The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on health service use in sub-Saharan Africa.

SETTING: Six hospitals in four sub-Saharan African countries. OBJECTIVE: To examine the indirect effects of COVID-19 on health service utilisation and to explore the risk of bias in studies on prediction models. DESIGN: Monthly data were analysed using interrupted time-series modelling. We used linear mixed-effect models for the analysis of antenatal care visits, institutional deliveries, vaccinations, outpatient visits and hospital admissions, and generalised linear mixed-effect models for hospital mortality. RESULTS: During 2018-2020, the six hospitals recorded a total of 57,075 antenatal care visits, 38,706 institutional deliveries, 312,961 vaccinations, 605,925 out-patient visits and 143,915 hospital admissions. The COVID-19 period was associated with decreases in vacci-nations (- 575 vaccinations, P < 0.0001), outpatient visits (- 700 visits, P < 0.0001) and hospital admission (- 102 admission, P = 0.001); however, no statistically significant effects were found for antenatal care visits (P = 0.71) or institutional deliveries (P = 0.14). Mortality rate increased by 2% per month in the pre-COVID-19 period; however, a decreasing trend (by 2% per month) was observed during the COVID-19 period (P = 0.004). Subgroup and sensitivity analyses broadly confirmed the main findings with only minor inconsistencies. A reduction in outpatient visits was also observed in hospitals from countries with a higher Stringency Index and in urban hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: The pandemic resulted in a reduction in health service utilisation. The decreases were less than anticipated from modelling studies.

CONTEXTE: Six hôpitaux de quatre pays d'Afrique subsaharienne. OBJECTIF: Examiner les effets indirects de la COVID-19 sur l'utilisation des services de santé et analyser le risque de biais dans les études utilisant des modèles de prédiction. MÉTHODES: Des données mensuelles ont été analysées en utilisant une modélisation de séries chronologiques interrompues. L'analyse principale a mis en place des modèles linéaires à effets mixtes (pour les consultations anténatales, les accouchements en institutions, les vaccinations, les consultations ambulatoires et les admissions à l'hôpital) et des modèles linéaires généralisés à effets mixtes (pour la mortalité hospitalière). RÉSULTATS: En 2018­2020, les six hôpitaux ont enregistré un total de 57 075 consultations anténatales, 38 706 accouchements en institutions, 312 961 vaccinations, 605 925 consultations ambulatoires et 143 915 admissions hospitalières. La période de la COVID-19 a été associée à une baisse des vaccinations (− 575 vaccinations, P<0,0001), des consultations ambulatoires (− 700 consultations, P < 0,0001) et des admissions hospitalières (− 102 admissions, P = 0,001). Cependant, aucun effet statistiquement significatif n'a été observé pour les consultations anténatales (P = 0,71) ou les accouchements en institutions (P = 0,14). Le taux de mortalité augmentait de 2% par mois avant la période de la COVID-19, mais nous avons observé une tendance à la baisse (de 2% par mois) pendant la période de la COVID-19 (P = 0,004). Les analyses des sous-groupes et de sensibilité ont globalement confirmé les résultats principaux ; seules des incohérences mineures ont été observées. Une diminution des consultations ambulatoires a également été observée dans les hôpitaux des pays dont l'Indice de sévérité des mesures publiques était plus élevé, ainsi que dans les hôpitaux urbains. CONCLUSIONS: La pandémie a été associée à une utilisation réduite des services de santé. Ces diminutions étaient moindres que celles anticipées par les études de modélisation.

Open access for operational research publications from low- and middle-income countries: who pays?

Open-access journal publications aim to ensure that new knowledge is widely disseminated and made freely accessible in a timely manner so that it can be used to improve people's health, particularly those in low- and middle-income countries. In this paper, we briefly explain the differences between closed- and open-access journals, including the evolving idea of the 'open-access spectrum'. We highlight the potential benefits of supporting open access for operational research, and discuss the conundrum and ways forward as regards who pays for open access.

Les articles de journaux en accès libre visent à assurer la dissémination large de nouvelles connaissances et de rendre leur accès libre de façon à pouvoir être utilisées rapidement pour améliorer la santé des populations, surtout dans les pays à revenu faible ou moyen. Dans cet article, nous expliquons briêvement les différences entre les publications à accès limité et à accès libre, notamment l'idée en gestation de « spectre d'accès libre ¼. Nous soulignons les bénéfices potentiels du soutien à l'accès libre pour la recherche opérationnelle et ensuite discutons la question de qui paye pour cet accès et la recherche de solutions.

