Risk of death and cardiovascular events following COVID-19 vaccination or positive SARS-CoV-2 test amongst adult Singaporeans during omicron transmission.

IMPORTANCE: Assessing population-wide risk-benefit ratio of COVID-19 vaccination remains relevant in the current era of Omicron endemicity and boosting. Assessments of mortality risk and cardiovascular events post-vaccination/infection were generally made prior to emergence of milder Omicron and booster rollout. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study from 6th January to 31st December 2022 (Omicron-predominant transmission), amongst adult Singaporeans aged ≥18 years. Cox regression models adjusted for demographics/comorbidities were used to estimate risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events 0-180 days post-mRNA vaccination/SARS-CoV-2 infection, compared to >180 days post-mRNA vaccination. Risk periods post-vaccination were further stratified by presence/absence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the preceding 180 days; similarly, risk periods post-infection were further stratified by vaccination in the 180 days preceding infection. RESULTS: 3,137,210 adults participated, with 2,047,008 vaccine doses administered (99 % being booster doses) and 1,189,846 infections. 23,028 deaths and 54,017 cardiac events were recorded. No elevated risk of all-cause mortality/cardiovascular events was observed across all age strata post-vaccination. Conversely, all-cause mortality post-infection remained elevated up to >180 days in older adults (≥60 years), compared to person-time > 180 days post-vaccination. For vaccine-breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infection in older adults vaccinated <180 days prior, risk of mortality was only elevated up to 60 days post-infection, but not beyond. Elevated risk of cardiovascular events 1-2 months after any SARS-CoV-2 infection was observed across all age strata, with elevated risk observed in older adults >180 days post-infection (adjusted-hazards-ratio, aHR = 1.18, 95 %CI = 1.04-1.34). Preceding vaccination within 180 days prior to infection attenuated this risk, with no significantly elevated post-acute risk of cardiovascular events (>180 days: aHR = 1.10, 95 %CI = 0.95-1.07). CONCLUSION: No increased risk of all-cause mortality or cardiovascular events was observed up to 180 days after any mRNA vaccination dose in the Omicron era; vaccination attenuated post-acute cardiovascular risk in older adults. The risk-benefit ratio of vaccination remained positive during Omicron.

Autoimmune Sequelae After Delta or Omicron Variant SARS-CoV-2 Infection in a Highly Vaccinated Cohort.

Importance: Studies have reported increased risk of autoimmune sequelae after SARS-CoV-2 infection. However, risk may potentially be attenuated by milder Omicron (B.1.1.529) variant infection and availability of booster vaccination. Objective: To estimate the 300-day risk of new-incident autoimmune sequelae after SARS-CoV-2 Delta or Omicron BA.1 or BA.2 variant infection in adults who received COVID-19 vaccines and boosters, compared with a contemporary control group without infection. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study in Singapore enrolled adults from September 1, 2021, to March 7, 2022, and followed up for 300 days. Participants were adults aged 18 years or older with SARS-CoV-2 infection during the predominance of the Delta and Omicron BA.1 or BA.2 variants and were still alive at 30 days after COVID-19 diagnosis. Exposure: The national SARS-CoV-2 testing registry was used to construct cohorts of adults with SARS-CoV-2 Delta or Omicron BA.1 or BA.2 variant infection (hereafter, cases) and a contemporaneous group with negative polymerase chain reaction or rapid antigen test results (hereafter, controls). Main Outcomes and Measures: New-incident autoimmune diagnoses after SARS-CoV-2 infection. This information was recorded in the MediClaims national health care claims database and identified 31 to 300 days after index date of infection. Risks and excess burdens were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression model with overlap weights applied. Results: In total, 1 766 036 adults (915 096 females [51.9%]; mean [SD] age, 49 [18] years) were included in the study population, with 480 082 (27.2%) categorized as cases and 1 285 954 (72.8%) as controls. Of these adults, 73.1% had Chinese, 13.7% Malay, and 9.9% Indian ethnicity. There were 104 179 cases and 666 575 controls included during the Delta variant-predominance transmission, while 375 903 cases and 619 379 controls were included during the Omicron variant-predominance transmission. During the Delta variant period, 81.1% of cases had completed primary vaccination; during the Omicron variant period, 74.6% of cases received boosters. No significantly elevated risk of 12 prespecified autoimmune sequelae was recorded across the Omicron and Delta variant cohorts. Elevated risks of inflammatory bowel disease (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR], 2.23; 95% CI, 1.45-3.46; P < .001) and bullous skin disorders (AHR, 4.88; 95% CI, 2.47-9.66; P < .001) were observed only in the subset of COVID-19 cases requiring hospitalization during the predominance of the Omicron variant. While elevated risk of vasculitis (AHR, 5.74; 95% CI, 1.48-22.23; P = .01) was observed in vaccine-breakthrough Omicron variant infections, no increased risk of vasculitis was observed in the corresponding subgroup who received boosters. Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study observed no significantly elevated long-term risk of autoimmune sequelae after SARS-CoV-2 Delta and Omicron BA.1 or BA.2 variant infection, except for a modestly increased risk of inflammatory bowel disease and bullous skin disorders in the hospitalized subgroup during the predominance of the Omicron variant. Booster vaccination appeared to mitigate the risk of long-term autoimmune sequelae.

