Integrated care teams in primary care improve clinical outcomes and care processes in patients with non-communicable diseases.

Introduction: Primary care physicians face the increasing burden of managing multimorbidities in an ageing population. Implementing an integrated care team (ICT) with defined roles and accountability to share consultation tasks is an emerging care model to address this issue. This study compared outcomes with ICT versus usual care for patients with multimorbidities in primary care. Methods: Data was retrospectively extracted from the electronic medical records (EMRs) of consecutive adult Asian patients empanelled to ICT and those in UC at a typical primary care clinic (polyclinic) in eastern Singapore in 2018. The study population had hypertension, and/or hyperlipidaemia and/or type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Clinical outcomes included the proportion of patients (ICT vs. UC) who attained their treatment goals after 12 months. Process outcomes included the proportion of patients who completed annual diabetic eye and foot screenings, where applicable. Results: Data from 3,302 EMRs (ICT = 1,723, UC = 1,579) from January 2016 to September 2017 was analysed. The ICT cohort was more likely to achieve treatment goals for systolic blood pressure (SBP) (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 1.52, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.38-1.68), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (AOR = 1.72, 95% CI = 1.49-1.99), and glycated haemoglobin (AOR = 1.28, 95% CI = 1.09-1.51). The ICT group had higher uptake of diabetic retinal screening (89.1% vs. 83.0%, P < 0.001) and foot screening (85.2% vs. 77.9%, P < 0.001). Conclusion: The ICT model yielded better clinical and process outcomes than UC, with more patients attaining treatment goals.

Negative and positive experiences of caregiving among family caregivers of older blunt trauma patients.

OBJECTIVES: Family caregivers play a fundamental role in the care of the older blunt trauma patient. We aim to identify risk factors for negative and positive experiences of caregiving among family caregivers. DESIGN: Prospective, nationwide, multi-center cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: 110 family caregivers of Singaporeans aged≥55 admitted for unintentional blunt trauma with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) or New Injury Severity Score (NISS)≥10 were assessed for caregiving-related negative (disturbed schedule and poor health, lack of family support, lack of finances) and positive (esteem) experiences using the modified-Caregiver Reaction Assessment (m-CRA) three months post-injury. METHODS: The association between caregiver and patient factors, and the four m-CRA domains were evaluated via linear regression. RESULTS: Caregivers of retired patients and caregivers of functionally dependent patients (post-injury Barthel score <80) reported a worse experience in terms of disturbed schedule and poor health (ß-coefficient 0.42 [95% Confidence Interval 0.10, 0.75], p = .01; 0.77 [0.33, 1.21], p = .001), while male caregivers and caregivers who had more people in the household reported a better experience (-0.39 [-0.73, -0.06], p = .02; -0.16 [-0.25, -0.07], p = .001). Caregivers of male patients, retired patients, and patients living in lower socioeconomic housing were more likely to experience lack of family support (0.28, [0.03, -0.53], p = .03; 0.26, [0.01, 0.52], p = .05; 0.34, [0.05, -0.66], p = .02). In the context of lack of finances, caregivers of male patients and caregivers of functionally dependent patients reported higher financial strain (0.74 [0.31, 1.17], p = .001; 0.84 [0.26, 1.43], p = .01). Finally, caregivers of male patients reported higher caregiver esteem (0.36 [0.15, 0.57], p = .001). CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Negative and positive experiences of caregiving among caregivers of older blunt trauma patients are associated with pre-injury disability and certain patient and caregiver demographics. These factors should be considered when planning the post-discharge support of older blunt trauma patients.