El propósito de las publicaciones en las revistas de acceso libre es lograr una amplia difusión de los nuevos conocimientos mediante el acceso libre y oportuno, de manera que los avances se puedan aplicar a fin de mejorar la salud de las personas, sobre todo en los países de bajos y medianos ingresos. En el presente artículo se explican brevemente las diferencias entre las revistas de acceso libre y acceso restringido y se analiza además la idea evolutiva del 'espectro del acceso libre'. Se destacan las ventajas que puede ofrecer el respaldo al libre acceso a la investigación operativa y se analiza luego el dilema y las opciones que pueden permitir progresar con respecto a la fuente de financiamiento del libre acceso.

Prevalence of antibodies to phleboviruses and flaviviruses in Peja, Kosovo.

In order to investigate the current and past activity of phlebovirus and flavivirus in Kosovo, a seroprevalence study among 200 blood donors was performed. Positive results were obtained for the phleboviruses TOSV and SFNV, and for a flavivirus of the Japanese Encephalitis group. No positive results for TBEV were observed.

Viral hepatitis, HIV, human herpes virus and Treponema pallidum infection in haemodialysis patients from Kosovo, 2005.

The serological status of hepatitis viruses and other infectious diseases in the 66 dialysed patients of one haemodialysis unit in Kosovo were studied, comparing the data with a large group of blood donors and out-patients. All dialysed patients were hepatitis A virus (HAV) positive. Prevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), hepatitis B surface antibodies (anti-HBs), and hepatitis B core antibodies (anti-HBc) was 14 of 66, 21% (95% confidence interval (CI): 12-33%), 5 of 66, 8% (95%CI: 5-22%), and 50 of 66, 76% (95%CI: 64-85%), respectively. Antibodies to hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV) prevalence was 57 of 66, 86% (95%CI: 76-94%). No human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) positive case was found. Prevalence of past herpes simplex virus type 2 (HSV-2) infection was 29% (95%CI: 18-41%). Two patients (3%, 95%CI: 0-10%) were positive for Treponema pallidum and 18% (95%CI: 10-30%) were human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8) antibody positive. Four hundred and fifty-two subjects were recruited for comparison. Markers of past HAV infection was associated with haemodialysis (Fisher s exact test p-value=0.037). Dialysed patients were at a higher risk of being HBsAg positive than others: the sex- and age-adjusted odds ratio (OR) was 5.18 (95%CI: 1.87-14.32). Anti-HBc positivity was strongly associated with haemodialysis: the sex- and age-adjusted OR was 6.43 (95%CI: 3.22-12-85). Anti-HCV positivity was 86% and 1% in presence and absence of haemodialysis, respectively. The Fisher s exact test for association proved a strong association between haemodialysis and HCV (p-value<0.0001). The OR for association between haemodialysis and HSV-2 positivity was 3.20 (95%CI: 1.46-7.00). Significant associations were also observed between haemodialysis status and antibodies to Treponema pallidum (Fisher s exact test p-value=0.044). In Kosovo, the prevalence of viral hepatitis infection and other viral infections and Treponema pallidum among dialysed patients is high, indicating major ongoing nosocomial transmission.

Association between depressive mood and cigarette smoking in a large Italian sample of smokers intending to quit: implications for treatment.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study is to assess the prevalence and degree of depression at baseline of a large cohort of smokers intending to quit. METHODS: A cross-sectional investigation was carried out on a population of 757 smokers attending the Medical Service for Addictive Disorders, at Verona University Hospital. The degree of nicotine addiction was measured by the Fagerstrom Test of Nicotine Dependence (FTND) and current mood tested by the Self-rating Depression Scale (SDS), a commonly used and well validated instrument to assess depressive mood. RESULTS: Two hundred and twenty-two subjects (30.3%) were depressed at baseline (SDS test score > or = 50). Bivariate analysis, using the SDs score dichotomised at the cut-off of 50 as dependent variable, shows that female gender (p=0.01) and widowhood (p<0.001) were correlated to depression. Logistic regression analysis confirms the correlation between depression and female gender (OR=2.03, IC 95%=1.42-2.88, p<0.001) and between depression and widowhood, with the greatest risk of depression among widows and widowers (OR=3.22, IC 95%=1.01-10.27, p<0.048). CONCLUSIONS: The study showed a high degree of pre-treatment depression in smokers intending to quit. Although the association between depression and nicotine dependence has been consistently reported many times, and it is well known that depressed subjects find it more difficult to quit, most guidelines seem not to consider this connection. These findings suggest the need for baseline assessment of depression by screening all smokers seeking assistance in quitting, a priority health objective because smoking is the number one avoidable killer in developed countries.

