting, elective repair of abdominal aortic aneurysms, and repair of congenital cardiac defects. METHODS: The database includes all patients who were hospitalized in New York State during the years 1990 to 1995. Using standard logistic regression techniques, we analyzed the relationship between hospital volume and outcome. RESULTS: No correlation exists between hospital volume and in-hospital deaths in coronary artery bypass grafting. Statewide, 31 hospitals performed 97,137 operations over the 6-year period (overall mortality rate, 2. 75%). By contrast, most of the hospitals statewide (195 of 230 hospitals) performed 9847 elective abdominal aortic aneurysm repairs with an overall mortality rate of 5.5%. In abdominal aortic aneurysm operations, a significant inverse relationship between hospital volume and in-hospital deaths was determined. Sixteen hospitals performed 7199 repairs for congenital cardiac defects. A significant inverse relationship (which was most pronounced for neonates) was found between volume and death. CONCLUSIONS: The importance of these findings lies in the rather striking difference between the volume-outcome relationship found for operations for abdominal aortic aneurysms and congenital cardiac defects and the lack of such a relationship for coronary artery bypass grafting. This observation may be largely explained by the quality improvement program in New York State for bypass operations since 1989. If so, these results have important implications for expanding the scope of quality improvement efforts in New York State.


Asunto(s)
Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/cirugía , Puente de Arteria Coronaria/estadística & datos numéricos , Cardiopatías Congénitas/cirugía , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Adolescente , Adulto , Aneurisma de la Aorta Abdominal/mortalidad , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Cardíacos/estadística & datos numéricos , Niño , Preescolar , Puente de Arteria Coronaria/mortalidad , Femenino , Cardiopatías Congénitas/mortalidad , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , New York/epidemiología , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares/estadística & datos numéricos
13.
Med Decis Making ; 19(1): 9-15, 1999.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9917015

RESUMEN

The defining feature of a confidence interval is that it has a fixed minimum probability of covering the true value of the parameter being estimated, whatever the value of the parameter. The authors demonstrate by simulation that some recently proposed methods for interval estimation of the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) either do not satisfy this definition or have other problems that limit their usefulness in applications. The problems are most prominent when the ICER is large and the true effectiveness difference is small relative to its standard error. A modification of the percentile bootstrap confidence interval that involves a reordering of the sample space provides a partial solution of the problem.


Asunto(s)
Intervalos de Confianza , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Probabilidad
14.
Int J Technol Assess Health Care ; 15(3): 563-72, 1999.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-10874382

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: We explore the policy implications of probabilistic sensitivity analysis in cost-effectiveness analysis by applying simulation methods to a decision model. METHODS: We present the multiway sensitivity analysis results of a study of the cost-effectiveness of vaccination against pneumococcal bacteremia in the elderly. We then execute a probabilistic sensitivity analysis of the cost-effectiveness ratio by specifying posterior distributions for the uncertain parameters in our decision analysis model. In order to estimate probability intervals, we rank the numerical values of the simulated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) to take into account preferences along the cost-effectiveness plane. RESULTS: The 95% probability intervals for the ICER were generally much narrower than the difference between the best case and worst case results from a multiway sensitivity analysis. Although the multiway sensitivity analysis had indicated that, in the worst case, vaccination in the 85 and older age group was not acceptable from a policy standpoint, probabilistic methods indicated that the cost-effectiveness of vaccination was below $50,000 per quality-adjusted life-year in greater than 92% of the simulations and below $100,000 in greater than 95% of the simulations. CONCLUSIONS: Probabilistic methods can supplement multiway sensitivity analyses to provide a more comprehensive picture of the uncertainty associated with cost-effectiveness ratios and thereby inform policy decisions.


