Desarrollo y validación interna de un modelo de predicción clínica del riesgo de infección bacteriana nosocomial en pacientes con lupus eritematoso sistémico / Development and internal validation of a clinical prediction model of the risk of nosocomial bacterial infection in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus

RESUMEN Introducción: Los pacientes con lupus eritematoso sistémico (LES) tienen un riesgo aumen tado de padecer infecciones tanto adquiridas en la comunidad como asociadas con el cuidado de la salud. Las infecciones bacterianas son las más frecuentes y graves durante la hospitalización de estos pacientes. Objetivo: Desarrollar y validar internamente un modelo de predicción clínica de pronóstico del riesgo de infección bacteriana adquirida en el hospital en pacientes con LES, usando datos clínicos y de laboratorio obtenidos durante las primeras horas de hospitalización. Métodos: Se analizó una cohorte retrospectiva de pacientes con LES mayores de 16 arios, hos pitalizados por motivos diferentes a infección bacteriana en 2 hospitales de alta complejidad de Medellín entre 2011 y 2016. Se compararon las características de los pacientes que des arrollaron el desenlace de infección bacteriana entre el día 3 y el día 15 de hospitalización con aquellos que no lo presentaron. Las variables significativas en el análisis bivariado fueron consideradas para la construcción del modelo por medio de regresión logística multivariada. Resultados: Se incluyeron 765 episodios, de los cuales 98 (12,8%) presentaron el desenlace de interés. Se consideraron 35 predictores candidatos. Las variables incorporadas en el modelo final fueron: edad, recuento de neutrófilos, puntaje de actividad lúpica SLEDAI, uso de sonda vesical, uso de catéter venoso central en las primeras 72 h, dosis de glucocorticoides en el mes previo y el uso de un antimalárico en los 3 meses previos. La capacidad de discrimi nación del modelo fue aceptable a buena (AUC-ROC 0,74; IC 95% 0,69-0,80). La prueba de bondad de ajuste de Hosmer-Lemeshow (p = 0,637) evidenció una adecuada calibración. Conclusión: Desarrollamos un modelo de predicción clínica de pronóstico del riesgo de infec ción bacteriana nosocomial en pacientes con LES. El modelo desarrollado está compuesto por variables clínicas y de laboratorio simples disponibles en el momento del ingreso al hospital. Se requieren estudios de validación externa y de impacto clínico antes de su implementación rutinaria.

ABSTRACT Introduction: Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have an increased risk of developing community-acquired infections, as well as those associated with health care. Bacterial infections are the most common and serious while these patients are in hospital. Objective: To develop, and internally validate, a clinical prediction model for the prognosis of the risk of hospital-acquired bacterial infection in SLE patients using clinical and laboratory data obtained during the first hours of hospital admission. Methods: An analysis was performed on retrospective cohort of patients with SLE older than 16 years and admitted for reasons other than bacterial infection in 2 highly complex hospitals in Medellín between 2011 and 2016. The characteristics of the patients who developed a bacterial infection were compared between day 3 and day 15 of hospital admission with those who did not develop one. The significant variables in the bivariate analysis were used for the construction of the model using multivariate logistic regression. Results: A total of 765 episodes were included, of which 98 (12.8%) presented the outcome of interest. Thirty-five candidate predictors were considered. The variables incorporated in the final model were: age, neutrophil count, SLEDAI lupus activity score, use of a bladder catheter, use of a central venous catheter in the first 72 h, glucocorticoid doses in the previous month, and use of an antimalarial drug in the 3 previous months. The discrimination capacity of the model was acceptable to good (AUC-ROC 0.74; 95% CI 0.69-0.80). The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test (P = .637) suggested adequate calibration. Conclusion: A clinical prediction model of prognostic risk of nosocomial bacterial infection in patients with SLE has been developed. This model is made up of simple clinical and laboratory variables available at the time of hospital admission. External validation and clinical impact studies are required before routine implementation.

