RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: There is little information about serum phosphate levels among patients with pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) and HIV infection. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the role of TB, HIV, inflammation and other correlates on serum phosphate levels. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted among TB patients and age- and sex-matched non-TB controls. Pulmonary TB patients were categorized as sputum -negative and -positive, based on culture. Age- and sex-matched non-TB controls were randomly selected among neighbours to sputum-positive TB patients. Data on age, sex, alcohol and smoking habits were obtained. HIV status, serum phosphate, and the acute phase reactants C-reactive protein (serum CRP) and α1-acid glycoprotein (serum AGP) were determined. Linear regression analysis was used to identify correlates of serum phosphate. RESULTS: Of 1605 participants, 355 (22.1%) were controls and 1250 (77.9%) TB patients, of which 9.9% and 50.4% were HIV-infected. Serum phosphate was determined before start of TB treatment in 44%, and 1-14 days after start of treatment in 56%. Serum phosphate was up to 0.10 mmol/L higher 1-3 days after start of TB treatment, and lowest 4 days after treatment, after which it increased. In multivariable analysis, TB patients had 0.09 (95% CI: 0.05; 0.13) mmol/L higher serum phosphate than controls, and those with HIV had 0.05 (95% CI: 0.01; 0.08) mmol/L higher levels than those without. Smoking was also a positive correlate of serum phosphate, whereas male sex and age were negative correlates. CONCLUSION: While HIV and TB are associated with higher serum phosphate, our data suggest that TB treatment is followed by transient reductions in serum phosphate, which may reflect hypophosphataemia in some patients.
Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH/sangre , Inflamación/sangre , Fosfatos/sangre , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/sangre , Proteínas de Fase Aguda/metabolismo , Adulto , Proteína C-Reactiva/metabolismo , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Humanos , Inflamación/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estado Nutricional , Factores de Riesgo , Esputo/microbiología , Tanzanía/epidemiología , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/tratamiento farmacológico , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
SETTING: Tanzania is classified as one of the 22 high tuberculosis (TB) burden countries; however, the true burden of TB disease in the country remains unknown. OBJECTIVE: To assess the prevalence of bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary TB (PTB) in the adult population. DESIGN: This was a community-based cluster randomised survey with proportional-to-population-size selection of primary sampling units (districts). Participants were screened for TB using a symptom questionnaire and chest X-ray (CXR). Those with abnormal CXR and/or at least one symptom suggestive of TB were classified as individuals with presumptive TB, and asked to submit three sputum specimens for smear microscopy and culture. RESULTS: The weighted prevalence for sputum smear-positive TB cases was 249 per 100 000 adult population (95%CI 192-305) and that for bacteriologically confirmed TB cases was 293/100 000 (95%CI 228-358). Individuals aged ⩾45 years comprised 55% (71/129) of the identified smear-positive cases, but just 28% (6793/24 648) of the notified TB cases. CXR screening identified more TB cases than symptom screening. When weighted for human immunodeficiency virus prevalence among notified new smear-positive cases, the overall case detection of incident TB cases in 2012 was between 37% and 48%. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of sputum smear-positive PTB and bacteriologically confirmed PTB in the adult population was higher than previous World Health Organization estimates. There is a potential underestimation of the number of bacteriologically confirmed PTB cases in the adult population. The age distribution of prevalent cases suggests an epidemiological shift towards the older generations, which has been a sign of successful TB control activities in the past. However, the survey shows that many infectious TB cases are currently missed by the National Tuberculosis Programme.
Asunto(s)
Mycobacterium tuberculosis/aislamiento & purificación , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Distribución por Edad , Anciano , Técnicas Bacteriológicas , Femenino , Encuestas Epidemiológicas , Humanos , Masculino , Tamizaje Masivo/métodos , Microscopía , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Prevalencia , Radiografía Torácica , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Esputo/microbiología , Tanzanía/epidemiología , Factores de Tiempo , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/diagnóstico por imagen , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/microbiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
SETTING: The study was conducted within a nation-wide population-based tuberculosis (TB) prevalence survey in the adult population in Tanzania. OBJECTIVE: To assess the health care-seeking behaviour of coughers presumed to have TB. DESIGN: A survey in which participants were screened for TB using a symptom questionnaire and chest X-ray (CXR). Those with cough of ⩾ 2 weeks and/or who were coughing blood were interviewed about their health care-seeking behaviour and socio-demographic and clinical factors. RESULTS: Of 3388 people with presumptive TB, 31.0% (1051/3388) had sought treatment for their symptoms. Of these, about 42% (445/1051) sought care at sites with TB diagnostic capacity, where sputum examination was performed in 37.1% (165/445) and CXR in 28.1% (125/445). In sites with limited TB diagnostic capacity, fewer than 1% were referred for sputum examination or CXR. Individuals with additional symptoms were more likely to seek treatment. Knowledge about TB was significantly associated with care seeking at sites with TB diagnostic capacity. CONCLUSIONS: A third of the persons with cough symptoms consistent with TB had sought health care. About 42% sought care in sites with TB diagnostic capacity, but most did not undergo TB diagnostic procedures, precluding a timely diagnosis.
