Glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonist use and risk of thyroid cancer: Scandinavian cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether use of glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP1) receptor agonists is associated with increased risk of thyroid cancer. DESIGN: Scandinavian cohort study. SETTING: Denmark, Norway, and Sweden, 2007-21. PARTICIPANTS: Patients who started GLP1 receptor agonist treatment were compared with patients who started dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) inhibitor treatment, and in an additional analysis, patients who started sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitor treatment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Thyroid cancer identified from nationwide cancer registers. An active-comparator new user study design was used to minimise risks of confounding and time related biases from using real world studies of drug effects. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios, controlling for potential confounders with propensity score weighting. RESULTS: The mean follow-up time was 3.9 years (standard deviation 3.5 years) in the GLP1 receptor agonist group and 5.4 years (standard deviation 3.5 years) in the DPP4 inhibitor group. 76 of 145 410 patients (incidence rate 1.33 events per 10 000 person years) treated with GLP1 receptor agonists and 184 of 291 667 patients (incidence rate 1.46 events per 10 000 person years) treated with DPP4 inhibitors developed thyroid cancer. GLP1 receptor agonist use was not associated with increased risk of thyroid cancer (hazard ratio 0.93, 95% confidence interval 0.66 to 1.31; rate difference -0.13, 95% confidence interval -0.61 to 0.36 events per 10 000 person years). The hazard ratio for medullary thyroid cancer was 1.19 (0.37 to 3.86). In the additional analysis comparing the GLP1 receptor agonist group with the SGLT2 inhibitor group, the hazard ratio for thyroid cancer was 1.16 (0.65 to 2.05). CONCLUSIONS: In this large cohort study using nationwide data from three countries, GLP1 receptor agonist use was not associated with a substantially increased risk of thyroid cancer over a mean follow-up of 3.9 years. In the main analysis comparing GLP1 receptor agonists with DPP4 inhibitors, the upper limit of the confidence interval was consistent with no more than a 31% increase in relative risk.

Depression and anxiety-related disorders and suicide among Swedish male elite football players: a nationwide cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether male elite football players, during and after their active career, were at increased risk of depression and anxiety-related disorders and suicide, as compared with the general male population. METHODS: We included male football players active in the Swedish top division 1924-2019 and general male population (matched to football players based on age and region of residence) aged <65 years in 1997. Using nationwide registers, we followed the football players from their first season in the top division (or the date of their first registered residency in Sweden) or 1 January 1997, and compared the risk of depression and anxiety-related disorders (captured through diagnoses from hospital admissions and outpatient visits, and use of prescription drugs) among football players versus controls. In a secondary analysis using data from death certificates, we compared the risk of suicide between football players and general population males who were alive in 1969 (when cause of death became available) . RESULTS: During follow-up through 31 December 2020, 504 (13.6%) of 3719 football players and 7455 (22.3%) of 33 425 general population males had a depression or anxiety-related disorder. In analyses accounting for age, region of residence and calendar time, the risk of anxiety and depression-related disorders was lower among football players versus general population males (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.66). The protective association was attenuated with increasing age, and from around age 70 years the risk was similar in the two groups. The risk of suicide was lower among football players versus general population males (HR 0.48, 95% CI 0.32 to 0.72). CONCLUSIONS: In this nationwide cohort study in Sweden, elite male football players had a lower risk of depression and anxiety-related disorders and suicide as compared with the general population.

Antibiotic use during pregnancy in Sweden: A nationwide utilization study covering 2007-2019.

INTRODUCTION: Antibiotics are often prescribed during pregnancy. Assessing the current state of prenatal antibiotic use is therefore imperative for optimizing prescribing and identifying emerging research priorities. The study aimed to describe recent trends and patterns in antibiotic use during pregnancy among women who gave birth in Sweden, including user characteristics. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Population-based descriptive study using linked nationwide registers. All pregnancies delivered in Sweden from 2007 to 2019 were included. Prevalence of use was defined as the percentage of pregnancies during which at least one prescription forantibiotics was filled. Temporal trends in the prevalence of antibiotic use by calendar year, trimester and weeks of gestation were assessed from time series graphs. RESULTS: Prescriptions for systemic antibiotics were filled in 20.7% of 1 434 431 pregnancies overall, decreasing from 24.7% in 2007 to 18.0% in 2019. Phenoxymethylpenicillin (8.5%), pivmecillinam (6.5%), nitrofurantoin (4.7%), amoxicillin (1.6%) and cefadroxil (1.5%) use were the most prevalent. Their use decreased over the 13-year period, except for pivmecillinam, which increased from 4.0% to 7.4%. Prevalence of use was highest in the second trimester (9.5%), with weekly trends peaking at 13 and 34 weeks of gestation. Compared with non-users, antibiotic users more often belonged to the youngest and oldest age strata, carried multipleton pregnancies, had delivered before, had attained a lower education level and smoked in early pregnancy. A higher body mass index, asthma, chronic renal disease and diabetes mellitus were more prevalent among antibiotic users than among non-users. CONCLUSIONS: Although outpatient antibiotic use during pregnancy in Sweden has been declining, one in five pregnancies was exposed to systemic antibiotics.

