Serum hepcidin levels in chronic liver disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Dysregulation of hepcidin-iron axis is presumed to account for abnormal iron status in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). Our aim is to determine the effect of specific etiologies of CLD and of cirrhosis on serum hepcidin levels. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science were searched for studies comparing serum hepcidin levels in patients with CLD to that in controls using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The study was conducted in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Guidelines. Statistical analysis was carried out with STATA using random effects model to calculate the mean difference (MD) between two groups. RESULTS: Hepcidin levels were significantly lower in subjects with hepatitis C virus (16 studies) [MD -1.6 (95 % CI: -2.66 to -0.54), p<0.01] and alcoholic liver disease (3 studies) [MD -0.84 (95 % CI: -1.6 to -0.07), p=0.03] than controls. Serum hepcidin was significantly higher in subjects with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (12 studies) [MD 0.62 (95 % CI: 0.21 to 1.03), p<0.01], but did not differ in subjects with hepatitis B and controls (eight studies) [MD -0.65 (95 % CI: -1.47 to 0.16), p=0.12]. Hepcidin levels were significantly lower in patients with cirrhosis of any etiology (four studies) [MD -1.02 (CI: -1.59 to -0.45), p<0.01] vs. controls (CI: confidence interval). CONCLUSIONS: Serum hepcidin levels are altered in common forms of CLD albeit not in a consistent direction. Additional study is needed to determine how changes in hepcidin levels are related to dysregulation of iron metabolism in CLD.

Optimal alpha-1 antitrypsin level cutoffs for genotype identification in patients with chronic liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Controversy exists whether alpha-1 antitrypsin (A1AT) genotype testing should be performed as a first-line screening for A1AT heterozygous variants. METHODS: We calculated the median and interquartile range of A1AT level for each genotype in 4378 patients with chronic liver disease and "miss rate" of MZ genotype identification at various cutoff levels. FINDINGS: Significant overlap in A1AT level noted with Pi*MM, MZ, and MS variants. Miss rate of Pi*MZ at a cutoff level <100 was 29%, <110 was 18%, <120 was 8%, and <130 was 4%. We suggest simultaneous measurement of A1AT level and genotype in patients with chronic liver disease.

The NAFLD Decompensation Risk Score: External Validation and Comparison to Existing Models to Predict Hepatic Events in a Retrospective Cohort Study.

Background: The NAFLD decompensation risk score (the Iowa Model) was recently developed to identify patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) at highest risk of developing hepatic events using three variables-age, platelet count, and diabetes. Aims: We performed an external validation of the Iowa Model and compared it to existing non-invasive models. Methods: We included 249 patients with NAFLD at Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, in the external validation cohort and 949 patients in the combined internal/external validation cohort. The primary outcome was the development of hepatic events (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, esophageal or gastric varices, or hepatocellular carcinoma). We used Cox proportional hazards to analyze the ability of the Iowa Model to predict hepatic events in the external validation (https://uihc.org/non-alcoholic-fatty-liver-disease-decompensation-risk-score-calculator). We compared the performance of the Iowa Model to the AST-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), and the FIB-4 index in the combined cohort. Results: The Iowa Model significantly predicted the development of hepatic events with hazard ratio of 2.5 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.7-3.9, P < 0.001] and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.87 (CI 0.83-0.91). The AUROC of the Iowa Model (0.88, CI: 0.85-0.92) was comparable to the FIB-4 index (0.87, CI: 0.83-0.91) and higher than NFS (0.66, CI: 0.63-0.69) and APRI (0.76, CI: 0.73-0.79). Conclusions: In an urban, racially and ethnically diverse population, the Iowa Model performed well to identify NAFLD patients at higher risk for liver-related complications. The model provides the individual probability of developing hepatic events and identifies patients in need of early intervention.

Ileocolonic intussusception presenting as chronic diarrhea in an elderly woman.

Video 1Colonoscopy findings of cecal mass as a lead point causing intussusception.

Portal vein thrombosis, hepatic decompensation, and survival in patients with porto-sinusoidal vascular disease and portal hypertension.