Impact of Value-Driven Healthcare Strategies for Biosimilar Adoption: The Singapore Story.

BACKGROUND: Healthcare sustainability is a global challenge. Various value-driven healthcare strategies have been implemented by Singapore's national health technology assessment (HTA) agency, the Agency for Care Effectiveness (ACE). Considering the high and growing expenditure on biologics, strategies have been implemented to drive the use of biosimilars. As Singapore has reached the 5-year mark since the subsidy listing of the first monoclonal antibody biosimilar infliximab, this review aimed to evaluate the impact of these strategies on the changes in adoption rates, utilisation, spending and cost savings for biosimilars in the public healthcare sector. METHODS: A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted using aggregated drug utilisation data from all public healthcare institutions. Five monoclonal antibodies with biosimilars, namely infliximab, adalimumab, trastuzumab, rituximab and bevacizumab, were included in this study. The outcomes evaluated were the monthly trends for utilisation volume, proportion attributed to biosimilar use, and drug spending up to December 2022. The simulated cost savings associated with biosimilar adoption were also reported. RESULTS: After subsidy implementation, an upward trend in biosimilar use and proportion attributed to biosimilar adoption was observed, while spending reduced substantially. The adoption rate of most biosimilars reached more than 95% within 1 year of listing. Drugs with more than one approved biosimilar brand at the time of subsidy listing reported substantial price reductions of over 80%. Overall, spending for the five monoclonal antibodies have significantly reduced after biosimilar subsidy listing, with an estimated cumulative cost savings of $136 million over 5 years. CONCLUSION: Value-driven healthcare strategies implemented in Singapore's public healthcare institutions have contributed to high adoption rates of biosimilars and have improved affordable access through lower treatment costs. This in turn has led to significant cost savings to the healthcare system.

Long-term cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, and thrombotic complications after SARS-CoV-2-Omicron infection: a retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Evidence suggests that some COVID-19 survivors experience a wide range of post-COVID-19 sequelae; however, the majority of studies were conducted before the emergence of the milder Omicron variant. We examined the post-acute risk of new-incident cardiovascular complications after SARS-CoV-2 infection in a multi-ethnic Asian population, during Omicron predominance. METHODS: This cohort study used national testing and healthcare claims databases in Singapore to build a cohort of individuals with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection during Omicron BA.1/2 transmission and a contemporaneous test-negative group. Participants in both groups were followed up for a median of 300 days. We estimated risks of new-incident cardiovascular complications using doubly robust competing-risks survival analysis. Risks were reported using two measures: hazard ratio and excess burden. RESULTS: We included 375 903 test-positive, infected individuals (mean age 48 years) and 619 379 test-negative controls (mean age 47 years). The majority (97.5%, 366 593/375 903) of infected individuals had mild infection not requiring hospitalization. There was no overall increased risk of new-incident cardiovascular complications, (adjusted hazards ratio, aHR = 1.01 [0.97-1.07]) amongst COVID-19 survivors when compared against test-negatives. A modestly increased risk and excess burden of dysrhythmias amongst COVID-19 survivors (aHR = 1.09 [1.01-1.19]) was observed. Risk and burdens of new-incident cardiovascular complications predominantly accrued in hospitalized (aHR = 2.81 [2.26-3.50]) and severe COVID-19 cases (aHR = 5.52 [3.76-8.10]). DISCUSSION: No significantly increased overall risk of any cardiovascular complication was observed in the 300 days following COVID-19 infection during the Omicron-dominant period when compared against test-negatives, with the exception of a small increased occurrence of dysrhythmias.

Risks of SARS-CoV-2 JN.1 infection and COVID-19 associated emergency-department (ED) visits/hospitalizations following updated boosters and prior infection: a population-based cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Data on protection afforded by updated COVID-19 vaccines (bivalent/XBB 1.5 monovalent) against the emergent JN.1 variant remains limited. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study amongst all boosted Singaporeans aged ≥18 years during a COVID-19 wave predominantly driven by JN.1, from 26th November 2023 to 13th January 2024. Multivariable Cox regression was utilised to assess risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 associated emergency-department (ED) visits/hospitalizations, stratified by vaccination status/prior infection; with individuals last boosted ≥1 year utilized as the reference category. Vaccination and infection status were classified using national registries. RESULTS: 3,086,562 boosted adult Singaporeans were included in the study population, accounting for 146,863,476 person-days of observation. During the JN.1 outbreak, 28,160 SARS-CoV-2 infections were recorded, with 2,926 hospitalizations and 3,747 ED-visits. Compared with individuals last boosted ≥1 year prior with ancestral monovalent vaccines, receipt of an updated XBB.1.5 booster 8-120 days prior was associated with lower risk of JN.1 infection (adjusted-hazard-ratio, aHR = 0.59[0.52-0.66]), COVID-19 associated ED-visits (aHR = 0.50[0.34-0.73]) and hospitalizations(aHR = 0.58[0.37-0.91]), while receipt of a bivalent booster 121-365 days prior was associated with lower risk of JN.1 infection (aHR = 0.92[0.88-0.95]) and ED-visits (aHR = 0.80[0.70-0.90]). Lower risk of COVID-19 hospitalization during the JN.1 outbreak (aHR = 0.57[0.33-0.97]) was still observed following receipt of an updated XBB.1.5 booster 8-120 days prior, even when analysis was restricted to previously infected individuals. CONCLUSION: Recent receipt of updated boosters conferred protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection and ED-visits/hospitalization during a JN.1 variant wave, in both previously infected and uninfected individuals. Annual booster doses confer protection during COVID-19 endemicity.