Asunto(s)
Tos/epidemiología , Tos/psicología , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/epidemiología , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/psicología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Técnicas Bacteriológicas , Tos/diagnóstico , Tos/microbiología , Tos/terapia , Femenino , Encuestas Epidemiológicas , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/aislamiento & purificación , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Prevalencia , Pronóstico , Radiografía Torácica , Esputo/microbiología , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Tanzanía/epidemiología , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/microbiología , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/terapia , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Gains in fat mass and lean mass during tuberculosis (TB) treatment may determine functional recovery and survival; yet, data are scarce. We aimed to assess predictors of fat and fat-free mass during 2 months of intensive TB treatment in a cohort in Mwanza, Tanzania. SUBJECTS/METHODS: Fat and fat-free mass were determined at the start of TB treatment and repeated after 2 months using the deuterium dilution technique. Gains in fat and fat-free mass were determined and predictors assessed using regression analysis. RESULTS: Data for 116 patients were available at baseline and during follow-up. Of these, 38.8% were females, mean age was 37.3 (s.d. 13.5) years, 69% (81) had sputum-positive TB, 45.7% (53) were HIV infected and 25% (29) were current smokers. The mean weight gain was 3.3 kg (95% confidence interval: 2.7; 3.8), and it did not differ by sex. However, compared with females, males had 1.0 (0.4; 1.6) kg/m(2) lower fat mass but 0.7 (0.2; 1.3) kg/m(2) higher fat-free mass gain. Current smoking was associated with higher fat mass (0.7 kg/m(2), 0.04; 1.4) but lower fat-free mass (-0.5 kg/m(2), -1.2; 0.07) gain. Among HIV-infected patients, antiretroviral therapy (ART) led to a lower fat gain (-1.2 kg/m(2), -2.2; -0.2) but to a higher fat-free mass among sputum-negative (2.9 kg/m(2), 0.8; 5.1) but not sputum-positive patients. CONCLUSIONS: During intensive phase of TB treatment, sex, smoking and ART were predictors of body composition. Larger studies are needed to further understand predictors of body composition during recovery, to help design interventions to improve treatment outcomes.
Asunto(s)
Tejido Adiposo/metabolismo , Fármacos Anti-VIH/efectos adversos , Composición Corporal , Compartimentos de Líquidos Corporales/metabolismo , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Fumar/efectos adversos , Tuberculosis/complicaciones , Adulto , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Factores Sexuales , Esputo , Tanzanía , Tuberculosis/terapia , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
SETTING: Arusha, Mwanza, Mufindi and Kilosa in Tanzania. OBJECTIVE: To assess the test characteristics of three indirect adherence measures against a gold standard of direct measurements of drug intake for use in a resource-constrained setting. METHODS: We assessed sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV), and the diagnostic odds ratio (dORs) of three indirect adherence measurement tools against direct measurement in urine using the IsoScreen assay. RESULTS: The single adherence question of missed doses in the last 2 days had the highest dOR (40.3) compared to the Morisky medication adherence scale (MMAS, 2.5) and pill counts (3.4). The sensitivities of these measures were respectively 97.9%, 92% and 89.6%. Specificity ranged from 46.4% (adherence question) to 17.9% (MMAS). The PPVs of adherence question, pill counts and MMAS were respectively 97.6%, 96.5% and 94.2%, while the NPVs ranged from 50% (adherence question) to 3.1% (MMAS). CONCLUSION: Among several instruments for indirect adherence measure in the routine setting of the Tanzanian National Tuberculosis and Leprosy Programme, a single adherence question was found to have the best discriminatory power. However, the single adherence question might not adequately identify patients who are non-adherent. Confirmatory studies are needed, especially in settings with low adherence rates.
