The JAK1/2 inhibitor ruxolitinib in patients with COVID-19 triggered hyperinflammation: the RuxCoFlam trial.

Dysregulated hyperinflammatory response is key in the pathogenesis in patients with severe COVID-19 leading to acute respiratory distress syndrome and multiorgan failure. Whilst immunosuppression has been proven to be effective, potential biological targets and optimal timing of treatment are still conflicting. We sought to evaluate efficacy and safety of the Janus Kinase 1/2 inhibitor ruxolitinib, employing the previously developed COVID-19 Inflammation Score (CIS) in a prospective multicenter open label phase II trial (NCT04338958). Primary objective was reversal of hyperinflammation (CIS reduction of ≥25% at day 7 in ≥20% of patients). In 184 patients with a CIS of ≥10 (median 12) ruxolitinib was commenced at an initial dose of 10 mg twice daily and applied over a median of 14 days (range, 2-31). On day 7, median CIS declined to 6 (range, 1-13); 71% of patients (CI 64-77%) achieved a ≥25% CIS reduction accompanied by a reduction of markers of inflammation. Median cumulative dose was 272.5 mg/d. Treatment was well tolerated without any grade 3-5 adverse events related to ruxolitinib. Forty-four patients (23.9%) died, all without reported association to study drug. In conclusion, ruxolitinib proved to be safe and effective in a cohort of COVID-19 patients with defined hyperinflammation.

Regional deep hyperthermia: quantitative evaluation of predicted and direct measured temperature distributions in patients with high-risk extremity soft-tissue sarcoma.

BACKGROUND: Temperature distributions resulting from hyperthermia treatment of patients with high-risk soft-tissue sarcoma (STS) were quantitatively evaluated and globally compared with thermal simulations performed by a treatment planning system. The aim was to test whether the treatment planning system was able to predict correct temperature distributions. METHODS: Five patients underwent computed tomography (CT) fluoroscopy-guided placement of tumor catheters used for the interstitial temperature measurements. For the simulations, five 3 D patient models were reconstructed by segmenting the patient CT datasets into different tissues. The measured and simulated data were evaluated by calculating the temperature change ( ΔT ), T90, T50, T20, Tmean, Tmin and Tmax, as well as the 90th percentile thermal dose (CEM43T90). In order to measure the agreement between both methods quantitatively, the Bland-Altman analysis was applied. RESULTS: The absolute difference between measured and simulated temperatures were found to be 2°, 6°, 1°, 4°, 5° and 4 °C on average for Tmin, Tmax, T90, T50, T20 and Tmean, respectively. Furthermore, the thermal simulations exhibited relatively higher thermal dose compared to those that were measured. Finally, the results of the Bland-Altman analysis showed that the mean difference between both methods was above 2 °C which is considered to be clinically unacceptable. CONCLUSION: Given the current practical limitations on resolution of calculation grid, tissue properties, and perfusion information, the software SigmaHyperPlan™ is incapable to produce thermal simulations with sufficient correlation to typically heterogeneous tissue temperatures to be useful for clinical treatment planning.

Diagnostic value of cerebrospinal fluid CXCL13 for acute Lyme neuroborreliosis. A systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: The utility of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) CXCL13 for diagnosis of acute Lyme neuroborreliosis (LNB) has been debated and the test is not yet routinely performed. This study's aim was to evaluate its overall diagnostic accuracy through meta-analysis. METHODS: Electronic searches in PubMed MEDLINE and Web of Science were performed to identify relevant articles published before January 2018. A summary receiver operating characteristic curve and an optimal cut-off were estimated modelling multiple cut-offs. Publication bias was evaluated using a funnel plot and the associated regression test. RESULTS: A total of 18 studies involving 618 individuals with acute LNB and 2326 individuals with other neurological disorders meeting the eligibility criteria were identified. The pooled sensitivity for CSF CXCL13 was 89% (95% CI 85%-93%) and the pooled specificity was 96% (95% CI 92%-98%), using the identified optimal cut-off value of 162 pg/mL. There was marked heterogeneity between studies, caused by differences in the designs of the study populations and age distribution. The optimal cut-off in the seven studies with a cross-sectional design was 91 pg/mL (sensitivity 96%, 95% CI 92%-98%; specificity 94%, 95% CI 86%-97%) and in the 11 case-control studies it was 164 pg/mL (sensitivity 85%, 95% CI 78%-91%; specificity 95%, 95% CI 90%-98%). CSF CXCL13 values above the optimal cut-off level (determined in this meta-analysis) were also detectable in some other central nervous system disorders, namely neurosyphilis and central nervous system lymphoma. CONCLUSIONS: Our meta-analysis shows that CSF CXCL13 has the potential to become a useful adjunct in the diagnosis of acute LNB.

