Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on a tertiary care public hospital in Singapore: resources and economic costs.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has prompted hospitals to respond with stringent measures. Accurate estimates of costs and resources used in outbreaks can guide evaluations of responses. We report on the financial expenditure associated with COVID-19, the bed-days used for COVID-19 patients and hospital services displaced due to COVID-19 in a Singapore tertiary hospital. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cost analysis from January to December 2020 in the largest public hospital in Singapore. Costs were estimated from the hospital perspective. We examined financial expenditures made in direct response to COVID-19; hospital admissions data related to COVID-19 inpatients; and the number of outpatient and emergency department visits, non-emergency surgeries, inpatient days in 2020, compared with preceding years of 2018 and 2019. Bayesian time-series was used to estimate the magnitude of displaced services. RESULTS: USD $41.96 million was incurred in the hospital for COVID-19-related expenses. Facilities set-up and capital assets accounted for 51.6% of the expenditure; patient-care supplies comprised 35.1%. Of the 19,611 inpatients tested for COVID-19 in 2020, 727 (3.7%) had COVID-19. The total inpatient- and intensive care unit (ICU)-days for COVID-19 patients in 2020 were 8009 and 8 days, respectively. A decline in all hospital services was observed from February following a raised disease outbreak alert level; most services quickly resumed when the lockdown was lifted in June. CONCLUSION: COVID-19 led to an increase in healthcare expenses and a displacement in hospital services. Our findings are useful for informing economic evaluations of COVID-19 response and provide some information about the expected costs of future outbreaks.

Strategies to improve survival outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) given a fixed budget: A simulation study.

BACKGROUND: Our study aimed to identify a strategy that maximizes survival upon hospital discharge or 30-days post out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in Singapore for fixed investments of S$1, S$5, or S$10 million. Four strategies were compared: (1) no additional investment; (2) reducing response time via leasing of more ambulances; (3) increasing number of people trained in cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR); and (4) automated external defibrillators (AED). METHODS: We estimated the effect of ambulance response time, bystander CPR and AED on survival based on Singapore's 2010-2015 OHCA registry data. We simulated the changes in ambulance response times and likelihood of (1) CPR and (2) AED usage as a function of their increased availability, which was then combined with the effect of each factor to determine the increase in survival for each strategy. RESULTS: Survival given no additional investment was 4.03% (95% CI: 3.96%, 4.10%). The investments in ambulances, CPR training and AEDs for a given budget of S$1M changed survival to 4.03% (95% CI: 3.96%, 4.10%), 4.04% (95% CI: 3.98%, 4.11%), and 4.44% (95% CI: 4.35%, 4.54%), respectively. This generated 0, 2 and 102 additional life years saved respectively. Given a budget of S$5M or S$10M, 509 or 886 additional life years could be saved, by investing in an additional 10,000 or 20,000 AEDs respectively. The strategies reached a saturation effect whereby improvement in survival was marginal when the budget was increased to ≥S$5M for investment in ambulances and CPR training. CONCLUSIONS: Investing in AEDs had the most gain in survival.

Global resuscitation alliance utstein recommendations for developing emergency care systems to improve cardiac arrest survival.

INTRODUCTION: The Global Resuscitation Alliance (GRA) was established in 2015 to improve survival for Out- of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA) using the best practices developed by the Seattle Resuscitation Academy. However, these 10 programs were recommended in the context of developed Emergency Care Systems (ECS). Implementing these programs can be challenging for ECS at earlier stages of development. We aimed to explore barriers faced by developing ECS and to establish pre-requisites needed. We also developed a framework by which developing ECS may use to build their emergency response capability. METHOD: A consensus meeting was held in Singapore on 1st-2nd August 2017. The 74 participants were key stakeholders from 26 countries, including Emergency Medical Services (EMS) directors, physicians and academics, and two Physicians who sit on the World Health Organisation (WHO) panel for development of Emergency Care Systems. Five discussion groups examined the chain of survival: community, dispatch, ambulance and hospital; a separate group considered perinatal resuscitation. Discussion points were voted upon to reach a consensus. RESULTS: The answers and discussion points from each groupwere classified into a table adapted from WHO's framework of development for Emergency Services. After which, it was used to construct the modified survival framework with the chain of survival as the backbone. Eleven key statements were then derived to describe the pre-requisites for achieving the GRA 10 programs. The participants eventually voted on the importance and feasibility of these 11 statements as well as the GRA 10 programs using a matrix that is used by organisations to prioritise their action steps. CONCLUSION: In this paper, we propose a modified framework of survival for developing ECS systems. There are barriers for developing ECS systems to improve OHCA survival rates. These barriers may be overcome by systematic prioritisation and cost-effective innovative solutions.

