Disability as an outcome in MS clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: Inferences about long-term effects of therapies in multiple sclerosis (MS) have been based on surrogate markers studied in short-term trials. Preventing progressive disability is the key therapeutic goal but there remains no validated definition for its measurement in a trial context. Meanwhile, MS trials continue to shorten and to depend on unvalidated surrogates. Since there have been no treatment claims for improving unremitting disability, worsening of disability in the placebo/control arm must occur for effectiveness on this outcome to be shown. METHODS: We examined widely-used clinical surrogates of long-term disability progression in individual patients with MS within a unique database from the placebo arms of 31 randomized clinical trials. RESULTS: Detection of treatment effects in secondary progressive MS trials is undermined by noise in disability measurement. Whereas existing measures can be partially validated in secondary progressive MS, this is not the case in relapsing-remitting MS. Here, examination of widely used definitions of treatment failure demonstrated that disability progression was no more likely than similarly defined improvement. Existing definitions of disease progression in short-term intervention trials in relapsing-remitting patients reflect random variation, measurement error, and remitting relapses. CONCLUSION: Clinical surrogates of unremitting disability used in trials of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis cannot be validated. Trials have been too short or degrees of disability change too small to measure the key outcomes. These analyses highlight the difficulty in determining effectiveness of therapy in chronic diseases.

A randomized controlled crossover trial of aspirin for fatigue in multiple sclerosis.

Pharmacotherapeutic options for multiple sclerosis (MS)-related fatigue are limited. Thirty patients were randomly assigned to aspirin (ASA) 1,300 mg/day or placebo in a double-blind crossover study. Results favored ASA for the main clinical outcomes: Modified Fatigue Impact Scale scores (p = 0.043) and treatment preference (p = 0.012). There were no significant adverse effects. The results warrant further study and support a role for ASA-influenced mechanisms, perhaps immunologic, in the generation of MS-related chronic fatigue.

Disability profile of MS did not change over 10 years in a population-based prevalence cohort.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether the level of multiple sclerosis (MS) -related disability in the Olmsted County population has changed over a decade, and to evaluate how the rate of initial progression to moderate disability impacts further disability. METHODS: The Minimal Record of Disability (MRD) measured impairment, disability, and handicap for the 2000 (n = 201) prevalence cohort. The authors compared these results with the 1991 (n = 162) cohort; 115 patients were in both cohorts. The authors assessed retrospectively intervals at which Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores of 3 (moderate disability), 6 (cane), and 8 (wheelchair) were reached. RESULTS: The distribution of the 2000 EDSS and MRD scores were not significantly different from the 1991 distribution. The median time from MS diagnosis, for the entire cohort, to EDSS scores of 3 and 6 was 17 and 24 years, respectively. At 20 years after onset, only 25% of those with relapsing-remitting MS had EDSS scores > or =3. The median time from diagnosis to EDSS score of 6 for the secondary and primary progressive groups was 10 and 3 years, respectively. Rate of progression from onset or diagnosis to EDSS score of 3 did not affect the rate of further disease progression. However, once an EDSS score of 3 was reached, progression of disability was more likely, and rate of progression increased. CONCLUSIONS: The distribution of multiple sclerosis disability in the Olmsted community has remained stable for 10 years. Progression of disability for patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis or secondary progressive multiple sclerosis may be more favorable than reported previously. Once a clinical threshold of disability is reached, rate of progression increased.

Change in MS-related disability in a population-based cohort: a 10-year follow-up study.

OBJECTIVE: S: To study the change in disability over 10 years in individual patients constituting the 1991 Olmsted County, MN, multiple sclerosis (MS) prevalence cohort. METHODS: The authors reassessed this 1991 cohort in 2001. The authors determined the Expanded Disability Status Scale scores (EDSS) for each patient still alive, and within the year prior to death for those who died. The authors analyzed determinants of potential prognostic significance on change in disability. RESULTS: Follow-up information was available for 161 of 162 patients in the 1991 cohort. Only 15% had received immunomodulatory therapy. The mean change in EDSS for the entire cohort over 10 years was 1 point and 20% worsened by >or=2 points. For patients with EDSS <3 in 1991 (n = 66), 83% were ambulatory without a cane 10 years later. For patients with EDSS of 3 through 5 in 1991 (n = 33), 51% required a cane to ambulate (48%) or worse (3%). For patients with EDSS 6 to 7 in 1991 (n = 39), 51% required a wheelchair or worse in 2001. Gait impairment at onset, progressive disease, or longer duration of disease were associated with more worsening of disability (p < 0.002). The 10-year survival was decreased compared with the Minnesota white population for both men and women. CONCLUSIONS: Although survival was reduced and 30% of patients progressed to needing a cane or wheelchair or worse over the 10-year follow-up period, most remained stable or minimally progressed. Patients within the EDSS 3.0 through 5.0 range are at moderate risk of developing important gait limitations over the 10-year period. The authors did not identify factors strongly predictive of worsening disability in this study.