BACKGROUND: Porto-sinusoidal vascular disease (PSVD) is a novel nomenclature to describe non-cirrhotic portal hypertension and characteristic histology without portal vein thrombosis (PVT). It is a more inclusive definition than the previously well-recognized entity idiopathic non-cirrhotic portal hypertension. There is a paucity of data on PSVD patients. METHODS: A total of 33 patients diagnosed with PSVD and portal hypertension (PH) between 2005 and 2021 were included. Data were retrieved from electronic medical record system and analyzed. RESULTS: Of the 33 patients, 6 (18%) occurred in post-transplant allograft liver. After a median follow-up of 96 months (interquartile range, IQR [52, 139]), 14 deaths occurred (42%), 4 directly related to decompensated liver disease. The Kaplan-Meier survival estimates at 1, 5, and 10 years were 94%, 87% and 58%. PVT occurred in 10 patients (30%). The Nelson-Aalen cumulative risk estimate for PVT at 1, 5 and 10 years were 16%, 25% and 48%. The median model for end-stage liver disease and Child-Pugh score at initial presentation were 8 (IQR [7-12]) and 5 [5-6], and increased to 13 [8, 18] and 7 [5, 8], respectively, at the end of follow-up. Of the 11 patients who presented with splenomegaly and no specific sign of PH, 7 (64%) developed varices and 3 (27%) ascites at a median follow-up of 100 months. CONCLUSIONS: PSVD with PH is not a benign entity. Mortality, PVT and hepatic decompensation are common. Patients with PSVD must be closely monitored, including those who only have non-specific clinical signs (e.g., splenomegaly) of PH.

Effectiveness and Safety of EUS Rendezvous After Failed Biliary Cannulation With ERCP: A Systematic Review and Proportion Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic ultrasound-guided rendezvous (EUS-RV) endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) is an alternative to interventional radiology-guided rendezvous ERCP in patients who failed biliary cannulation with conventional ERCP. However, there is significant variation in reported rates of success and adverse events associated with EUS-RV-assisted ERCP. We performed a systematic review and a proportion meta-analysis to reliably assess the effectiveness and safety of the EUS-RV-assisted ERCP. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a comprehensive search of multiple electronic databases and conference proceedings (from inception through August 2020) to identify studies reporting EUS-RV-assisted ERCP in patients who failed biliary cannulation with conventional ERCP techniques. Using the random-effects model described by DerSimonian and Laird, we calculated the pooled rates of technical success, clinical success, and adverse events of EUS-RV-assisted ERCP. RESULTS: Twelve studies reporting a total of 342 patients were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled rate of technical success (12 studies reporting a total of 342 patients) was 86.1% [95% confidence interval (CI): 78.4-91.3]. The pooled rate of clinical success (4 studies reporting a total of 94 patients) was 80.8% (95% CI: 64.1-90.8). The pooled rate of overall adverse events (12 studies; 42 events in 342 patients) was 14% (95% CI: 10.5-18.4). Low to moderate heterogeneity was noted in the analyses. CONCLUSIONS: EUS-RV-assisted ERCP appears to be effective and safe in patients who failed biliary cannulation with conventional ERCP. Given the risk of adverse events, it should be performed in centers with expertise in therapeutic endoscopic ultrasound.

Alpha-1-Antitrypsin Pi*MZ variant increases risk of developing hepatic events in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease patients.

AIMS: Heterozygous alpha-1-antitrypsin (A1AT) Pi*MZ variant has been shown to increase the risk of developing liver cirrhosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We aimed to determine the association between heterozygous Pi*MZ and Pi*MS variants and development of hepatic decompensation events in NAFLD patients. METHODS: We included patients with NAFLD who also had A1AT genotyping performed from 2005 to 2020. We recorded demographic and clinical variables, and data on hepatic events (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, esophageal variceal bleed, or hepatocellular carcinoma), if any. We performed binary logistic regression analysis to assess the association between A1AT variants and hepatic events, and calculated Odds ratio (OR) with their 95% confidence intervals (Cl). RESULTS: We included 1532 patients with NAFLD, of which 1249 patients had Pi*MM, 121 had Pi*MS, and 162 had Pi*MZ. Of the 1532 patients, hepatic events developed in 521 (34%) patients. The percentage of patients with Pi*MZ variant was significantly higher in patients with hepatic events as compared to patients without hepatic events (18.7 % vs 8.1%, p<0.0001). Pi*MZ variant was noted to significantly increase the odds of developing hepatic events in NAFLD patients, unadjusted OR: 1.82 (1.3-2.5, p<0.001), adjusted OR (for age, sex, body mass index, and diabetes mellitus) 1.76 (1.2-2.5, p = 0.002). Pi*MS variant did not increase the odds of hepatic events in NAFLD patients, OR: 0.92 (0.6-1.4, p = 0.70). CONCLUSION: Patients with NAFLD and A1AT Pi*MZ variant are at increased risk for developing hepatic decompensation. NAFLD patients should be offered A1AT genotyping for risk stratification, counseling, and multidisciplinary intervention for NAFLD.

