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1.
Heliyon ; 10(4): e26275, 2024 Feb 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38420372

RESUMEN

The objective of this study is to evaluate the uncertainties of the dosimetric modeling of active marrow (AM) exposure from bone-seeking 89,90Sr. The stochastic parametric skeletal dosimetry (SPSD) model was specifically developed to study the long-term effects resulting from chronic 89,90Sr exposure in populations of the radioactively contaminated territories of the Southern Urals region of the Russian Federation. The method permits the evaluation of the dose factors (DF(AM ← TBV) and DF(AM ← CBV)), which convert the radionuclide activity concentration in trabecular (TBV) and cortical (CBV) bone volumes into dose rate in the AM, and their uncertainties. The sources of uncertainty can be subdivided into inherent uncertainties related to the individual variability of the simulated objects and introduced uncertainties related to model simplifications. Inherent uncertainty components are the individual variability of bone chemical composition, bone density, bone micro- and macro-architecture as well as AM distribution within the skeleton. The introduced uncertainties may result from the stylization of bone segment geometry, assumption of uniform cortical thickness, restriction of bone geometry and the selection of the applied voxel resolution. The inherent uncertainty depends on a number of factors of influence. Foremost, it is the result of variability of AM distribution within the skeleton. Another important factor is the variability of bone micro- and macro-architecture. The inherent uncertainty of skeletal-average dose factors was found to be about 40-50%. The introduced uncertainty associated with the SPSD model approach does not exceed 16% and mainly depends on the error of bone-shape stylization. The overall inherent and introduced uncertainties of DF(AM ← TBV) and DF(AM ← CBV) are below 55% and 63%, respectively. The results obtained will be incorporated into the stochastic version of the Techa River Dosimetry System (TRDS-2016MC) that provides multiple realizations of the annual doses for each cohort member to obtain both a central estimate of the individual dose and information on the dose uncertainty.

2.
PLoS One ; 18(8): e0288479, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37561738

RESUMEN

Many residents of the Russian Southern Urals were exposed to radioactive environmental pollution created by the operations of the Mayak Production Association in the mid- 20th century. There were two major releases: the discharge of about 1x1017 Bq of liquid waste into the Techa River between 1949 and 1959; and the atmospheric release of 7.4 * 1016 Bq as a result an explosion in the radioactive waste-storage facility in 1957. The releases into the Techa River resulted in the exposure of more than 30,000 people who lived in riverside villages between 1950 and 1961. The 1957 accident contaminated a larger area with the highest exposure levels in an area that is called the East Urals Radioactive Trace (EURT). Current epidemiologic studies of the exposed populations are based on dose estimates obtained using a Monte-Carlo dosimetry system (TRDS-2016MC) that provides multiple realizations of the annual doses for each cohort member. These dose realizations provide a central estimate of the individual dose and information on the uncertainty of these dose estimates. In addition, the correlation of individual annual doses over realizations provides important information on shared uncertainties that can be used to assess the impact of shared dose uncertainties on risk estimate uncertainty.This paper considers dose uncertainties in the TRDS-2016MC. Individual doses from external and internal radiation sources were reconstructed for 48,036 people based on environmental contamination patterns, residential histories, individual 90Sr body-burden measurements and dietary intakes. Dietary intake of 90Sr resulted in doses accumulated in active bone marrow (or simply, marrow) that were an order of magnitude greater than those in soft tissues. About 84% of the marrow dose and 50% of the stomach dose was associated with internal exposures. The lognormal distribution is well-fitted to the individual dose realizations, which, therefore, could be expressed and easily operated in terms of geometric mean (GM) and geometric standard deviation (GSD). Cohort average GM for marrow and stomach cumulative doses are 0.21 and 0.03 Gy, respectively. Cohort average dose uncertainties in terms of GSD are as follows: for marrow it is 2.93 (90%CI: 2.02-4.34); for stomach and the other non-calcified tissues it is 2.32 (90% CI: 1.78-2.9).