Staphylococcus lugdunensis infective endocarditis: description of 10 cases and analysis of native valve, prosthetic valve, and pacemaker lead endocarditis clinical profiles.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the incidence and the clinical and echocardiographic features of infective endocarditis (IE) caused by Staphylococcus lugdunensis and to identify the prognostic factors of surgery and mortality in this disease. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Study at two centres (a tertiary care centre and a community hospital). PATIENTS: 10 patients with IE caused by S lugdunensis in 912 consecutive patients with IE between 1990 and 2003. METHODS: Prospective study of consecutive patients carried out by the multidisciplinary team for diagnosis and treatment of IE from the study institutions. English, French, and Spanish literature was searched by computer under the terms "endocarditis" and "Staphylococcus lugdunensis" published between 1989 and December 2003. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Patient characteristics, echocardiographic findings, required surgery, and prognostic factors of mortality in left sided cases of IE. RESULTS: 10 cases of IE caused by S lugdunensis were identified at our institutions, representing 0.8% (four of 467), 1.5% (two of 135), and 7.8% (four of 51) of cases of native valve, prosthetic valve, and pacemaker lead endocarditis in the non-drug misusers. Native valve IE was present in four patients (two aortic, one mitral, and one pulmonary), prosthetic valve aortic IE in two patients, and pacemaker lead IE in the other four patients. All patients with left sided IE had serious complications (heart failure, periannular abscess formation, or shock) requiring surgery in 60% (three of five patients) of cases with an overall mortality rate of 80% (four of five patients). All patients with pacemaker IE underwent combined medical treatment and surgery, and mortality was 25% (one patient). In total 59 cases of IE caused by S lugdunensis were identified in a review of the literature. The combined analysis of these 69 cases showed that native valve IE (53 patients, 77%) is characterised by mitral valve involvement and frequent complications such as heart failure, abscess formation, and embolism. Surgery was needed in 51% of cases and mortality was 42%. Prosthetic valve endocarditis (nine of 60, 13%) predominated in the aortic position and was associated with abscess formation, required surgery, and high mortality (78%). Pacemaker lead IE (seven of 69, 10%) is associated with a better prognosis when antibiotic treatment is combined with surgery. CONCLUSIONS: S lugdunensis IE is an uncommon cause of IE, involving mainly native left sided valves, and it is characterised by an aggressive clinical course. Mortality in left sided native valve IE is high but the prognosis has improved in recent years. Surgery has improved survival in left sided IE and, therefore, early surgery should always be considered. Prosthetic valve S lugdunensis IE carries an ominous prognosis.

Hepatitis C virus infection: prevalence, predictor variables and prevention opportunities among drug users in Italy.

The study assessed rates and predictor variables of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection among drug users receiving pharmacological treatment for opiates addiction. There was a large cohort study in 16 public centres for drug users in north-eastern Italy, with data collected by standardized face-to-face interviews between February 2001 and August 2001. Of 1095 participants, 74.2% were HCV seropositive. Anti-HCV status was independently associated with duration of drug use of over 10 years, injecting as a route of drug administration, and hepatitis B virus (HBV) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) seropositivity. Further statistical analysis was conducted by dividing the subjects on the basis of the duration of heroin use: more or <10 years. In the multivariate analyses, route of drug administration and HBV status were associated with HCV seropositivity among both groups. Less education was associated with HCV among the shorter term drug users. HIV status and having a sexual partner with a history of drug use were associated with HCV seropositivity among the longer term drug users. Half of the short-term heroin users were still HCV seronegative when starting treatment, suggesting opportunities for reducing new HCV infections. Remarkable was the relationship between vaccination for hepatitis B and HCV serostatus. Being HBV seropositive was strongly associated with being HCV seropositive. But heroin users who had been vaccinated for HBV were not significantly more likely to be HCV seropositive than heroin users who were HBV seronegative. HBV vaccination does not provide biological protection against HCV; however, vaccinating heroin users against HBV may help to create a stronger pro-health attitude among heroin users, leading to a reduction in HCV risk behaviour.

