Increases and decreases in liver stiffness measurements are independently associated with the risk of liver-related events in NAFLD.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The clinical significance of change in liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in patients with NAFLD is not well-understood. We prospectively defined rates of progression to and regression from LSM-defined compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) and their associations with liver-related events (LRE). METHODS: Participants in the NASH Clinical Research Network NAFLD Database 2 and 3 studies were included. Progression to cACLD was defined as reaching LSM ≥10 kPa in participants with LSM < 10 kPa on initial VCTE; regression from cACLD was defined as reaching LSM < 10 kPa in participants with baseline LSM ≥ 10 kPa. LRE was defined ≥1 of the following: liver-related death, liver transplant, hepatocellular carcinoma, MELD>15, development of varices, or hepatic decompensation. Univariate and multivariable interval-censored Cox regression analyses were used to compare the cumulative LRE probability by LSM progression and regression status. RESULTS: In 1,403 participants, 89 LRE developed over a mean follow-up of 4.4 years with an LRE annual incidence rate of 1.5 (95% CI: 1.2-1.8). In participants at risk, progression to LSM ≥10 or ≥15 kPa occurred in 29% and 17%, whereas regression to LSM <10 or <15 Kpa occurred in 44% and 49%. Progressors to cACLD (≥10 kPa) experienced a higher cumulative LRE rate versus non-progressors [16% vs 4%, Adj.HR: 3.8, 95% CI [2.3-6.5], P < 0.01]. Regressors from cACLD (to LSM <10 kPA) experienced a lower LRE rate than non-regressors [7% vs 32%%, Adj.HR: 0.25, 95% CI [0.10-0.61], P < 0.01] CONCLUSIONS: Change in LSM over time is independently and bi-directionally associated with risk of LRE and is a non-invasive surrogate for clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD. (Word count: 275) IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: The prognostic value of change in LSM in patients with NAFLD is not well understood. In this large prospective study of patients with NAFLD and serial VCTE exams, baseline and dynamic changes in LSM were associated with the risk of developing liver-related events. LSM is a useful non-invasive surrogate of clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD.

Clinical Outcomes After Tracheostomy in Children With Single Ventricle Physiology: Collaborative Research From the Pediatric Cardiac Intensive Care Society Multicenter Cohort, 2010-2021.

OBJECTIVES: Multicenter studies reporting outcomes following tracheostomy in children with congenital heart disease are limited, particularly in patients with single ventricle physiology. We aimed to describe clinical characteristics and outcomes in a multicenter cohort of patients with single ventricle physiology who underwent tracheostomy before Fontan operation. DESIGN: Multicenter retrospective cohort study.SETTING: Twenty-one tertiary care pediatric institutions participating in the Collaborative Research from the Pediatric Cardiac Intensive Care Society. PATIENTS: We reviewed 99 children with single ventricle physiology who underwent tracheostomy before the Fontan operation at 21 institutions participating in Collaborative Research from the Pediatric Cardiac Intensive Care Society between January 2010 and December 2020, with follow-up through December 31, 2021. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Death occurred in 51 of 99 patients (52%). Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to determine factors associated with death after tracheostomy. Results are presented as hazard ratio (HR) with 95% CIs. Nonrespiratory indication(s) for tracheostomy (HR, 2.21; 95% CI, 1.14-4.32) and number of weeks receiving mechanical ventilation before tracheostomy (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02-1.11) were independently associated with greater hazard of death. In contrast, diagnosis of tricuspid atresia or Ebstein's anomaly was associated with less hazard of death (HR, 0.16; 95% CI, 0.04-0.69). Favorable outcome, defined as survival to Fontan operation or decannulation while awaiting Fontan operation with viable cardiopulmonary physiology, occurred in 29 of 99 patients (29%). Median duration of mechanical ventilation before tracheostomy was shorter in patients who survived to favorable outcome (6.1 vs. 12.1 wk; p < 0.001), and only one of 16 patients with neurologic indications for tracheostomy and 0 of ten patients with cardiac indications for tracheostomy survived to favorable outcome. CONCLUSIONS: For children with single ventricle physiology who undergo tracheostomy, mortality risk is high and should be carefully considered when discussing tracheostomy as an option for these children. Favorable outcomes are possible, although thoughtful attention to patient selection and tracheostomy timing are likely necessary to achieve this goal.

Patient acceptance of teleneurology across neurologic conditions.