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Antituberculosos/uso terapéutico , Cumplimiento de la Medicación , Tuberculosis/tratamiento farmacológico , Adulto , Antituberculosos/administración & dosificación , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Tanzanía , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
SUMMARY: We assessed the role of tuberculosis (TB) disease and HIV infection on the level of physical activity. A combined heart rate and movement sensor was used to assess habitual physical activity in TB patients and non-TB controls. The association between sputum-negative TB, sputum-positive TB, HIV and physical activity estimates were assessed in multivariable linear regression models adjusted for age, sex, haemoglobin and alpha-1-acid glycoprotein (AGP). Sputum-positive [eB 0·43, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0·29-0·64] and sputum-negative (eB 0·67, 95% CI 0·47-0·94) TB as well as HIV infection (eB 0·59, 95% CI 0·46-0·75) were associated with reduced activity compared to controls. Anaemia accounted for a substantial part of the effects of HIV, while elevated AGP primarily mediated the TB effect. The level of physical activity is highly influenced by TB and HIV, and mainly mediated through anaemia of infection and associated with elevated acute phase response.
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Acelerometría , Frecuencia Cardíaca/fisiología , Monitoreo Fisiológico , Actividad Motora , Tuberculosis/epidemiología , Tuberculosis/metabolismo , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , TanzaníaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: As diabetes impairs tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes, it is essential to identify diabetes among TB patients. While little is known about predictors of diabetes among healthy individuals in Africa, predictors among TB patients are almost non-existent. OBJECTIVE: To assess potential predictors for diabetes among newly diagnosed pulmonary TB patients in Tanzania. METHODS: TB patients were tested for diabetes using an oral glucose tolerance test, demographic information was collected and anthropometric measurements taken. The association between diabetes and possible predictors were examined using logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Of 1205 TB patients, 16.4% (n = 197) had diabetes, 9.0% (n = 108) were aged ≥55 years, 3.3% (n = 40) were overweight (body mass index [BMI] ≥ 25 kg/m(2)) and 12.7% (n = 152) severely underweight (BMI < 16 kg/m(2)). Diabetes was most prevalent in the 45-55 year age group, and increasing weight, BMI and waist circumference were associated with diabetes. Severe underweight (BMI < 16 kg/m(2)) among male TB patients (sex-BMI interaction, P = 0.02) was associated with diabetes (OR 2.52, P = 0.004). CONCLUSION: Diabetes is a common comorbidity among TB patients. Although diabetes was associated with obesity and was more prevalent among the middle-aged, the majority of TB patients with diabetes comorbidity were young and lean. With diabetes as a major risk factor for TB, and with the lack of strong predictors for diabetes, universal diabetes screening should be implemented in the TB programme.
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Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Sobrepeso/epidemiología , Delgadez/epidemiología , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/epidemiología , Salud Urbana , Adulto , Índice de Masa Corporal , Distribución de Chi-Cuadrado , Comorbilidad , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnóstico , Femenino , Prueba de Tolerancia a la Glucosa , Humanos , Modelos Lineales , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Oportunidad Relativa , Sobrepeso/diagnóstico , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Prevalencia , Factores de Riesgo , Factores Sexuales , Tanzanía/epidemiología , Delgadez/diagnóstico , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Circunferencia de la Cintura , Aumento de Peso , Adulto JovenAsunto(s)
Infecciones Oportunistas Relacionadas con el SIDA/diagnóstico , Quimiocina CXCL10/análisis , Infecciones por VIH/metabolismo , Tuberculosis Latente/diagnóstico , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/aislamiento & purificación , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Biomarcadores/análisis , Femenino , Humanos , Pruebas Inmunológicas , Masculino , Estudios Prospectivos , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Factores Sexuales , TanzaníaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To assess the prevalence of anti-tuberculosis drug resistance in a national representative sample of tuberculosis (TB) patients in Tanzania according to recommended methodology. DESIGN: Cluster survey, with 40 clusters sampled proportional to size, of notified TB patients from all diagnostic centres in the country. RESULTS: The survey enrolled 1019 new and 148 retreatment patients. The adjusted prevalence of Mycobacterium tuberculosis strains resistant to any of the four first-line drugs in new patients was 8.3%, while the prevalence of multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB) was 1.1%. In retreatment patients, the crude prevalence for any resistance and for MDR-TB was respectively 20.6% and 3.9%. The prevalence of drug resistance did not differ in relapse patients compared to failure patients. These estimates are among the lowest in those African countries with an estimated level of drug resistance in the last 5 years. CONCLUSION: The low levels of drug resistance in Tanzania are likely due to a well performing TB control programme and the absence of noticeable involvement of the private sector in TB treatment.