Association of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists with serious liver events among patients with type 2 diabetes: A Scandinavian cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Clinical trials suggest that glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists may have beneficial effects on NAFLD, but the impact on hard hepatic end points is unknown. We assessed the association between the use of GLP-1 receptor agonists and the risk of serious liver events in routine clinical practice. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Cohort study using data from nationwide registers in Sweden, Denmark, and Norway, 2007-2020, including 91,479 initiators of GLP-1 receptor agonists and 244,004 initiators of the active comparator, dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors, without a history of chronic liver disease other than NAFLD/NASH. The primary outcome was serious liver events: a composite of incident compensated and decompensated cirrhosis and HCC. Secondary outcomes were the individual components of the primary outcome. Cox regression was used to estimate HRs, using propensity score weighting to control for confounding. Users of GLP-1 receptor agonists had 608 serious liver events (adjusted incidence rate: 16.9 events per 10,000 person-years), compared with 1770 events among users of dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (19.2 events per 10,000 person-years). The adjusted HR was 0.85 (95% CI: 0.75 to 0.97), and the rate difference was -2.1 (-4.4 to 0.1) events per 10,000 person-years. In secondary outcome analyses, the adjusted HR was 0.85 (0.75 to 0.97) for compensated and decompensated cirrhosis and 1.05 (0.80 to 1.39) for HCC. CONCLUSIONS: The use of GLP-1 receptor agonists was associated with a significantly reduced risk of serious liver events, driven by a reduction of compensated and decompensated cirrhosis.

Use of DPP4 Inhibitors and GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and Risk of Intestinal Obstruction: Scandinavian Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Concerns have been raised that the incretin-based diabetes drugs dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide 1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists may increase the risk of intestinal obstruction. We aimed to assess the association between use of DPP4 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists and the risk of intestinal obstruction. METHODS: Using data from nationwide registers in Sweden, Denmark, and Norway, 2013-2021, we conducted 2 cohort studies, one for DPP4 inhibitors and one for GLP-1 receptor agonists, to investigate the risk of intestinal obstruction as compared with an active comparator drug class (sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 [SGLT2] inhibitors). RESULTS: Among 19,0321 new users of DPP4 inhibitors (median (interquartile range [IQR]) follow-up time, 1.3 [0.6-2.6] years) and 139,315 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors (median [IQR] follow-up time, 0.8 [0.4-1.7] years), 919 intestinal obstruction events occurred. Use of DPP4 inhibitors, as compared with SGLT2 inhibitors, was not associated with a statistically significant increase in risk of intestinal obstruction (adjusted incidence rate, 2.0 vs 1.8 per 1000 person-years; hazard ratio, 1.13; 95% confidence interval, 0.96-1.34). Among 121,254 new users of GLP-1 receptor agonists (median [standard deviation] follow-up time, 0.9 [0.4-1.9] years) and 185,027 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors (median [IQR] follow-up time, 0.8 [0.4-1.8] years), 557 intestinal obstruction events occurred. Use of GLP-1 receptor agonists was not associated with a statistically significant increase in risk of intestinal obstruction (adjusted incidence rate, 1.3 vs 1.6 per 1000 person-years; hazard ratio, 0.83; 95% confidence interval, 0.69-1.01). CONCLUSIONS: In this analysis of nationwide data from 3 countries, previous safety signals indicating an increased risk of intestinal obstruction with use of DPP4 inhibitors and GLP-1 receptor agonists were not confirmed.

