Satellite-based rainwater harvesting sites assessment for Dera Ghazi Khan, Punjab, Pakistan.

Water scarcity in arid regions poses significant livelihood challenges and necessitates proactive measures such as rainwater harvesting (RWH) systems. This study focuses on identifying RWH sites in Dera Ghazi Khan (DG Khan) district, which recently experienced severe water shortages. Given the difficulty of large-scale ground surveys, satellite remote sensing data and Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques were utilized. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) approach was employed for site selection, considering various criteria, including land use/land cover, precipitation, geological features, slope, and drainage. Landsat 8 OLI imagery, GPM satellite precipitation data, soil maps, and SRTM DEM were key inputs. Integrating these data layers in GIS facilitated the production of an RWH potential map for the region. The study identified 9 RWH check dams, 12 farm ponds, and 17 percolation tanks as suitable for mitigating water scarcity, particularly for irrigation and livestock consumption during dry periods. The research region was classified into four RWH zones based on suitability, with 9% deemed Very Good, 33% Good, 53% Poor, and 5% Very Poor for RWH projects. The generated suitability map is a valuable tool for hydrologists, decision-makers, and stakeholders in identifying RWH potential in arid regions, thereby ensuring water reliability, efficiency, and socio-economic considerations.

Motivating factors of farmers' adaptation behaviors to climate change in China: A meta-analysis.

Adapting to climate change is critical to building sustainable and resilient agricultural systems. Understanding farmers' perceptions of climate change has become the key to the effective implementation of climate change adaptation policies. This research draws multidisciplinary attention to how farmers participate in decision-making on adaptation behaviors and provides useful insights for realizing synergies between environmental change and agricultural production. In this work, we conducted a meta-analysis of 63 quantitative studies on Chinese farmers' adaptation to climate change to assess the relationship between motivational factors and adaptation behavior. Our analysis highlights that farmers' perceptions of precipitation changes are often inaccurate; however, other psychological factors, such as perception, experience, and risk attitude, significantly positively impact their adaptation behavior. In addition, different climate regions are the main source of high heterogeneity in inter-study comparisons of climate change perception, and the effect of climate regions may therefore constitute a moderating factor that weakens the positive relationship between climate change perception and adaptive behavior. Furthermore, this study highlights the need to intervene at the household level to enhance farmers' adaptability to climate change, which includes providing support through income diversification, early warning information services, training, assistance, credit, subsidies, and other resources. In the future, research on how perception, experience, and risk interact to affect adaptive behavior should be strengthened.

Spatio-temporal dynamics of land use transitions associated with human activities over Eurasian Steppe: Evidence from improved residual analysis.

We presented a framework to evaluate the land use transformations over the Eurasian Steppe (EUS) driven by human activities from 2000 to 2020. Framework involves three main components: (1) evaluate the spatial-temporal dynamics of land use transitions by utilizing the land change modeler (LCM) and remote sensing data; (2) quantifying the individual contributions of climate change and human activities using improved residual trend analysis (IRTA) and pixel-based partial correlation coefficient (PCC); and (3) quantifying the contributions of land use transitions to Leaf Area Index Intensity (LAII) by using the linear regression. Research findings indicate an increase in cropland (+1.17 % = 104,217 km2) over EUS, while a - 0.80 % reduction over Uzbekistan and - 0.16 % over Tajikistan. From 2000 to 2020 a slight increase in grassland was observed over the EUS region by 0.05 %. The detailed findings confirm an increase (0.24 % = 21,248.62 km2) of grassland over the 1st half (2000-2010) and a decrease (-0.19 % = -16,490.50 km2) in the 2nd period (2011-2020), with a notable decline over Kazakhstan (-0.54 % = 13,690 km2), Tajikistan (-0.18 % = 1483 km2), and Volgograd (-0.79 % = 4346 km2). Area of surface water bodies has declined with an alarming rate over Kazakhstan (-0.40 % = 10,261 km2) and Uzbekistan (-2.22 % = 8943 km2). Additionally, dominant contributions of human activities to induced LULC transitions were observed over the Chinese region, Mongolia, Uzbekistan, and Volgograd regions, with approximately 87 %, 83 %, 92 %, and 47 %, respectively, causing effective transitions to 12,997 km2 of cropland, 24,645 km2 of grassland, 16,763 km2 of sparse vegetation in China, and 12,731.2 km2 to grassland and 15,356.1 km2 to sparse vegetation in Mongolia. Kazakhstan had mixed climate-human impact with human-driven transitions of 48,568 km2 of bare land to sparse vegetation, 27,741 km2 to grassland, and 49,789 km2 to cropland on the eastern sides. Southern regions near Uzbekistan had climatic dominancy, and 8472 km2 of water bodies turned into bare soil. LAII shows an increasing trend rate of 0.63 year-1, particularly over human-dominant regions. This study can guide knowledge of oscillations and reduce adverse impacts on ecosystems and their supply services.