Asunto(s)
Antituberculosos/uso terapéutico , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana/efectos de los fármacos , Tuberculosis Resistente a Múltiples Medicamentos/tratamiento farmacológico , Adolescente , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/aislamiento & purificación , Prevalencia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Tanzanía/epidemiología , Resultado del Tratamiento , Tuberculosis Resistente a Múltiples Medicamentos/diagnóstico , Tuberculosis Resistente a Múltiples Medicamentos/epidemiología , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
To estimate the weight deficit and body composition of cases of pulmonary TB (PTB), and assess the roles of HIV and the acute-phase response, a cross-sectional study was carried out in Tanzania. Weight, body mass index (BMI), arm muscle area (AMA), arm fat area (AFA) and the serum concentration of the acute-phase protein alpha(1)-antichymotrypsin (serum ACT) were evaluated for each of 532 cases of PTB and 150 'non-TB' controls. On average, the female cases of PTB not only weighed 7.8 kg less but also had BMI that were 3.1-kg/m(2) lower, AMA that were 14.8-cm(2) lower, and AFA that were 7.6-cm(2) lower than those seen in the female subjects without TB. Similarly, on average, the male cases of PTB weighed 7.1 kg less and had BMI that were 2.5-kg/m(2) lower, AMA that were 18.8-cm(2) lower and AFA that were 1.6-cm(2) lower than those seen in the male subjects without TB. Although HIV infection was associated with a 1.7-kg lower weight and a 0.6-kg/m(2) lower BMI (with deficits in both AMA and AFA) among males, it was not associated with any such deficits among the female subjects. Elevated serum ACT was found to be a negative predictor of BMI, AMA and AFA, partially explaining the effects of the PTB but not those of the HIV. There is need for a better understanding of the determinants and effects of loss of fat and lean body mass in HIV-positive tuberculosis.
Asunto(s)
Composición Corporal , Seropositividad para VIH/epidemiología , VIH/inmunología , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/epidemiología , alfa 1-Antiquimotripsina/sangre , Reacción de Fase Aguda/sangre , Adolescente , Adulto , Pesos y Medidas Corporales , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Seropositividad para VIH/sangre , Seropositividad para VIH/patología , Humanos , Modelos Lineales , Masculino , Embarazo , Distribución por Sexo , Esputo/microbiología , Tanzanía/epidemiología , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/sangre , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/patologíaRESUMEN
This study was carried out in Ilala and Kinondoni Municipalities in Tanzania to explore the perceptions of Tuberculosis (TB), and treatment seeking behaviour, among patients attending healthcare facilities. The study was conducted in four randomly selected health facilities providing directly observed treatment (DOT). Exit interviews were administered to 69 randomly selected TB patients. The mean age of the respondents was 33.2 years (range = 11-72 years). Forty-six (66.7%) of the patients had primary school education. Fifty-nine (84.1%) patients had good knowledge on the transmission of TB. Majority (75%) of the respondents were of the opinion that the incidence of TB was on the increase and this was mainly associated with HIV/AIDS epidemic. All respondents knew that TB was a curable disease if one complies with the treatment. Sixty-four (60%) respondents had good knowledge on the correct duration of tuberculosis treatment. The median duration before seeking treatment from a health facility was 1.5 months. The majority of the patients 47 (68%) visited public health facilities for treatment as their first action. Overall, 83.8% (57/68) respondents said females comply better with treatment than male patients. The majority of the respondents lived within a walking distance to a healthcare facility. Only 18.8% (13/69) had to spend an average of US$ 0.2-0.3 as travel costs to the healthcare facility. Most of the respondents (57.8%) said they were well attended by service providers. Half (21/42) and 59.3% (16/27) of the males and females, respectively, mentioned good patient-service provider relationship as an important reason for satisfaction of the service (chi2 = 0.57, df = 1, P > 0.005). Twenty-nine (42%) of respondents were of the opinion that female TB patients conformed better to treatment than males and a similar number thought that both of them equally conformed to treatment. Findings from this study indicate that a large population in urban settings are aware that health facilities play a major role in TB treatment. In conclusion, there is a need to further explore how this information could potentially be used to enhance early seeking of appropriate services among TB patients in the era of rapid urbanization. Strategies in the control of TB and other diseases should focus on advocacy in seeking appropriate care.