INTRODUCTION: Patient acceptability with outpatient teleneurology has been reported within specific conditions, but less is known about acceptability across neurologic conditions. The study objective was to compare the acceptability of teleneurology between patients with various neurological conditions and determine what other factors influence acceptability. METHODS: This was a prospective study of Veterans who completed new outpatient teleneurology visits with the Department of Veterans Affairs National Teleneurology Program. Visits were conducted via video to home or video to the outpatient clinic. Patient acceptability was assessed via telephone interview two weeks post-visit. Acceptability was a summed score (3-21) of three 7-point Likert questions (higher = more acceptable). Clinical diagnosis categories were based on the neurologists' ICD10 diagnosis code. Acceptability score was modeled using a censored Tobit model controlling for demographics, type of tele-visit, medical comorbidity, and ICD10 category. RESULTS: In FY 2021, 277 of 637 (43.5%) patients completed an interview with analyzable acceptability data. Of these 277, 70 (25.3%) had codes indicating headache, 46 (16.6%) movement disorder, 45 (16.2%) general symptoms, and 116 (41.9%) for all other categories. Mean patient acceptability was 18.3 (SD 3.2). There was no significant difference in scores between these groups. The only factor independently related to acceptability was medical comorbidity, with higher comorbidity associated with higher acceptability scores. DISCUSSION: Patients find their outpatient teleneurology experience highly acceptable independent of neurologic condition. Those with more comorbidity report higher acceptability. Use of teleneurology may be useful and acceptable across many outpatient neurologic conditions including for more medically complex patients.

Immunocompromised-Associated Pediatric Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome: Experience From the 2016/2017 Pediatric Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Incidence and Epidemiology Prospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: To characterize immunocompromised-associated pediatric acute respiratory distress syndrome (I-PARDS) and contrast it to PARDS. DESIGN: This is a secondary analysis of the 2016-2017 PARDS incidence and epidemiology (PARDIE) study, a prospective observational, cross-sectional study of children with PARDS. SETTING: Dataset of 145 PICUs across 27 countries. PATIENTS: During 10 nonconsecutive weeks (from May 2016 to June 2017), data about immunocompromising conditions (ICCs, defined as malignancy, congenital/acquired immunodeficiency, posttransplantation, or diseases requiring immunosuppression) were collected. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Of 708 subjects, 105 (14.8%) had ICC. Before the development of I-PARDS, those with ICC were more likely to be hospitalized (70% vs. 35%, p < 0.001), have more at-risk for PARDS ( p = 0.046), and spent more hours at-risk (20 [interquartile range, IQR: 8-46] vs. 11 [IQR: 4-33], [ p = 0.002]). Noninvasive ventilation (NIV) use was more common in those with ICC ( p < 0.001). Of those diagnosed with PARDS on NIV ( n = 161), children with ICC were more likely to be subsequently intubated ( n = 28/40 [70%] vs n = 53/121 [44%], p = 0.004). Severe PARDS was more common (32% vs 23%, p < 0.001) in I-PARDS. Oxygenation indices were higher at diagnosis and had less improvement over the first 3 days of PARDS ( p < 0.001). Children with I-PARDS had greater nonpulmonary organ dysfunction. Adjusting for Pediatric Risk of Mortality IV and oxygenation index, children with I-PARDS had a higher severity of illness-adjusted PICU mortality (adjusted hazard ratio: 3.0 [95% CI, 1.9-4.7] p < 0.001) and were less likely to be extubated alive within 28 days (subdistribution hazard ratio: 0.47 [95% CI, 0.31-0.71] p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: I-PARDS is a unique subtype of PARDS associated with hospitalization before diagnosis and increased: time at-risk for PARDS, NIV use, hypoxia, nonpulmonary organ dysfunction, and mortality. The opportunity for early detection and intervention seems to exist. Dedicated study in these patients is imperative to determine if targeted interventions will benefit these unique patients with the ultimate goal of improving outcomes.

Risk Factors Associated With Development of Multiple-Organ Dysfunction Syndrome After Pediatric Drowning.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to describe a single-center experience of pediatric drowning and to investigate risk factors associated with the development of pediatric multiple-organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) after drowning events. METHODS: A single-center retrospective case-control study was performed at a tertiary children's hospital examining patients aged 1 month to 25 years who were admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit after a drowning event. The study period was June 2016 to June 2021. Patients who developed MODS at day 1 of intensive care admission were compared with those who did not. RESULTS: A total of 48 patients with a median age of 2.3 years were included. Twenty-nine (60%) had MODS at 24 hours. Those with MODS at 24 hours were more likely to require cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), required longer duration of CPR, and had longer submersion times; otherwise, there were no differences in baseline characteristics. Those who developed MODS at 24 hours had longer lengths of stays, longer lengths of mechanical ventilation, and higher mortality. Multiple admission parameters were evaluated based on MODS-free survival at 24 hours. On univariable analysis, patients without MODS-free survival at 24 hours had higher rates of CPR, higher blood glucose on admission, higher illness severity scores, higher lactates, and lower Glasgow Coma Scale scores. A multivariable model was constructed using risk factors at presentation that were significant on univariable analysis; blood glucose greater than 200 mg/dL was associated with decreased odds of MODS-free survival at 24 hours after controlling for CPR administration of greater than 5 minutes and body temperature. CONCLUSIONS: Development of MODS in pediatric drowning is associated with worse patient outcomes. Hyperglycemia was identified as a potentially modifiable risk factor for the development of MODS at 24 hours and could serve as a useful prognostic parameter in this unique patient population.