Exploring vegetation trends and restoration possibilities in Pakistan by using Hurst exponent.

Vegetation cover change and its interaction with climate are significant to study as it has impact on ecosystem stability. We used the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and climatic factors (temperature and rainfall) for investigating the relationship between vegetation and climate. We also traced spatiotemporal changes in the vegetation in Pakistan from 2000 to 2020; we used the Hurst exponent to estimate future vegetation trends in Pakistan. Our results show an increase in vegetation throughout Pakistan, and the Punjab Province is showing the highest significant vegetation trend at 88.51%. Our findings reveal that the response of vegetation to climate change varies by region and is influenced by local climatic conditions. However, the relationship between rainfall and annual NDVI is stronger than the temperature in the study area-Pakistan. The Hurst exponent value is above 0.5 in all four provinces, that is, the indication of consistent vegetation trends in the future. The highest values are observed in Punjab and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK). In the Punjab Province, 88.41% of the area showed positive development, with forests in particular showing a significant positive effect on land use classes. On the other hand, the Sindh Province has the highest negative result at 2.87%, with urban areas showing the highest negative development. To sum up, the NDVI pattern and change attribute suggest vegetation restoration in Pakistan.

Combined influence of ENSO and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) on Eurasian Steppe during 1982-2018.

As the most influential atmospheric oscillation on Earth, the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) can significantly change the surface climate of the tropics and subtropics and affect the high latitudes of northern hemisphere areas through atmospheric teleconnection. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is the dominant pattern of low-frequency variability in the Northern Hemisphere. As the dominant oscillations in the Northern Hemisphere, the ENSO and NAO have been affecting the giant grassland belt in the world, the Eurasian Steppe (EAS), in recent decades. In this study, the spatio-temporal anomaly patterns of grassland growth in the EAS and their correlations with the ENSO and NAO were investigated using four long-term leaf area index (LAI) and one normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) remote sensing products from 1982 to 2018. The driving forces of meteorological factors under the ENSO and NAO were analyzed. The results showed that grassland in the EAS has been turning green over the past 36 years. Warm ENSO events or positive NAO events accompanied by increased temperature and slightly more precipitation promoted grassland growth, and cold ENSO events or negative NAO events with cooling effects over the whole EAS and uneven precipitation decreased deteriorated the EAS grassland. During the combination of warm ENSO and positive NAO events, a more severe warming effect caused more significant grassland greening. Moreover, the co-occurrence of positive NAO with cold ENSO or warm ENSO with negative NAO kept the characteristic of the decreased temperature and rainfall in cold ENSO or negative NAO events, and deteriorate the grassland more severely.

A series of spatio-temporal analyses and predicting modeling of land use and land cover changes using an integrated Markov chain and cellular automata models.

For sustainable land cover planning, spatial land cover models are essential. Deforestation, loss of agriculture, and conversion of pasture land to urban and industrial uses are only some of the negative consequences of human kind's insatiable need for more land. Using remote sensing multi-temporal data, spatial criteria, and prediction models can effectively monitor these changes and plan for sustainable land use. This research aims to predict the land use and land cover (LULC) with cellular automata (CA) and Markov chain models. Landsat TM, ETM + , and OLI/TIRS data were used for mapping LULC distributions for the years 1990, 2006, and 2022. A CA-Markov chain was developed for simulating long-term landscape changes at 16-year time steps from 2022 to 2054. Analysis of urban sprawl was carried out by using the support vector machine (SVM). Through the CA-Markov chain analysis, we expect that built-up area will grow from 285.68 km2 (22.59%) to 383.54 km2 (30.34%) in 2022 and 2054, as inferred from the changes that occurred from 1990 to 2022. Therefore, substantial deforestation area reduction will result if existing tendencies in change continue despite sustainable development efforts. The findings of this research can inform land cover management strategies and assist local authorities in preparing for the present and the future. They can balance expanding the city and preserving its natural resources.

Modeling spatio-temporal assessment of land use land cover of Lahore and its impact on land surface temperature using multi-spectral remote sensing data.