Incidence and prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Olmsted County, Minnesota, 1985-2000.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiologic data for multiple sclerosis (MS) in Olmsted County, MN, have been recorded for almost 100 years and have indicated that the increasing prevalence rate was likely due in part to an increasing incidence rate. METHODS: All cases of MS diagnosed from 1985 to 2000 were identified using the centralized diagnostic index at the Mayo Clinic and the Rochester Epidemiology Program Project, a shared database of all medical practitioners in the county. Patients were required to have established residency at least 1 year prior to diagnosis of MS. Results were also age- and sex-adjusted to control for shifts in the population structure. RESULTS: The raw prevalence of MS was determined to be 177 per 100,000 on December 1, 2000, and the raw incidence rate was 7.5 per 100,000 person-years at risk from 1985 to 2000. CONCLUSIONS: After age and sex adjustment to a common population, these prevalence and incidence rates of MS appear to have been stable rather than increasing over the past 20 years.

International consensus statement on the use of disease-modifying agents in multiple sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: To provide recommendations on the use of disease-modifying agents in the management of multiple sclerosis (MS) and to ensure that treatment will be available to those patients who may benefit. METHODS: An initial draft of the consensus statement was prepared by the Steering Committee and amended in the light of written comments from a group of MS specialists. At a subsequent workshop, the wording of the consensus statement was discussed, modified if necessary, and the participants indicated their level of support using an electronic voting system. A new draft of the statement was then sent to a much larger group of international opinion leaders in MS for further comment. RESULTS: A number of statements were agreed, which outline the criteria for consideration of disease-modifying therapy for MS and recommendations for treatment. Each statement was accepted completely, or with only minor reservations by 95% or more of those present at the workshop. CONCLUSIONS: Periodic reviews and modifications to the statement will be required, as new approaches to the treatment of MS and other therapeutic agents become available.

A randomized trial of intravenous immunoglobulin in inflammatory demyelinating optic neuritis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether IV immunoglobulin (IVIg) reverses chronic visual impairment in MS patients with optic neuritis (ON). METHODS: In this double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase II trial, 55 patients with persistent acuity loss after ON were randomized to receive either IVIg 0.4 g/kg daily for 5 days followed by three single infusions monthly for 3 months, or placebo. RESULTS: The trial was terminated by the National Eye Institute because of negative results when 55 of the planned 60 patients had been enrolled. Fifty-two patients completed the scheduled infusions, and 53 patients completed 12 months of follow-up. Analysis of this data indicated that a difference between treatment groups was not observed for the primary outcome measure, improvement in logMAR visual scores at 6 months (p = 0.766). Exploratory secondary analyses suggested that IVIg treatment was associated with improvement in visual function (including logMAR visual scores at 6 months and visual fields at 6 and 12 months) in patients with clinically stable MS during the trial. CONCLUSIONS: IVIg administration does not reverse persistent visual loss from ON to a degree that merits general use.

Multiple sclerosis: current pathophysiological concepts.

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an often disabling disease primarily affecting young adults that exhibits extraordinary clinical, radiological, and pathological heterogeneity. We review the following: (a) known environmental and genetic factors that contribute to MS susceptibility; (b) current knowledge regarding fundamental pathophysiological processes in MS, including immune cell recruitment and entry into the central nervous system (CNS), formation of the plaque, and orchestration of the immune response; (c) descriptive and qualitative distinct pathological patterns in MS and their implications; (d) the evidence supporting the causative role of direct toxins, cell-mediated and humorally mediated immune mechanisms, and the concept of a "primary oligodendrogliopathy" in demyelination and axonal injury; (e) the potential benefits of inflammation; (f) the prospects for remyelination; and (g) therapeutic implications and approaches suggested by putative pathophysiological mechanisms.