Long-term Cardiovascular, Cerebrovascular, and Other Thrombotic Complications in COVID-19 Survivors: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Growing evidence suggests that some coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) survivors experience a wide range of long-term postacute sequelae. We examined the postacute risk and burden of new-incident cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, and other thrombotic complications after severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in a highly vaccinated multiethnic Southeast Asian population, during Delta predominance. METHODS: This cohort study used national testing and healthcare claims databases in Singapore to build a cohort of individuals who had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test between 1 September and 30 November 2021 when Delta predominated community transmission. Concurrently, we constructed a test-negative control group by enrolling individuals between 13 April 2020 and 31 December 2022 with no evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Participants in both groups were followed up for a median of 300 days. We estimated risks of new-incident cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, and other thrombotic complications using doubly robust competing-risks survival analysis. Risks were reported using 2 measures: hazard ratio (HR) and excess burden (EB) with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: We included 106 012 infected cases and 1 684 085 test-negative controls. Compared with the control group, individuals with COVID-19 exhibited increased risk (HR, 1.157 [1.069-1.252]) and excess burden (EB, 0.70 [.53-.88]) of new-incident cardiovascular and cerebrovascular complications. Risks decreased in a graded fashion for fully vaccinated (HR, 1.11 [1.02-1.22]) and boosted (HR, 1.10 [.92-1.32]) individuals. Conversely, risks and burdens of subsequent cardiovascular/cerebrovascular complications increased for hospitalized and severe COVID-19 cases (compared to nonhospitalized cases). CONCLUSIONS: Increased risks and excess burdens of new-incident cardiovascular/cerebrovascular complications were reported among infected individuals; risks can be attenuated with vaccination and boosting.

Long-term neuropsychiatric sequelae of Delta versus Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection.

OBJECTIVES: Studies have reported increased rates of long-term neuropsychiatric sequelae after SARS-CoV-2 infection using electronic health-record (EHR) data; however, the majority were conducted before Omicron and booster rollout. We estimated the long-term risks and excess burdens of pre-specified new-incident neuropsychiatric diagnoses after Delta versus Omicron BA.1/2 infection in a highly-vaccinated and boosted cohort of adult Singaporeans. METHODS: The national SARS-CoV-2 testing registry was used to construct cohorts of Singaporean adults infected during periods of Delta and Omicron BA.1/2 predominance and a contemporaneous test-negative control group. New-incident neuropsychiatric diagnoses recorded in the national health care claims database were identified up to 300 days postinfection. Risks and excess burden were estimated using a doubly robust competing-risks survival analysis. RESULTS: 104 179 and 375 903 infected cases were assigned to Delta and Omicron cohorts and compared against test-negative controls (Delta: N = 666 575 and Omicron: N = 619 379). Elevated risk of cognition or memory disorders was consistently reported across Omicron (Adjusted hazards ratio [aHR], 1.24; 95% CI, 1.12-1.38) and Delta cohorts (aHR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.39-1.92). Delta-variant infection was associated with an increased risk of anosmia or dysgeusia (aHR, 4.53; 95% CI, 2.78-7.41) and psychosis (aHR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.22-2.22). By contrast, Omicron-variant infection was associated with a risk of abnormal involuntary movements (aHR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.32-2.83). Risks of neuropsychiatric sequelae predominantly accrued in hospitalized individuals. DISCUSSIONS: A modestly increased risk of cognition and memory disorders at 300 days after SARS-CoV-2 infection was observed among adult Singaporeans infected during the Delta/Omicron BA.1/2 transmission. There was no overall increased risk of neuropsychiatric sequelae observed across other domains. Variant-specific differences were also observed in individual neuropsychiatric sequelae, including an elevated risk of anosmia or dysgeusia after Delta-variant infection.

