Scaling up integrated care for HIV and other chronic conditions in routine health care settings in sub-Saharan Africa: Field notes from Uganda.

Introduction: Integration of HIV and non-communicable disease (NCD) services is proposed to increase efficiency and coverage of NCD care in sub-Saharan Africa. Description: Between October 2018 to January 2020 in Tanzania and Uganda, working in partnership with health services, we introduced an integrated chronic care model for people with HIV, diabetes and hypertension. In this model, patients were able to access care from a single point of care, as opposed to the standard of siloed care from vertical clinics. When the study ended, routine clinical services adopted the integrated model. In this article, we discuss how the model transitioned post hand-over in Uganda and draw lessons to inform future scale-up. Discussion: The findings suggest potential for successful uptake of integrated chronic care by routine clinical services in sub-Saharan Africa. This approach may appeal to health care service providers and policy makers when they can quantify benefits that accrue from it, such as optimal utilization of health resources. For patients, integrated care may not appeal to all patients due to HIV-related stigma. Key considerations include good communication with patients, strong leadership, maintaining patient confidentiality and incorporating patient needs to facilitate successful uptake. Conclusion: Evidence on the benefits of integrated care remains limited. More robust evidence will be essential to guide scale-up beyond research sites.

Effect of anesthesia administration method on apgar scores of infants born to women undergoing elective cesarean section.

BACKGROUND: Neonatal health at delivery as measured by apgar scores is an important outcome. This study was done to assess the impact of anesthesia on Apgar 1-minute and 5-minute scores of infants delivered through elective cesarean section in Zimbabwe. METHODS: We carried out a secondary analysis of data from the Efficacy of Tranexamic Acid in Preventing Postpartum Hemorrhage (ETAPPH) clinical trial in Zimbabwe. Outcomes measured were infant Apgar scores at 1 and 5 min, exposure was the administration of either a general (intravenous propofol/ketamine/sodium thiopental) or spinal (hyperbaric bupivacaine 0.5%) anesthesia for anesthesia during the elective cesarean section procedure. Marginal Structural Logistic Modelling (MSM) using an unstabilized Inverse Probability Treatment Weight (IPTW) estimator was used to assess the relationship between anesthetic administration method and infant Apgar scores. RESULTS: Four hundred and twenty-one (421) women who had an elective caesarean section in the ETAPPH study had their infants assessed for Apgar scores. Comparing general anesthesia to spinal anesthesia, spinal anesthesia was related to good Apgar scores at 1-minute (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 4.0, 95% Confidence Interval = 1.5-10.7, sensitivity analysis E-value = 3.41). Spinal anesthetic administration was also related to good Apgar scores at 5 min (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 6.2, 95% Confidence Interval = 1.6-23.1, sensitivity analysis E-value = 4.42). CONCLUSIONS: When providing anesthesia for patients undergoing elective cesarean section, care should be taken on the method of administration of anesthetic agents. General anesthesia tends to depress Apgar scores at 1 min, although most neonates recover and have better scores at 5 min. Spinal anesthesia should be the first choice whenever possible. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The clinical trial from which data of this study was abstracted was registered under clinical trials registration number NCT04733157.

Retention in care for type 2 diabetes management in Sub-Saharan Africa: A systematic review.

