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1.
Heliyon ; 9(11): e22345, 2023 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38074893

RESUMEN

There is insufficient paucity of information on trends in long-term monthly and decadal rainfall in Zambia. This study assessed the monthly and decadal trends in rainfall over the agro-ecological regions (AERs) and Zambia from 1981 to 2022. The Mann-Kendall test statistic was used at 5 % significant level to compute trends in rainfall at monthly and decadal time step on CHIRPS v2 at 0.05° resolution. R/RStudio Sen's slope estimator was used to give the magnitude of the observed trends. The monthly rainfall time series trend over Zambia ranges from -0.04 to 0.03. The decadal trend analysis of rainfall at annual and monthly time step exhibits a decreasing/increasing trend with Sen's slope between -49.27 and 71.26 mm. Decadal trend at annual time step in AERIII, AERIIa, AERIIa and AERI exhibits a Sen's slope of -44.11 to 62.48 mm, -15.29 to 41.58 mm, -6.08 and 71.26 mm, and 2.20-64.86 mm, respectively. The decadal trend at monthly time step in AERIII, AERIIa, AERIIa and AERI exhibits a Sen's slope of -132.08 to -3.15 mm, -123.39 to -8.57 mm, -73.08 to -15.17 mm, and -80.02 to -5.21 mm, respectively. Decrease in rainfall is expected to affect agriculture, energy, water resources, sanitation and socio-economic aspects. Rainfall pattern shows spatio-temporal variability over Zambia. The results provide valuable input into the National Adaptation Plan and also useful for strategic planning purposes in water resources management under a changing climate. It is evident that spatio-temporal time steps utilized in this study provides new insights of rainfall trends at seasonal, monthly, and annual and decadal time steps.

3.
Sci Data ; 4: 170063, 2017 05 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28534868

RESUMEN

Rainfall information is essential for many applications in developing countries, and yet, continually updated information at fine temporal and spatial scales is lacking. In Africa, rainfall monitoring is particularly important given the close relationship between climate and livelihoods. To address this information gap, this paper describes two versions (v2.0 and v3.0) of the TAMSAT daily rainfall dataset based on high-resolution thermal-infrared observations, available from 1983 to the present. The datasets are based on the disaggregation of 10-day (v2.0) and 5-day (v3.0) total TAMSAT rainfall estimates to a daily time-step using daily cold cloud duration. This approach provides temporally consistent historic and near-real time daily rainfall information for all of Africa. The estimates have been evaluated using ground-based observations from five countries with contrasting rainfall climates (Mozambique, Niger, Nigeria, Uganda, and Zambia) and compared to other satellite-based rainfall estimates. The results indicate that both versions of the TAMSAT daily estimates reliably detects rainy days, but have less skill in capturing rainfall amount-results that are comparable to the other datasets.

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