Significant Dose-Response Association of Physical Activity and Diet Quality With Mortality in Adults With Suspected NAFLD in a Population Study.

INTRODUCTION: We aimed to determine whether higher levels (volume and intensity) of physical activity (PA) and diet quality (DQ) are associated with better survival rates in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS: Using data from the 2011-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 3,548 participants with a Fatty Liver Index ≥60 were included. PA was collected using a wrist-worn triaxial accelerometer and expressed as 2 metrics using Monitor-Independent Movement Summary (MIMS) units: the average of daily MIMS, which represents volume, and peak 30-minute MIMS, which is the average of the highest 30 MIMS min/d and represents intensity. DQ was assessed by the Healthy Eating Index-2015. Mortality follow-up was recorded using the National Death Index linkage through December 31, 2019. RESULTS: Our analyses revealed a dose-dependent, nonlinear association of PA (volume and intensity) with all-cause mortality and a dose-dependent, linear association of DQ with all-cause mortality. The maximum protective dose of PA volume was observed at 14,300 MIMS/min (adj. HR: 0.20, 95% CI: 0.11-0.38). The maximum protective dose of PA intensity was observed at 54.25 MIMS/min (adj. HR: 0.10, 95% CI: 0.05-0.23), beyond which mortality risks flattened. The Healthy Eating Index-2015 showed its maximum protective effect at 66.17 (adj. HR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.40-0.74). Higher PA (volume and intensity) levels were associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular-related but not cancer-related mortality. A healthier diet was linked to a reduced risk of cardiovascular-specific and cancer-specific mortality. Sensitivity analyses showed that the beneficial effects of PA and DQ on survival rates remained significant across sex, racial/ethnic, and age groups as well as in participants without NAFLD. DISCUSSION: Our findings suggest that higher daily accumulated and peak effort PA and DQ are associated with lower all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in US adults with NAFLD.

The prognostic impact of acute kidney injury recovery patterns in critically ill patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic impact of acute kidney injury (AKI) recovery patterns in critically ill patients with cirrhosis is unknown. We aimed to compare mortality stratified by AKI recovery patterns and identify predictors of mortality in patients with cirrhosis and AKI admitted to the intensive care unit. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patients with cirrhosis and AKI from 2016 to 2018 at 2 tertiary care intensive care units were analyzed (N=322). AKI recovery was defined by Acute Disease Quality Initiative consensus: return of serum creatinine <0.3 mg/dL of baseline within 7 days of AKI onset. Recovery patterns were categorized by Acute Disease Quality Initiative consensus: 0-2 days, 3-7 days, and no-recovery (persistence of AKI >7 d). Landmark competing risk univariable and multivariable models (liver transplant as competing risk) was used to compare 90-day mortality between AKI recovery groups and to determine independent predictors of mortality. RESULTS: Sixteen percent (N=50) and 27% (N=88) achieved AKI recovery within 0-2 and 3-7 days, respectively; 57% (N=184) had no-recovery. Acute on chronic liver failure was prevalent (83%) and patients with no-recovery were more likely to have grade 3 acute on chronic liver failure (N=95, 52%) compared to patients with AKI recovery [0-2: 16% (N=8); 3-7: 26% (N=23); p<0.001]. Patients with no-recovery had significantly higher probability of mortality [unadjusted-sub-HR (sHR): 3.55; 95% CI: 1.94-6.49; p<0.001] compared to patients with recovery within 0-2 days, while the probability was similar between 3-7 and 0-2 days (unadjusted-sub-HR: 1.71; 95% CI: 0.91-3.20; p=0.09). On multivariable analysis, AKI no-recovery (sub-HR: 2.07; 95% CI: 1.33-3.24; p=0.001), severe alcohol-associated hepatitis (sub-HR: 2.41; 95% CI: 1.20-4.83; p=0.01), and ascites (sub-HR: 1.60; 95% CI: 1.05-2.44; p=0.03) were independently associated with mortality. CONCLUSION: AKI no-recovery occurs in over half of critically ill patients with cirrhosis and AKI and is associated with worse survival. Interventions that facilitate AKI recovery may improve outcomes in this patient population.