OBJECTIVE: Diabetes prevalence has risen rapidly in Sub-Saharan Africa, but rates of retention in diabetes care are poorly understood. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine rates of retention in care of persons with type 2 diabetes. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, Global Health and CINAHL online databases for cohort studies and randomised control trials (RCTs) published up to 12 October 2021, that reported retention in or attrition from care for patients with type 2 diabetes in Sub-Saharan Africa. Retention was defined as persons diagnosed with diabetes who were alive and in care or with a known outcome, while attrition was defined as loss from care. RESULTS: From 6559 articles identified, after title and abstract screening, 209 articles underwent full text review. Forty six papers met the inclusion criteria, comprising 22,610 participants. Twenty one articles were of RCTs of which 8 trials had 1 year or more of follow-up and 25 articles were of non-randomised studies of which 19 had 12 months or more of follow-up. A total of 11 studies (5 RCTs and 6 non-randomised) were assessed to be of good quality. Sixteen RCTs were done in secondary or tertiary care settings. Their pooled retention rate (95% CI) was 80% (77%, 84%) in the control arm. Four RCTs had been done in primary care settings and their pooled retention rate (95% CI) was 53% (45%, 62%) in the control arm. The setting of one trial was unclear. For non-randomised studies, retention rates (95% CI) were 68% (62%, 75%) among 19 studies done in secondary and tertiary care settings, and 40% (33%, 49%) among the 6 studies done in primary care settings. CONCLUSION: Rates of retention in care of people living with diabetes are poor in primary care research settings.

Prevalence of microvascular and macrovascular complications of diabetes in newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes in low-and-middle-income countries: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

There is an excessive burden of diabetes complications in low-resource settings. We conducted a systematic review to determine the nature and frequency of diabetes complications in newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes. A systematic search was performed using Medline, CINAHL and Global Health online databases from inception to July 2020. Articles reporting prevalence of microvascular or macrovascular complications within six months of type 2 diabetes diagnosis and published in English or French from low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) were eligible for analysis. Data were extracted using a standardized data extraction tool. Descriptive statistics were used to describe the prevalence of micro and macrovascular complications in newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes. Assessment of heterogeneity was conducted using the inconsistency index (I2) and Cochran-Q chi2 statistical tests. Publication bias was assessed by the Funnel plot and Egger test. A total of 3 292 records underwent title or abstract screening and 95 articles underwent full text review. Thirty-three studies describing 13 283 participants (aged 20 years and older) met the inclusion criteria. The eligible studies were from Asia (n = 24), Africa (n = 4), Oceania (n = 2), South America (n = 2) and the Caribbean (n = 1). For microvascular complications, the median prevalence (interquartile range) of retinopathy, nephropathy and neuropathy were 12% (6%-15%), 15% (7%-35%) and 16% (10%25%) respectively. For macrovascular complications, the median prevalence (interquartile range) was 10% (7%-17%) for ischaemic heart disease, 6% (1%-20%) for peripheral arterial disease and 2% (1%-4%) for stroke. There was evidence of substantial heterogeneity between studies for all outcomes (I2 > 90%. We found a high prevalence of complications in newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes in LMICs. Findings suggest that many people live with diabetes and are only diagnosed when they present with complications in LMICs. Research is needed to guide timely and effective identification of people living with diabetes in these settings.

Suicide in Nigeria: observations from the content analysis of newspapers.

BACKGROUND: Suicide is a global public health problem and Nigeria is one of the epicentres of suicide in the world. However, there is a dearth of research exploring the epidemiological aspects of suicide in Nigeria. AIM: To examine the demographic information and precipitating events for suicides in Nigeria by analysing the contents of newspaper reports of suicide. METHODS: We searched, collected, and analysed published news reports about suicide from 10 English newspapers in Nigeria. A total of 350 suicide reports were assessed between January 2010 and December 2019 after screening and sorting. RESULTS: The mean (SD) age of the reported cases was 36.33 (15.48) years. Majority of the reported cases were male (80.6%), married (51.8%), students (33.6%), living in a semi-urban area (40.3%) and among the age group of 25-34 (25.3%). Hanging (48.6%) and poisoning (32.2%) were the most commonly reported methods of suicide. Financial constraints and marital conflicts were most commonly assumed precipitating factors. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that being male, married, or living in semi-urban areas are associated with suicide in Nigeria. Further community-based studies are warranted to generalise the findings and adopt appropriate preventive strategies.

Achieving maternal viral load suppression for elimination of mother-to-child transmission of HIV in South Africa.