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Aceptación de la Atención de Salud , Cooperación del Paciente , Tuberculosis/tratamiento farmacológico , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Distribución de Chi-Cuadrado , Niño , Femenino , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud , Humanos , Incidencia , Entrevistas como Asunto , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Satisfacción del Paciente , Tanzanía/epidemiología , Tuberculosis/epidemiología , Tuberculosis/transmisión , Población UrbanaRESUMEN
This study was carried out in Ilala and Kinondoni Municipalities in Tanzania to explore the perceptions of Tuberculosis (TB); and treatment seeking behaviour; among patients attending healthcare facilities. The study was conducted in four randomly selected health facilities providing directly observed treatment (DOT). Exit interviews were administered to 69 randomly selected TB patients. The mean age of the respondents was 33.2 years (range= 11-72 years). Forty-six (66.7) of the patients had primary school education. Fifty-nine (84.1) patients had good knowledge on the transmission of TB. Majority (75) of the respondents were of the opinion that the incidence of TB was on the increase and this was mainly associated with HIV/AIDS epidemic. All respondents knew that TB was a curable disease if one complies with the treatment. Sixty-four (60) respondents had good knowledge on the correct duration of tuberculosis treatment. The median duration before seeking treatment from a health facility was 1.5 months. The majority of the patients 47 (68) visited public health facilities for treatment as their ?rst action. Overall; 83.8(57/68) respondents said females comply better with treatment than male patients. The majority of the respondents lived within a walking distance to a healthcare facility. Only 18.8(13/69) had to spend an average of US$ 0.2-0.3 as travel costs to the healthcare facility. Most of the respondents (57.8) said they were well attended by service providers. Half (21/42) and 59.3(16/27) of the males and females; respectively; mentioned good patient-service provider relationship as an important reason for satisfaction of the service (?2 =0.57; df=1; P0.005). Twenty-nine (42) of respondents were of the opinion that female TB patients conformed better to treatment than males and a similar number thought that both of them equally conformed to treatment. Findings from this study indicate that a large population in urban settings are aware that health facilities play a major role in TB treatment. In conclusion; there is a need to further explore how this information could potentially be used to enhance early seeking of appropriate services among TB patients in the era of rapid urbanization. Strategies in the control of TB and other diseases should focus on advocacy in seeking appropriate care
Asunto(s)
Actitud , Terapia por Observación Directa , Instituciones de Salud , Percepción , Tuberculosis/terapiaRESUMEN
A cross-sectional study was conducted in Mwanza, Tanzania, to determine the burden of HIV and parasitic co-infections among patients who were confirmed or suspected cases of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB). Of the 655 patients investigated, 532 (81.2%) had been confirmed as PTB cases, by microscopy and/or culture (PTB+), whereas the other 123 (18.8%) were only suspected cases, on the basis of other clinical criteria (PTB-). Hookworm and Schistosoma mansoni infections were common in the patients, with prevalences of 18% and 34%, respectively. Malarial, Ascaris lumbricoides, Trichuris trichiura and Strongyloides stercoralis infections were less common, each recorded at a prevalence of <5%. The PTB+ patients were less likely to be HIV-positive than the PTB- patients (43.6% v. 62.6%; P<0.0001). Among the PTB+ patients, the HIV-positive had a significantly lower prevalence (12.1% v. 25%; P<0.0001) and mean intensity (49 v. 123 eggs/g; P=0.003) of hookworm infection than the HIV-negative. The PTB patients in the study area were, however, still frequently co-infected with HIV and with parasitic infections that may increase morbidity and accelerate the progression of HIV disease.
Asunto(s)
Infecciones por VIH/epidemiología , Enfermedades Parasitarias/epidemiología , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/complicaciones , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Transversales , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Infecciones por Uncinaria/epidemiología , Humanos , Malaria/epidemiología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Enfermedades Parasitarias/complicaciones , Prevalencia , Tanzanía/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To determine the trend in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevalence among tuberculosis patients in Tanzania and estimate what proportion of the increase in notification rates between the surveys was directly attributable to HIV infection. METHODS: Consecutive tuberculosis patients were enrolled over 6-month periods in most regions. Demographic and clinical data were collected on standard forms and a single HIV ELISA test performed. Trends in tuberculosis incidence were estimated from regional notification data. RESULTS: Of 10612 eligible tuberculosis patients, 44% had HIV infection, compared with 32% in the previous survey. The largest increase was observed in the youngest birth cohorts, suggesting active HIV transmission. Approximately 60% of the increase in notification rates of smear-positive tuberculosis between surveys was directly attributable to HIV infection. CONCLUSION: The HIV epidemic has had a strong influence on tuberculosis incidence. However, since 1995, tuberculosis notification data have increased less steeply, AIDS notifications have gone down, and HIV prevalence in blood donors has not increased a great deal. Another survey among tuberculosis patients in 5 years' time may show whether the HIV epidemic in Tanzania has reached a maximum or steady state.