Biliary Sphincterotomy Alone versus Biliary Stent with or without Biliary Sphincterotomy for the Management of Post-Cholecystectomy Bile Leak: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic therapy with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography is considered the first-line treatment in the management of post-cholecystectomy bile leak (PCBL). Currently, there is no consensus on the most effective endoscopic intervention for PCBL. Hence, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to compare the effectiveness and safety of the two interventional groups (biliary sphincterotomy [BS] alone vs. biliary stent ± BS) in management of PCBL. METHODS: We conducted a comprehensive search of multiple electronic databases and conference proceedings (from inception through January 2021). The primary outcome was to compare the pooled rate of clinical success between the 2 groups. The secondary outcome was to estimate the pooled rate of adverse events. RESULTS: The pooled rate of clinical success with BS alone (5 studies, 299 patients) was 88% (95% confidence interval (CI): 84-92%, I2: 0%) and for biliary stent ± BS (5 studies, 864 patients) was 97% (CI: 93-100%, I2: 79%). The rate of clinical success in biliary stent ± BS group was significantly higher than BS alone group (OR: 3.91 95% CI: 2.29-6.69, p < 0.001, I2: 13%). The rate of adverse events was numerically lower in biliary stent ± BS group compared to BS alone (3 studies; OR: 0.65 95% CI: 0.41-1.03, p = 0.07) without statistical significance. Low heterogeneity was noted in the analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Biliary stent ± BS is more effective in endoscopic management of PCBL compared to BS alone. This may be related to inter-endoscopist variation in completeness of sphincterotomy and post-sphincterotomy edema, which can influence the preferential trans-papillary flow of bile.

Hepatic Manifestations of Nonhepatotropic Infectious Agents Including Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2, Adenovirus, Herpes Simplex Virus, and Coxiella burnetii.

Nonhepatotropic viruses such as adenovirus, herpes simplex virus, flaviviruses, filoviruses, and human herpes virus, and bacteria such as Coxiella burnetii, can cause liver injury mimicking acute hepatitis. Most of these organisms cause a self-limited infection. However, in immunocompromised patients, they can cause severe hepatitis or in some cases fulminant hepatic failure requiring an urgent liver transplant. Hepatic dysfunction is also commonly seen in patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 infection. Patients with preexisting liver diseases are likely at risk for severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and may be associated with poor outcomes.

Outcomes of Radiofrequency Ablation versus Endoscopic Surveillance for Barrett's Esophagus with Low-Grade Dysplasia: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic therapy using radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is a recommended treatment for Barrett's esophagus with high-grade dysplasia (BE-HGD) without a visible lesion which is managed by resection. However, currently, there is no consensus on the management of BE with low-grade dysplasia (BE-LGD) - RFA versus endoscopic surveillance. Hence, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of these comparative studies to compare the risk of progression to HGD or esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) among patients with BE-LGD treated with RFA versus endoscopic surveillance. METHODS: The primary outcome was to compare the risk of progression to HGD or EAC among patients with BE-LGD treated with RFA versus endoscopic surveillance. RESULTS: Four comparative studies reporting a total of 543 patients with BE-LGD were included in the meta-analysis (234 in RFA and 309 in endoscopic surveillance). The progression of BE-LGD to either HGD or EAC was significantly lower in patients treated with RFA compared to endoscopic surveillance (OR: 0.17, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.04-0.65, p = 0.01). The progression to HGD alone was significantly lower in patients treated with RFA versus endoscopic surveillance (OR: 0.23, 95% CI: 0.08-0.61, p = 0.003). The progression to EAC alone was numerically lower in RFA than endoscopic surveillance without statistical significance (OR: 0.44, 95% CI: 0.17-1.16, p = 0.09). Moderate heterogeneity was noted in the analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Based on our meta-analysis, there was a significant reduction in the risk of progression to HGD or EAC among patients with BE-LGD treated with RFA compared with those undergoing endoscopic surveillance. Endoscopic eradication therapy with RFA should be the preferred management approach for BE-LGD.