OBJECTIVE: To describe changes in maternal viral control over time in South African women living with HIV (WLHIV) using surveillance data from the National Health Laboratory Service's Corporate Data Warehouse (NHLS CDW). DESIGN: A retrospective cohort analysis of maternal viral load during pregnancy and up to 15 months postpartum was performed amongst WLHIV (15-49 years) within the public-health sector between 2016 and 2017. METHODS: HIV and pregnancy-related test data were used to create a synthetic cohort of pregnant WLHIV from the NHLS CDW. Syphilis-screening, in association with ward type and/or postpregnancy cervical screening and/or birth HIV test and/or positive ß-hCG, was used as a proxy for pregnancy. The syphilis-screening date marked the first antenatal care visit (fANC). Fractional polynomial models described viral load evolution from fANC up to 15 months postdelivery. Piecewise linear regression models determined factors associated with viral load decline. FINDINGS: Among 178 319 pregnant WLHIV, 345 174 viral load tests were performed [median = 2 (IQR: 2-3) per woman]. At fANC, 85 545 (48%) women were antiretroviral therapy (ART) experienced; 88 877 (49.8%) were not and 3897 (2.2%) unknown. Proportions of viraemia (viral load ≥50 copies/ml) were 39 756 (53.6%) at first viral load performed during pregnancy, 14 780 (36.9%) at delivery and 24 328 (33.5%) postpartum. Maternal age at least 25 years, CD4+ cell count at least 500 cells/µl and viral load less than 50 copies/ml at baseline predicted sustained viral load suppression during follow-up. CONCLUSION: Despite high-ART coverage among pregnant women in South Africa, only 63% of WLHIV achieved viral load less than 50 copies/ml at delivery. Maternal viral load monitoring requires prioritization for maternal health and eMTCT.

Point-of-care HIV maternal viral load and early infant diagnosis testing around time of delivery at tertiary obstetric units in South Africa: a prospective study of coverage, results return and turn-around times.

INTRODUCTION: Maternal viral load monitoring (mVL) and early infant diagnosis (EID) are necessary to achieve elimination of mother-to-child transmission of HIV. Point-of-care testing can achieve better outcomes compared to centralized laboratory testing (CLT). We describe the first implementation of point-of-care (POC) mVL and EID testing around delivery at four high volume tertiary obstetric units (TOUs) in Gauteng, South Africa. METHODS: Prospective study of pregnant women living with HIV (WLHIV) and their infants. During the period 1 June 2018 to 31 March 2019, routine staff collected blood specimens from women and their infants around delivery. Specimen collection occurred throughout the week while dedicated POC operators, conducted testing during working hours on weekdays. Descriptive statistics and multivariable Poisson regression with robust error variance were used to describe outcomes and associated factors. Outcomes determined were (i) coverage of mVL and EID testing defined as a proportion of live births to WLHIV admitted at each facility (ii) results returned prior to discharge (iii) turn-around time (TAT) and iv) performance of POC testing compared to CLT. RESULTS: In total, 8147 live births to pregnant WLHIV were recorded in the implementation period. Of these, 2912 mVL and 5074 EID specimens were included in the analysis, with 131 (4.5%) mVL and 715 (14.1%) EID specimens having initial invalid/error results. Overall coverage of POC mVL and EID testing was 35.6% (range 20.9% to 60.1%) and 61.9% (range 47.0% to 88.0%) respectively. Proportions of POC tested mothers and infants with results returned prior to discharge were 74.3% (range 39.0% to 95.7%) and 73.0% (range 50.0 to 97.9%). Return of results was independently associated with TOU, after-hours specimen collection, having an initial invalid or error result and period of implementation. Overall TAT for specimens collected from mother-infant pairs where both had POC testing, during weekdays was longer for EID compared to mVL testing (median 3.3 hours vs. 2.9 hours, p-value sign test <0.001). POC results were comparable to those from laboratory testing. CONCLUSION: Accurate and timely POC mVL and EID testing around delivery was implemented with variable success across TOUs. Further scale up would need to address health system factors at facility level and high analytical error rates.