Relationship of urinary myelin basic protein-like material with cranial magnetic resonance imaging in advanced multiple sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: A significant correlation exists between disability and the volume of black holes (BHL VOL), defined as hypointense lesions on T1-weighted cranial magnetic resonance imaging. A consistent correlation has also been reported between urinary myelin basic protein-like material (MBPLM) and the transition toward secondary progression (SP) from relapsing-remitting (RR) multiple sclerosis (MS). OBJECTIVE: To improve the management of MS through a noninvasive and cost-effective test for monitoring disease activity or disease status. DESIGN AND METHODS: From 662 patients with MS (86 with RR MS, 259 with SP MS without continued attacks, and 317 with SP MS with continued attacks), 24-hour urine samples were obtained at enrollment in the phase 3 Linomide (roquinimex) drug study. The urine specimens were analyzed for MBPLM and correlated with clinical features and findings on cranial magnetic resonance imaging. RESULTS: Significant but weak correlations existed between urinary MBPLM and BHL VOL in all patients with MS (r = 0.114, P =.003; n = 662), patients with SP MS without attacks (r = 0.185, P =.003; n = 259), and all patients with SP MS (r = 0.122, P =.003; n = 576). No significant correlations were detected in the RR MS group or any of the disease groups or subgroups whose Expanded Disability Status Scale score was 5.0 or lower. In subgroup analysis, the most significant correlation was detected between urinary MBPLM after adjustment for creatinine and BHL VOL in patients with SP MS with an Expanded Disability Status Scale score of 5.5 or higher but without continued relapses (r = 0.417, P<.001; n = 138). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with advanced SP MS, urinary MBPLM may possibly serve as an indicator of failed remission and axonal damage. Urinary MBPLM correlates with disease status in MS, especially the transition of RR MS to SP MS with advancing disability.

IV immunoglobulin does not reverse established weakness in MS.

BACKGROUND: Immunoglobulin (Ig) administration induces remyelination in the Theiler's virus model of MS. METHODS: A randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial of IV immunoglobulin (IVIg) was performed in patients with MS who had persistent muscle weakness that had been stable for between 4 and 18 months to determine whether this would improve muscle strength (primary outcome: isometric muscle strength). Patients received either IVIg (0.4 g/kg) or placebo daily for 5 days, then single infusions every 2 weeks for 3 months (total, 11 infusions). Muscle groups identified by clinical measures to have unchanging significant weakness were the major targets for therapeutic response (targeted neurologic deficit [TND]). RESULTS: IVIg was well tolerated. An interim analysis after 67 patients were enrolled indicated no difference in the degree of change in strength between treatment groups in either the TND or non-TND muscle groups at 6 months, and the trial was terminated. There was no apparent benefit in relapse behavior or impairment measures during the 6-month observation period. Nor was there apparent benefit in either patients who remained clinically stable or in those with evidence of disease activity. Patients with active MS during the trial worsened in both TND and non-TND muscle groups. This worsening was seen regardless of whether the clinical manifestations of disease activity involved the TND muscle groups. CONCLUSIONS: IVIg does not reverse established weakness in MS. Measurements of isometric muscle strength were reliable (reproducible) indices of strength and may be sensitive, objective methods to document functional changes in impairment in future MS trials.

Linomide in relapsing and secondary progressive MS: part I: trial design and clinical results. North American Linomide Investigators.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether linomide (roquinimex) is better than placebo in slowing the time to confirmed clinical worsening in patients with relapsing-remitting (RR) and secondary progressive (SP) MS. METHODS: In this 27-center, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multiple-dose, phase III trial, 715 patients with active RRMS (n = 90) or SPMS (n = 625) were randomized to receive either linomide (1.0, 2.5, or 7.5 mg orally daily) or placebo. Patients were evaluated at 3-month intervals clinically and with MRI. The planned primary outcome was the time to the development of "confirmed" clinical worsening (increase of >/= 1.0 Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS] score for an enrollment EDSS score /= 0.5 point for an enrollment EDSS score of >/= 5.5) not associated with an acute relapse. RESULTS: The trial was terminated 1 month after it became fully enrolled due to unanticipated serious cardiopulmonary toxicities (pericarditis, pleural effusion, myocardial infarction, and possible pulmonary embolism), pancreatitis, and death. Notable arthralgia, myalgia, bursitis, and facial and peripheral edema were common adverse events. The high dose of linomide (7.5 mg) was not well tolerated. The trial was too brief to determine unequivocal clinical benefits. Trends suggested an unconfirmed early effect on change in EDSS score at 6 months for the medium dose (2.5 mg daily). CONCLUSION: MS patients may be more prone to develop important linomide treatment-related adverse events than other previously studied patients. However, linomide may be a potentially more toxic drug than was suspected from observations made in smaller studies for other indications. Phase III trials may identify infrequent and important toxicities that may not be anticipated by phase I and II trials.