Cost-utility analysis of sacituzumab govitecan versus chemotherapy for the treatment of metastatic triple-negative breast cancer in Singapore.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the cost-effectiveness of sacituzumab govitecan for treating relapsed or refractory metastatic triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) in Singapore. METHODS: A three-state partitioned survival model was developed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of sacituzumab govitecan from a healthcare system perspective over 5 years. Clinical inputs were obtained from the ASCENT trial. Health state utilities were retrieved from the literature and direct costs were sourced from public healthcare institutions in Singapore. Sensitivity and scenario analyses were conducted to explore the impact of uncertainties and assumptions on cost-effectiveness results. RESULTS: Compared with single-agent chemotherapy, sacituzumab govitecan was associated with a base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of S$328,000 (US$237,816) per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. One-way sensitivity analyses showed that the ICER was most sensitive to the cost of sacituzumab govitecan and progression-free utility values. Regardless of variation in these parameters, the ICER remained high, and a substantial price reduction was required to reduce the ICER. CONCLUSION: At its current price, sacituzumab govitecan does not represent a cost-effective treatment for relapsed or refractory metastatic TNBC in Singapore. Our findings will be useful to inform funding decisions alongside other factors including clinical effectiveness, safety, and budget impact considerations.

mRNA SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination Before vs During Pregnancy and Omicron Infection Among Infants.

Importance: Infants younger than 6 months are at risk of severe SARS-CoV-2 infection. Data are lacking on the optimum timing for maternal vaccination and estimated effectiveness against Omicron variants, including XBB, for infants. Objective: To investigate maternal vaccination against Omicron variants, including XBB, and the association of vaccination timing during pregnancy vs prior to pregnancy and risks of SARS-CoV-2 infection among infants aged 6 months or younger. Design, Setting, and Participants: This population-based cohort study was conducted between January 1, 2022, and March 31, 2023. Singapore's national dataset was used to study infants born at greater than 32 weeks' gestation between January 1, 2022, and September 30, 2022. The study included infants whose parents had a confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection from the date of birth up to 6 months of age. Of 21 609 infants born during this period, 7292 (33.7%) had at least 1 parent infected with SARS-CoV-2 before the age of 7 months. Statistical analysis was performed from April to July 2023. Exposure: Infants' mothers were unvaccinated, vaccinated prior to pregnancy, or vaccinated with a messenger RNA (mRNA) SARS-CoV-2 vaccine during pregnancy. Main Outcome and Measure: Infants were considered infected if they had a positive polymerase chain reaction test. Results: Among 7292 infants included in this study, 4522 (62.0%) had mothers who were Chinese, 527 (7.2%) had mothers who were Indian, 2007 (27.5%) had mothers who were Malay, and 236 (3.2%) had mothers who were other ethnicity; 6809 infants (93.4%) were born at full term, and 1272 infants (17.4%) were infected during the study period. There were 7120 infants (97.6%) born to mothers who had been fully vaccinated or boosted as of 14 days prior to delivery. The crude incidence rate was 174.3 per 100 000 person-days among infants born to mothers who were unvaccinated, 122.2 per 100 000 person-days among infants born to mothers who were vaccinated before pregnancy, and 128.5 per 100 000 person-days among infants born to mothers who were vaccinated during pregnancy. The estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) was 41.5% (95% CI, 22.8% to 55.7%) among infants born to mothers vaccinated during pregnancy. Infants of mothers who received vaccination prior to pregnancy did not have a lower risk for infection (estimated VE, 15.4% [95% CI, -17.6% to 39.1%]). A lower risk for Omicron XBB infection was only observed among mothers vaccinated with the third (booster) dose antenatally (estimated VE, 76.7% [95% CI, 12.8% to 93.8%]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this population-based cohort study, maternal mRNA vaccination was associated with a lower risk of Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection among infants up to 6 months of age only if the vaccine was given during the antenatal period. These findings suggest that mRNA vaccination during pregnancy may be needed for lower risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection among newborns.

Effectiveness of Monovalent mRNA Vaccines Against Omicron XBB Infection in Singaporean Children Younger Than 5 Years.

Importance: Literature on vaccine effectiveness of SARS-CoV-2 messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines for children younger than 5 years is limited. Objective: To report the effectiveness of monovalent mRNA vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 infection among Singaporean children aged 1 through 4 years during a COVID-19 pandemic wave of the Omicron XBB variant. Design, Setting, and Participants: This was a population-based cohort study, conducted over a 6-month study period from October 1, 2022, through March 31, 2023, after the implementation of community vaccination among all Singaporean children aged 1 through 4 years. The study period was dominated by the Omicron XBB subvariant. Exposure: Receipt of SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccines. Main Outcome Measure: Vaccine effectiveness against confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection. The adjusted incidence rate ratio for confirmed infections using Poisson regression was reported, with the reference group being those who were unvaccinated. Analyses were stratified by prior documented SARS-CoV-2 infection. Results: A total of 121 628 children (median [IQR] age, 3.1 [2.2-3.9] years; 61 925 male [50.9%]) were included in the study, contributing 21 015 956 person-days of observation. The majority of children (11 294 of 11 705 [96.5%]) received the mRNA-1273 COVID-19 vaccine (Moderna). Vaccine effectiveness against confirmed infection was 45.2% (95% CI, 24.7%-60.2%) in partially vaccinated, infection-naive children and 63.3% (95% CI, 40.6%-77.3%) in fully vaccinated, infection-naive children compared with the unvaccinated group. Among previously infected children, vaccine effectiveness against reinfections in those with at least 1 vaccine dose was estimated at 74.6% (95% CI, 38.7%-89.5%). Conclusions and Relevance: Study results suggest that completion of a primary mRNA vaccine series provided protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection in children aged 1 through 4 years. Although incidence of hospitalization and severe illness is low in this age group, there is potential benefit of vaccination in preventing infection and potential sequelae.