The geographic distribution of priority population groups for the elimination of mother-to-child transmission of HIV in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Women of reproductive age living with HIV (WRLHIV), HIV-positive pregnant women, adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) are key populations for eliminating mother-to-child of HIV (eMTCT) in South Africa. We describe the geographical distribution of WRLHIV, their pregnant counterparts and AGYW for risk-adjusted allocation of eMTCT interventions. METHODS: For the year 2018, we triangulated data from the Thembisa Model with five routine HIV-related and demographic data sources to determine the distribution of WRLHIV (15-49 years) and AGYW (15-24 years) nationally and by province. Data analysed included total population estimates, number of live-births, live-births to HIV-positive women, age-specific HIV prevalence rates, intrauterine (IU)-transmission rates and IU-case rates/100 000 live-births. IU-transmission rates and IU-case rates were calculated from de-duplicated routine HIV test-data for neonates (aged <7days). Data de-duplication was achieved by a patient-linking algorithm that uses probabilistic matching of demographics (name, surname, date of birth), supplemented by manual matching to account for spelling errors. RESULTS: There were 58 million people in South Africa in 2018. Females (all ages) constituted 51% of the population. Women of reproductive age constituted 27% and AGYW constituted 8% of the total population. WRLHIV, AGYW living with HIV and HIV-positive pregnant women accounted for 7%, 0.8% and 0.4% of the total population respectively. Gauteng was the most populous province followed by KwaZulu-Natal, with Western Cape and Eastern Cape in third and fourth positions. The distribution of WRLHIV and AGYW followed a similar trend. However, Mpumalanga and Limpopo provinces had higher proportions of WRLHIV and AGYW living with HIV ahead of Western Cape. KwaZulu-Natal had the highest number of live-births to HIV-positive women. The national IU-transmission rate of <1% translated into 241 cases/100 000. While provincial IU-case rates were fairly similar at 179-325, districts IU-case rates varied, ranging from 87-415 cases/100 000 live-births. CONCLUSION: Findings suggest that the need for eMTCT interventions is greatest in Gauteng, KwaZulu-Natal, Western Cape and Eastern Cape. Limpopo and Mpumalanga provinces may require more HIV prevention and family planning services because of high fertility rates, high number of WRLHIV and AGYW living with HIV. eMTCT will require robust viral load monitoring among WRLHIV, pregnant and breastfeeding women. The national laboratory database can provide this service near-real time.

Characterizing Viral Load Burden Among HIV-Infected Women Around the Time of Delivery: Findings From Four Tertiary Obstetric Units in Gauteng, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Elimination of mother-to-child transmission of HIV requires sustained viral load suppression during pregnancy and breastfeeding among women living with HIV (WLHIV). Antenatal antiretroviral therapy coverage is reported at >95% in South Africa, but viral load suppression rates are unknown. We describe maternal VL burden around time of delivery at 4 tertiary obstetric units (TOUs) in Gauteng Province. METHODS: Between June 2018 and March 2019, routine point-of-care (PoC) maternal HIV VL and early infant diagnosis (EID) testing were implemented at 3 TOUs in Johannesburg and 1 in Tshwane district. WLHIV and HIV-exposed neonates were eligible for HIV VL (Xpert HIV-1 VL) and EID (Xpert HIV-1 EID or m-PIMA HIV1/2 detection) testing around time of delivery, respectively. Proportions of viremic women and intrauterine (IU)-infected neonates were calculated among valid PoC results. RESULTS: Among 8147 live births to WLHIV, 2769 (34.0%) women and 4333 (53.2%) neonates had valid PoC results. Median VL at delivery was <40 copies/mL (interquartile range: 0-398). The proportion of women with a VL < 50, 50 to <1000, and ≥1000 copies/mL was 63.6%, 13.9% and 22.4%, respectively. There were 65/4333 (1.5%) IU-infected neonates. Among 1449 mother-neonate pairs with both VL and EID results, IU transmission by VL threshold was 3/946 (0.3%), 6/187 (3.2%), and 25/316 (7.9%) for VL < 50, 50 to <1000, and ≥1000 copies/mL, respectively (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Despite high antiretroviral therapy coverage, >1/3 of WLHIV had a VL ≥50 copies/mL at delivery. Among mother-neonate pairs, maternal VL ≥50 copies/mL accounted for 31/34 (91%) IU infections. Improvement in the quality of HIV care among WLHIV is essential if South Africa is to achieve elimination of mother-to-child transmission.