Asunto(s)
Radioisótopos de Estroncio , Contaminantes Radiactivos del Agua , Humanos , Incertidumbre , Estudios Epidemiológicos , Contaminantes Radiactivos del Agua/análisis , Federación de Rusia
3.
PLoS One ; 16(10): e0257605, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34648511

RESUMEN

The objective of this study is to develop a skeleton model for assessing active marrow dose from bone-seeking beta-emitting radionuclides. This article explains the modeling methodology which accounts for individual variability of the macro- and microstructure of bone tissue. Bone sites with active hematopoiesis are assessed by dividing them into small segments described by simple geometric shapes. Spongiosa, which fills the segments, is modeled as an isotropic three-dimensional grid (framework) of rod-like trabeculae that "run through" the bone marrow. Randomized multiple framework deformations are simulated by changing the positions of the grid nodes and the thickness of the rods. Model grid parameters are selected in accordance with the parameters of spongiosa microstructures taken from the published papers. Stochastic modeling of radiation transport in heterogeneous media simulating the distribution of bone tissue and marrow in each of the segments is performed by Monte Carlo methods. Model output for the human femur at different ages is provided as an example. The uncertainty of dosimetric characteristics associated with individual variability of bone structure was evaluated. An advantage of this methodology for the calculation of doses absorbed in the marrow from bone-seeking radionuclides is that it does not require additional studies of autopsy material. The biokinetic model results will be used in the future to calculate individual doses to members of a cohort exposed to 89,90Sr from liquid radioactive waste discharged to the Techa River by the Mayak Production Association in 1949-1956. Further study of these unique cohorts provides an opportunity to gain more in-depth knowledge about the effects of chronic radiation on the hematopoietic system. In addition, the proposed model can be used to assess the doses to active marrow under any other scenarios of 90Sr and 89Sr intake to humans.


Asunto(s)
Partículas beta/efectos adversos , Médula Ósea/efectos de la radiación , Huesos/efectos de la radiación , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Niño , Preescolar , Simulación por Computador , Femenino , Hematopoyesis/efectos de la radiación , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos Biológicos , Método de Montecarlo , Dosis de Radiación , Radiometría , Procesos Estocásticos , Adulto Joven
4.
Radiat Res ; 195(4): 334-346, 2021 04 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33471905

RESUMEN

The workers at the Mayak nuclear facility near Ozyorsk, Russia are a primary source of information about exposure to radiation at low-dose rates, since they were subject to protracted exposures to external gamma rays and to internal exposures from plutonium inhalation. Here we re-examine lung cancer mortality rates and assess the effects of external gamma and internal plutonium exposures using recently developed Monte Carlo dosimetry systems. Using individual lagged mean annual lung doses computed from the dose realizations, we fit excess relative risk (ERR) models to the lung cancer mortality data for the Mayak Workers Cohort using risk-modeling software. We then used the corrected-information matrix (CIM) approach to widen the confidence intervals of ERR by taking into account the uncertainty in doses represented by multiple realizations from the Monte Carlo dosimetry systems. Findings of this work revealed that there were 930 lung cancer deaths during follow-up. Plutonium lung doses (but not gamma doses) were generally higher in the new dosimetry systems than those used in the previous analysis. This led to a reduction in the risk per unit dose compared to prior estimates. The estimated ERR/Gy for external gamma-ray exposure was 0.19 (95% CI: 0.07 to 0.31) for both sexes combined, while the ERR/Gy for internal exposures based on mean plutonium doses were 3.5 (95% CI: 2.3 to 4.6) and 8.9 (95% CI: 3.4 to 14) for males and females at attained age 60. Accounting for uncertainty in dose had little effect on the confidence intervals for the ERR associated with gamma-ray exposure, but had a marked impact on confidence intervals, particularly the upper bounds, for the effect of plutonium exposure [adjusted 95% CIs: 1.5 to 8.9 for males and 2.7 to 28 for females]. In conclusion, lung cancer rates increased significantly with both external gamma-ray and internal plutonium exposures. Accounting for the effects of dose uncertainty markedly increased the width of the confidence intervals for the plutonium dose response but had little impact on the external gamma dose effect estimate. Adjusting risk estimate confidence intervals using CIM provides a solution to the important problem of dose uncertainty. This work demonstrates, for the first time, that it is possible and practical to use our recently developed CIM method to make such adjustments in a large cohort study.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Pulmonares/mortalidad , Pulmón/efectos de la radiación , Neoplasias Inducidas por Radiación/mortalidad , Enfermedades Profesionales/mortalidad , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Rayos gamma/efectos adversos , Humanos , Pulmón/patología , Neoplasias Pulmonares/etiología , Neoplasias Pulmonares/patología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Neoplasias Inducidas por Radiación/patología , Reactores Nucleares , Enfermedades Profesionales/etiología , Enfermedades Profesionales/patología , Exposición Profesional/efectos adversos , Dosis de Radiación , Radiometría , Federación de Rusia/epidemiología
5.
PLoS One ; 15(11): e0242151, 2020.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33186401