Health Services Use and Functional Recovery Following Blunt Trauma in Older Persons - A National Multicentre Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Frailty is associated with morbidity and mortality in older injured patients. However, for older blunt-trauma patients, increased frailty may not manifest in longer length of stay at index admission. We hypothesized that owing to time spent in hospital from readmissions, frailty would be associated with less total time at home in the 1-year postinjury period. DESIGN: Prospective, nationwide, multicenter cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: All Singaporean residents aged ≥55 years admitted for blunt trauma with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) or New Injury Severity Score (NISS) ≥10 from March 2016 to July 2018. METHODS: Frailty (by modified Fried criteria) was assessed at index admission, based on questions on preinjury weight loss, slowness, exhaustion, physical activity, and grip strength at the time of recruitment. Low time at home was defined as >14 hospitalized days within 1 year postinjury. The contribution of planned and unplanned readmission to time at home postinjury was explored. Functional trajectory (by Barthel Index) over 1 year was compared by frailty. RESULTS: Of the 218 patients recruited, 125 (57.3%) were male, median age was 72 years, and 48 (22.0%) were frail. On univariate analysis, frailty [relative to nonfrail: odds ratio (OR) 3.45, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.33-8.97, P = .01] was associated with low time at home. On multivariable analysis, after inclusion of age, gender, ISS, intensive care unit admission, and surgery at index admission, frailty (OR 5.21, 95% CI 1.77-15.34, P < .01) remained significantly associated with low time at home in the 1-year postinjury period. Unplanned readmissions were the main reason for frail participants having low time at home. Frail participants had poorer function in the 1-year postinjury period. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: In the year following blunt trauma, frail older patients experience lower time at home compared to patients who were not frail at baseline. Screening for frailty should be considered in all older blunt-trauma patients, with a view to being prioritized for postdischarge support.

Frailty and length of stay in older adults with blunt injury in a national multicentre prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Patients suffering moderate or severe injury after low falls have higher readmission and long-term mortality rates compared to patients injured by high-velocity mechanisms such as motor vehicle accidents. We hypothesize that this is due to higher pre-injury frailty in low-fall patients, and present baseline patient and frailty demographics of a prospective cohort of moderate and severely injured older patients. Our second hypothesis was that frailty was associated with longer length of stay (LOS) at index admission. METHODS: This is a prospective, nation-wide, multi-center cohort study of Singaporean residents aged ≥55 years admitted for ≥48 hours after blunt injury with an injury severity score or new injury severity score ≥10, or an Organ Injury Scale ≥3, in public hospitals from 2016-2018. Demographics, mechanism of injury and frailty were recorded and analysed by Chi-square, or Kruskal-Wallis as appropriate. RESULTS: 218 participants met criteria and survived the index admission. Low fall patients had the highest proportion of frailty (44, 27.3%), followed by higher level fallers (3, 21.4%) and motor vehicle accidents (1, 2.3%) (p < .01). Injury severity, extreme age, and surgery were independently associated with longer LOS. Frail patients were paradoxically noted to have shorter LOS (p < .05). CONCLUSION: Patients sustaining moderate or severe injury after low falls are more likely to be frail compared to patients injured after higher-velocity mechanisms. However, this did not translate into longer adjusted LOS in hospital at index admission.

The Effect of Social Norm-based Intervention with Observable Behaviour on Physical Activity among Adolescents: A Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: The rising prevalence of childhood obesity in developing and developed countries poses a major public health challenge to policy makers and an effective strategy to promote physical activity among adolescents is warranted. This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of providing descriptive norms messages with personal identification in promoting physical activity among adolescents by measuring step counts via a randomized controlled trial (NCT03081013). METHODS: A total of 311 participants aged 13-16 were randomized into two study arms (Onymous and Anonymous Arms). Each arm consisted of 13 groups of 12 participants. During the trial, participants received weekly short message service (SMS) about their past week's physical activity performance. Participants in the Anonymous Arm received information about step counts of group members ranked from highest to lowest. Participants in the Onymous Arm received the same information with the group members' full names. Participants' quality of life, depression, physical activity social support, self-efficacy and enjoyment before and after the intervention were also evaluated. This study adheres to the CONSORT guidelines. RESULTS: The number of steps was not higher when descriptive norm message was onymous compared to when it was anonymous. Scores in quality of life, depression, social support, self-efficacy, and enjoyment of physical activity were not significantly different between both arms (p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicated that the effect of providing descriptive norms messages containing personal identification on physical activity promotion was not evident in the main analysis. Future studies may consider using a more relevant reference group to use social norms as a tool to increase physical activity among adolescents. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov - NCT03081013. Registered 15 Mar 2017-Retrospectively registered, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03081013.