Expression of the CTLA-4 ligand CD86 on plasmacytoid dendritic cells (pDC) predicts risk of disease recurrence after treatment discontinuation in CML.

This corrects the article DOI: 10.1038/leu.2017.9.

Assessment of imatinib as first-line treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia: 10-year survival results of the randomized CML study IV and impact of non-CML determinants.

Chronic myeloid leukemia (CML)-study IV was designed to explore whether treatment with imatinib (IM) at 400 mg/day (n=400) could be optimized by doubling the dose (n=420), adding interferon (IFN) (n=430) or cytarabine (n=158) or using IM after IFN-failure (n=128). From July 2002 to March 2012, 1551 newly diagnosed patients in chronic phase were randomized into a 5-arm study. The study was powered to detect a survival difference of 5% at 5 years. After a median observation time of 9.5 years, 10-year overall survival was 82%, 10-year progression-free survival was 80% and 10-year relative survival was 92%. Survival between IM400 mg and any experimental arm was not different. In a multivariate analysis, risk group, major-route chromosomal aberrations, comorbidities, smoking and treatment center (academic vs other) influenced survival significantly, but not any form of treatment optimization. Patients reaching the molecular response milestones at 3, 6 and 12 months had a significant survival advantage. For responders, monotherapy with IM400 mg provides a close to normal life expectancy independent of the time to response. Survival is more determined by patients' and disease factors than by initial treatment selection. Although improvements are also needed for refractory disease, more life-time can currently be gained by carefully addressing non-CML determinants of survival.

Expression of the CTLA-4 ligand CD86 on plasmacytoid dendritic cells (pDC) predicts risk of disease recurrence after treatment discontinuation in CML.

It is unknown, why only a minority of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients sustains treatment free remission (TFR) after discontinuation of tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapy in deep molecular remission (MR). Here we studied, whether expression of the T-cell inhibitory receptor (CTLA-4)-ligand CD86 (B7.2) on plasmacytoid dendritic cells (pDC) affects relapse risk after TKI cessation. CML patients in MR displayed significantly higher CD86+pDC frequencies than normal donors (P<0.0024), whereas TFR patients had consistently low CD86+pDC (n=12). This suggested that low CD86+pDC might be predictive of TFR. Indeed, in a prospective analysis of 122 patients discontinuing their TKI within the EURO-SKI trial, the one-year relapse-free survival (RFS) was 30.1% (95% CI 15.6-47.9) for patients with >95 CD86+pDC per 105 lymphocytes, but 70.0% (95% CI 59.3-78.3) for patients with <95 CD86+pDC (hazard ratio (HR) 3.4, 95%-CI: 1.9-6.0; P<0.0001). Moreover, only patients with <95 CD86+pDC derived a significant benefit from longer (>8 years) TKI exposure before discontinuation (HR 0.3, 95% CI 0.1-0.8; P=0.0263). High CD86+pDC counts significantly correlated with leukemia-specific CD8+ T-cell exhaustion (Spearman correlation: 0.74, 95%-CI: 0.21-0.92; P=0.0098). Our data demonstrate that CML patients with high CD86+pDC counts have a higher risk of relapse after TKI discontinuation.

Secondary malignancies in chronic myeloid leukemia patients after imatinib-based treatment: long-term observation in CML Study IV.

Treatment of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) has been profoundly improved by the introduction of tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). Long-term survival with imatinib is excellent with a 8-year survival rate of ∼88%. Long-term toxicity of TKI treatment, especially carcinogenicity, has become a concern. We analyzed data of the CML study IV for the development of secondary malignancies. In total, 67 secondary malignancies were found in 64 of 1525 CML patients in chronic phase treated with TKI (n=61) and interferon-α only (n=3). The most common malignancies (n⩾4) were prostate, colorectal and lung cancer, non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL), malignant melanoma, non-melanoma skin tumors and breast cancer. The standardized incidence ratio (SIR) for all malignancies excluding non-melanoma skin tumors was 0.88 (95% confidence interval (0.63-1.20)) for men and 1.06 (95% CI 0.69-1.55) for women. SIRs were between 0.49 (95% CI 0.13-1.34) for colorectal cancer in men and 4.29 (95% CI 1.09-11.66) for NHL in women. The SIR for NHL was significantly increased for men and women. An increase in the incidence of secondary malignancies could not be ascertained. The increased SIR for NHL has to be considered and long-term follow-up of CML patients is warranted, as the rate of secondary malignancies may increase over time.