RESUMEN

The radiochemical analysis of plutonium activity in urine is the main method for indirect estimation of doses of internal exposure from plutonium incorporation in professional workers. It was previously shown that late-in-life acute diseases, particularly those that affect the liver, can promote accelerated rates of release of plutonium from the liver with enhanced excretion rates. This initial study examines the relationships of some chronic diseases on plutonium excretion as well as the terminal relative distribution of plutonium between the liver and skeleton. Fourteen cases from former workers at the Mayak Production Association (Mayak PA) who provided from 4-9 urine plutonium bioassays for plutonium, had an autopsy conducted after death, and had sufficient clinical records to document their health status were used in this study. Enhanced plutonium excretion was associated with more serious chronic diseases, including cardiovascular diseases and other diseases that involved the liver. These chronic diseases were also associated with relatively less plutonium found in the liver relative to the skeleton determined by analyses conducted after autopsy. These data further document health conditions that affect plutonium biokinetics and organ deposition and retention patterns and suggest that health status should be considered when conducting plutonium bioassays as these may alter subsequent dosimetry and risk models.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Profesionales/epidemiología , Exposición Profesional , Plutonio/efectos adversos , Plutonio/orina , Adulto , Consumo de Bebidas Alcohólicas , Autopsia , Bioensayo , Huesos/efectos de la radiación , Enfermedad Crónica , Estado de Salud , Humanos , Cinética , Hígado/efectos de la radiación , Persona de Mediana Edad , Enfermedades Profesionales/orina , Centrales Eléctricas , Radiometría , Estudios Retrospectivos , Riesgo , Federación de Rusia
6.
J Environ Radioact ; 217: 106219, 2020 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32217251

RESUMEN

Time-dependent thyroid doses were reconstructed for 45,837 members of the Southern Urals Population Exposed to Radiation Cohort (SUPER-C) living in the region around the Mayak Production Association facilities in Russia from 131I released to the atmosphere from all relevant exposure pathways. The dose calculations are implemented in a Monte Carlo framework that produces best estimates and stochastic realizations of dose time-histories. The arithmetic mean thyroid dose from 131I for SUPER-C members was 195 mGy; the median was 61 mGy. Overall, 131I-thyroid doses for about 3.6% of SUPER-C members were larger than 1 Gy. For children born in 1940-1950, the dose was about 10% higher than in previous studies because doses during the prenatal period for 9,117 individuals are included in the current work. Half of the individuals born in the region in 1950-1960 who remained in the study domain through 1972 received 9.4% or more of their total dose during the prenatal period. SUPER-C members residing in areas contaminated by discharges of liquid radioactive releases into the Techa River or the Kyshtym Accident in 1957 received 80% of their thyroid dose from airborne 131I emissions.


Asunto(s)
Exposición a la Radiación , Monitoreo de Radiación , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Radioisótopos de Yodo , Método de Montecarlo , Embarazo , Dosis de Radiación , Federación de Rusia
7.
Radiat Prot Dosimetry ; 184(2): 201-210, 2019 Aug 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30496515

RESUMEN

Differences in results from the new Mayak Worker Dosimetry System (MWDS-2016) vs the previous MWDS-2013 are described. Statistical characteristics are shown for the distribution of accumulated absorbed doses to organs for 8340 workers with bioassay data. Differences in mean values of accumulated doses and their relative standard uncertainties calculated by MWDS-2016 and MWDS-2013 were analysed separately for various types of industrial compounds of plutonium, specifically nitrates, mixtures and oxides. Within the range of accumulated doses >1 mGy, lung doses for nitrates and mixtures decreased by 41 and 15%, respectively, and remained at the same level for oxides. Accumulated liver doses within the range >1 mGy increased for nitrates and mixtures by 13 and 8%, respectively, and decreased for oxides by 7%.


