The Burden, Future Trends, And Economic Impact Of Lung Cancer In Saudi Arabia.

BACKGROUND: Incidence of cancer in Saudi Arabia has increased for the last two decades, ratcheting up to global levels. Yet, there is a dearth of research on the burden of lung cancer. This study examined the association between new cases of lung cancer and factors such as gender, age, and year of diagnosis; and forecast new cases and extrapolated future economic burden to 2030. METHODS: This a national-level cohort study that utilized the Saudi Cancer Registry data from 1999 to 2013. Multivariate regression was used; new lung cancer cases forecast and economic burden extrapolated to 20130. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to assess the impact of a range of epidemiologic and economic factors on the economic burden. RESULTS: Of the 166,497 new cancer cases (1999-2013), 3.8% was lung cancer. Males and Saudis had over threefold higher cases compared with females and non-Saudis, respectively. While the age group ≥65 years had 1.14 times or 14% increase in new cases, under-30 years had 97.2% fewer cases compared with age group 45-59. Compared with 1999, the period 2011-2013 had a 106% average increase. The years 2002-2010 registered an average 50% rise in new cases compared to 1999. New cases would rise to 1058 in 2030, an upsurge of 87% from 2013. The future economic burden was estimated at $2.49 billion in 2015 value, of which $520 million was attributable to care management and $1.97 billion in lost productivity. The economic burden for the period 2015-2030 will be $50.16 billion. The present value of this burden in 2015 values will be $34.60 billion, of which 21% will be attributable to care management. Estimates were robust to uncertainty, but the aged-standardized rate and 5-year survival rate would account for much of the variability compared with the economic factors. CONCLUSION: Findings reveal an upsurge of lung cancer burden in incidence and potential economic burden, which may inform cancer control measures.

Interim Functional Imaging Is an Independent Predictor of Progression-free Survival in Advanced Classical Hodgkin Lymphoma - A Real-world Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Response-adapted therapy in advanced classical Hodgkin lymphoma (cHL) using interim functional imaging (IFI) is under active investigation. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively examined patients with advanced cHL receiving 2 front-line regimens stratified by IFI results at our institution. Time to endpoint analysis was estimated using the method of Kaplan-Meier with log ranks. Cox regression modeling was computed for multivariable analysis. RESULTS: A total of 124 patients with advanced cHL with a median follow up of 40.9 months were included. A total of 84 (67.7%) received ABVD (doxorubicin, bleomycin, vinblastine, and dacarbazine), whereas the remaining 40 (32.3%) received ABVD/eBEACOPP (escalated bleomycin, etoposide, doxorubicin, cyclophosphamide, vincristine, procarbazine, and prednisone). A positive IFI was seen in 36 (29%) patients. The corresponding 3-year progression free survival (PFS) stratified by IFI was 81.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 70.1%-88.8%) versus 48.3% (95% CI, 30.4%-64.1%) (P < .0001) for patients with negative or positive scan, respectively. Escalation to eBEACOPP from ABVD following a positive IFI resulted in a significantly higher 3-year PFS at 58.7% (95% CI, 0.3-0.79) versus 39.7% (95% CI, 0.18-0.61) respectively (P = .00015). Overall survival (OS) was similar across the groups (P = .44) irrespective of therapy received. At multivariable analysis, IFI was the only predictor of PFS with a hazard ratio of 4.6 (95% CI, 1.9-10.8; P = .0008) whereas therapy escalation had a hazard ratio of 0.66 (95% CI, 0.14-3.4; P = .62). CONCLUSION: IFI is an independent predictor of PFS in advanced cHL and can guide therapeutic decisions in the real world. Given the inferior outcome seen in patients with a positive IFI, novel approaches of therapy are warranted.

Vitamin D levels and breast cancer characteristics: Findings in patients from Saudi Arabia.

Inverse relationship between vitamin D status and risk of breast cancer has been previously reported in the literature. We conducted this study to determine the association between vitamin D levels and breast cancer characteristics in patients from Saudi Arabia. Newly diagnosed breast cancer patients (N=406) were recruited. Serum levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25 (OH) D] were measured at baseline. A significantly higher percentage of patients with triple negative status (18%) had 25 (OH) D levels ≤25nmol/L, compared to only 8% with 25 (OH) D levels >25nmol/L (p=0.009). Patients with 25 (OH) D levels ≤25nmol/L were 2.54 times more likely to present with triple negative status compared to those with 25 (OH) D levels >25nmol/L (p=0.02). Our findings suggest an association between low 25 (OH) D levels and increased risk of triple negative breast cancer.