Comparison of exacerbation phenotypes among patients with severe asthma.

Background: Exacerbation phenotypes among patients with severe asthma have been largely characterized during stable periods. Little is known about severe asthma patients during exacerbation periods. Objective: To compare persistently frequent exacerbators (PFE), non-persistently frequent exacerbators (NPFE), and infrequent exacerbators (IFE) among patients with severe asthma during stable and exacerbation periods. Methods: Patients with severe asthma who were admitted for asthma exacerbations from 2011 to 2017 and on follow up at Singapore General Hospital were recruited and categorized as PFEs (two or more exacerbations per year over 2 consecutive years), NPFEs (two or more exacerbations in 1 year only), or IFEs (fewer than two exacerbations per year over 2 consecutive years). Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were collected at baseline and during exacerbation periods. Results: The participants were categorized as the following: 20 PFEs, 36 NPFEs, and 57 IFEs, with no significant demographic differences. The participants as PFEs (versus NPFEs and IFEs) were characterized by having a higher prevalence of psychiatric disorders (25% versus 8% versus 5%; p = 0.046), more comorbidities (7 versus 4 versus 2; p < 0.001), and a higher steroid burden per year (1150 versus 456 versus 350 mg; p < 0.001). The participants who were PFEs (versus IFEs) had a higher total immunoglobulin E (IgE) level (625 versus 232 IU/mL; p = 0.046) and longer duration of admission stay (3 versus 2 days; p = 0.009). All three groups had higher blood neutrophil counts during exacerbation periods than during stable periods (p = 0.008 versus p < 0.001 versus p = 0.004). Conclusion: The participants categorized as PFEs were characterized by comorbidities, higher steroid burden, IgE levels, and longer hospital stays. Exacerbations in the participants with severe asthma, regardless of exacerbation phenotype, were characterized by neutrophilia. These findings provided insights into potential therapeutic strategies to reduce exacerbations in patients with severe asthma.

Impact of a Formal Advance Care Planning Program on End-of-Life Care for Patients With Heart Failure: Results From a Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: There is no evidence on effectiveness of advance care planning (ACP) among patients with heart failure (HF). We examined the effect of an ACP program in facilitating end of life (EOL) care consistent with the preferences of patients with HF (primary aim), and on their decisional conflict, discussion with surrogates, illness understanding, anxiety, depression, and quality of life (secondary aims). METHODS: We randomized 282 patients with HF to receive ACP (n=93) or usual care (control arm, n=189). Primary outcomes were assessed among deceased (n=89) and secondary outcomes from baseline and 6 follow-ups conducted every 4 months. RESULTS: Deceased patients in the ACP arm were no more likely than those in control arm to have wishes followed for EOL treatments (ACP: 35%, Control: 44%; P= .47), or place of death (ACP: 52%, Control: 51%; P = .1.00). A higher proportion in the ACP arm had wishes followed for cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ACP: 83%, Control: 62%; P = .12). At first follow-up, patients with ACP had lower decisional conflict (ß = -10.8, P< .01) and were more likely to discuss preferences with surrogates (ß = 1.3, P = .04). ACP did not influence other outcomes. CONCLUSION: This trial did not confirm that our ACP program was effective in facilitating EOL care consistent with patient preferences. The program led to short-term improvements in the decision-making.

Integrating advance care planning as part of comprehensive geriatric assessment for hospitalised frail elderly patients: findings of a cross-sectional study.