Linomide in relapsing and secondary progressive MS: part II: MRI results. MRI Analysis Center of the University of Texas-Houston, Health Science Center, and the North American Linomide Investigators.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the safety and efficacy of roquinimex (linomide) in the management of relapsing-remitting and secondary progressive MS as monitored by MRI. BACKGROUND: Preclinical studies and several short term randomized trials of linomide suggested clinical and MRI-measured benefits with acceptable risk for closely followed MS patients. METHODS: The North American Linomide Trial formally screened 853 individuals for relapsing or secondary progressive, clinically definite MS; recent disease activity or progression; and an Expanded Disability Status Scale score at entry of 3.0 to 6.5 inclusive. MRI was obtained on 811 subjects at pre-enrollment, 718 cases at enrollment, and then at three monthly intervals until the trial was prematurely terminated for unacceptable toxicity. RESULTS: Enhancement was found on 40.2% of 718 entry scans. Statistically robust correlations were found between clinical demographic data and several entry MRI measures including CSF volume, a reflection of brain atrophy. Assessment of the effect of treatment on MRI-measured disease was limited by early trial termination. However, active treatment for 3 months reduced the proportion of patients with one or more enhancements. An exploratory analysis suggested that 2.5 mg was the most active of three doses tested in limiting the total volume of enhanced tissue, the proportion of MRI-defined lesions designated as "black holes," and by a novel MRI composite disease measure. CONCLUSIONS: The short term signature of the effect of linomide on MRI-measured aspects of the disease suggests that safer drugs of this class might be useful in the management of MS. The use of a composite index of the heterogeneous nature of the pathology of MS as captured by MRI may have merit as an outcome measure in clinical trials.

A randomized trial of plasma exchange in acute central nervous system inflammatory demyelinating disease.

There are no established treatments for patients with acute, severe neurological deficits caused by multiple sclerosis or other inflammatory demyelinating diseases of the central nervous system who fail to recover after treatment with high-dose corticosteroids. We conducted a randomized, sham-controlled, double-masked study of plasma exchange without concomitant immunosuppressive treatment in patients with recently acquired, severe neurological deficits resulting from attacks of inflammatory demyelinating disease, who failed to recover after treatment with intravenous corticosteroids. Patients who did not achieve moderate or greater improvement after the first treatment phase crossed over to the opposite treatment. Moderate or greater improvement in neurological disability occurred during 8 of 19 (42.1%) courses of active treatment compared with 1 of 17 (5.9%) courses of sham treatment. The primary analysis was positive. Improvement occurred early in the course of treatment, and was sustained on follow-up. However, 4 of the patients who responded to the active treatment experienced new attacks of demyelinating disease during 6 months of follow-up. Moderate or greater improvement occurred during follow-up in only 2 of 13 patients who failed to improve during the treatment phase. Plasma exchange leads to functionally important neurological recovery in an important proportion of severely disabled patients with acute attacks of idiopathic inflammatory demyelinating disease.

Treatment of multiple sclerosis: recent trials and future perspectives.

In the past year, further evidence establishing the usefulness of beta interferons and glatiramer in the treatment of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis has been advanced. Interferon-beta-1b was also shown to be efficacious in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis. This and other trials of symptomatic treatments are reviewed. Based on an appraisal of recent experimental studies, future promising approaches to intervene in the chain of immunopathogenetic events are discussed.

Progress in determining the causes and treatment of multiple sclerosis.

The cause of multiple sclerosis remains unknown after more than a century of study. Unconfirmed work has once more indicated that a viral infection may be important in the aetiology of the disease, and there is considerable evidence for an important genetic influence on disease susceptibility. The clinical course is as variable as that of any disease in medicine. Studies using serial magnetic resonance imaging have helped to define the disease course and response to experimental therapies. Although the predominant pathological characteristic is myelin loss with preservation of axons, some studies recall classic descriptions that irreversible axonal destruction may occur, perhaps even in the early stages of the illness. There are now several, partially effective therapies for relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis and here I review progress in determining the timing and course of the illness and the steps that need to be taken to identify more effective treatments for this disease.