Serum bile acid measurements in women of European and South Asian ethnicity with or without gestational diabetes mellitus: A cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Investigation of serum bile acid profiles in pregnancies complicated by gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in a multi-ethnic cohort of women who are lean or obese. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: UK multicentre study. POPULATION: Fasting serum from participants of European or South Asian self-reported ethnicity from the PRiDE study, between 23 and 31 weeks of gestation. METHODS: Bile acids were measured using ultra-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Log-transformed data were analysed using linear regression in STATA/IC 15.0. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Total bile acids (TBAs), C4, fasting glucose and insulin. RESULTS: The TBAs were 1.327-fold (1.105-1.594) increased with GDM in European women (P = 0.003). Women with GDM had 1.162-fold (1.002-1.347) increased levels of the BA synthesis marker C4 (P = 0.047). In South Asian women, obesity (but not GDM) increased TBAs 1.522-fold (1.193-1.942, P = 0.001). Obesity was associated with 1.420-fold (1.185-1.702) increased primary/secondary BA ratio (P < 0.001) related to 1.355-fold (1.140-1.611) increased primary BA concentrations (P = 0.001). TBAs were positively correlated with fasting glucose (P = 0.039) in all women, and with insulin (P = 0.001) and the Homeostatic Model Assessment for Insulin Resistance (HOMA-IR) (P = 0.001) in women with GDM. CONCLUSIONS: Serum BA homeostasis in late gestation depends on body mass index and GDM in ethnicity-specific ways. This suggests ethnicity-specific aetiologies may contribute to metabolic risk in European and South Asian women, with the relationship between BAs and insulin resistance of greater importance in European women. Further studies into ethnicity-specific precision medicine for GDM are required.

Prediction of postpartum prediabetes by machine learning methods in women with gestational diabetes mellitus.

Early onset of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease are common complications for women diagnosed with gestational diabetes. Prediabetes refers to a condition in which blood glucose levels are higher than normal, but not yet high enough to be diagnosed as type 2 diabetes. Currently, there is no accurate way of knowing which women with gestational diabetes are likely to develop postpartum prediabetes. This study aims to predict the risk of postpartum prediabetes in women diagnosed with gestational diabetes. Our sparse logistic regression approach selects only two variables - antenatal fasting glucose at OGTT and HbA1c soon after the diagnosis of GDM - as relevant, but gives an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.72, outperforming all other methods. We envision this to be a practical solution, which coupled with a targeted follow-up of high-risk women, could yield better cardiometabolic outcomes in women with a history of GDM.

Machine learning prediction of non-attendance to postpartum glucose screening and subsequent risk of type 2 diabetes following gestational diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the present study was to identify the factors associated with non-attendance of immediate postpartum glucose test using a machine learning algorithm following gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) pregnancy. METHOD: A retrospective cohort study of all GDM women (n = 607) for postpartum glucose test due between January 2016 and December 2019 at the George Eliot Hospital NHS Trust, UK. RESULTS: Sixty-five percent of women attended postpartum glucose test. Type 2 diabetes was diagnosed in 2.8% and 21.6% had persistent dysglycaemia at 6-13 weeks post-delivery. Those who did not attend postpartum glucose test seem to be younger, multiparous, obese, and continued to smoke during pregnancy. They also had higher fasting glucose at antenatal oral glucose tolerance test. Our machine learning algorithm predicted postpartum glucose non-attendance with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.72. The model could achieve a sensitivity of 70% with 66% specificity at a risk score threshold of 0.46. A total of 233 (38.4%) women attended subsequent glucose test at least once within the first two years of delivery and 24% had dysglycaemia. Compared to women who attended postpartum glucose test, those who did not attend had higher conversion rate to type 2 diabetes (2.5% vs 11.4%; p = 0.005). CONCLUSION: Postpartum screening following GDM is still poor. Women who did not attend postpartum screening appear to have higher metabolic risk and higher conversion to type 2 diabetes by two years post-delivery. Machine learning model can predict women who are unlikely to attend postpartum glucose test using simple antenatal factors. Enhanced, personalised education of these women may improve postpartum glucose screening.

Sulfated Progesterone Metabolites That Enhance Insulin Secretion via TRPM3 Are Reduced in Serum From Women With Gestational Diabetes Mellitus.

Serum progesterone sulfates were evaluated in the etiology of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). Serum progesterone sulfates were measured using ultra-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry in four patient cohorts: 1) the Hyperglycemia and Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes study; 2) London-based women of mixed ancestry and 3) U.K.-based women of European ancestry with or without GDM; and 4) 11-13 weeks pregnant women with BMI ≤25 or BMI ≥35 kg/m2 with subsequent uncomplicated pregnancies or GDM. Glucose-stimulated insulin secretion (GSIS) was evaluated in response to progesterone sulfates in mouse islets and human islets. Calcium fluorescence was measured in HEK293 cells expressing transient receptor potential cation channel subfamily M member 3 (TRPM3). Computer modeling using Molecular Operating Environment generated three-dimensional structures of TRPM3. Epiallopregnanolone sulfate (PM5S) concentrations were reduced in GDM (P < 0.05), in women with higher fasting plasma glucose (P < 0.010), and in early pregnancy samples from women who subsequently developed GDM with BMI ≥35 kg/m2 (P < 0.05). In islets, 50 µmol/L PM5S increased GSIS by at least twofold (P < 0.001); isosakuranetin (TRPM3 inhibitor) abolished this effect. PM5S increased calcium influx in TRPM3-expressing HEK293 cells. Computer modeling and docking showed identical positioning of PM5S to the natural ligand in TRPM3. PM5S increases GSIS and is reduced in GDM serum. The activation of GSIS by PM5S is mediated by TRPM3 in both mouse and human islets.