Improving Outcomes for Bronchiolitis Patients After Implementing a High-Flow Nasal Cannula Holiday and Standardizing Discharge Criteria in a PICU.

OBJECTIVES: To decrease length of high-flow nasal cannula (HFNC), PICU, and hospital length of stay (LOS). DESIGN: Quality improvement project. SETTING: A quaternary academic PICU. PATIENTS: Patients with bronchiolitis less than 24 months old. INTERVENTIONS: After initial implementation of a respiratory therapist (RT)-driven HFNC protocol (Plan-Do-Study-Act [PDSA] 1) in October 2017, additional interventions included adjusting HFNC wean rate (PDSA 2) in July 2020, a HFNC holiday (PDSA 3), and standardized discharge criteria (PDSA 4) in October 2021. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Duration of HFNC was used as the primary outcome measure. PICU LOS and hospital LOS were used as secondary outcome measures. Noninvasive ventilation use, invasive mechanical ventilation use, and 7-day PICU and hospital readmission rates were used as balancing measures. A total of 1,310 patients were included in this study. Patients in PDSA 2, PDSA 3 and 4 groups were older compared with pre-intervention and PDSA 1 (median of 9 and 10 mo compared with 8 mo; p = 0.01). HFNC duration decreased from 2.5 to 1.8 days after PDSA 1, then to 1.3 days after PDSA 2. PICU LOS decreased from 2.6 to 2.1 days after PDSA 1, 1.8 days after PDSA 2, and 1.5 days after PDSA 3 and 4. Hospital LOS decreased from 5.7 to 4.5 days after PDSA 1, 3.1 days after PDSA 2, and 2.7 days after PDSA 3 and 4. The use of noninvasive ventilation and invasive mechanical ventilation decreased throughout the study from 23.2% in the pre-intervention group, to 6.9% at the end of the project. The 7-day PICU and hospital readmission rates did not increase after implementation. The percentage of patients discharged from the PICU increased from 6.2% to 21.5%. CONCLUSIONS: Modifications to an existing RT-driven HFNC protocol and standardization of discharge criteria led to an improvement in outcomes for patients admitted to the PICU with bronchiolitis without an increase in adverse events.

Critical Care and Mechanical Ventilation Practices Surrounding Liver Transplantation in Children: A Multicenter Collaborative.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine which characteristics and management approaches were associated with postoperative invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) and with a prolonged course of IMV in children post liver transplant as well as describing the utilization of critical care resources. DESIGN: Retrospective, multicenter, cohort study of children who underwent an isolated liver transplantation between January 2017 and December 2018. SETTING: Twelve U.S., pediatric, liver transplant centers. PATIENTS: Three hundred thirty children post liver transplant admitted to the ICU. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Six patients died in our cohort. The median length of PICU stay was 4.5 days (interquartile range [IQR], 2.9-8.2 d). Most patients were initially monitored with arterial catheters (96%), central venous pressures (95%), and liver ultrasound (93%). Anticoagulation (80%), blood product administration (52.4%), and vasoactive agents (23.0%) were commonly used therapies in the first 7 days. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.9 [0.86-0.95]), open fascia (aOR 7.0 [95% CI, 2.6-18.9]), large center size (aOR 4.3 [95% CI 2.2-8.3]), and higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease/Pediatric End-Stage Liver Disease scores (aOR 1.04 [95% CI, 1.01-1.06]) were associated with postoperative IMV. In multivariable logistic regression analysis, postoperative day 0 peak inspiratory pressure (PIP) (aOR 1.2 [95% CI, 1.1-1.3]), large center size (aOR 2.9 [95% CI, 1.6-5.4]), and age (aOR 0.89 [95% CI, 0.85-0.95]) were associated with length of IMV greater than 24 hours. Length of IMV greater than 24 hours was associated with bleeding complications ( p = 0.03), infections ( p = 0.03), graft loss ( p = 0.02), and reoperation ( p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Younger age, preoperative hospitalization, large center size, and open fascia are associated with use of IMV, and younger age, large center size, and postoperative day 0 PIP are associated with prolonged IMV on multivariable analysis. Longer IMV is associated with negative outcomes, making it an important clinical marker.

Noninvasive Ventilation Exposure Prior to Intubation in Pediatric Hematopoietic Cell Transplant Recipients.