Prognosis of long-term survival considering disease-specific death in patients with chronic myeloid leukemia.

In patients with chronic myeloid leukemia (CML), first-line imatinib treatment leads to 8-year overall survival (OS) probabilities above 80%. Many patients die of reasons unrelated to CML. This work tackled the reassessment of prognosis under particular consideration of the probabilities of dying of CML. Analyses were based on 2290 patients with chronic phase CML treated with imatinib in six clinical trials. 'Death due to CML' was defined by death after disease progression. At 8 years, OS was 89%. Of 208 deceased patients, 44% died of CML. Higher age, more peripheral blasts, bigger spleen and low platelet counts were significantly associated with increased probabilities of dying of CML and determined a new long-term survival score with three prognostic groups. Compared with the low-risk group, the patients of the intermediate- and the high-risk group had significantly higher probabilities of dying of CML. The score was successfully validated in an independent sample of 1120 patients. In both samples, the new score differentiated probabilities of dying of CML better than the Sokal, Euro and the European Treatment and Outcome Study (EUTOS) score. The new score identified 61% low-risk patients with excellent long-term outcome and 12% high-risk patients. The new score supports the prospective assessment of long-term antileukemic efficacy and risk-adapted treatment.

Additional mutations in SRSF2, ASXL1 and/or RUNX1 identify a high-risk group of patients with KIT D816V(+) advanced systemic mastocytosis.

Most patients with KIT D816V(+) advanced systemic mastocytosis (SM) are characterized by somatic mutations in additional genes. We sought to clarify the prognostic impact of such mutations. Genotype and clinical characteristics of 70 multi-mutated KIT D816V(+) advanced SM patients were included in univariate and multivariate analyses. The most frequently identified mutated genes were TET2 (n=33 of 70 patients), SRSF2 (n=30), ASXL1 (n=20), RUNX1 (n=16) and JAK2 (n=11). In univariate analysis, overall survival (OS) was adversely influenced by mutations in SRSF2 (P<0.0001), ASXL1 (P=0.002) and RUNX1 (P=0.03), but was not influenced by mutations in TET2 or JAK2. In multivariate analysis, SRSF2 and ASXL1 remained the most predictive adverse indicators concerning OS. Furthermore, we found that inferior OS and adverse clinical characteristics were significantly influenced by the number of mutated genes in the SRSF2/ASXL1/RUNX1 (S/A/R) panel (P<0.0001). In conclusion, the presence and number of mutated genes within the S/A/R panel are adversely associated with advanced disease and poor survival in KIT D816V(+) SM. On the basis of these findings, inclusion of molecular markers should be considered in upcoming prognostic scoring systems for patients with SM.

Long-term outcome of patients with newly diagnosed chronic myeloid leukemia: a randomized comparison of stem cell transplantation with drug treatment.

Tyrosine kinase inhibitors represent today's treatment of choice in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) is regarded as salvage therapy. This prospective randomized CML-study IIIA recruited 669 patients with newly diagnosed CML between July 1997 and January 2004 from 143 centers. Of these, 427 patients were considered eligible for HSCT and were randomized by availability of a matched family donor between primary HSCT (group A; N=166 patients) and best available drug treatment (group B; N=261). Primary end point was long-term survival. Survival probabilities were not different between groups A and B (10-year survival: 0.76 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.69-0.82) vs 0.69 (95% CI: 0.61-0.76)), but influenced by disease and transplant risk. Patients with a low transplant risk showed superior survival compared with patients with high- (P<0.001) and non-high-risk disease (P=0.047) in group B; after entering blast crisis, survival was not different with or without HSCT. Significantly more patients in group A were in molecular remission (56% vs 39%; P=0.005) and free of drug treatment (56% vs 6%; P<0.001). Differences in symptoms and Karnofsky score were not significant. In the era of tyrosine kinase inhibitors, HSCT remains a valid option when both disease and transplant risk are considered.

Safety and efficacy of imatinib in CML over a period of 10 years: data from the randomized CML-study IV.

Tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) have changed the natural course of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). With the advent of second-generation TKI safety and efficacy issues have gained interest. The randomized CML - Study IV was used for a long-term evaluation of imatinib (IM). 1503 patients have received IM, 1379 IM monotherapy. After a median observation of 7.1 years, 965 patients (64%) still received IM. At 10 years, progression-free survival was 82%, overall survival 84%, 59% achieved MR(5), 72% MR(4.5), 81% MR(4), 89% major molecular remission and 92% MR(2) (molecular equivalent to complete cytogenetic remission). All response levels were reached faster with IM800 mg except MR(5). Eight-year probabilities of adverse drug reactions (ADR) were 76%, of grades 3-4 22%, of non-hematologic 73%, and of hematologic 28%. More ADR were observed with IM800 mg and IM400 mg plus interferon α (IFN). Most patients had their first ADR early with decreasing frequency later on. No new late toxicity was observed. ADR to IM are frequent, but mostly mild and manageable, also with IM 800 mg and IM 400 mg+IFN. The deep molecular response rates indicate that most patients are candidates for IM discontinuation. After 10 years, IM continues to be an excellent initial choice for most patients with CML.

Velocity of early BCR-ABL transcript elimination as an optimized predictor of outcome in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients in chronic phase on treatment with imatinib.

UNLABELLED: Early assessment of response at 3 months of tyrosine kinase inhibitor treatment has become an important tool to predict favorable outcome. We sought to investigate the impact of relative changes of BCR-ABL transcript levels within the initial 3 months of therapy. In order to achieve accurate data for high BCR-ABL levels at diagnosis, beta glucuronidase (GUS) was used as a reference gene. Within the German CML-Study IV, samples of 408 imatinib-treated patients were available in a single laboratory for both times, diagnosis and 3 months on treatment. In total, 301 of these were treatment-naïve at sample collection. RESULTS: (i) with regard to absolute transcript levels at diagnosis, no predictive cutoff could be identified; (ii) at 3 months, an individual reduction of BCR-ABL transcripts to the 0.35-fold of baseline level (0.46-log reduction, that is, roughly half-log) separated best (high risk: 16% of patients, 5-year overall survival (OS) 83% vs 98%, hazard ratio (HR) 6.3, P=0.001); (iii) at 3 months, a 6% BCR-ABL(IS) cutoff derived from BCR-ABL/GUS yielded a good and sensitive discrimination (high risk: 22% of patients, 5-year OS 85% vs 98%, HR 6.1, P=0.002). Patients at risk of disease progression can be identified precisely by the lack of a half-log reduction of BCR-ABL transcripts at 3 months.

The EUTOS prognostic score: review and validation in 1288 patients with CML treated frontline with imatinib.

The introduction of tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKI) in the treatment of Philadelphia chromosome-positive (Ph+) chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) has revolutionized the outcome, but the prognosis of the disease is still based on prognostic systems that were developed in the era of conventional chemotherapy and interferon (IFN)-alfa. A new prognostic score including only two variables, spleen size and basophils, was developed for the prediction of complete cytogenetic response (CCyR) and progression-free survival (PFS). The score was based on a large series of patients who were enrolled in prospective multicenter studies of first-line imatinib treatment. The prognostic value of the EUTOS (European Treatment and Outcome Study for CML) score has now been tested in an independent, multicenter, multinational series of 1288 patients who were treated first-line with imatinib outside prospective studies. It was found that also in these patients, the EUTOS prognostic score was predictive for CCyR, PFS and overall survival (OS). In addition, the prognostic value of the score was reported to be significant in seven of the eight other independent studies of almost 2000 patients that were performed in Europe, the Americas and Asia. The EUTOS risk score is a valid tool for the prediction of the therapeutic effects of TKI, particularly imatinib.

Early molecular and cytogenetic response is predictive for long-term progression-free and overall survival in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML).

In the face of competing first-line treatment options for CML, early prediction of prognosis on imatinib is desirable to assure favorable survival or otherwise consider the use of a second-generation tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI). A total of 1303 newly diagnosed imatinib-treated patients (pts) were investigated to correlate molecular and cytogenetic response at 3 and 6 months with progression-free and overall survival (PFS, OS). The persistence of BCR-ABL transcript levels >10% according to the international scale (BCR-ABL(IS)) at 3 months separated a high-risk group (28% of pts; 5-year OS: 87%) from a group with >1-10% BCR-ABL(IS) (41% of pts; 5-year OS: 94%; P=0.012) and from a group with ≤1% BCR-ABL(IS) (31% of pts; 5-year OS: 97%; P=0.004). Cytogenetics identified high-risk pts by >35% Philadelphia chromosome-positive metaphases (Ph+, 27% of pts; 5-year OS: 87%) compared with ≤35% Ph+ (73% of pts; 5-year OS: 95%; P=0.036). At 6 months, >1% BCR-ABL(IS) (37% of pts; 5-year OS: 89%) was associated with inferior survival compared with ≤1% (63% of pts; 5-year OS: 97%; P<0.001) and correspondingly >0% Ph+ (34% of pts; 5-year OS: 91%) compared with 0% Ph+ (66% of pts; 5-year OS: 97%; P=0.015). Treatment optimization is recommended for pts missing these landmarks.