Emergency thoracotomy: a review of its role in severe chest trauma.

AIM: We aim to assess which group of patients with blunt or penetrating chest trauma will benefit from emergency thoracotomy (ET) and have a good functional outcome. METHODS: A literature search was conducted using PUBMED, EMBASE, Science Direct and Google Scholar. The search terms used were: emergency thoracotomy; penetrating chest injury; blunt chest injury. The inclusion criteria were human trials, studies and case series on emergency or emergency department thoracotomy in adults and all papers that compared outcomes between patients with penetrating and blunt chest injury. All meta analysis, case reports, thoracotomies in children and the pediatric population, thoracotomies that were not performed in an emergency setting and papers that did not include data on both penetrating and blunt injuries were excluded. RESULTS: A total of 20 papers met the above criteria. More ETs were performed in patients with penetrating chest injury (PCI); range 3 to 670, mean 122 compared to blunt chest injury (BCI); range 5 to 319, mean of 51. Survival of the patients who underwent ET seemed to be higher in the PCI group; range 2.7% to 37.5%, mean 17.0% compared to BCI group; range 0.6% to 60%, mean of 4.6%. Mean Survival rate was higher (70.9%) for stab wounds compared to gunshot wounds (29.2%). The mean percentage of neurologically intact survivors among PCI survivors 86% (164) were higher compared to the BCI group 12% (8). CONCLUSION: Patients most likely to benefit from ET are those with penetrating chest injury, signs of life at scene or on arrival in the ED or pericardial tamponade. Hospitals should develop specific guidelines for emergency thoracotomy for patients with penetrating trauma, pericardial tamponade and witnessed cardiac arrest, as they are most likely to benefit from ET with improved chances of survival and good neurological outcome.

Circadian rhythm in cardiac arrest: the Singapore experience.

INTRODUCTION: There appears to be a circadian rhythm in the timing of cardiovascular and neurovascular events. The majority of studies have been conducted in western populations. This is the first study to look at the peaks and distribution of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients in Singapore. METHODS: The Cardiac Arrest and Resuscitation Epidemiology Studies I and II were prospective observation studies on OHCA in Singapore from October 1, 2001 to October 14, 2004. This study analysed data for patients older than 16 years. All data was collected and recorded as per the Utstein style template. Analysis was done for each of the quadrants of the 24-hour clock: 0001-0600, 0601-1200, 1201-1800 and 1801-2400 hours. RESULTS: Of the 2,428 cases, 2,167 OHCA patients qualified for the final analysis. Their mean ages were in the 60s for all the four quadrants, with a male predominance. The two peaks noted were at 0800 and 1900 hours for cardiac causes of death (n = 1,591), and at 0900 and 2000 hours for non-cardiac causes of death (n = 576). At all times of the day, the majority of OHCA occurred in residences and the bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation rate ranged from 14.6 to 24.3 percent in the different quadrants of the day. CONCLUSION: OHCA has a bimodal distribution in our local cohort of patients. The information obtained will be utilised for fine-tuning emergency medical services strategies, as we strive to improve our current survival rates for OHCA.

Public attitudes to emergency medical services in Singapore: EMS day 2002.