BACKGROUND: Noninvasive ventilation (NIV) has become more studied in immunocompromised patients. However, it has not been studied in hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) recipients, who have higher mortality and higher pulmonary complication rates than other immunocompromised patients. This population may be prone to negative effects from this treatment modality. The aim of this study was to determine whether NIV use is associated with worse outcomes in this vulnerable patient population. METHODS: A secondary analysis of a retrospective multi-center database was performed. Twelve pediatric ICUs across the United States enrolled HCT subjects from 2009-2014 that were admitted to the pediatric ICU (PICU) with the diagnosis of acute respiratory failure. Subjects exposed to NIV prior to intubation were compared against those not exposed to NIV. Our primary outcome was all-cause mortality at 90 d; secondary outcomes included ventilator-free days (VFD) at 28 d and development of pediatric ARDS. Multivariable logistic and linear regression models were constructed using variables significant on univariable analysis. RESULTS: Two-hundred eleven subjects were included. Of these, 82 (39%) received NIV prior to intubation. Those that received NIV prior to intubation were older (13 vs 6 y, P < .001) and more commonly diagnosed with respiratory distress (90% vs 74%, P = .004). On multivariable analysis, NIV use prior to intubation was associated with a higher PICU mortality (hazard ratio 1.51 [95% CI 1.18-2.28], P = .02) and fewer VFD at 28 d (ß -3.50 [95% CI -6.09 to 0.91], P = .008). Those with NIV exposure prior to intubation also had higher rates of development of pediatric ARDS (95% vs 78%, P = .001). CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort of children post-HCT, NIV use prior to intubation was associated with worse outcomes. The benefits and risks of NIV in this patient population should be carefully evaluated prior to its use, and careful patient selection is crucial for its optimal utilization.

A biomarker panel for risk of early respiratory failure following hematopoietic cell transplantation.

Plasma biomarkers associated with respiratory failure (RF) following hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) have not been identified. Therefore, we aimed to validate early (7 and 14 days post-HCT) risk biomarkers for RF. Using tandem mass spectrometry, we compared plasma obtained at day 14 post-HCT from 15 patients with RF and 15 patients without RF. Six candidate proteins, from this discovery cohort or identified in the literature, were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in day-7 and day-14 post-HCT samples from the training (n = 213) and validation (n = 119) cohorts. Cox proportional-hazard analyses with biomarkers dichotomized by Youden's index, as well as landmark analyses to determine the association between biomarkers and RF, were performed. Of the 6 markers, Stimulation-2 (ST2), WAP 4-disulfide core domain protein 2 (WFDC2), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 (TNFR1), measured at day 14 post-HCT, had the most significant association with an increased risk for RF in the training cohort (ST2: hazard ratio [HR], 4.5, P = .004; WFDC2: HR, 4.2, P = .010; IL-6: HR, 6.9, P < .001; and TFNR1: HR, 6.1, P < .001) and in the validation cohort (ST2: HR, 23.2, P = .013; WFDC2: HR, 18.2, P = .019; IL-6: HR, 12.2, P = .014; and TFNR1: HR, 16.1, P = .001) after adjusting for the conditioning regimen. Using cause-specific landmark analyses, including days 7 and 14, high plasma levels of ST2, WFDC2, IL-6, and TNFR1 were associated with an increased HR for RF in the training and validation cohorts. These biomarkers were also predictive of mortality from RF. ST2, WFDC2, IL-6 and TNFR1 levels measured early posttransplantation improve risk stratification for RF and its related mortality.

Attendance at a Transitional Liver Clinic May Be Associated with Reduced Readmissions for Patients with Liver Disease.

INTRODUCTION: Patients with liver disease have high rates of early hospital readmission, but there are no studies of effective, scalable interventions to reduce this risk. In this study, we examined the impact of a Physician Assistant (PA)-led post-discharge Transitional Liver Clinic (TLC) on hospital readmissions. METHODS: We performed a cohort study of all adults seen by a hepatologist during admission to a tertiary care center in 2019 (excluding transplant patients). We compared those who attended the TLC with those who did not, with respect to 30-day readmission and mortality. Propensity score-adjusted modeling was used to control for confounding. RESULTS: Of 498 patients, 98 were seen in the TLC; 35% had alcoholic liver disease and 58% had cirrhosis. Attendees were similar to non-attendees with respect to demographics, liver disease characteristics and severity, comorbidities, and discharge disposition. Thirty-day cumulative incidence of readmissions was 12% in TLC attendees, compared with 22% in non-attendees (P = .02), while 30-day mortality was similar (2.0% vs 4.3%; P = .29). In a model using propensity score adjustment, TLC attendance remained associated with reduced readmissions (subhazard ratio 0.52; 95% confidence interval, 0.27-0.997; P = .049). The effect of TLC was greater in women compared with men (P = .07) and in those without chronic kidney disease (P = .02), but there were no differences across other subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with liver disease seen in a PA-led TLC may have a significant reduction in the 30-day readmission rate. Randomized trials are needed to establish the efficacy of PA-led post-discharge transitional care for this population.