Neurodegenerative disease among male elite football (soccer) players in Sweden: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Football (soccer) players might be at increased risk of neurodegenerative disease, which has led to questions regarding the safety of the sport and recent measures introduced by football associations to reduce heading of the ball. We aimed to assess the risk of neurodegenerative disease among male football players in the Swedish top division Allsvenskan, compared with matched controls. METHODS: In this cohort study, we identified all male football players (amateurs and professionals) who had played at least one game in Allsvenskan from Aug 1, 1924 to Dec 31, 2019 and excluded players whose personal identity number could not be retrieved or be identified in the Total Population Register, and those who were not born in Sweden and who had immigrated to the country after age 15 years. Football players were matched with up to ten controls from the general population according to sex, age, and region of residence. We used nationwide registers to compare the risk of neurodegenerative disease (diagnoses recorded in death certificates, during hospital admissions and outpatient visits, or use of prescription drugs for dementia) among football players versus controls. We also assessed each type of neurodegenerative disease (Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, motor neuron disease, and Parkinson's disease) separately, and compared the risk of neurodegenerative disease among outfield players versus goalkeepers. FINDINGS: Of 7386 football players who had played at least one game in the top Swedish division between Aug 1, 1924, and Dec 31, 2019, 182 players were excluded for an unretrievable personal identity number, and 417 were excluded due to their number not being identified in the Total Population Register. After a further exclusion of 780 players and 11 627 controls who were born outside of Sweden and who had immigrated to the country after age 15 years, 6007 football players (510 goalkeepers) were included in the study population along with 56 168 matched controls. During follow-up to Dec 31, 2020, 537 (8·9%) of 6007 football players and 3485 (6·2%) of 56 168 controls were diagnosed with neurodegenerative disease. The risk of neurodegenerative disease was higher among football players than controls (hazard ratio [HR] 1·46 [95% CI 1·33-1·60]). Alzheimer's disease and other dementias were more common among football players than controls (HR 1·62 [95% CI 1·47-1·78]), significant group differences were not observed for motor neuron disease (HR 1·27 [0·73-2·22]), and Parkinson's disease was less common among football players (HR 0·68 [0·52-0·89]). The risk of neurodegenerative disease was higher for outfield players than controls (HR 1·50 [95% CI 1·36-1·65]) but not for goalkeepers versus controls (HR 1·07 [0·78-1·47]), and outfield players had a higher risk of neurodegenerative disease than did goalkeepers (HR 1·43 [1·03-1·99]). All-cause mortality was slightly lower among football players than controls (HR 0·95 [95% CI 0·91-0·99]). INTERPRETATION: In this cohort study, male football players who had played in the Swedish top division had a significantly increased risk of neurodegenerative disease compared with population controls. The risk increase was observed for Alzheimer's disease and other dementias but not for other types of neurodegenerative disease, and among outfield players, but not among goalkeepers. Our study expands on the data that can be used to assess and manage risks in the sport. FUNDING: Karolinska Institutet, The Swedish Research Council for Sport Science, Folksam Research Foundation, Hedberg Foundation, Neurofonden, and Åhlen Foundation.

Prenatal and Infant Exposure to Acid-Suppressive Medications and Risk of Allergic Diseases in Children.

Importance: Existing observational data have indicated positive associations of acid-suppressive medication (ASM) use in prenatal and early life with allergic diseases in children; however, no study to date has accounted for confounding by indication or within-familial factors. Objective: To evaluate the association of prenatal or infant exposure to ASMs with risk of allergic diseases in children. Design, Setting, and Participants: This nationwide, cohort study included data from South Korea's National Health Insurance Service mother-child-linked database from January 1, 2007, to December 31, 2020. Participants included mother-child pairs of neonates born from April 1, 2008, to December 31, 2019. Exposures: Prenatal and infant exposure to ASMs (histamine 2 receptor antagonists [H2RAs] and proton pump inhibitors [PPIs]). Main Outcomes and Measures: Composite and individual outcomes of allergic diseases (asthma, allergic rhinitis, atopic dermatitis, and food allergy) in children (followed up to 13 years of age) were assessed. The ASM-exposed individuals were compared with unexposed individuals in propensity score (PS)-matched and sibling-matched analyses to control for various potential confounders and within-familial factors. Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: The study included 4 149 257 mother-child pairs. Prenatal exposure analyses included 808 067 PS-matched pairs (763 755 received H2RAs, 36 529 received PPIs) among women with a mean (SD) age of 31.8 (4.2) years. The PS-matched HR was 1.01 (95% CI, 1.01-1.02) for allergic diseases overall (asthma: HR, 1.02 [95% CI, 1.01-1.03]; allergic rhinitis: HR, 1.02 [95% CI, 1.01-1.02]; atopic dermatitis: HR, 1.02 [95% CI, 1.01-1.02]; food allergy: HR, 1.03 [95% CI, 0.98-1.07]); in sibling-matched analyses, the HRs were similar to those of PS-matched analyses but were not significant (allergic diseases: HR, 1.01; 95% CI, 0.997-1.01). Infant exposure analyses included 84 263 PS-matched pairs (74 188 received H2RAs, 7496 received PPIs). The PS-matched HR was 1.06 (95% CI, 1.05-1.07) for allergic diseases overall (asthma: HR, 1.16 [95% CI, 1.14-1.18]; allergic rhinitis: HR, 1.02 [95% CI, 1.01-1.03]; atopic dermatitis: HR, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.02-1.08]; food allergy: HR, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.10-1.49]); asthma risk (HR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.09-1.17) remained significantly higher among children exposed to ASMs during infancy in sibling-matched analyses. The findings were similar for H2RAs and PPIs analyzed separately and were robust across all sensitivity analyses. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that there is no association between prenatal exposure to ASMs and allergic diseases in offspring. However, infant exposure to ASMs was associated with a higher risk of developing asthma, although the magnitude was more modest than previously reported. Clinicians should carefully weigh the benefits of prescribing ASMs to children, accompanied by subsequent close monitoring for any clinically relevant safety signals.