Normative reference values, determinants and regression equations for the incremental shuttle walk test (ISWT) in healthy Asian population aged 21 to 80 years.

BACKGROUND: The validated Incremental Shuttle Walk Test (ISWT) is widely used for evaluating maximal exercise capacity, with the distance-walked (IWSD) as the primary outcome. However, there are no normative reference values (NRV) and reference equations to predict ISWD for the Singaporean population. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to establish the NRV and reference equations for ISWD in healthy Singaporeans aged 21 to 80 and investigate the determining variables during ISWT. METHODS: This cross-sectional study recruited community-dwelling healthy subjects aged 21-80 from the community via convenience sampling. Each subject completed two trials of the ISWT according to the standard protocol. Variables measured during the trials included ISWD, pre-and post-test heart rate (HR), oxygen saturation, blood pressure (BP), modified Borg's dyspnoea score and Borg's rate of perceived exertion (RPE). RESULTS: 199 healthy Singaporean (females = 114, males = 85) participated in the study. The overall median ISWD was 660.0 metres (m) [interquartile range (IQR):440.0-850.0]. The age-stratified mean ISWD ranged from 430.0 m (IQR:350.0-450.0) (aged 60-80) to 480.0 m (IQR:438.0-650.0) (aged 40-59) to 780.0 m (IQR:670.0-960.0) (aged 21-39). Gender, age, weight, height and HR change (highest post-test HR minus pre-test HR) were the most significant variables (p < 0.001). IWSD (m) = 651.4(Height, m) +89.7(Gender, male = 1; female = 0) -6.31(Age, years) -3.61(Weight, kilograms) +2.54(HR change, beats per minute); R2 = 0.741. Previously published ISWT reference equations cannot accurately predict the ISWD in the Singaporean population. CONCLUSIONS: This study investigated the ISWD NRV and established reference equations for healthy Singaporeans aged 21-80. The information would be beneficial in setting performance benchmarks to guide physical assessment, intervention and rehabilitation.

Effectiveness of bivalent mRNA vaccines against medically attended symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19-related hospital admission among SARS-CoV-2-naive and previously infected individuals: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 omicron (B.1.1.529) variant with high immune evasion has led to the development and roll-out of bivalent mRNA vaccines targeting original and omicron strains. However, real-world observational data on effectiveness of bivalent vaccines are scarce. We aimed to assess the relative effectiveness of a fourth vaccine dose with the BA.1-adapted or BA.4/BA.5-adapted bivalent vaccines against medically attended symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19-related hospital admission among SARS-CoV-2-naive and previously infected individuals in Singapore. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among Singapore residents aged 18 years and older who had received three monovalent mRNA vaccine doses and were eligible for a fourth dose. Data were collected from official databases on COVID-19 cases and vaccinations maintained by the Singapore Ministry of Health. We analysed the incidence of medically attended symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19-related hospital admission between Oct 14, 2022, and Jan 31, 2023, by previous infection status and type of fourth vaccine dose received. Inverse probability-weighted Cox regressions were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). FINDINGS: 2 749 819 individuals were included in the analysis. For the SARS-CoV-2-naive group, a fourth monovalent vaccine dose did not confer additional protection over three monovalent doses against symptomatic infection (HR 1·09 [95% CI 1·07-1·11]), whereas the bivalent vaccine did provide additional protection (0·18 [0·17-0·19]). Among individuals with previous infection, the HR was 0·87 (95% CI 0·84-0·91) and 0·14 (0·13-0·15) with receipt of the fourth monovalent and bivalent doses, respectively. Against COVID-19-related hospital admission, the bivalent vaccine (HR 0·12 [95% CI 0·08-0·18] in SARS-CoV-2-naive participants and 0·04 [0·01-0·15] in previously infected participants) conferred greater benefit compared with the fourth monovalent dose (0·84 [0·77-0·91] in SARS-CoV-2-naive participants and 0·85 [0·69-1·04] in previously infected participants). INTERPRETATION: A fourth dose with the bivalent vaccine was substantially more effective against medically attended symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19-related hospital admission than four monovalent doses among both SARS-CoV-2-naive and previously infected individuals. Boosters with the bivalent vaccine might be preferred in this omicron-predominant pandemic, regardless of previous infection history. FUNDING: None.