High-quality diet, physical activity, and college education are associated with low risk of NAFLD among the US population.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The effects of diet quality (DQ), physical activity (PA), and socioeconomic status (SES) on the risk of NAFLD are unclear. We examined the association among DQ, PA, SES, and NAFLD risk. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This is a cross-sectional analysis of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys, 2017-2018, which included 3589 participants with reliable information on vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) measurements, 24-h dietary recalls, PA, and SES. DQ was assessed by the Healthy Eating Index (HEI)-2015. PA was determined by the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire. SES was assessed by the educational attainment and family poverty income ratio (PIR). Risk of NAFLD was considered by means of a composite outcome using VCTE measurements: non-NAFLD versus NAFLD without clinically significant fibrosis (CSF) versus NAFLD with CSF. The NAFLD risk was lower in physically active (≥600 metabolic equivalent of task [MET] min/week) versus inactive participants (<600 MET min/week) (OR: 0.71, p = 0.043). A high-quality diet (HQD) (HEI > 56.64) was associated with a lower risk of NAFLD (OR: 0.58, p < 0.01) compared with a non-HQD. The lowest NAFLD risk was observed in those physically active with HQD (OR: 0.43, p < 0.01). Body mass index and waist circumference significantly mediated the effect of DQ and PA on NAFLD risk. Education (college or above) (OR: 0.65, p = 0.034), but not PIR, was associated with a reduced NAFLD risk. HQD and increased PA partially mediated the effect of education on NAFLD risk. The total effect of education on NAFLD risk mediated by DQ was 29% and by PA was 8%. CONCLUSIONS: HQD, increased physical activity, and college education were associated with lower NAFLD risk in the US population.

Severe Alcohol-Associated Hepatitis Is Associated With Worse Survival in Critically Ill Patients With Acute on Chronic Liver Failure.

Differences in mortality between critically ill patients with severe alcohol-associated hepatitis (sAH) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and non-sAH ACLF (i.e., ACLF not precipitated by sAH) are unknown. Such differences are important, as they may inform on prognosis and optimal timing of liver transplantation (LT). Thus, we aimed to compare short-term and longer-term mortality between patients with sAH ACLF and patients with non-sAH ACLF who were admitted to the intensive care unit. Patients with ACLF admitted from 2016-2018 at two tertiary care intensive care units were analyzed. SAH was defined by the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism's Alcoholic Hepatitis Consortium and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score >20. Mortality without LT was compared between sAH ACLF and non-sAH ACLF using Fine and Gray's competing-risks regression. A total of 463 patients with ACLF (18% sAH and 82% non-sAH) were included. Compared to patients with non-sAH ACLF, patients with sAH ACLF were younger (49 vs. 56 years; P < 0.001) and had higher admission Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) (35 vs. 25; P < 0.001) and Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (CLIF-C) scores (61 vs. 57; P = 0.002). There were no significant differences between the two groups for vasopressor, mechanical ventilation, and hemodialysis use. The cumulative incidence of death was significantly higher in patients with sAH ACLF compared to patients with non-sAH ACLF: 30-day 74.7% versus 45.3%; 90-day 81.9% versus 57.4%; 180-day 83.2% versus 63.0% (unadjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [sHR] 1.88 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.44-2.46]; P < 0.001). After adjusting for CLIF-C score and infection in a multivariable competing-risk model, patients with sAH ACLF had significantly higher risk of death (sHR 1.57 [95% CI 1.20-2.06]; P = 0.001) compared to patients with non-sAH ACLF. Conclusion: Critically ill patients with sAH ACLF have worse mortality compared to patients with non-sAH ACLF. These data may inform prognosis in patients with sAH and ACLF, and early LT referral in potentially eligible patients.

Relationship of Enhanced Liver Fibrosis Score with Pediatric Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Histology and Response to Vitamin E or Metformin.

OBJECTIVES: To study the diagnostic performance of the enhanced liver fibrosis score (ELF) for detecting different stages of fibrosis and its usefulness in detecting histologic response to vitamin E or metformin in children with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease who participated in the Vitamin E or Metformin for the Treatment Of NAFLD In Children (TONIC) trial. STUDY DESIGN: ELF was measured at baseline and weeks 24, 48, and 96 on sera from 166 TONIC participants. Associations between ELF with baseline and end of trial (EOT) fibrosis stages and other histologic features were assessed using χ2 tests and logistic regression models. RESULTS: ELF was significantly associated with severity of fibrosis at baseline and EOT. ELF areas under the curve for discriminating patients with clinically significant and advanced fibrosis were 0.70 (95% CI, 0.60-0.80) and 0.79 (95% CI, 0.69-0.89), respectively. A 1-unit decrease in ELF at EOT was associated with overall histologic improvement (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.11-3.14; P = .02), resolution of steatohepatitis (OR, 1.88; 95% CI, 1.09-3.25; P = .02), improvement in steatosis grade (OR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.06-2.82; P = .03), and hepatocellular ballooning (OR, 1.79; 95% CI, 1.06-3.00; P = .03), but not with improvement in fibrosis stage (OR, 1.26; 95% CI, 0.78-2.03; P = .34). CONCLUSIONS: ELF was associated with fibrosis stage in children who participated in TONIC. Although not associated with improvement in fibrosis, a decrease in ELF at EOT was associated with Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis resolution and improvement in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease histology. ELF may be a useful noninvasive test to monitor treatment response in children with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Development, validation, and proof-of-concept implementation of a two-year risk prediction model for undiagnosed atrial fibrillation using common electronic health data (UNAFIED).