Differentiating clearly positive from indeterminate results: A review of irreproducible HIV-1 PCR positive samples from South Africa's Early Infant Diagnosis Program, 2010-2015.

We describe the extent of and variables associated with irreproducible HIV-1 PCR positive results within South Africa's Early Infant Diagnosis (EID) program from 2010 to 2015 and propose criteria for differentiating indeterminate from clearly positive results using the COBAS® AmpliPrep/COBAS® TaqMan HIV-1 Qualitative Test version 2.0 (CAP/CTM Qual v2.0). Fourteen percent of specimens with an instrument-positive result that were repeat-tested yielded a negative result for which cycle threshold (Ct) proved to be the only predictive variable. A Ct <33.0 was found to be the most accurate threshold value for differentiating clearly positive from irreproducible cases, correctly predicting 96.8% of results. Among 70 patients with an irreproducible positive result linked to a follow up HIV-1 PCR test, 67 (95.7%) were negative and 3 (4.3%) were instrument-positive. Criteria differentiating clearly positive from indeterminate results need to be retained within EID services and infants with indeterminate results closely monitored and final HIV status determined.

Introduction of Routine HIV Birth Testing in the South African National Consolidated Guidelines.

BACKGROUND: South Africa represents the first high-burden setting to introduce routine virologic testing at birth within its early infant diagnosis program, implemented in June 2015. National HIV birth testing coverage, intrauterine transmission rates and case rates for the first year since introduction of universal birth testing are reported. METHODS: HIV polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test data from June 2015 to May 2016 were extracted from the National Health Laboratory Service's central data repository by year, month, age, result and geographic location. Birth testing was defined as all HIV PCR tests performed at <7 days of life; coverage as the proportion of all HIV-exposed neonates born who were tested at birth; estimated intrauterine transmission rate as the percentage of HIV PCR positive tests in HIV-exposed neonates tested and case rates as the number of HIV PCR positive tests per 100,000 total live births. RESULTS: Between June 2015 and May 2016, the South African national monthly birth testing coverage increased from 39% (8636 tests) to 93% (20,479 tests). During this period, the number of positive tests at birth increased from 114 to 234 per month, equating to a national intrauterine transmission rate of 1.1% and a birth case rate of 247 per 100,000 live births. CONCLUSIONS: Universal birth testing for all HIV-exposed neonates is rapidly being achieved in South Africa, facilitating earlier detection of intrauterine infected neonates. However, the successful linkage into care of HIV-infected neonates and their treatment outcomes remain to be assessed.

Brief Report: Declining Baseline Viremia and Escalating Discordant HIV-1 Confirmatory Results Within South Africa's Early Infant Diagnosis Program, 2010-2016.