Asunto(s)
Bacteriemia/prevención & control , Vacunas Bacterianas/administración & dosificación , Infecciones Neumocócicas/prevención & control , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Análisis Costo-Beneficio/métodos , Humanos , Probabilidad , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Sensibilidad y Especificidad
16.
J Pediatr Orthop B ; 7(3): 203-9, 1998 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9702670

RESUMEN

Concerns about the transmission of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) have driven the evolution of surgical transfusion practices including the use of preoperative erythropoietin (rhEPO). Although there is significant experience documenting the efficacy of preoperative rhEPO in reducing transfusion requirements for adult patients, there is little experience in the pediatric population. With 178 pediatric patients who underwent surgery for spinal deformity, a retrospective cohort study was performed using patient charts, administrative records, and blood bank computer data. Of these patients, 44% received erythropoietin and 55% did not. From the entire population, 17.5% were in the rhEPO treatment group that received homologous blood transfusion compared with 30.6% in the untreated group (p < 0.05). Among the children with idiopathic scoliosis, this effect was more pronounced, with 3.9% of rhEPO patients receiving blood transfusion compared with 23.5% of nontreated patients (p = 0.006). Additionally, rhEPO treatment was associated with a significantly decreased length of stay only for patients in the idiopathic group (9.3 vs. 6.7, p = 0.02). Use of preoperative erythropoietin in pediatric patients undergoing scoliosis surgery resulted in higher preoperative hematocrit levels. Significantly lower rates of transfusion were noted only in the idiopathic group, however. Although there is a possibility of erythropoietin "resistance" in the neuromuscular and congenital patients, alternative explanations for the lack of effect on transfusion rates may include underdosing and biases existent in this nonrandomized retrospective study.


Asunto(s)
Transfusión Sanguínea/estadística & datos numéricos , Eritropoyetina/administración & dosificación , Ortopedia/métodos , Escoliosis/cirugía , Adolescente , Distribución de Chi-Cuadrado , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , Ensayos Clínicos Controlados como Asunto , Eritropoyetina/efectos adversos , Femenino , Humanos , Tiempo de Internación/estadística & datos numéricos , Masculino , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Cuidados Preoperatorios , Proteínas Recombinantes , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Escoliosis/diagnóstico , Programas Informáticos , Trasplante Homólogo , Resultado del Tratamiento
17.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 64(5): 1312-9, 1997 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9386696

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: To examine the long-term costs of implanting a left ventricular assist device, we reviewed the initial hospitalization and outpatient costs for 12 patients who received a vented electric left ventricular assist device, and projected the first-year costs. METHODS: We used the ratio-of-cost-to-charges method to measure hospital costs and payments for physician time. We examined time trends in the resource use of 50 pneumatic left ventricular assist device recipients, using actuarial techniques and regression modeling. RESULTS: The average actual cost of left ventricular assist device support is $221,313 over an average of 9.5 months. If there had been no Food and Drug Administration regulatory policy precluding hospital discharge before 30 days, this value would have been $201,148. Based on this latter figure, the average predicted first-year cost is $219,139. The length of the intensive care unit stay, one of the most costly components of care, decreased significantly over time. CONCLUSIONS: The high costs of left ventricular assist device implantation are similar to those reported for cardiac transplantation. Given their success in supporting survival, we anticipate that these devices will be similarly cost-effective. However, further research is imperative to determine the cost-effectiveness of these devices beyond the introductory phase, when costs, benefits, and Food and Drug Administration requirements have stabilized.


Asunto(s)
Costos de la Atención en Salud , Corazón Auxiliar/economía , Análisis Actuarial , Adulto , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Femenino , Precios de Hospital , Costos de Hospital , Humanos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos/economía , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad
18.
JAMA ; 278(16): 1333-9, 1997.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9343464

