Discharge after discharge: predicting surgical site infections after patients leave hospital.

In this population-based retrospective cohort study, we examined the frequency, severity, and prediction of post-discharge surgical site infections (SSIs). We evaluated all patients admitted for their first elective surgical procedure in Ontario, Canada, between 1 April 2002 and 31 March 2008. Procedure and patient characteristics were derived from linked hospital, emergency room and physician claims databases within Canada's universal healthcare system. The 30 day risk of SSI was derived from the initial hospital admission, outpatient consultations, return emergency room visits and readmissions. The cohort included 622 683 patients, of whom 84 081 (13.5%) were diagnosed with SSI, and more than half (48 725) were diagnosed post-discharge. Post-discharge infections were associated with an increased risk of reoperation (odds ratio: 2.28; 95% confidence interval: 2.11-2.48), return emergency room visit (9.08; 8.89-9.27), and readmission (6.16; 5.98-6.35). The most common risk index predicted incremental increases in the risk of in-hospital SSI, but did not predict increases in the risk of post-discharge infection. Patients with post-discharge infections had baseline characteristics more akin to uninfected patients than patients with in-hospital infections. Predictors of post-discharge infection included shorter procedure duration, shorter length of stay, rural residence, alcoholism, diabetes and obesity. Post-discharge SSIs are frequent, severe, scattered over time and location, and hard to predict using common risk indices. They represent an important hidden burden in our healthcare system.

Risk of premature stroke in recent immigrants (PRESARIO): population-based matched cohort study.

BACKGROUND: New immigrants to North America, most of whom are under age 50 years, exhibit fewer risk factors for cardiovascular disease than their native-born counterparts, yet the stress of resettlement may conceivably place them at higher risk of stroke. We determined the risk of acute stroke associated with recency of immigration. METHODS: We completed a population-based matched cohort study in Ontario, the largest province in Canada, from April 1, 1995, to March 31, 2007. Overall, 965,829 new immigrants were matched to 3,272,393 long-term residents by year of birth, sex, and location. New immigrants were identified as new recipients of universally available public health insurance, and long-term residents were those insured for 5 years or longer. RESULTS: The mean age of the participants at study entry was about 34 years and the total number of observed strokes was 6,216 after a median duration of follow-up of about 6 years. The incidence rate of acute stroke was 1.69 per 10,000 person-years among new immigrants and 2.56 per 10,000 person-years among long-term residents (crude hazard ratio [HR] 0.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.62-0.71). After adjusting for age, income quintile, urban vs rural residence, history of hypertension, diabetes mellitus and smoking, and number of health insurance claims, the HR for stroke was 0.69 (95% CI 0.64-0.74). Similar risk estimates were seen for both ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke subtypes. CONCLUSION: New immigrants appear to be at lower risk of premature acute stroke than long-term residents. This finding does not appear to be explained by the availability of health care services or income level.

Myocardial infarction associated with recency of immigration to Ontario.

BACKGROUND: New immigrants to North America exhibit lower rates of obesity and hypertension than their native-born counterparts. Whether this is reflected by a lower relative risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is not known. OBJECTIVE: To determine the risk of AMI among new immigrants compared to long-term residents, and, among those who develop AMI, their short- and long-term mortality rate. DESIGN: Population-based, matched, retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Entire province of Ontario, the most populated province in Canada, from 1 April 1995 to 31 March 2007. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 965,829 new immigrants were matched to 3,272,393 long-term residents by year of birth, sex and geographic location. MEASUREMENTS: The main study outcome was hospitalization with a most responsible diagnosis of AMI. Secondary study outcomes among those who sustained an AMI were in-hospital, 30-day and 1-year mortality. RESULTS: The mean age of the participants at study entry was approximately 34 years. The incidence rate of AMI was 4.14 per 10,000 person-years among new immigrants and 6.61 per 10,000 person-years among long-term residents. After adjusting for age, income quintile, urban vs. rural residence, history of hypertension, diabetes mellitus and smoking and number of health insurance claims, the hazard ratio for AMI was 0.66 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.63-0.69]. CONCLUSION: New immigrants appear to be at lower risk of AMI than long-term residents. This finding does not appear to be explained by the availability of health-care services or income level.