OBJECTIVE: To describe baseline HIV-1 RNA viral load (VL) trends within South Africa's Early Infant Diagnosis program 2010-2016, with reference to prevention of mother-to-child transmission guidelines. METHODS: HIV-1 total nucleic acid polymerase chain reaction (TNA PCR) and RNA VL data from 2010 to 2016 were extracted from the South African National Health Laboratory Service's central data repository. Infants with a positive TNA PCR and subsequent baseline RNA VL taken at age <7 months were included. Descriptive statistics were performed for quantified and lower-than-quantification limit (LQL) results per annum and age in months. Trend analyses were performed using log likelihood ratio tests. Multivariable linear regression was used to model the relationship between RNA VL and predictor variables, whereas logistic regression was used to identify predictors associated with LQL RNA VL results. RESULTS: Among 13,606 infants with a positive HIV-1 TNA PCR linked to a baseline RNA VL, median age of first PCR was 57 days and VL was 98 days. Thirteen thousand one hundred ninety-five (97.0%) infants had a quantified VL and 411 (3.0%) had an LQL result. A significant decline in median VL was observed between 2010 and 2016, from 6.3 log10 (interquartile range: 5.6-6.8) to 5.6 log10 (interquartile range: 4.2-6.5) RNA copies per milliliter, after controlling for age (P < 0.001), with younger age associated with lower VL (P < 0.001). The proportion of infants with a baseline VL <4 Log10 RNA copies per milliliter increased from 5.4% to 21.8%. Subsequent to prevention of mother-to-child transmission Option B implementation in 2013, the proportion of infants with an LQL baseline VL increased from 1.5% to 6.1% (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Between 2010 and 2016, a significant decline in baseline viremia within South Africa's Early Infant Diagnosis program was observed, with loss of detectability among some HIV-infected infants.

Missed diagnostic opportunities within South Africa's early infant diagnosis program, 2010-2015.

BACKGROUND: Samples submitted for HIV PCR testing that fail to yield a positive or negative result represent missed diagnostic opportunities. We describe HIV PCR test rejections and indeterminate results, and the associated delay in diagnosis, within South Africa's early infant diagnosis (EID) program from 2010 to 2015. METHODS: HIV PCR test data from January 2010 to December 2015 were extracted from the National Health Laboratory Service Corporate Data Warehouse, a central data repository of all registered test-sets within the public health sector in South Africa, by laboratory number, result, date, facility, and testing laboratory. Samples that failed to yield either a positive or negative result were categorized according to the rejection code on the laboratory information system, and descriptive analysis performed using Microsoft Excel. Delay in diagnosis was calculated for patients who had a missed diagnostic opportunity registered between January 2013 and December 2015 by means of a patient linking-algorithm employing demographic details. RESULTS: Between 2010 and 2015, 2 178 582 samples were registered for HIV PCR testing of which 6.2% (n = 134 339) failed to yield either a positive or negative result, decreasing proportionally from 7.0% (n = 20 556) in 2010 to 4.4% (n = 21 388) in 2015 (p<0.001). Amongst 76 972 coded missed diagnostic opportunities, 49 585 (64.4%) were a result of pre-analytical error and 27 387 (35.6%) analytical error. Amongst 49 694 patients searched for follow-up results, 16 895 (34.0%) had at least one subsequent HIV PCR test registered after a median of 29 days (IQR: 13-57), of which 8.4% tested positive compared with 3.6% of all samples submitted for the same period. CONCLUSIONS: Routine laboratory data provides the opportunity for near real-time surveillance and quality improvement within the EID program. Delay in diagnosis and wastage of resources associated with missed diagnostic opportunities must be addressed and infants actively followed-up as South Africa works towards elimination of mother-to-child transmission.

Characterizing breast conditions at an open-access breast clinic in South Africa: a model that is more than cancer care for a resource-limited setting.