BACKGROUND: Many patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remain undiagnosed despite availability of interventions to reduce stroke risk. Predictive models to date are limited by data requirements and theoretical usage. We aimed to develop a model for predicting the 2-year probability of AF diagnosis and implement it as proof-of-concept (POC) in a production electronic health record (EHR). METHODS: We used a nested case-control design using data from the Indiana Network for Patient Care. The development cohort came from 2016 to 2017 (outcome period) and 2014 to 2015 (baseline). A separate validation cohort used outcome and baseline periods shifted 2 years before respective development cohort times. Machine learning approaches were used to build predictive model. Patients ≥ 18 years, later restricted to age ≥ 40 years, with at least two encounters and no AF during baseline, were included. In the 6-week EHR prospective pilot, the model was silently implemented in the production system at a large safety-net urban hospital. Three new and two previous logistic regression models were evaluated using receiver-operating characteristics. Number, characteristics, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores of patients identified by the model in the pilot are presented. RESULTS: After restricting age to ≥ 40 years, 31,474 AF cases (mean age, 71.5 years; female 49%) and 22,078 controls (mean age, 59.5 years; female 61%) comprised the development cohort. A 10-variable model using age, acute heart disease, albumin, body mass index, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, gender, heart failure, insurance, kidney disease, and shock yielded the best performance (C-statistic, 0.80 [95% CI 0.79-0.80]). The model performed well in the validation cohort (C-statistic, 0.81 [95% CI 0.8-0.81]). In the EHR pilot, 7916/22,272 (35.5%; mean age, 66 years; female 50%) were identified as higher risk for AF; 5582 (70%) had CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2. CONCLUSIONS: Using variables commonly available in the EHR, we created a predictive model to identify 2-year risk of developing AF in those previously without diagnosed AF. Successful POC implementation of the model in an EHR provided a practical strategy to identify patients who may benefit from interventions to reduce their stroke risk.

Karnofsky performance status predicts outcomes in candidates for simultaneous liver-kidney transplant.

Karnofsky performance status (KPS), a measure of physical frailty, predicts pre-transplant and post-transplant outcomes in liver transplantation, but has not been assessed in simultaneous liver-kidney transplantation (SLKT). We examined the association between KPS and outcomes in SLKT waitlist registrants and recipients (2005-2018) in the UNOS database. KPS was categorized into A (able to work), B (able to provide self-care), and C (unable to provide self-care). Cox regression and competing risk analysis were used to assess the association between KPS groups and outcomes. A total of 10,785 patients were waitlisted (KPS: 19% A, 46% B, 35% C), and 5,516 underwent SLKT (12% A, 36% B, 52% C). One-year waitlist mortality was 17%, 22%, and 32% for KPS A, B, and C, respectively. In adjusted competing risk regression, KPS C was associated with increased waitlist mortality (SHR 1.15, 95%CI 1.04-1.28). One-year post-transplant survival was 92%, 91%, and 87% for KPS A, B, and C, respectively. In adjusted Cox regression, KPS C was associated with increased post-transplant mortality (HR 1.32, 95%CI 1.08-1.61). It was also associated with increased liver and kidney graft losses and with hospital length of stay. Frailty, as assessed by KPS, is associated with poor outcomes in SLKT pre- and post-transplant.

Bleeding After Elective Interventional Endoscopic Procedures in a Large Cohort of Patients With Cirrhosis.