INTRODUCTION: The integration of advance care planning (ACP) as part of the comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) of hospitalised frail elderly patients, together with the clinical and demographic factors that determine successful ACP discussion, has not been previously explored. METHODS: A cross-sectional study on patients and family caregivers admitted under the geriatric medicine department of a tertiary hospital was conducted from October 2015 to December 2016. RESULTS: Among 311 eligible patients, 116 (37.3%) patients completed ACP discussion while 166 (53.4%) patients declined, with 62 (37.3%) of the decliners providing reasons for refusal. Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that older age, higher Charlson Comorbidity Index, poorer functional status and cognitive impairment had statistically significant associations with agreeing to ACP discussion (p < 0.05). On multivariate logistic regression analysis, only poorer functional status was significantly associated (odds ratio 2.22 [95% confidence interval 1.27-3.87]; p = 0.005). Among those who completed ACP discussion, a majority declined cardiopulmonary resuscitation (79.3%), preferred limited medical intervention or comfort care (82.8%), and opted for blood transfusion (62.9%), antibiotics (73.3%) and intravenous fluid (74.1%) but declined haemodialysis (50.9%). Decision-making was divided for enteral feeding. Among decliners, the main reasons for refusal were 'not keen' (33.9%), 'deferring to doctors' decision' (11.3%) and 'lack of ACP awareness' (11.3%). CONCLUSION: The feasibility and utility of integrating ACP as part of CGA has been demonstrated. Poorer functional status is significantly associated with successful ACP discussion. Greater public education on end-of-life care choices (besides cardiopulmonary resuscitation) and follow-up with decliners are recommended.

Factors driving frequent attendance at emergency departments for patients with head and neck cancer.

BACKGROUND: Patients with head and neck cancer have a higher risk of emergency department (ED) frequent attender (FA). We hypothesized that FAs present with issues different from non-FAs. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on Singapore residents with head and neck cancers using de-identified registry merged with electronic medical record data. A competing risk regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with FA. Aggregated primary diagnoses were compared for patients with and without FA risk factors. RESULTS: Thirteen percent of patients with head and neck cancer were FAs. FA risk factors were Charlson comorbidity index (3+), and socioeconomic status (SES). FAs had a higher proportion of respiratory infections. The spectrum of diagnosis was similar for patients with low and high SES. Current smokers had a greater proportion of respiratory complaints, relative to never smokers. CONCLUSION: Patients with greater comorbidity scores or higher SES were more likely to be FA. FAs were more likely to present with respiratory complaints, likely related to cancer treatment, or smoking status.

The price of personal mobility: burden of injury and mortality from personal mobility devices in Singapore - a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Personal mobility devices (PMDs) like skate-scooters, electric bicycles (e-bikes) or motorised scooters (e-scooters) have become widely available globally. There are several studies describing the rising incidence of injury from such devices. The aim of our study was to examine PMD user factors between motorised (MotPMDs) vs non-motorised PMDs (NonPMDs) as risk factors for severe injury and the need for hospital admission. METHODS: We analysed de-identified National Trauma Registry data (2015 to 2017) from all public sector hospitals in Singapore for patients aged 12 and above presenting to emergency departments with PMD-related injuries. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for the primary outcome of interest (higher injury severity, defined as Injury Severity Score / ISS > =9), and the secondary outcome of interest (need for hospital admission). Additional subgroup analysis was conducted comparing only scooters (manual vs electric), the most common sub-type of PMD in our study. RESULTS: Of the 614 patients in our study, majority were male (74%), median age 33 years, with 136 (22%) sustaining injuries with ISS > =9; 185 (30%) admitted [median stay length 3 days (IQR: 1-6)] and 93 (15%) required surgery. MotPMDs were more common (480, 78%), with e-scooters being the most common motorised device (393, 64%). There were 6 deaths, all in MotPMD users. On both univariate and multivariable regression, MotPMD users [OR 3.82, 95% CI 1.51-12.9, p = 0.01] and older users (> = 60 years) [OR 9.47, 95% CI 2.45-62.9, p = 0.004] were more likely to sustain injuries with ISS > =9, and more likely to need admission (MotPMD users [OR 1.8, 95% CI 1.04-3.29, p = 0.045], age > =60 years [OR 4.72, 95% CI 1.86-13.0, p = 0.002]). CONCLUSION: MotPMDs tripled the risk of severe injury and doubled the risk of requiring hospitalisation, compared to NonPMDs, likely due to higher travelling speeds. Increased age was also associated with severe injury and requiring hospitalisation.

The impact of levodopa therapy-induced complications on quality of life in Parkinson's disease patients in Singapore.