BACKGROUND: While most breast-related research focuses on cancer, presentation of symptomatic persons in non-screened environments requires understanding the spectrum of breast diseases so as to plan services in resource-constrained settings. This study presents the variety of breast disease managed at a government, open-access breast clinic in South Africa. METHODS: We performed a retrospective file review using a systematic random sample of patients 18 years and above presenting for breast care over a 14-month period. We collected demographics, clinical characteristics, management and final diagnoses from the first visit and twelve subsequent months. RESULTS: The final sample contained 365 individuals (97 · 5% women). Most were black, unmarried and South African citizens with a median age of 43 years (IQR 31-55) . Of those reporting their status (24 · 1%) 38 · 6% were HIV-positive. A mass (57 · 0%) and/or pain (28 · 5%) were the most common symptoms. Imaging and breast biopsies were required in 78 and 25% of individuals, respectively. Nearly half of biopsies identified breast cancer (44 · 1% of women ≤40 and 57 · 3% for women >40). Benign conditions (47 · 7%) and no abnormality (18 · 2%) were common final classifications among women. There was no difference between the final classifications of patients who self-referred versus those who were formally referred from another health care provider. Nearly half of the participants (46 · 6%) travelled 20 km or more to attend the clinic. CONCLUSIONS: Benign breast conditions far outweighed cancer diagnoses. As breast cancer awareness increases in resource-limited countries, facilities offering breast care require administrative and clinical preparation to manage a range of non-cancer related conditions.

Treatment outcomes of over 1000 patients on second-line, protease inhibitor-based antiretroviral therapy from four public-sector HIV treatment facilities across Johannesburg, South Africa.

OBJECTIVES: To report predictors of outcomes of second-line ART for HIV treatment in a resource-limited setting. METHODS: All adult ART-naïve patients who initiated standard first-line treatment between April 2004 and February 2012 at four public-sector health facilities in Johannesburg, South Africa, experienced virologic failure and initiated standard second-line therapy were included. We assessed predictors of attrition (death and loss to follow-up [≥3 months late for a scheduled visit]) using Cox proportional hazards regression and predictors of virologic suppression (viral load <400 copies/ml ≥3 months after switch) using modified Poisson regression with robust error estimation at 1 year and ever after second-line ART initiation. RESULTS: A total of 1236 patients switched to second-line treatment in a median (IQR) of 1.9 (0.9-4.6) months after first-line virologic failure. Approximately 13% and 45% of patients were no longer in care at 1 year and at the end of follow-up, respectively. Patients with low CD4 counts (<50 vs. ≥200, aHR: 1.85; 95% CI: 1.03-3.32) at second-line switch were at greater risk for attrition by the end of follow-up. About 75% of patients suppressed by 1 year, and 85% had ever suppressed by the end of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with poor immune status at switch to second-line ART were at greater risk of attrition and were less likely to suppress. Additional adherence support after switch may improve outcomes.

Treatment Outcomes and Costs of Providing Antiretroviral Therapy at a Primary Health Clinic versus a Hospital-Based HIV Clinic in South Africa.

BACKGROUND: In 2010 South Africa revised its HIV treatment guidelines to allow the initiation and management of patients on antiretroviral therapy (ART) by nurses, rather than solely doctors, under a program called NIMART (Nurse Initiated and Managed Antiretroviral Therapy). We compared the outcomes and costs of NIMART between the two major public sector HIV treatment delivery models in use in South Africa today, primary health clinics and hospital-based HIV clinics. METHODS AND FINDINGS: The study was conducted at one hospital-based outpatient HIV clinic and one primary health clinic (PHC) in Gauteng Province. A retrospective cohort of adult patients initiated on ART at the PHC was propensity-score matched to patients initiated at the hospital outpatient clinic. Each patient was assigned a 12-month outcome of alive and in care or died/lost to follow up. Costs were estimated from the provider perspective for the 12 months after ART initiation. The proportion of patients alive and in care at 12 months did not differ between the PHC (76.5%) and the hospital-based site (74.2%). The average annual cost per patient alive and in care at 12 months after ART initiation was significantly lower at the PHC (US$238) than at the hospital outpatient clinic (US$428). CONCLUSIONS: Initiating and managing ART patients at PHCs under NIMART is producing equally good outcomes as hospital-based HIV clinic care at much lower cost. Evolution of hospital-based clinics into referral facilities that serve complicated patients, while investing most program expansion resources into PHCs, may be a preferred strategy for achieving treatment coverage targets.