In-utero antibiotic exposure and subsequent infections in infancy: a register-based cohort study with sibling analysis.

BACKGROUND: Prenatal antibiotic use, the ensuing maternal dysbiosis, and subsequent acquisition of altered microbiota in early life have been linked to the offspring's increased susceptibility to childhood infections. However, infection risks during the first year of life associated with in-utero antibiotic exposure have not been comprehensively explored. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the associations between exposure to antibiotics in utero and subsequent infections during infancy and whether such associations differ by antibiotic class. STUDY DESIGN: All data were retrieved from Swedish population-based registers. Singletons live-born between 2006 and 2018 were followed up from birth to their first birthday. Exposure was maternal filling of at least 1 antibiotic prescription between the last menstrual period and delivery. Outcomes were the infants' antimicrobial prescription fills, incident infections diagnosed in specialist care, and deaths with infections indicated as underlying or contributing causes ("infection-related deaths"). Birth year, birth season, maternal age, place of residence, parity, comorbidity indicator, body mass index, proxies for general health status, education level, and smoking status were considered covariates. Poisson regression was used to estimate crude and adjusted incidence rate ratios with 95% confidence intervals for the number of antimicrobial prescriptions filled to the infant. Cox regression was used to estimate crude and adjusted hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals for incident infections diagnosed in specialist care and at death. Sibling analyses were used to account for shared familial factors. Sensitivity of the results to exposure definition and perinatal factors prognostic for the outcomes were assessed in supplementary analyses. RESULTS: Of 1,347,018 infants in the full cohort, 294,657 (21.9%) were exposed to antibiotics in utero. There were 677,430 antimicrobial prescriptions filled (1.380 per 1000 person-days), 423,705 incident infections diagnosed in specialist care (0.870 per 1000 person-days), and 2800 infection-related deaths (0.006 deaths per 1000 person-days) during follow-up. Compared to unexposed, infants exposed to antibiotics in utero had higher rates of antimicrobial prescription fills (adjusted incidence rate ratio, 1.34; 95% confidence interval, 1.33-1.34), incident infections diagnosed in specialist care (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.28; 95% confidence interval, 1.27-1.29), and infection-related mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.15; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.25). For antimicrobial prescriptions and infections diagnosed in specialist care, associations were consistent across most antibiotic classes but were attenuated in the sibling analyses: adjusted incidence rate ratio of 1.05 (95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.06) and adjusted hazard ratio of 1.05 (95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.07), respectively. No association with infant mortality was found in the sibling cohort (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.93; 95% confidence interval, 0.81-1.08). CONCLUSION: The minor associations between exposure to antibiotics in utero and infections during infancy were partly explained by shared familial factors and did not differ across frequently used antibiotic classes.

Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitor Treatment and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: Scandinavian Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between use of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in routine clinical practice. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We used nationwide registers in Denmark, Norway, and Sweden from 2013 to 2018 in order to include patients without a history of AF who were newly prescribed an SGLT2 inhibitor or an active comparator (glucagon-like peptide 1 [GLP-1] receptor agonist). We performed a cohort study to assess new-onset AF in intention-to-treat analyses using Cox regression, adjusted for baseline covariates with propensity score weighting. RESULTS: We identified 79,343 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors (59.2% dapagliflozin, 40.0% empagliflozin, 0.8% canagliflozin, <0.1% ertugliflozin) and 57,613 new users of GLP-1 receptor agonists. Mean age of the study cohort was 61 years and 60% were men. The adjusted incidence rate of new-onset AF was 8.6 per 1,000 person-years for new users of SGLT2 inhibitors compared with 10.0 per 1,000 person-years for new users of GLP-1 receptor agonists. The adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) was 0.89 (95% CI 0.81-0.96), and the rate difference was 1.4 fewer events per 1,000 person-years (95% CI 0.6-2.1). Using an as-treated exposure definition, the aHR for new-onset AF was 0.87 (95% CI 0.76-0.99). No statistically significant heterogeneity of the aHRs was observed between subgroups of patients with and without a history of heart failure or major cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort study using nationwide data from three countries, use of SGLT2 inhibitors, compared with GLP-1 receptor agonists, was associated with a modestly reduced risk of new-onset AF.

Use of sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists according to the 2019 ESC guidelines and the 2019 ADA/EASD consensus report in a national population of patients with type 2 diabetes.

AIMS: To assess treatment eligibility for, and received treatment with, sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2) and glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists according to the 2019 the American Diabetes Association (ADA)/European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD) consensus report and the 2019 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines in a nationwide sample of patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS AND RESULTS: Both sets of guidelines included the treatment indications of heart failure, chronic kidney disease, and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease while only the 2019 ESC guidelines also recommended treatment based on high or very high cardiovascular risk. The analyses included 435 000 patients with type 2 diabetes identified from the Swedish National Diabetes Register (2020-21). According to the 2019 ESC guidelines, 79.5% were recommended any of the two drugs (SGLT2 inhibitors: 37.2%; SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1 receptor agonists: 40.9%; GLP-1 receptor agonists: 1.4%). According to the 2019 ADA/EASD consensus report, 48.8% were recommended any of the two drugs (SGLT2 inhibitors: 37.2%; GLP-1 receptor agonists: 11.6%). Of those who had been recommended any of the two drugs, 33.7% had received the recommended treatment according to the 2019 ESC guidelines and 25.4% according to the 2019 ADA/EASD consensus report. CONCLUSIONS: In this nationwide study, the proportion of patients with type 2 diabetes who were recommended treatment with an SGLT2 inhibitor or a GLP-1 receptor agonist was approximately 80% according to the 2019 ESC guidelines and around half according to the 2019 ADA/EASD consensus report. Uptake of these recommendations in routine clinical practice was limited.

We investigated the proportion of patients with type 2 diabetes in Sweden who were recommended treatment with two types of diabetes drugs, SGLT2 inhibitors, and GLP-1 receptor agonists, according to two European clinical guidelines. • Depending on the guideline used, between half and 80% of the patients with type 2 diabetes were recommended treatment with an SGLT2 inhibitor or a GLP-1 receptor. • Of those who had been recommended any of the two drugs, one in three or one in four, depending on the guideline used, had received the recommended treatment.

Alcohol related disorders among elite male football players in Sweden: nationwide cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess whether male elite football players are at increased risk of alcohol related disorders compared with men from the general population, and whether such an increased risk would vary on the basis of calendar year of the first playing season in the top tier of competition, age, career length, and goal scoring abilities. DESIGN: Nationwide cohort study. SETTING: Sweden, 1924-2020. PARTICIPANTS: 6007 male football players who had played in the Swedish top division, Allsvenskan, from 1924 to 2019 and 56 168 men from the general population matched to players based on age and region of residence. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome was alcohol related disorders (diagnoses recorded in death certificates, during hospital admissions and outpatient visits, or use of prescription drugs for alcohol addiction); secondary outcome was disorders related to misuse of other drugs. RESULTS: During follow-up up to 31 December 2020, 257 (4.3%) football players and 3528 (6.3%) men from the general population received diagnoses of alcohol related disorders. In analyses accounting for age, region of residence, and calendar time, risk of alcohol related disorders was lower among football players than among men from the general population (hazard ratio 0.71, 95% confidence interval 0.62 to 0.81). A reduced risk of alcohol related disorders was observed for football players who played their first season in the top tier in the early 1960s and later, while no significant difference versus men from the general population was seen in the risk for football players from earlier eras. The hazard ratio was lowest at around age 35 years, and then increased with age; at around age 75 years, football players had a higher risk of alcohol related disorders than men from the general population. No significant association was seen between goal scoring, number of games, and seasons played in the top tier and the risk of alcohol related disorders. Risk of disorders related to other drug misuse was significantly lower among football players than the general population (hazard ratio 0.22, 95% confidence interval 0.15 to 0.34). CONCLUSIONS: In this nationwide cohort study, male football players who had played in the Swedish top tier of competition had a significantly lower risk of alcohol related disorders than men from the general population.