Asunto(s)
Hígado/efectos de la radiación , Pulmón/efectos de la radiación , Exposición Profesional/efectos adversos , Plutonio/efectos adversos , Monitoreo de Radiación/métodos , Bioensayo , Rayos gamma , Humanos , Hígado/metabolismo , Pulmón/metabolismo , Plutonio/farmacocinética , Dosis de Radiación , Distribución Tisular
8.
J Environ Radioact ; 178-179: 156-167, 2017 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28843165

RESUMEN

Time-dependent thyroid doses were reconstructed for over 29,000 Techa River Cohort members living near the Mayak production facilities from 131I released to the atmosphere for all relevant exposure pathways. The calculational approach uses four general steps: 1) construct estimates of releases of 131I to the air from production facilities; 2) model the transport of 131I in the air and subsequent deposition on the ground and vegetation; 3) model the accumulation of 131I in environmental media; and 4) calculate individualized doses. The dose calculations are implemented in a Monte Carlo framework that produces best estimates and confidence intervals of dose time-histories. Other radionuclide contributors to thyroid dose were evaluated. The 131I contribution was 75-99% of the thyroid dose. The mean total thyroid dose for cohort members was 193 mGy and the median was 53 mGy. Thyroid doses for about 3% of cohort members were larger than 1 Gy. About 7% of children born in 1940-1950 had doses larger than 1 Gy. The uncertainty in the 131I dose estimates is low enough for this approach to be used in regional epidemiological studies.


Asunto(s)
Contaminación Radiactiva del Aire/estadística & datos numéricos , Radioisótopos de Yodo/análisis , Exposición a la Radiación/análisis , Contaminación Radiactiva del Aire/análisis , Atmósfera/química , Humanos , Método de Montecarlo , Dosis de Radiación , Exposición a la Radiación/estadística & datos numéricos , Federación de Rusia
9.
PLoS One ; 12(4): e0174641, 2017.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28369141

RESUMEN

In epidemiological studies, exposures of interest are often measured with uncertainties, which may be independent or correlated. Independent errors can often be characterized relatively easily while correlated measurement errors have shared and hierarchical components that complicate the description of their structure. For some important studies, Monte Carlo dosimetry systems that provide multiple realizations of exposure estimates have been used to represent such complex error structures. While the effects of independent measurement errors on parameter estimation and methods to correct these effects have been studied comprehensively in the epidemiological literature, the literature on the effects of correlated errors, and associated correction methods is much more sparse. In this paper, we implement a novel method that calculates corrected confidence intervals based on the approximate asymptotic distribution of parameter estimates in linear excess relative risk (ERR) models. These models are widely used in survival analysis, particularly in radiation epidemiology. Specifically, for the dose effect estimate of interest (increase in relative risk per unit dose), a mixture distribution consisting of a normal and a lognormal component is applied. This choice of asymptotic approximation guarantees that corrected confidence intervals will always be bounded, a result which does not hold under a normal approximation. A simulation study was conducted to evaluate the proposed method in survival analysis using a realistic ERR model. We used both simulated Monte Carlo dosimetry systems (MCDS) and actual dose histories from the Mayak Worker Dosimetry System 2013, a MCDS for plutonium exposures in the Mayak Worker Cohort. Results show our proposed methods provide much improved coverage probabilities for the dose effect parameter, and noticeable improvements for other model parameters.


Asunto(s)
Intervalos de Confianza , Estudios Epidemiológicos , Modelos Teóricos , Radiometría/métodos , Humanos , Método de Montecarlo , Riesgo , Análisis de Supervivencia
10.
Radiat Environ Biophys ; 56(1): 27-45, 2017 03.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28102439

