A web-based pesticide risk assessment tool for drinking water protection zones in Sweden.

To protect human health, wildlife and the aquatic environment, "safe uses" of pesticides are determined at the EU level while product authorization and terms of use are established at the national level. In Sweden, extra precaution is taken to protect drinking water, and permits are therefore required for pesticide use within abstraction zones. This paper presents MACRO-DB, a tool for assessing pesticide contamination risks of groundwater and surface water, used by authorities to support their decision-making for issuing such permits. MACRO-DB is a meta-model based on 583,200 simulations of the physically-based MACRO model used for assessing pesticide leaching risks at EU and national level. MACRO-DB is simple to use and runs on widely available input data. In a qualitative comparative assessment for two counties in Sweden, MACRO-DB outputs were in general agreement with groundwater monitoring data and matched or were more protective than the national risk assessment procedure for groundwater.

Ecotoxicological soil risk assessment under the new soil exposure framework - an impact assessment.

For the European risk assessment (RA) for soil organisms exposed to plant protection products (PPPs) endpoints from ecotoxicological laboratory studies are compared with predicted environmental concentrations in soil (PECSOIL) at first tier. A safety margin must be met; otherwise, a higher tier RA is triggered (usually soil organism field studies). A new tiered exposure modeling guidance was published by EFSA to determine PECSOIL. This work investigates its potential impact on future soil RA. PECSOIL values for >50 active substances and metabolites were calculated and compared with the respective endpoints for soil organisms to calculate the RA failure rate. Compared to the current (FOCUS) exposure modeling, PECSOIL values for all EU regulatory zones considerably increased, e.g., resulting in active substance RA failure rates of 67%, 58% and 36% for modeling Tier-1, Tier-2 and Tier-3A, respectively. The main driving factors for elevated PECSOIL were soil bulk density, crop interception and wash-off, next to obligatory modeling and scenario adjustment factors. Spatial PECSOIL scenario selection procedures result in agronomically atypical soil characteristics (e.g., soil bulk density values in Tier-3A scenarios far below typical European agricultural areas). Consequently, exposure modeling and ecotoxicological study characteristics are inconsistent, which hinders scientifically reasonable comparison of both in the RA.

Risk mitigation measures for pesticide runoff: How effective are they?

BACKGROUND: One of the most important sources of pesticide pollution of surface waters is runoff and erosion from agricultural fields after rainfall. This study analyses the efficacy of different risk mitigation measures to reduce pesticide runoff and erosion inputs into surface waters from arable land excluding rice fields. RESULTS: Three groups of risk mitigation measures were quantitatively analyzed: vegetative filter strips, micro-dams in row crops and soil conservation measures. Their effectiveness was evaluated based on a meta-analysis of available experimental data using statistical methods such as classification and regression trees, and exploratory data analysis. Results confirmed the effectiveness of vegetative filter strips and micro-dams. Contrary to common assumption, the width of vegetative filter strips alone is not sufficient to predict their effectiveness. The effectiveness of soil conservation measures (especially mulch-tillage) varied widely. This was in part due to the heterogeneity of the available experimental data, probably resulting from the inconsistent implementation and the inadequate definitions of these measures. CONCLUSION: Both vegetative filter strips and micro-dams are effective and suitable, and can therefore be recommended for quantitative assessment of environmental pesticide exposure in surface waters. However, the processes of infiltration and sedimentation in vegetative filter strips should be simulated with a mechanistic model like Vegetative Filter Strip Modeling System, VFSMOD. The reduction effect of micro-dams can be modelled by reducing the runoff curve number, e.g., in the pesticide root zone model, PRZM. Soil conservation measures are in principle promising, but further well-documented data are needed to determine under which conditions they are effective. © 2023 The Authors. Pest Management Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.

Dynamic prediction of effective runoff sediment particle size for improved assessment of erosion mitigation efficiency with vegetative filter strips.

The most widely implemented mitigation measure to reduce transfer of surface runoff pesticides and other pollutants to surface water bodies are vegetative filter strips (VFS). The most commonly used dynamic model for quantifying the reduction by VFS of surface runoff, eroded sediment, pesticides and other pollutants is VFSMOD, which simulates reduction of total inflow (∆Q) and of incoming eroded sediment load (∆E) mechanistically during the rainfall-runoff event. These variables are subsequently used to calculate the reduction of pesticide load by the VFS (∆P). Since errors in ∆Q and ∆E propagate into ∆P, for strongly-sorbing compounds an accurate prediction of ∆E is crucial for a reliable prediction of ∆P. The most important incoming sediment characteristic for ∆E is the median particle diameter (d50). Current d50 estimation methods are simplistic, yielding fixed d50 based on soil properties and ignoring specific event characteristics and dynamics. We derive an improved dynamic d50 parameterization equation for use in regulatory VFS scenarios based on an extensive dataset of 93 d50 values and 17 candidate explanatory variables compiled from heterogeneous data sources and methods. The dataset was analysed first using machine learning techniques (Random Forest, Gradient Boosting) and Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) as a dimension reduction technique and to identify potential interactions between explanatory variables. Using the knowledge gained, a parsimonious multiple regression equation with 6 predictors was developed and thoroughly tested. Since three of the predictors are event-specific (eroded sediment yield, rainfall intensity and peak runoff rate), predicted d50 vary dynamically across event magnitudes and intensities. Incorporation of the improved d50 parameterization equation in higher-tier pesticide assessment tools with VFSMOD provides more realistic quantitative mitigation in regulatory US-EPA and EU FOCUS pesticide risk assessment frameworks. The equation is also readily applicable to other erosion management problems.

Recalibration and cross-validation of pesticide trapping equations for vegetative filter strips (VFS) using additional experimental data.

Vegetative filter strips (VFS) are widely used for mitigating pesticide inputs into surface waters via surface runoff and erosion. To simulate the effectiveness of VFS the model VFSMOD is frequently used. While VFSMOD simulates infiltration and sedimentation mechanistically, the reduction of pesticide load in surface runoff by the VFS is calculated with the empirical Sabbagh equation. This multiple regression equation has not been widely accepted by regulatory authorities, because its reliability has not been sufficiently demonstrated yet. A major drawback is the small number of calibration data points (n = 47). To corroborate and improve the predictive capability of the Sabbagh equation, additional experimental VFS data were compiled from the available literature. The enlarged dataset (n = 244) was used to recalibrate the Sabbagh equation, the recently proposed Chen equation and a set of "reduced" Sabbagh equations with fewer independent variables, with ordinary least squares (OLS) regression and to test an alternative, regression-free mass balance approach. The Sabbagh equation fitted the dataset slightly better than the Chen equation (coefficient of determination R2 = 0.82 vs. 0.79). The purely predictive mass balance approach performed slightly worse (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency NSE = 0.74), but significantly better than the Sabbagh and Chen equations with their old coefficients. In a k-fold cross validation analysis to assess the predictive capability of the various regression equations, both the full Sabbagh and the reduced Sabbagh equations with two or more variables outperformed the Chen equation. Finally, a maximum-likelihood-based calibration and uncertainty analysis were conducted for the Sabbagh equation using the DREAM_ZS algorithm and two different likelihood functions. The DREAM simulations corroborated the parameter values obtained with OLS regression. The study confirmed the suitability of the Sabbagh equation for regulatory modelling of pesticide trapping in VFS. However, the regression-free mass balance approach turned out to be a viable alternative.