Causas principales de muerte entre 2.708 heroinómanos del noreste italiano (1985-1998) / Main death causes among 2.708 heroin addicts of Italian northeast (1985-1998)

Objetivos. Establecer las causas de la muerte acaecidas entre 1985 y 1998 en un numeroso grupo de usuarios de droga por vía intravenosa (ADVP) acogidos en 36 Servicios Públicos para Toxicomanías (Ser T) del noroeste italiano. Métodos. Estudio realizado sobre datos recogidos en los archivos de los Ser. T y del Registro Municipal de cada una de las ULSS estudiadas. Individuos implicados. Todos los ADVP que hayan pasado por lo menos una vez por uno de los 36 Ser. T incluidos en el estudio. Resultados. El estudio analizó las causas de la muerte de 2708 individuos. La primera cauda de muerte es la sobredosis (37 por ciento), seguida del SIDA (32,5 por ciento) y de los accidentes de tráfico (9,4 por ciento). El porcentaje de muertes causadas por el SIDA aumentó progresivamente, pasando de un 2.7 por ciento en 1985 a un 42,2 por ciento en 1996, reduciéndose después al 16,9 por ciento en 1998. El porcentaje de fallecimientos por sobredosis se mantuvo prácticamente constante durante todo el tiempo. La edad media de muerte aumentó, pasando de 26 años a mediados de los años 80 a 34 años en 1998. La tasa de mortalidad entre ADVP es 13 veces mayor que en el conjunto de la población (95 por ciento, CI 11.3-14.6). En el conjunto de la población el porcentaje de fallecimientos en edades comprendidas entre los 15 y los 34 años atribuida al uso de opiáceos era en 1991 (año del últimocenso) del 16 por ciento. La prevalencia del VIH no resultó estadísticamente significativa en las causas de muerte por suicidio o sobredosis. Conclusiones. Se comprobó que la tasa de mortalidad era 13 veces superior a la de la población general. Se demostró la importancia del sexo femenino y el drop out de los tratamiento (al margen del tipo de tratamiento en cuestión) como factores de riesgo de sobredosis. La paulatina disminución de muertes por SIDA destaca la importancia de los tratamientos preventivos y terapéuticos adecuados contra la infección de VHC. Las medidas que se adopten en el campo de las drogodependencias, tanto en el ámbito de la política como en la investigación y la formación, deben tener presente el dramáticamente elevado porcentaje de individuos que mueren por consumo de heroína (AU)

Aims: To ascertain the causes of deaths among a very large cohort of heroin injecting drug users (IDUs) who, from 1985 to 1998, attended 36 Public Health Authority Centres for Drug Users (PCDUs) in north-eastern Italy. Design: Retrospective analysis of data, obtained from the Annual Register of each Centre and the Municipal Registry Office of each local health district. Setting: Thirty-six PCDUs in north-eastern Italy and Medical Service for Addictive Disorders of the University of Verona. Participants: All IDUs who had sought medical care at least once in the PCDUs during the study period. Findings: Of 2708 deaths, overdose was found to be the major cause (37%), followed by AIDS (32.5%) and road accidents (9.4%). The percentage of deaths due to AIDS increased steadily from 2.7% in 1985 to 42.2% in 1996, and then decreased to 16.9% in 1998. Deaths due to overdose remained almost constant. The average age of death per year rose from 26 in the mid eighties to 34 in 1998. The mortality rate among IDUs proved much higher compared to the general population of the same age (13-fold, 95% CI 11.3-14.6). The proportion of all deaths attributable to regular use of illegal opiates in the 15-34 age group in the general population in 1991 was 16%. HIV prevalence was not a significant factor in suicides and deaths by overdose. Conclusions: The mortality rate was 13 times greater than in the general population. To be female and to have dropped out of any kind of treatment proved an important risk factor for overdose. The fall in deaths from AIDS enhances the problem to prevent and treat HCV infection. Decisions in drug projects, in research and in training should be influenced by the strikingly high percentage of deaths due to drug use (AU)

Sudden death in Staphylococcus aureus-associated infective endocarditis due to perforation of a free-wall myocardial abscess.

Free-wall myocardial abscess perforation with hemopericardium and sudden death is an extremely infrequent complication of infective endocarditis (IE). We describe a case of Staphylococcus aureus-associated native aortic and tricuspid valve endocarditis complicated by a septic myocardial infarction and abscess formation of embolic origin, with fatal rupture into the pericardium. To our knowledge, only 2 cases of myocardial abscess rupture have previously been reported in relation to IE.

Study of 2708 heroin-related deaths in north-eastern Italy 1985-98 to establish the main causes of death.