RESUMEN

The East Urals Radioactive Trace (EURT) was formed after a chemical explosion in the radioactive waste-storage facility of the Mayak Production Association in 1957 (Southern Urals, Russia) and resulted in an activity dispersion of 7.4 × 1016 Bq into the atmosphere. Internal exposure due to ingestion of radionuclides with local foodstuffs was the main factor of public exposure at the EURT. The EURT cohort, combining residents of most contaminated settlements, was formed for epidemiological study at the Urals Research Center for Radiation Medicine, Russia (URCRM). For the purpose of improvement of radionuclide intake estimates for cohort members, the following data sets collected in URCRM were used: (1) Total ß-activity and radiochemical measurements of 90Sr in local foodstuffs over all of the period of interest (1958-2011; n = 2200), which were used for relative 90Sr intake estimations. (2) 90Sr measurements in human bones and whole body (n = 338); these data were used for average 90Sr intake derivations using an age- and gender-dependent Sr-biokinetic model. Non-strontium radionuclide intakes were evaluated on the basis of 90Sr intake data and the radionuclide composition of contaminated foodstuffs. Validation of radionuclide intakes during the first years after the accident was first carried out using measurements of the feces ß-activity of EURT residents (n = 148). The comparison of experimental and reconstructed values of feces ß-activity shows good agreement. 90Sr intakes for residents of settlements evacuated 7-14 days after the accident were also obtained from 90Sr measurements in human bone and whole body. The results of radionuclide intake reconstruction will be used to estimate the internal doses for the members of the EURT cohort.


Asunto(s)
Monitoreo de Radiación , Radioisótopos/metabolismo , Adolescente , Adulto , Transporte Biológico , Niño , Preescolar , Dieta , Femenino , Vivienda , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Dosis de Radiación , Protección Radiológica , Federación de Rusia , Radioisótopos de Estroncio/metabolismo , Adulto Joven
11.
PLoS One ; 11(4): e0154266, 2016.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27111330

RESUMEN

Long-term whole-body monitoring of radionuclides in residents of the Urals Region has been performed at the Urals Research Center for Radiation Medicine (URCRM, Chelyabinsk). Quantification of 40K was achieved by measuring the 40K photopeak with four phoswich detectors in whole body counter SICH-9.1M. The current study presents the results of 40K measurements in 3,651 women and 1,961 t-test; U-test men aged 11-90; measurements were performed in 2006-2014. The residents belonged to two ethnic groups, Turkic (Tatar, Bashkir) and Slavs (mainly Russian). The levels of 40K-body contents depend upon gender, age, and body mass. Significant ethnic-differences were not found in 40K-body contents and 40K concentrations in terms of Bq per kg of body weight (in groups homogenous by age and gender). Both 40K-body contents and concentrations were significantly higher in men than in women in all age-groups; the difference was about 25%. The measured 40K-body content in men of 20-50 years was about 4200 Bq (134 g of K) and about 3000 Bq (95 g of K) in women. By the age of 80 these values decreased to 3200 Bq (102 g of K) in men and 2500 Bq (80 g of K) in women. Annual dose rates were maximal in the age group of 20-30 years- 0.16 mGy/y for men and 0.13 mGy/y for women. Further, the dose-rates decreased with age and in the groups of 60-80 years were 0.13 mGy/y for men and 0.10 mGy/y for women. Within groups homogeneous by age and gender, individual dose rates are described by a normal statistical distribution. The coefficient of variation ranges from 9 to 14%, and on the average is 12.5%. Doses from naturally occurring 40K accumulated over 70 years were found to be 9.9 mGy for men and 8.3 mGy for women; over 90 years - 12.5 and 10.4 mGy.


Asunto(s)
Carga Corporal (Radioterapia) , Radioisótopos de Potasio/análisis , Potasio/análisis , Dosis de Radiación , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Peso Corporal , Niño , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Músculo Esquelético/metabolismo , Potasio/metabolismo , Radioisótopos de Potasio/metabolismo , Federación de Rusia , Recuento Corporal Total
12.
J Environ Radioact ; 135: 44-53, 2014 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24769389

RESUMEN

Scoping epidemiology studies performed by researchers from the Southern Urals Biophysics Institute revealed an excess prevalence of thyroid nodules and an increased incidence of thyroid cancer among residents of Ozersk, Russia, who were born in the early 1950s. Ozersk is located about 5 km from the facilities where the Mayak Production Association produced nuclear materials for the Russian weapons program. Reactor operations began in June 1948 and chemical separation of plutonium from irradiated fuel began in February 1949. The U.S.-Russia Joint Coordinating Committee on Radiation Effects Research conducted a series of projects over a 10-year period to assess the radiation risks in the Southern Urals. This paper uses data collected under Committee projects to present examples of reconstructed time-dependent thyroid doses to reference individuals living in Ozersk from (131)I released to the atmosphere for all relevant exposure pathways. Between 3.22 × 10(16) and 4.31 × 10(16) Bq of (131)I may have been released during the 1948-1972 time period, and a best estimate is 3.76 × 10(16) Bq. In general, younger children incur greater thyroid doses from (131)I than adults. A child born in 1947 is estimated to have received a cumulative thyroid dose of 2.3 Gy for 1948-1972, with a 95% confidence interval of 0.51-7.3 Gy. Annual doses were the highest in 1949 and a child who was 5 years old in 1949 is estimated to have a received an annual thyroid dose of 0.93 Gy with a 95% confidence interval of 0.19-3.5 Gy.