COVID-19 Severity and Waning Immunity After up to 4 mRNA Vaccine Doses in 73 608 Patients With Cancer and 621 475 Matched Controls in Singapore: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

Importance: Despite patients with cancer being at risk of poor outcomes from COVID-19, there are few published studies for vaccine efficacy in this group, with suboptimal immunogenicity and waning vaccine efficacy described in small studies being a concern. Objective: To assess the incidence rate of severe COVID-19 disease outcomes associated with the number of vaccine doses received and the waning of protection over time. Design, Setting, and Participants: A prospective multicenter observational cohort study was carried out over 2 time periods (September 15, 2021, to December 20, 2021 [delta wave], and January 20, 2022, to November 11, 2022 [omicron wave]) predominated by SARS-CoV-2 delta and omicron variants, respectively. Overall, 73 608 patients with cancer (23 217 active treatment, 50 391 cancer survivors) and 621 475 controls matched by age, sex, race and ethnicity, and socioeconomic status were included. Exposure: Vaccine doses received, from zero to 4 doses, and time elapsed since last vaccine dose. Outcomes: Competing-risk regression analyses were employed to account for competing risks of death in patients with cancer. Main outcomes were incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and severe disease (defined as requirement for supplemental oxygen, intensive care, or death). The IRRs stratified by time from last vaccine dose served as indicators of waning of vaccine effectiveness over time. Results: The mean (SD) age of actively treated patients with cancer, cancer survivors, and controls were 62.7 (14.7), 62.9 (12.6), and 61.8 (14.7) years, respectively. Of 73 608 patients with cancer, 27 170 (36.9%) were men; 60 100 (81.6%) were Chinese, 7432 (10.1%) Malay, 4597 (6.2%) Indian, and 1479 (2.0%) were of other races and ethnicities. The IRRs for the 3-dose and 4-dose vs the 2-dose group (reference) for COVID-19 hospitalization and severe disease were significantly lower during both the delta and omicron waves in cancer and control populations. The IRRs for severe disease in the 3-dose group for active treatment, cancer survivors, and controls were 0.14, 0.13, and 0.07 during the delta wave and 0.29, 0.19, and 0.21 during omicron wave, respectively. The IRRs for severe disease in the 4-dose group during the omicron wave were even lower at 0.13, 0.10 and 0.10, respectively. No waning of vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization and severe disease was seen beyond 5 months after a third dose, nor up to 5 months (the end of this study's follow-up) after a fourth dose. Conclusion: This cohort study provides evidence of the clinical effectiveness of mRNA-based vaccines against COVID-19 in patients with cancer. Longevity of immunity in preventing severe COVID-19 outcomes in actively treated patients with cancer, cancer survivors, and matched controls was observed at least 5 months after the third or fourth dose.

Relationships between reading performance and regional spontaneous brain activity following surgical removal of primary left-hemisphere tumors: A resting-state fMRI study.

Left-hemisphere intraparenchymal primary brain tumor patients are at risk of developing reading difficulties that may be stable, improve or deteriorate after surgery. Previous studies examining language organization in brain tumor patients have provided insights into neural plasticity supporting recovery. Only a single study, however, has examined the role of white matter tracts in preserving reading ability post-surgery and none have examined the functional reading network. The current study aimed to investigate the regional spontaneous brain activity associated with reading performance in a group of 36 adult patients 6-24 months following left-hemisphere tumor resection. Spontaneous brain activity was assessed using resting-state fMRI (rs-fMRI) regional homogeneity (ReHo) and fractional amplitude low frequency fluctuation (fALFF) metrics, which measure local functional connectivity and activity, respectively. ReHo in the left occipito-temporal and right superior parietal regions was negatively correlated with reading performance. fALFF in the putamen bilaterally and the left cerebellum was negatively correlated with reading performance, and positively correlated in the right superior parietal gyrus. These findings are broadly consistent with reading networks reported in healthy participants, indicating that reading ability following brain tumor surgery might not involve substantial functional re-organization.

Long-term Real-world Protection Afforded by Third mRNA Doses Against Symptomatic Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Infections, Coronavirus Disease 19-related Emergency Attendances and Hospitalizations Amongst Older Singaporeans During an Omicron XBB Wave.

BACKGROUND: Literature on long-term real-world vaccine effectiveness of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) booster vaccines (up to and beyond 360 days) is scarce. We report estimates of protection against symptomatic infection, emergency department (ED) attendances and hospitalizations up to and beyond 360 days post-receipt of booster messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccines among Singaporeans aged ≥60 years during an Omicron XBB wave. METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study including all Singaporeans aged ≥60 years with no documented prior SARS-CoV-2 infection who had previously received ≥3 doses of mRNA vaccines (BNT162b2/mRNA-1273), over a 4-month period during transmission of Omicron XBB. We reported the adjusted incidence-rate-ratio (IRR) for symptomatic infections, ED attendances and hospitalizations at different time-intervals from both first and second boosters, using Poisson regression; with the reference group being those who received their first booster 90 to 179 days prior. RESULTS: In total, 506 856 boosted adults were included, contributing 55 846 165 person-days of observation. Protection against symptomatic infections among those who received a third vaccine dose (first booster) waned after 180 days with increasing adjusted IRRs; however, protection against ED attendances and hospitalizations held up, with comparable adjusted IRRs with increasing time from third vaccine doses (≥360 days from third dose: adjusted IRR [ED attendances] = 0.73, 95% confidence interval [CI] = .62-.85; adjusted IRR [hospitalization] = 0.58, 95% CI = .49-.70). CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight the benefit of a booster dose in reducing ED attendances and hospitalizations amongst older adults aged ≥60 years with no documented prior SARS-CoV-2 infection, during an Omicron XBB wave; up to and beyond 360 days post-booster. A second booster provided further reduction.