The objective of this study was to investigate the impact of levodopa therapy-induced complications on the quality of life (QoL) of Parkinson's disease (PD) patients in Singapore over a 1-year follow-up period. 274 PD patients were prospectively recruited, of which 78 patients completed the follow-up. Patients were evaluated on: (1) motor symptoms, (2) non-motor symptoms, (3) levodopa therapy-induced complications and (4) QoL. Levodopa-induced complications including dyskinesia and OFF symptoms occurred in 13.5% and 55.9% of the study population, respectively. In patients who completed the 1-year follow-up, there was a trend suggestive of increasing dyskinesia duration, more disabling dyskinesia as well as longer, more sudden and unpredictable OFF periods. There was a significant decline in the overall QoL at follow-up, in particular, activities of daily living, emotional well-being, cognition and communication domains were the most affected. The multivariable analysis demonstrated that worsening of UPDRS IV total score over 1-year interval was associated with worsening in PDQ-Summary Index score (d = 0.671, p = 0.014). In conclusion, levodopa-induced complications had significant adverse impacts on QoL. This study substantiates the importance for clinicians to closely monitor and promptly manage levodopa therapy-induced complications that may arise in patients.

The Characteristics of Patients Associated With High Caregiver Burden in Parkinson's Disease in Singapore.

Introduction: Given the complex multitude of Parkinson's disease (PD) symptoms, caregiving for PD patients can be highly demanding. Our study was aimed to investigate the characteristics of PD patients related to different levels of caregiver burden. Methods: This cross-sectional study recruited 104 idiopathic PD patient-caregiver pairs. Patients were evaluated on motor, non-motor symptoms, and quality of life (QoL). Caregiver burden was quantified using Zarit Burden Inventory and subsequently stratified into 3 subgroups. Statistical analysis was performed to identify differences in the no-or little, mild-moderate, and high caregiver burden subgroups. Results: The mean disease duration was significantly longer in the high caregiver burden group compared to no-or little group (9.63 vs. 5.17 years; p-value 0.003). The mean levodopa equivalent daily dose (LEDD) and mean total UPDRS Part IV scores (UPDRS4) were significantly higher in the high caregiver burden group compared to no-or little group (p-value 0.011 and 0.004, respectively). The high caregiver burden group had significantly higher median QoL scores (PDQ-39) for PD patients for domain 2 (ADL, p-value 0.005), domain 4 (stigma, p-value 0.005), and domain 6 (cognition, p-value 0.002) compared to no-or little group. Conclusion: Greater caregiver burden was observed in PD patients with more prolonged disease duration, higher LEDD to control motor symptoms as well as greater levodopa related motor complications. Further studies on potential interventions to mitigate or delay levodopa related motor complications may reduce caregiver burden. Marked worsening in patient's QoL, specifically ADL, stigma and cognition in the high compared to no-or little caregiver burden group suggests the possible utility of monitoring these factors for early identification of increasing caregiver stress and burden.

Granulomatous Mastitis and Factors Associated with Recurrence: An 11-Year Single-Centre Study of 113 Patients in Singapore.

BACKGROUND: Granulomatous mastitis (GM) is an inflammatory breast disease of unknown aetiology. It poses diagnostic and therapeutic challenges with myriad forms of clinical presentation, varying results to treatments and propensity to recur. This study aims to look at clinical and treatment factors that predispose to recurrence of GM. METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of 113 patients in our unit with histologically proven GM from 2006 to 2016. Demographic, clinical, treatment and outcomes data were collected and analysed. RESULTS: Eighty-nine patients were treated with antibiotics (78.8%), 79 (69.9%) with steroids and 23 (20.4%) patients underwent surgery. Twenty (17.7%) patients had recurrence. Patients who presented with inflammatory signs and symptoms had increased odds of having subsequent recurrence: skin changes (1.50), pain (2.00), fistula (4.39) and antibiotic treatment (6.65). Four patients (20%) with recurrence had positive bacterial cultures. All 4 grew Corynebacterium. Patients with Corynebacterium infection had a 2.64 times higher risk of recurrence. Surgery did not preclude recurrence. There was a 70% (7/10) penicillin resistance rate in our patients with positive cultures for Corynebacterium. CONCLUSION: Initial presentation with inflammatory signs and symptoms may confer increased risk of recurrence, warranting closer monitoring. Corynebacterium infection may play a part as a causative factor and risk factor for recurrence. Non-penicillin antibiotics should be considered as first-line antibiotics for patients presenting with inflammatory changes. Further prospective studies with larger patient populations might reveal information on the aetiology of GM and result in the development of a more standardized and effective treatment regimen.