Asunto(s)
Radioisótopos de Yodo/análisis , Radioisótopos de Yodo/toxicidad , Niño , Preescolar , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Federación de Rusia/epidemiología , Neoplasias de la Tiroides/epidemiología
13.
Health Phys ; 106(2): 294-304, 2014 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24378505

RESUMEN

Beginning in 1948, the Soviet Union initiated a program for production of nuclear materials for a weapons program. The first facility for production of plutonium was constructed in the central portion of the country east of the southern Ural Mountains, about halfway between the major industrial cities of Ekaterinburg and Chelyabinsk. The facility, now known as the Mayak Production Association, and its associated town, now known as Ozersk, were built to irradiate uranium in reactors, separate the resulting plutonium in reprocessing plants, and prepare plutonium metal in the metallurgical plant. The rush to production, coupled with inexperience in handling radioactive materials, led to large radiation exposures, not only to the workers in the facilities, but also to the surrounding public. Fuel processing started with no controls on releases, and fuel dissolution and accidents in reactors resulted in release of ~37 PBq of I between 1948 and 1967. Designed disposals of low- and intermediate-level liquid radioactive wastes, and accidental releases via cooling water from tank farms of high-level liquid radioactive wastes into the small Techa River, caused significant contamination and exposures to residents of numerous small riverside villages downstream of the site. Discovery of the magnitude of the aquatic contamination in late 1951 caused revisions to the waste handling regimes, but not before over 200 PBq of radionuclides (with large contributions of Sr and Cs) were released. Liquid wastes were diverted to tiny Lake Karachay (which today holds over 4 EBq); cooling water was stopped in the tank farms. In 1957, one of the tanks in the tank farm overheated and exploded; over 70 PBq, disproportionately Sr, was blown over a large area to the northeast of the site. A large area was contaminated and many villages evacuated. This area today is known as the East Urals Radioactive Trace (EURT). Each of these releases was significant; together they have created a unique group of cohorts with their chronic, low dose-rate radiation exposure. The 26,000 workers at Mayak were highly exposed to external gamma and inhaled plutonium. A cohort of individuals raised as children in Ozersk is under evaluation for their exposures to radioiodine. The Techa River Cohort consists of over 30,000 people who were born before the start of exposure in 1949 and lived along the Techa River. The Techa River Offspring Cohort consists of ~21,000 persons born to one or more exposed parents of this group, many who also lived along the contaminated river. The EURT Cohort consists of ~18,000 people who were evacuated from the EURT soon after the 1957 explosion and another 8,000 who remained. These groups together are the focus of dose reconstruction and epidemiological studies funded by the United States, Russia, and the European Union to address the question, "Are doses delivered at low dose rates as effective in producing health effects as the same doses delivered at high dose rates?"Introduction of Joint U.S. and Russian Studies of Population Exposures (Video 2:13, http://links.lww.com/HP/A28).


Asunto(s)
Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis , Estudios de Cohortes , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/historia , Historia del Siglo XX , Vivienda , Humanos , Neoplasias Inducidas por Radiación/epidemiología , Neoplasias Inducidas por Radiación/etiología , Armas Nucleares/historia , Exposición Profesional/efectos adversos , Exposición Profesional/análisis , Ríos/química , Federación de Rusia/epidemiología , Estados Unidos , Agua/química
14.
Radiat Environ Biophys ; 50(3): 417-30, 2011 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21523463