BNT162b2 vaccine protection against omicron and effect of previous infection variant and vaccination sequence among children and adolescents in Singapore: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Information on variant-specific vaccine protection and the effect of previous infection variant is scarce in children. We aimed to ascertain the level of protection conferred by BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccination against omicron variant infection (BA.4 or BA.5, and XBB) in a previously infected national paediatric cohort. We also explored the association between sequence of previous infection (variant) and vaccination on protection. METHODS: We did a retrospective, population-based cohort study using the national databases of all confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections, vaccines administered, and demographic records maintained by the Ministry of Health, Singapore. The study cohort consisted of children aged 5-11 years and adolescents aged 12-17 years who had a previous SARS-CoV-2 infection from Jan 1, 2020, to Dec 15, 2022. People who were infected during the pre-delta period or were immunocompromised (received three vaccination doses [children 5-11 years old] and four vaccinations doses [adolescents 12-17 years old]) were excluded. Those who had multiple episodes of infection before the study start date, were not vaccinated before infection but completed three doses, received bivalent mRNA vaccine, or received non-mRNA vaccine doses were also excluded. All SARS-CoV-2 infections confirmed by reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction or rapid antigen testing were grouped into delta, BA.1, BA.2, BA.4 or BA.5, or XBB variants using a combination of whole-genome sequencing, S-gene target failure results, and imputation. For BA.4 or BA.5, the study outcome period was June 1-Sept 30, 2022, and for XBB variants the outcome period was Oct 18-Dec 15, 2022. Incidence rate ratios between vaccinated and unvaccinated were derived using adjusted Poisson regressions and vaccine effectiveness was estimated as (1-risk ratio) × 100%. FINDINGS: 135 197 people aged 5-17 years (79 332 children and 55 865 adolescents) were included in the cohort for the vaccine effectiveness analysis against omicron BA.4 or BA.5, and 164 704 people aged 5-17 years (97 235 children and 67 469 adolescents) were included for the analysis against omicron XBB. Approximately 47% of participants were female and 53% were male. Among those previously infected, vaccine effectiveness against BA.4 or BA.5 infection in fully vaccinated children (two doses) was 74·0% (95% CI 67·7-79·1) and in adolescents (three doses) was 85·7% (80·2-89·6). Against XBB, protection conferred with full vaccination was lower at 62·8% (95% CI 42·3-76·0) in children and 47·9% (20·2-66·1) in adolescents. In children, receipt of two-dose vaccination before first SARS-CoV-2 infection provided them with the highest protection against subsequent BA.4 or BA.5 infection at 85·3% (95% CI 80·2-89·1); however, this was not shown to be the case for adolescents. First infection variant had an effect on vaccine effectiveness against omicron BA.4 or BA.5 reinfection in the following descending order: BA.2 conferred the highest protection (92·3% [95% CI 88·9-94·7] in children and 96·4% [93·5-98·0] in adolescents) followed by BA.1 (81·9% [75·9-86·4] in children and 95·0% [91·6-97·0] in adolescents), and delta which conferred the lowest protection (51·9% [5·3-75·6] in children and 77·5% [63·9-86·0] in adolescents). INTERPRETATION: In previously infected children and adolescents, BNT162b2 vaccination provided additional protection against omicron BA.4 or BA.5 and XBB variants compared with those who remained unvaccinated. Hybrid immunity against XBB was lower than against BA.4 or BA.5, especially in adolescents. Early vaccination of previously uninfected children before their first SARS-CoV-2 exposure could potentially strengthen population immunity resilience against future variants. FUNDING: None.