Utility of bronchoalveolar lavage in the management of immunocompromised patients presenting with lung infiltrates.

BACKGROUND: Bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) is utilized for diagnosing lung infiltrates in immunocompromised. There is heterogeneity in the data and reported diagnostic yields range from 26 to 69%. Therefore, selection criteria for BAL to maximize yield and minimize complications are unclear. Objectives of this study were to determine the diagnostic yield and complication rate of BAL in immunocompromised patients presenting with lung infiltrates, and identify factors impacting these outcomes. Exploratory aims included characterization of pathogens, rate of treatment modification and mortality. METHODS: Retrospective study from January 2012 to December 2016. Patients on mechanical ventilation were excluded. Positive diagnostic yield was defined as confirmed microbiological or cytological diagnosis. RESULTS: A total of 217 patients were recruited (70.1% male and mean age: 51.7 ± 14.6 years). Diagnostic yield was 60.8% and complication rate 14.7%. Complications (hypoxemia and endobronchial bleeding) were all sell-limiting. Treatment modification based on BAL results was 63.3%. In 97.0% an infectious aetiology was identified. HIV infection (OR 5.304, 95% CI 1.611-17.458, p = 0.006) and severe neutropenia (OR 4.253, 95% CI 1.288-14.045, p = 0.018) were associated with positive yield. Leukemia (OR 0.317, 95% CI 0.102-0.982, p = 0.047) was associated with lower yield. No factors impacted complication rate. Overall mortality (90-day) was 17.5% and in those with hematologic malignancy, it was 28.3%. CONCLUSION: BAL retains utility in diagnosis of immunocompromised patients with lung infiltrates. However, patients with hematologic malignancy have a high mortality and alternative sampling should be considered because of poor results with BAL. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier NCT01374542 . Registered June 16, 2011.

Frailty and functional decline after emergency abdominal surgery in the elderly: a prospective cohort study.

Background: Frailty has been associated with an increased risk of adverse postoperative outcomes in elderly patients. We examined the impact of preoperative frailty on loss of functional independence following emergency abdominal surgery in the elderly. Methods: This prospective cohort study was performed at a tertiary hospital, enrolling patients 65 years of age and above who underwent emergency abdominal surgery from June 2016 to February 2018. Premorbid variables, perioperative characteristics and outcomes were collected. Two frailty measures were compared in this study-the Modified Fried's Frailty Criteria (mFFC) and Modified Frailty Index-11 (mFI-11). Patients were followed-up for 1 year. Results: A total of 109 patients were prospectively recruited. At baseline, 101 (92.7%) were functionally independent, of whom seven (6.9%) had loss of independence at 1 year; 28 (25.7%) and 81 (74.3%) patients were frail and non-frail (by mFFC) respectively. On univariate analysis, age, Charlson Comorbidity Index and frailty (mFFC) (univariate OR 13.00, 95% CI 2.21-76.63, p < 0.01) were significantly associated with loss of functional independence at 1 year. However, frailty, as assessed by mFI-11, showed a weaker correlation than mFFC (univariate OR 4.42, 95% CI 0.84-23.12, p = 0.06). On multivariable analysis, only premorbid frailty (by mFFC) remained statistically significant (OR 15.63, 95% CI 2.12-111.11, p < 0.01). Conclusions: The mFFC is useful for frailty screening amongst elderly patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery and is a predictor for loss of functional independence at 1 year. Including the risk of loss of functional independence in perioperative discussions with patients and caregivers is important for patient-centric emergency surgical care. Early recognition of this at-risk group could help with discharge planning and priority for post-discharge support should be considered.