Randomized controlled trial comparing the Franseen needle with the Fork-tip needle for EUS-guided fine-needle biopsy.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: EUS-guided FNA primarily provides cytologic samples. EUS-guided fine-needle biopsy (FNB) with needles that provide histologic specimens may enhance diagnostic yield and facilitate accessory tissue staining. Several different needle designs are currently available and design superiority is unknown. We designed a randomized controlled trial to compare 2 commonly used EUS-FNB needles in their ability to provide histologic tissue samples (primary endpoint) and to reach an accurate diagnosis (secondary endpoint). METHODS: A total of 150 lesions from 134 patients (November 2018 to June 2019) were randomized 1:1 between biopsy with a Franseen needle and a Fork-tip needle. The groups were compared regarding the quality of the tissue samples and diagnostic accuracy. RESULTS: Of 150 lesions, 75 were pancreatic and 75 were other solid lesions in and around the GI tract. There was no statistically significant difference between the Franseen needle and the Fork-tip needle in the yield of adequate histologic samples, 71 of 75 (94.7%) versus 72 of 75 (96%), (P = 1.00), an absolute difference of -1.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], -8.1% to 5.4%). The 2 groups were similar in the diagnostic accuracy of histologic analysis, 64 of 75 (85.3%) versus 68 of 75 (90.7%) (P = .45), absolute difference -5.4% (95% CI, -15.7% to 5%); and in the diagnostic accuracy of combined cytologic and histologic analysis, 65 of 75 (86.7%) versus 69 of 75 (92%) (P = .43), absolute difference -5.3% (95% CI, -15.2% to 4.5%). CONCLUSIONS: There was no significant difference in the performance of the Franseen needle versus the Fork-tip needle. Both needles achieved a high yield of histologic tissue samples and high diagnostic accuracy. (Clinical trial registration number: NCT03672032.).

Ursodeoxycholic Acid Decreases Incidence of Primary Biliary Cholangitis and Biliary Complications After Liver Transplantation: A Meta-Analysis.

After liver transplantation (LT), the role of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) is not well characterized. We examine the effect of UDCA after LT in the prophylaxis of biliary complications (BCs) in all-comers for LT and the prevention of recurrent primary biliary cholangitis (rPBC) in patients transplanted for PBC. Two authors searched PubMed/MEDLINE and Embase from January 1990 through December 2018 to identify all studies that evaluate the effectiveness of UDCA prophylaxis after LT for BCs in all LT recipients and rPBC after LT in patients transplanted for PBC. Odds ratios (ORs) were calculated for endpoints of the BC study. Pooled recurrence rates were calculated for rPBC. The study was conducted in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis guidelines. A total of 15 studies were included, comprising 530 patients in the analysis for BCs and 1727 patients in the analysis for rPBC. UDCA was associated with decreased odds of BCs (OR, 0.70; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.52-0.93; P = 0.01) and biliary stones and sludge (OR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.24-0.77; P = 0.004). Prophylactic use of UDCA did not affect the odds of biliary stricture. For patients transplanted for PBC, the rate of rPBC was lower with the prophylactic use of UDCA (IR 16.7%; 95% CI, 0.114%-22.0%; I2 = 36.1%) compared with not using prophylactic UDCA (IR 23.1%; 95% CI, 16.9%-29.3%; I2 = 86.7%). UDCA after LT reduces the odds of BC and bile stones and sludge in all-comer LT recipients and reduces or delays the incidence of rPBC in patients transplanted for PBC. UDCA use after LT could be considered in all LT recipients to reduce the odds of BC and may be particularly beneficial for patients transplanted for PBC by reducing the incidence of rPBC.

A Novel Score to Predict Esophageal Varices in Patients with Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Several criteria have been described to noninvasively predict the presence of high-risk esophageal varices in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, a recent study showed that treatment with ß blockers could increase decompensation-free survival in patients with clinically significant portal hypertension, thereby making it important to predict the presence of any esophageal varices. We aimed to develop a simple scoring system to predict any esophageal varices. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed patients who had vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) at Cook County Hospital, Chicago, USA. Patients with cACLD and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≥ 10 kPa with esophagogastroduodenoscopy performed within one year of VCTE were analyzed. We generated a novel score to predict esophageal varices, using the beta coefficient of predictive variables. The score was validated in an external cohort at the University of Iowa Hospital, USA. RESULTS: There were 372 patients in the development cohort and 200 patients in the validation cohort. LSM, platelet count, and albumin were identified as predictors of esophageal varices and were included for generating the Cook County score as "platelet count * - 0.0155872 + VCTE score * 0.0387052 + albumin * - 0.8549209." The area under receiver operating curve for our score was 0.86 for any varices and 0.85 for high risk varices and avoided more endoscopies than the expanded Baveno VI criteria while maintaining a very low miss rate (negative predictive value > 99%). CONCLUSION: We propose a new, highly accurate, and easy-to-use scoring system to predict the presence of not only high-risk but any esophageal varices in patients with cACLD.