RESUMEN

The Mayak Production Association released large amounts of (90)Sr into the Techa River (Southern Urals, Russia) with peak amounts in 1950-1951. Techa Riverside residents ingested an average of about 3,000 kBq of (90)Sr. The (90)Sr-body burden of approximately 15,000 individuals has been measured in the Urals Research Center for Radiation Medicine in 1974-1997 with use of a special whole-body counter (WBC). Strontium-90 had mainly deposited in the cortical part of the skeleton by 25 years following intake, and (90)Sr elimination occurs as a result of cortical bone resorption. The effect of (90)Sr-radiation exposure on the rate of cortical bone resorption was studied. Data on 2,022 WBC measurements were selected for 207 adult persons, who were measured three or more times before they were 50-55 years old. The individual-resorption rates were calculated with the rate of strontium recirculation evaluated as 0.0018 year(-1). Individual absorbed doses in red bone marrow (RBM) and bone surface (BS) were also calculated. Statistically significant negative relationships of cortical bone resorption rate were discovered related to (90)Sr-body burden and dose absorbed in the RBM or the BS. The response appears to have a threshold of about 1.5-Gy RBM dose. The radiation-induced decrease in bone resorption rate may not be significant in terms of health. However, a decrease in bone remodeling rate can be among several causes of an increased level of degenerative dystrophic bone pathology in exposed persons.


Asunto(s)
Resorción Ósea/etiología , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Liberación de Radiactividad Peligrosa , Ríos , Adulto , Médula Ósea/efectos de la radiación , Resorción Ósea/sangre , Relación Dosis-Respuesta en la Radiación , Femenino , Humanos , Recuento de Leucocitos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Dosis de Radiación , Federación de Rusia , Radioisótopos de Estroncio/efectos adversos , Radioisótopos de Estroncio/sangre
15.
J Air Waste Manag Assoc ; 58(7): 913-8, 2008 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-18672715

RESUMEN

Certain widely used wind rose programs and air dispersion models use an overly simple data-transfer algorithm that induces a directional bias in their output products. The purpose of this paper is to provide a revised algorithm that corrects the directional bias that occurs from the aliasing that occurs when the sector widths used to report wind direction data are on the same order of magnitude, but not equal, to the sector widths used in the wind direction summaries. The directional bias issue arises when output products in 16 direction sectors (22.5 degrees each) are produced from wind direction data reported in terms of 36 sectors (10 degrees each). The result directional bias affects the results of simulations of air and surface concentrations using widely applied air dispersion models. Datasets or models with the directional bias discussed here give consistent positive biases (approximately 30%) for cardinal direction sectors (north, south, east, and west) and consistent negative biases for all of the other sectors (around -10%). Data summary and air dispersion programs providing outputs in direction sectors that do not match the observational sectors need to be checked for this bias. A revised data-transfer algorithm is provided that corrects the directional bias that can occur in transferring wind direction data between different sector widths.


Asunto(s)
Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos , Viento , Algoritmos , Simulación por Computador , Modelos Teóricos , Programas Informáticos
17.
Environ Manage ; 35(1): 84-98, 2005 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15984066

RESUMEN

The Groundwater Protection Project at the US Department of Energy Hanford Site in Washington State is currently developing the means to assess the cumulative impact to human and ecological health and the regional economy and cultures from radioactive and chemical waste that will remain at the Hanford Site after the site closes. This integrated system is known as the System Assessment Capability (SAC). The SAC Risk/Impact Module discussed in the article uses media- and time-specific concentrations of contaminants estimated by the transport models of the integrated system to project potential impacts on the ecology of the Columbia River corridor, the health of persons who might live in or use the corridor or the upland Hanford environment, the local economy, and cultural resources. Preliminary Monte Carlo realizations from the SAC modeling system demonstrate the feasibility of large-scale uncertainty analysis of the complex relationships in the environmental transport of contaminants on the one hand and ecological, human, cultural, and economic risk on the other. Initial impact results show very small long-term risks for the 10 radionuclides and chemicals evaluated. The analysis also helps determine science priorities to reduce uncertainty and suggests what actions matter to reduce risks.