Selection of Comparator Group in Observational Drug Safety Studies: Alternatives to the Active Comparator New User Design.

A valid study design is essential when assessing the safety of drugs based on observational data. The comparator group is a key element of the design and can greatly influence the results. The active comparator new user design is a go-to design in observational drug safety research where a target trial of initiation of a study drug versus usual care is emulated. A comparison with another treatment that targets similar patients as the study drug and has no effect on the outcome has great potential to reduce bias. However, the active comparator new user design can be difficult to implement because no suitable comparator drug is available or because it requires extensive exclusion of study drug initiators. In this analysis, we evaluated alternative study designs that can be used in drug safety assessments when the active comparator new user design is not optimal. Using target trial emulation as a common framework, we defined and evaluated the following designs: traditional no use, no-use episodes, active comparator new user, prevalent new user, generalized prevalent new user, and hierarchical prevalent new user. We showed that all designs can be implemented by using sequential cohorts and simply altering the patient selection criteria, i.e., identifying increasingly restrictive cohorts. In this way, all designs are nested in each other and the differences between them can be demonstrated clearly. We concluded that many study-specific factors need to be considered when choosing a design, including indication, available comparator drugs, treatment patterns, potential effect modification, and sample size.

COVID-19 vaccination in pregnant women in Sweden and Norway.

Vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 are highly effective in preventing severe disease and mortality. Although pregnant women are at increased risk of severe COVID-19, vaccination uptake among pregnant women varies. We used the Swedish and Norwegian population-based health registries to identify pregnant women and to investigate background characteristics associated with not being vaccinated. In this study of 164 560 women giving birth between May 2021 and May 2022, 78% in Sweden and 87% in Norway have been vaccinated with at least one dose at delivery. Not being vaccinated while being pregnant was associated with age below 30 years, low education and income level, birth region other than Scandinavia, smoking during pregnancy, not living with a partner, and gestational diabetes. These results can assist health authorities develop targeted vaccination information to diminish vaccination inequality and prevent severe disease in vulnerable groups.

Association between proton pump inhibitor use and risk of pneumonia in children: nationwide self-controlled case series study in Sweden.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association between use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) and risk of pneumonia in children. DESIGN: Nationwide register-based self-controlled case series study. SETTING: Sweden, July 2006 to December 2016. PARTICIPANTS: Children aged <18 years who were treated with PPIs and had a hospitalisation or hospital emergency care visit for pneumonia within 1 year before and 2 years after PPI initiation. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary analysis examined the risk of pneumonia during the risk period (ongoing PPI treatment), the pre-exposure period (≤30 days preceding PPI treatment) and the postexposure period (days 1-365 after PPI discontinuation), comparing to the unexposed period. Conditional Poisson regression was used to estimate incidence rate ratios (IRRs) and 95% CIs. RESULTS: A total of 2356 cases of pneumonia were included. Compared with the unexposed period, the risk of pneumonia was significantly increased during ongoing PPI treatment, with an adjusted IRR of 1.40 (95% CI 1.21 to 1.62). The risk of pneumonia was also increased in the pre-exposure period (adjusted IRR, 1.80, 95% CI 1.51 to 2.13), but not in the postexposure period (adjusted IRR 0.98, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.08). Dividing the risk period by time since treatment initiation, the increased risk of pneumonia was highest in the first 30 days (adjusted IRR 1.63, 95% CI 1.35 to 1.97), remained during days 31-90 (adjusted IRR 1.32, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.69), but waned in days ≥91 (IRR 1.06, 95% CI 0.79 to 1.41). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: An increased risk of pneumonia was observed both immediately before and immediately after PPI initiation. This pattern of association can likely be explained by an underlying risk of pneumonia due to factors transiently present at the time around PPI initiation. Thus, our findings do not support a causal relationship between PPI use and risk of pneumonia.

Association of SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination During Pregnancy With Pregnancy Outcomes.