Multimedia based education on bowel preparation improves adenoma detection rate: Systematic review & meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third most common cause of cancer worldwide. Studies have shown a strong association between screening colonoscopy and a reduced risk of death from colorectal cancers. The incidence of poor bowel preparation has been reported in up to 25% cases. We conducted a systematic review and comprehensive meta-analysis to evaluate the effect of patient education using multimedia platforms on adenoma detection rate and adequacy of bowel preparation. METHODS: Multiple databases were searched through May 2020 for studies that reported the efficacy of multimedia education (smartphone app and online audio-visual aids) in improving quality of bowel preparation and its effect on adenoma detection rate (ADR). Meta-analysis was performed to determine whether multimedia based patient education (MM) helps improve ADR and bowel preparation quality as compared to controls (CT). RESULTS: We included 13 randomized controlled trials with a total of 3754 patients. Eight studies reported outcomes on ADR and 12 reported on adequacy of bowel preparation. Overall ADR was higher in patients receiving multimedia based education as compared to CT (risk ratio (RR) 1.25, confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.56, P = 0.04). A higher proportion of patients receiving multimedia based education achieved adequate bowel preparation (RR 1.2, CI 1.1-1.3, P = 0.001). In patients with mean age over 50 years, ADR was better in MM cohort as compared to controls (RR 1.3, CI 1.1-1.6, P = 0.001). CONCLUSION: Pre-colonoscopy patient education using multimedia based platforms seems to improve ADR and the adequacy of bowel preparation.

ERCP with overtube-assisted enteroscopy in patients with Roux-en-Y gastric bypass anatomy: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in patients with Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) anatomy is challenging. Overtube-assisted enteroscopy (OAE) is usually needed to perform ERCP in these patients. There is significant variation in the reported rates of success and adverse events across published studies. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to reliably estimate the pooled rates of success and adverse events. METHODS: We performed a systematic search of multiple electronic databases through February 2020 to identify studies reporting outcomes of OAE-ERCP in post-RYGB patients. The pooled rates of enteroscopy success, technical success, and adverse events were estimated for OAE-ERCP. The pooled rates of success and adverse events were also estimated for ERCP using double-balloon enteroscopes (DBE) alone. RESULTS: 10 studies reporting a total of 398 procedures were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled rates of enteroscopy and technical success of OAE-ERCP were 75.3 % (95 % confidence interval [CI] 64.5 - 83.6) and 64.8 % (95 %CI 53.1 - 74.9) respectively. The pooled rate of adverse events was 8.0 % (95 %CI 5.2 - 12.2). The pooled rates of enteroscopy and technical success of DBE-ERCP (four studies) were 83.5 % (95 %CI 68.3 - 92.2) and 72.5 % (95 %CI 52.3 - 86.4), respectively. The pooled rate of adverse events with DBE-ERCP was 9.0 % (95 %CI 5.4 - 14.5). Substantial heterogeneity was noted. CONCLUSIONS: OAE-ERCP appears to be effective and safe in post-RYGB patients. Among the currently available techniques, OAE-ERCP is the least invasive approach in this challenging group of patients. Future studies comparing the effectiveness and safety of alternative novel techniques, such as endosonography-directed transgastric ERCP, with OAE-ERCP are needed.

Recent insights on the use of topical steroids in eosinophilic esophagitis.