Urinary levels of ceruloplasmin and monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 correlate with extra-capillary proliferation and chronic damage in patients with lupus nephritis.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: There are few studies of urinary biomarkers and histopathologic features in lupus nephritis (LN). The aim was to analyze the correlation between a wide panel of urinary biomarkers and serum concentrations of anti C1q antibodies with histological items of activity and chronicity on kidney biopsy in LN patients. METHODS: Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) according to American College of Rheumatology (ACR) criteria were included. LN diagnosis was based on ACR criteria. Histologic features of activity and chronicity indices were analyzed according to the Austin classification. Serum Anti C1q levels were determined by commercial ELISA. Urinary levels of transferrin, ceruloplasmin (CP), VCAM-1, TWEAK, monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (MCP-1), neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), and alpha-1-acid glycoprotein were measured by commercial ELISA. RESULTS: We included 120 SLE patients (81% female, mean age 33.1 ± 9.3 years, 59.4% Mestizo, 37.8% Afro-Latin American): 64% had LN. Kidney biopsy was performed in 55 patients, but only 37 were made in our center. Anti C1q antibodies were associated with endocapillary proliferation. In patients with cellular crescents, urinary concentrations of CP were significantly higher. In patients with a chronicity index (CI) ≥ 4, fibrous crescents, tubular atrophy, and interstitial fibrosis, urinary MCP-1 levels were higher. CONCLUSIONS: In SLE patients, serum anti C1q antibodies and urinary CP were associated with activity on kidney biopsy and MCP-1 with chronic damage. This panel of biomarkers could be validated in larger, multi-ethnic population as a complementary tool for better stratification of LN patients. Key Points • Urinary biomarkers are complementary useful tools for the assessment of SLE patients. • Urinary levels of CP correlated with activity findings on kidney biopsy in LN patients. • Urinary levels of MCP-1 correlated with chronic damage, especially with fibrous crescents, tubular atrophy, and interstitial fibrosis.

Endothelial activation and injury by microparticles in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus and rheumatoid arthritis.

BACKGROUND: Endothelial activation and damage is commonly observed in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and is related to development of atherosclerosis and cardiovascular diseases. Different components of the immune system seem to participate in the endothelial injury, such as generation of autoantibodies and formation of immune complexes (ICs). Microparticles (MPs) and their immune complexes (MPs-ICs) are increased in the circulation of patients with SLE and RA; therefore, we propose these extracellular vesicles could interact and modulate the function of endothelial cells. Hence, the effect of MPs and MPs-ICs from patients with SLE and RA in endothelial cells was evaluated. METHODS: Macrovascular and microvascular endothelial cells were exposed to MPs and MPs-ICs from healthy donors and patients with SLE and RA. Vesicles uptake/binding, expression of adhesion molecules, cytokine and chemokine production, monocyte adherence, and alterations of endothelial monolayer were evaluated by flow cytometry and fluorescence microscopy. RESULTS: Endothelial cells internalized MPs and MPs-ICs and increased CD54 and CD102 expression and CCL2, CCL5, and IL-6 production after the treatment with these extracellular vesicles, which led to an increase in the adherence of classic monocytes. These vesicles also induced low expression of VE-cadherin in membrane, depolymerization of actin filaments, and formation of intercellular spaces, which led to endothelial death and increased permeability after MPs and MPs-ICs exposure. CONCLUSIONS: MPs and MPs-ICs from patients with SLE and RA increase adhesion molecules expression, chemokine production, and structural alterations in macrovascular and microvascular endothelial cells. Therefore, high counts of these vesicles in patients would promote endothelial alterations and secondary tissue leukocyte infiltration.

Platelet-derived microparticles generated in vitro resemble circulating vesicles of patients with rheumatoid arthritis and activate monocytes.

Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have increased amount of platelet-derived microparticles (PMPs) positive for citrullinated peptides (CPs) that form immune complexes (PMPs-ICs). Monocytes are important inflammatory mediators that play a role in the clearance of PMPs-ICs. We aimed to generate PMPs-ICs in vitro and determine its effect on monocytes from patients with RA and healthy individuals (HI). PMPs from patients showed platelet markers, mitochondria content, and phosphatidylserine exposure similar to PMPs from HI. However, patients had a higher frequency of IgG+ and CPs+ vesicles than HI. PMPs-ICs generated in vitro were similar to the circulating vesicles of patients with respect to IgG- and CPs-positivity. PMPs-ICs induced pro-inflammatory cytokines and CX3CR1 expression in monocytes from HI, and IL-10 and CD36 upregulation in monocytes from patients. These results suggest that PMPs-ICs induce activation of monocytes, with a pro-inflammatory response in HI and a more tolerant response in cells of patients with RA.