The health of homeless immigrants.

BACKGROUND: This study examined the association between immigrant status and current health in a representative sample of 1189 homeless people in Toronto, Canada. METHODS: Multivariate regression analyses were performed to examine the relationship between immigrant status and current health status (assessed using the SF-12) among homeless recent immigrants (< or = 10 years since immigration), non-recent immigrants (>10 years since immigration) and Canadian-born individuals recruited at shelters and meal programmes (response rate 73%). RESULTS: After adjusting for demographic characteristics and lifetime duration of homelessness, recent immigrants were significantly less likely to have chronic conditions (RR 0.7, 95% CI 0.5 to 0.9), mental health problems (OR 0.4, 95% CI 0.2 to 0.7), alcohol problems (OR 0.2, 95% CI 0.1 to 0.5) and drug problems (OR 0.2, 95% CI 0.1 to 0.4) than non-recent immigrants and Canadian-born individuals. Recent immigrants were also more likely to have better mental health status (+3.4 points, SE +/-1.6) and physical health status (+2.2 points, SE +/-1.3) on scales with a mean of 50 and a SD of 10 in the general population. CONCLUSION: Homeless recent immigrants are a distinct group who are generally healthier and may have very different service needs from other homeless people.

The impact of home nocturnal hemodialysis on end-stage renal disease therapies: a decision analysis.

Home nocturnal hemodialysis (HNHD) is cost-effective relative to in-center hemodialysis (IHD) in short-run analyses. The effect in long-run analyses, when technique failures, declining benefits, delayed training, transplantation and death are considered, is unknown. We used decision analysis techniques to examine the relative cost-effectiveness of HNHD and IHD, projecting future costs and health effects over a lifetime with end-stage renal disease. We developed a Markov state-transition model comparing two strategies: only IHD or starting on IHD and subsequently transferring to HNHD. The model incorporates transplantation. In the base case, half the population was eligible for transplantation, with (1/3) of grafts from live donors. The time to transplant was 0.75 years for live and 5 years for deceased donor transplants. The delay before initiation of HNHD was 5 years. Costs and outcomes were discounted at 3% per annum. Model parameters were derived from a literature review. We also conducted one-way sensitivity analyses and Monte Carlo simulations. The HNHD strategy was associated with a quality-adjusted survival estimate of 5.79 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), with lifetime costs of $538 094. The values for IHD were 5.31 QALYs and $543 602, respectively. Thus, HNHD is cost saving while improving quality of life. The incremental cost-utility ratio was consistently less than $50 000 per QALY in sensitivity and Monte Carlo analyses. Important determinants of cost-effectiveness were transplantation time and whether benefits declined over time. Our model suggests that HNHD improves quality-adjusted survival over IHD at an economically attractive cost-effectiveness ratio.

Assessing damage in individual joints in rheumatoid arthritis: a new method based on the Larsen system.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate observer agreement using the Larsen system (LS) and a Modified Larsen system (ML) when assessing individual joints of the hands and wrists in rheumatoid arthritis, and to compare the two systems. To determine the minimally important difference (MID) for the ML. METHODS: Thirty radiographs of hands and wrists from 10 patients who presented with RA were graded by two blinded observers, using the LS and then the ML. Patients were followed for a mean of 7.2 years (range: 4-10 years). Inter- and intra-observer agreement were calculated using the kappa statistic with linear incremental weights. Inter-observer agreement was also computed for the summed score, using an intraclass correlation coefficient. Inter-observer error was estimated by calculating the mean and standard deviation of the grading differences between the two observers. Prevalence of damage was calculated as a ratio of damage: no damage and expressed as a percentage. Pairs of radiographs were comparatively graded using a seven-point Likert scale. RESULTS: The kappa statistic for inter-observer agreement was 0.38 (marginal reproducibility) for the LS and 0.52 (good reproducibility) for the ML (P = 0.004). Using a difference of one grade as perfect agreement, it was 0.56 (good reproducibility) for the LS and 0.87 (excellent reproducibility) for the ML (P = 0.001). Intra-observer agreement was high in both systems. The distribution of ML-grade differences varied according to the level of the Likert scale: for "a little bit worse", representing the smallest amount of detectable damage progression, the distribution differences peaked around two grades. This value represented a MID 87% of the time. CONCLUSIONS: The LS lacks precision for individual joints. The ML, it is proposed, has more detailed definitions of grades, and is more reliable. When pairs of radiographs were compared, a two-grade difference on the ML was the MID.