Recommendations to meet statistical challenges arising from endpoints beyond overall survival in clinical trials on chronic myeloid leukemia.

The aim of this work was to provide guidelines for appropriate statistical analyses regarding most common endpoints in clinical trials on chronic myeloid leukemia: hematologic, cytogenetic and molecular results, failure-free and event-free survival, and progression-free and overall survival. The reasons for the specified recommendations are explained and important issues are outlined by comprehensive examples. Particular attention is paid to the warning of the application of suboptimal methods that may lead to seriously biased results and conclusions. In the presence of a competing risk like death, Kaplan-Meier analysis should not be applied for time-to-remission endpoints. The appropriate method to estimate the probabilities of a time-to-remission endpoint is the calculation of its cumulative incidence function. However, the exact date of remission is hardly known. Detection of remission depends strongly on evaluation frequencies. Complex composite endpoints comprising many events with considerably heterogeneous severity imply difficulties with interpretation. Time-to-remission and complex composite endpoints are not recommended for primary judgment on efficacy. It is rather advisable to investigate remission status at a fixed time point as a primary endpoint, followed by progression-free and overall survival. For patients with the intended remission success at the time point of interest, relapse-free survival provides an additional primary outcome.

Risk stratification using a new prognostic score for patients with secondary acute myeloid leukemia: results of the prospective AML96 trial.

Patients with secondary acute myeloid leukemia (sAML) are generally thought to have a poor prognosis. As there are no prognostic risk stratification models for patients with sAML available, the aim of this study was to obtain a scoring system. Prognostic factors influencing overall survival (OS) and event-free survival (EFS) were analyzed in 305 sAML patients treated in the prospective AML96 trial. The obtained prognostic scoring system was then validated in an independent patient cohort included in the AML2003 and AML60+ trials. In addition to the known risk factors for AML, age and karyotype, we identified the absolute platelet count and the Nucleophosmin 1 mutational status at diagnosis as prognostic factors of sAML patients. A pronounced distribution of sAML patients into three score groups was achieved showing a 2-year OS/EFS of 52/44% for patients in the low-risk group, 21/12% in the intermediate-risk group and 7/3% in the high-risk group (both P<0.001). Validation of this scoring system in a second independent set of sAML patients revealed similar significantly different survival results. In conclusion, for the first time, a prognostic scoring system is provided for sAML patients, allowing differential treatment strategies in the future.

A MDR1 (ABCB1) gene single nucleotide polymorphism predicts outcome of temozolomide treatment in glioblastoma patients.

BACKGROUND: Some patients with glioblastoma multiform do not respond to temozolomide even though they have aberrant promoter methylation of the DNA repair enzyme O(6)-methylguanine methyltransferase (MGMT). This suggests that additional factors hamper temozolomide cytotoxicity. We aimed to confirm first that temozolomide is a target for the multidrug resistance transporter MDR1/ABCB1 and second to investigate whether genetic variants of the MDR1 gene are associated with the survival of glioblastoma patients treated with temozolomide. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Temozolomide-mediated cytotoxicity was determined by the colorimetric methyl-thiazol-tetrazolium assay in MDR-expressing and MDR-nonexpressing cell lines. Genotypes of three single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of the MDR1 gene (C1236T, G2677T, and C3435T), MDR1 mRNA expression levels, and the MGMT promoter methylation status were analyzed in 112 glioblastoma patients who had been treated either by surgery plus radiotherapy alone or by additional temozolomide chemotherapy. RESULTS: In vitro analysis revealed that temozolomide-mediated cytotoxicity is dependent on MDR1 expression. Multivariate analysis of MDR1 genotypes showed that the C/C variant of the exon12 C1236T SNP is predictive for survival of patients treated with temozolomide. This effect was independent of the MGMT methylation status. Patients with the C/C genotype had a 2-year overall survival of 37% compared with 8% and 10% for patients with C/T and T/T genotypes, respectively (P=0.02). No influence was seen in the group of patients with radiotherapy only. CONCLUSION: The genotype of the MDR1 exon12 C1236T SNP is a novel independent predictive factor for outcome of temozolomide treatment in glioblastoma patients.