Can Short-Term Use of Electronic Patient Adherence Monitoring Devices Improve Adherence in Patients Failing Second-Line Antiretroviral Therapy? Evidence from a Pilot Study in Johannesburg, South Africa.

High levels of adherence are required to achieve the full benefit of ART. We assess the effectiveness of electronic adherence monitoring devices among patients failing second-line ART, as measured by viral load suppression. Cohort study of Wisepill™ real-time adherence monitoring in addition to intensified adherence counselling over 3 months in adults with a viral load ≥400 copies/ml on second-line ART in Johannesburg, South Africa between August 2013 and January 2014. Patients were sent SMS reminders upon missing a scheduled dose. We compared outcomes to earlier historical cohorts receiving either intensified adherence counselling or adherence counselling alone. Overall, 63 % of the participants (31/49) took >80 % of their prescribed medication; this dropped from 76 to 53 and 49 % at 1, 2 and 3 months post-enrolment respectively. Compared to those with good adherence (>80 %), participants with poor adherence (≤80 %) had a higher risk for a subsequently elevated viral load ≥400 copies/ml (relative risk (RR) 1.47 95 % CI 0.97-2.23). Participants found the intervention "acceptable and useful" but by 6 months after eligibility they were only slightly more likely to be alive, in care and virally suppressed compared to those who received intensified adherence counselling (44.9 vs. 38.5 %; RR 1.19; 95 % CI 0.85-1.67) or adherence counselling alone (44.9 vs. 40.9 %; RR 1.12; 95 % CI 0.81-1.56). In patients with an elevated viral load on second-line ART electronic adherence monitoring was associated with a modest, but not significant, improvement in viral suppression.

Treatment outcomes of HIV-positive patients on first-line antiretroviral therapy in private versus public HIV clinics in Johannesburg, South Africa.

BACKGROUND: Despite the widely documented success of antiretroviral therapy (ART), stakeholders continue to face the challenges of poor HIV treatment outcomes. While many studies have investigated patient-level causes of poor treatment outcomes, data on the effect of health systems on ART outcomes are scarce. OBJECTIVE: We compare treatment outcomes among patients receiving HIV care and treatment at a public and private HIV clinic in Johannesburg, South Africa. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort analysis of ART naïve adults (≥18.0 years), initiating ART at a public or private clinic in Johannesburg between July 01, 2007 and December 31, 2012. Cox proportional-hazards regression was used to identify baseline predictors of mortality and loss to follow-up (>3 months late for the last scheduled visit). Generalized estimating equations were used to determine predictors of failure to suppress viral load (≥400 copies/mL) while the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used to compare the median absolute change in CD4 count from baseline to 12 months post-ART initiation. RESULTS: 12,865 patients initiated ART at the public clinic compared to 610 at the private clinic. The patients were similar in terms of sex and age at initiation. Compared to public clinic patients, private clinic patients initiated ART at higher median CD4 counts (159 vs 113 cells/mm(3)) and World Health Organization stage I/II (76.1% vs 58.5%). Adjusted hazard models showed that compared to public clinic patients, private clinic patients were less likely to die (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.50; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.35-0.70) but were at increased risk of loss to follow-up (aHR 1.80; 95% CI 1.59-2.03). By 12 months post-ART initiation, private clinic patients were less likely to have a detectable viral load (adjusted relative risk 0.65; 95% CI 0.49-0.88) and recorded higher median CD4 change from baseline (184 cells/mm(3) interquartile range 101-300 vs 158 cells/mm(3) interquartile range 91-244), when compared to public clinic patients. CONCLUSION: We identified differences in treatment outcomes between the two HIV clinics. Findings suggest that the type of clinic at which ART patients initiate and receive treatment can have an impact on treatment outcomes. Further research is necessary to provide more conclusive results.