Longevity of screenwriters who win an academy award: longitudinal study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the link between high success and longevity extends to academy award winning screenwriters. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort analysis. PARTICIPANTS: All screenwriters ever nominated for an academy award. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Life expectancy and all cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 850 writers were nominated; the median duration of follow up from birth was 68 years; and 428 writers died. On average, winners were more successful than nominees, as indicated by a 14% longer career (27.7 v 24.2, P=0.004), 34% more total films (23.2 v 17.3, P<0.001), 58% more four star films (4.8 v 3.1, P<0.001), and 62% more nominations (2.1 v 1.3, P<0.001). However, life expectancy was 3.6 years shorter for winners than for nominees (74.1 v 77.7 years, P=0.004), equivalent to a 37% relative increase in death rates (95% confidence interval 10 to 70). After adjustment for year of birth, sex, and other factors, a 35% relative increase in death rates was found (7% to 70%). Additional wins were associated with a 22% relative increase in death rates (3% to 44%). Additional nominations and additional other films in a career otherwise caused no significant increase in death rates. CONCLUSION: The link between occupational achievement and longevity is reversed in screenwriters who win academy awards. Doubt is cast on simple biological theories for the survival gradients found for other members of society.

Emergency department overcrowding following systematic hospital restructuring: trends at twenty hospitals over ten years.

OBJECTIVE: Hospital restructuring often results in fewer inpatient beds, increased ambulatory services, and closures of hospitals or emergency departments (EDs). The authors sought to determine the impact of systematic hospital restructuring on ED overcrowding. METHODS: Time series analyses of average monthly overcrowding for EDs in Toronto, Ontario, Canada, from 1991 and 2000 (n = 20 hospitals, 120 months) were conducted. Autoregression models evaluated the rate of increase of overcrowding before and during systematic restructuring. A secondary analysis included total ED visits, patient age, and sex distribution as covariates. Seasonality was assessed by means of spectral analysis. RESULTS: Severe and moderate overcrowding averaged 3% and 14% of the time each month, respectively, over the whole period. Before restructuring (n = 74 months), severe and moderate overcrowding averaged 0.5% and 9% per month, respectively; during restructuring (n = 46 months), the monthly averages were 6% and 23%, respectively. Neither severe nor moderate overcrowding was increasing before restructuring. During restructuring, however, both increased significantly (severe 0.2% per month [p < 0.0001]; moderate 0.5% per month [p < 0.0001]). Similar results were found after controlling for ED utilization. Female gender independently predicted increased overcrowding; older age predicted reduced moderate overcrowding; number of total visits was not a predictor. Spectral analysis revealed significant seasonality in overcrowding. CONCLUSIONS: Hospital restructuring was associated with increased ED overcrowding, even after controlling for utilization and patient demographics. Restructuring should proceed slowly to allow time for monitoring of its effects and modification of the process, because the impact of incremental reductions in hospital resources may be magnified as maximum operating capacity is approached.

Mortality among patients admitted to hospitals on weekends as compared with weekdays.