INTRODUCTION: Eosinophilic Esophagitis (EoE) is an immune-mediated, chronic inflammatory disorder of the esophagus. Topical steroids have been used in the management of EoE for over 15 years. However, there are no Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approved drug therapies for EoE. AREAS COVERED: This review discusses the current understanding of EoE and the role of topical steroids in the induction and maintenance of remission in patients with EoE. We performed a comprehensive review of the literature, summarized randomized control trials from 2006 to 2020, and provided a simplified management algorithm for EoE. EXPERT OPINION: In patients with EoE, topical steroids are effective in inducing clinical and histologic remission. Formulations of topical steroids that maximize the exposure to esophageal mucosa have the highest efficacy. A majority of patients who achieve remission with topical steroids develop clinical and histologic relapse off therapy within a year. Current evidence suggests that maintenance therapy with long-term topical steroids decreases the risk of relapse and progression to fibrostenotic disease. While uncertainty over the dose and duration of maintenance topical steroids and their potential side effects exists, long-term maintenance therapy with topical steroids appears to be the way forward to improve long-term outcomes in patients with EoE.

Predictive Factors and Time to Development of Hepatic Decompensation in Patients with Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is one of the most common causes of cirrhosis in the USA. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine the time to develop hepatic events in patients with NAFLD and develop a simple model to identify patients at risk for hepatic decompensation. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. PATIENTS: Seven hundred patients with NAFLD met inclusion criteria for the study. Patients were divided into model construction (n = 450) and validation (n = 250) cohorts. MAIN MEASURES: Demographic, clinical, and laboratory variables were gathered at the time of diagnosis of NAFLD. Kaplan-Meier analysis determined the time to development of hepatic events from initial diagnosis. A time-to-event prediction model was established in the model construction cohort using the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model and was then internally validated. KEY RESULTS: Forty-nine (7%) patients developed hepatic events at a mean duration of 6.2 ± 4.2 years from initial diagnosis. Kaplan-Meier probability of developing a hepatic event at 5-, 10-, and 12-year intervals was 4.8%, 10.6%, and 11.3%, respectively. Age, presence of diabetes, and platelet count were identified as significant variables to predict hepatic events. NAFLD decompensation risk score was developed as "age × 0.06335 + presence of diabetes (yes = 1, no = 0) × 0.92221 - platelet count × 0.01522" to predict the probability of hepatic decompensation. Risk score model had an area under the curve of 0.89 (95% CI = 0.92, 0.86) and it performed well in both the validation (0.91, 0.87-0.94) and the overall cohort (0.89, 0.87-0.91). CONCLUSIONS: A significant proportion of patients with NAFLD developed hepatic decompensation. We have provided a simple, objective model to help identify "at-risk" patients.

Diagnostic Yield of Colonoscopy in Young Adults with Lower Gastrointestinal Symptoms in a Multicenter Midwest Cohort.

BACKGROUND/AIMS: Serious gastrointestinal (GI) pathologies are common in older adults compared to young adults (≤40 years). Data on the diagnostic yield (DY) of colonoscopy in young adults with lower GI symptoms are lacking. We aimed to evaluate the overall DY of colonoscopy; and the DY stratified by the presence or absence of bright red blood per rectum (BRBPR) in young adults ≤40 years. METHODS: We reviewed diagnostic colonoscopies performed in young adults by 18 gastroenterologists at 2 different institutions from -October 2016 to April 2019. Patients with familial colorectal cancer (CRC) syndromes were excluded. DY was calculated based on the proportion of abnormal colonoscopy defined as having inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), microscopic colitis (MC), advanced adenoma, or CRC. RESULTS: We included 454 patients, mean (SD) age was 31 (3) years, 162 (36%) were males and mean (SD) BMI was 30 (8.5). BRBPR was the indication for colonoscopy in 194 (43%) patients, 260 (57%) patients had colonoscopy for other lower GI symptoms (abdominal pain, chronic diarrhea, constipation) but without BRBPR. Overall DY of colonoscopy in young adults with lower GI symptoms was 15%; IBD was seen in 43 (10%) patients, MC 10 (2%), and advanced neoplasia/CRC 20 (4%). Overall DY in patients with BRBPR was significantly higher than in patients without BRBPR (22 vs. 11%, p = 0.001). The DY for IBD was also higher in young adults with BRBPR versus without BRBPR (15 vs. 6%, p = 0.003). The DY of patients with both BRBPR and abdominal pain was 34%, for BRBPR and diarrhea was 40%, and for all 3 symptoms of BRBPR, diarrhea, and abdominal pain was 52%. CONCLUSIONS: Significant proportion of young adults with BRBPR have abnormal pathology (22%) justifying evaluation by colonoscopy. For other lower GI symptoms without BRBPR, the necessity of endoscopic evaluation should be determined clinically on a case-to-case basis due to the low overall DY.