Not All Falls Are Equal: Risk Factors for Unplanned Readmission in Older Patients After Moderate and Severe Injury-A National Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: Readmission after acute care is a significant contributor to health care costs, and has been proposed as a quality indicator. Our earlier studies showed that patients aged ≥55 years who are injured by falls from heights of ≤0.5 m were at increased risk for long-term mortality, compared to patients by high-velocity blunt trauma (higher fall heights, road injuries, and other blunt trauma). We hypothesized that these patients are also at higher risk of readmission, compared to patients injured by high-velocity mechanisms. DESIGN AND MEASURES: Competing risks regression (all-cause unplanned readmission or death) was performed. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Data for 5671 patients from the Singapore National Trauma Registry data who were injured from 2011-2013 and aged 55 and over were matched to Ministry of Health admissions data. The registry uses standardized conversion metrics to convert patient histories to fall heights. RESULTS: Patients injured after a low fall were more likely to be readmitted to a hospital, compared to those sustaining injuries by high-velocity blunt trauma. On competing risks analysis, low fall [subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) 1.52, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20-1.93, P < .01], Charlson Comorbidity Score (CCS≥3 relative to CCS = 0, SHR 1.46, 95% CI 1.04-2.04, P = .03), and Modified Frailty Index (MFI≥3 relative to MFI = 0, SHR 1.98, 95% CI 1.44-2.72, P < .001) were associated with higher risk of 30-day readmission. Rehabilitation was associated with reduced 30-day (SHR 0.64, 95% CI 0.48-0.86, P < .001) and 1-year (SHR 0.84, 95% CI 0.72-0.99, P = .04) readmission. CONCLUSIONS/IMPLICATIONS: Our study sheds light on the interpretation of trauma data in aging populations. The detailed fall height information in our registry makes it uniquely placed to facilitate understanding of the paradoxical finding that injuries sustained by low-energy falls are higher risk than those sustained by higher-velocity mechanisms. Low-fall patients should be prioritized for rehabilitation and postdischarge support. The proportion of low-fall patients in a trauma registry should be included in the factors considered for benchmarking.

Predictors of Change in Functional Outcome at six months and twelve months after Severe Injury: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Background: There is increasing focus on long-term survival, function and quality-of-life for trauma patients. There are few studies tracking longitudinal changes in functional outcome over time. The goal of our study was to compare the Glasgow Outcome Scale-Extended (GOSE) at 6 months and 12 months in blunt trauma survivors with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) of more than 15. Methods: Using the Singapore National Trauma Registry 2011-2013, patients with 6-month GOSE and 12-month GOSE scores were analysed. Patients were grouped into three categories-those with the same score at 6 months and 12 months, an improvement in score, and a worse score at 12 months. Ordinal regression was used to identify risk factors for improved score. Patients with missing scores at either 6 months or 12 months were excluded. Results: We identified 478 patients: 174 had an improvement in score, 233 stayed the same, and 71 had worse scores at 12 months compared to 6 months. On univariate ordinal regression, the following variables were associated with same or better function at 12-months compared to 6-months: male gender, being employed pre-injury, thoracic Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) of 3 or more, anatomical polytrauma (AIS of 3 or more in 2 or more body regions), and road traffic injury mechanism. Older age, low fall, increasing Charlson comorbidity scores, new injury severity score, and head and neck AIS of 3 or more were associated with worse function at 12 months compared to 6 months. ISS and revised trauma score were not significant predictors on univariate or multivariable analysis.On multivariable ordinal regression, motor vehicle mechanism (OR 2.78, 1.51-5.12, p = 0.001) was associated with improved function, while male gender (OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.02-1.82, p = 0.039) predicted improved function at 12 months. Conclusions: Females experience worse functional outcomes at 12 months, potentially due to majority of female injuries being low falls in the elderly. In contrast, motor vehicle injury patients had better functional outcomes at 12 months. Additional interventional strategies for high-risk groups should be explored.

Charlson Comorbidity Index Predicts 5-Year Survivorship of Surgically Treated Hip Fracture Patients.