Importance: Data about the safety of vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 during pregnancy are limited. Objective: To examine the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes after vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 during pregnancy. Design, Setting, and Participants: This registry-based retrospective cohort study included 157 521 singleton pregnancies ending after 22 gestational weeks from January 1, 2021, until January 12, 2022 (Sweden), or January 15, 2022 (Norway). The Pregnancy Register in Sweden and the Medical Birth Registry of Norway were linked to vaccination and other registries for identification of exposure and background characteristics. Exposures: Data on mRNA vaccines-BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) and mRNA-1273 (Moderna)-and 1 viral vector vaccine-AZD1222 (AstraZeneca)-were collected from national vaccination registries. Main Outcomes and Measures: The risk of preterm birth and stillbirth was evaluated using Cox regression models, with gestational day as the time metric and vaccination as a time-dependent exposure variable. The risk of small for gestational age, low Apgar score, and neonatal care admission was evaluated using logistic regression. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to combine results between countries. Results: Among the 157 521 singleton births included in the study (103 409 in Sweden and 54 112 in Norway), the mean maternal age at the time of delivery was 31 years, and 28 506 (18%) were vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 (12.9% with BNT162b2, 4.8% with mRNA-1273, and 0.3% with AZD1222) while pregnant. A total of 0.7%, 8.3%, and 9.1% of individuals delivering were vaccinated during the first, second, and third trimester, respectively. Vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 was not significantly associated with increased risk of preterm birth (6.2 vs 4.9 per 10 000 pregnancy days; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.98 [95% CI, 0.91 to 1.05]; I2 = 0%; P for heterogeneity = .60), stillbirth (2.1 vs 2.4 per 100 000 pregnancy days; aHR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.63 to 1.17]), small for gestational age (7.8% vs 8.5%; difference, -0.6% [95% CI, -1.3% to 0.2%]; adjusted OR [aOR], 0.97 [95% CI, 0.90 to 1.04]), low Apgar score (1.5% vs 1.6%; difference, -0.05% [95% CI, -0.3% to 0.1%]; aOR, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.87 to 1.08]), or neonatal care admission (8.5% vs 8.5%; difference, 0.003% [95% CI, -0.9% to 0.9%]; aOR, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.86 to 1.10]). Conclusions and Relevance: In this population-based study conducted in Sweden and Norway, vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 during pregnancy, compared with no SARS-CoV-2 vaccination during pregnancy, was not significantly associated with an increased risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes. The majority of the vaccinations were with mRNA vaccines during the second and third trimesters of pregnancy, which should be considered in interpreting the findings.

Proton pump inhibitor use and risk of depression and anxiety in children: nationwide cohort study.

Although some data have linked proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use to risk of depression and anxiety, there are no studies investigating this safety issue in children. This study investigated the association between PPI use and risk of depression and anxiety in children. We conducted a nationwide register-based cohort study in Sweden, July 1, 2007, to December 31, 2016. Following matching on age and propensity score, we included 29,320 pairs of PPI initiators and noninitiators among children aged 7-17 years old. The primary analysis examined the risk of incident depression and anxiety, a composite outcome defined as a diagnosis of depression, anxiety, or a prescription for an antidepressant. Children who initiated PPI use had higher hazards for risk of depression and anxiety compared with noninitiators (hazard ratios [HRs], 2.61; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.32-2.94). In analyses of the timing of depression and anxiety onset after PPI initiation, the HRs were 3.71 (95% CI, 2.17-6.34) for 1-30 days, 3.47 (95% CI, 2.33-5.18) for 31-90 days, 2.71 (2.04-3.60) for 91-180 days, 2.52 (2.00-3.16) for 181-365 days, and 2.34 (1.94-2.82) for 366-730 days. Significant associations were observed across all age groups. The magnitude of the association increased with longer duration of PPI use (p for trend < 0.0001). The association was consistent through all sensitivity analyses, including high-dimensional propensity score matching (HR, 2.31, 95% CI, 2.05-2.61). PPI use was associated with increased risk of depression and anxiety in children. Further investigation is warranted to confirm or refute this potential association.

The comparative cardiovascular and renal effectiveness of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists: A Scandinavian cohort study.