INTRODUCTION: Elective therapeutic endoscopy is an important component of care of cirrhotic patients, but there are concerns regarding the risk of bleeding. This study examined the incidence, risk factors, and outcomes of bleeding after endoscopic variceal ligation (EVL), colonoscopic polypectomy, and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography with sphincterotomy in cirrhotic patients. METHODS: A cohort study of patients with cirrhosis who underwent the above procedures at a single center between 2012 and 2014 was performed. Patients with active bleeding at the time of procedure were excluded. Patients were followed for 30 days to assess for postprocedural bleeding and for 90 days for mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1,324 procedures were performed in 857 patients (886 upper endoscopies, 358 colonoscopies, and 80 endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatograpies). After EVL, bleeding occurred in 2.8%; after polypectomy, bleeding occurred in 2.0%; and after sphincterotomy, bleeding occurred in 3.8%. Independent predictors of bleeding after EVL and polypectomy included younger age and lower hemoglobin. For EVL, bleeding was also associated with infection and model for end-stage liver disease-Na. International normalized ratio was associated with bleeding in univariate analysis only, and platelet count was not associated with bleeding in any procedure. Bleeding after EVL was associated with 29% 90-day mortality, and bleeding after polypectomy was associated with 14% mortality. Of the 3 patients with postsphincterotomy bleeding, none were outliers regarding their baseline characteristics. DISCUSSION: In patients with cirrhosis, bleeding occurs infrequently after elective therapeutic endoscopy and is associated with younger age, lower hemoglobin, and high mortality. Consideration of these risk factors may guide appropriate timing and preprocedural management to optimize outcomes.

Associations Between Mean Arterial Pressure and Poor ICU Outcomes in Critically Ill Patients With Cirrhosis: Is 65 The Sweet Spot?

OBJECTIVES: Mean arterial pressure is critically important in patients with cirrhosis in the ICU, however, there is limited data to guide therapies and targets. DESIGN: Retrospective observational study. SETTING: Tertiary care ICU. PATIENTS: Two hundred and seventy-three critically ill patients with cirrhosis. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We performed a comprehensive time-weighted mean arterial pressure analysis (time-weighted-average-mean arterial pressure and cumulative-time-below various mean arterial pressure-thresholds) during the first 24-hours after ICU admission (median: 25 mean arterial pressure measurements per-patient). Time-weighted-average-mean arterial pressure captures both the severity and duration of hypotension below a mean arterial pressure threshold and cumulative-time-below is the total time spent below a mean arterial pressure threshold. Individual univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were assessed for each time-weighted-average-mean arterial pressure and cumulative-time-below mean arterial pressure threshold (55, 60, 65, 70, and 75 mm Hg) for ICU-mortality. Time-weighted-average-mean arterial pressure: for 1 mm Hg decrease in mean arterial pressure below 75, 70, 65, 60, and 55 mm Hg, the odds for ICU-mortality were 14%, 18%, 26%, 41%, and 74%, respectively (p < 0.01, all thresholds). The association between time-weighted-average-mean arterial pressure and ICU-mortality for each threshold remained significant after adjusting for model for end-stage liver disease-sodium score, mechanical ventilation, vasopressor use, renal replacement therapy, grade 3/4 hepatic encephalopathy, WBC count, and albumin. Cumulative-time-below: odds for ICU-mortality were 4%, 6%, 10%, 12%, and 12% for each-hour spent below 75, 70, 65, 60, and 55 mm Hg, respectively. In the adjusted models, significant associations only remained for mean arterial pressure less than 65 mm Hg (odds ratio, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.00-1.14; p = 0.05) and < 60 mm Hg (odds ratio, 1.10; 95% CI, 1.01-1.18; p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: These data suggest that maintaining a mean arterial pressure of greater than 65 mm Hg may be a reasonable target in patients with cirrhosis admitted to the ICU. However, further prospective randomized trials are needed to determine the optimal mean arterial pressure-targets in this patient population.

Decreased Quality of Life Is Significantly Associated With Body Composition in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We studied impaired quality of life (QOL) and its determinants among individuals with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS: We collected data from 341 patients with NAFLD who completed the short form 36 (SF-36) questionnaire. Body composition and liver fibrosis were assessed in patients with NAFLD using bioelectrical impedance and transient elastography, respectively. Advanced fibrosis was defined as liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) of 12.1 kPa or greater. SF-36 scores of patients with NAFLD were compared with SF36 scores of individuals with chronic medical illnesses and the general population obtained from the published literature. RESULTS: Among patients with NAFLD, percent body fat was negatively associated with scores from all 8 SF-36 scales, whereas lean body mass was positively associated with scores from 5 of 8 SF-36 scales. On multivariable analysis, SF-36 PF scores were negatively associated with type 2 diabetes, body mass index, and LSM and positively associated with lean body mass and level of alanine aminotransferase. Patients with NAFLD, and even those without advanced fibrosis, had significantly lower mean QOL scores than the control group or the general population. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with NAFLD, even those without advanced fibrosis, have lower QOL than controls. Body composition associates with QOL in patients with NAFLD; both of the modifiable factors independently associated with QOL are related to body composition. Further studies are needed to investigate if interventions to improve body composition can increase QOL for patients with NAFLD.