INTRODUCTION: This study aims to assess the correlation of the age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) with 5-year mortality in a surgically treated hip fracture population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed on 1057 patients aged 60 years and above who underwent surgery for hip fracture with a minimum of 5-year follow-up (92.2% 5-year follow-up rate) in a tertiary hospital. Manual review of patients' electronic hospital records was performed to record demographic data, comorbidities, and length of stay. Mortality data were extracted from the hospital's electronic medical records and corroborated with the National Electronic Health Record. RESULTS: Of the 1057 patients, 283 (26.8%) were male. The majority of patients were 80 years of age and above (42.5%), with the oldest patient operated on age 102 with a mean age of 77.8 (8.6) years. Four hundred eighteen (39.5%) patients sustained extracapsular intertrochanteric fractures. The mean follow-up duration was 8 years and 3 days with an overall survivorship of 37.2%. A multiple regression model constructed with ACCI, age, gender, and fracture pattern demonstrated satisfactory predictive ability with a concordance statistic of 0.68. Patients with a higher ACCI category (≥6) had an increased 5-year mortality rate (41.8%) with an odds ratio of 13.6 (6.7-31.8, P < .001) compared to those with an ACCI category of 3 and below (89.3%). DISCUSSION: The study demonstrates that ACCI correlated with 5-year mortality after surgical treatment of hip fracture. This information is pertinent in the counseling of patients with regard to their midterm survival following hip fracture surgery and may inform policy makers of the varied midterm survival rates in patients with differing ACCI scores and educate the allocation of health-care resources. CONCLUSION: The ACCI correlates with 5-year mortality after surgical treatment of hip fracture.

Effectiveness of bariatric surgery in diabetes prevention in high-risk Asian individuals.

INTRODUCTION: Obesity is a key risk factor in the development of Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Bariatric surgery causes a large amount of durable weight loss in those with clinically severe obesity. We reported the effect of weight loss via bariatric surgery on DM prevention in those at high risk of developing DM. METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 44 patients with obesity (mean body mass index 43.8 kg/m2) and pre-DM who underwent bariatric surgery and were followed up for up to three years. We also reviewed a non-surgical cohort of patients with obesity and pre-DM seen at the weight management clinic. RESULTS: 91% of patients attained normal glycaemic status at one year after bariatric surgery. At the three-year follow-up, 87.5% of the patients maintained normoglycaemia. None of the patients developed T2DM after surgery. 26.9% of patients achieved absolute weight loss at one year after bariatric surgery and maintained this at two and three years post surgery (p < 0.001 vs. baseline). The homeostatic model assessment-insulin resistance index in patients also decreased from 5.50 at baseline to 1.20, 1.14 and 1.44 at one, two and three years, respectively (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Bariatric surgery produces significant weight loss, and leads to reversion from the pre-diabetic state to normal glycaemic status and reduction of the incident DM rate in those with pre-DM and morbid obesity.

Nasal high-mobility group box 1 and caspase in bronchiolitis.

OBJECTIVE: Nasal biomarkers have potential to add objectivity to the clinical assessment of the child with bronchiolitis. We aim to study, if nasal caspase and high-mobility group box 1 protein (HMGB1) levels differ between patients who were hospitalized and those discharged from the emergency department (ED), among patients with bronchiolitis. METHODS: Using an observational cross-sectional study design, we recruited patients younger than 24 months presenting to the ED from September 1, 2015 to May 31, 2017 with a diagnosis of acute bronchiolitis. We described the patients' clinical severity measured by the modified respiratory index score (RIS), and performed standardized collection and analysis of nasal caspase and HMGB1 levels. RESULTS: Among 85 patients recruited, the median age was 5.0 months (interquartile range, IQR 3.3-7.2) and the median modified RIS score was 3 (IQR 2-4). Hospitalized patients had a 2.4-fold higher HMGB1 level than patients who were discharged from the ED (2.558 µg/mL [IQR 1.038-5.125] vs 1.056 µg/mL [IQR 0.409-2.395], P = 0.0013). There was no difference in median caspase level between hospitalized and discharged patients. The Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics curve predicting hospitalization was 0.7021 for HMGB1 compared to 0.5709 for RIS in this bronchiolitis cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Our study findings show that nasal HMGB1 levels significantly differentiate between young children with bronchiolitis who were hospitalized compared to those fit for discharge. This exploratory study holds potential for future research on nasal HMGB1 for severity stratification in young children with acute bronchiolitis.