Asunto(s)
Ecología , Modelos Teóricos , Contaminantes Radiactivos/análisis , Residuos Radiactivos , Humanos , Método de Montecarlo , Salud Pública , Medición de Riesgo , Washingtón
18.
Health Phys ; 88(2): 139-53, 2005 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15650589

RESUMEN

Waterborne releases to the Techa River from the Mayak Production Association in Russia during 1949-1956 resulted in significant doses to persons living downstream; the most contaminated village was Metlino, about 7 km from the site of release. Internal and external doses have been estimated for these residents using the Techa River Dosimetry System-2000 (TRDS-2000); the primary purpose is to support epidemiological studies of the members of the Extended Techa River Cohort. Efforts to validate the calculations of external and internal dose are considered essential. One validation study of the TRDS-2000 system has been performed by the comparison of calculated doses to quartz from bricks in old buildings at Metlino with those measured by luminescence dosimetry. Two additional methods of validation considered here are electron paramagnetic resonance (EPR) measurements of teeth and fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) measurements of chromosome translocations in circulating lymphocytes. For electron paramagnetic resonance, 36 measurements on 26 teeth from 16 donors from Metlino were made at the GSF-National Research Center for Environment and Health (16 measurements) and the Institute of Metal Physics (20 measurements); the correlation among measurements made at the two laboratories has been found to be 0.99. Background measurements were also made on 218 teeth (63 molars, 128 premolars, and 27 incisors). Fluorescence in situ hybridization measurements were made for 31 residents of Metlino. These measurements were handicapped by the analysis of a limited number of cells; for several individuals no stable translocations were observed. Fluorescence in situ hybridization measurements were also made for 39 individuals believed to be unexposed. The EPR- and FISH-based estimates agreed well for permanent residents of Metlino: 0.67 +/- 0.21 Gy and 0.48 +/- 0.18 Gy (mean +/- standard error of the mean), respectively. Results of the two experimental methods also agreed well with the estimates derived from the use of the TRDS-2000. For all persons investigated according to each technique, the EPR-measured dose to enamel was 0.55 +/- 0.17 Gy, and the TRDS-2000 prediction for the dose to enamel for these individuals is 0.55 +/- 0.07 Gy. The fluorescence in situ hybridization-based dose, 0.38 +/- 0.10 Gy, compared well to the TRDS-2000 prediction of external dose, 0.31 +/- 0.03 Gy, to red bone marrow for these persons. Validation of external doses at the remaining villages is an active area of investigation.


Asunto(s)
Aberraciones Cromosómicas/efectos de la radiación , Hibridación Fluorescente in Situ/métodos , Monitoreo de Radiación , Diente/efectos de la radiación , Anciano , Pintura Cromosómica/métodos , Espectroscopía de Resonancia por Spin del Electrón , Humanos , Linfocitos/efectos de la radiación , Linfocitos/ultraestructura , Persona de Mediana Edad , Dosis de Radiación , Residuos Radiactivos , Diente/ultraestructura , Contaminantes Radiactivos del Agua
19.
Health Phys ; 85(4): 409-19, 2003 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-13678281

RESUMEN

Human teeth have been considered as dosimeters for decades. Methods include the in vivo measurement of 90Sr/90Y in teeth with a tooth-beta counter, the radiochemical determination of 90Sr in whole teeth, and the measurement of dose in teeth by use of electron paramagnetic resonance. Presented in this paper are results of 2,514 tooth-beta counter measurements, 334 radiochemical measurements, and 218 electron paramagnetic resonance measurements for residents living in settlements along the Techa River. All three kinds of measurements indicate a sharp peak that corresponds to the uptake of 90Sr by tooth tissue. The results can be interpreted in terms of an intake function for 90Sr only if the period of calcification of each individual tooth is considered--such detail on a tooth-by-tooth basis is presented in this paper. The conclusion is reached that the tooth-beta counter data are the most reliable in terms of reconstruction of 90Sr intake; this is due in part to the fact that the tooth-beta counter measures four teeth (all at position 1) with essentially the same time periods of mineralization and because there are a large number of tooth-beta counter measurements. The main utility of electron paramagnetic resonance measurements is considered to be the validation of estimates of external dose; but for this purpose teeth with 90Sr taken up into enamel must be avoided.


Asunto(s)
Esmalte Dental/efectos de la radiación , Ceniza Radiactiva , Radioisótopos de Estroncio/análisis , Diente/crecimiento & desarrollo , Diente/efectos de la radiación , Adolescente , Factores de Edad , Huesos/efectos de la radiación , Niño , Preescolar , Espectroscopía de Resonancia por Spin del Electrón , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Federación de Rusia , Factores de Tiempo
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