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1.
Gene ; 922: 148554, 2024 Sep 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38750802

RESUMEN

In this study, a latest version of COVID-19 pandemic is hand overed. A Stochastic post COVID-19 delayed model is developed to explore the spread of COVID-19 as well as omicron variant with the correlation of heart attack. This article provides an eradication of the COVID-19 and omicron variant as well as the population who have heart attack after post COVID-19 of these epidemic diseases. Then the existence and uniqueness of global positive solution are studied. Ensuing, In this article, we classify COVID-19 virus and omicron variant which go to extinction and become persistent in mean. By using Lyapunov function, the existence of ergodic stationary distribution are established. Later from the persistent disease as well as extinction, heart disease are ready to develop in the human body. By Eventually, an optimal control strategies are introduced in the form of stochastic post COVID-19 delayed model to control two different types of virus. Finally, the numerical simulation are presented to determine the behavior of dynamical system by utilizing the real data of United Kingdom.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/virología , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Reino Unido/epidemiología , Pandemias , Simulación por Computador , Procesos Estocásticos
2.
Gene ; 922: 148560, 2024 Sep 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38759739

RESUMEN

The actual ideal of the literature is to probe the effect of external undulation on prevalence of COVID-19. Owing to some environmental influences, we enhanced our model to the stochastic perturbations. In this article, we scrutinize a stochastic epidemic COVID-19 model with seven states of epidemiological classification. Incipiently, a sophisticated biological system with the effect of time lags put forward copious strategies. At the outset, aim of this work is to explore the existence and uniqueness of global positive solution. Moment exponential stability are upheld. By fabricating a suitable lyapunov function, the sufficient conditions for the persistence of the disease and the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution are established. To regulate the widespread of COVID-19 infection, the main intent is to curb the disease with the succor of three control measures. Finally, the theoretical results bring into being alive in the form of graphical visualization. By nurturing the comparison study, the parameters of the model system come up with real data of most afflicted countries that layout premier consequences.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Procesos Estocásticos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/virología , Humanos
3.
Acta Math Sci ; 42(5): 2087-2112, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35911571

RESUMEN

The hepatitis C virus is hitherto a tremendous threat to human beings, but many researchers have analyzed mathematical models for hepatitis C virus transmission dynamics only in the deterministic case. Stochasticity plays an immense role in pathology and epidemiology. Hence, the main theme of this article is to investigate a stochastic epidemic hepatitis C virus model with five states of epidemiological classification: susceptible, acutely infected, chronically infected, recovered or removed and chronically infected, and treated. The stochastic hepatitis C virus model in epidemiology is established based on the environmental influence on individuals, is manifested by stochastic perturbations, and is proportional to each state. We assert that the stochastic HCV model has a unique global positive solution and attains sufficient conditions for the extinction of the hepatotropic RNA virus. Furthermore, by constructing a suitable Lyapunov function, we obtain sufficient conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary distribution of the solutions to the stochastic HCV model. Moreover, this article confirms that using numerical simulations, the six parameters of the stochastic HCV model can have a high impact over the disease transmission dynamics, specifically the disease transmission rate, the rate of chronically infected population, the rate of progression to chronic infection, the treatment failure rate of chronically infected population, the recovery rate from chronic infection and the treatment rate of the chronically infected population. Eventually, numerical simulations validate the effectiveness of our theoretical conclusions.

4.
Eur Phys J Plus ; 137(3): 370, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35340782

RESUMEN

The ultimate aim of the article is to predict COVID-19 virus inter-cellular behavioral dynamics using an infection model with a quarantine compartment. Internal viral dynamics and stability attributes are thoroughly investigated around stable equilibrium states to probe possible ways in reducing rapid spread by incorporating fractional-order components into epidemic systems. Furthermore, a fractional optimal problem was built and studied with three control measures to restrict the widespread of COVID-19 infections and exhibit perfect protection. It is found that by following 60 % of control strategies can eradicate the infectives. Furthermore, the time frame of sixteen months has been divided into four short periods to grasp the pandemic, as the pandemic's parameters change over time. Finally, using real data, we estimated the parameters of the model system and the expression of the basic reproduction number R 0 for the most affected countries, China, USA, UK, Italy, France, Germany, Spain, and Iran.

5.
Chaos Solitons Fractals ; 152: 111325, 2021 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34400855

RESUMEN

In disease model systems, random noises and time delay factors play key role in interpreting disease dynamics to comprehend deeper insights into the course of dynamics. An endeavor to forecast intercellular behavioral dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 virus via Infection model with responsive host immune mechanisms forms the crux of this research study. Incorporation of time delay factor into infection transmission rates in noisy system epitomizes spectacular view on internal viral dynamics and stability properties are rigorously analyzed around equilibrium steady states to probe feasible strategies in mitigating rapid spread. Efforts to perceive inocular view on infection dynamics are not limited to theoretical frontiers but are substantiated with empirically simulated outcomes and visualized as graphical upshots. Discussions on numerical investigations emphasized shorter incubation periods and vaccination at pertinent time intervals to restrain massive spread and exhibit total immunity against SARS-CoV-2 infections.

6.
Biosystems ; 114(2): 118-24, 2013 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23993948

RESUMEN

In this article, we considered a model of HIV-1 infection with a protease inhibitor therapy and three delays. The frequency of the bifurcating periodic solution as well as the threshold value is approximated numerically using realistic parameter. The estimated threshold value is realistic and the frequency of the oscillations is consistent with that of the observed viral blips.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Inhibidores de la Proteasa del VIH/uso terapéutico , Modelos Teóricos , Humanos
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