RESUMEN

CONTEXT: Clinical, epidemiologic, and policy considerations support updating the cost-effectiveness of pneumococcal vaccination for elderly people and targeting the evaluation only to prevention of pneumococcal bacteremia. OBJECTIVE: To assess the implications for medical costs and health effects of vaccination against pneumococcal bacteremia in elderly people. DESIGN: Cost-effectiveness analysis of pneumococcal vaccination compared with no vaccination, from a societal perspective. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: The elderly population aged 65 years and older in the United States in 3 geographic areas: metropolitan Atlanta, Ga; Franklin County, Ohio; and Monroe County, New York. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incremental medical costs and health effects, expressed in quality-adjusted life-years per person vaccinated. RESULTS: Vaccination was cost saving, ie, it both reduced medical expenses and improved health, for all age groups and geographic areas analyzed in the base case. For people aged 65 years and older, vaccination saved $8.27 and gained 1.21 quality-adjusted days of life per person vaccinated. Vaccination of the 23 million elderly people unvaccinated in 1993 would have gained about 78000 years of healthy life and saved $194 million. In univariate sensitivity analysis, the results remained cost saving except for doubling vaccination costs, including future medical costs of survivors, and lowering vaccination effectiveness. With assumptions most unfavorable to vaccination, cost per quality-adjusted life-year ranged from $35 822 for ages 65 to 74 years to $598 487 for ages 85 years and older. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, probability intervals were more narrow, with less than 5% probability that the ratio for ages 85 years and older would exceed $100000. CONCLUSIONS: Pneumococcal vaccination saves costs in the prevention of bacteremia alone and is greatly underused among the elderly population, on both health and economic grounds. These results support recent recommendations of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices and public and private efforts under way to improve vaccination rates.


Asunto(s)
Bacteriemia/economía , Bacteriemia/prevención & control , Vacunas Bacterianas/economía , Infecciones Neumocócicas/economía , Infecciones Neumocócicas/prevención & control , Streptococcus pneumoniae/inmunología , Vacunación/economía , Anciano , Bacteriemia/mortalidad , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Árboles de Decisión , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Humanos , Método de Montecarlo , Infecciones Neumocócicas/mortalidad , Vacunas Neumococicas , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
19.
Ann Thorac Surg ; 64(6): 1764-9, 1997 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-9436569

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: With the increasing use of left ventricular assist devices (LVADs) for longer-term support of patients awaiting cardiac transplantation, we must now consider whether to use these devices as alternatives to medical therapy when biologic hearts are needed but not forthcoming. This expansion of use depends as much on quality of life as it does on survival. To draw an inference about long-term quality of life with implanted LVADs, we studied "bridged" patients at our institution. METHODS: We elicited, by standard gamble, the utilities (preferences) of bridged patients at three points in their care: before LVAD implantation, during LVAD support, and after cardiac transplantation. RESULTS: Utility was 0.548 (+/-0.276) before implantation, 0.809 (+/-0.136) during LVAD support, and 0.964 (+/-0.089) after transplantation. For patients interviewed during all three states of health, the utilities were significantly different (p = 0.0009 by analysis of variance). CONCLUSIONS: The quality of life with an LVAD was substantially better than with medical therapy, on par with renal transplantation (as established by others), and not as good as after cardiac transplantation. These results portend an acceptable quality of life for long-term use of LVADs for patients with end-stage heart failure and contribute to the growing body of evidence supporting a clinical trial to test this new use.


Asunto(s)
Corazón Auxiliar , Calidad de Vida , Femenino , Trasplante de Corazón , Humanos , Entrevistas como Asunto , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Resultado del Tratamiento
20.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 14(3 Suppl A): 29A-37A, 1989 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-2504800

RESUMEN

Decision analysis, an analytic approach to making decisions when uncertainty is present, has its foundation in probability and utility theory. It provides insights into the trade-offs that are involved when a selection must be made among patient management strategies. In general, several broad steps are involved. The process begins by formulating the clinical problem as a well focused choice among a limited set of clinical etiologies. These strategies are then structured explicitly in a model that depicts the clinical events that may ensue from each option. By assigning probability values to each outcome, the weighted average outcome or expected utility can be calculated for each alternative strategy. The strategy with the highest expected utility is the optimal one. The methods of decision analysis offer a number of distinct advantages. These include: 1) providing a structure with which to simplify and focus clinical dilemmas; 2) providing a forum for discussing clinical reasoning; and 3) developing a consensus among groups of decision makers.


Asunto(s)
Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Electrocardiografía , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Operativos , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Teorema de Bayes , Análisis Costo-Beneficio/métodos , Árboles de Decisión , Femenino , Humanos , Complicaciones Intraoperatorias/prevención & control , Esperanza de Vida , Masculino , Infarto del Miocardio/diagnóstico , Planificación de Atención al Paciente , Probabilidad , Factores de Riesgo , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Operativos/economía , Factores de Tiempo
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