AIMS: To ascertain the causes of deaths among a very large cohort of heroin injecting drug users (IDUs) who, from 1985 to 1998, attended 36 Public Health Authority Centres for Drug Users (PCDUs) in north-eastern Italy. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of data, obtained from the Annual Register of each Centre and the Municipal Registry Office of each local health district. SETTING: Thirty-six PCDUs in north-eastern Italy and Medical Service for Addictive Disorders of the University of Verona. PARTICIPANTS: All IDUs who had sought medical care at least once in the PCDUs during the study period. FINDINGS: Of 2708 deaths, overdose was found to be the major cause (37%), followed by AIDS (32.5%) and road accidents (9.4%). The percentage of deaths due to AIDS increased steadily from 2.7% in 1985 to 42.2% in 1996, and then decreased to 16.9% in 1998. Deaths due to overdose remained almost constant. The average age of death per year rose from 26 in the mid eighties to 34 in 1998. The mortality rate among IDUs proved much higher compared to the general population of the same age (13-fold, 95% CI, 11.3-14.6). The proportion of all deaths attributable to regular use of illegal opiates in the 15-34 age group in the general population in 1991 was 16%. HIV prevalence was not a significant factor in suicides and deaths by overdose. CONCLUSIONS: The mortality rate was 13 times greater than in the general population. To be female and to have dropped out of any kind of treatment proved an important risk factor for overdose. The fall in deaths from AIDS enhances the problem to prevent and treat HCV infection. Decisions in drug projects, in research and in training should be influenced by the strikingly high percentage of deaths due to drug use.

Isolated presence of antibody to hepatitis B core antigen in injection drug users: do they need to be vaccinated?

In a study of 497 injection drug users who had isolated presence of antibody to hepatitis B core antigen (anti-HBc) at the time of enrollment, 404 (81%) retained this condition after a mean of 49 months of follow-up, during which time no new hepatitis B surface antigen marker was detected. These findings support the hypothesis that patients with isolated presence of anti-HBc have strong resistance to reinfection and do not need vaccination.

Aortocardiac fistulas complicating infective endocarditis.

This study sought to determine the clinical and echocardiographic features, surgical approach, and outcome of patients with infective endocarditis complicated with aortocardiac fistulas among a series of 346 consecutive cases between 1988 and 1998. Nine patients (2%) were found to have aortocardiac fistulas complicating infective endocarditis caused by highly pyogenic pathogens (4 patients had ruptured abscesses of the right sinus of Valsalva, 3 had fistulous communications from the left coronary sinus, and 1 had a fistulized abscess in the noncoronary sinus). Mortality in these patients was very high (55%), even when surgery was attempted early in the course of the disease and reconstructive procedures were implemented.

[Guidelines on drug donations are not sufficient for effective coordination: the case of Mostar in former Yugoslavia]. / Le linee guida sulla donazione di farmaci non sono sufficienti per un coordinamento efficace: il caso di Mostar nella ex Yugoslavia.

This article deals with the problem of restoring and repairing the supply and distribution of drugs, a vital service damaged by long-term conflicts. During the post-war situation in Bosnia the Authors have been actively involved in the implementation of the Drugs Management Programme whose principal aims were as follows: 1) rationalise the arrival and storage of new drugs; 2) utilise efficiently the stocks of drugs and medical materials at hand; 3) cope with the steady post-war decrease of humanitarian aid drug donations; 4) eliminate the large quantities of expired or inappropriate drugs. The experience stresses the need that all EU countries adopt as far as possible the strict WHO guidelines in their donations to countries in emergency situations. However a very flexible organisation should be set up immediately after the conflict in order to tackle all the problems that, no doubt, will appear in the aftermath of a war.

A multicentre study on the causes of death among Italian injecting drug users. AIDS has overtaken overdose as the principal cause of death.

The causes of death among injecting drug users. (IDUs) are still being discussed worldwide. We analysed the causes of death among IDUs attending 26 centres for drug users in North-Eastern Italy from 1985 to 1994. The study of a total number of 1,022 deaths reveals the following: (1) AIDS has become the primary cause of death among IDUs since 1991 and is rising even in an area with a moderate HIV seroprevalence; (2) the mean age of death in AIDS patients proved higher than among patients who died of other causes (which may be due to the long incubation period of AIDS); (3) our data do not reveal higher HIV seroprevalence among IDUs who died of overdose and suicide as opposed to IDUs who died of other causes; (4) the mortality rate in IDUs is significantly higher when compared to that of the general population in the same age group.