BACKGROUND: The level of staffing in hospitals is often lower on weekends than on weekdays, despite a presumably consistent day-to-day burden of disease. It is uncertain whether in-hospital mortality rates among patients with serious conditions differ according to whether they are admitted on a weekend or on a weekday. METHODS: We analyzed all acute care admissions from emergency departments in Ontario, Canada, between 1988 and 1997 (a total of 3,789,917 admissions). We compared in-hospital mortality among patients admitted on a weekend with that among patients admitted on a weekday for three prespecified diseases: ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (5454 admissions), acute epiglottitis (1139), and pulmonary embolism (11,686) and for three control diseases: myocardial infarction (160,220), intracerebral hemorrhage (10,987), and acute hip fracture (59,670), as well as for the 100 conditions that were the most common causes of death (accounting for 1,820,885 admissions). RESULTS: Weekend admissions were associated with significantly higher in-hospital mortality rates than were weekday admissions among patients with ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (42 percent vs. 36 percent, P<0.001), acute epiglottitis (1.7 percent vs. 0.3 percent, P=0.04), and pulmonary embolism (13 percent vs. 11 percent, P=0.009). The differences in mortality persisted for all three diagnoses after adjustment for age, sex, and coexisting disorders. There were no significant differences in mortality between weekday and weekend admissions for the three control diagnoses. Weekend admissions were also associated with significantly higher mortality rates for 23 of the 100 leading causes of death and were not associated with significantly lower mortality rates for any of these conditions. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with some serious medical conditions are more likely to die in the hospital if they are admitted on a weekend than if they are admitted on a weekday.

The beguiling pursuit of more information.

BACKGROUND: The authors tested whether clinicians make different decisions if they pursue information than if they receive the same information from the start. METHODS: Three groups of clinicians participated (N=1206): dialysis nurses (n=171), practicing urologists (n=461), and academic physicians (n=574). Surveys were sent to each group containing medical scenarios formulated in 1 of 2 versions. The simple version of each scenario presented a choice between 2 options. The search version presented the same choice but only after some information had been missing and subsequently obtained. The 2 versions otherwise contained identical data and were randomly assigned. RESULTS: In one scenario involving a personal choice about kidney donation, more dialysis nurses were willing to donate when they first decided to be tested for compatibility and were found suitable than when theyknew they were suitable from the start (65% vs. 44%, P= 0.007). Similar discrepancies were found in decisions made by practicing urologists concerning surgery for a patient with prostate cancer and in decisions of academic physicians considering emergency management for a patient with acute chest pain. CONCLUSIONS: The pursuit of information can increase its salience and cause clinicians to assign more importance to the information than if the same information was immediately available. An awareness of this cognitive bias may lead to improved decision making in difficult medical situations.

Availability of antidotes at acute care hospitals in Ontario.

BACKGROUND: Acutely poisoned patients sometimes require immediate treatment with an antidote, and delays in treatment can be fatal. We sought to determine the availability of 10 antidotes at acute care hospitals in Ontario. METHODS: Mailed questionnaire with repeated reminders to pharmacy directors at all acute care hospitals in Ontario. RESULTS: Responses were obtained from 179 (97%) of 184 hospitals. Only 9% of the hospitals stocked an adequate supply of digoxin immune Fab antibody fragments, a life-saving antidote for patients with severe digoxin toxicity, whereas most of the hospitals stocked sufficient supplies of ipecac syrup (88%) and flumazenil (92%), arguably the least crucial antidotes in the survey. Only 1 hospital stocked adequate amounts of all 10 antidotes. Certain hospital characteristics were associated with adequate antidote stocking (increased annual emergency department volume, teaching hospital status and designation as a trauma centre). Conversely, antidote supplies were particularly deficient at small hospitals and, paradoxically, geographically isolated facilities (those most reliant on their own inventory). The cost of antidotes correlated only weakly with stocking rates, and many examples of excessive antidote stocking were identified. INTERPRETATION: Most acute care hospitals in Ontario do not stock even minimally adequate amounts of several emergency antidotes, possibly jeopardizing the survival of an acutely poisoned patient. Much of this problem could be rectified at no additional cost by reducing excessive stock of expensive antidotes and redistributing the resources to acquire deficient antidotes.

Problems for clinical judgement: 4. Surviving in the report card era.

Health care report cards involve comparisons of health care systems, hospitals or clinicians on performance measures. They are going to be an important feature of medical care in Canada in the new millennium as patients demand more information about their medical care. Although many clinicians are aware of this growing trend, they may not be prepared for all of its implications. In this article, we provide some historical background on health care report cards and describe a number of strategies to help clinicians survive and thrive in the report card era. We offer a number of tips ranging from knowing your outcomes first to proactively getting involved in developing report cards.

