Prognostic value of mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin levels taken on admission and discharge in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction: the LAMP (Leicester Acute Myocardial Infarction Peptide) II study.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to assess the prognostic value of admission and discharge mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin (sAM) levels in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (MI) and identify values to aid clinical decision making. N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) score were used as comparators. BACKGROUND: sAM is a stable precursor of adrenomedullin. METHODS: We measured plasma sAM on admission and discharge in 745 non-ST-elevation MI patients (514 men, median age 70.0 +/- 12.7 years). The primary end point was a composite of death, heart failure, hospitalization, and recurrent acute MI over mean follow-up of 760 days (range 150 to 2,837 days), with each event assessed individually as secondary end points. RESULTS: During follow-up, 120 (16.1%) patients died, and there were 65 (8.7%) hospitalizations for heart failure and 77 (10.3%) recurrent acute MIs. Both admission and discharge levels were increased (median 0.81 nmol/l [range 0.06 to 5.75 nmol/l] and 0.76 nmol/l [range 0.25 to 6.95 nmol/l], respectively) compared with established normal ranges. Multivariate adjusted Cox regression models revealed that both were associated with the primary end point (hazard ratio: 9.75 on admission and 7.54 on discharge; both p < 0.001). Admission sAM was particularly associated with early (<30 days) mortality (c-statistic = 0.90, p < 0.001), and when compared with N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and GRACE score, it was the only independent predictor of this end point. Admission sAM >1.11 nmol/l identified those at highest risk of death (p < 0.001). Patients with above-median admission sAM may benefit from revascularization. CONCLUSIONS: sAM level is prognostic for death or heart failure. Admission levels are a strong predictor of early mortality and, when >1.11 nmol/l, complements the GRACE score to improve risk stratification.

Matrix metalloproteinase-2 predicts mortality in patients with acute coronary syndrome.

The aim of the present study was to investigate the predictive value of MMP (matrix metalloproteinase)-2, MMP-3 and MMP-9 levels in patients with acute coronary syndrome for death, readmission with HF (heart failure) or recurrent MI (myocardial infarction) and to compare them with established markers, NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) and the GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) score. A single blood test was taken 4 days after admission in 1024 consecutive patients with acute MI with end points observed over 519 (134-1059) days [value is median (range)]. MMP-2 and MMP-3 were increased in patients who died (n=111) compared with survivors (P<0.006 and P=0.01 respectively), but were similar in patients with HF (n=106) or MI (n=138). MMP-9 levels were similar across study end points. Using Cox proportional hazards modelling, MMP-2 demonstrated an independent prediction of death [HR (hazard ratio) 6.60, P=0.001], along with NT-proBNP (HR 4.62, P<0.001) and the GRACE score (HR 1.03, P<0.001), but MMP-3, MMP-9 or log10-troponin I did not. For 1 year mortality, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves were 0.60 and 0.58 for MMP-2 and MMP-3 respectively, compared with 0.82 for NT-proBNP and 0.84 for the GRACE score (all P<0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that MMP-2 levels in the top quartile were associated with higher mortality rates (log rank 12.49, P=0.006). On univariate analysis, MMP-2 and MMP-3 had a weak association with HF readmission, which was lost after adjustment for clinical factors. None of the MMPs tested predicted MI. In conclusion, this is the first single centre study that identifies MMP2 as an independent predictor of all-cause mortality post-ACS (acute coronary syndrome); however, NT-proBNP and the GRACE score are superior for risk stratification in this cohort.

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide complements the GRACE risk score in predicting early and late mortality following acute coronary syndrome.

The GRACE (Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events) risk score has been shown to offer predictive power with regard to death and AMI (acute myocardial infarction) in patients with ACS (acute coronary syndromes). NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) has also been found to be useful in predicting mortality following ACS. In the present study, we sought to investigate the use of the GRACE score and NT-proBNP levels at predicting risk of early and late deaths following ACS. We studied 1033 patients (740 men, mean age 66.5+/-12.7 years) with AMI. Blood was drawn once within 24 h following the onset of chest pain. The plasma concentration of NT-proBNP was determined using an in-house non-competitive immunoassay. Patients were GRACE risk scored. The 30-day mortality was 3.7% and the 6-month mortality was 7.8%, and all were related to higher GRACE risk scores (P=0.001 for trend). Higher NT-proBNP levels were also related to increased mortality (P<0.0001). In a Cox proportional hazards model, independent predictors of 30-day and 6-month mortality included NT-proBNP levels and the GRACE risk score. The receiver-operating curve for the GRACE risk score was complemented by NT-proBNP levels for prediction of 30-day mortality [AUC (area under the curve), 0.85] and 6-month mortality (AUC, 0.81). NT-proBNP gives complementary information to the GRACE risk score for predicting early and late mortality. The inclusion of the NT-proBNP blood test is useful in risk-stratifying patients after ACS.