A practical predictive model to predict 30-day mortality in neonatal sepsis

SUMMARY OBJECTIVE: Neonatal sepsis is a serious disease that needs timely and immediate medical attention. So far, there is no specific prognostic biomarkers or model for dependable predict outcomes in neonatal sepsis. The aim of this study was to establish a predictive model based on readily available laboratory data to assess 30-day mortality in neonatal sepsis. METHODS: Neonates with sepsis were recruited between January 2019 and December 2022. The admission information was obtained from the medical record retrospectively. Univariate or multivariate analysis was utilized to identify independent risk factors. The receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn to check the performance of the predictive model. RESULTS: A total of 195 patients were recruited. There was a big difference between the two groups in the levels of hemoglobin and prothrombin time. Multivariate analysis confirmed that hemoglobin>133 g/L (hazard ratio: 0.351, p=0.042) and prothrombin time >16.6 s (hazard ratio: 4.140, p=0.005) were independent risk markers of 30-day mortality. Based on these results, a predictive model with the highest area under the curve (0.756) was built. CONCLUSION: We established a predictive model that can objectively and accurately predict individualized risk of 30-day mortality. The predictive model should help clinicians to improve individual treatment, make clinical decisions, and guide follow-up management strategies.

The role of platelet to mean platelet volume ratio in the identification of adult-onset still's disease from sepsis.

OBJECTIVES: Inflammatory factors exert a significant role in the development of adult-onset Still's disease (AOSD) and sepsis. Although platelet counts and platelet parameters have long served as indicators for inflammatory diseases, their role in the differential diagnosis between adult-onset stills disease and sepsis remains unclear. We designed this retrospective study to explore whether the platelet to mean platelet volume (MPV) ratio (PMR) can help to distinguish AOSD from sepsis. METHODS: A total of 110 AOSD patients and 84 sepsis patients were enrolled in the study. Seventy-three AOSD patients and 56 sepsis patients between January 2010 and June 2017 were enrolled in the test cohort to analyze PMR values, which was then validated in the validation cohort (37 AOSD patients and 28 sepsis patients between June 2017 and December 2019). RESULTS: The values of PMR were significantly higher in AOSD patients than in sepsis patients (test cohort, validation cohort, and entire cohort), In the test cohort, logistic regression analysis showed that PMR was an independent risk factor of AOSD (odds ratios [OR]: 9.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.15-39.46, p=0.003). Further receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve was 0.735 (95% CI 0.631-0.839, p<0.001) for PMR alone and 0.925 (95% CI 0.869-0.980, p<0.001) for the combination of PMR and serum ferritin. Consistently, the validation cohort exhibited analogous results. CONCLUSIONS: PMR could be used as a single indicator or a complementary indicator to distinguish AOSD from sepsis.

The role of platelet to mean platelet volume ratio in the identification of adult-onset still's disease from sepsis

OBJECTIVES: Inflammatory factors exert a significant role in the development of adult-onset Still's disease (AOSD) and sepsis. Although platelet counts and platelet parameters have long served as indicators for inflammatory diseases, their role in the differential diagnosis between adult-onset stilĺs disease and sepsis remains unclear. We designed this retrospective study to explore whether the platelet to mean platelet volume (MPV) ratio (PMR) can help to distinguish AOSD from sepsis. METHODS: A total of 110 AOSD patients and 84 sepsis patients were enrolled in the study. Seventy-three AOSD patients and 56 sepsis patients between January 2010 and June 2017 were enrolled in the test cohort to analyze PMR values, which was then validated in the validation cohort (37 AOSD patients and 28 sepsis patients between June 2017 and December 2019). RESULTS: The values of PMR were significantly higher in AOSD patients than in sepsis patients (test cohort, validation cohort, and entire cohort), In the test cohort, logistic regression analysis showed that PMR was an independent risk factor of AOSD (odds ratios [OR]: 9.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.15-39.46, p=0.003). Further receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve was 0.735 (95% CI 0.631-0.839, p<0.001) for PMR alone and 0.925 (95% CI 0.869-0.980, p<0.001) for the combination of PMR and serum ferritin. Consistently, the validation cohort exhibited analogous results. CONCLUSIONS: PMR could be used as a single indicator or a complementary indicator to distinguish AOSD from sepsis.