Protective immunity of SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccines against medically attended symptomatic omicron BA.4, BA.5, and XBB reinfections in Singapore: a national cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Despite a large proportion of the population having been vaccinated and infected, Singapore had SARS-CoV-2 waves driven by the BA.5 and XBB sublineages of the omicron (B.1.1.529) variant. Data on the protective immunity against medically attended, symptomatic reinfections with omicron BA.4, BA.5, and XBB conferred by previous SARS-CoV-2 infections and vaccinations are scarce. We therefore aimed to derive information from Singapore's experience as one of the first countries with an XBB-driven wave. METHODS: For this retrospective national cohort study, we used information from official databases of the Ministry of Health of Singapore to assess hybrid immunity (obtained from previous infection and vaccination) against medically attended, symptomatic BA.4 and BA.5 reinfections from Oct 1, 2022, to Nov 1, 2022, and medically attended, symptomatic XBB reinfections from Oct 18, 2022, to Nov 1, 2022, among Singapore citizens and permanent residents aged at least 18 years. All individuals with acute respiratory symptoms who presented at any health-care facility in Singapore between the stated dates were tested for SARS-CoV-2. Individuals were grouped into SARS-CoV-2-naive, pre-omicron, omicron BA.1, and omicron BA.2 groups according to their previous infection status. Data were also stratified by time from first infection to analyse the waning of immunity. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were measured by generalised linear Poisson regressions, with SARS-CoV-2-naive individuals as the reference group, and protective immunity was calculated as one minus the risk ratio multiplied by 100. FINDINGS: 2 456 791 individuals were included in the study, contributing 53·1 million person-days of observation for the SARS-CoV-2-naive group, 3·4 million person-days for the pre-omicron group, 6·6 million person-days for the BA.1 group, and 13·7 million person-days for the BA.2 group between Oct 1, 2022, and Nov 1, 2022. Compared with SARS-CoV-2-naive individuals, first infections with pre-omicron variants did not confer protection against reinfection with BA.4 or BA.5 (IRR 0·87 [95% CI 0·73-1·05] for pre-omicron infection with booster vaccination) or XBB (IRR 1·29 [1·23-1·35] for pre-omicron infection with booster vaccination). Previous BA.2 infection with booster provided the greatest protection against reinfection, but this was lower against reinfection with XBB (protective immunity 51%; 95% CI 49-53) than against reinfection with BA.4 or BA.5 (78%; 74-82). Protection conferred by previous BA.2 infection against XBB reinfection waned faster over time from first infection (from 74% [72-75] at 3-6 months to 49% [47-52] at 7-8 months) than protection against BA.4 or BA.5 reinfection (from 87% [82-90] at 3-6 months to 74% [66-80] at 7-8 months). INTERPRETATION: Protection against XBB reinfection conferred by a previous omicron infection with vaccination was lower and waned faster than protection against BA.4 or BA.5 reinfection, which is indicative of the greater immune evasiveness of the XBB sublineage. Although severe COVID-19 is uncommon, populations remain vulnerable to future reinfection waves from emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants despite high rates of vaccination and infection, as reflected by substantially higher reinfection rates during Singapore's XBB wave than during the previous BA.5-driven wave. Policy makers could consider emerging public health interventions, such as omicron-adapted bivalent vaccines, to maintain population immunity against COVID-19. FUNDING: None.

Chronic aphasias after left-hemisphere resective surgery.

Surgical resection of brain tumours is associated with an increased risk of aphasia. However, relatively little is known about outcomes in the chronic phase (i.e., >6 months). Using voxel-based lesion symptom mapping (VLSM) in 46 patients, we investigated whether chronic language impairments are related to the location of surgical resection, residual tumour characteristics (e.g., peri-resection treatment effects, progressive infiltration, oedema) or both. Approximately 72% of patients scored below the cut-off for aphasia. Action naming and spoken sentence comprehension deficits were associated with lesions in the left anterior temporal and inferior parietal lobes, respectively. Voxel-wise analyses revealed significant associations between ventral language pathways and action naming deficits. Reading impairments were also associated with increasing disconnection of cerebellar pathways. The results indicate chronic post-surgical aphasias reflect a combination of resected tissue and tumour infiltration of language-related white matter tracts, implicating progressive disconnection as the critical mechanism of impairment.

Real-world impact of a subsidy decision of sofosbuvir-velpatasvir for treatment of chronic hepatitis C on clinical practice and patient outcomes.

Background and Aim: Sofosbuvir-velpatasvir was recommended for subsidy to treat chronic hepatitis C in Singapore in 2018. We measured the impact of the subsidy decision on clinical practice and patient outcomes. Specifically, we looked at pre- and post-subsidy changes in the utilization and prescribing pattern of chronic hepatitis C treatment and the real-world clinical effectiveness. Method: Utilization trends and prescribing patterns were assessed using aggregated drug utilization data from public hospitals' dispensing systems and clinical data from the national electronic health record database, respectively. An audit was conducted to evaluate sustained virological response rate 12 weeks post treatment (SVR12). Results: Use of sofosbuvir-velpatasvir increased sharply since its subsidy listing and dropped subsequently, whereas the utilization of comparator drugs remained low. Prescribing rate of sofosbuvir-velpatasvir increased from 13.7% in the pre-subsidy period to 90.2% in the post-subsidy period; 39.1% of patients previously on pegylated interferon and ribavirin switched to sofosbuvir-velpatasvir following its subsidy listing. In the audit, 365 out of 375 patients (97.3% [95% confidence interval: 95.1-98.6%]) achieved SVR12. Conclusion: The subsidy decision led to increased accessibility to patients and intended changes in clinical practice. Sofosbuvir-velpatasvir was also clinically effective in the real world. These findings augur well for the continued eradication of chronic hepatitis C infection in Singapore.