INTRODUCTION: In the year 2002, the Society for Emergency Medicine in Singapore Chapter of Paramedics organised the first emergency medical services (EMS) day, to educate the public about basic emergency response skills and to increase public awareness of the local EMS System. METHODS: This was an observational, cross-sectional study. A survey was conducted to find out about the knowledge and attitudes of the public and paramedic volunteer instructors towards the local EMS System. RESULTS: Two hundred and six (81.4 percent) out of 253 members of the public and 70 paramedics (100 percent) responded. For the public, the majority were females (86 percent), mean age (standard deviation [sd]) was 15.9 (7.9) years, range 11.0 to 67.0 years. For the paramedics, mean (sd) age was 26.6 (3.8) years. 61.9 percent were females. The public showed good knowledge of the emergency ambulance number and the indications for calling an ambulance. Public expectations of ambulance response times were significantly shorter than paramedics. They were also less comfortable with ambulance crews performing advanced life support interventions compared with the paramedics. CONCLUSION: Continuing efforts should be made to increase public awareness of the EMS system as well as to manage public expectations regarding response times and the roles of paramedics. EMS day represents one such opportunity.

A review of 2,517 childhood injuries seen in a Singapore emergency department in 1999--mechanisms and injury prevention suggestions.

BACKGROUND: Childhood injuries cause significant mortality and morbidity in Singapore. With injury surveillance, patterns of repeated injury can be identified and injury prevention strategies devised. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study of all children aged 12 and below seen for trauma in an Emergency Department over one year. Data captured in the real-time computer system was studied with regards to patient profile, mechanism of injury and patient disposition. Clinical summaries were extracted with follow-up telephone interviews done. RESULTS: Two thousand five hundred and seventeen children aged 12 and below were seen for accidental trauma in 1999, accounting for 37.1% of the total attendance for that age. Mean age was 7.7 years with males making up 62.7%. Home injuries (56.4%) were the most common, followed by road-related (14.4%), sports (8.2%) and playground injuries (7.4%). 48.5% sustained head and face injuries. Pre-school children (age <5) were more likely to sustain home injuries (p<0.0001), a higher proportion of head injuries (p<0.0001), foreign bodies, burns and poisoning compared to school-going children (age 6-12), who were more likely to sustain injuries in road accidents, sports, at playgrounds or schools, with more limb, trunk and multi-trauma. We highlight drownings, falls from height, rollover falls from beds, slamming door injuries, the low use of child car restraints, bicycle injuries and playground falls as areas of concern. CONCLUSION: Several injury prevention strategies have been suggested and it is hoped these may contribute to addressing preventable childhood injuries in Singapore. We also advocate the establishment of a national childhood injury surveillance database.

Intravenous adrenaline or vasopressin in sudden cardiac arrest: a literature review.

INTRODUCTION: The chain of survival concept implies that provision of early access, early advanced care, including early intravenous drugs would improve survival in sudden cardiac arrest. Intravenous adrenaline (epinephrine) has been used as the drug of choice since 1906. What is the evidence for its effectiveness? Is vasopressin a better alternative? METHODS: We performed a systematic literature search in order to answer these questions. Evidence from the clinical trials that have been conducted on this subject was reviewed. RESULTS: Experimental evidence confirms the beneficial effect adrenaline has on coronary perfusion pressure. However, adrenaline has not been shown conclusively to improve survival in clinical trials. Extensive trials have also failed to show any benefit of high-dose adrenaline over standard doses. Vasopressin seems to be more effective than adrenaline in animal studies for treatment of cardiac arrest due to resistant ventricular fibrillation. However, it has yet to be proven to be superior to adrenaline in clinical trials. CONCLUSION: More research is needed into this area, especially randomised controlled trials studying the effectiveness of vasopressin. Meanwhile, in order to improve survival from sudden cardiac arrest, continuing effort should be made to achieve early initiation of cardiopulmonary resuscitation, early defibrillation and early advanced care.