Cytogenetic response to prior treatment with interferon-alpha is predictive for survival after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in chronic myeloid leukemia.

We investigated the impact of a cytogenetic response (CyR) to IFN prior to and at the time of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) on transplant-related mortality (TRM), relapse rate and survival probability after HSCT in 162 transplanted patients with chronic myeloid leukemia. One-hundred-one patients (62.3%) achieved a CyR prior to HSCT. Survival probabilities were higher in patients, who achieved any CyR prior to HSCT than in patients without CyR (63.6 vs 49.2%: P = 0.019). Survival probabilities in patients, who achieved a major CyR were better than in patients with minimal and minor CyR or in patients with no CyR (69.4 vs 58.8% vs 49.2%: P = 0.040). TRM and survival of chronic phase patients without CyR at the time of HSCT were similar to that of patients transplanted in advanced phase. Both groups combined had an outcome inferior to patients with at least minimal CyR (TRM, Gray test: P = 0.016, survival, log-rank test: P = 0.002). Univariate and multivariate analyses identified CyR prior to or at HSCT as a strong and independently favorable prognostic factor. We therefore conclude that allogeneic HSCT in CyR should be investigated prospectively as an alternative treatment option in defined patient groups.

A simulation study using validated prognostic factors to assess expected long-term survival.

OBJECTIVES: In chronic myeloid leukemia, after promising results in major cytogenetic remission (MCR), long-term survival data on imatinib treatment is of particular interest, especially in relation to former standard treatment based on interferon-alpha. However, data is still unavailable and due to high remission rates, most patients randomized to interferon-alpha in a clinical trial crossed over to imatinib. Therefore, to assess the expected long-term survival advantage with imatinib, a simulation study based on prognostic factors validated for interferon-alpha treatment was performed. METHODS: In interferon-alpha-treated patients with intermediate-risk and low-risk according to the established New CML score, survival probabilities of patients with MCR were significantly higher than those of patients without MCR. Three samples with simulated survival data for imatinib-treated intermediate-risk patients were constituted by randomly drawing varying percentages of their survival times from interferon-alpha-treated intermediate-risk patients with MCR and the remaining data from intermediate-risk patients without MCR. The same procedure was applied to low-risk patients. RESULTS: The 10-year survival probabilities of inter-feron-alpha-treated intermediate-risk and low-risk patients were 0.22 and 0.37. In the simulated samples, when 80%, 65%, and 50% of survival times were as favorable as for interferon-alpha-treated patients with MCR, respectively, the corresponding survival probabilities were 0.43 and 0.57, 0.36 and 0.49, and 0.30 and 0.42. CONCLUSIONS: In all simulation samples, increments of survival probabilities by imatinib were predicted, although survival probabilities of patients with MCR were assumed to be lower than with interferon-alpha. Prognosticated survival advantage with imatinib is backed by increasing observation time of imatinib-treated patients in real studies.

Gender aspects in chronic myeloid leukemia: long-term results from randomized studies.

Gender-related aspects in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) have not been studied well. We therefore analyzed 856 patients with Ph/BCR-ABL-positive CML from the German randomized CML-studies I (interferon alpha (IFN) vs hydroxyurea (HU) vs busulfan) and II (IFN+HU vs HU alone). The median observation time was 8.6 years. A total of 503 patients (59%) were male. Female patients were older (51 vs 46 years; P<0.0001), presented with lower hemoglobin (11.7 vs 12.5 g/dl; P<0.0001), higher platelet counts (459 vs 355 x 10(9)/l; P<0.0001), smaller spleen size (3 vs 4 cm below costal margin; P=0.0097), a lower rate of additional cytogenetic aberrations (9 vs 15%; P=0.018) and a less favorable risk profile (P=0.036). The transplantation rate was 14% for female (n=48) and 22% for male patients (n=113). Median survival was longer in female patients (58 vs 49 months; P=0.035) mainly attributable to better survival in the low- and intermediate-risk groups and, independent from risk groups, in the HU group. These results were confirmed by matched-pair analyses based on German population data (n=496, 59 vs 45 months; P=0.0006). This is the first analysis of gender aspects in CML using randomized trials. It demonstrates the relevance of analyses of gender differences in CML and in malignant disease at large.