AIM: To assess the comparative cardiovascular and renal effectiveness of sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors versus glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists in routine clinical practice. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A cohort study of nationwide registers from Sweden, Denmark, and Norway, including 87 525 new users of SGLT2 inhibitors and 63 921 new users of GLP-1 receptor agonists, was conducted using data from 2013-2018. Co-primary outcomes, analysed using an intention-to-treat exposure definition, were major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; myocardial infarction, stroke, and cardiovascular death), heart failure (hospitalization or death because of heart failure), and serious renal events (renal replacement therapy, hospitalization for renal events, and death from renal causes). RESULTS: Use of SGLT2 inhibitors versus GLP-1 receptor agonists was associated with a higher risk of MACE (adjusted incidence rate: 15.2 vs. 14.4 events per 1000 person-years; HR 1.07 [95% CI 1.01-1.15]), a similar risk of heart failure (6.0 vs. 6.0 events per 1000 person-years; HR 1.02 [0.92-1.12]), and a lower risk of serious renal events (2.9 vs. 4.0 events per 1000 person-years; HR 0.76 [0.66-0.87]). In as-treated analyses, the HR (95% CI) was 1.11 (1.00-1.24) for MACE, 0.88 (0.74-1.04) for heart failure, and 0.60 (0.47-0.77) for serious renal events. In secondary outcome analyses, use of SGLT2 inhibitors versus GLP-1 receptor agonists was not associated with statistically significant differences for the risk of myocardial infarction (HR 1.09 [95% CI 1.00-1.19]), cardiovascular death (HR 0.97 [95% CI 0.84-1.12]), death from renal causes (HR 0.75 [95% CI 0.41-1.35]), or any cause death (HR 1.01 [95% CI 0.94-1.09]), while the risk of stroke was higher (HR 1.14 [95% CI 1.03-1.26]), and the risk of renal replacement therapy (HR 0.74 [95% CI 0.56-0.97]) and hospitalization for renal events (HR 0.75 [95% CI 0.65-0.88]) were lower among users of SGLT2 inhibitors. CONCLUSIONS: Use of SGLT2 inhibitors versus GLP-1 receptor agonists was associated with a similar risk of heart failure and a lower risk of serious renal events, while use of GLP-1 receptor agonists versus SGLT2 inhibitors was associated with a slightly lower risk of MACE. In as-treated analyses, the associations with MACE and serious renal events increased in magnitude, and the HR for heart failure tended towards a protective association for SGLT2 inhibitors.

Use of incretin-based drugs and risk of cholangiocarcinoma: Scandinavian cohort study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Concerns have been raised regarding a potential association of use of the incretin-based drugs dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP4) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1)-receptor agonists with risk of cholangiocarcinoma. We examined this association in nationwide data from three countries. METHODS: We used data from nationwide registers in Sweden, Denmark and Norway, 2007-2018, to conduct two cohort studies, one for DPP4 inhibitors and one for GLP-1-receptor agonists, to investigate the risk of incident cholangiocarcinoma compared with an active-comparator drug class (sulfonylureas). The cohorts included patients initiating treatment episodes with DPP4 inhibitors vs sulfonylureas, and GLP-1-receptor agonists vs sulfonylureas. We used Cox regression models, adjusted for potential confounders, to estimate hazard ratios from day 366 after treatment initiation to account for cancer latency. RESULTS: The main analyses of DPP4 inhibitors included 1,414,144 person-years of follow-up from 222,577 patients receiving DPP4 inhibitors (median [IQR] follow-up time, 4.5 [2.6-7.0] years) and 123,908 patients receiving sulfonylureas (median [IQR] follow-up time, 5.1 [2.9-7.8] years) during which 350 cholangiocarcinoma events occurred. Use of DPP4 inhibitors, compared with sulfonylureas, was not associated with a statistically significant increase in risk of cholangiocarcinoma (incidence rate 26 vs 23 per 100,000 person-years; adjusted HR, 1.15 [95% CI 0.90, 1.46]; absolute rate difference 3 [95% CI -3, 10] events per 100,000 person-years). The main analyses of GLP-1-receptor agonists included 1,036,587 person-years of follow-up from 96,813 patients receiving GLP-1-receptor agonists (median [IQR] follow-up time, 4.4 [2.4-6.9] years) and 142,578 patients receiving sulfonylureas (median [IQR] follow-up time, 5.5 [3.2-8.1] years) during which 249 cholangiocarcinoma events occurred. Use of GLP-1-receptor agonists was not associated with a statistically significant increase in risk of cholangiocarcinoma (incidence rate 26 vs 23 per 100,000 person-years; adjusted HR, 1.25 [95% CI 0.89, 1.76]; absolute rate difference 3 [95% CI -5, 13] events per 100,000 patient-years). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: In this analysis using nationwide data from three countries, use of DPP4 inhibitors and GLP-1-receptor agonists, compared with sulfonylureas, was not associated with a significantly increased risk of cholangiocarcinoma.