Urban sprawl, also widely known as urbanization, is one of the significant problems in the world. This research aims to assess and predict the urban growth and impact on land surface temperature (LST) of Lahore as well as land use and land cover (LULC) with a cellular automata Markov chain (CA-Markov chain). LULC and LST distributions were mapped using Landsat (5, 7, and 8) data from 1990, 2004, and 2018. Long-term changes to the landscape were simulated using a CA-Markov model at 14-year intervals from 2018 to 2046. Results indicate that the built-up area was increased from 342.54 (18.41%) to 720.31 (38.71%) km2. Meanwhile, barren land, water, and vegetation area was decreased from 728.63 (39.16%) to 544.83 (29.28%) km2, from 64.85 (3.49%) to 34.78 (1.87%) km2, and from 724.53 (38.94%) to 560.63 (30.13%) km2, respectively. In addition, urban index, a non-vegetation index, accurately predicted LST, showing the maximum correlation R2 = 0.87 with respect to retrieved LST. According to CA-Markov chain analysis, we can predict the growth of built-up area from 830.22 to 955.53 km2 between 2032 and 2046, based on the development from 1990 to 2018. As urban index as the predictor anticipated that the LST 20-23 °C and 24-27 °C, regions would all decline in coverage from 5.30 to 4.79% and 15.79 to 13.77% in 2032 and 2046, while the temperature 36-39 °C regions would all grow in coverage from 15.60 to 17.21% of the city. Our results indicate severe conditions, and the authorities should consider some strategies to mitigate this problem. These findings are significant for the planning and development division to ensure the long-term usage of land resources for urbanization expansion projects in the future.

Spatio-temporal assessment of land use land cover based on trajectories and cellular automata Markov modelling and its impact on land surface temperature of Lahore district Pakistan.

This research aims to assess the urban growth and impact on land surface temperature (LST) of Lahore, the second biggest city in Pakistan. In this research, various geographical information system (GIS) and remote sensing (RS) techniques (maximum likelihood classification (MLC)) LST, and different normalized satellite indices have been implemented to analyse the spatio-temporal trends of Lahore city; by using Landsat for 1990, 2004, and 2018. The development of integrated use of RS and GIS and combined cellular automata-Markov models has provided new means of assessing changes in land use and land cover and has enabled the projection of trajectories into the future. Results indicate that the built-up area and bare area increased from 15,541 (27%) to 23,024 km2 (40%) and 5756 km2 (10%) to 13,814 km2 (24%). Meanwhile, water area and vegetation were decreased from 2302 km2 (4%) to 1151 km2 (2%) and 33,961 km2 (59%) to 19,571 km2 (34%) respectively. Under this urbanization, the LST of the city was also got affected. In 1990, the mean LST of most of the area was between 14 and 28 ℃, which rose to 22-28 ℃ in 2004 and 34 to 36 ℃ in 2018. Because of the shift of vegetation and built-up land, the surface reflectance and roughness of each land use land cover (LULC) class are different. The analysis established a direct correlation between Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) with LST and an indirect correlation among Soil Adjusted Vegetation Index (SAVI), Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI), and Built-up Index (BI) with LST. The results are important for the planning and development department since they may be used to guarantee the sustainable utilization of land resources for future urbanization expansion projects.

Soil Moisture Content Retrieval from Remote Sensing Data by Artificial Neural Network Based on Sample Optimization.

Soil moisture content (SMC) plays an essential role in geoscience research. The SMC can be retrieved using an artificial neural network (ANN) based on remote sensing data. The quantity and quality of samples for ANN training and testing are two critical factors that affect the SMC retrieving results. This study focused on sample optimization in both quantity and quality. On the one hand, a sparse sample exploitation (SSE) method was developed to solve the problem of sample scarcity, resultant from cloud obstruction in optical images and the malfunction of in situ SMC-measuring instruments. With this method, data typically excluded in conventional approaches can be adequately employed. On the other hand, apart from the basic input parameters commonly discussed in previous studies, a couple of new parameters were optimized to improve the feature description. The Sentinel-1 SAR and Landsat-8 images were adopted to retrieve SMC in the study area in eastern Austria. By the SSE method, the number of available samples increased from 264 to 635 for ANN training and testing, and the retrieval accuracy could be markedly improved. Furthermore, the optimized parameters also improve the inversion effect, and the elevation was the most influential input parameter.

Highly accurate machine learning prediction of crystal point groups for ternary materials from chemical formula.

One of the most challenging problems in condensed matter physics is to predict crystal structure just from the chemical formula of the material. In this work, we present a robust machine learning (ML) predictor for the crystal point group of ternary materials (A[Formula: see text]B[Formula: see text]C[Formula: see text]) - as first step to predict the structure - with very small set of ionic and positional fundamental features. From ML perspective, the problem is strenuous due to multi-labelity, multi-class, and data imbalance. The resulted prediction is very reliable as high balanced accuracies are obtained by different ML methods. Many similarity-based approaches resulted in a balanced accuracy above 95% indicating that the physics is well captured by the reduced set of features; namely, stoichiometry, ionic radii, ionization energies, and oxidation states for each of the three elements in the ternary compound. The accuracy is not limited by the approach; but rather by the limited data points and we should expect higher accuracy prediction by having more reliable data.