Survival in Academy Award-winning actors and actresses.

BACKGROUND: Social status is an important predictor of poor health. Most studies of this issue have focused on the lower echelons of society. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the increase in status from winning an academy award is associated with long-term mortality among actors and actresses. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort analysis. SETTING: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. PARTICIPANTS: All actors and actresses ever nominated for an academy award in a leading or a supporting role were identified (n = 762). For each, another cast member of the same sex who was in the same film and was born in the same era was identified (n = 887). MEASUREMENTS: Life expectancy and all-cause mortality rates. RESULTS: All 1649 performers were analyzed; the median duration of follow-up time from birth was 66 years, and 772 deaths occurred (primarily from ischemic heart disease and malignant disease). Life expectancy was 3.9 years longer for Academy Award winners than for other, less recognized performers (79.7 vs. 75.8 years; P = 0.003). This difference was equal to a 28% relative reduction in death rates (95% CI, 10% to 42%). Adjustment for birth year, sex, and ethnicity yielded similar results, as did adjustments for birth country, possible name change, age at release of first film, and total films in career. Additional wins were associated with a 22% relative reduction in death rates (CI, 5% to 35%), whereas additional films and additional nominations were not associated with a significant reduction in death rates. CONCLUSION: The association of high status with increased longevity that prevails in the public also extends to celebrities, contributes to a large survival advantage, and is partially explained by factors related to success.

Problems for clinical judgement: 3. Thinking clearly in an emergency.

The resuscitation of a patient in extremis is frequently characterized by chaos and disorganization, and is one of the most stressful situations in medicine. We reviewed selected studies from the fields of anesthesia, emergency medicine and critical care that address the process of responding to a critically ill patient. Individual clinicians can improve their performance by increased exposure to emergencies during training and by the incorporation of teamwork, communication and crisis resource management principles into existing critical care courses. Team performance may be enhanced by assessing personality factors when selecting personnel for high-stress areas, explicit assignment of roles, ensuring a common "culture" in the team and routine debriefings. Over-reliance on technology and instinct at the expense of systematic responses should be avoided. Better training and teamwork may allow for clearer thinking in emergencies, so that knowledge can be translated into effective action and better patient outcomes.

Major trauma in elderly adults receiving lipid-lowering medications.

BACKGROUND: Some clinical trials, laboratory experiments, and in vitro studies suggest that lipid-lowering medications predispose a person to traumatic injury. METHODS: We used population-based administrative database analysis to study adults age 65 years or more over a 5-year interval (n = 1,348,259). RESULTS: About 12% of the cohort received a prescription for a lipid-lowering medication and about 88% did not. The two groups had similar distributions of age, gender, and income. Overall, 2,557 (0.2%) were hospitalized for major trauma. Those who received a lipid-lowering medication were 39% less likely to sustain a major trauma than those who did not receive such medication (95% confidence interval, 29 to 47). Similar results were observed after adjustment for age, gender, and income; cardiac and neurologic medications; and lethality. No other cardiac or neurologic medication was associated with an apparent safety advantage. CONCLUSION: Lipid-lowering medications do not lead to a clinically important increase in the absolute risk of major trauma for elderly patients in the community.

Problems for clinical judgement: 1. Eliciting an insightful history of present illness.

This article presents the results of a review of studies of psychology that describe how ordinary human reasoning may lead patients to provide an unreliable history of present illness. Patients make errors because of mistakes in comprehension, recall, evaluation and expression. Comprehension of a question changes depending on ambiguities in the language used and conversational norms. Recall fails through the forgetting of relevant information and through automatic shortcuts to memory. Evaluation can be mistaken because of shifting social comparisons and faulty personal beliefs. Expression is influenced by moods and ignoble failures. We suggest that an awareness of how people report current symptoms and events is an important clinical skill that can be enhanced by knowledge of selected studies in psychology. These insights might help clinicians avoid mistakes when eliciting a patient's history of present illness.