RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The potential for greenness as a novel protective factor for Alzheimer's disease (AD) requires further exploration. OBJECTIVES: This study assesses prospectively and longitudinally the association between precision greenness - greenness measured at the micro-environmental level, defined as the Census block - and AD incidence. DESIGN: Older adults living in consistently high greenness Census blocks across 2011 and 2016 were compared to those living in consistently low greenness blocks on AD incidence during 2012-2016. SETTING: Miami-Dade County, Florida, USA. PARTICIPANTS: 230,738 U.S. Medicare beneficiaries. MEASUREMENTS: U.S. Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services Chronic Condition Algorithm for AD based on ICD-9 codes, Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, age, sex, race/ethnicity, neighborhood income, and walkability. RESULTS: Older adults living in the consistently high greenness tertile, compared to those in the consistently low greenness tertile, had 16% lower odds of AD incidence (OR=0.84, 95% CI: 0.76-0.94, p=0.0014), adjusting for age, sex, race/ethnicity, and neighborhood income. Age, neighborhood income and walkability moderated greenness' relationship to odds of AD incidence, such that younger ages (65-74), lower-income, and non-car dependent neighborhoods may benefit most from high greenness. CONCLUSIONS: High greenness, compared to low greenness, is associated with lower 5-year AD incidence. Residents who are younger and/or who reside in lower-income, walkable neighborhoods may benefit the most from high greenness. These findings suggest that consistently high greenness at the Census block-level, may be associated with reduced odds of AD incidence at a population level.
Asunto(s)
Enfermedad de Alzheimer , Humanos , Enfermedad de Alzheimer/epidemiología , Femenino , Anciano , Masculino , Florida/epidemiología , Estudios Longitudinales , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Incidencia , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Características del Vecindario , Medicare/estadística & datos numéricos , Características de la Residencia , Estudios ProspectivosRESUMEN
Objective: To determine the mortality rate and its predictors in patients with a presumptive diagnosis of tuberculous pericarditis in sub-Saharan Africa. Design: Between 1 March 2004 and 31 October 2004; we enrolled 185 consecutive patients with presumed tuberculous pericarditis from 15 referral hospitals in Cameroon; Nigeria; and South Africa; and observed them during the 6-month course of antituberculosis treatment for the major outcome of mortality. This was an observational study; with the diagnosis and management of each patient left at the discretion of the attending physician. Using Cox regression; we have assessed the effect of clinical and therapeutic characteristics (recorded at baseline) on mortality during follow-up. Results: We obtained the vital status of 174 (94) patients (median age 33; range 14-87 years). The overall mortality rate was 26. Mortality was higher in patients who had clinical features of HIV infection than in those who did not (40versus 17; P=0.001). Independent predictors of death during follow-up were: (1) a proven non-tuberculosis final diagnosis (hazard ratio [HR] 5.35; 95confidence interval 1.76 to 16.25); (2) the presence of clinical signs of HIV infection (HR 2.28; 1.14-4.56); (3) co-existent pulmonary tuberculosis (HR 2.33; 1.20-4.54); and (4) older age (HR 1.02; 1.01-1.05). There was also a trend towards an increase in death rate in patients with haemodynamic instability (HR 1.80; 0.90-3.58) and a decrease in those who underwent pericardiocentesis (HR 0.34; 0.10-1.19). Conclusion : A presumptive diagnosis of tuberculous pericarditis is associated with a high mortality in sub-Saharan Africans. Attention to rapid aetiological diagnosis of pericardial effusion and treatment of concomitant HIV infection may reduce the high mortality associated with the disease